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EURUSD - Predicted October 20Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) Jerome Powell said that inflation has cooled down, but the agency is still determined to bring back the 2% target. In a speech on October 19 in New York, Jerome Powell admitted that tightening policies had brought inflation back under control, but emphasized that the Fed still needed to be cautious in pursuing its goal. "Inflation is still too high. A few months of good data is just the beginning to give us confidence that inflation is returning to target. But we still don't know how long these good numbers will last, or Where will inflation be in the coming quarters?" he said. He affirmed that Fed officials "unanimously committed to bringing inflation to 2%". This speech raises questions about the Fed's upcoming policy after a series of consecutive interest rate increases. The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, to the current 5.25%. This is a 22-year high.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
Global Markets Face DownturnGlobal markets are experiencing a decline, with early indications suggesting that Wall Street may open lower. The Dow futures are down 129.00 points, the S&P 500 futures are declining by 19.50 points, and the Nasdaq 100 futures are sliding by 82.75 points as of 8:00 am ET. On Monday, the major US stock indexes mostly finished higher, with the Nasdaq gaining 0.7 percent, the S&P 500 inching up slightly, and the Dow slipping by 0.2 percent. Today, the Labor Department will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report for August, which could be a significant event. The consensus is for 8.75 million job openings, slightly lower than July's figure. Asian stocks also fell sharply today, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng index tumbling by 2.69 percent. Chinese markets remained closed for the holidays, and Japanese shares also declined. Australian markets dropped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates steady but highlighted the possibility of further policy tightening to control inflation. European shares are also trading negatively, with France's CAC 40, Germany's DAX, England's FTSE 100, and the Swiss Market Index all declining. The Euro Stoxx 50, which represents leading companies in the Eurozone, is also down. Additionally, there will be a 52-week Treasury bill auction held later today.
by MilanTaMi
eur usd - update pt2both DXY and EUR/USD are on curucial levels we had planned conditional buy on eur usd in the evening but price didnt sweeped the bullisj liquidity as we assumed although grabed the seller stop losses and mitigated the bearish order block therefore now for upside there is space to move higher upto 1.07700 sufficent for good trade and risk to reward wait for right level to form and enter on CHOC's Order Block on 15m or 5m chart time frame THE LEVELS 1.0700 and 1.07100 is the zone for bullish fair value area wait for bullish choc here for going long this levels are derived from big bars keep the sl below the bullish fair value zone RR can be 1:5
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
3
EURUSD 6th APRIL FORECAST We can see a strong resistance at 1.08833 it it is broken then we can expect a Bear Move to 1.07863 The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0921 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0951 and the Wednesday high of $1.09696. A return to $1.0950 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and hotter-than-expected industrial production figures to support a pre-US session breakout. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.1000. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.1078. Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0872 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.080. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0842 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0764. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.08678). The 50-day EMA pulled further away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals. A hold above S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0951) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.1000). However, a fall through S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would bring S2 ($1.0842) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD FORECAST 29TH MARCH 2023EUR/USD Bulls to Target $1.0850 on German Consumer Confidence It is a relatively busy day for the EUR/USD, with German and French consumer confidence and ECB commentary to draw interest. The EUR/USD needs to avoid the $1.0829 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0862. A move through the Tuesday high of $1.08485 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and better-than-expected consumer confidence numbers to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0882 and resistance at $1.09. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0936. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0809 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.075. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0775 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0721. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07746). The 50-day EMA pulled away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals. A hold above the Major Support Levels and the 50-day EMA ($1.07746) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0862) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0882) and $1.09. However, a fall through S1 ($1.0809) would bring S2 ($1.0775) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07746) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
Long
by skarantraderq
EUR/USD to Target $1.09 on Easing Bank Jitters and ECB ChatterThis morning, the EUR/USD was up 0.13% to $1.08107. A mixed start to the day saw the EUR/USD fall to an early low of $1.07949 before rising to a high of $1.08195. The First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0817 capped the upside. The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0781 pivot to retarget the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0817 and the morning high of $1.08195. A move through the morning high would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and better-than-expected business survey numbers to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0836 and resistance at $1.0850. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0891. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0761 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.07. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0725 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0670. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07576). The 50-day EMA pulled away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals. A hold above S1 ($1.0761) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07576) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0817) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0836) and $1.0850. However, a fall through S1 ($1.0761) and the 50-day EMA ($1.07576) would bring S2 ($1.0725) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD FORECAST 16TH MARCH 2023The EURUSD pair’s strong decline stopped at 1.0515 yesterday, which formed solid support against the price, to rebound bullishly and start building bullish wave on the intraday basis, motivated by stochastic positivity. Therefore, we expect to witness more bullish bias in the upcoming sessions, and the targets begin at 1.0640 and extend to 1.0745 after surpassing the previous level. On the other hand, we should note that breaking 1.0515 will stop the expected rise and press on the price to suffer additional losses that reach 1.0440. The expected trading range for today is between 1.0515 support and 1.0680 resistance. The expected trend for today: Bullish
Long
by skarantraderq
U.S. inflation reports and the ECB's interest rate U.S. will release CPI and PPI data on 14 and 15 March at 12:30 p.m. UTC The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a monthly report measuring differences in prices of goods and services consumers buy. Producer Price Index (PPI) shows changes in the price of goods and services producers purchase. Both reports are popular inflation indicators, and inflation is the most important data for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to plan its monetary policy. CPI and PPI reports will give clues on the outcome of the next Fed's policy meeting on 21–22 March. The market expects inflation to slow only a little, meaning the Fed will have to provide more rate hikes. If reports indicate a substantial slowdown in inflation, it will surprise the market and bring down the U.S. dollar. The ECB's interest rate decision is due on 16 March at 1:15 p.m. UTC. The market is firmly sure that the European Central Bank will deliver a 50-basis points (bps) rate hike. If these expectations of a 50-bps hike are met, EURUSD will rise slightly as the rate increase is already priced in. In case the rate hike is smaller than expected, the euro will drop sharply. However, this scenario is highly unlikely to happen.
by skarantraderq
EURUSD FORECAST 9TH MARCH,2023The EUR/USD needs to avoid the $1.0547 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0569 and the Wednesday high of $1.05739. A return to $1.0550 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need hawkish ECB chatter and US stats to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0596 and resistance at $1.06. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0646. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0519 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0497 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0447. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bearish signals. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06058). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through R1 ($1.0569) would give the bulls a run at R2 (1.0596) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06058). However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06058) would leave S1 ($1.0519) in play. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD FORECAST 8th MARCH 2023The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0597 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0647. A return to $1.0550 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need the German and US stats to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at $1.07 but fall short of the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0745. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0893. Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0499 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0448. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0300. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bearish signals. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06231). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06231) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0647) to give the bulls a run at $1.07. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06231) would leave S1 ($1.0499) in play. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD 27th Feb ForecastThe EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0565 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0594 and the Friday high of $1.06143. A return to $1.06 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need the stats and the ECB chatter to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0643. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0722. Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0516 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0450. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0487 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0409. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06397). The 50-day EMA slid back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through R1 ($1.0594) would give the bulls a run at the 50-day EMA ($1.06397) and R2 ($1.0643). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06397) would leave the Major Support Levels in play.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD Forcast 24/02/2023The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0600 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0623 and the Thursday high of $1.06278. A return to $1.0620 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the ECB chatter to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0651. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0701. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0572 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.05. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0549 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0498. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). The 50-day EMA fell back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through R1 ($1.0621) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0651) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06626) would leave the Major Support Levels in play. The US Session It is a busy day on the US economic calendar. Personal income, spending, and inflation will be in focus. An unexpected rise in the Core PCE Price Index would fuel bets of a more hawkish Fed. Economists forecast the Core PCE Price Index to rise by 4.3% year-over-year in January. The Index was up 4.4% in December. Later in the session, consumer sentiment and Fed chatter will also draw interest. FOMC member Loretta Mester will deliver a post-stats speech.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD Forecast for 22nd Feb,2023The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0660 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0682 and the Tuesday high of $1.06983. A return to $1.0680 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the Fed minutes to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0721. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0782. Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0621 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0550. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0599 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0538 Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06954). Following the bearish cross on Wednesday, the 50-day EMA pulled further back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA closing in on the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through R1 ($1.0682) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0721) and the 200-day EMA ($1.07255). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would leave the Major Support Levels in play. It is a relatively quiet day on the US economic calendar. There are no US economic indicators for investors to consider today. The lack of stats will leave the Fed in the spotlight. Late in the US session, the FOMC meeting minutes will draw plenty of interest. Following the latest round of US economic indicators and hawkish Fed chatter, the markets will dissect the minutes to gauge how far the Fed is willing to go. FOMC member chatter will also influence the dollar, with FOMC member Williams speaking late in the session.
Long
by skarantraderq
EURUSD Forecast 20th Feb,2023Today we may see a small correction and then again a rally into a Bull Section. Please pay attention to the mentioned levels for any trade set up. 18th Feb DH - 1.06986 DL - 1.06126 20TH FEB,2023 R1- 1.0724, S1- 1.0638 R2- 1.0754 R3- 1.0840, S3 - 1.0583 The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0668 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0724. A return to $1.07 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need ECB member chatter and today’s stats to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0754. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0840. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0638 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.06 and the third Major Support Level (S3) at $1.0583. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.07131). Following the bearish cross on Wednesday, the 50-day EMA pulled further back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through the 50-day EMA ($1.07131) and R1 ($1.0724) would give the bulls a run at the 200-day ($1.07328) and the 100-day ($1.07456) EMAs. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.07159) would leave the Major Support Levels in play
Long
by skarantraderq