XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages.
Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side.
Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone
• FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately
• OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone
• OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone
• Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority)
1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090
• Entry: 4,085 – 4,095
• SL: below 4,060
• TP1: 4,169
• TP2: 4,186
• TP3: 4,206 / 4,237
→ This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline.
2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG
If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle:
• BUY immediately when there is a signal
• Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237
3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044
• Entry: 4,044 – 4,047
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,095
• TP2: 4,169
• TP3: 4,206
→ This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened.
🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend)
Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears:
• 4,169 USD
• 4,186 USD
• 4,206 USD (OB Bearish)
• 4,237 USD (Supply)
Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing)
SL: above the zone 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128
→ These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities.
The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play.
“Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Fibonacci
Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure
Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout.
On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure.
On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection.
Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction.
Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up
• 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction
• 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure
• 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario)
If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle:
• Entry: 4,112 – 4,115
• SL: 4,095
• TP1: 4,128
• TP2: 4,145
• TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG)
→ This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break.
2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020
If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone:
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,017
• SL: 3,990
• TP1: 4,103
• TP2: 4,128
• TP3: 4,150
→ This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base.
❌ SELL? When is it valid?
Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend.
Selling is only valid if the price:
• Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD
→ At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive.
The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD.
Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market.
⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Bank Nifty — Wave 5 Meets 100% Extension ResistanceBank Nifty completed its five-wave rise with Wave 5 ending exactly at the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 , a classic termination level when Wave 3 is extended.
Inside this zone, price printed a Hanging Man followed by a bearish confirmation candle . The confirmation is not strong, but together with the Fibonacci symmetry at the Wave-5 target, it reflects clear exhaustion.
A corrective phase from this region is reasonable.
A strong reclaim above the recent high would invalidate the exhaustion and reopen the upside.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Indian Railway Finance Corporation – Complex Correction in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Technical Picture
Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) stock rallied from the swing low of 65.75 to an all-time high of 229 in a strong impulsive move. Since then, the stock has entered a corrective phase.
The decline from 229 to 108.04 unfolded as a clear three-wave ABC zigzag.
From 108.04 to 148.95, the rise was overlapping and choppy, best counted as an X wave triangle rather than a fresh impulsive sequence.
The fall from 148.95 to 117.33 looks impulsive and is labelled as Wave A of the Y leg.
The ongoing bounce can be labelled as Wave B, with retracement levels around 124–129 acting as possible resistance.
Once Wave B completes, a Wave C decline is expected to finish Wave Y. This Y leg can either:
terminate near 108.04, forming a double bottom structure, or extend toward the 0.786 retracement of the 65.75–229 rally, around 100.70.
Momentum and Indicators
On the D,2D and Weekly charts, RSI is below the 50 mark, showing weak momentum.
Price remains under the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, which are acting as resistances (not plotted here to keep the chart uncluttered).
The invalidation level for this corrective view is 148.95. A break above this level would challenge the corrective structure and point to a new impulsive rally.
Fundamentals
Growth : FY25 sales at Rs 27,152 crore vs Rs 26,645 crore in FY24. Net profit at Rs 6,502 crore vs Rs 6,412 crore. Quarterly profits continue steady.
Cash flows : Operating cash flow improved to Rs 8,229 crore. Net cash flow turned positive at Rs 5,657 crore from negative last year.
Leverage : Debt-to-equity is high at 7.83, with interest coverage at just 1.3x, leaving little buffer.
Returns and margins : Return on equity stands at 12.3%, but margins have narrowed from earlier highs.
Valuation : P/E around 25 and P/B at 3.1 suggest the stock is not cheap given its nature as a financing PSU.
in.tradingview.com
Summary
IRFC appears to be in the final stages of a complex W–X–Y correction. Wave Y is unfolding, and price can either find support near 108.04 to form a double bottom or stretch further toward the 100.70 zone. The 129 area is key resistance for the current B wave bounce, and 148.95 remains the invalidation level.
While the company’s fundamentals are stable with steady sales and profits, the balance sheet remains heavily leveraged, and valuations are not inexpensive. Investors should watch for price action around 108–100 for signs of a structural bottom and confirmation before positioning for the next major trend.
XAU/USD – Gold Under Heavy Pressure, 4,000$ Break Looks ImminentGold continues to slide as the US Dollar strengthens, fueled by resilient US data. With markets waiting for the final week of November and the upcoming FOMC decision, safe-haven flows remain weak—making XAU/USD extremely vulnerable to further downside.
📊 Technical Outlook – H1/H30
The short-term structure remains clearly bearish:
1️⃣ Trend Bias: Bearish
Price keeps rejecting the descending trendline.
Every pullback is shallow and absorbed quickly by intraday supply zones.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance / Supply Zones:
4,078 – 4,089
4,104 (major confluence: Fibo + H1 supply)
Support / Liquidity Targets:
4,023 – 4,013
3,989 – 3,975 → major liquidity zone (high reaction probability)
3️⃣ Scenarios to Watch
🔻 Scenario 1 — Continuation Drop (Primary Bias)
Break below 4,044 → targets 4,023, then the liquidity sweep at 3,99x – 3,97x.
🔄 Scenario 2 — Pullback Before Drop
Retracement to 4,054 – 4,078 → rejection → continuation lower.
🔺 Scenario 3 — Deeper Recovery (Low Probability)
Only valid if price closes above 4,104, unlocking a move toward 4,13x – 4,15x.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan
SELL – Trend-Following (Primary)
Sell Zone 1: 4,054 – 4,078
SL: 4,105
TP: 4,023 → 4,013 → 3,99x
Sell Zone 2: 4,089 – 4,104
SL: 4,112
TP: 4,054 → 4,023
BUY – Only as a Reaction Trade (Liquidity Sweep)
Buy Zone: 3,99x – 3,97x
SL: 3,955
TP: 4,023 → 4,054
⚠️ Buy setups are counter-trend and require strong confirmation.
Primary bias remains SELL as long as price stays below 4,104.
⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View
Gold is being pushed toward the psychological 4,000$ support.
A clean break could trigger a broader bearish expansion into 3,98x – 3,95x.
With month-end positioning, FOMC expectations, and shifting Fed sentiment, volatility is likely to increase sharply.
Stay with the trend—SELL the rallies. BUY only at deep liquidity zones with confirmation.
Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area.
The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity.
The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone.
📊 Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds.
Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure.
Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area.
Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):
• The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).
• When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):
• If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD.
💎 Key Zones
BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD
SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area.
The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area.
In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.
Possibility Due To Weak TrendTrend Started Became Weak
I already for daytime frame
this 4h time frame channel breakdown already happened may take support from fib level 0.6 but possible to maybe price come to 0.7 level easily.
Reverse Scenario:
Break his channel high price level
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
BINANCE:STRKUSDT
STRK Wait & Watch Situation BINANCE:STRKUSDT
Trend after retracement but retracement looks weak because price break already breaks major support, but candle is not closed so, confirmation is still pending.
4H chart show channel breaks down.
That also show negativity but still day time frame is running
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
Zcash Formed Triple TopZcash Formed Triple Top And Ready For Breakdown.
But Twist is, 0.38 retracement level. trend still strong
Ready short for setup
Reverse Scenario:
Break That Triple Top High
Any Bullish Pattern breakout in smaller time frame.
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
XAU/USD: Gold Set to Test Downtrend Line!⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/21/2025
🔍 Market Context
After adjusting from the 4,107 USD area, gold is moving sideways in the liquidity rebalancing zone – indicating a tug-of-war between the two sides.
The consecutive CHoCH – BOS movements forming around the 4,006 USD bottom show that buying pressure is starting to reappear.
The current decline seems to be just a correction phase, not yet showing enough signs of a complete reversal of the medium-term uptrend structure.
📊 Technical Structure
Downtrend line: continues to act as dynamic resistance – a confirmation area for the recovery trend if broken.
OB Bullish (4,006 USD): confluence with the previous liquidity bottom, is a potential BUY Zone.
Break–Resistance (4,045 USD): the first level to surpass to confirm buying pressure.
OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD): short-term supply zone – short-term SELL Zone, may witness profit-taking reactions if the price touches it.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario:
– Price may retest the OB Bullish / BUY Zone (4,006–4,025 USD).
– When a clear upward reaction appears, gold is likely to break through the downtrend line, heading towards OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD).
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:
– If the price does not hold the 4,006 USD area, the short-term structure will be invalidated, opening the possibility of retreating to a lower equilibrium area around 3,985 USD.
💎 Key Zones
BUY Zone: 4,006 – 4,025 USD → demand zone confluence OB + liquidity bottom.
SELL Zone: 4,086 – 4,107 USD → potential supply zone if the recovery trend is activated.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in a short-term accumulation state with signs of capital flow gradually leaning towards the buyers.
The retest phase of the 4,006 USD support area will be the key confirmation for a reversal – retest – continuation phase.
As long as the price stays above this area, the priority remains a buy-the-dip scenario in the short term.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is operating in a "break or hold" zone – clear confirmation is needed before following the trend.
Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not trading advice.
XAU/USD Near Breakdown – Bears Eying Liquidity SweepGold remains under pressure after a stronger-than-expected NFP print reduced near-term Fed rate-cut expectations.
The USD stays moderately supported, while weak risk sentiment keeps gold in a cautious, defensive phase.
📊 Technical Snapshot (H1–M30)
Price continues to reject the descending trendline and the supply zone 4,054–4,078.
Lower highs structure intact → bearish momentum remains dominant.
Liquidity pockets sit at 4,013 and especially 3,989, a key downside magnet.
Any pullback toward 4,054 is likely just a retest before continuation lower.
🎯 MMF Intraday Plan
Primary Bias: SELL – follow the trend
Sell 4,054–4,078
SL: 4,090
TP: 4,013 → 3,989 → 3,975
Countertrend BUY (only at deep liquidity):
Buy 3,985–3,990
SL: 3,972
TP: 4,013 → 4,054
⚡️ MMF View
As long as price stays below the trendline and lower-high structure, gold remains in distribution.
A sweep of the 3,99x liquidity zone is highly likely before any meaningful reversal can form.
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC
Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC .
Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD
Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure
Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030
SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction:
A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone
The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues
The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C
=> In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend.
💎 Key Technical Zones
🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area
4,008 – 4,020 USD
→ Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below.
→ High probability of reversal.
🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area
4,030 – 4,040 USD
→ If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue.
🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance)
4,152 – 4,207 USD
→ Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed.
🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map
1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority)
Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone:
Entry: 4,012 – 4,020
SL: below 3,984
TP1: 4,076
TP2: 4,128
TP3: 4,152
TP4: 4,207
→ This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott.
2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure
If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand:
Entry: 4,070 – 4,076
SL: 4,040
TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207
→ Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade)
Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo:
Entry: 4,092 – 4,106
SL: 4,116
TP: 4,040 → 4,020
→ Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction.
As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207.
“Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 21/11/2025
✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD: Gold Adjusts, Awaiting Fibo 4,092 Confirmation📊 Market Structure
Gold is moving in the ABC–D–E adjustment pattern after a strong decline from the peak. Current structure:
Wave (C) peaks at the 4,128 – 4,130 USD region and strong selling pressure appears.
The price then creates a temporary bottom (D) but does not touch the Demand Zone at 4,007 USD, indicating the BUY side still has strength.
Currently, the price is in a small upward adjustment phase to form wave (E).
Key points:
The major trend still leans towards an increase as long as the bottom at 4,007 USD is not broken.
The BUY side is looking for a complete structure to continue pushing up to the FVG region.
💎 Key Technical Zones
1. Fibo Retracement Zone — 4,092 USD
Confluence region of:
Fibo 0.5 – 0.618
Adjustment structure (small wave)
→ Suitable for light SELL scalp, according to candle reaction signals.
2. FVG Zone — 4,128 – 4,151 USD
This is a large FVG region, coinciding with the market's "loss cost."
If the price pushes up as expected in wave (E), this is the main SELL region of the day.
3. Supply Zone — 4,207 – 4,210 USD
Extremely strong region, if the price breaks the FVG, it will move to this region.
This is the extended target for the BUY side if the market rises strongly.
4. Demand Zone — 4,007 – 4,020 USD
The strongest liquidity bottom region of the session.
If the price breaks 4,092 and does not maintain structure, gold will retest this region before a major increase.
🎯 Trading Plan – According to the current chart
1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Main scenario
Wait for the price to retrace to the Fibo 4,092 USD region and observe the reaction:
Entry: 4,092
SL: 4,105
TP1: 4,075
TP2: 4,060
TP3: 4,030 (lower FVG)
→ This is a short-term scalp order, suitable for the current weak market.
2️⃣ SELL Setup – FVG Zone
If the price breaks 4,092 and runs up to FVG:
Entry: 4,126 – 4,151
SL: 4,160
TP1: 4,092
TP2: 4,060
TP3: 4,030
→ This is the best SELL region of the day.
3️⃣ BUY Setup – Demand Zone
Only activate if the market drops deeply:
Entry: 4,020 – 4,007
SL: 3,995
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,092
TP3: 4,128 – 4,151
→ Buy according to the major trend when the price reaches the liquidity bottom region.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current market is in a controlled adjustment phase.
Priority:
✔ SELL scalp at 4,092
✔ Beautiful SELL at 4,126–4,151
✔ BUY only activates when reaching 4,020–4,007
The major trend is still waiting to complete the wave pattern to push up to the Supply Zone 4,207 USD.
Nifty50 - Wave 4 Flat in Play, Triangle on the HorizonNifty’s prior correction completed as a W–X–Y, with Wave Y ending in a rare truncation — a sign of exhaustion before the next impulse began.
The following rise is unfolding into a clean 5-wave sequence. Wave 4 now appears as a flat correction but, per alternation, could stretch into a sideways triangle while holding above the 0.382–0.5 zone.
Once complete, Wave 5 may challenge and possibly clear the ATH line.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Godrej Properties Symmetrical TriangleGodrej Properties is forming a Symmetrical Triangle. The recent news signify that they have acquired land / property deal worth of 2400 Cr which can boost the stock. I've outlined 4 possible targets using the Fib Tool. Not sure if it's gonna go down or up. Let me know your opinion about it.
XAU/USD: Gold in Downtrend, Waiting for Demand Surge⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/20/2025
🔍 Market Context
After the technical rebound at the beginning of the week, gold returns to adjust within the descending channel pattern, indicating that short-term upward momentum is temporarily weakening.
The current structure reflects a rebalancing state after the price was rejected at the 4,127 USD supply zone – coinciding with the 30-minute frame Supply Zone.
However, the Demand Zone below still plays an important role in maintaining the medium-term upward structure.
📊 Technical Structure
Supply Zone (4,127 USD): main resistance area, confluence with the nearest peak – where the price was strongly rejected during the Asian session.
OB Bearish (4,106 USD): short-term supply area, highly likely to be retested after completing the adjustment phase.
Demand Zone (4,013 USD): main support area in the descending channel, also the confluence point between the channel boundary and the lower liquidity zone.
Liquidity Sweep: signal indicating that lower liquidity has been absorbed, opening up the possibility of forming a higher low.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ Price continues to fluctuate within the descending channel, retesting the 4,013 USD Demand Zone.
2️⃣ If a clear price reaction occurs, the market is likely to break the channel, opening up a technical rebound to OB Bearish 4,106 USD or Supply Zone 4,127 USD.
3️⃣ Losing the 4,013 USD area will temporarily invalidate the rebound structure, bringing the price back to a lower balance area around 3,990 USD.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in a corrective pullback phase – where the market needs to regenerate liquidity before forming a new expansion wave.
A reasonable scenario is sweep – retest – expansion: sweep lower liquidity, retest the supply area, then determine the main trend for the end of the week.
Buyers still have a slight advantage as long as the Demand Zone is maintained.
🛡️ Risk Note
This is a phase of market liquidity accumulation, fluctuations may be erratic.
XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context
Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation.
On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion.
The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts:
📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov
Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump
Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook
Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes
Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech
U.S. Unemployment Rate
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Initial Jobless Claims
➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View
Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume.
The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation.
The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal.
Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control.
Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps.
🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan
BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday)
Buy 4046–4048
SL: 4039
TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125
✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift.
SELL (Scalping Only)
Sell 4146–4148
SL: 4154
TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110
✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation
4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news
🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook
If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward:
4146 → 4187 → 4210+
The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure
Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11.
However, a significant sign appeared when:
Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD
Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe
The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure
This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure.
Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side.
If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear:
FVG 4,150 USD
Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally
• Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point
• FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur
• Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone:
Entry: 4,086 – 4,090
SL: 4,058
TP1: 4,132
TP2: 4,150
TP3: 4,202
→ This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer)
If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone:
Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart)
SL: 4,028
TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150
→ This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only
If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals:
Entry: 4,148–4,150
SL: 4,160
TP: 4,130 → 4,100
→ Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity.
As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market.
“Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.” ⚜️
L&T Technology Services: Correction Complete Near Golden Ratio?After a textbook five-wave impulse from ₹2,924 (2022 low) to ₹6,000 (2024 high), L&T Technology Services appears to have completed a proportional A–B–C correction, finding support precisely near the 0.618 retracement (₹4,099) of the entire advance.
Wave Structure
The advance from the 2022 low unfolded as a clean 5-wave impulse, capped by Wave 5 near ₹6,000.
The subsequent decline subdivides neatly into A–B–C, with Wave C forming a perfect five-wave internal pattern.
Sub-wave (v) of C bottomed around ₹3,951 — just below (iii), confirming structural completion with ideal symmetry.
Fibonacci & Channel Confluence
The decline halted exactly at the 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse — a zone that often attracts buying in post-impulse corrections.
The downward-sloping corrective channel that’s guided Wave C is now flattening, with price repeatedly testing its upper boundary.
A sustained breakout above ~₹4,300–₹4,400 would signal that the market may be transitioning into a new impulsive phase.
Trade Perspective (Educational View)
Scenario 1 – Bullish:
A weekly close above ₹4,400 confirms breakout from the C-wave channel, opening the door toward ₹5,200 → ₹5,650 in subsequent impulsive waves.
Scenario 2 – Extended Correction:
Failure to clear the channel and a close below ₹3,950 would extend the correction toward deeper retracements near ₹3,600 or even ₹3,400.
Summary
L&T Technology Services has now checked every box of a mature corrective phase — Fibonacci alignment, structural symmetry, and wave alternation.
A breakout above the declining channel would be the first real hint that the larger uptrend is ready to resume. Until then, patience beats prediction.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.






















