USOIL H4 | Bullish reversal setup formingUSOIL is reacting off the buy entry which is a swing low support and could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 61.66, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 60.88, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonaci extension.
Take profit is at 63.43, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Energy Commodities
BRIEFING Week #36 : Oil Prices Diverge from RealityHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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USOIL: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USOIL pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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USOIL (WTI) Gann & Harmonic Pattern Points to Major Move!🛢️ 🛢️ USOIL (WTI CRUDE) Points to Major Move! ⚡ 📊
💹 Comprehensive Price Action Strategy | September 2025 Edition 🎯
📈 MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asset: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE/WTI CASH)
Current Closing Price: $64.413
Date: September 6, 2025
Market Status: 🔴 Critical Support Zone Testing
🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading at $64.413, positioned at a crucial technical juncture. Our multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bearish-to-neutral bias with potential for a significant reversal if key support levels hold. The convergence of multiple technical indicators suggests heightened volatility ahead, presenting both risk and opportunity for astute traders.
📊 COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern Analysis
The recent price action has formed a Bullish Hammer pattern at the $64.00 psychological support level, suggesting potential exhaustion of selling pressure. This formation, combined with increasing volume, indicates possible accumulation phase initiation.
Key Patterns Identified:
- ✅ Bullish Hammer at support
- ⚠️ Evening Star formation on 4H chart
- 📍 Doji cluster indicating indecision
🌊 Elliott Wave Analysis
Current wave count suggests we're completing Wave 5 of a larger corrective structure:
Primary Count: Completing Wave C of ABC correction
Alternative Count: Wave 4 consolidation before final Wave 5 push
Target Zones:
- Bullish: $72.50-$74.00 (Wave 5 extension)
- Bearish: $58.00-$60.00 (Wave C completion)
📐 Harmonic Patterns
A Bullish Bat Pattern is forming on the daily timeframe:
- X: $78.45 (Recent High)
- A: $61.20 (Recent Low)
- B: $71.85 (0.618 Retracement)
- C: $64.41 (Current Price)
- D: $59.80-$60.50 (Projected - 0.886 XA)
Trading Implication: Watch for reversal signals near $60.00 for high-probability long entries.
🔄 Wyckoff Analysis
Current market structure suggests:
Phase: Potential Spring Test within Trading Range
Volume Analysis: Declining volume on recent decline = Lack of selling pressure
Smart Money Behavior: Accumulation signals emerging
Projected Move: Re-accumulation before markup phase
📊 W.D. Gann Analysis
Gann Square of 9 Calculations:
- Current Price: $64.413 sits on 225° angle
- Next Resistance: $68.00 (270° angle)
- Critical Support: $61.00 (180° angle)
Gann Time Cycles:
- September 15, 2025: Major time pivot ⏰
- September 22, 2025: Secondary cycle completion
Gann Fan Analysis:
- Price respecting 2x1 angle from July low
- Break above 1x1 angle at $66.50 signals trend change
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
Current Position: Price below cloud - Bearish bias
Tenkan-sen: $65.80 (Immediate resistance)
Kijun-sen: $67.25 (Major resistance)
Cloud Support: $62.00-$63.50
Chikou Span: Bearish, below price 26 periods ago
📉 KEY TECHNICAL INDICATORS
📊 RSI (14-Period)
Current Reading: 42.5
Status: Approaching oversold territory
Divergence: Bullish divergence forming on 4H chart
Signal: Potential reversal zone approaching
📈 Bollinger Bands
Upper Band: $68.20
Middle Band (20 SMA): $65.85
Lower Band: $63.50
Current Position: Testing lower band
Volatility: Bands contracting - Breakout imminent
💹 VWAP Analysis
Daily VWAP: $64.85
Weekly Anchored VWAP: $66.20
Monthly VWAP: $67.50
Volume Profile POC: $65.00 (High volume node)
📊 Moving Averages Confluence
20 EMA: $65.85 ⬇️
50 SMA: $67.20 ⬇️
100 EMA: $69.50 ⬇️
200 SMA: $71.00 ⬇️
Status: Death cross on daily (50/200) - Bearish medium-term
🎯 TRADING STRATEGY
⚡ INTRADAY TRADING (5M-1H)
LONG SETUP 🟢
Entry Zone: $63.80-$64.20
Stop Loss: $63.40 (-1%)
Target 1: $64.80 (+1.5%)
Target 2: $65.40 (+2.5%)
Target 3: $66.00 (+3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
SHORT SETUP 🔴
Entry Zone: $65.60-$65.90
Stop Loss: $66.30 (-1%)
Target 1: $65.00 (-1.5%)
Target 2: $64.40 (-2.5%)
Target 3: $63.80 (-3.5%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
📈 SWING TRADING (4H-DAILY)
BULLISH SCENARIO 🚀
Entry: $64.00-$64.50 (Current levels)
Stop Loss: $61.50 (-4%)
Target 1: $68.00 (+5.5%)
Target 2: $72.00 (+11.8%)
Target 3: $75.50 (+17.2%)
Position Size: 2% portfolio risk
BEARISH SCENARIO 📉
Entry: $65.80-$66.20 (Resistance retest)
Stop Loss: $67.50 (+2%)
Target 1: $62.00 (-6%)
Target 2: $59.50 (-10%)
Target 3: $57.00 (-14%)
Position Size: 1.5% portfolio risk
🗓️ WEEKLY FORECAST
Monday-Tuesday (Sept 9-10) 📅
- Expected Range: $63.50-$65.80
- Bias: Neutral with bullish undertone
- Key Level: Watch $64.00 support hold
Wednesday-Thursday (Sept 11-12) 📅
- Expected Range: $64.00-$67.00
- Bias: Potential breakout day
- Catalyst: EIA Inventory Data
Friday (Sept 13) 📅
- Expected Range: $65.00-$68.50
- Bias: Trend continuation
- Note: Options expiry volatility
🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
Geopolitical Factors 🌐
- ⚠️ Middle East tensions supporting price floor
- 🇨🇳 China demand concerns capping upside
- 🇺🇸 SPR refill discussions providing support
Supply/Demand Dynamics ⚖️
- OPEC+ production cuts extended
- US shale production moderating
- Global inventory draws accelerating
Economic Indicators 📊
- Dollar Index weakening (Bullish for Oil)
- Global growth concerns (Bearish pressure)
- Inflation expectations rising (Supportive)
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Position Sizing Guidelines 💰
Intraday: Max 1-2% account risk per trade
Swing: Max 3-5% account risk per position
Correlation Risk: Monitor energy sector exposure
Stop Loss Strategies 🛡️
1. ATR-Based: 1.5x ATR from entry
2. Structure-Based: Below/above key S/R levels
3. Time-Based: Exit if no movement in 2-3 candles
Risk Factors ⚠️
- 🔴 Break below $61.50 invalidates bullish thesis
- 🔴 Unexpected OPEC+ policy changes
- 🔴 Rapid Dollar strengthening
- 🟢 Surprise inventory draws
- 🟢 Geopolitical escalation
🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
SUPPORT LEVELS 🟢
S1: $63.50 (Immediate)
S2: $61.50 (Critical)
S3: $59.00 (Major)
S4: $57.00 (Yearly Low)
RESISTANCE LEVELS 🔴
R1: $65.80 (Immediate)
R2: $67.25 (Daily 50MA)
R3: $69.50 (Daily 100MA)
R4: $72.00 (Major)
💡 PRO TRADING TIPS
1. 🎯 Best Entry Times: London/NY overlap (8-11 AM EST)
2. 📊 Volume Confirmation: Look for >20% above average
3. 🔄 Correlation Trades: Monitor USD/CAD inverse relationship
4. ⏰ Avoid Trading: 30 mins before/after EIA releases
5. 📈 Scale Strategy: Add to winners, not losers
🔮 MONTH-END PRICE TARGETS
September 2025 Projections:
Bullish Target: $72.00-$74.00 🎯
Base Case: $66.00-$68.00 📊
Bearish Target: $58.00-$60.00 📉
Probability Assessment:
- Bullish Scenario: 35% 📈
- Base Case: 45% ➡️
- Bearish Scenario: 20% 📉
📌 CONCLUSION & ACTION PLAN
USOIL presents a compelling risk/reward opportunity at current levels. The confluence of technical support at $64.00, combined with oversold conditions and potential harmonic pattern completion, suggests a tactical long position with tight risk management is warranted.
Recommended Strategy:
1. Primary: Accumulate long positions $63.50-$64.50
2. Alternative: Wait for breakout above $66.00 for momentum trades
3. Hedge: Consider put options if below $61.50
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
🏷️ *Last Updated: September 6, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4*
🔔 Follow for daily updates and real-time trading signals!
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
CRUDE OIL Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling
In a downtrend which seems
To indicate that the market
Has its doubts about the
Economy, however, a strong
Horizontal support is ahead
Around 60.00$ and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NATGAS – Wave 3 Impulse Confirmed. Multi-Year Rally Started!Our roadmap has played out with precision.
Wave 2 correction is complete, price tapped the buy zone, and the entry is now active.
We’re in the early stages of Wave 3 - historically the strongest and longest Elliott Wave.
🎯 Targets remain:
TP1: 5
TP2: 10
TP3: 13
The impulse has begun - now it’s about riding the wave.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan.
USOIL Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 61.96 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 63.08
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 61.933 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 61.941.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 58.529 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Oil Shorting Opportunity | Technical + Macro Confirm📌 WTI CRUDE OIL | Money-Making Thief Plan 🛢️ (Swing/Day Trade)
🗡️ Thief Strategy Plan (Bearish Bias)
Plan: Bearish setup confirmed — sellers in control after MA rejection of bulls 📉
Entry (Layered Style):
63.000 🔪
62.500 🔪
62.000 🔪
61.500 🔪
(You may increase or adjust layers based on your own plan)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): @64.000 ❌
⚠️ Adjust SL according to your risk & strategy
Target (Thief TP): Key resistance zone + overbought trap @4.6700 🎯
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I don’t recommend locking only my TP. Take your profits wisely & manage risk responsibly. 💰
❓ Why This Plan?
Moving average rejection confirms sellers’ dominance ⚔️
Technical indicators showing strong sell bias 📉
Layered entry strategy helps in catching moves efficiently 🎯
Oversupply risk + weak demand = bearish fuel 🔥
Retail & institutions both leaning short-side heavy 🐻
🔍 Market Analysis (Technical + Fundamental + Macro + Sentiment)
📊 Real-Time Price Action - Sep 05
Daily Change: -1.03%
Monthly Change: -2.84%
Yearly Change: -8.44%
😊 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders: 35% 🐂 | 55% 🐻 | 10% 😐
Institutional Traders: 30% 🐂 | 60% 🐻 | 10% 😐
🌡️ Fear & Greed Index
Current: 25/100 — Fear 😟
Mood: Cautious, driven by oversupply fears + weak demand
⚒️ Fundamental Score: 40/100 (Bearish)
U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly +2.42M vs. -2.19M expected 📈
OPEC+ considering production increase 🌍
Weak China demand signals 📉
🌐 Macro Score: 35/100 (Bearish)
Fed rate cut expectations (25bp likely in September) 💸
Global slowdown fears 🌎 (Europe + Asia weak data)
Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) limited impact 🚨
🏁 Overall Market Outlook: Bearish (Short Bias) 🐻
Declining prices + rising inventories + OPEC+ supply hike risk
Technicals = Strong Sell (daily/weekly)
Sentiment favors sellers across the board
🔮 Key Takeaway
WTI/USOIL remains heavy under supply pressure + demand weakness.
Market sentiment is fearful, with both retail & institutions leaning short.
⚡ Keep eyes on U.S. jobs data + OPEC+ decisions for any trend shifts.
📌RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
BRENT CRUDE ( TVC:UKOIL ): $66.42 (-1.8% daily)
NATURAL GAS ( FX:NGAS ): $2.84 (-0.7% daily)
ENERGY ETFS: XLE, USO, UCO
OANDA:CADJPY : Oil-correlated currency pair
ENERGY STOCKS: NYSE:XOM , NYSE:CVX , NYSE:COP , NYSE:SLB
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #ThiefTrader #EnergyMarkets #Commodities #OPEC #SwingTrade #DayTrade #OilAnalysis
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week highU.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week high as storage builds match forecasts
U.S. natural gas stayed near a four-week high Thursday after EIA data showed inventories rose by 55 Bcf to 3,272 Bcf for the week ending Aug. 29, in line with expectations. Stocks remain 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply despite record LNG exports and strong demand.
Higher production, with dry gas output at 107.1 Bcf/day, continues to pressure prices, while weather forecasts calling for warmer temperatures in mid-September may support short-term demand. LNG flows hit 15 Bcf/day, near record highs, as U.S. exports remain strong amid European and Asian demand.
USOIL Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 63.116.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 65.546 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
RIOT Wave 3 Begun?NASDAQ:RIOT appears to be in wave III with wave II bottoming at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and daily 200EMA.
The first target is the HVN resistance and R3 pivot at $18.67 but if the count is correct we should extend above that. RSI is sitting comfortably with room to grow.
Analysis is invalidated below wave II, $10.50.
Safe trading
$MARA One More Push Lower to the Golden Pocket?NASDAQ:MARA was rejected hard on the 6th test of the daily 200EMA! The probability of a breakthrough is huge but it just cant overcome supply as people want out of this underperforming Bitcoin Miner! Just the recipe we need for explosive upside, capitulation.
The S2 pivot and Fibonacci golden pocket should see strong support and potential bottoming of wave II, $13.20
Daily RSI is working its way into oversold which will line up nicely for a high probability trade set up I will share in my trading signals substack.
Safe trading
IREN Bear Divergence on the Daily, Deeper Pullback Ahead?NASDAQ:IREN appears to be pulling back locally in wave 4, filling the gap, with eyes on testing the daily pivot as support before continuing higher.
Price is significantly away from mean and catching continued momentum but this will fade as more people take profit.
Bearish divergence persists in the daily RSI and has been confirmed with the close below the signal line. If these signals fail it shows the strength of the momentum trend.
Continued upside target is playing the pivots to $40 and initial downside taregt is the previous all time high at $18.50
Safe trading
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 63.13
Target Level: 65.08
Stop Loss: 61.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTDR Still in a triangle, Wave c of (C) downNASDAQ:BTDR Bitdeer was rejected harshly on the 4th test of the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance, each test weakening the Node and adding probability to a breakout.
Wave c of an ABC within a triangle wave (C) appears to be underway with price closing below both the daily pivot and 200EMA. RSI has slight bullish divergence.
Until we get a break below wave (A) or a above wave (B) the analysis is good. Will readjust and update if anything changes. A breakdown below the triangle has a wave 2 target of the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement and HVN support at $9.63 and may offer a great buying opportunity.
Breakout target is the R5 daily pivot at $21.84
Safe trading
USOIL H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has reacted off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 63.41, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 64.78, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 61.60, which is a swing low support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.