Get started

Fibonacci

XAU/USD – Distribution at the Top, Sell on Rallies Market ContexAfter a strong bullish impulse, Gold is now showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper liquidity zone. Price failed to sustain above the recent high and has started to rotate lower, suggesting a distribution phase rather than continuation. From a macro perspective, although expectations around Fed policy remain mixed, short-term positioning looks crowded on the buy side, increasing the probability of a corrective move to rebalance liquidity. Technical Structure (M30–H1) Price rejected sharply from the 4,348 supply / liquidity zone A lower high has formed under descending trendline resistance Market is trading below key intraday structure, signaling bearish pressure Current price action favors a sell-the-rally approach Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – SELL Continuation Preferred SELL zone: 4,300 – 4,306 Confirmation: bearish rejection / weak bullish momentum Targets: TP1: 4,281 TP2: 4,269 TP3: 4,248 Extended target: 4,219 (major demand + channel support) Invalidation A clean break and hold above 4,348 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. In that case, stand aside and wait for new structure confirmation. MMF Perspective At premium levels, risk favors patience over chasing buys. The focus now is on capital protection and selling rallies, waiting for price to reach deeper demand zones before considering any new bullish setups. Bias today: Bearish below 4,348 – Sell rallies, manage risk strictly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Tech Mahindra: Structure Still Favors One More Upside LegPrice action from the ₹1383.60 low has unfolded as a clean impulsive sequence, with Waves (1), (2), and a strong Wave (3) already in place. The advance was supported by clear volume expansion , validating the impulsive nature of the move. Momentum also peaked during Wave (3) , with RSI reaching overbought levels — a classic third-wave signature . Following the Wave (3) high near ₹1595.70 , price has transitioned into a corrective phase. The decline is best interpreted as Wave (4) in progress , with only the (a),(b) legs formed so far. The structure continues to respect the typical Fibonacci retracement zone , keeping the broader bullish setup intact. A final (c) leg is still expected before Wave (4) can be considered complete. Importantly, the higher-degree context does not materially alter the forward expectation . Whether the move from ₹1383.60 marks the start of a fresh impulsive advance , or represents the internal Wave C of a larger corrective pattern unfolding as a five-wave structure, the current setup continues to favor one more upside leg — Wave (5) . That said, patience remains key . Focus remains on identifying a proper Wave (4) termination before anticipating continuation higher. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TECHMLong
by WaveXplorer
Positional or Long Term Opportunity in NLC IndiaGo Long @ 244.9 for Targets of 288.1 and 298.9 with SL 234.1 Reasons to go Long : 1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Hammer Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level. 3. Also the stock gave a Trendline breakout (marked with a red color). 4. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color) which supports the stock.
NSE:NLCINDIALong
by Nimish_Ghagare
Waiting for OB Reaction to Confirm the Next Move◆ Market Context (M30) Price swept sell-side liquidity around 4,349–4,350 but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure in premium. With a prior liquidity sweep at the lows and a bullish BOS, the current move is likely a rebalancing phase after liquidity absorption. ◆ SMC & Price Action • Rejection after the upper sweep signals premium denial. • The lower support zone marks the base of the prior bullish displacement (BOS base). • OB + Fibo below act as an attraction zone for re-accumulation before direction is chosen. ◆ Key Levels • Liquidity Sell: 4,349–4,350 • OB + Fibo (retest): 4,302–4,289 • Deeper support: 4,274 • Upper supply (if broken): 4,406 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary) • Wait for a pullback into OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289 • Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction • Targets: ▪ 4,349 ▪ Extension: 4,406 • Invalid if a clear break below 4,274 ➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback • If OB 4,302–4,289 is pierced • Watch for reversal signals around 4,274 ➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue (No FOMO) • Only follow buys if price closes and holds above 4,350 • Monitor reactions at 4,406 for risk management/partials ◆ Summary • Context: upper liquidity swept → favor pullbacks. • Decision zone: OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289. • Upside targets: 4,349 → 4,406. • Avoid chasing price in premium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
6
Waiting for FVG / Liquidity Pullback, Trend-Following BUY Bias1. Market Context & Structure (H1) • Gold has completed a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish BOS, confirming that the short-term uptrend remains intact. • After the strong impulse, price is now entering a rebalancing / technical pullback phase rather than a reversal. • The overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low, favoring BUY strategies aligned with the dominant trend. 2. Key Technical Zones on the Chart • Resistance / Supply Zone 1: 4,359 – 4,360 → A previously strong reaction zone, where short-term corrections may occur. • Resistance / Supply Zone 2: 4,394 → Fibonacci 0.786 extension area, prone to profit-taking or upper liquidity sweeps. • iFVG – Pullback Zone: 4,297 – 4,300 → Inefficiency left during the bullish impulse, prioritized for the first BUY reaction. • Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,267 → Resting liquidity below, where a deeper sweep may occur before trend continuation. 3. Trading Scenarios – Captain Vincent Style 🔹 Primary Scenario – BUY at iFVG / Liquidity Buy (Preferred) • Expect price to pull back from the 4,35x area toward 4,297 – 4,300 (iFVG) or deeper into 4,267 (Liquidity Buy). • At the BUY zone, wait for confirmation signals: – Strong rejection wicks – Bullish engulfing – Bullish ChoCH on M15–H1 • Preferred BUY Zones: – BUY 1: 4,297 – 4,300 – BUY 2 (deeper): 4,267 • Targets: – TP1: 4,359 – TP2: 4,394 – TP3 extension: continuation if 4,394 is broken. • Invalidation: – H1 close below 4,255 → short-term bullish structure weakens. 🔹 Secondary Scenario – Short-Term SELL Reaction at Supply • If price rallies directly into 4,359 – 4,394 without a clear pullback, a short-term SELL reaction may appear. • SELLs are scalp / counter-trend only, not the primary scenario. • SELL target: pullback toward iFVG 4,297. 4. Risk & Management Notes • Avoid FOMO BUY at high resistance zones. • Prioritize BUY entries at discounted areas (FVG – Liquidity). • Main bias remains BUY on pullbacks; SELLs are only technical reactions. • Adjust position sizing carefully as the market is in an expansion phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
3
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Confirmed, Buy on PullbacksMarket Context Gold remains firmly bullish, continuing to trade within a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the market is now entering a technical pullback phase to rebalance liquidity, which is a healthy behavior in a trending market rather than a sign of reversal. From a macro perspective, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY strategies. Technical Structure (H1) • Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows • Price is reacting at key confluence zones (trendline support + demand + Fibonacci) • No confirmed bearish structure break at this stage Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY • Preferred BUY zone: 4,296 – 4,292 • Stop Loss: below 4,286 Targets: TP1: 4,327 TP2: 4,348 TP3: Extension if bullish momentum continues → Strategy: wait for pullbacks into key demand zones. No FOMO chasing at highs. Alternative Scenario • If price breaks and closes clearly below 4,241, short-term bullish structure weakens • Stand aside and wait for a new structure confirmation MMF Perspective In a bullish market, the goal is not to predict the top, but to buy pullbacks at high-probability zones with favorable risk–reward. As long as price holds above key supports, the primary bias remains BUY.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Parallel Channel, Stubborn Gap & 0.5 Equilibrium RejectionDaily Timeframe Details The left chart on the daily timeframe displays a parallel channel structure forming after an initial one-sided move.​ A significant gap emerged within this leg, which price has approached multiple times—first entering the gap area from below but rejecting sharply to form a higher low, then pushing toward a higher high without fully filling it.​ This illustrates how gaps often resist easy fills from either direction, acting as persistent reference zones that demand confluence for interaction. Weekly Timeframe Context The right chart provides the weekly timeframe for the same instrument, highlighting repeated rejections at the 0.5 equilibrium level.​ These weekly rejections align precisely with the daily gap interactions and channel boundaries, demonstrating how higher-timeframe equilibrium can underpin lower-timeframe price behavior without implying direction.​ Such multi-timeframe alignment offers educational insight into structural references in market analysis. This post serves purely educational and observational purposes and does not constitute buy, sell, or investment advice. Always conduct your own research.
NSE:PNBHOUSINGLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Bajaj Finance: Impulse Complete, Correction in ControlBajaj Finance completed a clean five-wave impulsive advance , topping out near ₹1,102.5 , followed by a clear loss of momentum. Since that peak, price action has shifted from trend to overlap , signaling a corrective phase rather than continuation. Structurally, the decline is unfolding within a descending channel , fitting well with a W–X–Y corrective structure . The internal swings remain choppy and overlapping — classic correction behavior — with price respecting the channel boundaries so far. During the impulsive rally ( Waves 1–5 ), the 50 DMA acted as dynamic support , confirming strong upside momentum. Post the top, price has slipped below the 50 DMA and is now oscillating around it, indicating momentum fatigue . A sustained hold below the 50 DMA, combined with a rollover in the average , would reinforce the short-term bearish / corrective bias , with the average potentially flipping into dynamic resistance . From a price projection perspective, the ongoing Wave Y is favoring a move toward key Fibonacci retracement levels . The 0.618 retracement near ₹945 stands out as a high-probability reaction zone , while a deeper flush could extend toward the 0.786 retracement near ₹903 if downside pressure accelerates. Risk is clearly defined. A sustained break above the upper boundary of the corrective channel would invalidate the W–X–Y interpretation and signal a structural shift back toward strength . Until then, the path of least resistance remains corrective . Bottom line: The impulsive phase is done. The market is digesting gains. Structure — not emotion — favors patience and respect for the corrective channel. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BAJFINANCEShort
by WaveXplorer
2
Bullish BOS Breakout, Watching Reaction at OB & Sell-Side Liquid◆ Market Context (H2) Price has just broken a bullish BOS and closed above the previous equilibrium zone, confirming buyers are in control. After the strong impulse, the market has entered a rebalancing phase, where a short-term pullback often appears before continuation or a liquidity sweep to the upside. ◆ SMC & Price Action • Bullish structure confirmed by consecutive BOS following the prior CHoCH. • The 4,274 OB is the nearest demand zone where buyers previously reacted. • Above lies sell-side liquidity at 4,355, with a further extension toward 4,408 — a potential distribution or short-term reversal zone. • Price is currently in premium, so patience is preferred over FOMO entries. ◆ Key Levels • Resistance / Liquidity: 4,355 → 4,408 • Support OB: 4,274 • Deeper OB: 4,217 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary) • Wait for a pullback into OB 4,274 • Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction appears • Targets: ▪ 4,319 ▪ 4,355 (Liquidity Sell) ▪ Extension: 4,408 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above 4,319 with bullish closes • Monitor reactions at 4,355 for partial profit-taking • Avoid chasing price in premium zones ➤ Scenario C – Deeper Pullback • If OB 4,274 is clearly broken • Price may retrace to OB 4,217 for re-accumulation • Only consider BUY after a fresh bullish CHoCH ◆ Summary • Primary trend: Bullish (BOS confirmed) • Priority: Buy pullbacks, avoid FOMO • Key decision zone: OB 4,274 • Upside liquidity targets: 4,355 → 4,408
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Hindalco: Terminal Wedge, Reversal Risk HighStructural Context Initially, I considered the decline from 864 toward 770 as a standard ABC correction. But the drop from Wave 2 was far too sharp and drove RSI into deep oversold territory — behaviour that aligns better with impulsive price action. Because of this, the move is treated as a developing 1-2-3 rather than a corrective ABC. This adjustment also aligns perfectly with the broader structure: a completed Wave 3 at 770.15, followed by a three-wave recovery into Wave 4. Wave 4 Completion – Ending Diagonal + Fibonacci Symmetry Wave C of the larger Wave 4(ABC Flat) shows a clean ending-diagonal wedge, and Wave (v) within it reached the 1.618 extension of Wave (i) measured from Wave (iv). This Fibonacci precision adds strong weight to the interpretation that Wave 4 has completed at 833.50. With this level established, the minor bounce into Wave (ii) now acts as the corrective pullback before the expected third wave down. Invalidation remains at the 1.618 level around 833.50 — any move above that would negate the immediate bearish view. Path Ahead – Toward Wave 5 As long as 833.50 holds, the expectation is for a five-wave decline toward the previous structural support near 770.15, completing Wave 5. Wave (iii) should ideally accelerate, and momentum confirmation will be key as price moves into the mid-780s. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:HINDALCOShort
by WaveXplorer
Waiting for Premium Pullback, Buy the Bullish Continuation1. Market Context & Structure (H1) • After a prolonged consolidation phase, Gold has delivered a clear bullish BOS, breaking above the previous highs around 4,24x–4,25x. • The current impulse originated from the EQL → OB 4,209 zone, confirming active buying flow and a shift into a short-term uptrend. • Price is now trading above the Premium Zone at 4,265; any pullback into this area is considered a technical retracement within the bullish trend. 2. Key Technical Zones • Main OB – Demand: around 4,209 → Origin of the current bullish leg; a strong BUY zone if price holds. • Premium Pullback Buy Zone: 4,265 – 4,270 → First discount after BOS; priority area to look for BUY setups. • Target 1 – Reaction Zone: 4,322 – 4,323 → Fibo 0.5–0.618 confluence; potential profit-taking / short-term sell reaction. • Target 2 – Extension Zone: 4,366 – 4,367 (Fibo 1.272) → Bullish extension target and potential liquidity sweep zone. 3. Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend BUY at Premium Zone • Wait for pullback to 4,265 – 4,270. • Look for confirmation: long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1. • Execute BUY with trend continuation. TP1: 4,322 TP2: 4,366 • Partial TP at TP1, move SL to BE, hold remainder to TP2. • Invalidation: H1 close below 4,258 → pause BUY scenario. Scenario 2 – Deep BUY at OB 4,209 • If price breaks Premium decisively and drops to OB 4,209, do not catch a falling knife. • Wait for strong bullish reaction and reversal structure (new HL, bullish ChoCH). TP: 4,265 → 4,322 4. Risk Management Notes • Avoid FOMO BUY at highs after strong bullish candles. • SELL setups are only short-term reactions, not the main bias. • Bias remains BUY on dips as long as H1 holds above 4,209.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
4
XAUUSD Bullish Confirmation Buy the PullbackGold has delivered a clear bullish structure break and is currently holding firmly inside an ascending trend channel. The recent impulsive move confirms strong participation from smart money, while the current price action reflects a healthy pullback–continuation phase, not a reversal. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations and a lower-rate outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY setups. 📊 Market Structure & MMF Flow (H1) • Bullish structure is confirmed with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. • Price is retracing toward demand zones to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. • No bearish structure break has appeared so far. 💎 Key Levels – MMF Style • Primary Buy Zone: 4,268 • Deep Buy Zone: 4,238 – 4,219 • Upside Targets: TP1 4,305 → TP2 4,324 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario – Trend BUY Alternative Scenario – Continuation above 4,305 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias Bullish above 4,238 Invalidation below 4,219
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Market Accumulating Liquidity, Two Clear Scenarios for TodayGold continues to move within a bullish structure, but short-term order flow shows distribution inside the OBS Sell Zone 4,236. Price is currently trapped in the middle of the range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity sweep before choosing its next direction. Fundamentally, expectations of a dovish Fed still support gold on deeper pullbacks — but intraday, the two MMF flow setups are extremely clear. 📊 Technical Outlook (MMF Flow – H1) 🔸 OBS SELL ZONE: 4,236 • Strong reaction on first touch → supply confirmed • Downtrend line converges here → high probability of liquidity traps 🔸 OBS BUY ZONE: 4,197 • First key demand zone below • Aligned with channel support → likely bullish reaction 🔸 Sell-side Liquidity: 4,181 • If price sweeps this area → ideal reversal point 🔸 Premium SELL Reaction Zone: 4,284 • If gold expands upward → priority area for distribution / short-term correction 🎯 Two Main MMF Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL reaction → BUY trend continuation • Price retests 4,236 • Bearish reaction → pushes price toward 4,197 – 4,181 • Reversal signal appears • Targets: 4,236 → 4,284 ➡️ This is the cleanest play following today’s liquidity flow. Scenario 2 – Direct bullish expansion • Price breaks and closes above 4,236 • Retests this zone • Expands toward 4,284 ➡️ Requires strong bullish momentum — no confirmation, no trade. 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias • Bullish as long as price holds above 4,197 • Neutral → Bearish only if price closes below 4,181 (failed liquidity sweep) The market is preparing for a breakout — let liquidity do its job before choosing direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
ChumTrades XAUUSD intraday outlookXAUUSD – Intraday Plan (M15) Market Context Price is currently ranging in a very tight consolidation. Momentum is weak → market favors intraday range trading rather than chasing breakouts. Short-term structure remains intact; focus on price reaction at key levels. Daily Strategy Main approach: trade the range, trade the reaction. Buy at predefined support / Fibonacci zones, sell at clear resistance. If a breakout occurs, wait for a retest before following the move. Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Key Buy Zones 4246 – 4244 (Fibo 0.5) 4236 – 4233 (Fibo 0.618) 4210 – 4208 (deep support reaction) ❌ Bullish structure invalidation: M15 close below 4200 Key Sell Zones 4300 – 4305 (psychological resistance) 4310 (Fibonacci extension – reaction sell) Special Notes (Friday) No major economic news today, but it is Friday – end of week. Price action may become choppy and unpredictable, especially during the US session (a pattern seen in recent weeks). Risk management is key: Focus on short-term trades Take profits early Avoid holding positions over the weekend Good luck Bro !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
1
XAU/USD : Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,24x → 4,26x 1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because: • Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196. • This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse. • The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188. → This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones. 2. Key Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196 • Bullish OB • Trendline support • Priority BUY area 🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218 • Multiple rejections • Breakout → next bullish leg 🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239 • 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence • Possible mild sell reaction 🔹 Liquidity & Targets: • 4,259 → Fibo 1.272 • 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity 3. Trading Plan 🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x Conditions: • Price taps 4,188 – 4,196 • Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH Targets: TP1: 4,217 TP2: 4,238 TP3: 4,259 TP4: 4,278 Invalidation: • H1 close below 4,185 → stay out. 🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217: • Wait for retest of 4,217 • BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278 Market Outlook Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis 📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows: • Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term. • However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept. • Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below. → The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move. 💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch 🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone • 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times. • 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS. • Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards. 🔸 Support / Buy Zone • 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated. • If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting. 🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170 Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up. BUY Conditions: • Price touches 4,184–4,170 • Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH • Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear Targets: • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,200 • TP3: 4,215 • TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell) Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up: SELL Conditions: • Retest 4,243–4,244 • Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH • Must not close H1 above 4,250 Targets: • TP1: 4,235 • TP2: 4,225 • TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170 Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout. 3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261 Only activate when: • Price bounces strongly from OB Buy • Clear breakout of 4,243 zone • Structure forms HL → HH At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243. • SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone. • The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections. • Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum. • If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated. ◆ Important Price Zones Resistance (selling zone): • 4,211 • 4,219 Short-term support: • 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB) Deeper support – Liquidity Pool: • 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken) ◆ Main Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192 • Wait for reversal signals at the support zone • Recovery targets: ▪ 4,211 ▪ 4,219 • If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this. ➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support • Short-term upward structure invalidated • Prioritize following the downtrend • Next targets: ▪ 4,173 ▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities ➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break: • Monitor rejection patterns • This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow ◆ Summary • The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control. • The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength. • If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173. • If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
3
XAU/USD hits OB Sell zone; watch for trend confirmation.◆ Market Context The market is in a phase of forming lower highs after a strong drop from the 4,248 area. The most recent volatility shows the price creating a bearish CHoCH, then confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) — indicating a shift from equilibrium to a bearish bias. Each recent rally has stopped below previous highs, proving that selling pressure continues to dominate. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After BOS, the market often returns to test the Order Block (OB) area before continuing the main trend. • On the chart, the OB Sell is located at 4,215 – 4,217, which is the point of the last push candle before the strong drop. • This area also coincides with the short-term resistance zone and previous price behavior shows multiple reactions from sellers. If the price approaches the OB Sell without forming a reversal structure, the likelihood of continuing to decline is high. Liquidity above: • 4,230 • 4,241 • 4,248 → These are areas that may be swept before the price reverses. ◆ Main Trading Scenario ➤ Sell Scenario (priority) • Waiting zone: 4,215 – 4,217 (OB Sell) • Condition: appearance of price rejection, reversal pattern, or clear rejection candle • Targets: ▪ 4,188 ▪ 4,172 ▪ 4,165 – 4,164 (deep support & bottom liquidity) • Stop loss: above 4,230 → This is the most suitable scenario with the current structure. ➤ Extended Scenario (liquidity sweep before decline) If the price surpasses OB Sell and heads towards liquidity 4,230 – 4,241 – 4,248: • Observe signs of weakening • Wait for a reversal pattern • Look for SELL entry points in the above areas with targets similar to the main scenario This is common behavior when the market wants to gather liquidity before pushing the trend. ➤ Buy Scenario (opposite – only execute with strong confirmation) Buy is only suitable when: • Price breaks the nearest bearish structure • Closes above 4,230 and holds • Re-test of the 4,215 – 4,217 area fails In that case, the buy target will aim for 4,241 and 4,248. However, this is not yet activated. ◆ Summary • The short-term trend still leans towards bearish after BOS. • The 4,215 – 4,217 area is crucial for observing price reactions. • Selling remains a reasonable strategy until the market breaks 4,230 with a clear signal. • Downside targets are at 4,172 → 4,165.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading