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NZDUSD challenges two-month-long bullish trendNZDUSD slides beneath a two-month-old rising support line, extending late July’s downside break of the 200-EMA, as New Zealand released mixed second-quarter (Q2) employment data but the sentiment remains sour on US credit rating downgrade. With this, the Kiwi bears are all set to visit March’s low of around 0.6085. However, the late June swing low of around 0.6050 and the 0.6000 psychological magnet could test the pair sellers as the RSI (14) is below 50.0. If not, then May’s bottom of around 0.5985 will act as the last defense of buyers ahead of highlighting a convergence of the five-month-old descending support line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, near 0.5910. Meanwhile, a daily closing beyond the 200-EMA level of around 0.6225 becomes necessary for the NZDUSD buyers to retake control, at least for the short term. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 0.6300 will be in the spotlight. However, an area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, close to 0.6380-90, quickly followed by July’s high of around 0.6415, should probe the Kiwi pair’s further upside ahead of enabling it to target the yearly top marked in February around 0.6535-40.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD reverses before 0.6680 support on impressive Aussie dataAUDUSD remains on the front foot while printing the first daily gains in five after strong Australian employment data. The pair’s latest upside also justifies the upward-sloping RSI line, not oversold, as well as the bullish bias of the MACD signals. With this, the quote is likely to extend the north run toward May’s peak of around 0.6820 ahead of targeting the 0.6895-6900 resistance area comprising the tops marked in July and June, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6900, the odds of witnessing a rally past the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. In that scenario, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the yearly peak, respectively near 0.7010 and 0.7160 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, the 0.6685-80 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA, 100-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late May appears the key challenge for the bears to conquer before retaking control. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of around 0.6730 and the 0.6700 round figure is likely immediate supports to watch during the pair’s further fall. It’s worth noting that the bear’s dominance past 0.6680 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 0.6590, a break of which will direct the sellers toward the year 2023 bottom, so far, marked around 0.6460 in May. Overall, AUDUSD bears are in the driver’s seat but the trip towards the south needs an entry-pass from 0.6680.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD renews multi-month high near 1.2900GBPUSD printed the first weekly gain in three after the US Dollar’s fall post-NFP. Following that, the Cable pair crossed the 1.2850 resistance, as well as defy the bearish triangle to rise to the highest level since April 2022. It’s worth noting that the bearish RSI divergence, where the price made a higher high but the indicator marked a lower high, suggests a lack of bullish momentum. However, the sellers need to confirm the bearish triangle break by slipping beneath the 1.2680 support, as well as witness downbeat UK employment data. Following that, the early June swing high of around 1.2550, the 100-DMA level near 1.2420 and May’s low near 1.2310 can act as intermediate halts before directing the quote toward the theoretical target of the bearish triangle, namely the 1.2140 level. Meanwhile, a clear upside break of the 1.2850 hurdle on the daily closing basis becomes necessary for the GBPUSD upside toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet. It should be noted that the UK employment report needs to back the upside break of 1.2850 to keep the Pound Sterling buyers hopeful. Following that, a slew of supports and resistances marked between December 2021 and April 2021 highlight the 1.3150-60 region as the key challenge for the pair buyers. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to return to the bear’s radar after a few weeks of absence. Though, the fundamentals need to back the Cable sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD recovery appears elusive below 1.2850GBPUSD defends the last Thursday’s rebound from the 200-EMA to brace for the first weekly gain in three. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggest room for further upside. The same highlights a three-week-old horizontal resistance zone around 1.2760-70 as the short-term key hurdle. Following that, multiple tops marked around 1.2840-50 can act as the last defense of the Pound Sterling bears. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2850, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 25 to June 29 moves, near 1.2930, followed by the 1.3000 psychological magnet, will lure the buyers. On the contrary, a broad support zone comprising levels marked since early May challenges the GBPUSD bear’s entry between 1.2690-70. Should the quote Cable bears manage to conquer the 1.2670 support, the 200-EMA level of around 1.2615 and the 1.2600 round figure will be on their radars. However, a six-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.2580 at the latest, seems a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling sellers, a break of which will give back powers to them. Overall, GBPUSD remains firmer but the room towards the north appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls take a breather ahead of UK employment reportGBPUSD extends the week-start retreat from a one-month high, after posting a two-week upside, as it braces for the UK employment numbers on Tuesday. The In doing so, the Cable pair holds onto the previous day’s pullback from a six-week-long horizontal resistance as RSI retreats from nearly overbought territory. Even so, the MACD indicator flashes bullish signals hence a downside appears limited unless breaking an upward-sloping support line from early March, close to 1.2420 by the press time. Following that, the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), near 1.2330, will give the last fight to the bulls before giving control to the sellers. Meanwhile, a clear upside break of the aforementioned resistance zone, around 1.2580-85 at the latest, could quickly propel the GBPUSD price towards the yearly high marked in May near 1.2680. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2680, the 1.2700 and the 1.2800 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the likely run-up towards a 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s March-May moves, close to 1.2850. It should be observed that the May 2022 peak near 1.2670 offers an additional upside filter. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain bullish unless breaking 1.2330, even if today’s UK employment data and the US inflation numbers disappoint and drags the quote downwards.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eyes further downside before important EU, US dataEURUSD’s break of a six-month-old ascending support line, as well as poking of the 200-day EMA, set the tone for the major currency pair’s additional weakness as markets await the Eurozone inflation and US employment numbers. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) is nearly oversold and hence suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the 1.0600 round figure as short-term key support. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s late November-April upside, near 1.0555 will precede the lows marked in March and January, respectively near 1.0515 and 1.0480 as the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, EURUSD recovery may initially battle with the 1.0700 round figure to convince intraday buyers. Following that, a convergence of the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line and the two-week-old falling trend line, near 1.0715, will precede the 100-day EMA hurdle of 1.0775 to restrict the short-term upside of the major currency pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0775, multiple levels around 1.0845-50 may prod the bulls before giving them control. Overall, EURUSD lands on the bear’s radar as the key factors loom.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD lures bears by poking 0.6635 supportAUDUSD remains pressured inside a two-week-old descending triangle after posting heavy losses in the last week. Also favoring the downside bias is the Aussie pair’s sustained trading below the 200-EMA, as well as bearish MACD signals. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) appears mostly oversold and hence the pair’s bottom-picking around the stated triangle’s support line, close to 0.6635 at the latest, can’t be ruled out. Should the pair sellers remain in the driver’s seat past 0.6635, a fall to the monthly low of 0.6605 becomes imminent. Following that, the previous monthly bottom and the yearly trough, respectively around 0.6572 and 0.6563, may challenge the pair’s further downside before giving control to the bears. Alternatively, AUDUSD recovery needs to defy the triangle formation by staying successfully beyond the resistance line, around 0.6650 at the latest. In that case, the 200-EMA hurdle of near 0.6700 may question the buyers before directing them to the monthly peak of near 0.6820. It should be observed that the Aussie pair’s sustained run-up beyond 0.6820 enables the bulls to aim for the 0.7000 psychological magnet, a break of which could allow buyers to target February’s highs surrounding 0.7030 and 0.7160. Overall, AUDUSD bears are holding the reins but need validation to dominate further.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD prints bullish consolidation ahead of UK employment dataGBPUSD portrays a bullish megaphone trend widening formation as the Cable traders await the UK employment report on Tuesday. The quote’s latest rebound from the stated pattern’s bottom line allowed it to cross the weekly resistance line. However, a clear upside break of the 100-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the March-May upside, near 1.2525, becomes necessary for the buyer’s conviction. Following that, a fortnight-long horizontal hurdle around 1.2585 and the 1.2600 round figure may act as extra checks for the Cable buyers before directing them to the megaphone’s top line, close to the 1.2700 round figure. It should be noted that the latest multi-month peak of near 1.2680 and likely overbought RSI conditions around then may challenge the bulls ahead of the 1.2700 hurdle. Alternatively, GBPUSD pullback remains elusive unless the quote breaks a convergence of the stated megaphone’s lower line and the previous resistance line from May 10, close to 1.2445 at the latest. Should the quote drop below the stated key support, a quick decline to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.2340 can’t be ruled out. Additionally, the Cable pair’s weakness past 1.2340 makes it vulnerable to challenge the previous monthly low of around 1.2270. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to grind higher but a surprise disappointment from the UK jobs report, like the last week’s BoE, can drag the quote lower.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD recovery remains unimpressive below 200-SMAAfter defying a three-week losing streak, the NZDUSD pair grinds higher as traders brace for Wednesday’s New Zealand quarterly employment numbers. The quote currently pokes the 100-SMA barrier surrounding 0.6190 while also eyeing a one-month-old downward-sloping resistance line, close to 0.6205 by the press time. Given the bullish MACD signals, the Kiwi pair is likely to overcome the nearby hurdle. However, the RSI is close to the overbought territory and hence suggests limited upside room for the pair before hitting a roadblock, which in turn highlights the 200-SMA as the key resistance, close to 0.6220 by the press time. In a case where the Kiwi pair buyers manage to keep the reins past 0.6220, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the mid-April high of around 0.6315 can’t be ruled out. Though, any further advances could challenge the yearly high marked in April around 0.6380. Meanwhile, pullback moves could gain attention on a downside break of the 0.6190-85 support zone comprising 100-SMA and the April 25 high. Following that, the NZDUSD pair can witness multiple supports near 0.6120 and 0.6100 round figure ahead of targeting the YTD bottom marked in March around 0.6085. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the quote’s weakness past 0.6085 can make the pair vulnerable to dropping toward the 0.6000 psychological magnet. Overall, NZDUSD is in a bearish consolidation mode ahead of crucial New Zealand data.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD buyers struggle on UK employment, US inflation dayDespite rising in the last four consecutive days, the GBPUSD bulls take a breather ahead of the key UK jobs report and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. That said, the three-week-old descending resistance-turned-support-line, around 1.2140 at the latest, restricts the immediate downside of the Cable pair. Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2100 precedes the one-week-old ascending trend line and the 100-SMA, respectively near 1.2040 and 1.2000, to challenge probe the Cable pair sellers. Should the quote remains bearish past 1.2000, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since February 17, between 1.1915 and 1.1925, could try to prod the Cable bears. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the GBPUSD pair’s January-March fall, around 1.2200, caps the immediate upside around 1.2100. Following that, a run-up towards the mid-February swing high of around 1.2270 appears safe to expect. It should be noted that the quote’s run-up beyond 1.2270 will be crucial to watch as it holds the key to the pair’s run-up toward the previous monthly peak of 1.2400. Overall, the pre-data anxiety joins nearly overbought RSI conditions to probe GBPUSD buyers. However, the bullish MACD signals and hopes for further US Dollar weakness keep the bulls hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers need 200-DMA breakdown to keep controlAUDUSD bounces off 50-DMA, following a retreat from the 3.5-month-old previous support line. The recovery moves fail to justify the downbeat oscillators and Aussie data, which in turn keep sellers hopeful. That said, a daily closing below the stated short-term moving average, around 0.6880 by the press time, could convince the Aussie bears. However, the 200-DMA surrounding the 0.6800 threshold becomes crucial support as it lured buyers earlier in January. Should the quote manages to break the 200-DMA, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the previous monthly low near 0.6685 and then towards the late 2022 swing lows around 0.6630 and 0.6580 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the AUDUSD rebound needs to run a successful show beyond the support-turned-resistance line from November, close to the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Following that, the Aussie buyers may aim for the 0.7050 level before challenging the all-important 0.7135-55 resistance area comprising multiple tops marked since August 2022. It’s worth observing that the pair’s sustained break of 0.7155 won’t hesitate to cross the mid-2022 top surrounding 0.7285 and brace for the previous yearly high near 0.7660. Overall, AUDUSD is all set to reverse the late 2022 run-up but a clear downside break of 200-DMA becomes necessary.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bulls brace for re-entry ahead of crucial Canada eventsFriday’s US jobs report finally offered the much-needed bounce to the USDCAD pair. However, the Canadian employment numbers and Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem’s speech makes the current week all the more important for the Loonie pair traders. Also making the quote interesting is the latest piercing of the 1.3430 resistance confluence, comprising the 13-day-old bearish channel’s top line and 200-EMA. It’s worth noting that the oscillators aren’t quite impressive for the bulls and hence the pair buyers must wait for successful trading beyond the 1.3430 hurdle to retake control. Even so, the January 19 swing high near 1.3520 could probe the upside momentum before directing prices towards the previous monthly top surrounding 1.3685. Meanwhile, USDCAD pullback remains elusive unless staying beyond 1.3350 support, a break of which could recall bears targeting the late 2022 bottom surrounding 1.3225. During the fall, the stated descending channel’s lower line, close to 1.3250 may act as an intermediate halt. In a case where the Loonie bears dominate past 1.3225, the 1.3000 psychological magnet may act as a buffer during the south-run targeting September 2022 low near 1.2965. Overall, USDCAD bears are running out of steam as they approach this week’s key data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD braces for further upside inside 3.5-month-old bullish chDespite the AUDUSD pair’s south-run on the downbeat Aussie jobs report, the pair trades successfully inside a 3.5-month-long upward-sloping trend channel. That said, the overbought RSI highlights beyond an ascending trend line hurdle stretched from mid-November and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, respectively near 0.7015 and 0.7090 as near-term key hurdles. Following that, the August 2022 peak surrounding 0.7140 could act as the last defense of the Aussie pair sellers, a break of which could propel prices towards June’s top of 0.7282 before eyeing further advances. Alternatively, pullback moves could aim for the aforementioned channel’s lower line, near 0.6800, as well as the 50-DMA level surrounding 0.6770. In a case where the AUDUSD price drops below 0.6770, the bearish trend could be respected, which in turn highlights the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6500 as the attraction for bears. Overall, AUDUSD holds onto further upside even as the overbought RSI line hints at a pullback.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD fades bounce off 100-day EMA ahead of key UK dataGBPUSD bulls are struggling to keep the reins as traders await crucial British economics scheduled during the week, starting with the UK jobs report. That being said, a retreat in the RSI and sluggish MACD joined the recent softness in prices to signal the Cable pair’s pullback towards the 1.2000 psychological magnet, a break of which could quickly drag the quote to the 100-day EMA surrounding 1.1930. In a case where the pair remains bearish past 1.1930, tops marked during September and October 2022, respectively around 1.1735 and 1.1645, could act as the last defense of the buyers. Alternatively, GBPUSD buyers need to cross a downward-sloping resistance line from late March 2022, close to 1.2350, to convince markets. Following that, the late 2022 peak surrounding 1.2445 might probe the bulls before directing them to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-September downturn, around 1.2665. Should the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2665, multiple lows marked during early April near 1.2975 and the 1.3000 round figure might test the upside moves ahead of highlighting March 2022 peak near 1.3200. Overall, GBPUSD is at an interesting place in the chart where bulls and bears are mostly equal, which in turn highlights this week’s data for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD is likely to decline further as 2023 beginsUSDCAD holds onto the late December downside break of the seven-week-old ascending support line, even if the 200-SMA challenges the bears. That said, the downbeat MACD and RSI conditions also favor the Loonie pair sellers as they attack the key SMA surrounding 1.3520. Additionally challenging the bears is the double bottoms marked around 1.3485-80 during the last week, a break of which could quickly drag prices towards the previous monthly low of around 1.3380. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.3380, November’s low of 1.3225 will gain the market’s attention. On the contrary, recovery moves need to cross the previous support line from early November, close to 1.3645-50 by the press time, to convince buyers. Even so, the double tops marked the last month at around 1.3700 will be a crucial challenge for the USDCAD optimists. It's worth noting that the pair’s run-up beyond 1.3700 won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly high marked in October around 1.3980. However, November’s peak near 1.3810 could act as a buffer during the anticipated run-up. Overall, USDCAD is likely to remain weak but the 200-SMA can challenge short-term sellers amid the holiday mood.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls eye 200-DMA on Aussie employment data dayAlthough AUDUSD retreats from a descending trend line from early April, the 100-DMA challenges the pair bears as they cheer a retreat from a two-month high. The same paves the way for the Aussie pair’s another battle with the 200-DMA hurdle, around 0.6950 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that the overbought conditions of RSI suggest the quote’s third pullback from the key moving average resistance. Though, a clear upside break of the 200-DMA, as well as sustained trading beyond the 0.7000 psychological magnet, won’t hesitate to challenge the August 2022 peak near 0.7135. On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 100-DMA support surrounding 0.6700. Following that, July’s low near 0.6680 can act as an extra downside filter before directing bears toward the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the April-October downturn, close to 0.6520 as we write. In a case where AUDUSD bears dominate past 0.6520, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly low, currently around 0.6170, can’t be turned down. Overall, AUDUSD is on the bull’s radar but the 200-DMA appears strong challenge for the pair’s further upside.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD buyers are all set to confront the 1.2030 hurdleGBPUSD bulls approach the key resistance line, stretched from mid-June, ahead of the UK’s employment numbers. The cable pair’s upside momentum takes clues from its successful trading beyond the 100-DMA, as well as the bullish MACD signals. However, nearly overbought RSI conditions could restrict further advances near an aforementioned resistance line, around 1.2030 at the latest. Even if the quote manages to cross the 1.2030 upside barrier, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s June-September downside and the 200-DMA could challenge the run-up respectively near 1.2170 and 1.2255. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2255, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the mid-2022 peak of 1.2666 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, a daily closing below the 100-DMA level surrounding 1.1655 needs validation from the previous monthly top, close to 1.1645, to recall the GBPUSD bears. Even so, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1500 appears strong support for the sellers to crack before eyeing a convergence of the monthly ascending trend line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, near the 1.1230-25 area. Should the pair remains bearish past 1.1230, the previous monthly low near 1.0920 will gain the market’s attention. Overall, GBPUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD buyers have a long road ahead as the key week beginsUSDCAD crossed a one-week-old resistance the previous day but stayed on the way to the first monthly loss in three inside a fortnight-long bearish channel. That said, the 100-SMA level surrounding 1.3725 acts as an immediate hurdle to test the pair buyers before directing them to the stated channel’s upper line, close to 1.3745 at the latest. Following that, there are multiple levels near 1.3840-50 which could challenge the upside move targeting a fresh yearly top, currently around 1.3980. It’s worth noting that the 1.4000 psychological magnet may offer an extra buffer to the north before giving control to the bulls. Alternatively, the resistance-turned-support near 1.3555 and a monthly horizontal support zone surrounding 1.3500-3495 could restrict the short-term downside of the USDCAD pair. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, around 1.3460, might act as the last defense for the buyers. It should be observed that September 22 swing low near 1.3410 and the 1.3400 round figure might check the bears ahead of directing them to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the September-October advances, at 1.3343. Overall, USDCAD consolidates monthly loss as traders brace for the key week including the Fed’s verdict, US NFP and Canadian employment numbers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD braces for further downside, 1.0930-20 eyed immediatelyGBPUSD holds onto the previous week’s downside break of the 50-SMA and a two-week-old support line, now resistance around 1.1160. Although the nearly oversold RSI suggests limited room towards the south, the bearish MACD signals keep the bears hopeful. That said, a horizontal area comprising the lows marked during late September, around 1.0930-20, lures intraday sellers. Following that, 1.0630 may offer an intermediate halt before directing the bears towards the record low printed in the last month around 1.0345. Alternatively, any recovery appears elusive unless the GBPUSD pair remains below 1.1160. Even if the cable pair crosses the 1.1160 hurdle the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of late August-September downside, near 1.1320, will check the buyers. It should be noted that a downward-sloping resistance line from August 26, close to 1.1450 by the press time, seems the last defense of the bears, a break of which could trigger a short-term bullish trend. Overall, GBPUSD is on the way to the all-time low marked in the last month. However, the bears need validation from 1.0920 and the UK jobs report scheduled for publishing today.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD rebound remains unreal below 0.6780Despite falling heavily after the US inflation, the AUDUSD bounced off a two-month-old support line as nearly oversold RSI pushed back the bears. The recovery, however, remains below a two-week-old horizontal hurdle surrounding 0.6770-80, which in turn joins bearish MACD signals to challenge the optimists. If the Aussie pair crosses the 0.6780 hurdle, it can quickly run up towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of July-August upside, around 0.6855. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and a downward sloping resistance line from mid-August, close to 0.6910, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Meanwhile, a clear downside below the aforementioned two-month-long support line, at 0.6700 by the press time, won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly low marked in July at around 0.6680. During the AUDUSD pair’s weakness past 0.6680, the RSI might have turned oversold and could challenge the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the August 11 to September 13 moves, close to 0.6645. In a case where the quote drops below 0.6645, the odds of witnessing the 0.6600 threshold on the chart can’t be ruled out. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain on the bear’s radar but the downside room is limited, which suggests further grinding of the pair ahead of next week’s FOMC.
by MTradingGlobal
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AUDUSD bears keep reins with eyes on 0.6800AUDUSD broke a one-month-old bullish channel after witnessing a downbeat Aussie Wage Price Index. The south-run also gained support from the softer jobs report for July. Even so, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August upside, near 0.6900, restricts the immediate downside of the pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) is near the oversold territory and suggests limited declines before the bounce. Should the quote breaks the 0.6900 round figure, the monthly bottom surrounding 0.6870 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6850 could entertain the bears before directing them to the mid-July swing high close to 0.6800. Meanwhile, corrective pullback needs to cross the stated channel’s support line, around 0.6970 by the press time, to convince the buyers. Following that, the weekly resistance line near the 0.7000 threshold could try stopping the upside moves. In a case where AUDUSD bulls cross the 0.7000 hurdle, the month-start peak around 0.7050 might become the last defense of bears before directing the prices towards the monthly high of 0.7136. Overall, AUDUSD has signaled a bearish trajectory after the downbeat employment numbers and is ready to reverse the bounce off the yearly low marked during July.
by MTradingGlobal
200-SMA tests NZDUSD bears after New Zealand employment dataNZDUSD justifies downbeat Q2 New Zealand job numbers while refreshing weekly low, following downside break of a three-week-old bullish channel. However, the 200-SMA restricts further declines of the Kiwi pair, which in turn joins firmer China PMI to trigger the latest rebound. However, support line of the aforementioned channel, near 0.6255, guards immediate recovery moves ahead of directing buyers towards weekly peak of 0.6352. Following that, the Kiwi pair can aim for the mid-June high around 0.6395. However, the 0.6400 threshold and upper line of the stated channel, around 0.6410 by the press time, could challenge the pair’s further advances. Meanwhile, a downside move needs validation from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 16 to July 14 fall, around 0.6190. Following that, the NZDUSD bears can aim for the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 0.6140. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6140, it won’t hesitate to drag the quote towards the yearly low marked in July around 0.6060. Additionally, the south-run towards the 0.6000 psychological magnet becomes imminent in a case if the pair renews yearly low.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays inside short-term bearish channel at yearly lowAUDUSD justifies its risk-barometer status aptly as it remains near the two-year bottom, inside a 12-day-long bearish channel. The quote’s further downside, however, appears limited in the short-term due to the nearness to the stated channel’s lower line, close to 0.6690 at the latest. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 16 to July 05 moves, near 0.6705, could offer immediate support to the Aussie pair. In a case where the bears refrain from stepping back from 0.6690, the 78.6% FE level near 0.6650 could gain major attention. Alternatively, the 50-SMA level surrounding 0.6800 guards the immediate recovery moves ahead of the immediate descending channel’s upper line, around 0.6840 by the press time. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of the 0.6840 hurdle isn’t a call to the AUDUSD bulls as the 100-SMA level of 0.6855 could challenge the advances afterward. Should the quote rises past 0.6855, the odds of its run-up towards the late June swing high near 0.6965 and then to the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall AUDUSD remains in a bearish trajectory, despite the recently firmer Aussie jobs report and increasing calls about the RBA’s aggression. However, the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal