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EURUSD

NZDCAD FOREXCOM:NZDCAD - Break the supply but not closing above the supply - Wait for the Confirmation in LTF -2 Higher High....Looking for the 3rd High -Chance to Sweep the IDM(x) & Reverse - V-shape recovery - High Volume in Buying Candle ...............here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Long
by Phinics
EURUSD bulls are still in the game despite retreatEURUSD pares the biggest weekly gain since early January ever since it reversed from the monthly high on Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair prints the first weekly loss in three as Fed Chair Powell’s testimony looms. However, a golden cross on the moving average, that is a condition where 50-SMA pierces the 200-SMA from below, joins the quote’s sustained trading beyond a fortnight-old rising support line to keep the buyers hopeful. Hence, the immediate trend line support, close to 1.0875 at the latest, precedes the 50-SMA of near 1.0840 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.0820 to act as the final defense of the Euro buyers. Also acting as the downside filter is the early-month peak of around 1.0775, a break of which can quickly drag the pair to the previous monthly low of 1.0635. Meanwhile, the EURUSD recovery needs to remain successfully high past the two-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 1.0900-910. In that case, the weekly high of 1.0970 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can challenge the bulls. Following that, the double tops marked in late April and early May, just below the 1.1100 round figure, will be crucial for the buyers to cross to confirm their ruling. Overall, the EURUSD appears slipping off the bull’s radar but the bears need validation from technicals, as well as from Fed’s Powell, to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
1
EURUSD appears bullish on ECB DayEURUSD defends recovery from 200-EMA, as well as stays above the 50-EMA hurdle, as markets prepare for the ECB. In doing so, the Euro pair lures buyers amid hawkish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB). That said, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s upside from late November 2022 to May 2023, near 1.0900, appears immediate resistance for the bulls to watch before targeting the 1.1000 threshold. It’s worth noting, however, that the nearly overbought RSI may restrict the major currency pair’s advances past 1.1000, highlighting February’s peak of around 1.1035, as well as the yearly top marked in May around 1.1100. On the flip side, a dovish hike from the ECB and a daily close below the 50-DMA support of 1.0810 becomes necessary to please intraday sellers of the EURUSD pair. Even so, the 200-EMA of around 1.0690 will challenge the bears. Should the pair drops below the key EMA support, the previous monthly low of around 1.0635 can act as the final defense of the Euro bulls. Following that, a southward trajectory toward the lows marked in March and January, respectively around 1.0515 and 1.0480, will be in the spotlight. To sum up, EURUSD is likely to approach the yearly high unless the ECB disappoints.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears have a bumpy road to travelEURUSD’s failure to cheer the US Dollar’s first weekly loss in four appears less positive for the pair bears as multiple supports stand ready to offer a bumpy road toward the south. That said, a fortnight-old previous resistance line, around 1.0690 by the press time, appears the immediate support for the sellers to conquer. Following that, the previous weekly low of around 1.0635 will return to the chart. It’s worth noting, however, that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s May 16 to June 02 moves, respectively ear 1.0610 and 1.0565, appear tough nuts to crack for the Euro bears before approaching the lows marked in March and January, close to 1.0515 and 1.0480 in that order. Meanwhile, the EURUSD rebound needs validation from the 100-SMA hurdle, surrounding 1.0785 as we write. Should the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.0785, it can easily climb to the mid-May swing high of near 1.0900. However, multiple lows marked during early May around 1.0935-40 can challenge the pair buyers before giving them the power to challenge the 1.1090-1100 horizontal resistance comprising tops marked in May and late April. Overall, EURUSD bears appear to run out of steam but are stubborn enough to not leave the driver’s seat.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eyes further downside before important EU, US dataEURUSD’s break of a six-month-old ascending support line, as well as poking of the 200-day EMA, set the tone for the major currency pair’s additional weakness as markets await the Eurozone inflation and US employment numbers. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) is nearly oversold and hence suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the 1.0600 round figure as short-term key support. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s late November-April upside, near 1.0555 will precede the lows marked in March and January, respectively near 1.0515 and 1.0480 as the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, EURUSD recovery may initially battle with the 1.0700 round figure to convince intraday buyers. Following that, a convergence of the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line and the two-week-old falling trend line, near 1.0715, will precede the 100-day EMA hurdle of 1.0775 to restrict the short-term upside of the major currency pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0775, multiple levels around 1.0845-50 may prod the bulls before giving them control. Overall, EURUSD lands on the bear’s radar as the key factors loom.
by MTradingGlobal
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week: - US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress. - The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June. - Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility. - The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
A Set & Forget EUR/USD Trade with the Trend: 24th of May 2023The EUR/USD has been fairly bearish over the last 3 weeks as evidenced by the consistent break of structures to the bearish side. With various fundamental factors against the Euro that supported the bearish price action such as the uncertainty behind further interest rate increases by the FED and the Debt Ceiling, this trade was able to generate returns on a 1:7 Risk to reward ratio and was executed during the London Market Hours $FX: EURUSD Technical Factors: 1)Bearish Supply Area identified from 1.0807 to 1.0808 2)Stop Loss of 6.8 pips and entry set at 1.0806 3)Single Target Price level set at 1.07516 was the previous structure's low 4)Major Level Break of Structure of 1.07675 that vindicated the Supply area 5)Liquidity pool below Supply Area of 1.07950 taken out by the retracement Key Macro Factors: 1)Uncertainty for the EURO regarding the FED's future interest rate decisions 2)The lack of resolution as on the 23rd of May regarding the debt ceiling
Short
by shreyassanand
1
EURUSD portrays rising wedge bearish chart formationA gradual shrinking of EURUSD upside moves prints a six-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, currently between 1.1120 and 1.0690. Recently luring the Euro bears is the downside break of the 100-DMA, around 1.0810 by the press time. With this, the pair is likely to challenge the stated wedge’s bottom line, around 1.0690, a break of which will confirm the bearish chart pattern suggesting a theoretical target of 0.9840. That said, the 200-SMA level of around 1.0465 can act as an intermediate halt during the likely fall. Alternatively, a daily close beyond the 100-DMA level of around 1.0810 becomes necessary for the EURUSD buyers to return to the table. Even so, the 1.0000 psychological magnet and February’s high of around 1.1035 could prod the Euro bulls. It’s worth noting that the stated wedge’s top line, currently near 1.1120, acts as the last defense of the EURUSD bears. Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further downside wherein 1.0690 is the key support.
by MTradingGlobal