Adani Energy - Heavy Supp & Ress with 4 yr long Fibonacci SetupAnalysed the Adani Energy solutions on a weekly chart
there is a 4 year long gap to be filled - Fibonacci setup.
However from last 1 year, the price has been seeing a heavy resistance and support at the entry zone, which somehow makes the entire Fibonacci setup little week.
The coming week or two, may still see a downfall and hot the support level of 975-970, if continued, it may hit a second resistance of 955-950.
at this stage, the trend is also hanging towards more sellers keen to liquidate their positions. Hence this may drive the price downwards towards its support.
Once the price sustain the support level, price may hit its first sub resistance of 1190. It may also continue to hit its second main resistance level of 1265
I shall keep updating the weekly analysis.
Fibonacci
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? | Elliott Wave Theory Market ForecastGreetings, fellow traders,
In this post, I employ "Elliott Wave Theory" to analyze and predict Bitcoin's price movements. The decision to utilize this theory stems from its robust framework for interpreting market cycles, which is essential for precise forecasting in the volatile cryptocurrency market.
1️⃣ The value of an asset directly reflects the sentiment of investors participating in the market.
2️⃣ When investors are optimistic, increased demand naturally drives prices up, while fear among investors leads to price declines.
3️⃣ Prices are a direct representation of investor sentiment, and the "Elliott Wave Theory" is a framework that patterns these price movements.
✅ Conclusion
By applying the "Elliott Wave Theory," it is possible to anticipate Bitcoin's next move.
Therefore, let's now dive deep into the "Elliott Wave Theory" to both predict Bitcoin's next movements and gain a thorough understanding of this theory.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H
This chart review covers the period from January 24, 2024, to March 14, 2024.
During this timeframe, a rare "Double Extended Impulse Wave" pattern appeared, characterized by an extended 5th wave.
The supporting evidence for this pattern is as follows:
1️⃣ A breakout from the 1-3 trendline.
2️⃣ The 3rd wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave.
3️⃣ The 5th wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 3rd wave.
4️⃣ The 4th wave took longer to develop compared to the 2nd wave.
I will explore these points in greater detail with the accompanying chart analysis below.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H
This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the first point mentioned. (Reference: 1️⃣)
In wave analysis, trendlines play a crucial role. A break in the trendline often signifies the end of a wave or highlights the unique characteristics of that wave.
In this post, we'll focus on the waves marked on the chart, so please pay close attention to the attached chart.
The extension of the 5th wave is significantly influenced by the trendline connecting the peaks of the 1st and 3rd waves.
This trendline is especially important in the context of a "Double Extended Impulse Wave."
A "Double Extended Impulse Wave" indicates a strong buying momentum in a bull market or a strong selling momentum in a bear market.
Therefore, it is expected that the upper trendline (the 1-3 trendline) would be breached as the wave progresses.
(leading to a sharp rise in a bull market or a steep fall in a bear market).
Please refer to the chart provided above.
There are five instances of "Over shooting" , indicating a strong bullish market.
This example shows how a single trendline can help identify the market's strength, weakness, and the type of wave pattern in play.
Now, let's move on to the next chart.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H
This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the second and third points mentioned.
(Reference: 2️⃣3️⃣)
Additionally, this chart illustrates the internal Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave.
The characteristics of the internal Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows: (Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️)
✔️ The 3rd wave rises between 100% and 261.8% of the length of the 1st wave.
✔️ The 5th wave rises 161.8% of the (0-3) length, measured from the end of the 4th wave. (It should be shorter than 261.8%.)
✔️ The 5th wave is longer than the shorter of 100% of the (0-3) length and 161.8% of the 3rd wave.
Since this wave satisfies all the above conditions, it is highly likely to be a Double Extended Impulse Wave with an extended 5th wave.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H
This chart represents the external Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave.
(For an impulse wave with an extended 5th wave, the external ratios are considered more reliable than the internal ratios.)
The characteristics of the external Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows:
(Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️)
✔️ The length of the 5th wave, measured from the end of the 3rd wave, forms at 100%, 161.8%, or 261.8% of the (0-3) length.
Since this wave satisfies all the conditions, it is highly likely to be a "Double Extended Impulse Wave" with an extended 5th wave.
(The author also considers the external ratios to be highly reliable.)
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H
This chart includes the fourth piece of evidence mentioned earlier (Reference: 4️⃣).
One of the most essential concepts in "Elliott Wave Theory" is "The Rule of Alternation."
This principle is foundational to understanding market movements and is critical to the rules governing wave progression. Without it, Elliott Wave Theory would lose much of its practical value.
"The Rule of Alternation" is most clearly demonstrated in the period of corrective waves.
In the chart provided above, you’ll notice a comparison between the length of the 2nd wave and the 4th wave.
Typically, before an extended wave appears, the market tends to undergo a longer or deeper correction. In this case, the 4th wave is noticeably longer than the 2nd wave, which satisfies this condition.
This observation significantly increases the reliability of the wave pattern.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D
Now, let's discuss the potential future direction.
If the low point of the 5th wave within the extended impulse wave breaks, it is likely that this impulse wave marks the final wave of a larger wave pattern.
In simpler terms, the 5-wave extended impulse wave we've discussed so far may represent the last wave of the current upward trend.
To put it even more clearly, if the price falls below the $50,922.5 level, there is a high probability that the market has transitioned into a downtrend.
Please refer to the following chart for further details.
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✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D
Based on the assumption that the market has transitioned into a downtrend, I’ve constructed the following scenario.
It appears that a Corrective Wave (Flat) has already occurred, and the market is currently experiencing a correction in response to this wave (indicated by the red dotted line).
According to this scenario, even if the price experiences an upward movement, it is likely to be a technical rebound within the broader context of a continuing downtrend.
—
Conclusion
Today, we applied the Elliott Wave Theory to the actual Bitcoin chart to analyze the market.
I made every effort to maintain an objective perspective.
I am aware that many traders and investors are anticipating a continued upward trend. However, my intent in presenting a bearish scenario was not to gain attention, but rather to analyze the market as objectively as possible.
It’s important to approach the market rationally, rather than simply calling for a rise without substantial evidence.
I encourage you all to remain wise traders and investors who do not succumb to 'FOMO' (Fear of Missing Out) and always maintain an objective view of the market.
Thank you for taking the time to read this post.
If you found this analysis helpful, I would greatly appreciate it if you could give it a "boost." Should there be significant interest in this post, I'll consider creating follow-up analyses.
Reliance Industry - Elliot Wave SetupSpotted a Elliot wave setup in Reliance Industry on a daily chart.
Currently the Point B is being active, today's AGM has a positive effect on the share price, making a green candle.
The target price for point C has been identified with fibonacci setup which is also in a perfect state covering point 4, 5, A, B, and C
A short position can be taken movement price start moving towards point C with target of around 2836 with stop loss at 3129
We can expect a bullish movement from the point of 3129-3100
Sun Pharmaceutical, Bearish - SidewaysThe stock has seen exponential rise since last many months without any intermittent major corrections. The fresh trend lines created have been breached now, and stock seems to have entered into sloping / sideways channel since Feb. Expect to see corrections upto 1300-1250 or upto the trend line which will be healthy for accumulation & gather momentum for future uptrend.
GRAVITA INDIAEstablished in 1992, Gravita India Ltd is one of the largest lead producer in India. The company's business is organized across four specialized verticals: Lead Recycling (flagship), Aluminum recycling, Plastic recycling and Turnkey projects.
The company also has expertise in the recycling of used batteries, cable scrap/other Lead scrap, Aluminum scrap, Plastic scrap, etc.
Above 2220 will be good for long position
IEX IWSupport and Resistance:
The chart shows a long consolidation phase, highlighted by a black rectangle. This consolidation represents a trading range where the price was oscillating between approximately ₹120 and ₹180.
Breakout:
The price has recently broken out of this consolidation zone, moving above ₹180 and reaching a current level of ₹203.51. This breakout may indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
Upside Targets:
Two potential resistance levels are marked with red dashed lines:
The first level is around ₹245.58.
The second, more distant target is around ₹301.90.
These observations are based on the chart's technical analysis for educational purposes and are not financial advice.
FINNIFTY (CNXFINANCE) - A BEARISH CYPHER PATTERN FORMED. NSE:CNXFINANCE
❇️Harmonic chart pattern: BEARISH CYPHER PATTERN
👉🏻The Cypher pattern is one of the most profitable harmonic patterns and is useful for risk management, because of the large success rate. Traders can minimize losses if they follow the Cypher trading rules and meet the profit target.
🚀How to use
❇️The Cypher harmonic pattern is a trading strategy that uses Fibonacci numbers to identify turning points in geometric price patterns. It can help traders predict future movements, determine when trends will reverse, and decide when to buy and sell. Here are some steps for using the Cypher pattern:
❇️1. Draw the patterns
👉🏻Start with a bullish or bearish impulsive move from point X to A. Then, use a Fibonacci retracement tool to find point B between 38.2% and 61.8% of XA, without closing past 61.8%. Next, use a Fibonacci expansion tool to find point C between 127.2% and 141.4% of the move from X to A, without closing past 141.4%. Finally, use a Fibonacci retracement tool to find point D by moving from X to C and reaching the 78.6% region. You can also use a Fibonacci expansion tool to find point D by moving from B to C and landing between 127.2% and 200%.
❇️2. Enter the pattern
👉🏻Traders can enter a Cypher pattern by setting a limit order at the 78.6% level or using a market order after the price starts to reverse.
❇️3. Set stop losses
👉🏻For a bearish Cypher, place stop losses just above point X. For a bullish Cypher, place stop losses just below point X.
❇️4. Set take profits
👉🏻Draw a Fibonacci extension from point C to point D and set multiple take profits. For example, you could set the first take profit at Fibonacci one, the second at 1.272, and the third at 1.618. You can break into the trade when any of the take profits are hit. Many traders partially close their position at point A, but you can also choose point C for a more aggressive approach
ENTRY STATUS: ACTIVE ✅
TARGET 23440-23140-22555 (as per this harmonic chart pattern)
SL 23670
🚀Happy trading 🫡
👉🏻 @thetradeforecast🇮🇳
LIC Housing Finance-Bullish Swing NSE:LICHSGFIN
27.08.2024
Buy-Above 485 after crossing 21 EMA
Target- 775
Stop Loss-624
Risk Reward- 1:1.5
With very good uptrend from past one year, price has reached all time high
but couldn't able to break. Now again it is trying to climb the same level to break and
create new ATH.
1.Bullish engulfing against last 3 candles
2. Price rejection continuously from the parallel support level. Reject rejection is with 200 EMA
3. Continuous 3 green candles formation in weekly TF.
4.Volumes decreased in red candles during breakdown and now increased volumes found in green.
5. Rejection from 0.5 Fibonacci level again at same support level.
6. Stock bounced from over sold level and now into bullish RSI zone after crossing 40 RSI
Amines & plasticizers cup & handleChemicals sectors haven't participated the bull rally in last few years. Chemicals are getting ready. Deepak nitrite, Amines, Archean chemicals, Balamines are all looking good. All these stocks has very strong fundamentals. This stock has made cup pattern. Closing above 345 would be a breakout else handle pattern will form. Target 510.
Gold to continue the Bullishness As mentioned in previous Analysis, support taken from 2370
If Gold sustains above 2450 2500
Short term 2700 could be tested
Longer term 3000 could be tested
Rationale:
Support taken from
1. Fib 0.23 retracement of the rally from 1986 to 2450
2. DEMA 50
Bullish Flag Breakout
#XAUUSD/H1 Weekend trading trends. Opportunities and risks ?Forecast for 8/23/2024:
Gold is expected to continue its correction, with a high likelihood of further adjustment. Frame D has shown a reversal, presenting an opportunity for short selling and preparing for a strong rise after the completion of gold's momentum.
The trading trend for today is SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zones: 2497 - 2500 and 2508 - 2511. BUY zones: 2473 - 2476 and 2450 - 2454.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2497 - 2499
SL 2503
TP 2494 - 2485 - 2475 - 2450.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2509 - 2511
SL 2515
TP 2500 - 2490 - 2480 - 2450.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2473 - 2475
SL 2469
TP 2480 - 2490 - 2495.
Is it still possible to adjust to 2435 and 2450 beats per minuteAnalysis of the gold trend in the Europe - America session on August 22, 2024:
The analysis from yesterday was completely accurate as gold has confirmed the current peak at 2531. The deep correction trend continues, albeit slowly, due to political situations and investor sentiment. Today, there will be news affecting USD and GOLD, leading to the possibility of establishing new peaks before further adjustments.
The trading trend for today is SELL.
Key price areas to watch:
SELL zone: 2517 - 2523, 2525 - 2527, and 2538 - 2541.
BUY zone: 2500 - 2503 and 2494 - 2497.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2517 - 2519
SL 2523
TP 2514 - 2505 - 2495 - 2450.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2525 - 2527
SL 2531
TP 2520 - 2510 - 2500 - 2450.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2500 - 2502
SL 2496
TP 2507 - 2515 - 2520.
GAP filled! Now ready to REVERSE..?As we can see NIFTY has completely filled the pending gap exactly as analysed and now it can be seen trading around supply zone. Hence as long as NIFTY sustains above the yellow line, it remains bullish else we may see another sideways to negative market in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly.