Nifty50 - Wave 4 Flat in Play, Triangle on the HorizonNifty’s prior correction completed as a W–X–Y, with Wave Y ending in a rare truncation — a sign of exhaustion before the next impulse began.
The following rise is unfolding into a clean 5-wave sequence. Wave 4 now appears as a flat correction but, per alternation, could stretch into a sideways triangle while holding above the 0.382–0.5 zone.
Once complete, Wave 5 may challenge and possibly clear the ATH line.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Fibonacci
Gold Futures MCX-2H — A Possible Double Zigzag at PlayThe decline from 132,294 unfolded into a clean 5-wave impulse, with Wave 3 extending 1.618 × Wave 1 and Wave 5 measuring nearly equal to Wave 1 — a classic Fibonacci rhythm confirming the completion of Wave W at 117,628.
The ongoing rebound appears corrective, unfolding as an A-B-C structure for Wave X. A move toward the 124–125 k zone could complete Wave C, setting the stage for another 5-3-5 leg lower as Wave Y — potentially mirroring Wave W.
Gold might just be correcting a bit more before it gleams brighter.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
PB Fintech attempts recovery after first major correctionTopic Statement:
PB Fintech Ltd (PolicyBazaar) is recovering from its first significant correction following a steady bull run, with price action now approaching key resistance levels.
Key Points:
1. The stock retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level at 1300, where it found strong support and began to stabilize
2. A wedge candlestick pattern is forming, and a breakout in either direction could determine the next trend
3. The price faces stiff resistance at the 2000 mark, which may act as a ceiling unless bullish momentum drives a breakout
South Indian Bank Ltd — Going South Before It Heads North?After a stellar impulsive rise, South Indian Bank seems to be taking a short trip south — just to refuel for its next northern journey.
The weekly chart unfolds a beautiful Elliott Wave sequence, where Wave 5 of (3) topped precisely at ₹40.30 , aligning exactly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 (₹22.30–₹26.95) projected from Wave 4 (₹28.11).
Such precision often signals wave exhaustion — and that’s what we’re seeing now, as prices cool off from the climax of Wave (3). The retracement zone between ₹31.30 (0.5) and ₹29.18 (0.618) may act as a potential support area for the upcoming Wave (4) .
Interestingly, the broader price curvature hints that this Wave (4) correction might also sculpt a handle-like structure , completing a larger cup base before Wave (5) takes the lead. But that’s a story for later — for now, the textbook Fibonacci alignment deserves the spotlight.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Tube Investments of India Ltd — Wave X Triangle in PlayAfter the sharp decline from ₹4,810, the recent advance initially looked like a potential leading diagonal of a new impulse. However, the internal overlaps and choppy rhythm point instead to a Wave X triangle, likely part of a larger corrective sequence (W–X–Y).
As long as price holds below ₹3,419.90, the bearish outlook remains intact, with the next leg — Wave Y — possibly aiming toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (₹2,511–₹1,968). That region, close to the golden ratio, may act as a potential termination zone for the entire correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders!
Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter.
The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone?
1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand
Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions:
🐻 Bearish Catalyst:
Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold.
🐂 Bullish Support:
Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply.
🎯 Outlook:
Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals.
📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait
The market is approaching a major confluence zone:
SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance.
Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down.
3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup
Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057
Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline
TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest)
Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat
Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
BPCL | FVG + Fibonacci COnfluence | Long Setup toward 378 💬 Description:
Chart Type: 1D (Daily)
Stock: BPCL – Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
🧩 Setup Overview
BPCL has completed a clean retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone from the previous upswing (306 → 351).
The zone around ₹334–₹340 acted as strong demand support, hinting at a possible continuation leg to the upside.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹338–₹340
Stop Loss: ₹330
Target 1: ₹351
Target 2: ₹378 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ FVG + 0.618 Fib alignment
✅ Retest & bounce confirmation
✅ Volume showing accumulation
✅ Clear higher-low structure maintained
🚨 Invalidation
Setup invalid if price closes below ₹330, which would break FVG and shift structure to bearish.
🧠 Bias: Bullish continuation
Time Horizon: Swing (2–4 weeks)
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, showing caution as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid easing U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, the price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating below the psychological $4,000 mark.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues trading in a short-term ascending channel, showing a corrective recovery inside a larger downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085–4,102.
📍If it rejects near 4,094–4,102, a correction toward 3,961–3,937 is likely.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect a 25bps rate cut. A hawkish tone from Powell may pressure Gold, while a dovish one could send it above $4,100.
🧭 Summary
Gold keeps a short-term bullish bias but remains fragile ahead of FOMC.
Expect volatility around 4,000–4,100; key reactions near 4,094–4,102 will decide the next move.
🛡 Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity.
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑
Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update.
Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances.
Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds.
2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉
Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag.
Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears.
Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area.
3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰
🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp)
Buy Zone: $3,939.468
Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance.
Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level.
🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup)
Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5)
→ Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline.
Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling)
→ Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel.
4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀
The FOMC decision will set the tone —
Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930
• Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup!
🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC
Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish.
Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally.
Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30).
🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES
🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$).
Strategy: BUY on confirmation here.
TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance).
TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance).
SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone.
Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context
After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone .
If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD .
💎 Key Technical Structure
Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH).
Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance.
Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone.
Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone
Entry: 4,010 – 4,015
SL: 4,025
Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open
➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions.
2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone
Entry: 4,043 – 4,060
SL: 4,065
Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open
➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4.
3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD
Entry: 3,945 – 3,950
SL: 3,965
TP: 3,884
➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone.
4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD
Entry: 3,900
SL: 3,880
TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open
✅ Condition:
Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1).
➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range.
Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1).
If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support.
The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom.
👉 Comprehensive Strategy:
Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯
Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯
Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯
🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 28/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Is GOLD headed to ~2500 as part of correction ?Gold had a good run up from ~1600 levels to ~3500 level.
It seems to have completed Wave3 and has ended week with Shooting start candle.
Invalidation :
This view of correction is invalidated if Gold closes above 3500 as part of weekly close.
The correction time period may be around 6~8 months.,
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence .
Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes.
A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900.
RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum.
Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat :
Wave A dipped from 3900.
Wave B exceeded the high.
Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup.
Trade Plan:
Entry levels: 3737–3637
Stop loss (SL): Below 3419
Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+
RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
City Union Bank – Tight Stop, Wave 3 Setup in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Setup
City Union Bank has completed a W–X–Y double zigzag correction into 193.50, with Wave Y equaling Wave W — a classic case of corrective symmetry. From that low:
Wave 1 unfolded as a leading diagonal.
Wave 2 corrected as a running flat, showing underlying strength.
Price is now attempting a breakout, suggesting Wave 3 is underway.
The stop-loss / invalidation is clear: 205.41 , the Wave 2 low. This creates a textbook tight-risk entry point.
Why Wave 3 Matters
Wave 3 in Elliott theory is often the strongest, most extended move. Early signs support this potential:
RSI is holding above mid-50s without new lows → momentum remains bullish.
Volume has dried up during correction but is starting to expand with breakout attempts.
Target zone : 224.6 → 236.5 (1.0–1.618 Fib extensions of Wave 1).
Immediate challenge lies at the 212–214 resistance cluster. A clean break above confirms acceleration.
Trading the Setup
Tight stop: below 205.41.
Potential reward: 20–25 points higher.
Risk/Reward: exactly what traders look for in a Wave 3 entry.
For readers, the bigger lesson is how Elliott Wave provides natural stop placement. By respecting Wave 2 lows, traders can define risk precisely and be positioned for the explosive Wave 3 rally.
The Takeaway
This is not just a bullish call on City Union Bank. It’s a case study in EW discipline:
Use Wave 2 lows as invalidation.
Look for Wave 3 to deliver the reward.
Enter with conviction only when structure + momentum align.
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared.
Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal.
Current structure:
→ Short-term: bullish corrective move.
→ Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.
3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️ Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in an ascending re-accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD
Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”
⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
BREAKOUT ABOVE 52 WEEK HIGH IN CUMMINS - EDUCATIONAL PURPOSEBreakout above 52 week high seen after correction and consolidation for 15 months
Long position can be initiated with the stop loss of 985
Target : 7031 (69%) (Fibo Level)
Stoploss : Weekly closing below 985 (-24%) (Swing Low)
Risk reward ratio =1:3
Time Horizon : 30 months (Not for short term trading)
ICICI BANK ( 1D ) 🎯 TRADING PLAN 🎯
✔ Price Action shows strong support
At the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement
With a Bullish Harami Candlestick
Pattern.
✔ RSI being Oversold adds weight to
The setup.
💡 Success in trading doesn't come from
Predicting the future ; it's come from
Disciplined decision making.
Disclaimer : All information is for
Educational & Informational
Purpose Only. Not a buy / sell
Recommendation. You are
Solely responsible for your
Trading & Investment decisions
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025
Current Market Bias: **BEARISH**
Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200.
Key Observations:
The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern.
#Breakout Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability)
If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively:
- First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension)
- Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension)
- Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
- Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension)
This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000.
📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario)
If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200:
- First Target: 4,250
- Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs)
This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs.
#Risk Management
The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions.
Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.






















