#CnxEnergy | Cup & Handle Breakout Alert!📊 CMP: 36,445
🎯 Pattern Targets: 39,050 (+8%) / 44,300+ (+22%) from neckline
🛡 Support: 35,746 / 34,830–34,775
🚧 Resistance: 36,543–36,939 / 37,843–38,137 / 45,022 (ATH)
❌ Invalidation: Below 33,481 (WCB)
This classic Cup & Handle pattern hints at strong potential upside if key resistance levels are broken.
👀 Keep a close eye on neckline breakout & support levels for retest.
#Energy #NiftyEnergy #CupnHandle #ChartPattern #IndexAnalysis
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Energysector
SARDAEN: Triangle Breakout, Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:SARDAEN Triangle Breakout Could Signal the Next Big Move in it, let's analyze in "Chart of the Week" Post Strong Q1 FY26 Results
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis:
• Stock has exhibited a strong uptrend from 2022 lows around ₹120-140 to current levels of ₹534.95
• Major rally phase from mid-2023 onwards, gaining over 300% in approximately 18 months
• Current consolidation phase since late 2024, around ₹400-600 range, indicates institutional accumulation
• Recent price action shows formation of higher lows with resistance being tested multiple times
Volume Spread Analysis:
• Volume spikes during major breakout moves confirm institutional participation
• Recent consolidation accompanied by relatively lower volumes, typical of the accumulation phase
• Volume breakout above 7.11M suggests renewed interest at current levels
• Volume pattern supports the bullish bias with buying interest on dips
Key Technical Levels:
Base Formation:
• Primary base established between ₹400-₹430 levels during 2024 consolidation
• Secondary base forming at ₹480-₹500 range as recent support
• Base width of approximately 8-10 months indicates a strong foundation for the next leg up
Support Levels:
• Immediate Support: ₹480-₹500 (recent swing lows and 50-day moving average area)
• Strong Support: ₹420-₹440 (previous resistance turned support)
• Major Support: ₹380-₹400 (long-term trend line support and 200-day moving average)
Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: ₹560-₹580 (recent highs and psychological level)
• Major Resistance: ₹600-₹620 (all-time high zone and round number resistance)
• Extended Resistance: ₹680-₹720 (measured move projection from triangle pattern)
Technical Pattern Recognition
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
• Clear triangle formation visible from the chart with converging trend lines
• Triangle spans approximately 8-10 months, indicating a significant pattern
• Breakout direction typically follows the prevailing trend (bullish in this case)
Trend Line Analysis:
• Primary uptrend line intact from 2022 lows, providing dynamic support
• Resistance trend line from 2024 highs is being challenged multiple times
• Converging trend lines creating the triangle pattern setup
Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop:
Company Fundamentals:
• Market Cap: ₹18,852 crore (up 88.40% in 1 year)
• Revenue: ₹5,350 crore with profit of ₹941 crore (TTM)
• Business Model: Manufacture of sponge iron, ferro alloys, billet, wire-rod, and iron ore pellet through Steel, Ferro, and Power segments
• Promoter Holding: 73.16% indicating strong management confidence
• Dividend Policy: Low payout at 7.69% of profits over the last 3 years, suggesting reinvestment focus
Sectoral Outlook:
• Steel Industry: India is the world's largest steel producer with strong domestic demand
• Ferro Alloys Market: Global market projected to grow from $156.37 billion in 2024 to $204.2 billion by 2032 at 5.60% CAGR
• Indian Ferrosilicon: Market valued at $347.7 million in 2022, estimated to grow at 5.0% CAGR through 2030
• Infrastructure Push: Union Budget 2025-26 increased capital investment outlay for infrastructure by 11.1% to ₹11.2 lakh crore
Growth Lever:
• Integrated business model across the steel value chain provides operational synergies
• Strong promoter holding indicates alignment with minority shareholders
• Beneficiary of India's infrastructure development and steel demand growth
• Consolidation phase completion, suggesting readiness for the next growth phase
Key Risk Factors:
• Commodity price volatility affecting margins
• Working capital days increased from 78.1 days to 119 days, indicating efficiency concerns
• Current valuation appears overvalued by 52% compared to intrinsic value
• Global steel demand fluctuations and trade policy changes
Market Catalysts:
• Government infrastructure spending and PLI schemes
• 2025 outlook suggests potential upturn in steel producer activity with lower input costs and shifting trade policies
• Iron ore production increased by 5.5% to 135 MMT in FY 2024-25, supporting raw material availability
• Ferro Alloys industry poised to reach $188.7 billion by 2025, driven by a robust economy
Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Ola electric: extreme down trend and debtOla electric- the stock has been in a long down trend and made it's all time low around 39.60.
Company fundamentals are widely changed post IPO, service concerns and the management is in questionable position. Debt is also concern.
Stock once hit it all time high if 157.4.
I suggest to exit and stay away if the levels break down the line 38.70 Completely exit and stay away
Supreme Power Equipment: Technically Strong, Chart of the MonthNSE:SUPREMEPWR Technically Strong Momentum is my pick in this month's "Chart of the Month"
Price Action Analsis:
- Stock currently trading at ₹227.50, up 21.35 (+10.36%), showing strong bullish momentum
- Recent breakout from a prolonged Correction phase that lasted from July 2024 to May 2025
- Price has successfully cleared multiple resistance levels and is now approaching previous highs
- Strong recovery from the March 2025 lows around ₹95-100 levels
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Current volume at 324.68K shares, significantly higher than the 20-day average
- Volume spike during the recent breakout confirms institutional participation
- Volume pattern shows accumulation during the consolidation phase
- Strong volume support during the current upward move validates the breakout
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Immediate support: ₹210-215 (recent breakout level)
- Secondary support: ₹190-195 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major support: ₹160-170 (consolidation zone)
- Critical support: ₹120-130 (long-term moving average zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance: ₹240-250 (previous high zone)
- Major resistance: ₹280-290 (historical resistance)
- Ultimate target: ₹350-370 (measured move from base)
Base Formation:
- Clear accumulation base formed between ₹120-250 from July 2024 to May 2025
- Base depth of approximately 130 points provides a strong foundation
- Base duration of 10+ months indicates strong institutional accumulation
- Recent breakout from this base suggests potential for significant upward move
Technical Patterns:
- The cup and Handle pattern formation is visible on the monthly timeframe
- The ascending triangle breakout pattern recently completed
- Moving average convergence suggesting trend reversal
- RSI is likely showing bullish divergence from the March lows
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary entry: ₹225-230 on any pullback to the breakout level
- Aggressive entry: Current market price ₹227.50 for momentum traders
- Conservative entry: Wait for retest of ₹210-215 support zone
- Scale-in approach: 50% at current levels, 50% on any dip to ₹215
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹280 (24% upside) - Previous resistance zone
- Target 2: ₹320 (41% upside) - Measured move target
- Target 3: ₹370 (63% upside) - Ultimate breakout target
- Trailing stop: Use a 10% trailing stop once Target 1 is achieved
Stop-Loss:
- Initial stop-loss: ₹195 (14% downside risk)
- Breakeven stop: Move to ₹230 once price reaches ₹260
- Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing high
Position Sizing:
- Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate risk tolerance: 3-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive traders: 5-7% of portfolio (with tight stops)
- Maximum exposure: Not more than 7% given single stock concentration risk
Risk Management:
- Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 minimum for all positions
- Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on this single trade
- Use position sizing calculators to determine the exact share quantity
- Consider partial profit booking at each target level
- Monitor sector rotation and overall market conditions
Sectoral Backdrop:
Power Equipment Sector Overview:
- India's power sector is undergoing a massive transformation with a renewable energy push
- The government's target of 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030 is driving equipment demand
- Infrastructure spending and rural electrification programs supporting sector growth
- PLI scheme for manufacturing provides additional tailwinds
Sector Challenges:
- Raw material cost inflation is impacting margins
- Supply chain disruptions affecting delivery timelines
- Intense competition from Chinese manufacturers
- Regulatory changes and policy uncertainties
Sector Opportunities:
- Make in India initiative favours domestic manufacturers
- Rising power demand from industrial and commercial sectors
- Smart grid implementation creating new revenue streams
- Export opportunities in emerging markets
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
- Established player in power transmission and distribution equipment
- Strong order book providing revenue visibility
- Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk
- Experienced management team with industry expertise
Financial Health:
- Need to verify recent quarterly results for revenue and profit trends
- Debt levels and interest coverage ratios require monitoring
- Cash flow generation capability is important for sustained growth
- Return on equity and asset turnover metrics need evaluation
Growth Catalysts:
- Government infrastructure spending on the power sector
- Rural electrification and grid modernization projects
- Renewable energy integration requires specialized equipment
- Potential for export market expansion
Risk Factors:
- Dependence on government orders and policy changes
- Working capital-intensive business model
- Competition from larger players and imports
- Raw material price volatility affecting margins
My Take:
NSE:SUPREMEPWR exhibits a strong technical setup, characterised by a clear breakout from a well-formed base. The combination of volume confirmation, sector tailwinds, and government policy support creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. However, traders should maintain disciplined risk management and avoid overexposure to this single position.
Honourable Mentions:
Other stocks that have a good Setup
NSE:KIRLOSBROS , NSE:CGCL , NSE:SUNDRMFAST
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Sector AnalysisHello & welcome to this analysis
In this video I have covered
Nifty Next 50
Nifty Small Cap Index
Nifty Mid Select Index
Nifty Energy Index
Bank Nifty
Nifty Metal Index
All analysis are based on the multi time frame study of Ichimoku and Harmonic Trading Patterns
Hope it helps you in identifying trend direction with support and resistance for the coming days and weeks
Best Regards
JSWENERGYReasons to consider going long on JSWENERGY
1. Bullish Reversal Patterns:
• The green candle on horizontal support could signify a potential reversal.
2. 200-Day Moving Average as Support:
• The 200-day moving average is a key long-term support level. A bounce from this level often attracts institutional interest and signals strength in the stock.
3. Relative Strength vs. Nifty:
• Positive relative strength suggests that JSWENERGY is outperforming the broader market, making it a strong candidate for an uptrend continuation.
4. Sector Support:
• Nifty Energy index taking support on its horizontal support increases the likelihood of a sector-wide bounce, which could positively impact JSWENERGY.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
1. Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, signaling the beginning of bullish momentum. This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
2. Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
IEX Indian Energy Exchange Analysis !!📈 IEX ( Indian Energy Exchange ) 📉
Today broke out from a downtrending Trendline Zone on closing basis.
On Buy Side I am looking for Targets of 238, 266 followed by 295.
StopLoss should be kept at close below 216.
It offers 1:5 Risk To Reward.
All Important Supports and Resistances are drawn in chart. All levels are on closing basis.
Please have a look and revert back if you need some more study on it.
Disclaimer : Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Taking Any Decision On This Analysis.
Technical ANalysis of XLEDisclaimer: I don't own shares of XLE . This analysis is not a trading or investing recommendation & is only for educational purpose.
1. XLE has been going up slowly & steadily since Mar’20 after putting a bullish 1-2-3 pattern marked by the successful break of point#2 of the pattern.
2.In Jan 2022 price crossed a major downtrend resistance line (dotted line) that has been valid since July 2014.
3.Price then re-tested the resistance converted support in the week of 18-Jan-22 & failed to break the newly created support favoring the bulls.
4.Price then started moving higher on the back of massive volume & has been creating a higher high-higher low structure on the daily & weekly charts staying above 200 MA & 20 MA demonstrating a strong uptrend.
5. On the daily chart , price has been consolidating for the last couple of days above the 20 DMA & based on the strong uptrend currently in place, could take out the current consolidation resistance to move higher.
6. Price also seems to be following a channel giving an insight into potential channel support & resistance levels.
With January 2022 seeing massive bullish volume , price staying above the 20 & 200 period moving averages on the daily & weekly charts & on balance volume having broken its previous resistance on the daily chart from Nov’21, the energy sector XLE has all the right ingredients to go higher in the weeks to come, to the next resistance levels of $80 followed by $84 & $91.
All the best!
CNXENERGY BREAKOUT-energy stock bullishThe energy sector of our market seems to have given a breakout, it has been in a consolidation for a while now and has shown a healthy correction of 50% according to fib retracement.
The pattern it formed was an ideal flag and pole pattern which is a pattern that gives a good momentum when its broken and gives a rally of equal to it's last rally.
The RSI stands at 58 and is indicating bullishness.
MACD is above the signal line.
I believe it's a good opportunity to go long on energy stocks
Below I have posted some charts of the energy sector stocks, do have a look at them, these charts are not provided to take trades on them but just to get a better understanding of cnxenergy.
Tatapower:
Jswenergy:
Powergrid:
Adanigreen:
swing trade setupLOGIC,LEVEL AND TARGET WELL MENTIONED IN THE CHART
NOTE -The above interpretation from the chart is my personal view and doesn't guarantee any success.
(Do talk to your financial advisor before making any investment decisions)
please like, share and comment if you have any suggestion regarding this analysis.
Trendline TradingWhat is the Trendline Theory?
A trendline helps technical analysts determine the current direction in market prices. ... If the analyst draws a line between all three price points, they have an upward trend. The trendline drawn has a positive slope and is therefore telling the analyst to buy in the direction of the trend.
Lets us understand how Trendline Theory works with the chart given below-
So as per the above theory-
The levels mentioned in the chart (powergrid) is considered to be the right entry point to take long position in the stock, also i have tried to identify the reversal point in macd and Rsi indicator in further support of the trade setup.
Do like and comment if you have any suggestion
...thanks
hindustan petrolium head and shoulderWe have seen inverse head & shoulder pattern on daily chart of Hind petro share. A very high probability setup to take long entry. Buying range are given in the graph. RSI above 60 forming +ve divergences. Good risk to reward trade. This is for your educational purpose only.
Tatapower | Descending Triangle Break | Volume surge 🎯⭕ Investment Trading opportunity ! Monthly Chart Alert !!! ⭕
--Buy Above =78.35 or CMP
--Target = 96.60 | 116.80
--Stop-loss = 65.70
--Lot Size = 13,500
--R:R = 3.04
--Expected Profit = 5 lakh + ₹ per lot ( 49% )
--Expected Holding = around 1 year only
#ThankU For Checking Out Our Content , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
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⭕ Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :- ⭕
1) tatapower is the 2nd leading company after powergrid & has given a breakout with volume
2) Descending Triangle Breakout ,50 ema breakout , resistance breakout , Long term trendline breakout
3) fundamental is too good , checked everything correctly
4) Do your research as well & support & resistance is mentioned on the chart
Guys check out the related ideas as well, it will work really well GUARANTEED !
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👍LIKE if think is useful !
✍COMMENT Below your view !
ONGC to trade sidewaysHi Traders!
Hope you are doing well in markets. My trading strategies might help you to increase returns on investments. My strategy prioritizes safety over exponential profits.
This stock being low in value will give profit or loss on high volume trading. So those who pay high brokerages should either trade in higher volumes to cover brokerages out of their profits. Calculate your cost of trades to find out the break even below placing orders. There are a few scenarios and place your order according to the scenario that you observe in market tomorrow.
Current close: 82.40,
---------------------------------------------------------------------Intraday Traders--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario 1:- Market opens between 81.70 and 82.40.
Strategy: Trade only after first 5 minutes.
Short Selling If price breaches 81.70 then wait for a fall and sell @81.45, Target 80.35-78.75, SL@ 82.20
Buy/Positions If price touches 81.70 and pulls up back then buy @82.00, Target 83.20-84.60, SL@ 81.70
Scenario 2:- Market opens at or below 81.70.
Strategy: Follow Short Selling strategy (Case 1) of Scenario 1.
Scenario 3:- Market opens at or above 82.40 but below 82.90
Strategy: Buy @82.40-82.75, Target of 84.60, SL@ 81.70. If price struggles to cross 83.50 by 1p.m then sqaure off your positions at 83.35-40-45-50.
---------------------------------------------------------------------Intraday Traders--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For positional traders, The ONGC is expected to trade sideays for a few days.
Folowing is your entry point and short term targets for this stock.
Scenario 1: Trigger Price: 80, Buy Price: 80.40, Target: 82.40, - 84.60, - 86.10, - 92.25, Highest Target duration: end of next week.
Scenario 2: Stock doesn't correct: Buy Price@ 82.00-83.00, SL 81.55, Target: 84.60, - 86.10, - 92.25, Highest Target duration: end of next week.




















