EURUSD gyrates within bullish pennantEURUSD seesaws within a week-long bullish pennant formation, bracing for the second weekly gain, as markets await this week’s key US data. Not only the bullish pennant but the bullish crossover of the 50-SMA to the 100-SMA also keeps the Euro buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI and MACD fail to inspire the pair bulls. As a result, a fresh long position can wait until the quote confirms the bullish chart pattern by crossing the 1.0980 immediate hurdle. To make matters more clear, in case of big positions, the buyers should seek the pair’s successful trading beyond the 1.1010-20 resistance area. Following that, a run-up toward 1.1100 will be imminent before highlighting the yearly peak of 1.1275 for the bulls.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s downside break of 1.0920 support will defy the bullish pennant and can drag the prices toward the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, respectively near 1.0880 and 1.0870. However, an upward-sloping support line from early November, close to 1.0800 by the press time, will be a crucial support to watch for defending the bulls, a break of which will give control to the bears targeting the monthly low of 1.0723 and early November bottom surrounding 1.0650.
Overall, the EURUSD remains on the buyer’s radar despite the recent inaction.
Eurusd-4
EURUSD bulls approach 1.0970 hurdle ahead of ECBEURUSD prints a four-day winning streak while refreshing the monthly high around 1.0915 as traders await the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy announcements on early Thursday. The Euro pair’s latest recovery takes clues from the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt, as well as the upbeat RSI and MACD signals. Adding strength to the upside bias is the quote’s successful trading beyond the 100-SMA. With this, the major currency pair is likely to extend the previous week’s recovery toward the 1.0970 resistance confluence comprising a downward-sloping resistance line from July and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-October fall. Apart from the 1.0970, the 1.1000 psychological magnet and the previous monthly high of around 1.1020 also act as additional upside filters, a break of which will allow the bulls to challenge the yearly peak of 1.1275 marked in July.
On the flip side, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci ratios, surrounding 1.0865 and 1.0760 respectively, restrict the immediate downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the 100-SMA and the 50-SMA will challenge the Euro bears near 1.0750 and 1.0730 in that order. It’s worth noting, however, that a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late May, close to 1.0670, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers to break afterward.
Overall, the EURUSD pair appears all set to poke the 1.0970 hurdle but the quote’s further upside hinges on the ECB’s hawkish move, which is less likely to happen.
EURUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.0930EURUSD floats above 100-SMA on early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in three. However, the quote remains well below the key resistance confluence surrounding 1.0930, which comprises the 50-SMA, the bottom line of a monthly bullish channel and a downward-sloping trend line from November 29. It’s worth noting that the RSI rebound from the oversold territory allows the Euro pair to lick its wounds but the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the key upside hurdle keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the quote crosses the 1.0930 resistance, a fortnight-old rising trend line and the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.1050 and 1.1130 in that order, will test the pair buyers.
On the contrary, the 100-SMA and a 13-day-old horizontal support zone, respectively near 1.0870 and 1.0830, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the early November swing high of around 1.0750 will act as the final defense of the Euro buyers before opening the door for the bears to aim for the October swing high of around 1.0670. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0670, it becomes vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0515.
Overall, EURUSD bears are in command despite the pair’s latest consolidation. However, the RSI conditions and this week’s US jobs report will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
EURUSD licks its wounds with eyes on ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s PowellEURUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the weekly low, snapping a two-day losing streak, as the pair traders await speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, scheduled late Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair reverses pullback from a five-month-old horizontal resistance as the RSI (14) line returns to normal territory after a brief move in the overbought region. However, the bearish MACD signals and failure to cross the key resistance area surrounding 1.1010-1000 push sellers toward a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside, near 1.0860 at the latest. It should be noted, though, that a convergence of the 200-SMA and previous resistance line stretched from late September, close to 1.0820-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair bears, a break of which will enable them to poke the mid-September peak of near 1.0700.
Meanwhile, the late August swing high of 1.0945 and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of near 1.0960 restrict the immediate upside of EURUSD. Following that, the aforementioned resistance region surrounding 1.1010-1000 will regain the market’s attention. In a case where the Euro buyers manage to keep the reins past 1.1000, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.1000 will act as the final defense of the bears before directing prices toward the yearly high of 1.1275 marked in July.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to stay pressured but the bears shouldn’t be hopeful of further downside unless they witness a sustained trading below 1.0820-15.
EUR/USD Price AnalysisThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.0970, facing slight losses in the early European session after pulling back from a four-month high of 1.1017. Traders are awaiting inflation data from Italy, France, and the Eurozone, with the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) expected to show a 3.9% YoY growth in November.
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD maintains a positive outlook, staying above the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, suggesting a favorable trend for the pair.
Immediate resistance is observed at 1.1000, marked by the Bollinger Band boundary and a psychological round figure. The next resistance levels are at 1.1017 and 1.1042, followed by a potential rally to 1.1150 if buying momentum persists.
On the downside, a key support level lies at 1.0930, indicated by the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and the 50-hour EMA. Further support is found at 1.0895 (low of November 24), 1.0867 (100-hour EMA), and 1.0825 (low of November 17). Monitoring these levels can provide insights into potential price movements.
EURUSD has a recovery rhythm, expected to increase againAccording to experts, the world price of EURUSD suddenly increased sharply due to recent positive inflation data and the weakening of the USD. There is a high possibility that the EURUSD price has run ahead of the news of the meeting minutes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced tomorrow morning.
The USD continues to weaken as the market believes that the Fed has completed its interest rate hike cycle and may consider starting to reduce interest rates. Domestically, banks adjusted USD trading prices down sharply in the context of a sharp decline in the central exchange rate
EURUSD BuyFOREXCOM:EURUSD 15m
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
EURUSD bulls prod golden Fibonacci ratio amid overbought RSIEURUSD hovers near the highest level in 14 weeks, recently picking up bids to reverse the previous day’s pullback from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside, also known as the Gold Fibonacci ratio. Apart from the key Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.0965, the overbought conditions of the RSI (14) line also challenge the Euro buyers. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful trading above the 200-SMA and the bullish MACD signals keep the bulls hopeful of crossing the immediate hurdle, which in turn opens the door for the pair’s rally toward the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio and the yearly high marked in July, respectively near 1.1100 and 1.1275.
On the flip side, the EURUSD pair’s pullback could aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 1.0865 but the bears need validation from the 200-SMA level of 1.0800. Following that, the early-month swing high of around 1.0750 could test the Euro sellers. Above all, the pair buyers remain hopeful unless they witness a daily close beneath a convergence of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a seven-week-old upward-sloping support line, close to 1.0650.
Overall, EURUSD bulls approach the key upside hurdle ahead of the US Durable Goods Orders and the weekly employment data, making it the key pair to observe ahead of Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday.
EURUSD hovers around key resistance, focus on ECB’s LagardeEURUSD appears all-set for the weekly gain even if a three-month-old descending resistance line and the overbought RSI (14) restrict the pair’s immediate upside. It’s worth noting that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s successful trading above the key Fibonacci retracement ratios, as well as the SMAs, keep the buyers hopeful. That said, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the Euro pair’s August-October downside, respectively near 1.0830 and 1.0755, initially test the bears before directing them toward the 50-SMA 1.0745. It’s worth noting that the 200-SMA level of around 1.0620 acts as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to a drop to the previous monthly low of 1.0450.
Alternatively, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-August, around 1.0885-90, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls as they await European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s speech. Following that, tops marked on August 30 and 15, close to 1.0945 and 1.0955, will act as additional upside filters before directing the Euro bears toward the 1.1000 round figure and then to the August month’s top of near 1.1065. In a case where the major currency pair remains firmer past 1.1065, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the yearly high of near 1.1275, marked in July, can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar even if the upside room appears limited ahead of a speech from ECB’s Lagarde. That said, Lagarde is likely to defend the Euro bulls by being hawkish but a reference to the economic hardships and recently easy inflation numbers might allow the pair traders to consolidate weekly gains.
EURUSD weekend, long -term analysisHello everyone!
EUR/USD is facing downward pressure and has dropped below 1.0700 during Thursday's trading session in the US. The currency pair remained relatively quiet at the start of Friday, while technical prospects indicate a slight downward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, we can observe that EUR/USD has extended its upward trend, but a completed 5-wave Elliott pattern suggests a potential price decline followed by an expected price rebound.
EURUSD: Is there still motivation to increase prices?The EUR/USD pair is extending its sideways consolidation trend in Tuesday's trading session and is trading below the 1.070 level. However, the price is still attempting to hold above the 1.0700 level and is dependent on the price dynamics of the US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies, has rebounded from nearly an 8-week low overnight and turned out to be a key resistance factor for the EUR/USD pair. Officials from the Federal Reserve have provided mixed signals about the future interest rate hike path, leading to an increase in US Treasury bond yields on Monday and prompting some short-term positioning in USD.
On the 4-hour chart analysis: EUR/USD has just surpassed the resistance at 1.068 and, according to price action principles, is currently in the process of retesting the previous breakout zone and testing the EMA line. If favorable, EUR/USD may continue to find support at this level and further develop. On the other hand, breaking below the current support level could push EUR/USD back to a lower figure estimated at 1.060.
EURUSD edges higher within bear flag, central bankers eyedEURUSD consolidates the previous losses within a six-week-old rising channel, forming part of a multi-day-long bearish flag chart formation, currently between 1.0760 and 1.0590. It’s worth noting that the firmer RSI (14) line, not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to favor the Euro pair’s further recovery towards the 1.0760. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around 1.0800, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0800, the bearish bets will be off the table and will enable the buyers to challenge the late August swing high of around 1.0950.
Meanwhile, the 50-SMA level of around 1.0620 acts as an immediate downside support to watch during the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside. Following that, the stated bearish flag’s bottom line of near 1.0590 will be crucial as a break of which will theoretically confirm the pair’s gradual fall toward the sub-1.000 region. However, the yearly low marked in October around 1.0445 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0380 could test the Euro bears on their way.
Overall, the EURUSD is likely to remain in the recovery mode but the upside room appears limited. That said, today’s speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
EURUSD returned to a strong price increase?Hello everyone, EURUSD has experienced a significant increase in the previous week, with a price surge surpassing the 1.070 level. It is currently trading at a new high of 1.072, the strongest increase since mid-June.
Regarding the influencing factors:
The daily market drivers for this currency pair include the general weakness of the USD due to the Federal Reserve (Fed) changing its stance towards a more accommodative approach, hinting that they may end the tightening cycle on Wednesday. As a reaction, US Treasury bond yields dropped to their lowest level since September, with 2.5 and 10-year bond yields decreasing to 4.84, 4.50, and 4.57%. This has added selling pressure on the Greenback and provided a significant advantage for the EURUSD pair, aiding its recovery.
Regarding the new prospects for EURUSD:
On the 1D chart, EURUSD is currently receiving strong support at the 1.05 level. Breaking below this level would lead to a considerable price decrease, while maintaining this level would result in a price increase. Upon careful observation, it can be seen that the currency pair has surpassed the resistance level at 1.07. Both short-term and medium-term prospects indicate a strengthening upward trend. Personally, I believe that EUR will continue to experience a strong upward movement.
Eurusd has difficulty increasingHello everyone!
The EUR/USD pair has risen by more than 10580 during the early Asian trading session on Thursday. The US dollar (USD) weakened after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting, providing some support for the major currency pair. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around 10597, up 0.26% for the day.
My perspective is that after reaching the resistance level of 1.066, a retracement will occur here with an expected decline to 1.052. Do you share the same viewpoint as me?
EURUSD decreases when USD increasesDear readers, the EUR USD trading has been unstable and uncertain in the past few days, currently hovering around 1.062 with a slight increase today. However, the recovery of the USD is putting pressure on this currency pair. The Euro is facing a suitable resistance zone around 1.063. What do you think about the potential decline reaching the limit of the price channel?
EURUSD BearishFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
EURUSD challenges bullish channel formation on Fed daySofter prints of the Eurozone inflation joined the overall risk-off mood and slightly upbeat US data to drag the EURUSD pair down on Tuesday. Adding strength to the bearish bias are the hopes of witnessing one more rate hike from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) during 2023, as well as the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI. However, a one-month-old ascending trend channel, currently between 1.0710 and 1.0540, provides headwinds to the Euro sellers. In a case where the major currency pair breaks the 1.0540 support and defies the bullish chart pattern, the yearly low marked in October 1.0450 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0370 will lure the bears afterward.
On the flip side, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) surrounding 1.0615 guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0710. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downside, near 1.0750, will act as an additional upside filter for the bulls before taking control. Following that, a quick run-up towards the late August month’s high of around 1.0950 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD challenges the four-week-old recovery as markets await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting results on Wednesday.
EURUSD lost the declineDear friends, Let's explore the market with Samson today!
Moving away from the upward trend, the EUR has lost momentum in today's trading session. This is due to the strength of the US dollar. Attention has now shifted to the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) and economic data from the United States.
In terms of technical analysis:
The price is currently testing support at 1.0531 with the potential to touch resistance at 1.0569. However, a rejection is expected to occur here, leading to a decrease to 1.0461. My immediate target is the formation of a DOW pattern. What about you? Do you agree with my analysis?