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XAUUSD - Accumulation , Manipulation and Distribution Today before "ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: news big players took the advantage of news and followed ICT PO3 pattern which is ACCUMULATION MANIPULATION DISTRIBUTION ICT power of three is the strategy which exposes the smart money traps for retail traders. ICT power of 3 concept is also known as AMD setup because of the three main concepts accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation phase is when market ranges near important level and smart money accumulate their positions in this area. Manipulation phase, as obvious from the name, is to manipulate the retail traders. After accumulation smart money moves the market in opposite direction . Distribution phase is the real move. After manipulating retail traders smart money add their positions toward the real direction of market hence moving market opposite to retail mindset. In above chart i tried to show this po3 strategy developed by ICT . Before the red folder news market was ranging.. post that big players manipulated towards the order block and made high 2523.. and started distribution and till now made low near 2504. Elliott wave and ICT concepts are very easy to learn if one keeps positive mindset of learning. Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose
FX:XAUUSD
by MDstockmagic
7
BITCOIN: Elliott Wave & ChannelGreetings, everyone.😉 I would like to present a scenario for your consideration, grounded in "Elliott Wave Theory" . ✔️ Wave initiated from the 15K level: Classified as a "Double Zigzag" ✔️ Current wave in development: Y-c-3 ✔️ Projected upward range: 93K ~ 101K The rationale behind this analysis is as follows: Zigzag patterns typically move within a parallel channel. The first zigzag wave, which started from the 15K level, adhered precisely to this parallel channel. As a result, the likelihood of a complex correction occurring is considerably high. Based on these observations, I have constructed this particular scenario. It is an illustrative representation of potential market behavior, grounded in established technical principles. Wishing you all the best of luck🍀 This is not a buy or sell recommendation. It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only. All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Long
by Killer_Whales
EWT – Can Bulls Push NSE JIOFIN to New Highs?Timeframe: Daily After hitting a low of 202.8, NSE JIOFIN has formed an impulsive cycle. Wave ((2)) has not retraced more than 100% of Wave ((1)). Sub-Wave (3) is a powerful extended wave, reaching 261.8% of the Fibonacci extension of Wave (1). The price has completed Wave (4) at 307, marking an exact 50% retracement of Wave (3). The impulsive structure is expected to resume following a breakout above the corrective slope. However, if the price encounters strong resistance at the upper channel, there is also a possibility of a triangle formation on the daily timeframe chart. The 337 level will pose a significant challenge for the bulls to overcome. According to the alternative chart, the price has completed Wave D at 337.95 and has begun forming Wave E. If the price doesn’t break below the low of Wave C, Wave E could alternatively be interpreted as a 1-2 wave formation. If price breaks out 338 , traders can trade for the following targets: 360 – 383 – 405 +. A breakdown of Wave A at 307 will require a reassessment of the entire wave structure We will update further information soon.
NSE:JIOFIN
by forextidings
7
RAILTEL - AS PER FIB RETRACEMENT, CORRECTION WAVE MIGHT BE OVERHi, This idea is about Railtel Corporation of India Ltd ABOUT THE COMPANY RailTel was incorporated in 2000, with the objective of creating nationwide broadband and VPN services, telecom, and multimedia network, to modernize the train control operation and safety system of Indian Railways. It is a "Miniratna" PSE of the Government of India. At present, RailTel's network passes through around 6,000 stations across the country, covering all major commercial centers TECHINCALS As per the price action, the first impulse wave took the price all the way from 337 to 615. THen the correction wave commenced which pulled back the price from 615 to 440 levels. The price point as per fib retracement is at the point of 50-61% which as per Elliot Wave theory should be the correction wave Next impulsive wave could start if the price aloses above 475 with volume support FUNDAMENTALS Market Cap ₹ 15,066 Cr. Current Price ₹ 469 High / Low ₹ 618 / 163 Stock P/E 56.4 Book Value ₹ 56.9 Dividend Yield 0.61 % ROCE 20.2 % ROE 15.2 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Equity capital ₹ 321 Cr. No. Eq. Shares 32.1 EPS ₹ 7.99 Promoter holding 72.8 % Change in Prom Hold 0.00 % Chg in Prom Hold 3Yr 0.00 % Pledged percentage 0.00 % Market Cap to Sales 5.67 Sales growth 29.8 % PEG Ratio 3.81 EVEBITDA 27.9 Quick ratio 1.16 Trade receivables ₹ 1,268 Cr. Sales ₹ 2,658 Cr. Debt to equity 0.02 Price to book value 8.25 Free Cash Flow ₹ 347 Cr. CMP / FCF 75.8 Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:RAILTELLong
by Stock-n-Shine
#Nifty directions and levels for August 9th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 9th. Market Overview Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by a 250-point positive start in GIFT NIFTY. Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look: Nifty: In the previous session, Nifty experienced some minor oscillation due to the monetary policy. However, it closed within Tuesday's range. Structurally, it remains a range-bound market. > According to Elliott Wave theory, we expect three swings in this range-bound market. With two swings already completed, we are anticipating a third one. > In today’s market, after the gap-up, if it encounters resistance around the immediate resistance level, it may lead to a correction. if it happens, The corrections are expected to range between 38% to 78% of the minor swing—this is our first scenario. >In this case, if it consolidates or breaks solidly (at the 61% Fibonacci level on the upside), then the rally will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if it rejects around the previous high, the range-bound market will likely continue. Structurally, it could form a triangle pattern. However, trading in range-bound market movements can be somewhat challenging, and premiums may also be affected.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 7th. Even though the previous session opened with a gap-up, it didn’t sustain,BankNifty maintained their bearish bias. Today also the market may open with a minimum of 200 points positive. What about today? If this happens structurally, it could turn into a range market. Range market movements are usually difficult to predict. However, my expectation is that if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the 38% level solidly, we can expect the next target at 50,468. After that, if it consolidates, the pullback will continue. On the other hand, if it rejects this level, the range market will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may consolidate within the previous day's range. In this variation, a correction is anticipated only if it falls below the previous low.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Fin Nifty is Bearish - Can hit 22680 in coming days! 1:3.5 RRWhy Short Fin Nifty: Current Market Price: 23879 Fin Nifty has completed its 1-2-3-4-5 subwaves and rejected the 261.8% level (24,027) yesterday. Risky players can short at current price but it has strong support at 23,750. Once this level breaks, the price structure will change, giving us double confirmation as Ichimoku will break both the TS and KS by that time. So this entry will be safer but SL will be little big. Stop Loss: 24,056 T arget: 22,680 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.5 Note: We always prefer futures or option selling with an edge to avoid overnight risks. Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by WaveMoku
#Nifty directions and levels for the August 2nd week.Good evening, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for the second week of August: Global and Local Market Overview Last week, both global and local markets experienced significant volatility, closing with a negative candle. On the weekly chart, the market shows a moderately bullish trend, but the 1-hour chart suggests a bearish sentiment. For this week, I anticipate a moderately bearish trend. Let's delve into the details. Nifty: Current View: - Nifty has completed the 5 sub-waves within the 3rd wave extension. Following this, a three-wave corrective pattern is expected. - The declines over the past two days, along with negative global market closures on Friday, suggest a bearish start on Monday. - If the market opens negatively, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level should act as strong support. If support holds, a 38% pullback is likely. - This pullback could be the 2nd sub-wave of the correction. If the market rejects this pullback and breaks the previous low, the correction will likely continue, targeting levels around 24365 to 78%. Alternate View: The alternate variation is a bit more complicated, but I will try to explain it simply. - If the initial pullback breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could reach the 61% and 78% retracement levels. - Usually, the one and two formations are very difficult to predict in the Elliott Wave. - Because the 2nd wave targets allow 90% of the 1st wave. - So, I use a common Fibonacci method: whenever the market breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, it most often reaches 61% to 78%. - After that pullback, if it sustains or breaks the fib level 78%, then it may continue the rally further to the level of 25143 to 25209 (extension variation). - Or if it faces rejection at either one of the resistance levels (61% or 78%), it could turn into a correction. - However, we could take additional confirmation for the reversal that if both the EMA 20 and the Fibonacci level of 38% in the minor swing break, we can expect a reversal.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for the August 2nd week.Bank Nifty: Current View: Structurally, it's a range market, because whenever the market enters into double and triple corrections, it forms huge ups and downs within the range. It's very difficult to predict the proper direction. However, my expectation is the same as for Nifty. Let's look at that. - If Monday's market opens negatively, it could find support around the 51020 level or the 78% Fibonacci retracement. - If this happens, we can expect a 23% to 38% pullback in the minor swing. It's a minor pullback only. - after that, if it is rejected there(23 or 38% in the minor swing), then the correction will continue if it breaks the previous low again. This is our first variation. Alternate View: - If the initial bounce breaks the Fibonacci level of 38% in the minor swing, it could reach the next target of 61% and 78%. These are usual range market targets. - After that it faces rejection there (around 61% or 78%), then the range market will likely continue. - However, we could use the same reversal confirmations here as well(.EMA 20 and the Fibonacci level of 38% breakout) - Alternatively, if it sustains or breaks the level of 78% on the upside, then the pullback will likely continue to the level of 52526 and 52694.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for August 5th.Good morning friends 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 5th. Market Overview Still the correction is continuing the Dow Jones chart, reflecting a bearish sentiment. Our local market also shares this sentiment. Therefore, today might see a significant gap down at the opening, as indicated by a 250-point negative start in GIFTNIFTY. There is still a tug-of-war between the Nifty and Bank Nifty charts. According to the wave structure, Nifty has a correctional structure, while Bank Nifty has a range-bound structure. >How does this affect the Nifty chart? It's just sentiment. If, during the correction, Bank Nifty supports it, then the correction would continue effectively. On the other hand, if it tries to maintain the range market, then it would take a pullback. If this happens, Nifty might undergo consolidation or possibly a pullback, because the banking sector has the major weightage in Nifty. However, I share the same direction for the Nifty and Bank Nifty charts. that, If the gap-down sustains (consolidates) or breaks the immediate support level with a solid candle, then the correction will likely continue further. This is our basic structure. Why Do I Mention the Pullback Levels of 23% and 38%? In this scenario, if the market takes a solid pullback in the initial phase, it could reach those levels. Usually, the trending market could take a maximum 23% to 38% pullback of the minor swing. but it won't sustain. If it rejects there, then the trend will continue once it breaks the previous bottom. That's why I mention those levels. What Should We Do If It Breaks the 38% Fibonacci Level? Whenever the trending market takes a pullback of more than 38%, the momentum will reduce a little bit. If this happens, we can expect some consolidation into a range market. and The range market targets are expected to be a minimum of 50%, 61%, and 78%. If you are an options buyer, the premium might not increase in this sentiment, so trade carefully.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
#Nifty directions and levels for August 1stGood morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for August 1st: Global and Local Market Overview In the previous session, the US market experienced a solid pullback, suggesting a moderately bullish bias. Our local market is also maintaining a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly positive start, as GiftNifty is indicating a 40-point positive move. In the previous session, both Nifty and BankNifty were in a range-bound market, but their structures differ. Let's take a closer look: Nifty Previously, we discussed that Nifty is in sub-wave 4. If it breaks the consolidation, we could expect the 5th impulse wave. This may happen in today’s session due to the gap-up start indicated by GiftNifty. If the market opens above the previous high, we can expect a move to a minimum of 25029 to 25067. We have already discussed this sentiment in the previous session. If the breakout has a solid formation, the rally will continue. On the other hand, if it does not, it will turn into a correction. Today, we will follow the sentiment with a slight revision. that's Current view: >If the gap-up sustains and breaks or consolidates around the resistance level (25029-25067), the rally will likely continue. >On the other hand, If it doesn’t sustain, it will either form an ending diagonal or continue the correction if it breaks the channel. >The difference between the diagonal and channel breakout is that a diagonal indicates the bullish bias will continue with minor pullbacks, while a channel breakout suggests a clear reversal. Alternate view: The alternate scenario is similar to the diagonal pattern. If the gap-up doesn’t sustain, we can expect an initial correction of 38-78%. After that, if it finds support at either the channel bottom or the 78% Fibonacci level, the bullish bias will continue. Simply put, it’s a range market. If it breaks the 78% Fibonacci level, the correction will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 1stBankNifty BankNifty is still within a range. Both current and alternate views indicate a range market structure. Here’s the breakdown: Current view: If the gap-up sustains, we can expect a move to the 51825 level. If it breaks or consolidates, the pullback will likely continue to the swing high or channel top. If it doesn’t break the 51825 level, it will continue to range. Alternate view: If the market rejects or the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it will continue to range between 51825 (upside) and 51275 (downside). If it breaks the range in either direction, we can follow that trend.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders