EUR/USD – Accumulation After Sell-Off, Structure-Based Long IdeaEUR/USD has seen a strong sell-off, followed by a sharp reaction from a well-defined support zone. This area has already proven its strength by absorbing selling pressure and pushing price higher.
After the bounce, price is now consolidating near support instead of breaking down further, indicating potential accumulation at these levels.
What Price Is Telling Us: Price is holding above the support zone with multiple rejections and overlapping candles, showing a clear loss of bearish momentum. Sellers are failing to push price lower despite earlier strength.
This type of behavior often appears before a corrective move or continuation higher, especially after an impulsive decline.
If this analysis helped you, like, follow, and comment for more clean Forex breakdowns.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please manage risk responsibly.
EURUSD
EUR/USD – Trap or Trend Continuation?EUR/USD – Trap or Trend Continuation?
The market has recently transitioned from a strong directional advance into a phase of hesitation and balance. After a sustained upward expansion marked by clear momentum and orderly price progression, buying pressure has begun to slow. This slowdown is evident through reduced follow-through, shorter price extensions, and increased overlap between successive price movements.
Current price action reflects a state of consolidation rather than continuation. The market is no longer accelerating higher, but it is also not showing aggressive selling. This suggests that participants who benefited from the prior move are reassessing exposure, while new buyers are less willing to commit at current levels. As a result, price is fluctuating within a relatively narrow range, indicating temporary equilibrium between demand and supply.
Attempts to push higher have been met with limited acceptance, hinting at exhaustion in the recent upward move. Momentum appears to be waning, and price behavior shows signs of distribution, where activity becomes choppy and directional conviction weakens. This phase often precedes either a corrective move or a renewed expansion, depending on which side regains control.
If downside pressure increases, price is likely to seek lower valuation areas where participation previously increased. Such a move would be considered a corrective adjustment within the broader context of the prior advance rather than an outright reversal, unless selling becomes impulsive and sustained. Conversely, if buyers regain confidence and price is accepted above the recent consolidation zone, the market could resume its prior expansion with renewed strength.
Overall, the market is at an inflection point. The dominant move that brought price to current levels has lost momentum, and the next meaningful direction will depend on whether balance resolves in favor of continuation or correction. Patience is warranted until price demonstrates clear acceptance in one direction, as trading during this phase carries elevated risk of false moves.
EUR/USD Decision PhaseEUR/USD Decision Phase
Recent candles indicate a slowdown in upside follow-through, implying that short-term positioning may be crowded. This pause does not immediately invalidate the broader constructive tone but introduces the risk of a corrective rotation as liquidity is rebalanced. The projected move on the chart highlights a scenario where price may seek efficiency before determining the next directional leg.
Overall conditions suggest the market is transitioning from expansion into evaluation. Continuation higher would require renewed participation, while failure to attract follow-through could lead to a deeper reset driven by profit-taking and short-term repricing. Patience is advised as the market reveals whether this phase resolves through continuation or corrective realignment.
Price action reflects a market that has recently expanded after a prolonged phase of balanced participation. The sequence of higher intraday pushes shows growing initiative from buyers, supported by repeated structure continuation and shallow pullbacks, suggesting confidence rather than urgency. Momentum has remained constructive, with price spending more time advancing than correcting, a sign of controlled accumulation rather than emotional buying.
Recent candles indicate a slowdown in upside follow-through, implying that short-term positioning may be crowded. This pause does not immediately invalidate the broader constructive tone but introduces the risk of a corrective rotation as liquidity is rebalanced. The projected move on the chart highlights a scenario where price may seek efficiency before determining the next directional leg.
Overall conditions suggest the market is transitioning from expansion into evaluation. Continuation higher would require renewed participation, while failure to attract follow-through could lead to a deeper reset driven by profit-taking and short-term repricing. Patience is advised as the market reveals whether this phase resolves through continuation or corrective realignment.
GBPNZDI will be looking for buys on GN this week.
Technical reasons:
Price has flipped the 4H bearish structure and created a strong impulsive move to the upside. Since then, momentum into the demand zone has been weak, which is exactly what I want to see in a healthy pullback. There’s also liquidity resting above 4H high, which makes a great first target for the next leg up.
This is a high-probability setup, as it aligns with trend continuation.
Also price made accumulation and the demand zone just aligns with 70% pullback.
Let’s see how the market plays out.
NZDCADThe pair remains in a downtrend and overall bearish, but I see a potential counter-trade opportunity. This could set up as a “buy to sell” scenario. I’ll be watching for a possible bounce toward the upside before resuming shorts. First area of interest is around the 0.8100 level, where I’ll wait patiently to see how price reacts.
EURUSD - Intraday SetupRisk Management / Event Warning
Trade Management: If the trade activates and moves +15 pips to 1.16650, the Stop Loss will be moved to Breakeven (1.16500) to lock in a risk-free trade.
Fundamental Risk: High-impact USD data (US Usual Weekly Earnings) is due on December 4th. Volatility may spike around 8:30 PM IST. The position will be monitored closely or partially closed before this release to protect profits.
EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?
EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending structure that has been active for several weeks, with repeated breaks of structure marking the gradual weakening of bearish momentum. The pair has shown consistent attempts to reclaim internal structure, revealing that sellers are losing dominance at each successive swing.
The recent price action highlights a slowdown in the bearish cycle, with the pair forming a compressed consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel. This type of price behavior typically represents absorption, where liquidity is collected before a potential directional shift. Multiple bullish breaks within the current leg signal that the market is preparing for a transition phase.
The chart illustrates a clear reaction to the most recent liquidity sweep, followed by a controlled reset in order flow. Buyers have stepped in aggressively in previous cycles after similar setups, suggesting that the market is once again positioning itself for a recovery attempt toward higher inefficiencies.
Volume distribution from the left side of the chart shows earlier institutional engagement, and the current region aligns with historical accumulation behaviors seen in prior EURUSD reversals. If the pair maintains strength within this consolidation pocket, the next move could be a bullish repricing wave targeting unmitigated zones above.
Overall, EURUSD is showing signs of shift and structural recovery, with the current pattern favoring a bullish reaction in the coming sessions.
EUR/USD – Growth Opportunity After Positive DataThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.1612, up by 0.2% ahead of the September industrial production data from the Eurozone. This data is expected to show a 0.7% recovery for the month, following a sharp 1.2% decline the previous month. This is a positive signal for the Euro and could create a strong growth opportunity for EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis: The chart shows that EUR/USD is attempting to break the 1.16500 level, which indicates a test towards 1.16800 in the short term. If the pair continues to maintain this trend, it may break through strong resistance and target 1.17000. However, this may require additional support factors, such as weak data from the U.S. or more positive macroeconomic signals for the Euro.
Conclusion: With the factors from industrial production data and technical signals , I believe EUR/USD has the potential to continue increasing in the short term, but further confirmation from economic data is needed for a stronger breakout. If the price holds above 1.160 and breaks resistance, 1.170 will be the next realistic target.
EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.16EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.17
EURUSD is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal after an extended period of downside movement. The 3H chart highlights several Market Structure Shifts (MSS) and Breaks of Structure (BOS) suggesting that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are regaining control near the 1.1500 demand zone.
The price is forming a solid accumulation base, indicating that smart money may be positioning for a move higher. A clean break above the 1.1680–1.1730 resistance area could confirm a trend reversal, opening the way for a sustained bullish rally toward the mid-1.18 region.
With momentum strengthening and structure turning positive, EURUSD looks poised for a potential breakout continuation in the days ahead.
📈 Key Insights:
Structure: Bullish reversal forming on 3H timeframe
Support zone: 1.1500 – strong accumulation base
Upside targets: 1.1680 → 1.1730 → 1.1800
Outlook: Buyers regaining control; bullish continuation likely
EUR/USD Outlook: Buyers Regain ControlThe EUR/USD market is beginning to show early signs of recovery momentum as sentiment gradually turns constructive. After an extended period of controlled weakness, the pair is attracting renewed interest from institutional participants positioning for a potential upward rotation in the coming sessions.
Market tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Liquidity distribution across recent sessions indicates accumulation behavior at lower price zones, often a precursor to a bullish transition. Traders appear to be building exposure in anticipation of improved Euro-area sentiment and potential easing of dollar strength, both of which may provide the foundation for a broader corrective advance.
Price action suggests that selling pressure is losing effectiveness as downside extensions are quickly absorbed. The slowdown in bearish momentum combined with increased buying participation signals a developing phase of re-accumulation, where stronger hands begin to dominate short-term flows.
Confidence is gradually improving, supported by expectations that market equilibrium is tilting back toward Euro favor. While volatility remains moderate, structural patterns imply that the market may be preparing for a sentiment-driven expansion to the upside. The tone of order flow has shifted toward buy-side liquidity, pointing to a constructive environment for continuation of the upward phase once momentum fully confirms.
In summary, EUR/USD appears to be entering the early stage of a bullish rotation characterized by accumulation, strengthening sentiment, and declining downside conviction. The pair is poised for potential medium-term appreciation as market positioning aligns with renewed optimism toward the Euro’s relative outlook.
(EUR/USD, 2-hour timeframe...(EUR/USD, 2-hour timeframe, with Ichimoku Cloud and descending channel):
The price is currently breaking below the lower channel boundary and the Ichimoku Cloud is fully bearish — both strong continuation signals.
The chart shows a projected “Target Point” zone around 1.1415, which seems to be the first target area marked.
If bearish momentum continues below 1.1415, the next extended downside targets can be:
TP1: 1.1415 (already shown on my chart)
TP2: 1.1380 (next support zone from previous swing)
TP3: 1.1350 (major channel base & psychological support)
📉 Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Immediate Target: 1.1415
Next Targets (if breakdown continues): 1.1380 → 1.1350
Stop-loss (for shorts): Above 1.1485–1.1500 (upper channel resistance)
EURUSD 1H - LONGFX:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
Euro Under Pressure from Strong USDThe euro continues to show weakness against the dollar as global risk sentiment cools and investors shift toward safer assets. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key inflation data from the Eurozone and upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, which could clarify the next phase of U.S. monetary policy.
The recent euro recovery attempts have met consistent supply, reflecting pressure from subdued European growth and stronger U.S. economic resilience. The dollar remains supported by robust labor market conditions and persistent inflation expectations, which sustain demand for U.S. yields and Treasury assets.
Liquidity patterns suggest that institutions are still offloading positions near recent highs, keeping EUR/USD confined within a broader corrective cycle. Energy price fluctuations and diverging rate expectations between the ECB and the Fed continue to weigh on sentiment.
Overall, the pair remains under macroeconomic strain, with capital flows favoring the dollar as global markets seek stability am
EUR/USD chart...EUR/USD chart:
Chart timeframe: 2H (2-hour chart)
Pattern: It looks like a descending trendline breakout from a consolidation (range) zone, confirmed by Ichimoku signals and upward momentum.
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud shows price breaking above the cloud — a bullish sign.
Target zone: my marked two “target points” with arrows on my chart.
---
To estimate the target price, let’s infer it based on the chart:
1. Current price (breakout point): ≈ 1.1667
2. Height of the range (pink box): roughly from 1.1520 to 1.1670
→ Range height ≈ 150 pips (0.0150)
If this is a range breakout, then:
Target 1 (conservative): 1.1667 + 0.0150 = 1.1817
Target 2 (extended): another projection from that = 1.1967
---
✅ Targets Summary:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1817
🎯 Target 2: 1.1967
These align with my chart’s two “target point” lines visually.
EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart on the 2-hour timeframe...EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, here’s a detailed breakdown of what my setup is showing and the likely target levels 👇
---
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current price: ≈ 1.1608
My using Ichimoku Cloud, trendlines, and measured move projections.
The chart shows a breakout from a falling channel, with two marked target points above.
---
🎯 Target Points (as per my chart):
1. First Target (Short-term):
Roughly around 1.1680 – 1.1700
This level aligns with the top of the Ichimoku Cloud and previous structure resistance.
It’s my initial profit zone after confirmation of breakout continuation.
2. Second Target (Extended):
Roughly around 1.1780 – 1.1800
This level is derived from the measured move (height of previous range projected upward).
It represents the full bullish objective if momentum sustains.
---
⚙ Trading Logic (Example):
Buy Entry: After breakout retest near 1.1600 – 1.1620
Target 1: 1.1680 – 1.1700
Target 2: 1.1780 – 1.1800
Stop Loss: Below 1.1550 (previous swing low / lower cloud boundary)
---
📊 Potential Gain:
From 1.1600:
Target 1: ≈ +80 pips
Target 2: ≈ +180–200 pips
GBPUSD - 15M (IDEA)FOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
EURUSD Outlook: Dollar Dominance Extends as Euro WeakensThe EURUSD pair remains under downward pressure as investors continue favoring the U.S. dollar amid global economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s consistent stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer has reinforced the dollar’s appeal, while weak Eurozone data — including sluggish industrial output and fading consumer confidence — has weighed on the euro’s recovery.
Market sentiment shows limited bullish strength for the euro, with traders closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation and ECB policy comments. Unless the Eurozone presents stronger economic momentum or fiscal support, the euro is likely to remain on the defensive.
Overall, the fundamental tone supports continued USD dominance. The broader market structure reflects bearish tendencies for EURUSD in the medium term, with investors preferring dollar exposure as a safer bet amid global uncertainty.
EUR/USD – Bearish Continuation in MotionEUR/USD continues to display a bearish market structure, reflecting persistent downside pressure as the euro struggles to maintain stability against the U.S. dollar. Recent price action shows a period of consolidation followed by a liquidity grab near short-term highs, indicating that buyers are losing strength and the market is positioning for a potential continuation of the decline. The broader market tone suggests that sentiment remains cautious, with traders favoring the dollar due to its resilience amid global uncertainty and steady U.S. economic performance. The pair’s inability to establish higher highs further confirms weakness in bullish momentum. This behavior often signals distribution, where institutional players offload long positions before another leg downward. Short-term movements could still present small corrective bounces as the market seeks liquidity, but overall conditions favor sellers. Unless a strong shift in macro sentiment occurs, EUR/USD is likely to maintain its downward trajectory, targeting lower levels as the bearish momentum unfolds and traders continue aligning with dollar strength.
Euro Dollar Analysis – Corrective Rebound or Bearish Setup?EUR/USD continues to operate within a controlled market cycle. The sharp decline earlier this week highlighted strong bearish momentum, followed by a corrective rebound that served as a liquidity reset. This rebound is less about trend reversal and more about rebalancing order flow after an aggressive selloff.
The current structure suggests the market may still seek liquidity higher before resuming its dominant direction. A sweep toward the 1.1780 area could attract late buyers, providing larger players the opportunity to offload positions before driving price lower again.
Overall, EUR/USD remains tilted toward the downside. The corrective phase is acting as a preparation stage, positioning the pair for another potential bearish leg once redistribution completes.
EUR/USD is entering a decisive SMC zone – Big move loading...📊 EUR/USD H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan
1. Market Structure
Main trend: bearish (after clear CHoCH and BOS).
Price has formed Equal Highs (EQH) → strong liquidity above.
Untested liquidity zone below (OBB) → expectation for price to sweep down.
2. Key Zones
Supply Zone (OBS + FVG):
1.18100 – 1.18200
This supply aligns with the Fair Value Gap.
Expecting price to retest this zone and reject downward.
Demand Zone (OBB):
1.16500 – 1.16650
Strong demand zone combined with liquidity resting below previous lows.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price reaches the OBS + FVG (1.1810 – 1.1820) area,
Expect bearish reaction → Sell setup.
SL: above 1.1830.
TP: demand zone at 1.1650.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price taps into OBB (1.1650 – 1.1665) and holds,
Expect bullish reaction → Buy setup targeting 1.1750 – 1.1780.
SL: below 1.1630.
4. Market Psychology
Buy side: attempting to push higher but likely just a pullback to fill FVG and sweep liquidity above EQH.
Sell side: in control after BOS to the downside, targeting demand below.
Flip Zone: once supply is broken, it may flip into a new reaction zone (support).
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 1.1810 – 1.1820 → TP 1.1650
Buy Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1665 → TP 1.1750
EURUSD – Bearish Channel Continuation on H1EURUSD – Bearish Channel Continuation on H1
Market Overview
EURUSD continues to move steadily within a descending channel, confirming a bearish market structure. Recent recovery attempts have been capped at supply zones, while liquidity remains concentrated at lower price levels. As long as the pair trades inside this channel, the preferred strategy is to look for selling opportunities.
Technical Context
The bearish channel remains intact, with strong seller defence in the 1.1720–1.1790 zone.
Key resistance levels: 1.1753 and 1.1820. Only a clear break above 1.1820 would weaken the bearish scenario.
Downside liquidity targets sit around 1.1630, with extended potential toward 1.1575 if selling pressure accelerates.
Trading Scenarios
🔻 Priority – Sell Setups (with the channel trend)
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 1.1720 – 1.1730
Stop Loss: 1.1750
Take Profit: 1.1695 – 1.1670 – 1.1652 – 1.1630
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 1.1780 – 1.1790
Stop Loss: 1.1810
Take Profit: 1.1755 – 1.1730 – 1.1700 – 1.1675
🔹 Alternative – Buy Setup (countertrend, lower probability)
Buy Setup
Entry: 1.1630 – 1.1620
Stop Loss: 1.1600
Take Profit: 1.1660 – 1.1680 – 1.1700
Note: This setup is only valid if price tests the demand zone around 1.1620–1.1630, which could trigger a short-term corrective bounce.
Risk Management & Outlook
Primary Bias: Stay bearish while price action remains within the channel.
Invalidation: A confirmed H1/H4 close above 1.1820 invalidates the bearish view.
Target: A decisive breakdown below 1.1630 could pave the way towards 1.1575.
✅ Conclusion:
EURUSD remains in a clear downtrend. The main strategy is to sell rallies into resistance zones, targeting lower liquidity areas. Long positions can be considered only at strong demand levels, and should be treated as short-term corrective trades rather than a trend reversal.
EUR/USD WEEKLY ANALYSIS: Where Liquidity Zone Price Target On ? OANDA:EURUSD
The Previous Uptrend (around September 16-17):
The candles show positive Delta values (+5.64K, -2.97K, +174). Although the candle on the 17th had a negative Delta, the overall trend leading up to it was driven by buying pressure. The high volume numbers on the buy side (left) during this period confirm that buyers were in control, pushing the price up.
The Current Corrective Move (around September 18-19):
This is where the Footprint data becomes most interesting and confirms the pullback.
September 18th candle: This candle shows a significant negative Delta (-288). This is a strong signal that sellers have entered the market aggressively. While the total volume is high (77.84K), the imbalance is clearly in favor of the sellers. The large red numbers on the right side of the candle, especially at higher prices, show that sellers were dominating and pushing the price down.
September 19th candle: The price continues to drop, and the Delta remains negative, reinforcing the selling pressure. The high sell volumes at the top of the candle confirm that this is a sustained downtrend within the larger corrective move.
Confirmation for the Trading Plan:
The Footprint data perfectly complements the SMC plan. It shows that the current downward move is not random; it's a deliberate shift in order flow driven by aggressive selling. This validates our expectation that the price will likely continue its correction.
To execute the long trade from the BUY ZONE, we would need to see a reversal in this Footprint data. Look for a future candle that shows a positive Delta, or a significant increase in buy volume at the lower price levels, especially within the BUY ZONE of 1.1670-1.1690. This would indicate that "Smart Money" is stepping back in to buy, confirming our entry.
In short, the Footprint data confirms the bearish pressure driving the current correction. It tells us not to rush into a buy and to wait for a clear shift in order flow to validate an entry.
Market Structure Analysis
Change of Character (ChoCH): The price shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend by breaking the previous high, which is marked as "ChoCH". This is the first signal indicating a change in the trend.
Break of Structure (BOS): After the ChoCH, the price continued to form higher highs and higher lows. A strong upward move broke the most recent high, creating a new "BOS". This confirms that the uptrend is continuing.
Current Trend: The current market structure is bullish. The price has created a new high (HH) and is now in a corrective phase, pulling back to find a strong support zone.
Analysis of Key Zones
Based on the market structure, there are key zones to watch:
BUY ZONE:
Location: The price range is from ~1.1670 to ~1.1690.
Significance: This zone is a crucial Order Block (OB). It was formed by the last candle before the price started its strong upward move, breaking the structure (BOS). According to SMC logic, this is where "Smart Money" placed large buy orders to push the price up, and the price is highly likely to retrace to "fill" the remaining orders. This is the most potential entry point for a long position.
SELL ZONE:
Location: The price range is from ~1.1820 to ~1.1840.
Significance: This zone is an Order Block and may also contain an Imbalance (liquidity gap). The price has already pulled back and had a minor reaction to this area. This is a temporary resistance zone. If the price continues to correct lower towards the "BUY ZONE", it will break through this area.
Liquidity and Stop Loss Zones:
Stop Loss (HH): The stop loss for a potential short trade would be placed above the highest peak (~1.1900).
Stop Loss (LL): The stop loss for a potential long trade would be placed below the lowest low (below the "BUY ZONE", ~1.1640). This area holds liquidity for buy orders placed here. If the price breaks this zone, the bullish structure could be invalidated, and the trading plan needs to be reconsidered.
Trading Plan
Based on the analysis, there are two main scenarios for trading EUR/USD:
Primary Scenario (Long Trade):
Strategy: Wait for the price to continue its corrective pullback.
Entry: Place a pending buy order in the BUY ZONE (~1.1670 - 1.1690).
Reasoning: This is the strongest Order Block zone, where the price is highly likely to reverse to continue the uptrend.
Take Profit:
TP1: The nearest high, above the SELL ZONE (~1.1840).
TP2: The current highest peak (~1.1880).
TP3: The liquidity zone above the high (HH) (~1.1920).
Stop Loss: Place it below the lowest low (LL), which is below the BUY ZONE (~1.1640).
Alternative Scenario (Short-Term Short Trade):
Strategy: Based on the current correction.
Entry: Consider a short-term sell trade when the price hits the SELL ZONE (~1.1820 - 1.1840).
Reasoning: This is a temporary resistance zone that could push the price down to fill the BUY ZONE below.
Take Profit: The BUY ZONE (~1.1670).
Stop Loss: Place it above the nearest peak within the corrective phase (~1.1860).
Important Note: The long trade scenario (primary plan) is more reliable because it aligns with the main market trend. The short trade scenario should be considered a short-term, higher-risk trade. Always follow proper risk management principles and only enter a trade with clear confirmation signals (e.g., a reversal candlestick pattern or a clear reaction to the key zones).






















