Eurusd-4
EURUSD needs a sustained break of 1.0430 to avoid a pullbackEURUSD refreshed a 4.5-month high by piercing the 200-DMA ahead of the US Retail Sales. Even so, a successful break of the stated key moving average level, around 1.0430 by the press time, appears necessary for the bulls to keep the reins, in addition to the downbeat US data. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of May-September declines, near 1.0520, could act as an additional upside filter before directing buyers towards the late June high near 1.0615. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0615, the odds of crossing the mid-2022 peak surrounding 1.0785 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, EURUSD’s failure to provide a daily closing below 1.0430 could trigger a pullback towards a six-month-old horizontal support area near 1.0370-50. Should the pair breaks the multi-day-old support region, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and September’s high, respectively near 1.0300 and 1.0195, could test the bears. It’s worth noting that a one-week-old support line and the 100-DMA, close to 1.0065 and 1.0025 in that order, are likely the last defenses for the pair buyers, a break of which will highlight the yearly low.
Overall, EURUSD buyers remain in the driver’s seat but the further upside hinges on a 1.0430 breakout, as well as the US data.
EUR/USD SHORT NOWSell Entry 1.03200-1.03500 TP: 1.01000 SL : 1.04200
last week was the Strongest weekly move since the bounce in March of 2020.
1.0350 is Bug: 2017 low, and then was support in May and June, res in August
1.0180-1.0200 now Support Potential
Next res 1.0500, 1.0580-1.0638
Focus This week GBP & EUR CPI Data
EURUSD Daily BULLISH , BUY Support Levels @ 1.0326 & 1.0272EURUSD rises above 1.0300 as US Dollar selloff continues
EUR/USD has preserved its bullish momentum and climbed to its highest level in three months above 1.1300. The safe-haven US Dollar resumes its post-CPI downside as risk flows continue to dominate the financial markets ahead of the weekend.
EURUSD gradually rises inside six-week-old bullish channelEURUSD extends the previous three-week uptrend as traders await Eurozone Retail Sales and the US inflation data. The quote’s latest upside could be portrayed by an upward-sloping trend channel. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of September 12-28 downside, near 1.0070, lures short-term buyers. In a case where a nearly overbought RSI fails to stop the pair’s upside, the stated channel’s upper line near 1.0140 will gain the market’s attention, a break of which could challenge September’s peak surrounding 1.0200.
Alternatively, the pullback move could aim for the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, near 0.9945 and 0.9865 in that order. Following that, the 200-SMA level near 0.9810 and the bullish channel’s support line, close to 0.9750, will act as the last defense of the EURUSD buyers. If the quote defies the bullish chart pattern, multiple supports near 0.9640 and 0.9580 could test the sellers before directing them towards refreshing the yearly low, currently around 0.9535.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to grind higher but the room towards the north appears limited.
EURUSD buyers need validation from 1.0100 and FedDespite retreating from the 100-DMA during the last week, EURUSD defends the upside break of the 50-DMA and five-month-old descending trend line as traders await the Fed’s verdict on Wednesday. The major currency pair’s latest rebound also gains support from the firmer oscillators. As a result, bulls are hopeful of overcoming the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.0070. Even so, the previous monthly top surrounding 1.0095 and the 1.0100 hurdle could test the upside momentum before giving control to buyers. In that case, a run-up towards the horizontal resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since May 12, close to 1.0360, appears more likely to follow.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the resistance-turned-support and the 50-DMA, surrounding 0.9880, could quickly drag EURUSD towards a five-week-long support line near 0.9780. Should the quote break the nearby trend line support, the 0.9670-60 support region will gain the bear’s attention before targeting the yearly low near 0.9535.
Overall, EURUSD is up for reversing the downward trajectory established in June. However, it all depends upon how well the Federal Reserve policymakers can convince markets of their dovish hike.
EURUSD SellHi again traders.
Rcent USD weakness and EU positive news performed a shift in EURUSD trend.
However, I am seeing that the past broken support which I pointed out with the eclipses, has not been retested and perhaps now is the time for this check.
I consider this current level of important resistance which might drive the price at least in my first TP area or further down.
If it breaks the upper resistance zone (above it I put my SL), it will become pretty bullish.
GL!
EURUSD, 1D BEARISH FORECASTDespite the fact EU trading in correction, I've spotted an area where traders should pay attention to, the price has already tested the major resistance level between Aug-Sep.
Consider below reasons for selling market.
1. EURUSD is now trading below 50% and 61.8 fib ret.
This is clear indication that EUR could continue trading low against Cable.
2. Another reason is that our harmonic or XABCD pattern have came with a bat pattern, which shows that the CD leg has already been completed, and the Bearish movement has taken place according to the current market price.
3. I've noticed that the price has started with raising trendline or channel from the price level of 0.95455 which matced exactly to the 100% of the 31 may high.
And the last highest traded price matched with our last part of our bat pattern leg that's D and that's exactly the resistance of the raising trendline/channel.
4. The European Central Bank (ECB) has came dovish after their interest rate decision, and the Lagarde hints more economical pains till end of the year.
With the above reasons I believe EURUSD will reach atleast 0.98088, which is retest level of broken descending trendline respected since 08/Jun/22, it also matches our 78.6 ret level, and the testing area of raising trendline/channel.
It means price has to reset raising trendline/channel atleast before going back high to 61.8 ret level.
Find confirmation using lower timeframe.
EURUSD LONG entry point FRIDAYGold is not giving any proper merk, waiting for clear move on it. I am focused on for that dollar is not showing any action. Key level to bye 1642, 1636 with 20pips SL only on confirmaton on small timeframe. TP is 1656-64.
This analysis is on EURUSD, yesterday's decision made euro come down, and it is still in strong downtrend, but I want one confirmation for that eurusd should move up, you can catch this trade now or on second entry.
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EURUSD Uptrend above 0.9880 & Downtrend Below - Daily ChartsThe Euro pulls back from new six-week high, as traders collected profits from a steep six-day rally, after the action was repeatedly capped by falling 100DMA and daily cloud top, while overbought daily studies contributed to the decision.
Dip below parity (to 0.9972) was so far short-lived, signaling that bullish sentiment remains strong, however daily stretched indicators (momentum and stochastic) are turning south, keeping in play risk of extend consolidation / correction.
Ability to hold above parity would signal strong bullish bias and keep in focus key barriers at 1.0088/1.0090 (10DMA / daily cloud top) clear break of which would signal bullish continuation and expose targets at 1.0172/97 (Fibo 76.4% of 1.0368/1.0535 descend / Sep 12 lower top).
Caution on close below parity (also near daily cloud base) and 0.9984 (Fibo 23.6% of 0.9631/1.0093) that would weaken near-term structure and revive risk of deeper pullback.