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Fibonacci

Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone. • The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections. • Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum. • If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated. ◆ Important Price Zones Resistance (selling zone): • 4,211 • 4,219 Short-term support: • 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB) Deeper support – Liquidity Pool: • 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken) ◆ Main Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192 • Wait for reversal signals at the support zone • Recovery targets: ▪ 4,211 ▪ 4,219 • If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this. ➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support • Short-term upward structure invalidated • Prioritize following the downtrend • Next targets: ▪ 4,173 ▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities ➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break: • Monitor rejection patterns • This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow ◆ Summary • The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control. • The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength. • If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173. • If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
3
XAU/USD hits OB Sell zone; watch for trend confirmation.◆ Market Context The market is in a phase of forming lower highs after a strong drop from the 4,248 area. The most recent volatility shows the price creating a bearish CHoCH, then confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) — indicating a shift from equilibrium to a bearish bias. Each recent rally has stopped below previous highs, proving that selling pressure continues to dominate. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After BOS, the market often returns to test the Order Block (OB) area before continuing the main trend. • On the chart, the OB Sell is located at 4,215 – 4,217, which is the point of the last push candle before the strong drop. • This area also coincides with the short-term resistance zone and previous price behavior shows multiple reactions from sellers. If the price approaches the OB Sell without forming a reversal structure, the likelihood of continuing to decline is high. Liquidity above: • 4,230 • 4,241 • 4,248 → These are areas that may be swept before the price reverses. ◆ Main Trading Scenario ➤ Sell Scenario (priority) • Waiting zone: 4,215 – 4,217 (OB Sell) • Condition: appearance of price rejection, reversal pattern, or clear rejection candle • Targets: ▪ 4,188 ▪ 4,172 ▪ 4,165 – 4,164 (deep support & bottom liquidity) • Stop loss: above 4,230 → This is the most suitable scenario with the current structure. ➤ Extended Scenario (liquidity sweep before decline) If the price surpasses OB Sell and heads towards liquidity 4,230 – 4,241 – 4,248: • Observe signs of weakening • Wait for a reversal pattern • Look for SELL entry points in the above areas with targets similar to the main scenario This is common behavior when the market wants to gather liquidity before pushing the trend. ➤ Buy Scenario (opposite – only execute with strong confirmation) Buy is only suitable when: • Price breaks the nearest bearish structure • Closes above 4,230 and holds • Re-test of the 4,215 – 4,217 area fails In that case, the buy target will aim for 4,241 and 4,248. However, this is not yet activated. ◆ Summary • The short-term trend still leans towards bearish after BOS. • The 4,215 – 4,217 area is crucial for observing price reactions. • Selling remains a reasonable strategy until the market breaks 4,230 with a clear signal. • Downside targets are at 4,172 → 4,165.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term. Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave. 2. Important technical zones on the chart 🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197 Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline. This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces. 🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163 Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom. This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards. 🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month. If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave. 3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow 🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario) Activation conditions: Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing Targets: TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity) TP2: 4,154 TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115 Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model. 🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL) After completing the decline to liquidity zones: BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163 Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy) If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom Targets for both BUY zones: TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest) TP2: 4,210 TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Important notes & risk management Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation. SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone. BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110. Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Bitcoin: The 2026 Grind – Rejection Zones vs. The $130k TargetChart Analysis Bitcoin has successfully completed a SL hunt to the downside, sweeping liquidity and finding local support. With this liquidity grab finished, the immediate bias shifts upward as price begins the "2026 Grind" toward higher structural resistance. Using a Trend-Based Fib Extension ($55K Low - $106K High - $76.5K Retracement), we are monitoring the reaction at key overhead levels. 1. The Current Move: Testing Resistance Following the stop hunt, price is grinding upward to test the strength of the recovery. The bulls face two critical hurdles: Rejection Zone 1 ($95K - $97K): The 0.382 Fib level. This is the first major test for the bounce. Rejection Zone 2 ($100K - $103K): The 0.5 Fib level. This is the "line in the sand" for the bearish case. 2. The Bearish Scenario (Rejection) If the rally stalls and gets rejected at either of these zones, it suggests the bounce was merely corrective. Downside Target: A failure here opens the path to $69K - $70K to fully reset the market structure. 3. The Bullish Breakout If the momentum from the recent stop hunt is strong enough to pierce through the resistance zones: Confirmation: A break above the $110K level flips the structure back to bullish. Target: This opens the door for a run to the 1.0 Fib extension at $127K - $130K . ________________________________________ I built a trading journal that actually respects your privacy. No sign-ups. No servers. No monthly fees. 100% free. PublishNotes runs locally in your browser. You own the data, you own the backups. It helps you track your execution, bias, and behavioral mistakes without the friction of cloud apps. Download it, use it, export it. It's that simple. Try it here: publishnotes.com hashtag#trading hashtag#tradingjournal hashtag#privacy hashtag#notetaking
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by hiuser
XAU/USD tests FvG; awaiting OB and trendline reaction.◆ Market Context Price is moving within an ascending channel pattern. Each time it touches the upper resistance line, a downward reaction occurs. The most recent decline brought the price to the OB 4,189 area, which currently acts as support. The M30 structure shows the market is in a rebalancing phase after strong volatility. ◆ Price Action – SMC • The decline from the channel peak created a Fair Value Gap (FvG), which is currently being filled. • Price remains above the short-term ascending trendline; however, the recovery force is not strong enough to break the resistance area. • OB 4,189 is the main holding area; if broken, the short-term ascending structure will be invalidated. ◆ Fibonacci & Reaction Zones • Price is reacting at the Fibo levels 0.382 – 0.5. • Fibo 0.618 around 4,230 coincides with the FvG area → this is an important resistance zone. • Closing above 4,230 will trigger an expansion to higher levels. Trading Plan ➤ Buy Scenario (priority if structure holds) • Waiting area: 4,189 (OB) or lower trendline • Condition: price holds the OB bottom and reversal signals appear • Targets: ▪︎ 4,215 ▪︎ 4,230 (strong resistance) ▪︎ expansion: 4,255 → 4,290 ➤ Sell Scenario (if structure breaks) • Condition: price breaks OB 4,189 • SL: above 4,200 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,175 ▪︎ 4,165 (deeper support area) ➤ Strong Uptrend Continuation Scenario • Condition: clear closing above 4,230 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,255 ▪︎ 4,290 Summary • OB 4,189 plays a crucial role in the short term. • If OB holds, the price is likely to continue advancing to the resistance area 4,230 and beyond. • If OB is broken, the adjustment target will head towards 4,165. • The most reasonable action now is to wait for a clear reaction at OB or when the price approaches the 4,230 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Rejected at 4,228, Risks Drop to 4,172Gold is struggling in its recovery efforts as prices continue to react negatively at the resistance zone of 4,228. Although the USD shows slight signs of weakening, the overall market sentiment remains cautious as investors await inflation data and new signals from the Fed next week. In this context, the short-term structure indicates that gold is leaning towards a corrective downtrend – aligning with the sell strategy on the rebound. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30) 🔸 1. Rising Wedge Pattern Has Broken Down Gold has just broken the “rising wedge” pattern – a clear signal of weakening momentum. The current rebound is merely a retest of the broken structure zone, easily forming a lower high → continued decline. 🔸 2. Important Supply Zone 4,226 – 4,229 → Supply Zone + the starting point of the previous strong decline If the price touches this zone with weak signals, sellers are likely to regain dominance. 🔸 3. Liquidity Zone – Price Attraction Target 4,172 – 4,173 → Liquidity zone + strong demand + wedge bottom This is the zone where the market is likely to pull the price during the session. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – Priority to SELL ▶️ Main Scenario – SELL on the rebound If the price rebounds to the supply zone: 🔹 SELL zone: 4,226 – 4,229 🔹 SL: above 4,235 🔹 TP1: 4,190 🔹 TP2: 4,172 (main target) Reason: Price retests the broken resistance + downward momentum remains strong → attractive R:R entry. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Price drops directly If the price does not rebound sufficiently to 4,228: 🔹 Wait for a small retest around 4,205 – 4,208 → SELL 🔹 Target remains 4,172 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Preferred trend: Bearish as long as the price is below 4,228 Strategy: Sell on the rebound – target 4,172 Invalidation: M30 candle closes above 4,235 Note: Volatility may increase near important US news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Buy at 4.19x, Sell Short at OB 4.24x1. Market Context (H1) Gold is moving within a corrective structure after the previous strong rally. The current price action revolves around two main zones: Buy Support Zone 4,197–4,200: where the price continuously reacts, with multiple BoS – ChoCH increases → indicating that buying pressure still maintains the base. OB Zone – Sell 4.24x: confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.786, a zone likely to see a decline reaction before forming a larger trend. The current structure leans towards a recovery to the OB Sell zone, after which the market may continue to adjust deeper to create liquidity before rising again. 2. Important Technical Zones 🔹 Support – Buy Zone: 4,197 – 4,200 This is a strong price base, where BoS + ChoCH continuously form. Only when breaking below this zone → the short-term uptrend structure weakens. 🔹 OB Zone – Sell: 4,238 – 4,245 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement (0.5–0.618–0.786). A favorable zone for the market to create a decline reaction, triggering a liquidity sweep to lower lows. 🔹 Strong Low: 4.17x This is an important low – if the price sweeps here but does not break → expect a strong rebound to higher targets. 3. Trading Scenarios According to Structure 🔸 Scenario 1: Price recovers to OB Sell 4.24x → look for short-term SELL signals Wait for the price to hit the OB Sell zone and appear: Strong rejection candle ChoCH decreases on M15 frame Volume increases at the peak Then expect a decline back to the Support Buy zone 4,197–4,205. Trading idea: Sell zone 4,238–4,245 Target: 4.20x If breaking 4.20x deeply → extend to Strong Low 4.17x 🔸 Scenario 2 (high priority): Buy at Support to catch the rise to 4.25x – 4.27x – 4.29x After completing the decline according to scenario 1, the price may rebound from the strong demand zone. BUY conditions: Price sweeps down to 4,197–4,205 or deeper to 4.17x. Reversal pattern appears + ChoCH increases. Recreate HL (higher low) structure. Targets: TP1: 4,234 TP2: 4,244 TP3: 4,258 Extended TP: 4,276 – 4,299 (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Risk Management Notes Do not chase Buy when the price is in the OB Sell zone – easy to get swept. Do not Sell deeply when not reaching OB 4.24x zone – price has not entered a nice premium zone. Always clearly define invalidation levels: BUY invalid when price closes H1 below 4.17x. SELL invalid when price breaks strongly above 4,245 and holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Dixon Technologies: Watching a Key Reversal Zone AheadDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Dixon’s decline is developing as a running flat within Wave 2. Wave A and B are already in place, with Wave B stretching above the Wave A origin, which is typical behaviour when the larger trend is still strong. The final leg, Wave C, is still unfolding. Inside Wave C, waves (i) through (iv) look complete, and the market appears to be working on wave (v). Momentum has been weakening throughout the drop, which often leads to an ending diagonal in the final wave of a running flat. The structure so far supports that possibility. The 0.618 retracement near 14,061 is the critical zone for this setup. This level aligns with typical Wave 2 depth and sits right where wave (v) of C can complete. RSI has not yet shown bullish divergence, so a marginal lower low in price, paired with a higher low in RSI, would be the ideal confirmation signal. If price forms the expected small ending diagonal into the 0.618 level and momentum improves, this would complete the running flat and set the stage for the next bullish sequence. Summary Wave 2 forming as a running flat. Wave C still in progress; wave (v) pending. Weak momentum favours an ending diagonal finish. Key reversal zone: 0.618 retracement near 14,061. Watching for bullish RSI divergence before confirmation.
NSE:DIXONLong
by WaveXplorer
6
Gold Uptrend: Retest 4,211 to Surge to 4,236 → 4,254After the Asian session, gold continues to maintain a short-term upward structure as prices consistently create higher lows (HL) and remain trading above the rising trendline. The weakening USD due to expectations of a dovish Fed is also supporting the flow of funds back into precious metals. Currently, the market is entering a "compression" zone below resistance, signaling signs of accumulation before a new expansion phase. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Flow (H1) 1️⃣ Key Supports 4,211 – 4,212 → important retest zone + trendline confluence + previous HL low. 4,187 – 4,188 → deeper support, strong previous buying zone. When prices hold above 4,211 → short-term trend remains bullish. 2️⃣ Key Resistances / Liquidity Zones 4,236 → nearby supply zone, liquidity cluster. 4,254 – 4,255 → expansion target, large liquidity zone above. Prices are reacting at the descending trendline, but the upward momentum remains in control. 🧭 Trading Scenario according to MMF ▶️ Main Scenario – BUY with the trend Wait for price retest: 🔹 BUY zone: 4,211 – 4,213 🔹 SL: below 4,206 🔹 TP1: 4,236 🔹 TP2: 4,254 Logic: Price breaks the intraday down structure, creates higher HL, and is gradually approaching the descending trendline → high breakout potential. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Deeper BUY If the market "flushes" to take liquidity: 🔹 BUY at 4,187 – 4,189 TP similar to the main scenario. 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish when prices hold above 4,211. Priority: BUY at retest → SELL only for short-term scalping. Target: 4,236 → 4,254 is a liquidity zone that the market can easily be pulled up to sweep.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Pullback to OB & Fibo, then upward trend!1. Market Cont1. Market Context In the M30 timeframe, the price is in a correction phase after forming a strong bottom area around 4,192–4,195. From there, the market has generated a series of positive signals: the price line gradually moves higher, with consecutive CHoCH appearances, indicating weakening selling pressure and a shift in cash flow towards accumulation. The resistance area of 4,230–4,240 remains a significant barrier. If it is broken with a clear closing candle, the upward structure will be confirmed, and the price may expand to higher areas. 2. Key Price Areas (SMC Mapping) Upper Resistance 4,230–4,240: strong reaction area, acting as the first barrier. 4,255–4,256: the next expansion area when the upward trend is confirmed. 4,289–4,290: the final target in the expansion structure of the upward wave. Support Area – Buying Point 4,200–4,216: OB combined with Fibo area, where the price may adjust to regenerate liquidity before rising. 4,192–4,195: strong low area, where the market has reacted strongly before. 3. Fibo & Price Action In the current upward move, the price has approached the 0.786 Fibo and encountered resistance at 4,230–4,240. A correction to the 0.382–0.5 area (corresponding to OB 4,200–4,216) would be reasonable before the market continues to retest higher areas. Notable price action signals: The consecutive appearance of bullish CHoCH indicates that buying pressure is in control. The 4,192 low is still protected and acts as an important low of the recovery phase. If the price retests the OB cleanly, this is a good trigger point for a new upward move. 4. Trading Plan Preferred Scenario: Buy according to structure Buy Waiting Area: 4,200–4,216 (OB + Fibo) Stop Loss: below 4,192 Targets: 4,230–4,240 4,255 4,289–4,290 Confirmation Conditions The price needs to clearly break the resistance area of 4,230–4,240 to trigger upward momentum. The retest of the OB must occur with reduced liquidity and a confirming candle pattern. 5. Summary The market structure shows a short-term upward trend is forming. The price is likely to adjust to the 4,200–4,216 area before continuing upwards to 4,240 and further to 4,255–4,290. The appropriate strategy is to wait to buy in the OB & Fibo area under the condition of clear confirmation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Consolidates, Awaiting Pullback for Breakout📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold is moving within a converging triangle pattern – with the bottom being pushed higher by buying pressure, while the top is continuously blocked by the H1 descending trendline. After the previous strong decline, the market has consecutively created bullish ChoCH , indicating that capital flow is starting to return, but the pivotal supply remains at the OB Bearish 4.23x area – where the price is currently stuck. Currently, the price is testing the upper edge of the triangle + supply area, which is primarily used for distribution and liquidity sweep. → Not an optimal area for FOMO BUY. 💎 Key Levels – Important Areas • OB Bearish – 4.23x: confluence with descending trendline → high probability area for strong reaction or Liquidity Sweep. • FVG – 4.21x: H1 price gap, the market tends to return to fill before continuing. • OB Bullish – Buy Zone – 4.201: H1 demand + lower edge of current range → priority area to observe BUY according to trend. • Liquidity Buy – 4.170: lower liquidity area → price may sweep deep before bouncing strongly if the medium-term uptrend remains effective. • Upper Target – 4.25x: expanded target if gold successfully breaks the converging triangle. 🎯 Trading Plan – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Priority Scenario: Pullback to OB Bullish If the OB Bearish 4.23x area reacts (wick rejection, reversal pattern, weakening momentum), expect the price to retreat to: → FVG 4.21x → OB Bullish 4.201 At the 4.20x area, if a bullish ChoCH / engulfing / strong pin bar appears, this will be a reasonable BUY area according to the trend. Suggested TP: • TP1: FVG 4.21x • TP2: Retest OB Bearish 4.23x • TP3 expanded: 4.25x area if price breaks the triangle Invalidation: H1 closes below 4.195 → stay out and wait for reaction at Liquidity 4.170. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario: Deep Sweep to Liquidity Buy If OB Bullish 4.20x does not hold and the price breaks down strongly, do not catch the falling knife. → Wait for gold to reach Liquidity Buy 4.170 → Observe reaction: long wick, selling pressure depletes, new HL formation… Only BUY again when the signal is clear. If the 4.170 area is broken strongly by an H1 candle → temporary uptrend structure loses effectiveness, reduce volume or stay out until the market stabilizes. ⚠️ Risk Management This is a trading plan based on an idea – not an immediate entry signal. Do not BUY directly at the 4.23x resistance area. Be patient for a pullback to the discount area (4.20x – 4.17x) and always set clear risk. “Liquidity tells the truth — structure confirms the path.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: H1 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
SMC TRADING PLAN – XAUUSD (1H)1. Market Context Observing the chart shows: The price is moving in a short-term downtrend, indicated by the downtrend line that has been tested multiple times but not decisively broken. Twice the price touched the trendline, it created a strong reaction → confirming this as a dynamic resistance zone. The market has created MSS (Market Structure Shift) at both the top and bottom → indicating a transition phase, suitable for scalping trades at reaction zones. The price levels you marked (4,230 – 4,219 – 4,192 – 4,181) are indeed potential liquidity pools / order blocks. 2. Main Trend & Smart Money Intentions ✔ What is Smart Money doing? Attracting liquidity below around the 4,158 – 4,160 area (noted as “Liquidity” on the chart). Pushing the price up to retest resistance around the trendline to hunt the liquidity of the Long side at the top. Then bringing the price to a deeper discount area → then deciding to push up to break or continue distributing. That is: Short-term Buy – Short-term Sell – then stronger Buy at the liquidity bottom → This is the standard Liquidity Hunt – MSS – Reversal model in SMC. 3. Two Main Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL from resistance (priority) The price is approaching the trendline and resistance area you marked. This is a high-probability setup. Ideal SELL zone: 📍 4,219 – 4,221 (reaction zone + FVG + Trendline retest) Scalping target: TP1 → 4,192 TP2 → 4,181 If a strong break: extend to 4,160 – 4,158 (main liquidity area) Stoploss: 4,230.7 (above the liquidity sweep area) Reason for SELL Touching the downtrend line → strong technical reaction. This is the Premium zone of the upward move. Likely to form a short-term distribution before pushing down to hunt liquidity. Scenario 2 – BUY from liquidity zone (secondary priority) If the price dives down to take liquidity first, prioritize Buy at the bottom zone. Strong BUY zone (Liquidity Zone): 📍 4,160 – 4,158 → This is the bottom marked by Smart Money to hunt stoploss & create a new bottom. Target: TP1 → 4,181 TP2 → 4,192 TP3 → 4,219 – 4,230 (expecting to push the price to take top liquidity) Stoploss: 4,146 Reason for BUY Clear liquidity zone, created by the previous low bottom. Coincides with the lower trendline. Two previous MSS indicate the market is in an accumulation phase for a short-term reversal. 4. Detailed Trading Plan 🎯 SELL Setup – Quick Scalp (priority) Entry: 4,219 – 4,221 SL: 4,230 TP: TP1: 4,192 TP2: 4,181 TP3: 4,160 (if price breaks down) High probability because: trendline reaction + premium zone + liquidity build-up. 🎯 BUY Setup – Safe (wait for price to hunt down) Entry: 4,160 – 4,158 SL: 4,146 TP: TP1: 4,181 TP2: 4,192 TP3: 4,219 – 4,230 High probability because: main liquidity zone + discount zone + potential for smart money to push up from the bottom. 5. Trading Advice Only take orders when there is a clear reaction: wick rejection, minor structure break on M5. Do not enter orders in the middle of the zone – only trade when the price hits the key level. Scalping should prioritize quick TP because gold's range is quite strong. 📌 Conclusion Your chart gives very clear signals according to SMC: SELL at Premium – Buy at Discount – all revolving around liquidity hunt & MSS. Two trading zones have been extremely clearly identified: ✔ SELL Zone: 4,219 – 4,221 ✔ BUY Zone: 4,160 – 4,158
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
Price hits FVG: Get ready for Market Maker's next move!In the current market context, the price structure is clearly showing the regulation of Smart Money as it continuously creates new liquidity zones, breaks structures, and leaves important footprints like OB – FVG – BOS. Below is a trading plan built based on the observed price zones on the chart: 🟥 1. Market Context – Role of OB Sell Price has reacted strongly at the Order Block Sell in the 4,237 – 4,256 zone. This is where a strong push down occurred (accompanied by a structure break – BOS), confirming this as an active supply zone. ➡️ This will be the key level to monitor all pullbacks in the coming time. 🟩 2. Current Market Structure – Market Structure After the OB Sell is activated, the market creates a bearish BOS. Price is moving down to approach the Liquidity Buy below in the 4,154 – 4,161 zone. On the way, price leaves a Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that can be used as a retracement point to continue selling. ➡️ Overall bias: Bearish intraday – favor sell on pullback. 🟨 3. Main Trading Plan – SELL SETUP 🎯 Area of Interest FVG: 4,197 – 4,214 This is the ideal price zone for price to return to balance before continuing the downtrend. 📌 Entry SELL: Preferred scenario: Price retraces to fill FVG → reacts → creates a small bearish structure (BOS M1–M5) → Sell. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 4,170 — intermediate support zone TP2: Liquidity Buy: 4,154 – 4,161 TP3 (extended): 4,144 if liquidity below continues to be swept 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the FVG peak or above the nearest OB zone: 4,214 – 4,227 ➡️ High probability when price fails to break 4,214–4,227 and continues to create lower highs. 🟦 4. Secondary Scenario – SHORT-TERM BUY (Countertrend) Only activated when price hits Liquidity Buy and a clear reversal signal appears: 📌 Entry BUY: After sweeping liquidity in the 4,154–4,161 zone Wait for bullish BOS confirmation on a lower timeframe 🎯 Targets: 4,184 4,197 4,214 (maximum – hit FVG and exit) ➡️ This is just a retracement trade, not trend-following, so risk management is crucial. ⭐ 5. Summary View The market is moving in line with Smart Money behavior: Sweep liquidity above (Sell-side Liquidity) → Create OB → Push price down Leave FVG → Attract price back → Continue distribution Main goal: Sweep Liquidity below 👉 The main trend remains SELL until the Liquidity Buy below is hit and a strong reversal structure is created.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
1
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones. Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow) 1️⃣ Key Support: 4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction. Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains. 2️⃣ Near Resistance: 4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line. 3️⃣ Main Target Zone: 4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market. Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out. 🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF Main Scenario – BUY with Trend BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests. TP Targets: TP1: 4,212 TP2: 4,236 TP3: 4,254 SL: below 4,182. Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones. Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction Only for scalp traders: SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238 TP: 4,212 SL: 4,243 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187. Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp. Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Recovery structure testing 4,239 – 4,2611. Market Context On the M30 timeframe, the previous downtrend has started to weaken. The price has formed a series of Equal Lows patterns, indicating that the short-term bottom is protected, followed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a slight Break of Structure (BOS). This reflects that the selling pressure has decreased in intensity and the market is transitioning into an accumulation phase, preparing for a recovery. The downtrend line is still valid, but the price is approaching the breakout area. Closing candles above this line will confirm a phase transition. 2. Key Price Areas Upper Supply Zone 4,239 – 4,240: the nearest strong reaction area, acting as the main resistance. 4,261: coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci of the correction wave, a notable liquidity area. 4,282 – 4,283: expansion target, corresponding to Fibonacci 1.618. These areas will be points where the market may show counter-reactions during the uptrend. Lower Demand Zone 4,168 – 4,154: the Demand Zone formed from the previous strong reversal. This is the area where the market effectively absorbed selling pressure and may continue to act as support during corrections. 3. Fibo and Price Action The current uptrend is following a standard pullback structure: from the 4,168 bottom, the price recovers to Fibonacci levels like 0.236 – 0.382, then forms a small correction before approaching the downtrend line again. If the price surpasses the trendline, the next targets will be: 4,213 (Fibo 0.618), then the main supply zone 4,239 – 4,240. Closing candles above this area will pave the way for the next targets at 4,261 and 4,282. 4. Trading Plan Buy Scenario – prioritize during correction Early buy position: 4,188 – 4,195 (retest small structure and trendline) Optimal buy zone: 4,168 – 4,154 (Demand Zone + deep Fibo correction) Stop loss: below 4,150 Targets: 4,213 4,239 – 4,240 4,261 expanding to 4,282 Short-term Sell Scalp Scenario Reaction zone: 4,227 – 4,230 (near resistance + 0.786 Fibo) Stop loss: 4,236 Target: 4,205 – 4,195 Note: This is only a short-term strategy, not the main trend. 5. Summary • The market structure is transitioning from a downtrend to an accumulation – recovery phase. • If the price surpasses and holds above the trendline, the nearest target will be 4,239 – 4,240. • The supply zones 4,239 – 4,261 – 4,282 will play a decisive role in the next uptrend. • The most effective trading strategy remains to wait for a buy during corrections to the strong support zone 4,168 – 4,154.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Gold Retests Bullish OB, Preparing for a Major Recover📊 Market Structure After the Liquidity Sweep around the 4,26x highs, Gold shifted into a short-term distribution phase and formed a series of bearish ChoCHs. However, the entire current decline remains a corrective move, as price is now approaching the Bullish Order Block at 4,155 – 4,158 USD, which is also the primary support of the prevailing trend. The ascending trendline has not been fully broken → buyers still have structure support. The main scenario: price may continue sweeping deeper into the Bullish OB, or even tag the Deep OB at 4,129 – 4,130 USD, before initiating a strong bullish recovery. 💎 Key Technical Zones Bullish OB: 4,155 – 4,158 USD → primary BUY zone Deep OB: 4,129 – 4,130 USD → safer BUY zone (deep retest) Bearish OB: 4,211 – 4,213 USD → short-term SELL reaction Liquidity Above: 4,239 – 4,240 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Clear Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-Following Priority When price taps the Bullish OB 4,155 – 4,158 and prints a clear rejection candle: Entry: 4,155 – 4,158 SL: 4,128 TP1: 4,188 TP2: 4,211 TP3: 4,239 TP4: 4,260+ → A trend-aligned setup: low risk – high reward. → If price does not react at the Bullish OB, wait for a deeper BUY at the Deep OB (safer). 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If price retraces into the Bearish OB 4,211 – 4,213 and shows rejection: Entry: 4,211 – 4,213 SL: 4,225 Short TP: 4,188 → 4,175 → This is only a reaction play. Do NOT hold long-term since the main trend remains bullish. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is likely in its final corrective phase before starting a new bullish leg. As long as 4,129 remains intact, buyers maintain full control. Smart money is likely accumulating around the Bullish OB before pushing price back toward 4,239 – 4,260. ⚡ “Smart money always returns to where strength began — buy where the market was born.” ⏰ Timeframe: H1 📅 Updated: 04/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD – Waiting for 4,203 Retest Before the Next Bullish Leg(MMF Intraday Plan – Dec 03) Gold continues to recover after last week’s deep drop, but the current bullish momentum is still weak and needs a liquidity sweep + clean pullback before pushing higher. On the M30–H1 structure, price is still moving below the descending trendline, suggesting that Gold may need a deeper retest into the 4,203 demand zone—the key area where: ✔️ Fibo 0.618 of the latest impulse ✔️ Previous demand that created strong bullish displacement ✔️ Liquidity resting below the recent short-term lows ✔️ The higher-low (HL) structure of the bullish wave Once this zone holds, Gold is positioned for the next expansion upward. 🧭 Primary Scenario – MMF BUY Setup BUY Zone: 4,203 – 4,205 Stop-Loss: below 4,197 TP1: 4,230 TP2: 4,242 (major target – supply zone + Fibo 1.272) If price breaks above 4,242 with momentum → next bullish extension targets 4,249–4,252. ⚠️ Secondary Scenario (Scalp SELL only) Short-term scalp, not part of the main trend plan: SELL Reaction Zone: 4,230 – 4,232 Stop-Loss: 4,236 TP: 4,215 Use this only as a quick reaction trade while the trend waits for confirmation. 📌 Daily Bias Summary Intraday bias remains BULLISH while price holds above 4,197. Best setup today: wait for a clean pullback into 4,203 for the main BUY. Expect volatility during NY session due to upcoming data → manage positions carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD – Buy Setup from Liquidity Sweep & Fibo 0.618📌 Structure Overview • After a short-term bearish leg, price formed a sequence of ChoCH → BoS → ChoCH, signalling that selling pressure is losing momentum. • The liquidity sweep at the 4,183 – 4,185 lows has reactivated buying interest. • From this newly formed low, price retraced into the bearish OB above and is now correcting based on Fibonacci levels. Overall structure leans toward accumulation – building a base before a potential recovery move. 🔍 Technical Analysis (SMC + Fibonacci) • Key OB Zone: The bearish OB at 4,228 – 4,241 remains a strong supply area — where price reacted on first touch. • Fibonacci Retracement: After the impulsive move 4,184 → 4,228, price is correcting toward standard retracement levels: 0.382 0.5 0.618 Notably: 0.618 overlaps with demand + liquidity zone → high reaction probability. • Current Price Action: Price is pulling back gently into the BUY zone, without forming new lower lows — confirming that selling pressure is fading. 🎯 Trade Plan – BUY Following Smart Money Flow 🟢 Primary BUY Zone: 4,184 – 4,186 ✔ Confluence with Fibo 0.618 ✔ Same area as liquidity sweep low ✔ Aligns with the recovery-trend demand zone Stop Loss: Below 4,170 (clears all remaining liquidity underneath) Short-Term Targets: • TP1: 4,228 – first reaction zone • TP2: 4,241 – bearish OB • TP3 (extended): 4,256 – 4,258 Alternative Scenario: If price breaks 4,241 convincingly and closes above it on M30 → bullish continuation is confirmed → extended targets at 4,270 – 4,280. 📌 Important Notes • Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range; wait for demand + Fibo reaction. • When price reaches 4,228 – 4,241, consider partial profits to protect gains. • Structure becomes invalid only if price breaks below 4,170. 💬 Conclusion Short-term bias favours a bullish pullback, with an optimal BUY setup around 4,184 – 4,186. If this zone holds, gold has room to extend its recovery towards 4,241 → 4,256+.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Rising, Monitor BUY at📊 Market Structure Gold is in an accumulation phase after a short-term drop creating ChoCH at lower price levels. The current structure shows that the price has formed an Equal High (EqH) around 4,235 – a sign that the market may be holding liquidity above to support the next push. The price returns to test the area 4,192 – 4,193 USD — this is the nearest support zone, and also the point where previous buying pressure created an upward BoS . If this area continues to hold, the short-term upward structure will be reactivated. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone (Buy Zone): 4,192 – 4,193 USD • Invalidation: below 4,170 USD • Target 1: 4,237 USD • Target 2: 4,249 USD • Target 3: 4,264 USD • Target 4: 4,284 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,323 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY Priority 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Support 4,192 If the price retests the area 4,192 – 4,193 and a bullish candlestick signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,192 – 4,193 • SL: 4,170 • TP1: 4,237 • TP2: 4,249 • TP3: 4,264 • TP4: 4,284 • TP5: 4,323 (sweep liquidity EqH) → This is a setup in line with the short-term trend, as liquidity above the EqH peak remains and is likely to be swept. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If the price retests higher resistance zones and reacts with a strong decline: • Waiting SELL Zone: – 4,249 – 4,264 – 4,284 • Short TP: back to 4,225 – 4,216 → This setup only trades against the trend when clear rejection is observed. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current trend still supports the continuation of the upward expansion. The 4,192 USD area is crucial: holding this area → prioritize BUY; losing this area → the market will need to sweep deeper before rising again. ⚡ “Follow the liquidity — the market always returns to collect what it left behind.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 03/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent