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Fibonacci

GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move. 1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑 Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update. Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances. Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds. 2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉 Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag. Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears. Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area. 3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰 🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp) Buy Zone: $3,939.468 Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance. Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level. 🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup) Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5) → Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline. Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling) → Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel. 4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀 The FOMC decision will set the tone — Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx-FiboMatrix-Fx
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks. The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD. However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish. The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans. 📊 Technical Analysis Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame. Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone). Target zones: • Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930 • Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618. Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it, expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting. That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside. ⚜️ Summary Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural. The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment, and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound. Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 — that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup! 🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish. Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally. Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30). 🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES 🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$). Strategy: BUY on confirmation here. TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance). TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance). SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone. Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx-FiboMatrix-Fx
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range. Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support. The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence . Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes. A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900. RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum. Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat : Wave A dipped from 3900. Wave B exceeded the high. Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup. Trade Plan: Entry levels: 3737–3637 Stop loss (SL): Below 3419 Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+ RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CUMMINSINDLong
by WaveXplorer
City Union Bank – Tight Stop, Wave 3 Setup in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Elliott Wave Setup City Union Bank has completed a W–X–Y double zigzag correction into 193.50, with Wave Y equaling Wave W — a classic case of corrective symmetry. From that low: Wave 1 unfolded as a leading diagonal. Wave 2 corrected as a running flat, showing underlying strength. Price is now attempting a breakout, suggesting Wave 3 is underway. The stop-loss / invalidation is clear: 205.41 , the Wave 2 low. This creates a textbook tight-risk entry point. Why Wave 3 Matters Wave 3 in Elliott theory is often the strongest, most extended move. Early signs support this potential: RSI is holding above mid-50s without new lows → momentum remains bullish. Volume has dried up during correction but is starting to expand with breakout attempts. Target zone : 224.6 → 236.5 (1.0–1.618 Fib extensions of Wave 1). Immediate challenge lies at the 212–214 resistance cluster. A clean break above confirms acceleration. Trading the Setup Tight stop: below 205.41. Potential reward: 20–25 points higher. Risk/Reward: exactly what traders look for in a Wave 3 entry. For readers, the bigger lesson is how Elliott Wave provides natural stop placement. By respecting Wave 2 lows, traders can define risk precisely and be positioned for the explosive Wave 3 rally. The Takeaway This is not just a bullish call on City Union Bank. It’s a case study in EW discipline: Use Wave 2 lows as invalidation. Look for Wave 3 to deliver the reward. Enter with conviction only when structure + momentum align.
NSE:CUBLong
by WaveXplorer
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above . However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning. The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone. The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline. 💎 Key Technical Structure Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared. Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”. Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum. Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal. Current structure: → Short-term: bullish corrective move. → Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD Entry: 4,060 – 4,070 SL: 4,035 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,185 TP3: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,185 TP2: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD. 3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD Entry: 4,240 – 4,245 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,185 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal. ➡️ Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend. If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130). Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in an ascending re-accumulation phase after a strong decline. As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD . If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation. Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher. 🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.” ⏰ Timeframe: 2H 📅 Update: 27/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
ICICI BANK ( 1D ) 🎯 TRADING PLAN 🎯 ✔ Price Action shows strong support At the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement With a Bullish Harami Candlestick Pattern. ✔ RSI being Oversold adds weight to The setup. 💡 Success in trading doesn't come from Predicting the future ; it's come from Disciplined decision making. Disclaimer : All information is for Educational & Informational Purpose Only. Not a buy / sell Recommendation. You are Solely responsible for your Trading & Investment decisions
NSE:ICICIBANKLong
by AKSHAY0008
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025 Current Market Bias: **BEARISH** Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200. Key Observations: The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern. #Breakout Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability) If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively: - First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) - Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension) - Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) - Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension) This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000. 📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario) If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200: - First Target: 4,250 - Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs) This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs. #Risk Management The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions. Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
1
BTCMarket Structure A clear Break of Market Structure (BMS) occurred to the upside, confirming a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The chart shows a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) — classic uptrend confirmation. The latest HH was formed around 111,800–112,000, and price is consolidating just below that zone — a sign of accumulation before a potential continuation. Key Zones Demand Zones (Potential Reentry Areas): 110,400 – 110,000 USD 109,800 – 109,600 USD These zones represent unmitigated order blocks where bulls may defend positions if price retraces. Resistance / Liquidity Area: 111,800 – 112,000 USD — short-term liquidity above current price; a breakout here could lead to another impulse leg toward 113,200 – 113,600 USD. Outlook As long as the structure maintains higher lows, bias remains bullish. Price may retest the 110,400 – 110,000 zone before continuation. A confirmed break and close above 112,000 can trigger momentum toward 113,600–114,000. Summary ✅ Bias: Bullish 📈 Possible Long Entry: Around 110,400 – 110,000 (on bullish reaction) 🎯 Targets: 112,000 → 113,200 → 114,000 ❌ Invalidation: Break below 109,600 would weaken the bullish structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ChartistHub
1
ICICI Bank marches upward, nearing major Fibonacci resistanceTopic Statement: ICICI Bank continues its long-term bull run, supported consistently by technical levels, but now approaches a key resistance near the 1500 mark. Key Points: 1. The stock trades reliably within a well-defined up-trending channel, maintaining long-term bullish structure 2. Price is repeatedly supported by the 50-day EMA, acting as a dynamic floor throughout its rallies 3. It has only dipped below the 200-day EMA during rare deep corrections, like the COVID crash of 2020 4. Based on the Fibonacci levels plotted from the 2020 correction, the 423.6% extension lies near 1500 — a level already reached, where the stock may now face stiff resistance
NSE:ICICIBANK
by yogeshwar
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse: Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks. The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices. This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave. If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261. But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30) Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance. Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion. Key Structure Zones: Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style 🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Stop Loss: ₹4,045 Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155 Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation. 🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Stop Loss: ₹4,005 Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150 If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow. 🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend. The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056. A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush. ⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms. 📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Maintains Re-Accumulation Above OB, Wave Recovery Target🔍 Market Context After a sharp decline from the ATH GOLD 4,371 USD peak, gold has completed a liquidity sweep around the 4,010 USD bottom and formed a stable accumulation zone above the Order Block 4,080 USD . The buyers are gradually regaining control as the price holds firm at the OB and shows signs of short-term supply absorption. The Resistance 4,149 USD zone is currently a temporary barrier; if successfully breached – gold could trigger a recovery wave towards the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones at 4,197 and 4,235 USD. The current price structure leans towards a bullish retracement structure – prioritising buy orders when the price reacts from the active demand zone. 💎 Key Technical Structure Order Block (OB): 4,080 – 4,085 USD → crucial support zone, confluence with Fibo 0.786, serving as an accumulation base. Resistance (Breakout Level): 4,149 USD → confirmation zone for upward direction, requires decisive breakout. FVG1: 4,197 – 4,210 USD → first target, short-term supply test zone. FVG2: 4,225 – 4,235 USD → confluence resistance zone, potential profit-taking for recovery wave. ATH GOLD: 4,371 USD → long-term resistance, expanded target if the market maintains strong buying flow. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery. → Medium-term: re-accumulation after a deep correction phase. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,080 USD Entry: 4,080 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,197 TP3: 4,235 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to retrace to the OB zone and show clear bullish reversal signals (rejection or bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a classic “Buy the Dip” setup – aligning with the recovery structure, with high probability due to OB + strong Fibonacci confluence. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,197 TP2: 4,235 ✅ Condition: Price breaks through the 4,149 resistance zone with good volume and lightly retests, without closing candles below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup, aligning with the flow when the market confirms a short-term resistance break. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at FVG 4,235 USD (short-term) Entry: 4,230 – 4,235 SL: 4,245 TP: 4,197 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: If gold reacts weakly and there is no follow-up buy at the FVG2 zone → a short-term technical sell can be considered on pullback. ➡️ Short-term sell – only execute if there is no confirmation of continued upward movement. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise BUY according to the main structure (retracement bullish). Do not FOMO buy within the zone (4,110 – 4,130). If H1 closes candles below 4,060 → invalidates the bullish scenario, wait for structure reconstruction. Maintain moderate order size when trading around the FVG zone to avoid noise. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in the process of re-accumulation and preparing for a technical recovery phase. As long as the price holds the Order Block 4,080 USD zone, the recovery structure remains valid, and the feasible target is 4,197 → 4,235 USD . If it breaks through 4,235 USD, the market could extend the rally towards the 4,300 – 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,080 → TP 4,197 / 4,235. Buy more when 4,149 break confirms upward direction. Sell short reaction at 4,235 if there is no signal of continued break. 🔥 “Patience at the base — profits come to those who wait for the OB reaction.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below. The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum. This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues. 💎 Key Technical Structure Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders. Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave. • FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance. OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend. Current market structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone). → Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD Entry: 4,081 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,196 TP2: 4,234 TP3: 4,370 ✅ Conditions: Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15. ➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD Entry: 4,196 – 4,200 SL: 4,180 TP: 4,234 → 4,370 ✅ Conditions: The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180. ➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone. 📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 4,234 – 4,240 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,196 → 4,100 ✅ Conditions: If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear. ➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180). If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders. 💬 Conclusion Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal . Two important zones to monitor: 4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone. 4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure. If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears. 🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 23/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.” 🔍 Market Context After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe. Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak. The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend. If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD. 💎 Technical Analysis Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction. Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause. Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated. Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bearish corrective phase. → Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken. 📉 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone Entry: 4,216 – 4,228 SL: 4,240 TP1: 4,043 TP2: 3,956 TP3: 3,689 ✅ Condition: Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone. ➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD Entry: 3,956 – 3,953 SL: 3,940 TP: 4,043 → 4,216 ✅ Condition: Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again). ➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals. BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders. When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD. 💬 Conclusion Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) . If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280; but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear. Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction; If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation. 🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily 📅 Update: 22/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment. On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet. During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand. Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone. If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart. Technical Outlook (M30): Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline. The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction. Key Levels: CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055 Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115 Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot) Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263 Trading Plan: 🔹BUY Setup #1 💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018 ❌Stop Loss: 4,010 ✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100 ⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support) 🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play) 🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051 ❌Stop Loss: 4,043 ✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150 ⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base. 🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone) 📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265 ❌Stop Loss: 4,273 ✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200 ⭐️Summary: Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction. The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback. Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds. 📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
NiftY Weekly: From Primary Downtrend to BreakoutHi Traders, Sharing a clean structural setup spotted on the Nifty weekly chart. Hope this helps you in your planning. Feedback and thoughts are always welcome! Nifty Weekly Trade Setup — Targeting 26,300--:: Following a significant correction from the all-time high near the 26000 zone Nifty formed a well defined primary downtrend leg bottoming around 22000. What’s developed since is a classic structural shift from distribution → accumulation → potential markup let's discuss. After the downtrend price attempted a retracement rally, but it was rejected at the prior breakdown zone and creating a clear horizontal resistance. This rejection led to a base formation supported by a series of higher lows, indicating reduced selling pressure and early signs of buyer strength. Eventually, Nifty broke above the resistance zone and more importantly held its retest, turning resistance into support. This clean breakout + retest structure is often a precursor to trend continuation. Technical Highlights-: Primary Downtrend: 26000 To 23000. Failed Retracement Resistance: 24800. Breakout Confirmation: Price moved above and retested 24800. Structure: Series of higher lows. Support Zone: 24800 To 24500. Momentum: Bullish price action with controlled pullbacks. Trade Setup-: Bias: Long Entry: Current levels or dips toward 24900 Stop-Loss: Below 24500 Target:26000, 26300 (previous all-time high zone) Rationale-: This trade aligns with classic price action principles: Breakdown zone turned into support. Structure of higher lows holding firm. Valid breakout-retest confirmation. Risk clearly defined with natural invalidation. With Nifty respecting structure and momentum building gradually, a revisit to the 26300 zone looks increasingly probable in the coming weeks. Hope you will like the idea, Best regards- Amit.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AMIT-RAJAN
1
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level. Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery. Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside. Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term. Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction: REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200: This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry. REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310: This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally. 2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE): This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry: ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090: This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone. Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area. Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx-FiboMatrix-Fx
GOLD PULLBACK: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330. Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market. Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact. Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing: REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone. REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement. 2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries: REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support. REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220. Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15). Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered. Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx-FiboMatrix-Fx
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD. According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend. However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week. A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices. 🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone. Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure. The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers. ⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View) 🔼BUY SCALP 📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume) ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+ 🔼BUY ZONE (Swing) ✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258 ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+ 📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260. Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities. ⚡️Key MMFlow Zones CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360 ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448 Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305 End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260 Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380 🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading