Major Cycle in Crypto Market (Attention Hedge Funds)Cycle-1: Bitcoin’s First Major Boom–Bust Structure (2013–2015)
(Screenshot-1 Breakdown)
Understanding Bitcoin’s historical behaviour is essential for forecasting macro-cycles in the crypto market. This post is the first of a 4-part series, where each screenshot highlights a repeating structural pattern in BTC’s long-term market psychology. After all four cycles are explained, I will present the combined Buy, Sell or Hold conclusion for long-term investors and institutional desks.
🟦 Cycle-1 Overview (April 2013 – January 2015)
In the first major structural cycle of Bitcoin, a very clear macro behaviour emerged — a pattern that continues to repeat across all future cycles.
🔵 Step 1 — ATH (A) Formed (April 2013)
Bitcoin printed a strong All-Time High (A) in April 2013, marking the top of its first major momentum wave.
🟢 Step 2 — Breakout Above ATH (A) → New ATH (B) (Nov 2013)
Once BTC broke above Point A, it entered an aggressive parabolic rally, setting a new ATH (B) in November 2013.
This breakout phase triggered:
FOMO-driven retail participation
Sharp acceleration in volatility
Rapid expansion in price multiples
🔴 Step 3 — Post-Breakout Collapse: -75% to -80% Drawdown
After forming ATH (B), Bitcoin failed to sustain the parabolic breakout.
A deep correction followed:
–75% to –80% decline
Capitulation phase
Panic selling and liquidity contraction
This phase marks the beginning of the macro mean-reversion cycle, a consistent signature in BTC’s long-term structure.
🟣 Step 4 — Price Returns to Previous ATH (A)
The most important element of Cycle-1:
After making a new ATH (B), Bitcoin retraced back to the previous ATH (A)
Time taken: 15–17 months
This behaviour is extremely rare in traditional markets but has repeated consistently in Bitcoin’s long-term structure.
📌 Why This Cycle Matters
Cycle-1 establishes the foundation for a powerful historical pattern:
BTC tends to fall back to its previous ATH after forming a new ATH.
This phenomenon repeats due to:
Leverage washouts
Liquidity resets
Miner capitulation
Long-term holder profit-taking
Macro monetary tightening phases
This is Cycle-1.
In the next screenshots, we will see how Cycle-2, Cycle-3, and Cycle-4 follow the same structural behaviour.
⏭️ Coming Next (Screenshot-2):
“Post-2017 Cycle — New ATH → 83% Crash → Return to Previous ATH.”
Cycle-2: 2017 Parabolic Expansion → 2018–2019 Reset (Screenshot-2 Breakdown)
This is the second chart in the ongoing 4-part series highlighting Bitcoin’s macro boom-and-bust rhythm—a structural pattern that repeats regardless of market participants, liquidity cycles, or macroeconomic conditions.
Cycle-2 again confirms that Bitcoin follows a highly predictable long-term retracement behaviour after every breakout to a new All-Time High.
🟦 Cycle-2 Overview (2017–2019)
This cycle mirrors the exact structure of Cycle-1:
Break previous ATH
Establish new ATH
Drop –75% to –80%
Return to previous cycle’s ATH
Time duration: 15–17 months
Let’s break down the chart step-by-step.
🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH on May–June 2017 (Point E)
In early 2017, Bitcoin broke the previous cycle’s ATH (from 2013–2014).
This breakout point is marked as:
Point E (May–June 2017)
Acts as the new cycle support
Represents the start of the parabolic expansion leg
This breakout confirms institutional liquidity entry and the beginning of a classic crypto macro-cycle.
🟢 Step 2 — Massive Rally to New ATH (Point F) — Dec 2017
After the breakout at E, Bitcoin entered its most aggressive historical rally:
BTC exploded into a full parabolic top
New ATH formed at Point F (Dec 2017)
Extreme retail inflow and speculative leverage
ICO mania peak
This is similar to the 2013 pattern—breakout → acceleration → parabolic top.
🔴 Step 3 — Reversal and Deep Crash: –75% to –82%
Post-ATH, Bitcoin collapsed sharply:
Total Drawdown: –75% to –82%
Duration: 455 days (≈15 months)
Angle of correction: Steep capitulation slope (as shown in your chart)
ICO bubble burst + liquidity draining
Dominance reset + long-term distribution
The depth and duration match Cycle-1 almost exactly.
🟣 Step 4 — Price Re-tests Previous ATH Zone (Point G — Mar 2019)
Just like Cycle-1, Bitcoin returned precisely to the previous breakout area:
Cycle Support (E) → Retest at G
Time Duration: ≈15–17 months
Price forms a demand zone around the previous ATH
Bottoming structure completes at G (March 2019)
This confirms again:
Bitcoin always re-tests its previous ATH after forming a new ATH — within a fixed time band of ~15–17 months.
Cycle-2 perfectly aligns with the behavioural signature of Cycle-1.
📌 Why Cycle-2 Matters to Institutions
This cycle reveals Bitcoin’s predictable macro liquidity reset pattern:
Break previous ATH → Excess speculation → Parabolic top
Systemic deleveraging → –80% correction
Return to previous cycle’s ATH support
Fresh long-term accumulation
This behaviour is structurally identical across multiple halving cycles.
Cycle-3: 2020 Breakout → 2021 Mania → 2022–2023 Reset (Screenshot-3 Analysis)
This third chart demonstrates the strongest confirmation of Bitcoin’s repeating macro-cycle structure.
Despite greater institutional involvement, derivatives expansion, and global liquidity changes, Bitcoin still respected the same 75–80% retracement and 15–17-month correction window.
Cycle-3 proves the pattern is structural, not accidental.
🟦 Cycle-3 Overview (2020–2023)
Like previous cycles:
BTC breaks previous ATH
Creates a new ATH
Drops –75% to –80%
Comes back to retest the previous ATH
Same time duration: ~15–17 months
Let’s decode the chart.
🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH in Nov–Dec 2020 (Point H)
Bitcoin broke the 2017 ATH during late 2020:
Breakout Point H (Nov 2020)
This previous ATH (Point F = Point H) becomes the new major cycle support zone
Triggered institutional FOMO: MicroStrategy, Tesla, hedge funds
This breakout ignited the strongest bull run in Bitcoin’s history.
🟢 Step 2 — Bitcoin Forms a New ATH in Nov 2021 (Point I)
Following the breakout at H:
BTC surged to a macro ATH at Point I (Nov 2021)
Fueled by:
Unlimited liquidity (pandemic QE)
Institutional buyers
ETF expectations
Retail mania & leverage
This top perfectly mirrors the parabolic peaks from 2013 and 2017.
🔴 Step 3 — Deep Macro Crash: –75% to –80%
After the November 2021 top:
BTC entered a systemic deleveraging phase
Complete 2022 crypto meltdown:
Luna collapse
Celsius, Voyager, BlockFi
FTX implosion
Price fell 77% from the ATH
Duration: 485 days (~16 months)
Exactly the same timing window as the previous two cycles.
🟣 Step 4 — Retest of Previous ATH Support (Point J — Mar 2023)
Just like Cycle-1 (2013 → 2015)
and Cycle-2 (2017 → 2019):
Bitcoin again returned exactly to its previous ATH zone:
Support Retest Point J (Mar 2023)
Perfect touch of the 2020 breakout zone
Massive demand entered the market
Cycle bottom completed right on schedule
This completes the third full repeat of BTC’s long-term structural cycle.
📌 Institutional Takeaway
Cycle-3 confirms:
Bitcoin’s macro behaviour is identical across 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles — regardless of market maturity.
Every time Bitcoin breaks its previous ATH:
It creates a new parabolic peak
Then crashes 75–80%
Then returns to retest the previous ATH level
All within a consistent 15–17 month window
This makes Bitcoin the most predictable high-beta asset on the planet at a macro timescale.
Cycle-4: Oct-2024 Breakout → Oct-2025 ATH → Mar-2027 Retest of Legacy Support
After analyzing the previous three Bitcoin macro cycles (2013–2015, 2017–2019, 2021–2023), the new chart strongly suggests that Bitcoin is following the exact same structural behaviour for the 4th time.
This idea explains why BTC may enter a 15–17 month decline starting from the Oct-2025 macro top, and why the next major demand zone sits around 30,000 USD in Mar-2027.
🟥 1. Break of Previous ATH (I = K) — Oct 2024
Bitcoin broke above its previous ATH zone in Oct 2024, exactly like in all earlier cycles:
2013 ATH break → 2013 bull run
2017 ATH break → 2020–2021 bull run
2021 ATH break → 2024 surge
2024 ATH break → current cycle
This breakout (I = K level) becomes the new structural support for the cycle bottom later.
🟩 2. BTC Forms New Macro ATH (Point L) — Oct 2025
One year later, Bitcoin printed a new ATH around Oct 2025, marking the peak of Cycle-4.
Previous cycles also peaked approx. 11–14 months after breaking the last ATH, which strengthens this model.
🔻 3. Post-ATH Crash Begins — Same Pattern, Same Angle, Same Duration
All 3 previous cycles share:
• 75%–80% decline
• Duration: 15–17 months
• Final target: previous ATH or the ATH-1 level
Your chart highlights the same decline angle and same time window (Oct-2025 → Mar-2027).
This is exactly what Bitcoin has done before:
Cycle ATH → Bottom Duration Drop Retest Level
2013 → 2015 15 months –86% Previous ATH
2017 → 2019 17 months –84% Previous ATH
2021 → 2023 16 months –77% Previous ATH
2025 → 2027 (Prediction) 15–17 months –75% to –80% Previous ATH
Nothing in the 2024–2025 structure breaks this long-term behaviour.
🟦 4. Current Price Near “N” = Retesting Breakout Support
BTC is currently trading back near the Oct-2024 breakout level, marked as:
N = Previous ATH Support Zone
Historically, this level is not the final bottom.
It is only the first macro support touch before the full 75–80% correction completes.
Because the full 15–17 month window has not yet played out, a deeper decline remains statistically likely.
🟡 5. Final Prediction — BTC Bottom Around 30,000 USD (Mar-2027)
Following cycle symmetry:
Top: Oct-2025
Drop duration: 15–17 months
Bottom: Mar-2027 (same month as previous major bottom in Mar-2023)
Target zone: $30,000 ≈ last-to-last ATH (2020 level)
This fits perfectly with all 4 historical cycles.
This means BTC may revisit the deep demand zone before the next major bull cycle begins.
📌 Final Outlook (Important for Long-Term Investors)
If Bitcoin truly repeats its macro cycle:
The best long-term buying opportunity would occur in Mar 2027
Price reading: $28K–$32K
After that, BTC begins Cycle-5 (likely targeting $180K–$250K)
This idea is not short-term trading advice; it is a macro-cycle pattern that has consistently repeated for 12+ years.
🟡 BUY / SELL / HOLD — Clear Conclusion
SELL / REDUCE RISK
If you are a trader or short-term investor, Bitcoin is in the post-ATH declining phase, which historically produces 15–17 months of lower prices.
HOLD (Long-Term Only)
Long-term holders can remain calm but should expect deep volatility, not straight-up movement.
BUY (Smart Accumulation Window)
The next high-conviction buying zone will be:
🔥 $28K–$32K
🔥 Timeline: Mar 2027
That will be the start of the next Bitcoin mega cycle (Cycle-5).
📢 Final Message
This research is not about fear or hype—it is about Bitcoin’s consistent repeating macro behaviour.
Every single major crash and rally of the last decade followed the same timing, structure, and depth.
Bitcoin is not random.
Bitcoin is cyclical.
And the cycle says:
**The real bottom is not here yet.
The real opportunity comes in 2027.**
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETH/USD – Trendline Breakout Attempt from Higher-Timeframe DemanETH/USD is reacting strongly from a major 4H demand zone after an extended downtrend. Price has tapped into a high-volume area between $2,760–$2,800, showing the first signs of bullish strength with a clean internal structure shift.
📌 Setup Overview
Price respected a long-term descending trendline, but buyers stepped in strongly at the higher-timeframe demand zone.
A short-term structure break (BOS) suggests a potential reversal beginning to form.
Market is now retesting the broken structure + mini demand zone, where buyers are likely to defend.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: After the retest confirmation of the minor demand zone.
Stop-loss: Below the demand area to protect against liquidity sweeps.
Target: The next major supply zone around $3,600, aligning with the larger structure and trendline interaction.
📈 Bias
Bullish short-term — expecting continuation to the upside if price holds above the retest zone.
Structure suggests a potential mid-term trend reversal if buyers maintain control.
❌ Invalidation
Idea becomes invalid if price closes below the demand zone and breaks structure to the downside.
Is $LTC Dead? The Same Question Asked Before Every Major Rally…Is NYSE:LTC Dead? The Same Question Asked Before Every Major Rally…
When markets forget history, they repeat it. Litecoin has gone through multiple full-cycle Retracements, Each time followed by explosive multi-X expansions. Let’s walk through the data:
🔰 2013–2015 Cycle: “LTC is Dead” #1
🔹 LTC hit an ATH of $55 from $1.
🔹 Retraced ~98%, bottoming at $0.985 within 16 months.
🔹 Retail sentiment: “LTC is dead.”
🔹 Smart money quietly accumulated.
Result?
$0.985 → $9 in 4 months (≈ +900%)
Eventually: $0.985 → $370 in 3 years (≈ +37,000%)
🔰 2017–2018 Cycle: “LTC is Dead” #2
🔹 New ATH: $370
🔹 Retracement: 92%, down to $23
🔹 Again: retail capitulation.
Result?
$23 → $146 in 6 months
$23 → $413 by May 2021 (≈ +1700%)
🔰 Current Market Structure (2021–2025)
🔹 Previous ATH: $413 (May 2021)
🔹 Current price: ~$84
🔹 Drawdown: 80%
Retail narrative: “LTC is dead.”
TA narrative: This is historically the accumulation zone.
Technical Outlook (Cycle-Based TA Projection)
Every prior deep-cycle retracement (80–98%) has led to:
🔹 Fresh multi-year impulse waves
🔹 New macro highs
🔹 Massive ROI expansion for accumulator wallets
Based strictly on historical cycle symmetry, volatility bands, and LTC’s halving-driven structure:
LTC Bull-Run Projection:
$600 – $1,000 is a reasonable and technically sound target range for the current macro cycle.
This would represent:
🔹 Breaking the 2021 high
🔹 Completing a full 5-wave macro structure
🔹 Returning to historical expansion ratios seen in every prior cycle
So You Already Know What Happens Next.
Litecoin’s entire history is built on max pain → max gain cycles.
Every 80–98% retracement has delivered its largest multi-X rallies after retail gave up.
Smart investors accumulate when the chart says accumulate, not when the crowd screams “dead.”
FINAL MESSAGE
LTC is not dead. It is in the same deep-value zone where every previous mega-cycle began.
If the market delivers another historical impulse, the $600–$1000 range remains a technically justified target.
Accumulate dips.
Ignore noise.
Let the chart speak.
Not Financial Advice so Always Do your Own Research Before Any Investments.
ETH Could Skyrocket to $7.8K After FUSAKA Upgrade: History ShowsCRYPTOCAP:ETH Could Skyrocket to $7.8K After FUSAKA Upgrade – History Shows
The last Ethereum Pectra Upgrade on 7 May 2025 triggered a massive move:
✅ +55% in 35 days
✅ +168% in 109 days
What’s next?
The FUSAKA Upgrade is scheduled for 3 December 2025. If history repeats:
👉 Target 35 days post-upgrade: $4,500 (7 Jan 2026)
👉 Target 109 days post-upgrade: $7,800 (22 Mar 2026)
Note: This is Purely Fractal Analysis Based on Pectra. Always DYOR – Markets can behave differently, and “Sell the News” Scenarios Happen.
Get ready for a potential ETHEREUM rally!
NFA & DYOR
Biggest Altseason 10x-20x Loading for 2026?If You're Panicking Right Now, You're About To Miss The Easiest 5x-20x Of Your Life
The Total Market Cap (excluding BTC & ETH) just painted a picture we've seen before...
HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
Last bull run → 1200% pump after breakout & retest
Current situation → Long-term trendline support broken
This looks like a classic liquidity sweep before the next major leg up.
KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔴 Strong Support: $750B - $600B
🟡 Strong Resistance: $1.1T
🟢 2026 Target: $4.25T
THE MATH:
If we hit that Target, we're looking at a 5x on total alt market cap
Individual Altcoins could Easily do:
Quality projects: 5x-10x
High potential gems: 10x-20x
Moonshots: Beyond 20x
MY TAKE:
This current "Crash" is NOT the beginning of a Bear Market. It's a shakeout. Big money is accumulating while retail panics.
The setup is almost identical to previous cycles:
✅ Panic selling at support
✅ Fear at maximum levels
✅ Long-term holders getting shaken out
This is exactly when you want to be positioning for the REAL altseason ahead.
RISK MANAGEMENT:
DCA at support zones ($750B-$600B)
Don't go all-in at once
Keep some powder dry for further dips
Focus on fundamentally strong projects
The biggest gains come to those who stay calm when others panic.
Are you ready for what's coming? 🚀
Not financial advice. DYOR. Manage your risk.
ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:
Exactly as projected, CRYPTOCAP:ETH bounced perfectly from the 0.5 FIB retracement at $2,622.
That level has now transformed into a strong structural support, increasing the probability of an upside continuation and a potential run toward a new All-Time High.
But remember 👇
If Ethereum breaks below $2,622 (0.5 FIB), the market will likely hunt liquidity into the 0.618 Golden Zone or the Bullish Order Block before launching toward the $10K macro target.
Big dips = Big accumulation discounts. Stay strategic, not emotional.
1️⃣ $2,622 (0.5) – First Defense ✅
2️⃣ $2,256 (0.618) – Golden Zone
3️⃣ $1,821 (0.786) – Nuclear Support
NFA & DYOR
Bitcoin Ready to hit New Low?BITCOIN QUICK UPDATE: LEVELS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS EXPECTED
As we mentioned earlier, the $88,600 FVG has now been fully filled, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently trading below that zone.
Here’s what matters next:
🔹 If $85,000 holds as support → BTC likely pushes toward the next major Bearish Order Block at ~$93,000.
High probability this zone gets tapped.
🔹 If BTC fails to reclaim and break above $88,000 → expect a deeper leg down toward ~$75,000.
Stay sharp. NFA.
$ETH UPDATE – FVG FILLED & STRUCTURE CLEANEDCRYPTOCAP:ETH UPDATE – FVG FILLED & STRUCTURE CLEANED
CRYPTOCAP:ETH just bounced perfectly from the $2,880 FVG and the entire downside imbalance is now fully filled, meaning no remaining bearish FVGs below.
Structure is clean… Ethereum is now technically READY for upside continuation.
Only one concern:
👉 Bullish OB zones: $2,622 & $2,256
If we dip into these OB levels → that’s the BEST accumulation zone for a $10K–$15K ETH target in the next cycle.
Don’t miss any major dip on Ethereum imo.
Smart money accumulates when the chart is clean and now it is. 🚀
NFA & dYOR
$AVAX IS SITTING ON A MACRO LEVEL YOU CAN’T IGNOREAVAX IS SITTING ON A MACRO LEVEL YOU CAN’T IGNORE
AVAX just Tapped a 4-year Demand Cluster:
Bullish OB + 0.786 Fib + long-term wedge support, the same region that triggered every major reversal since 2021.
This is Retest #3, where high-timeframe structures typically shift from capitulation → accumulation.
Liquidity below the range is cleared. Sellers are exhausted. Volatility is compressed to extremes.
If this Base Holds, the Upside Map is already Defined:
$43 → $85 → $145 → $302 (Full wedge expansion potential: ~1,100%)
This is the kind of level where institutions position quietly while retail exits loudly.
IMO, the Best Long-run Accumulation Range remains $15–$11.
Note: NFa & DYOR
CRYPTO MARKET JUST LOST $1.25 TRILLION🚨 CRYPTO MARKET JUST LOST $1.25 TRILLION: THIS IS NOT NORMAL 🚨
In just 42 days since the Oct 6 top, the market has wiped out a massive -$1.25T, A -28% collapse from the $4.27T peak → $3T zone.
This $3T level is the final line before a full liquidity vacuum.
If it breaks, volatility turns violent. Stay sharp.
NFA & DYOR
#ETHEREUM Technical Update: $3000 Hit Exactly as Mapped#ETHEREUM Technical Update: $3000 Hit Exactly as Mapped
CRYPTOCAP:ETH has tapped the $3000 zone, exactly as projected when price was breaking down from the $4000 bearish breakdown + retest.
We’re now ~30% down from the short-entry region.
If you shorted, you booked heavy profits.
If you didn’t, at least you avoided longing the top above $4000+
This is where the prime accumulation zone begins.
Key levels to watch:
🔵 $3000: First accumulation zone + bullish OB (Possible bounce reaction from here.)
🔽 Next support: $2400
Major Accumulation Zones:
0.5 FIB: ~$2621
0.618 FIB: ~$2255
If ETH sweeps into these FIB/FVG pockets, that becomes the high-discount, prime long-term accumulation zone.
Macro view unchanged: Long-term Target: $10K–$15K
Stay patient. Stick to structure. Accumulate smart, not emotional.
NFA & DYOR
Warning: $ETH Is About to Hit Its Most Critical Zone of 2025!Warning: CRYPTOCAP:ETH Is About to Hit Its Most Critical Zone of 2025!
Macro Structure
ETH remains macro bullish, currently in a healthy correction after rejecting the premium zone near $4,960.
The strong displacement from $1,577 (0.618 Fib) confirmed bullish structure, but price is now retracing into discount levels.
Key Fibonacci Levels
Measured from $879 → $4,960, ETH is deeply entering ICT discount territory:
0.382 – $3,048 (Tested)
0.500 – $2,622
0.618 – $2,256 ← Top probability zone
0.786 – $1,821
FVG & OB Zones (Major Decision Area)
1️⃣ Unfilled FVG → $2,875
👉 This is the most important decision point right now.
👉 High probability that ETH will fill this FVG.
👉 If price holds above this FVG, bullish continuation becomes very strong.
👉 If ETH fails to hold $2,875, expect the correction to deepen.
2️⃣ Next Major Support
Bullish OB: $2,622 – $2,256
→ Perfect confluence of Order Block + 0.5/0.618 Fib.
👉 This is the strongest demand zone on the entire chart and a top accumulation area.
Expectations
Most likely:
ETH fills the $2,875 FVG, then either bounces → resumes uptrend
or
breaks down → moves into $2,250–$2,620 OB to accumulate before the next macro leg.
Targets After Correction: $4,058 / $4,960 / $5,800 / $7,200 (1.618 extension)
Conclusion
ETH remains strongly bullish on HTF.
Watch $2,875 FVG as the key decision level.
If lost → $2,250–$2,620 OB becomes the premium accumulation zone before ETH heads toward new ATH.
NFA. DYOR.
Bitcoin Next move $70k or $120k?CRYPTOCAP:BTC Is About to Bounce From the Level Everyone Is Ignoring
CME Gap 👉 $91,170
FVG below 👉 $89,020
Both zones = liquidity magnets.
No upside CME gaps left… only 1 upside FVG at $120,370
My view:
Fill → Sweep → Strong bounce expected from $89K–$91K range.
Next major draw = $120K FVG.
NFa & DYOR
bearish retest I warned on Oct31 played out EXACTLY as projectedThe bearish retest I warned about on Oct 31 played out EXACTLY as projected
I clearly said CRYPTOCAP:BTC would dump again after filling the FVG at $106K–$107K and that’s exactly what happened.
BTC dropped from $107K → $98K (-9%) and from our retest entry, we’re now 15% in profit.
Hope you enjoyed the analysis and booked gains.
Now watch the 0.5–0.618 FIB zone closely.
✔️ If it holds → strong bounce possible
❌ If it fails → BTC could slide below $80K
I’ve been warning about this dump since BTC was above $120K+.
Structure always wins.
NFA & DYOR
Trump’s $2,000 stimulus = $600B Liquidity: Bitcoin To the Moon?Trump’s $2,000 Stimulus Could Light the Fuse for the Biggest Crypto Rally Ever
This isn’t just another political headline.
If Trump’s plan to send $2,000 stimulus checks funded by tariff dividends actually happens, it could unleash a $600 billion liquidity wave into the economy.
That’s nearly the same scale as the 2020 stimulus, which kicked off one of the most legendary bull runs in history.
🔹 Bitcoin skyrocketed from $3,800 to $69,000
🔹 Ethereum exploded from $90 to $4,800
🔹 Altcoins went absolutely wild, 50x, 100x, even more
But here’s the twist...
This time, the setup is 10x stronger.
In 2020, those checks were about survival, paying rent, buying food, covering bills.
Crypto was new. ETFs didn’t exist. Institutions were on the sidelines.
Now? The game has completely changed.
✅ Crypto is mainstream
✅ Bitcoin ETFs are live
✅ Institutions are ready to buy
✅ Retail access is everywhere
✅ The U.S. economy is growing, not crashing
In 2020, people used stimulus to survive.
In 2025, they’ll use it to invest.
When money flows into a market that’s already primed for risk...
That’s not just bullish, that’s explosive.
The 2020 checks fueled a survival rally.
The 2025 checks could ignite a speculation supercycle.
Imagine $600 billion pouring into a global asset class that’s waiting for liquidity.
Bitcoin. Ethereum. Solana. AI coins. RWA tokens. Meme coins.
History doesn’t repeat but it sure does rhyme.
And this rhyme could make millionaires all over again.
NFA & DYOR
#BITCOIN TECH UPDATE: BEARISH IN CONTROL#BITCOIN TECH UPDATE: BEARISH IN CONTROL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is down 14% from $115K retest, clean rejection.
Trend remains bearish, structure forming lower highs & lower lows.
Key Zones:
Relief zone: $105K–$108K (short setup area).
Major support: $94K → break below = $76K next.
Momentum:
Selling pressure dominates; no bullish divergence yet.
Invalidation:
Only a close above $111.5K flips bias bullish toward $150K. ( Super Bullish Above $116.5K)
Plan:
Sell rallies. Manage risk. Avoid FOMO longs.
NFA & DYOR
ETH/USDT (4H) chartETH/USDT (4H) chart:
The price is currently trading near a support zone (around $3,250–3,300).
The chart shows a potential bullish setup with two marked target points above.
The Ichimoku Cloud suggests resistance around mid-levels before a full reversal.
Here’s the breakdown 👇
🔹 Key Levels:
Support zone: $3,250 – $3,300
First target (inside the cloud): around $3,700 – $3,750
Second target (top / resistance zone): around $4,150 – $4,200
🔹 Summary:
If ETH holds the current support and breaks above the cloud:
Target 1: ≈ $3,700
Target 2: ≈ $4,200
Invalidation: below $3,200 (support breakdown)
(ETH/USD, 3-hour imeframe...(ETH/USD, 3-hour timeframe, Bitstamp):
The chart clearly shows a descending channel with price breaking below the lower boundary, confirming strong bearish momentum.
The Ichimoku Cloud is fully bearish, and price action is below all major cloud levels — confirming continuation to the downside.
My chart already shows a target point marker at the lower projection level.
📉 Target analysis (based on my chart + structure):
Current Price: ≈ $3,511
Immediate Target (TP1): Around $3,400 (shown near the “target point” on my chart)
Next Target (TP2): Around $3,300 — previous horizontal support & channel extension
Extended Target (TP3): Around $3,180 – $3,200, if bearish momentum accelerates
🔒 Stop-loss (for short trades):
Above $3,650 – $3,700 (upper boundary of current consolidation zone / channel midline)
📈 Summary:
Trend: Bearish continuation
TP1: $3,400
TP2: $3,300
TP3: $3,180
SL: $3,650 – $3,700
ETH/USDT dumped 20% after my analysisETHEREUM Update: Price just hit the bullish order block at $3,057 and bounced exactly as predicted ✅
Quick recap:
✅ Short-term: I’m bearish below $3,920, next potential leg down $2,500–$2,200 if $3,000 support breaks.
✅ Medium-term: Holding $3,000 support is key, could spark the next bullish wave.
✅ Long-term: Still super bullish & Target remains $10K–$15K ETH
Paper hands panic. Legends load the blood & hold.
Which one are you? 👇
NFA & DYOR
Retail Panic Meets ETF Outflows: $1B Bitcoin Sell-Off Hits MarkeRetail Panic Meets ETF Outflows: $1B Bitcoin Sell-Off Hits Markets
Bitcoin saw renewed selling pressure on Oct 30, as Binance retail traders dumped over 9,200 BTC (~$1B) around $107.7K, just days after another 12,000 BTC sell wave near $108.3K.
Technical View:
Retail traders are aggressively selling into weakness, while long-term holders remain largely inactive.
Historically, these sharp sell-offs from short-term players often form local bottoms, liquidity events where smart money quietly accumulates.
Fundamental Side:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs added more weight to the downside:
🔹 BlackRock: -$2.6B
🔹 Fidelity: -$790M
🔹 Grayscale: -$500M
These ETF outflows likely shifted capital to spot exchanges, amplifying short-term selling pressure.
Key Insight:
▶️ Retail capitulation + ETF outflows = short-term volatility
▶️ But remember, markets often bottom when retail panic peaks.
Note: NFA & DYOR
Will Bitcoin Ready to Next leg down toward $76000?CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed a bearish retest at the $116K resistance zone, maintaining a bearish bias below $116K–$117K
If price continues to reject this level, I’m anticipating a corrective move toward: $105K → $93K → $76K
However, a confirmed breakout above $117K would invalidate the bearish structure and could trigger an extended rally toward $150K+.
Resistance: $116K–$117K
Support: $105K / $93K / $76K
Bias: Bearish below $116K | Bullish above $117K
Stay disciplined — structure > sentiment.
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