$AVAX PRICE FORECAST | IS $200 POSSIBLE? | ANALYSIS BY CPCRYPTOCAP:AVAX PRICE FORECAST | IS $200 POSSIBLE? | ANALYSIS BY CRYPTOPATEL
#AVAX Is Holding A Strong High-Timeframe Accumulation Zone On The Weekly Chart After A Deep Multi-Year Correction From The 2021 ATH. Current Structure Suggests Smart Money Re-Accumulation Near Long-Term Demand.
Weekly Technical Structure:
✅ Strong All-Time Support / Accumulation Zone: $11 – $13.80
✅ Multiple Confirmed Reactions From This Zone Since 2022
✅ Macro Descending Trendline From ATH Still Capping Price
✅ Recent Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep Into Demand
✅ Bullish Confirmation Trigger: Weekly Close Above $15
CryptoPatel Targets (HTF Expansion):
🎯 TP1: $32.7
🎯 TP2: $57.9
🎯 TP3: $114.5
🎯 TP4 (Cycle Extension): $200+
As Long As AVAX/USDT Holds Above $11, The Macro Bullish Bias Remains Valid.
This Is A Patience-Based Weekly Setup With Asymmetric Risk-Reward, Best Suited For Spot & Swing Traders Using HTF Confirmation.
Invalidation:
❌ Weekly Close Below $10
TA Only. Markets Are Probabilistic. Always Manage Risk & DYOR.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
$XRP Price Forecast | Is $10 Possible?CRYPTOCAP:XRP Is Currently Retesting A Breakout That Took Nearly 8 Years To Form — A Rare, High-Timeframe, Cycle-Level Structure That Typically Precedes Major Market Expansions.
The Last Time This Exact Structure Appeared (2017), XRP Delivered An Extraordinary 40,000% (400x) Move Following The Breakout.
Current High-Timeframe Technical Structure:
✅ Multi-Year Descending Structure Broken
✅ ~57% Corrective Pullback From Recent ATH
✅ Price Holding Within The $2–$1.50 Demand Zone
✅ Strong Macro Support Identified At $1–$0.80
As Long As Price Respects This Support Region, The Primary Technical Projection Remains $8–$10 XRP Over The Cycle, Based On Measured Move And Historical Structure Behavior.
Why Expect Only 5x–10x From Here?
The Previous Multi-Year XRP Breakout Resulted In A 400x (40,000%) Expansion.
Historically, Large Bases Lead To Large Moves — Not Modest Returns.
From A Purely Structural Perspective, A Move Toward $10–$20 Cannot Be Ruled Out In The Next Market Cycle If The Breakout Holds And Momentum Confirms.
Disclaimer:
This Analysis Is For Educational Purposes Only And Does Not Constitute Financial Advice. Technical Analysis Is Probabilistic, Not Predictive. Always Apply Proper Risk Management And Conduct Your Own Research.
BNB Price Forecast 2026 | Is $10K/BNB Possible? | Analysis By CPBNB has shown strong price action recently. After bouncing from the $500 support zone, price moved higher, broke the previous all-time high, and successfully cleared the $700 resistance, which is now acting as a strong support area.
Currently, BNB is consolidating around the $800 level, suggesting the market is digesting the recent move.
Technical Overview
Multi-year ascending trendline: Still intact, indicating long-term bullish structure.
Major support zone: $500–$800
This range has acted as an accumulation area during previous pullbacks.
Current structure: Sideways consolidation near $800 after a strong breakout.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish continuation:
If BNB holds above $800 and breaks higher with volume, continuation toward higher levels is possible.
Pullback scenario:
If price drops below $800, a retest of $700–$500 could occur. Historically, this zone has provided strong demand and may attract long-term buyers.
Long-Term Perspective (Cycle-Based)
Bull market target (speculative): Around $3,000
Macro cycle projections (high risk & speculative): $10,000–$20,000
These levels are not predictions, but potential zones based on historical cycles, trend strength, and broader market conditions.
Key Takeaway
The overall structure remains bullish as long as price stays above major support levels. Consolidations and pullbacks within an uptrend are normal and often help reset the market before the next move.
This is an educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
Always manage risk and do your own research (DYOR).
ETHEREUM 2026 ATH Price Forecast | Bitcoin Halving Cycle AnalysiThis study observes Ethereum’s historical behavior relative to Bitcoin halving events. The purpose is to highlight recurring market structure patterns, not to provide financial or investment advice.
Observed Historical Cycles
2016 Bitcoin Halving
~70% drawdown in ETH
~546 days of sideways accumulation
Followed by a multi-year expansion phase (~22,800% peak move)
2020 Bitcoin Halving
~75% drawdown in ETH
~546 days of consolidation
Subsequent expansion to ~$4,693 (+2,600% approx.)
2024 Bitcoin Halving (Current Cycle)
~66% drawdown observed
~609 days of consolidation (ongoing)
Market structure remains comparable to prior accumulation phases
Key Observation
ETH trading within the $2,600–$3,000 range aligns with previous long-term accumulation zones seen before historical expansion phases.
Forward-Looking Scenario (Cycle-Based Projection)
If historical rhythm continues, the next expansion window may extend into 2026, with hypothetical price zones often discussed by market participants between:
$10,000
$15,000
$18,500+
These levels represent cycle-based projections, not price guarantees.
Conclusion
Ethereum has historically followed a pattern of deep drawdowns, prolonged consolidation, and later expansion after Bitcoin halving events. Whether this cycle continues to rhyme remains to be confirmed by future market behavior.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct independent research and risk assessment.
$BNB Technical Analysis: Why $10,000 Is On The RadarBNB Technical Analysis: Why $10,000 Is On The Radar
1️⃣ Historical Precedent
2021 Bull Run: +1,950%
2027 Projection: +1,900% (based on same chart pattern & price structure)
Repeating patterns suggest massive green candles could follow.
2️⃣ Key Support Zones
Strong long-term support: $500 & $200 ( Accumulation zone )
Support is holding, signaling a high-probability base for a breakout.
3️⃣ Price Targets
Short-term: $2,000 → $5,000
Long-term: $10,000 🎯
This aligns with historical price mechanics and measured growth potential.
4️⃣ Risk Management
Accumulate gradually; avoid FOMO buys
Always DYOR & understand support/resistance levels before entering
TA Insight:
BNB shows a pattern identical to previous bull cycles. Breaking current resistance levels could trigger an explosive upward trajectory.
CRYPTOCAP:BNB is technically primed. If you’re strategic now, you’re positioning for multi-year gains.
NFA & DYOR
$ETH at a Critical HTF Support Inflection.CRYPTOCAP:ETH at a Critical HTF Support Inflection.
$2,890 is the Structural Demand level.
Acceptance above this level Preserves Bullish Market Structure.
If Support Holds → Upside Continuation Toward $3,650 and $4,250.
Failure to Hold → Bullish Thesis Invalidated.
Binary Zone. Directional Expansion Pending.
NFA & DYOR
$FLOW CRASH ALERT – WHAT JUST HAPPENED?AMEX:FLOW just got destroyed, dropping over 52% in 24 hours.
Price action
High: $0.174
Low: $0.079
Current: ~$0.10
Major Red Flags Today:
🔹 Upbit & Bithumb Suspended Deposits and Withdrawals
🔹 South Korea’s DAXA Issued a Trading Risk Warning
🔹 Flow Foundation confirmed they are investigating a potential security incident on the Flow network
What On-Chain Data Shows:
🔹 Top 100 holders Reduced Holdings by ~2.79M FLOW
🔹 No Smart Money Accumulation signal
🔹 Heavy Selling by Public Wallets During Peak Hours
🔹 ~1.69M FLOW moved to Exchanges (Selling Pressure)
🔹 Late buyers Jumped in During the Crash, Not Before
Market Behavior:
🔹 Panic selling dominated
🔹 Whales appear to have distributed near highs
🔹 Some wallets aggressively bought the dip amid fear
🔹 Reports of a large whale dumping on DEXs
Uncertainty Remains:
🔹 Cause of the “security incident” is still unclear
🔹 CEX suspensions increase fear and volatility
🔹 Short-term sentiment remains extremely bearish
This Move Was Driven by Fear, Uncertainty, and Heavy Selling Pressure. Until Clarity Comes from the Flow Foundation, Risk Remains Very high.
Investors are Waiting for clear Answers from Flow Blockchain
Trade Carefully. Volatility is Brutal Right Now.
NFA & DYOR
ETHUSD - Are Bears Ready for the Fall?ETHUSD on the 4H timeframe is clearly in a corrective downtrend, not a healthy bullish structure. The price action fits an Elliott Wave decline where wave 3 already completed near 2620 , followed by a weak and overlapping recovery that looks like wave 4. That recovery stayed inside a falling channel and never showed impulsive strength, which already tells you buyers are weak. More importantly, wave 4 is flirting with wave 1 territory, which puts the entire bullish hope on thin ice.
Right now, ETH is at a make or break zone. If this move is just a fake breakdown, price must quickly reclaim the channel and hold above recent highs. If not, then this is likely wave 5 of C, and downside continuation becomes the dominant scenario. The structure favors a final flush toward the 2380 to 2350 area, where wave 5 projection and channel support align. Anyone blindly bullish here is ignoring structure. This is not a buy the dip market, it is a wait for confirmation or respect the downtrend market.
"ETH/USDT Forecast""ETH/USDT Forecast"
The market shows evidence of strong participation earlier, where price moved with speed and consistency, reflecting clear intent. That phase established direction and control without prolonged hesitation.
As price progressed, momentum began to ease. Movement slowed, reactions became more frequent, and volatility compressed. This change indicates a shift from active pressure to evaluation, where participants reduced aggression and allowed price to stabilize.
The subsequent recovery unfolded in a measured and uneven manner. Advances were short, overlapping, and lacked continuation, suggesting limited commitment behind higher prices. Opposing flow remained active, preventing expansion.
Currently, price behavior is defined by balance and compression. Activity reflects positioning rather than resolution. Until behavior shifts from overlap to decisive movement, the market remains in a waiting state, with continuation favored once imbalance returns.
ETH UNDER PRESSURE - BREAKDOWN Ethereum slipped below the $3,000 support, following heavy selling in spot ETH ETFs. Net outflows hit $224.7M in a single day, the largest exit in weeks, extending total ETF selling to $286.5M over the past three days. Notably, BlackRock and Grayscale led the withdrawals, with zero inflows recorded across funds.
This breakdown triggered a liquidation cascade, wiping out nearly $168M in ETH long positions and driving price down toward the $2,895 zone.
📉 Technical View:
ETH remains under bearish pressure, forming a bearish flag while a confirmed death cross keeps downside risk elevated. Unless price reclaims resistance near $3,170, the structure points toward a potential move to the $2,620 support zone.
⚠️ Market Takeaway:
Momentum favors the downside for now. Bulls need a strong reclaim of key resistance to shift sentiment — otherwise, volatility remains skewed against longs.
ETHUSD Bull Trap? - Final Breakdown Setup Is Almost Locked InETH is still stuck inside a clear falling channel, and the entire pattern is behaving like a corrective downtrend. The recent bounce from 2620 looks sharp, but it’s still just a counter-trend move. Nothing here screams trend reversal yet.
Wave 3 ending at 2620 , and now the price is rising for a Wave 4 retracement. Wave 4 usually moves back toward the mid-channel and tests previous breakdown zones.
The red box around 3200–3300 is the key trap zone. This is where sellers can return because Wave 4 must not enter Wave 1 territory, which sits higher. As long as ETH stays under that invalidation level, the bearish structure remains fully intact.
The move looks like a classic (a)-(b)-(c) correction inside Wave 4. Once this corrective bounce completes, the chart suggests ETH will resume the downward path. The channel alignment and wave symmetry both support a final Wave 5 drop.
If the bearish count plays out, ETH could slide toward 2400 – 2300 in Wave 5 before a major bottom forms. That’s the zone where sellers exhaust and buyers take control again. Until ETH breaks the invalidation level with strength, downside remains the more probable outcome.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
ETHUSD: Reversal or Another Bull Trap?Look at this:
ETH played the trap perfectly. After pushing into the 3200–3400 resistance zone, price failed to sustain above it and rolled over, confirming that the move was distribution, not strength. Sellers stepped in exactly where a Wave 4 rally should fail.
The rejection was followed by a clean breakdown of the parallel rising channel, which shifts the short-term bias back in favor of the bears. That channel was the last structure holding the corrective bounce together. Once it broke, the bullish case weakened sharply.
This drop reinforces the view that the move up from 2620 was only a Wave 4 correction, not the start of a new trend. With Wave 4 likely complete, ETH appears to be transitioning into Wave 5 of the broader corrective decline.
As long as price remains below the broken channel and prior resistance, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. The structure opens the door for a retest of 2620 , with a deeper extension toward 2465 if selling pressure accelerates.
Until ETH reclaims the channel with strength and acceptance, this remains a sell-the-bounce environment. The warning came at the trap zone, and the market is now following through.
Stay Tuned!
Money Dictators,
R.D :)
ETH/USDT Bullish Reversal SetupETH/USDT Bullish Reversal Setup
The chart shows a clear transition in ETH as price moves from a prolonged distribution-driven decline into a developing accumulation range. After weeks of consistent bearish structure, the market finally printed multiple upside shifts, signaling that sell-side pressure is weakening and liquidity behavior is changing.
The recent impulsive rally out of the discounted range confirms that buyers are actively defending lower levels. Price is now pulling back toward a short-term demand pocket formed during the breakout. This area represents the first meaningful accumulation zone after the market broke a series of internal swing points.
As long as price maintains stability within this demand block, the structure favors continuation toward the next major liquidity cluster above. The next upside draw is positioned around the 3,440–3,500 region, where previous inefficiencies and unmitigated zones converge. That region also holds resting buy-side liquidity, making it the logical target for a future expansion move.
The current market behavior suggests that ETH is in the early phase of a bullish repricing cycle. A controlled pullback into the highlighted zone—followed by a reaction—would confirm continuation and attract momentum buyers aiming for the higher liquidity magnet.
Overall, this chart reflects a shift in narrative: sellers are losing dominance, the market is building a fresh bullish structure, and the path of least resistance is gradually tilting upward as long as the demand zone remains protected.
ETH Bullish Outlook: Tokenization Boom to $9K in 2026CRYPTO:ETHUSD
Asset: ETH/USD
Timeframe: Weekly
Hey traders! 🚀 Ethereum's dipping into December around $3,100 after some post-ATH consolidation, but the setup screams reversal. Fundstrat's Tom Lee is calling for a monster rally to $9,000 by 2026, fueled by tokenization exploding across finance. That's nearly 190% upside—ETH's about to steal the spotlight from BTC!
Key Analysis:
Macro Tailwinds: ETH's riding BTC's coattails but with extra juice from spot ETF inflows and real-world asset tokenization. As Wall Street piles in, expect ETH to decouple upward—watch for Nasdaq sync and weakening USD to amplify the move.
Technical Setup: Rock-solid support at $2,800, the recent higher low that's holding like a champ. Daily RSI oversold, bullish MACD crossover brewing, and on-chain metrics show whales accumulating. Smash $3,500 resistance, and we're blasting toward $4,500 next.
Risks: Near-term volatility if broader risk assets falter, but ETF demand and layer-2 scaling keep the floor intact for the long haul.
Trade Signal:
Entry: Long ETH/USD at $3,000 (confirmation above $2,800 support).
Target 1: $4,000 (short-term, ~30% gain).
Target 2: $9,000 (Tom Lee tokenization target by mid-2026).
Stop Loss: $2,700 (below key support to guard the downside).
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ on the primary target. Position size: 1-2% of portfolio.
Chart snapshot: Weekly candles forming a bullish pennant at $2,800, with Fibonacci retracement eyeing $9K extension. Overlay ETH ETF flows for that institutional vibe! (Pro tip: Compare with BTC dominance to spot ETH's breakout edge.)
Idea by Signal Squad
Published: December 8, 2025
What do you think, squad? ETH outpacing BTC in 2026, or more sideways grind? Drop your takes below—let's squad up! #ETH #CryptoSignals #SignalSquad
BTC Breakdown Confirmed – Here’s Where BTC Could Surge NextBTC Breakdown Confirmed – Here’s Where BTC Could Surge Next
1️⃣ Long-Term Trendline Breakdown Confirmed
🔹 BTC has decisively broken the multi-year ascending trendline supporting price since Nov 2022.
🔹 The Breakdown + Retest at ~$104k-$108k confirms bearish structure ✅.
🔹 Retest failed in Oct 2025, confirming sellers are in control.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels Highlight Strong Demand
🔹 Price is now hovering between 0 Fib ($125,647) and 0.382 Fib ($56,494).
🔹 Measured move Targets: Strong Demand Zone $34,477 - $56,494 (0.618 - 0.382 Fib)
🔹 This is the accumulation zone for long-term positions, historically providing strong bounce potential.
3️⃣ Critical Support / Resistance Zones
🔹 Immediate Support: $85k-$87k (psychological)
Major Support:
🔹 $56,494 (0.382 Fib, upper demand)
🔹 $44,133 (0.5 Fib, middle demand)
🔹 $34,477 (0.618 Fib, “Golden Pocket”, lower demand)
Resistance: Broken trendline now acting as key supply
4️⃣ Potential Scenarios
Bearish (High Probability)
🔹 Continuation down to Strong Demand Zone ($34k-$56k)
🔹 Represents 38-61% retracement from ATH, typical after trendline breakdown + retest
Bullish (Needs Reclaim)
🔹 Reclaim broken trendline (~$95k-$100k)
🔹 Close above $104k = false breakdown, continuation to new highs
Why I’m Watching $56,500 - $34,500 for Longs
🔹 Historical accumulation zone with high probability of a strong bounce
🔹 After breakdown + retest, price often retraces to 0.5 or 0.618 Fib before resuming bull trend
🔹 Perfect long-term entry for those aiming for multi-year BTC upside
BTC may test the $56k-$34k demand zone soon. For long-term holders, this is a prime accumulation area before the next bull cycle. Stay patient and strategic – $1M BTC dreams require discipline, not FOMO.
Guys, don’t judge me: I’m a Bitcoin lover too. I’m just reading what the chart is showing. Even if the short-term looks bearish, I see the setup for a massive long-term move toward $1M 🚀
NFA & DYOR
ETH Premium OB & FVG Zones – ChoCh Could Hit at $3,660ETH Premium OB & FVG Zones – ChoCh Could Hit at $3,660
Market remains in a Bearish Structure with steady LH → LL and clean BOS down. The current upward move is just a retracement into premium.
Key Zones:
FVG: $3,250–3,350 – First Reaction Zone for Short Entries
Bearish OB: $3,600–3,660 – Prime Supply Zone for Shorts
Shorting Strategy:
If you are Shorting ETH, these are the best levels to scale in.
Caution:
Any HTF candle closing above $3,660 Bearish OB signals a ChoCh. Exit shorts immediately, Trend flips bullish, opening the path toward new ATH.
Below $3,660 → bearish continuation likely
Above $3,660 → trend flip, bullish momentum expected
Until the OB break happens, bias stays bearish.
NFA & DYOR
Major Cycle in Crypto Market (Attention Hedge Funds)Cycle-1: Bitcoin’s First Major Boom–Bust Structure (2013–2015)
(Screenshot-1 Breakdown)
Understanding Bitcoin’s historical behaviour is essential for forecasting macro-cycles in the crypto market. This post is the first of a 4-part series, where each screenshot highlights a repeating structural pattern in BTC’s long-term market psychology. After all four cycles are explained, I will present the combined Buy, Sell or Hold conclusion for long-term investors and institutional desks.
🟦 Cycle-1 Overview (April 2013 – January 2015)
In the first major structural cycle of Bitcoin, a very clear macro behaviour emerged — a pattern that continues to repeat across all future cycles.
🔵 Step 1 — ATH (A) Formed (April 2013)
Bitcoin printed a strong All-Time High (A) in April 2013, marking the top of its first major momentum wave.
🟢 Step 2 — Breakout Above ATH (A) → New ATH (B) (Nov 2013)
Once BTC broke above Point A, it entered an aggressive parabolic rally, setting a new ATH (B) in November 2013.
This breakout phase triggered:
FOMO-driven retail participation
Sharp acceleration in volatility
Rapid expansion in price multiples
🔴 Step 3 — Post-Breakout Collapse: -75% to -80% Drawdown
After forming ATH (B), Bitcoin failed to sustain the parabolic breakout.
A deep correction followed:
–75% to –80% decline
Capitulation phase
Panic selling and liquidity contraction
This phase marks the beginning of the macro mean-reversion cycle, a consistent signature in BTC’s long-term structure.
🟣 Step 4 — Price Returns to Previous ATH (A)
The most important element of Cycle-1:
After making a new ATH (B), Bitcoin retraced back to the previous ATH (A)
Time taken: 15–17 months
This behaviour is extremely rare in traditional markets but has repeated consistently in Bitcoin’s long-term structure.
📌 Why This Cycle Matters
Cycle-1 establishes the foundation for a powerful historical pattern:
BTC tends to fall back to its previous ATH after forming a new ATH.
This phenomenon repeats due to:
Leverage washouts
Liquidity resets
Miner capitulation
Long-term holder profit-taking
Macro monetary tightening phases
This is Cycle-1.
In the next screenshots, we will see how Cycle-2, Cycle-3, and Cycle-4 follow the same structural behaviour.
⏭️ Coming Next (Screenshot-2):
“Post-2017 Cycle — New ATH → 83% Crash → Return to Previous ATH.”
Cycle-2: 2017 Parabolic Expansion → 2018–2019 Reset (Screenshot-2 Breakdown)
This is the second chart in the ongoing 4-part series highlighting Bitcoin’s macro boom-and-bust rhythm—a structural pattern that repeats regardless of market participants, liquidity cycles, or macroeconomic conditions.
Cycle-2 again confirms that Bitcoin follows a highly predictable long-term retracement behaviour after every breakout to a new All-Time High.
🟦 Cycle-2 Overview (2017–2019)
This cycle mirrors the exact structure of Cycle-1:
Break previous ATH
Establish new ATH
Drop –75% to –80%
Return to previous cycle’s ATH
Time duration: 15–17 months
Let’s break down the chart step-by-step.
🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH on May–June 2017 (Point E)
In early 2017, Bitcoin broke the previous cycle’s ATH (from 2013–2014).
This breakout point is marked as:
Point E (May–June 2017)
Acts as the new cycle support
Represents the start of the parabolic expansion leg
This breakout confirms institutional liquidity entry and the beginning of a classic crypto macro-cycle.
🟢 Step 2 — Massive Rally to New ATH (Point F) — Dec 2017
After the breakout at E, Bitcoin entered its most aggressive historical rally:
BTC exploded into a full parabolic top
New ATH formed at Point F (Dec 2017)
Extreme retail inflow and speculative leverage
ICO mania peak
This is similar to the 2013 pattern—breakout → acceleration → parabolic top.
🔴 Step 3 — Reversal and Deep Crash: –75% to –82%
Post-ATH, Bitcoin collapsed sharply:
Total Drawdown: –75% to –82%
Duration: 455 days (≈15 months)
Angle of correction: Steep capitulation slope (as shown in your chart)
ICO bubble burst + liquidity draining
Dominance reset + long-term distribution
The depth and duration match Cycle-1 almost exactly.
🟣 Step 4 — Price Re-tests Previous ATH Zone (Point G — Mar 2019)
Just like Cycle-1, Bitcoin returned precisely to the previous breakout area:
Cycle Support (E) → Retest at G
Time Duration: ≈15–17 months
Price forms a demand zone around the previous ATH
Bottoming structure completes at G (March 2019)
This confirms again:
Bitcoin always re-tests its previous ATH after forming a new ATH — within a fixed time band of ~15–17 months.
Cycle-2 perfectly aligns with the behavioural signature of Cycle-1.
📌 Why Cycle-2 Matters to Institutions
This cycle reveals Bitcoin’s predictable macro liquidity reset pattern:
Break previous ATH → Excess speculation → Parabolic top
Systemic deleveraging → –80% correction
Return to previous cycle’s ATH support
Fresh long-term accumulation
This behaviour is structurally identical across multiple halving cycles.
Cycle-3: 2020 Breakout → 2021 Mania → 2022–2023 Reset (Screenshot-3 Analysis)
This third chart demonstrates the strongest confirmation of Bitcoin’s repeating macro-cycle structure.
Despite greater institutional involvement, derivatives expansion, and global liquidity changes, Bitcoin still respected the same 75–80% retracement and 15–17-month correction window.
Cycle-3 proves the pattern is structural, not accidental.
🟦 Cycle-3 Overview (2020–2023)
Like previous cycles:
BTC breaks previous ATH
Creates a new ATH
Drops –75% to –80%
Comes back to retest the previous ATH
Same time duration: ~15–17 months
Let’s decode the chart.
🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH in Nov–Dec 2020 (Point H)
Bitcoin broke the 2017 ATH during late 2020:
Breakout Point H (Nov 2020)
This previous ATH (Point F = Point H) becomes the new major cycle support zone
Triggered institutional FOMO: MicroStrategy, Tesla, hedge funds
This breakout ignited the strongest bull run in Bitcoin’s history.
🟢 Step 2 — Bitcoin Forms a New ATH in Nov 2021 (Point I)
Following the breakout at H:
BTC surged to a macro ATH at Point I (Nov 2021)
Fueled by:
Unlimited liquidity (pandemic QE)
Institutional buyers
ETF expectations
Retail mania & leverage
This top perfectly mirrors the parabolic peaks from 2013 and 2017.
🔴 Step 3 — Deep Macro Crash: –75% to –80%
After the November 2021 top:
BTC entered a systemic deleveraging phase
Complete 2022 crypto meltdown:
Luna collapse
Celsius, Voyager, BlockFi
FTX implosion
Price fell 77% from the ATH
Duration: 485 days (~16 months)
Exactly the same timing window as the previous two cycles.
🟣 Step 4 — Retest of Previous ATH Support (Point J — Mar 2023)
Just like Cycle-1 (2013 → 2015)
and Cycle-2 (2017 → 2019):
Bitcoin again returned exactly to its previous ATH zone:
Support Retest Point J (Mar 2023)
Perfect touch of the 2020 breakout zone
Massive demand entered the market
Cycle bottom completed right on schedule
This completes the third full repeat of BTC’s long-term structural cycle.
📌 Institutional Takeaway
Cycle-3 confirms:
Bitcoin’s macro behaviour is identical across 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles — regardless of market maturity.
Every time Bitcoin breaks its previous ATH:
It creates a new parabolic peak
Then crashes 75–80%
Then returns to retest the previous ATH level
All within a consistent 15–17 month window
This makes Bitcoin the most predictable high-beta asset on the planet at a macro timescale.
Cycle-4: Oct-2024 Breakout → Oct-2025 ATH → Mar-2027 Retest of Legacy Support
After analyzing the previous three Bitcoin macro cycles (2013–2015, 2017–2019, 2021–2023), the new chart strongly suggests that Bitcoin is following the exact same structural behaviour for the 4th time.
This idea explains why BTC may enter a 15–17 month decline starting from the Oct-2025 macro top, and why the next major demand zone sits around 30,000 USD in Mar-2027.
🟥 1. Break of Previous ATH (I = K) — Oct 2024
Bitcoin broke above its previous ATH zone in Oct 2024, exactly like in all earlier cycles:
2013 ATH break → 2013 bull run
2017 ATH break → 2020–2021 bull run
2021 ATH break → 2024 surge
2024 ATH break → current cycle
This breakout (I = K level) becomes the new structural support for the cycle bottom later.
🟩 2. BTC Forms New Macro ATH (Point L) — Oct 2025
One year later, Bitcoin printed a new ATH around Oct 2025, marking the peak of Cycle-4.
Previous cycles also peaked approx. 11–14 months after breaking the last ATH, which strengthens this model.
🔻 3. Post-ATH Crash Begins — Same Pattern, Same Angle, Same Duration
All 3 previous cycles share:
• 75%–80% decline
• Duration: 15–17 months
• Final target: previous ATH or the ATH-1 level
Your chart highlights the same decline angle and same time window (Oct-2025 → Mar-2027).
This is exactly what Bitcoin has done before:
Cycle ATH → Bottom Duration Drop Retest Level
2013 → 2015 15 months –86% Previous ATH
2017 → 2019 17 months –84% Previous ATH
2021 → 2023 16 months –77% Previous ATH
2025 → 2027 (Prediction) 15–17 months –75% to –80% Previous ATH
Nothing in the 2024–2025 structure breaks this long-term behaviour.
🟦 4. Current Price Near “N” = Retesting Breakout Support
BTC is currently trading back near the Oct-2024 breakout level, marked as:
N = Previous ATH Support Zone
Historically, this level is not the final bottom.
It is only the first macro support touch before the full 75–80% correction completes.
Because the full 15–17 month window has not yet played out, a deeper decline remains statistically likely.
🟡 5. Final Prediction — BTC Bottom Around 30,000 USD (Mar-2027)
Following cycle symmetry:
Top: Oct-2025
Drop duration: 15–17 months
Bottom: Mar-2027 (same month as previous major bottom in Mar-2023)
Target zone: $30,000 ≈ last-to-last ATH (2020 level)
This fits perfectly with all 4 historical cycles.
This means BTC may revisit the deep demand zone before the next major bull cycle begins.
📌 Final Outlook (Important for Long-Term Investors)
If Bitcoin truly repeats its macro cycle:
The best long-term buying opportunity would occur in Mar 2027
Price reading: $28K–$32K
After that, BTC begins Cycle-5 (likely targeting $180K–$250K)
This idea is not short-term trading advice; it is a macro-cycle pattern that has consistently repeated for 12+ years.
🟡 BUY / SELL / HOLD — Clear Conclusion
SELL / REDUCE RISK
If you are a trader or short-term investor, Bitcoin is in the post-ATH declining phase, which historically produces 15–17 months of lower prices.
HOLD (Long-Term Only)
Long-term holders can remain calm but should expect deep volatility, not straight-up movement.
BUY (Smart Accumulation Window)
The next high-conviction buying zone will be:
🔥 $28K–$32K
🔥 Timeline: Mar 2027
That will be the start of the next Bitcoin mega cycle (Cycle-5).
📢 Final Message
This research is not about fear or hype—it is about Bitcoin’s consistent repeating macro behaviour.
Every single major crash and rally of the last decade followed the same timing, structure, and depth.
Bitcoin is not random.
Bitcoin is cyclical.
And the cycle says:
**The real bottom is not here yet.
The real opportunity comes in 2027.**
ETH/USD – Trendline Breakout Attempt from Higher-Timeframe DemanETH/USD is reacting strongly from a major 4H demand zone after an extended downtrend. Price has tapped into a high-volume area between $2,760–$2,800, showing the first signs of bullish strength with a clean internal structure shift.
📌 Setup Overview
Price respected a long-term descending trendline, but buyers stepped in strongly at the higher-timeframe demand zone.
A short-term structure break (BOS) suggests a potential reversal beginning to form.
Market is now retesting the broken structure + mini demand zone, where buyers are likely to defend.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: After the retest confirmation of the minor demand zone.
Stop-loss: Below the demand area to protect against liquidity sweeps.
Target: The next major supply zone around $3,600, aligning with the larger structure and trendline interaction.
📈 Bias
Bullish short-term — expecting continuation to the upside if price holds above the retest zone.
Structure suggests a potential mid-term trend reversal if buyers maintain control.
❌ Invalidation
Idea becomes invalid if price closes below the demand zone and breaks structure to the downside.
Is $LTC Dead? The Same Question Asked Before Every Major Rally…Is NYSE:LTC Dead? The Same Question Asked Before Every Major Rally…
When markets forget history, they repeat it. Litecoin has gone through multiple full-cycle Retracements, Each time followed by explosive multi-X expansions. Let’s walk through the data:
🔰 2013–2015 Cycle: “LTC is Dead” #1
🔹 LTC hit an ATH of $55 from $1.
🔹 Retraced ~98%, bottoming at $0.985 within 16 months.
🔹 Retail sentiment: “LTC is dead.”
🔹 Smart money quietly accumulated.
Result?
$0.985 → $9 in 4 months (≈ +900%)
Eventually: $0.985 → $370 in 3 years (≈ +37,000%)
🔰 2017–2018 Cycle: “LTC is Dead” #2
🔹 New ATH: $370
🔹 Retracement: 92%, down to $23
🔹 Again: retail capitulation.
Result?
$23 → $146 in 6 months
$23 → $413 by May 2021 (≈ +1700%)
🔰 Current Market Structure (2021–2025)
🔹 Previous ATH: $413 (May 2021)
🔹 Current price: ~$84
🔹 Drawdown: 80%
Retail narrative: “LTC is dead.”
TA narrative: This is historically the accumulation zone.
Technical Outlook (Cycle-Based TA Projection)
Every prior deep-cycle retracement (80–98%) has led to:
🔹 Fresh multi-year impulse waves
🔹 New macro highs
🔹 Massive ROI expansion for accumulator wallets
Based strictly on historical cycle symmetry, volatility bands, and LTC’s halving-driven structure:
LTC Bull-Run Projection:
$600 – $1,000 is a reasonable and technically sound target range for the current macro cycle.
This would represent:
🔹 Breaking the 2021 high
🔹 Completing a full 5-wave macro structure
🔹 Returning to historical expansion ratios seen in every prior cycle
So You Already Know What Happens Next.
Litecoin’s entire history is built on max pain → max gain cycles.
Every 80–98% retracement has delivered its largest multi-X rallies after retail gave up.
Smart investors accumulate when the chart says accumulate, not when the crowd screams “dead.”
FINAL MESSAGE
LTC is not dead. It is in the same deep-value zone where every previous mega-cycle began.
If the market delivers another historical impulse, the $600–$1000 range remains a technically justified target.
Accumulate dips.
Ignore noise.
Let the chart speak.
Not Financial Advice so Always Do your Own Research Before Any Investments.
ETH Could Skyrocket to $7.8K After FUSAKA Upgrade: History ShowsCRYPTOCAP:ETH Could Skyrocket to $7.8K After FUSAKA Upgrade – History Shows
The last Ethereum Pectra Upgrade on 7 May 2025 triggered a massive move:
✅ +55% in 35 days
✅ +168% in 109 days
What’s next?
The FUSAKA Upgrade is scheduled for 3 December 2025. If history repeats:
👉 Target 35 days post-upgrade: $4,500 (7 Jan 2026)
👉 Target 109 days post-upgrade: $7,800 (22 Mar 2026)
Note: This is Purely Fractal Analysis Based on Pectra. Always DYOR – Markets can behave differently, and “Sell the News” Scenarios Happen.
Get ready for a potential ETHEREUM rally!
NFA & DYOR
Biggest Altseason 10x-20x Loading for 2026?If You're Panicking Right Now, You're About To Miss The Easiest 5x-20x Of Your Life
The Total Market Cap (excluding BTC & ETH) just painted a picture we've seen before...
HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
Last bull run → 1200% pump after breakout & retest
Current situation → Long-term trendline support broken
This looks like a classic liquidity sweep before the next major leg up.
KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔴 Strong Support: $750B - $600B
🟡 Strong Resistance: $1.1T
🟢 2026 Target: $4.25T
THE MATH:
If we hit that Target, we're looking at a 5x on total alt market cap
Individual Altcoins could Easily do:
Quality projects: 5x-10x
High potential gems: 10x-20x
Moonshots: Beyond 20x
MY TAKE:
This current "Crash" is NOT the beginning of a Bear Market. It's a shakeout. Big money is accumulating while retail panics.
The setup is almost identical to previous cycles:
✅ Panic selling at support
✅ Fear at maximum levels
✅ Long-term holders getting shaken out
This is exactly when you want to be positioning for the REAL altseason ahead.
RISK MANAGEMENT:
DCA at support zones ($750B-$600B)
Don't go all-in at once
Keep some powder dry for further dips
Focus on fundamentally strong projects
The biggest gains come to those who stay calm when others panic.
Are you ready for what's coming? 🚀
Not financial advice. DYOR. Manage your risk.






















