eur usd - update pt2both DXY and EUR/USD are on curucial levels
we had planned conditional buy on eur usd in the evening but price didnt sweeped the bullisj liquidity as we assumed
although grabed the seller stop losses and mitigated the bearish order block therefore now for upside there is space to move higher upto 1.07700 sufficent for good trade and risk to reward
wait for right level to form and enter on CHOC's Order Block on 15m or 5m chart time frame
THE LEVELS
1.0700 and 1.07100 is the zone for bullish fair value area wait for bullish choc here for going long
this levels are derived from big bars
keep the sl below the bullish fair value zone
RR can be 1:5
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSDFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
EURUSD 6th APRIL FORECAST We can see a strong resistance at 1.08833 it it is broken then we can expect a Bear Move to 1.07863
The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0921 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0951 and the Wednesday high of $1.09696. A return to $1.0950 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and hotter-than-expected industrial production figures to support a pre-US session breakout.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.1000. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.1078.
Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0872 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.080. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0842 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0764.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.08678). The 50-day EMA pulled further away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0951) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.1000). However, a fall through S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would bring S2 ($1.0842) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
EURUSD FORECAST 29TH MARCH 2023EUR/USD Bulls to Target $1.0850 on German Consumer Confidence
It is a relatively busy day for the EUR/USD, with German and French consumer confidence and ECB commentary to draw interest.
The EUR/USD needs to avoid the $1.0829 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0862. A move through the Tuesday high of $1.08485 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and better-than-expected consumer confidence numbers to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0882 and resistance at $1.09. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0936.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0809 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.075. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0775 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0721.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07746). The 50-day EMA pulled away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above the Major Support Levels and the 50-day EMA ($1.07746) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0862) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0882) and $1.09. However, a fall through S1 ($1.0809) would bring S2 ($1.0775) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07746) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
EUR/USD to Target $1.09 on Easing Bank Jitters and ECB ChatterThis morning, the EUR/USD was up 0.13% to $1.08107. A mixed start to the day saw the EUR/USD fall to an early low of $1.07949 before rising to a high of $1.08195. The First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0817 capped the upside.
The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0781 pivot to retarget the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0817 and the morning high of $1.08195. A move through the morning high would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and better-than-expected business survey numbers to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0836 and resistance at $1.0850. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0891.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0761 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.07. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0725 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0670.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07576). The 50-day EMA pulled away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above S1 ($1.0761) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07576) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0817) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0836) and $1.0850. However, a fall through S1 ($1.0761) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07576) would bring S2 ($1.0725) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
EURUSD FORECAST 16TH MARCH 2023The EURUSD pair’s strong decline stopped at 1.0515 yesterday, which formed solid support against the price, to rebound bullishly and start building bullish wave on the intraday basis, motivated by stochastic positivity.
Therefore, we expect to witness more bullish bias in the upcoming sessions, and the targets begin at 1.0640 and extend to 1.0745 after surpassing the previous level.
On the other hand, we should note that breaking 1.0515 will stop the expected rise and press on the price to suffer additional losses that reach 1.0440.
The expected trading range for today is between 1.0515 support and 1.0680 resistance.
The expected trend for today: Bullish
U.S. inflation reports and the ECB's interest rate U.S. will release CPI and PPI data on 14 and 15 March at 12:30 p.m. UTC
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a monthly report measuring differences in prices of goods and services consumers buy. Producer Price Index (PPI) shows changes in the price of goods and services producers purchase. Both reports are popular inflation indicators, and inflation is the most important data for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to plan its monetary policy.
CPI and PPI reports will give clues on the outcome of the next Fed's policy meeting on 21–22 March. The market expects inflation to slow only a little, meaning the Fed will have to provide more rate hikes. If reports indicate a substantial slowdown in inflation, it will surprise the market and bring down the U.S. dollar.
The ECB's interest rate decision is due on 16 March at 1:15 p.m. UTC.
The market is firmly sure that the European Central Bank will deliver a 50-basis points (bps) rate hike. If these expectations of a 50-bps hike are met, EURUSD will rise slightly as the rate increase is already priced in. In case the rate hike is smaller than expected, the euro will drop sharply. However, this scenario is highly unlikely to happen.
EURUSD FORECAST 9TH MARCH,2023The EUR/USD needs to avoid the $1.0547 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0569 and the Wednesday high of $1.05739. A return to $1.0550 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need hawkish ECB chatter and US stats to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0596 and resistance at $1.06. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0646.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0519 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0497 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0447.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bearish signals. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06058). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through R1 ($1.0569) would give the bulls a run at R2 (1.0596) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06058). However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06058) would leave S1 ($1.0519) in play. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.
EURUSD FORECAST 8th MARCH 2023The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0597 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0647. A return to $1.0550 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need the German and US stats to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at $1.07 but fall short of the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0745. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0893.
Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0499 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0448. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0300.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bearish signals. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06231). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06231) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0647) to give the bulls a run at $1.07. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06231) would leave S1 ($1.0499) in play. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.
EURUSD 27th Feb ForecastThe EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0565 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0594 and the Friday high of $1.06143. A return to $1.06 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need the stats and the ECB chatter to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0643. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0722.
Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0516 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0487 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0409.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06397). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through R1 ($1.0594) would give the bulls a run at the 50-day EMA ($1.06397) and R2 ($1.0643). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06397) would leave the Major Support Levels in play.
EURUSD Forcast 24/02/2023The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0600 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0623 and the Thursday high of $1.06278. A return to $1.0620 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the ECB chatter to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0651. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0701.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0572 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.05. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0549 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0498.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). The 50-day EMA fell back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through R1 ($1.0621) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0651) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06626) would leave the Major Support Levels in play.
The US Session
It is a busy day on the US economic calendar. Personal income, spending, and inflation will be in focus. An unexpected rise in the Core PCE Price Index would fuel bets of a more hawkish Fed. Economists forecast the Core PCE Price Index to rise by 4.3% year-over-year in January. The Index was up 4.4% in December.
Later in the session, consumer sentiment and Fed chatter will also draw interest. FOMC member Loretta Mester will deliver a post-stats speech.
EURUSD Forecast for 22nd Feb,2023The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0660 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0682 and the Tuesday high of $1.06983. A return to $1.0680 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the Fed minutes to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0721. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0782.
Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0621 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0550. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0599 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0538
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06954). Following the bearish cross on Wednesday, the 50-day EMA pulled further back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA closing in on the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through R1 ($1.0682) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0721) and the 200-day EMA ($1.07255). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would leave the Major Support Levels in play.
It is a relatively quiet day on the US economic calendar. There are no US economic indicators for investors to consider today. The lack of stats will leave the Fed in the spotlight. Late in the US session, the FOMC meeting minutes will draw plenty of interest.
Following the latest round of US economic indicators and hawkish Fed chatter, the markets will dissect the minutes to gauge how far the Fed is willing to go. FOMC member chatter will also influence the dollar, with FOMC member Williams speaking late in the session.
EURUSD Forecast 20th Feb,2023Today we may see a small correction and then again a rally into a Bull Section. Please pay attention to the mentioned levels for any trade set up.
18th Feb
DH - 1.06986
DL - 1.06126
20TH FEB,2023
R1- 1.0724, S1- 1.0638
R2- 1.0754
R3- 1.0840, S3 - 1.0583
The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0668 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0724. A return to $1.07 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need ECB member chatter and today’s stats to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0754. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0840.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0638 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.06 and the third Major Support Level (S3) at $1.0583.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.07131). Following the bearish cross on Wednesday, the 50-day EMA pulled further back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through the 50-day EMA ($1.07131) and R1 ($1.0724) would give the bulls a run at the 200-day ($1.07328) and the 100-day ($1.07456) EMAs. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.07159) would leave the Major Support Levels in play
EURUSD Ahead Of CPI Today , 16th Feb ,2023The euro lost 0.43% yesterday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to a six-week high after better-than-expected U.S. retail sales data was released.
Possible effects for traders
Upbeat economic data has fueled more hawkish expectations on the U.S. interest rate. According to Reuters, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) terminal rate has been adjusted to about 5.25%. Thus, the fundamental pressure on the DXY remains bullish, so EURUSD weakened. Still, the euro rebounded slightly during the Asian session earlier today but failed to hold above the important 1.07100 level.
Today, there are two crucial events traders should focus on: the release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data and the publication of the latest U.S. Jobless Claims. Both reports will be released at 1:30 p.m. GMT. These data can potentially deepen the short-term bearish trend in EURUSD. However, if PPI figures come out below expectations, EURUSD may rally above 1.07500.
EURUSD Forcast for 15th Feb,2023As a result of CPI, EURUSD touched the 1.08 level on 14th Feb but there was a strong resistance and hence it fell down almost 800 Pips. For a proper trade set up please keep in mind the following levels.
14th Feb
DH - 1.08044
DL - 1.07072
15th Feb
Pivot - 1.0749
R1- 1.0792, S1- 1.0694
R2- 1.0847, S2- 1.0651
R3- 1.0945, S3- 1.0554
* EURUSD should break the pivot in the upward direction to target 1.0792 and 1.08044
* A return to 1.0750 will mark a bullish behavior
* If the Pivot is not broken in the upward direction then we can see a fall to 1.0694
* If the price reaches 1.0650 level then it would probably limit the sell off .
* If the price moves above 1.07438 and 1.07527 then it could give a bull run to 1.07762 and 1.0792
* If it is unable to break 1.07438 then it can come down to 1.0694
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EURUSD Forcast for 14th Feb,2023The instrument has finally given up on the bearish scale and now have started showing Bull Trend. Following are some of the levels which needs to be kept in mind while trading today.
13th Feb -
DH - 1.07299
DL - 1.06555
14th Feb
PIVOT - 1.0701
R1- 1.0747, S1- 1.0673
R2- 1.0776, S2- 1.0627
R3- 1.0850, S3- 1.0552
* EURUSD should avoid going below the pivot , so that it can target R1 1.0747
* A move above 1.07299 would signal a bullish session.
* If it falls through the Pivot then it can go down to S1 1.0673
* To avoid extra sell off it should avoid levels below 1.06
* A move above 1.07438 and 1.0747 would give a bull run to 1.07553 and 1.0776
* Failure to break 1.07438 level in the upwards direction would bring EURUSD down to 1.0673
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EURUSD Trade Analysis for 8th Feb,2023The instrument really played well yesterday and it finally rebounded back couple of 100 points. Which clearly shows the pause to the down trend. We can probably see a Range up till 1.07600 if bulls comes into play. Following are some of the levels which needs to be taken care off.
7th Feb -
DH - 1.0767
DL - 1.0669
Pivot - 1.0720
* R1 - 1.0770 , S1 - 1.0673
* R2- 1.0817 , S2 - 1.0622
* R3 - 1.0917 , S3 - 1.0525
If the instrument reaches back to 1.0750 level then we can take it as a mild bullish behavior of the pair.
* If Pivot is not broken then it may fall to S1 level and finally to S2 and then a possible downside momentum would start again.
* A move through 1.07665 would again signal a bullish behavior of the pair.
* A fall fall through Pivot would bring the pair to S1 and a sell off of 1.0650 should be avoided for a major downtrend move.
* If the pair falls though S1 THEN IT MAY BRING THE INTRUMENT TO 1.0622 AND 1.0600
* However if it moves up the pivot and stays there then we can see a rally till 1.07513 and 1.0770 with a possible target of 1.0817
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