Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis APRIL 10 (CPI)Hello
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The CPI indicator will be released shortly at 9:30.
*Conditional Long Position Strategy based on the movement path of the red finger
1. After confirming the touch of zone 1 (purple finger), enter the long position at the red finger's $71,588.3 mark / Stop loss if broken below the green support line.
2. Long position target price at $73,903.7 -> Good 2nd target.
If it drops immediately without touching zone 1 (purple finger), wait for the long position at zone 2 at the bottom / Stop loss if broken below the green support line.
From the point of breaking the green support line, the price could fall from the bottom up to a maximum of $69.2K.
Please use my analysis post merely as a reference and for practical application.
I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and using stop loss limits as a necessity.
Thank you.
Energy Commodities
Increasing uncertainty for Crude OILHey Folks,
I am back after a quite long time. Had to take care of some work at my home. so couldn't do trades from past 2 months.
Now as i am back, i was though tracking the geopolitical event as much as i could. and with the recent truce call of Mr. Trump "again" with Iran had Oil crashed nearly 20% the next day.
But with the following event of breaking the ceasefire and attack on Tehran and Lebanon, it is cleared the intention of US, that they are not done and still have some business left with Iranian land. and ofcourse the water in the Strait.
So this has now significantly increased the existing uncertainty of this issue. and nothing can be trusted by no one. At this point war can escalate from meme-fight to land invasion overnight.
that said and technically the price moving in up trend with higher highs and higher lows. We are at another higher low, and could see a new higher high in few days as long the tension exist.
So, I am putting a long position on the crude Oil future with STOP at the previous Higher Low ( ₹8000).
In this case please note that I am aware Expiry of the contract is near and related risk to it.
Thanks, Happy Trading :)
Crude Oil Does Not Just Fill Your Tank. It Runs the World
Crude Oil Does Not Just Fill Your Tank. It Runs the World.
6,000 products in your life come from oil. Which means every oil price move is a tax on everything you buy. Ask anyone what crude oil is used for and they will say: "Petrol and diesel." They are missing 5,998 other answers.
The Shocking List of Things Made From Crude Oil
Transportation: Petrol, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel
Plastics: Every plastic product — bags, bottles, containers, electronics casings
Medicines: Aspirin, capsule coatings, many pharmaceuticals are petrochemical-derived
Fertilisers: Most synthetic fertilisers — which means almost all of the world's food
Cosmetics: Lipstick, moisturiser, shampoo, nail polish
Clothing: Polyester, nylon, spandex, synthetic fibres
Asphalt: Every road you drive on
Electricity generation: In many regions, oil powers turbines
Rubber: Tyres, seals, industrial equipment
Paints and adhesives
When you understand this list, you understand why every single time crude oil spikes, inflation in the entire economy rises.
The Direct Link Between Crude Oil and the Indian Economy
India imports approximately 85% of its crude oil. This makes India one of the world's most oil-dependent large economies.
When Brent crude rises from $70 to $100:
India's import bill increases by approximately $30–40 billion annually
Current account deficit widens
Rupee comes under pressure (India needs more USD to buy oil)
Petrol and diesel prices eventually increase
Transportation costs rise → everything from vegetables to electronics gets expensive
Inflation data rises → RBI may hike rates → borrowing becomes expensive → markets correct
This single commodity triggers a chain that affects every Indian portfolio.
How OPEC Controls Your Market Returns
OPEC (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a cartel of oil-producing nations that collectively controls over 40% of the world's oil supply. When OPEC decides to cut production, oil supply decreases and prices rise. This is not a market decision — it is a political one made in a meeting room.
OPEC+ production cuts and their market effects:
April 2020 — During COVID, OPEC+ cut 9.7 million barrels/day. Oil briefly went negative (yes, negative)
October 2022 — OPEC+ cut 2 million barrels/day, oil spiked 10% in a week
Each cut announcement moves global equity markets within hours
Sectors that benefit from high crude prices:
ONGC, Oil India — they produce oil, profit per barrel rises
Reliance Industries (refining division) — refinery margins expand
Shipping companies — high global trade activity
Sectors that suffer from high crude prices:
Aviation (IndiGo, Air India) — fuel is 30–40% of operating cost
Paint companies (Asian Paints) — crude is a key raw material
Tyre manufacturers — rubber and carbon black are petroleum derivatives
FMCG companies — packaging, transportation costs rise across the board
The Trader's Framework for Crude Oil
Every serious equity trader should have Brent Crude and WTI Crude on their watchlist. Not because you will trade the commodity, but because the number tells you:
The direction of inflation globally
Which sectors will get hurt and which will benefit
The health of global demand (rising oil = growing global economy, usually)
The direction of the Indian rupee
Below $70 Brent: Positive for India, inflation stays low, RBI has room to cut rates, markets relieved
$70–$90 Brent: Manageable, market absorbs it
Above $90 Brent: Warning zone for India — current account deficit widens, rupee weakens, inflation risk
Above $100 Brent: Major headwind — expect market correction, RBI tightening, reduced consumer spending
Every trader who ignores crude oil is navigating the ocean without checking the weather. The storm may not be visible yet. But it is already forming somewhere.
Follow for more ideas that reveal the hidden forces moving your investments. A like and follow costs nothing but helps this reach every trader who needs it🙏
US Crude Oil (WTI) - 30 Min Chart UpdateUS Crude is in its final corrective Wave C, where it is about to complete Wave 4 in the $99–$100 zone before starting the final Wave 5 upward.
The bigger Wave C is projected to complete near $117, which corresponds to 123% of the bigger Wave A.
Short-term bias remains bullish until Wave 5 within the bigger Wave C completes.
📈 Bias: Short-term bullish
🎯 Key Levels: $99–$100 for Wave 4 completion, $117 for Wave C termination
⚠️ This is not a trade call and is shared purely for educational purposes.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis APRIL 6
Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The Nasdaq indicators will be released shortly at 11:00.
We are currently adding to our long positions at the bottom zone of $65,390.7 -> $66,591.
*Long Position Strategy based on the movement path of the red finger
1. $69,179.3 is the entry point for the long position / Stop loss if the purple support line is broken.
2. $71,182.3 is the first target for the long position -> Good second target.
The final level, $70,510.1, is a zone to utilize for re-entering the long position.
If the purple support line is broken,
Bottom -> The area up to zone 1 is open.
If the price does not drop to the Gap 9 zone at the bottom over the next two weeks starting today, the uptrend may continue.
Please use my analysis merely as a reference and for practical purposes.
I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and implementing stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
472X – Key Structure Level: Hold = Bearish, Break = ReversalContext
Gold has just made a strong breakout above the 4600–462X resistance, mainly driven by Trump’s statement about potentially ending the Iran conflict within 2–3 weeks.
This news boosted market sentiment and pushed price higher, now approaching the key resistance zone at 472X–4750.
📈 Current Trend
Short-term: Strong bullish momentum
Mid-term: Testing key resistance
🎯 Key Levels
Resistance: 4735–4750 | 4848–4853 | 4900–4912 | 5000
Support: 4650 | 4614 | 4530 | 4485
⚔️ Trading Plan (SELL Bias)
SELL around 4735–4750
SL: 4770 (~20 points)
TP: RR 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:5
❌ Invalidation
Strong break above 4740 → stop SELL
→ Look for SELL opportunities at higher resistance zones
🔄 Reversal Scenario
If price holds firmly above 4740
→ Potential continuation to BUY towards 4800
📌 Conclusion
472X–4750 is the decision zone.
Hold → SELL bias | Break → follow BUY
💬 Your View?
Which side are you on here?
👉 SELL at 47XX or wait for breakout to BUY?
Drop your view + entry level below, let’s compare setups.
Follow for upcoming updates (especially before Non-farm).
I’ll update immediately if market structure breaks.
SUGAR STOCKS - ANOTHER YEARLY RALLY - Ready for Sep 2026!Sugar Stocks - This is a Combined chart of Top 8 sugar stocks index except MVK agro one. Clear Higher High, Higher Low formation over past 4 years .
This is a sign of constant accumulation at dips while hinting that sector's volatility of prior years goes down each year.
Highly consistent for past 5 years where it peaks in September month of each year. From 2021, they are in higher high formation with structural changes in sector that took place.
Entry point now maybe ripe for swing trades here as the process to form new peak is beginning.
The RSI at bottom you can see always bottoms out at same level from past 4 yrs indicating some sort of structural support.
SUGAR Stocks can surprise on the upside looks like after. Downside is capped here.
Crude Topped Out on Ceasefire? Ichimoku Says: Calm Before StormWhile headlines suggest crude may have topped out due to easing war tensions , Ichimoku structure tells a different story. Price is currently consolidating near the Kijun equilibrium — a classic pause before a potential continuation move .
On this 2D MCX Crude chart, we can clearly observe a Kumo breakout followed by a strong impulsive rally . Post-rally, price is cooling off through consolidation, building a strong base around the Kijun .
A brief liquidity probe below Kijun shook out weaker hands , followed by an immediate reclaim — reinforcing bullish control. Both Kijun and Tenkan are now flattening and beginning to slope upward, indicating a gradual shift back toward trend continuation .
The broader Ichimoku structure remains firmly bullish:
Price is trading above Kumo, Kijun, and Tenkan
Chikou span is free
A bullish Kumo twist is developing
Future Kumo is starting to slope upward
As long as price respects the reclaimed Kijun equilibrium (7792) on a 2D closing basis,
the structure favors continuation toward higher reference levels: 9536 → 9972 → 10408
Ather Energy - Flag Breakout A massive growth in the Business topline almost 50% in Dec 2025 quarter, along with growth in sales there is also a margin growth.
Flag Pattern Breakout in Radar, 790 is the breakout point.
Volumes have been increasing.
MACD has given a bullish cross over as well
Stock looks ready for 1200 levels soon!!
USOIL Latest Trading Strategy⛽ Fundamentals:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East remain unresolved, but oil prices have dropped sharply from highs as the market digests safe-haven premiums. Expectations of IEA stockpile releases and weak demand add downward pressure, with a short-term bearish bias in range-bound trading.
📉 Technical:
Oil prices have broken downwards, with short-term bearish dominance and obvious pressure on rebounds.
Resistance: 97.0–97.5
Support: 93.0–93.5
Downward momentum remains intact.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
Light short positions on a rebound to 96.5–97.0
SL: 97.8
TP: 94.0
Extended target: 93.5 if support breaks.
💡 The previous signal has achieved profitability. Follow me for more consistent trading strategies.
My View on Natural Gas Futureshello,
Based on my Daily chart analysis, there is a high probability that Natural Gas futures may rise toward $4.5. Key factors supporting this outlook include price action, recent support levels, and potential bullish momentum developing in the short-term timeframe.
Ibrouri Abdessamad
US Oil – 15 Min ChartUS Oil has reached the top and is now unfolding a clear 5-wave decline. The 4th corrective wave has just completed, and price action suggests we are entering the final 5th wave down.
- Wave 1: Initial sharp drop from the top
- Wave 2: Brief corrective rebound
- Wave 3: Strong continuation lower
- Wave 4: Consolidation phase, now finished
- Wave 5: Expected final push downward
📉 Bias: Short-term bearish
🎯 Next step: Watching for completion of Wave 5 to assess reversal or continuation setups.
USOIL Latest Trading Strategy⛽ Fundamentals:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East persist, supporting oil prices on supply concerns. However, prices have risen excessively in the short term; IEA oil reserves release adds downward pressure, increasing the risk of a pullback from high levels with extreme volatility.
📉 Technical:
Price is approaching the strong psychological resistance at 100. Indicators are in overbought territory, suggesting a pullback.
Resistance: 99.8–100.5
Support 1: 95
Support 2: 90
🎯 Trading Strategy:Light short positions on rebound to 100–100.5
SL: 101
TP: 95
Extended target: 90 if support breaks
💡 The previous signal has achieved profitability. Follow me for more consistent trading strategies.
Brent Post-Hormuz Spike: Near-Term Bullish, Medium-Term BearishOn March 7, the Strait of Hormuz closure sent Brent from ~$80 to $120 in 48hrs. Price has since retraced to the $97–100 zone. The strait is still closed — the market is underpricing near-term risk.
Bull case: Break above $100 → $106 → $112. Goldman sees $147 if flows stay depressed.
Bear case: Rejection here → $90 MA → $75. JPMorgan targets $60 by H2 2026.
Key levels:
ACTIVTRADES:BRENT
Resistance: $106.42
Current battle: $99–100
Support: $97.15 / $90.31 (long MA) / $75.55
Verdict: Near-term BULLISH toward $106–112. Medium-term BEARISH once strait reopens.
Not financial advice.
Usoil🛢 WTI CRUDE OIL – TRADE UPDATE
The bullish move played out exactly as anticipated from the accumulation zone.
Price respected the demand area around $80.27 and launched into a strong impulsive rally, reaching a high near $95+, delivering a significant move from the entry zone.
This confirms that the higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact, and the market reacted perfectly from the institutional support level.
At the moment, the market is going through a healthy pullback / consolidation phase after the strong rally.
Current Market Structure
• Major resistance: $98.86
• Current consolidation zone: $91 – $93
• Key structural support: $85.44
• Major demand zone: $80.27
What To Expect Next
As long as price holds above the $85 region, the bullish structure remains valid.
A successful hold above support could trigger the next leg higher toward $98 – $100.
However, if the market breaks below $85, we could see a deeper correction toward the $80 demand zone before continuation.
Trading Plan
• Look for buy opportunities on pullbacks
• Maintain proper risk management
• Partial profits should always be secured during strong impulsive moves
⚠️ The market has already delivered a strong rally, so patience during pullbacks is key before the next expansion.
Technical & Geopolitical Assessment Nifty 50Technical & Geopolitical Assessment of Potential Reversal :-
The Nifty 50 is currently navigating a period of high volatility driven by the escalating Iran–US–Israel conflict and a subsequent oil shock (Brent crude peaking near $120). From its January peak of 26,373, the index has entered a correction phase, currently trading near the 23,800–24,000 zone. Technical indicators and historical precedents suggest that while the primary trend is bearish, the index is approaching a "Value Zone" where a major reversal could materialize.
2. Historical Context: Geopolitical Draw downs Historical data from ICICI Securities reinforces that geopolitical shocks often result in a maximum "panic drawdown" of approximately 18%.
Event Max Correction (%) Impact Duration 9/11 Attacks~18% Sharp,
short-term Russia-Ukraine War~10-12% Sustained volatility
Current Conflict (2026)~9.5% (to date) Ongoing Prediction Alignment:
An 18% correction from the 26,373 peak equates to 21,625. This aligns remarkably well with your identified support zone of 22,000.
3. Technical Analysis & Elliott Wave Structure The technical chart indicates a structural "Flat Correction" on the monthly timeframe, further validated by a Monthly Evening Star pattern with bearish divergence.
Elliott Wave Perspective: * Wave 2 (Relief Rally) concluded during the post-Budget bounce Wave 3 (Impulsive Downward) is currently active.
Fibonacci Targets: Wave 3 typically extends to 1.618% of Wave 1. Based on current volatility, targets are clustered at 23,500 (immediate) and 22,000–22,750 (extended).
Support Breach: The decisive break below 24,300 has shifted the psychological floor to the 23,800 mark. A failure to hold 23,800 on a weekly closing basis opens the "Trap Door" to the 22,000 level.
4. Reversal Level Prediction :-Based on the confluence of technical and fundamental data, we identify two primary zones for a potential reversal:
Zone A: The "Supportive" Reversal (23,500 – 23,700)
Rationale: This represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2025-2026 up move. Probability: High for a short-term "relief bounce.
"Zone B: The "Historical Bottom" (21,800 – 22,200)
Rationale: Represents the 16-18% historical max drawdown and the end of the 5-wave Elliott structure. Probability: High for a long-term structural bottom if geopolitical tensions escalate further.
BRENT CRUDE OIL – WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS1️⃣ Trend Structure (Big Picture)
From 2022 high (~131) crude entered a long correction phase.
Price kept making lower highs and lower lows until early 2026.
Recently price bounced strongly from the major demand zone near 58–60.
Now price has broken the falling trend structure and moving averages.
📈 This indicates a trend reversal attempt.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels (from your chart)
Level Importance
131.26 Major historical resistance
122.80 Supply zone
113.66 Strong resistance
95.37 Immediate breakout resistance
81.79 Key support / breakout zone
58.48 Major demand zone
🎯 Setup 1 — Momentum Breakout Buy
If price breaks and sustains above:
96
Buy above:
96 – 98
Stop Loss:
87
Targets:
113,122,131
OIL RISES OVER $110 THEN FALLS – WHAT ABOUT GOLD?Market Context
After the sharp drop earlier this week, gold is now consolidating in a sideways range around 5150 – 5160, with buying interest appearing again near 5060. The short-term trend remains unclear, so the main strategy for now is range trading while observing price reactions at key levels.
During consolidation phases, the market often produces liquidity sweeps with long wicks, so it’s important to avoid chasing price and manage risk carefully.
In addition, this week’s CPI data could trigger strong volatility and help the market determine its next directional move.
Trading Plan
Resistance
5185 – 5195 – 5200 – 5210 – 5260 – 5280
→ Look for SELL opportunities if price retraces into resistance and shows signs of weakness.
Support
5120 – 5092 – 5080 – 5060 – 5020 – 5000 – 4960 – 4930
→ Short-term BUY scalps (5–7 points) can be considered if price reacts positively at nearby support zones.
Key Trading Ideas
The market is currently consolidating in a sideways range, so the focus is on trading the range boundaries.
The 5120 – 5092 area may offer quick BUY scalp opportunities.
Trade the breakout direction:
• Break above 5210 → potential upside expansion toward 5260 – 5280
• Break below 5020 – 5000 → potential downside continuation toward 4960 – 4930
⚠️ Be cautious of liquidity sweeps ahead of the CPI release.
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I share daily XAUUSD trading plans, key support & resistance levels, and intraday scenarios to help traders prepare before each session.
📈 Follow to stay updated with market insights and trade plans for gold.
Wishing everyone safe trading, strong discipline, proper risk management, and plenty of pips! 💰
First Commodity Trade in Natural Gas. Hey Folks,
I am looking at Natural Gas Future on MCX, with ongoing war affairs the demand of Crude and Natural gas has began increasing and today crude and Natural gas is filling with aggressive buyers.
several news coming in, are also indicating the price of these two commodities to see a good upward move if the war situations doesn't ease off.
With current state of US stand towards Iran ,and IRAN retaliation it is highly likely that over the weekend the war could escalate and we could see a major shift of these two commodities. and as Crude has already rushed by buyers today at a good scale, i am Looking Natural gas to be the next attraction for the buyers and sitting on Natural Gas position in options.
Natural Gas fut 24Mar 320 CE.
Technical Overview - The underlying has made a huge green candle with absolute dominating Volume on Daily frame, and if closes above the 20EMA - it will give more weightage to my analysis.
:) Thanks, Happy Trading.






















