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Eurusd-4

EURUSD bears have a bumpy road to travelEURUSD’s failure to cheer the US Dollar’s first weekly loss in four appears less positive for the pair bears as multiple supports stand ready to offer a bumpy road toward the south. That said, a fortnight-old previous resistance line, around 1.0690 by the press time, appears the immediate support for the sellers to conquer. Following that, the previous weekly low of around 1.0635 will return to the chart. It’s worth noting, however, that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s May 16 to June 02 moves, respectively ear 1.0610 and 1.0565, appear tough nuts to crack for the Euro bears before approaching the lows marked in March and January, close to 1.0515 and 1.0480 in that order. Meanwhile, the EURUSD rebound needs validation from the 100-SMA hurdle, surrounding 1.0785 as we write. Should the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.0785, it can easily climb to the mid-May swing high of near 1.0900. However, multiple lows marked during early May around 1.0935-40 can challenge the pair buyers before giving them the power to challenge the 1.1090-1100 horizontal resistance comprising tops marked in May and late April. Overall, EURUSD bears appear to run out of steam but are stubborn enough to not leave the driver’s seat.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eyes further downside before important EU, US dataEURUSD’s break of a six-month-old ascending support line, as well as poking of the 200-day EMA, set the tone for the major currency pair’s additional weakness as markets await the Eurozone inflation and US employment numbers. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) is nearly oversold and hence suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the 1.0600 round figure as short-term key support. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s late November-April upside, near 1.0555 will precede the lows marked in March and January, respectively near 1.0515 and 1.0480 as the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, EURUSD recovery may initially battle with the 1.0700 round figure to convince intraday buyers. Following that, a convergence of the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line and the two-week-old falling trend line, near 1.0715, will precede the 100-day EMA hurdle of 1.0775 to restrict the short-term upside of the major currency pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0775, multiple levels around 1.0845-50 may prod the bulls before giving them control. Overall, EURUSD lands on the bear’s radar as the key factors loom.
by MTradingGlobal
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week: - US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress. - The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June. - Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility. - The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
A Set & Forget EUR/USD Trade with the Trend: 24th of May 2023The EUR/USD has been fairly bearish over the last 3 weeks as evidenced by the consistent break of structures to the bearish side. With various fundamental factors against the Euro that supported the bearish price action such as the uncertainty behind further interest rate increases by the FED and the Debt Ceiling, this trade was able to generate returns on a 1:7 Risk to reward ratio and was executed during the London Market Hours $FX: EURUSD Technical Factors: 1)Bearish Supply Area identified from 1.0807 to 1.0808 2)Stop Loss of 6.8 pips and entry set at 1.0806 3)Single Target Price level set at 1.07516 was the previous structure's low 4)Major Level Break of Structure of 1.07675 that vindicated the Supply area 5)Liquidity pool below Supply Area of 1.07950 taken out by the retracement Key Macro Factors: 1)Uncertainty for the EURO regarding the FED's future interest rate decisions 2)The lack of resolution as on the 23rd of May regarding the debt ceiling
Short
by shreyassanand
1
EURUSD portrays rising wedge bearish chart formationA gradual shrinking of EURUSD upside moves prints a six-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, currently between 1.1120 and 1.0690. Recently luring the Euro bears is the downside break of the 100-DMA, around 1.0810 by the press time. With this, the pair is likely to challenge the stated wedge’s bottom line, around 1.0690, a break of which will confirm the bearish chart pattern suggesting a theoretical target of 0.9840. That said, the 200-SMA level of around 1.0465 can act as an intermediate halt during the likely fall. Alternatively, a daily close beyond the 100-DMA level of around 1.0810 becomes necessary for the EURUSD buyers to return to the table. Even so, the 1.0000 psychological magnet and February’s high of around 1.1035 could prod the Euro bulls. It’s worth noting that the stated wedge’s top line, currently near 1.1120, acts as the last defense of the EURUSD bears. Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further downside wherein 1.0690 is the key support.
by MTradingGlobal
Short on EURUSD pairIn daily chart EURUSD formed the bearish candle with strong selling Volume candle. In 4hr Time frame it has formed Falling Wedge Pattern and make breakdown for downside. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Risk and reward In this trade will be 6:91 Entry At : 1.09761 Sl will be : 1.10307 Target 1 : 1.08394 Target 2 : 1.07164 Final Target : 1.05990 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is education purpose trade. Please take advice from your financial adviser before taking any trade in live market. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For more update Stay tuned with us. Trading Cafe 24 Thank you
Short
by Trading_Cafe24
7
EURUSD bears need to break 1.0730 to regain commandA clear downside break of 200-SMA and a six-week-old ascending trend line allowed EURUSD bears to cheer the biggest weekly loss since September 2022, not to forget the snapping of the two-week uptrend. Although the Euro bears are well-set to revisit the previous monthly low of around 1.0790, an oversold RSI may help the sellers to take a breather. As a result, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-March around 1.0740-30, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-April upside, becomes crucial support to watch. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0730, the odds of witnessing a fresh Year-To-Date (YTD) low, currently around 1.0480, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery remains elusive unless the quote remains below a convergence of the 200-SMA and a one-week-long descending resistance line, close to 1.0960. Even so, the previous support line stretched from early April, near 1.1010 at the latest, may test the buyers before giving them control. Following that, the current yearly high marked in the last month around 1.1095 and the 1.1100 round figure will be in focus as a break of which could challenge the April 2022 peak of around 1.1185. Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further downside but the bears have multiple challenges and need back-up from the key EU data/events to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD WEEKLY#EURUSD All time LOW at 0.90275 and that's the starting point of EURUSD candle on 01MAY2002. #EURUSD All time HIGH at 1.60388 on 01JULY2008. On 02NOV2009 price drops at 1.51440. After that price drops again at 1.49401 on 02MAY2011 but able to touch previous High. Again price drops at 1.39936 on 01MAY2014. Drops again at 1.2556 on 01FEB2018. As you see I Already marked POI on 26MARCH2018 and I was waiting for a mitigation and price went that direction as a magnet! Then we saw something new after few month's price try to touch the previous high but...! Price failed to the previou high at 1.23496 on 01JAN2021 and price drop again! I marked some Important POI Now price is moving towards 1.12826 POI to mitigate. When price gives as a BREAKOUT on 1.25560 level then we can see a BULL MARKET Until then, we can expect the price should not fall down below 0.9536 CORRECT ME IF I'M WRONG!
by VIJETEJBHIMRAOTAMBARE