EURUSD Forecast for 22nd Feb,2023The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0660 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0682 and the Tuesday high of $1.06983. A return to $1.0680 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the Fed minutes to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0721. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0782.
Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0621 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0550. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0599 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0538
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06954). Following the bearish cross on Wednesday, the 50-day EMA pulled further back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA closing in on the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals.
A move through R1 ($1.0682) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0721) and the 200-day EMA ($1.07255). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06954) would leave the Major Support Levels in play.
It is a relatively quiet day on the US economic calendar. There are no US economic indicators for investors to consider today. The lack of stats will leave the Fed in the spotlight. Late in the US session, the FOMC meeting minutes will draw plenty of interest.
Following the latest round of US economic indicators and hawkish Fed chatter, the markets will dissect the minutes to gauge how far the Fed is willing to go. FOMC member chatter will also influence the dollar, with FOMC member Williams speaking late in the session.
