Eurusd-4
EURUSD bulls approach key hurdles as ECB loomsEURUSD extends bounce off a 19-month low, also comprising 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late September 2021 to early January 2022 moves, as traders await European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision. With the recently high inflation and record low Unemployment Rate in Eurozone, the policy hawks are likely to dominate, which in turn could propel the major currency pair towards breaking immediate resistance, namely the 50-day EMA level surrounding 1.1340. However, a convergence of the 100-day EMA and a 14-week-old resistance line, around 1.1430-35, will be the key hurdle to cross for the confirmation of a short-term bullish trend.
On the contrary, a surprise dovish ECB statement wouldn’t hesitate to pour cold water on the face of EURUSD bulls by dragging the quote back to November 2021 low near 1.1185. During the fall, the 1.1300 and the 1.1230 levels may act as buffers before dragging prices towards the 61.8% FE retest, around 1.1125. If the pair bears keep reins past 1.1125, the early May 2020 peak surrounding 1.1020 will pause the south-run targeting the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
It should be noted that the ECB is widely anticipated to keep the benchmark policy rate unchanged at 0.0% and the monthly Asset Purchase Programme (APP) to €20 billion. In the last meeting, the ECB announced readiness to end the Pandemic Purchase Emergency Programme (PEPP) in March. For a smooth transition, the bloc’s central bank also unveiled an increase in the Q2 and Q3 APP to €40 billion and €30 billion respectively.
#EURUSD Trading Plan 28-29 Jan 2022After 2 trending day driven by news-related events - we expect this major forex pait to consolidate for a while now and largely trade flat. Here's our trading plan for the day:
In this chart of OANDA:EURUSD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
#EUR/#USD Trading Plan 27-28 Jan 2022This major forex pair is looking extremely weak to us. Here's our trading plan for the day:
In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
#EUR/#USD Trading Plan 26-27 Jan 2022In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
P.S. today my stance on this major forex pair is neutral. Let's see in which direction will we witness a possible breakout.
EURUSD bears aim for sub-1.1200 area post-Fed, US GDP eyedEURUSD bears cheer a clear downside break of a two-month-old ascending trend line, as well as sustained trading below 50-DMA, to brace for 2021 bottom surrounding 1.1185. The MACD and RSI both support the bearish bias. However, the pair’s declines past 1.1185 have a bumpy road as March 2020 swing high near 1.1150 and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late September 2021 to January 2022 moves around 1.1120 will challenge the sellers afterward. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions also inch closer to the oversold territory and hence a move past 1.1185 will push it to signal a bounce before further south-run.
Alternatively, the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line near 1.1295 precedes the 50-DMA level of 1.1315 to restrict short-term EURUSD rebound. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September-November 2021 declines, close to 1.1360, will gain the market’s attention. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s upside beyond 1.1360 will be challenged by the 1.1460-65 resistance confluence, comprising 100-DMA and 38.2% Fibo.
To sum up, EURUSD has already flagged downside signals towards 2021 bottom but any further weakness becomes doubtful.
#EUR/#USD Trading Plan 25-26 Jan 2022In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
P.S. today I am biased towards the downside!
EURUSD ANALYSIS ON D1 CHART.Overall, EUR/USD is ranging across. Recently, EUR/USD bounced up from the key level of 1.13.
The series of eurozone flash PMI data releases yesterday indicated that business activities continue to expand. Also, the services sector in Germany has rebounded from contraction into expansion.
French Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 53.1, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 55.6 revised from 54.9)
French Flash Service PMI (Actual: 55.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.0 revised from 57.1)
German Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 60.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.4 revised from 57.9)
German Flash Services PMI (Actual: 52.2, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 48.7 revised from 48.4)
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 59.0, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 58.0)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 51.2, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.3)
Currently, EUR/USD is trading down towards the key level of 1.13. Its next support zone is at 1.12000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.13800.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/USD.
#EUR/#USD Trading Plan 24-25 Jan 2022In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
P.S. today we're biased towards the downside today.
EUR/USD Trading Plan for 21-22 Jan 2022In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
P.S. today we're biased towards the upside but we believe in trading the price and not expecations.
EUR/USD Trading Plan for 20-21 Jan 2022In this chart of EUR/USD I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".
If EUR/USD's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if EUR/USD's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.
Entry criteria:
Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.
Stop Loss criteria:
Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.
Take profit criteria:
I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).
I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below ( bullish case) or above ( bearish case) 15 EMA . Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.
Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 03:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the forex markets.
Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
Today we have already witnessed one trade - the stop loss of which was triggered a few minutes back.
P.S. today we're biased towards the upside but we believe in trading the price and not expecations.
EURUSD bears flexing muscles ahead of ECB Meeting AccountsEURUSD remains on the back foot so far during the current week, heading into the key ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts. That said, the 200-SMA and an ascending trend line from November 24, respectively around 1.1320 and 1.1300, restrict the immediate downside of the major currency pair. Should the sellers manage to conquer the 1.1300 support, 1.1230 may offer an intermediate halt during the fall targeting 2021 bottom around 1.1185. It’s worth noting that the March 2020 high low near 1.1150 will probe the EURUSD pair’s weakness past 1.1185 before directing bears towards the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
Meanwhile, the weekly resistance line, around 1.1380 at the latest, restricts the short-term rebound of the EURUSD prices. In a case where the quote rises past 1.1380, bulls will aim for 1.1430 and the monthly peak of 1.1485. If at all the EURUSD buyers keep reins past 1.1485, the latest bearish bias gets wiped out, which in turn propels the quote towards October 2021 high near 1.1690.
Eurusd target has achievedEURUSD has reached the target that it gave after the breakout. Now it will give some fresh levels with the trend. It gave a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at the top of the bullish trend. Now fall is in wait.
Trade is not recommended
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EURUSD rebound needs to stay beyond 1.1385 to convince bullsEURUSD extends the run-up beyond 200-SMA to cross a two-month-old horizontal area surrounding 1.1385 post-US inflation data. Given the price-positive signals from the MACD and RSI, the major currency pair is likely to keep the recent rebound. However, a sustained run-up beyond 1.1385 becomes necessary for the pair buyers to challenge the mid-November peak near 1.1465. Following that, the 1.1500 threshold will offer an intermediate halt during an upward trajectory towards early November’s swing highs around 1.1600.
Meanwhile, failure to stay beyond 1.1385 could trigger a pullback move targeting the 200-SMA level near 1.1310. It should be noted, however, that the EURUSD weakness past 1.1300 will be challenged by an upward sloping support line from late November, around 1.1265. Also acting as a downside filter is the year 2021 bottom close to 1.1185. In a case where the major currency pair drops below 1.1185, March 2020 high near 1.1150 and 61.8% FE of November 09-30 moves, around 1.1120, will gain the market’s attention.
To sum up, EURUSD crossed a strong hurdle to the north after the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data but bulls seek confirmation from 1.1385.
EURUSD | The best entry point to sell🎯Hello traders , EURUSD in daily timeframe ,This analysis is prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for better view in 2 days timeframe.
The wave count that we had in the weekly time of this symbol showed that wave c has ended from wave 4 and this decline is related to wave 5.
Our counting wave is not normal at all and can be fielded at any time, and this wave is also part of wave 4 of the previous leading trend.
Anyway, we'm likely to be in the lead.
And from this process, the main waves 1 and 2 are over and the microwave, wave 3 is being formed.
From wave 3, waves 1 and 2 are probably over, and now we are inside wave 3 of wave 3.
The trend of this wave is in wave 4 and wave 4 probably does not have a specific structure or we can say that this wave is actually the beginning of another phase.
In general, if the red circle is broken, we will hope to continue the downward trend, and if the channel ceiling is broken, this wave count will be fielded.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
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