THE DOLLAR INDEX MIGHT SEE A CORRECTION OR EVEN A REVERSALthe dollar index might see a sell-off for quite a few while the reasons for it is
REASONS
1. on a 1week time frame we are seeing a strong resistance.
2. on the 1day time frame we are seeing double top on the resistance.
3. and on 15 min time frame, we can see a head and shoulder pattern and a descending triangle pattern.
4. if the US market stays positive today we could see and in verse affect the dollar index.
so, my suggestion is to stay against the dollar and you could eventually capture a big move
Eurusd-3
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EUR/USD the EUR/USD can see a rally for some time
REASONS
1. we are at a very crucial weekly support.
2. we made a double bottom on such crucial support.
3. on 1h time frame we broke a trend that had been tested quite a few times.
4. the dollar index is at its all-time high and made a double top.
so, as the USD depreciates we will see a rally in EUR/USD.
NOTE: IF THE US STOCKMARKET CLOSES IN GREEN OR MAKE SIGNS OF RECOVERY WE MIGHT SEE A HUGE RALLY IN THIS FOREX SO KEEP A TRACK OF US MARKET AS WELL
EURUSD has more downside room amid pre-Fed USD strengthEURUSD dribbles around a monthly low after breaking the six-week-old horizontal support. That said, the downward sloping RSI (14) line, not oversold, joins bearish MACD signals to also hint at the major currency pair’s further downside. With this, the sellers brace for the yearly low surrounding 1.0350. However, the RSI line and nearness to the Fed may restrict the quote’s downside below the same, if not then the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late March-May moves, around 1.0270, will gain the market’s attention.
On the contrary, corrective pullback needs to sustain beyond the immediate support-turned-resistance, around 1.0460-70, to convince short-term EURUSD buyers. Following that, the 20-DMA level near 1.0650 will precede the monthly top of 1.0773 to challenge the pair’s further upside. It’s worth noting that May’s top near 1.0790 acts as a validation point for the quote’s run-up towards late April swing high near 1.0935.
Overall, broad US dollar strength ahead of the Fed’s widely anticipated rate hike keeps EURUSD pressured towards refreshing the yearly low marked in May.
EURUSD bulls run out of steam ahead of ECBAlthough EURUSD battles a four-month-old resistance line, the lower high of prices contrasts with the higher high of the RSI (14) to portray a hidden bearish divergence and tease sellers ahead of the key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. That said, the 21-DMA, around 1.0635 appears to be the immediate support to watch during the quote’s pullback ahead of welcoming the south-run. During the fall, the six-week-long horizontal area surrounding 1.0470-60 could act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the pair towards the yearly low marked in May around 1.0350.
Meanwhile, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside, near 1.0785, and March’s low near 1.0805 seem the validation points for the EURUSD pair’s further upside, even if it successfully crosses the aforementioned resistance line near 1.0740. Should the major currency pair stays firmer past 1.0805, late April swing high and the 100-DMA, close to 1.0940, will lure the pair bulls.
Overall, EURUSD’s latest rebound portrays the hawkish expectations from the ECB, failing to comply with the same can quickly drag the quote towards the south.
EURUSD SELL: Don't Miss Sell Opportunity (H4 Trend)EURUSD Still Running in Downtrend, Still there is no confirmation for uptrend. Possible bearish momentum till our target zone.
*** Final Target: 1.04726 ***
Use Proper Money Management Before Entry.
Best of Luck :)
What is your view on this idea? Please share in the below comment section :)
EURUSD teases bears ahead of US ADP Employment dataEURUSD fades three-week-old recovery as it remains below a downward sloping trend line from early February, around 1.0745 by the press time. Also keeping sellers hopeful is the RSI retreat and a downside break of the 1.0690 support-turned-resistance confluence, comprising an ascending support line from May 13 and 10-DMA. That said, the bears seem approaching 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the February-May downturn, around 1.0620, becomes imminent. In a case where the pair remains pressured below 1.0620, monthly horizontal support close to 1.0470-60 appears the last defense of sellers.
On the contrary, a successful break of the multi-day-old resistance line, near 1.0745, becomes necessary to recall buyers. Even so, a validation from the 38.2% Fibo. level surrounding 1.0785, as well as March’s low of 1.0805, becomes necessary to convince EURUSD bulls. However, the pair’s run-up beyond 1.0805 won’t hesitate to challenge the late April swing high around 1.0935.
Overall, EURUSD bulls seem running out of steam but the bears need clear signals and are challenged by the US data’s presence as well.
EURUSD in Retracement, We can expect Long after itEURUSD in Retracement till 1.0500 the Strong Demand zone.
We can expect Bullish after the 4hr retracement.
Kindly, recheck your analysis.
Don't forget to trade with a proper Risk & Money Management.
Let me know what else you want in comments below. Thank and Happy Trading.
EURUSD stays bullish above 1.0640 support, US PCE Inflation eyedEURUSD remains firmer inside a fortnight old bullish channel ahead of the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, also staying beyond the key SMAs. Currently, the channel’s upper line surrounding 1.0800 lures the pair buyers, a break of which will direct them towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April 21 to May 13 fall, near 1.0820. It’s worth noting that the RSI is speedily approaching the overbought territory and hence the run-up beyond 1.0820 appears difficult. However, a successful rise past 1.0820 won’t hesitate to challenge the latest peak close to 1.0935 with eyes on the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive unless breaking the 1.0640 support confluence, including 200-SMA and support line of the stated channel, also comprising the early May swing high. In a case where EURUSD drops below 1.0640, the 100-SMA level near 1.0550 will test the pair sellers, a break of which will allow them to revisit the monthly low of 1.0348.
To sum up, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar ahead of the key inflation data but the upside room is limited and hence buyers need strong numbers to dominate further.
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in EURUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (1.0605).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. EURUSD is in an uptrend, and the continuation of the uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 56.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.0700
TP2= @ 1.0760
TP3= @ 1.0811
TP4= @ 1.0850
TP5= @ 1.0894
SL= Break below S2
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EURUSD stays on the bull’s radar despite recent pullbackEURUSD consolidates the biggest daily gains in nearly three months around a fortnight top during Tuesday. In doing so, the major currency pair retreats from a weekly ascending trend channel’s resistance line amid an overbought RSI. However, the quote remains beyond the 200-SMA and previous resistance line from late March, respectively around 1.0650 and the 1.0560. Adding strength to the 1.0560 support is the lower line of the aforementioned channel. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA level of 1.0525 and April’s low of 1.0470 also challenge the pair’s weakness past 1.0560.
On the flip side, a fresh run-up will aim for another battle with the stated channel’s resistance line, near 1.0710 at the latest. Also acting as the key upside hurdle is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-May downside, close to 1.0765. In a case where EURUSD rises past 1.0765, the bulls can aim for late April’s swing high surrounding 1.0935.
Overall, EURUSD bears need to stay cautious before taking any major positions as the quote is yet to defy the previous breakouts.