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Fibonacci

USD/INR - Where the rupee is heading, Will it reach the 90s?FX_IDC:USDINR Looking at the daily chart of USD/INR we can see a breakout at 86.68 level. And now there is a retracement from 87.95 levels. The question is whether it will make a new high or not, should we remain bullish on USD? Let's refer the history to find a high probability answer. From Oct'18 prices consolidation for 1.5 years. During this period there was cup and handle (C&H) formation followed by a breakout in Feb-20 @72.5 INR. Note that the base of the handle was at 70.55 INR. The momentum continued till 77 Rs in Apr-20. If we draw a fibo extension from 70.55 to 77 (Δ 6.45), and apply it from the next C&H breakout at 77 Rs in May-22. The upmove followed this breakout made a high @ 83.285Rs. which is approx equal to (B/o pt + Δ) = (77+6.45 = 83.45). Now Lets apply this concept to find the high of current bull run. Let draw Fibo extension from base of the handle to top of the the entire run i.e from 75.288 to 83.285 (Δ ≈ 8) And apply it from the B/o of C&H pattern @83.41 Rs. So the next targets are {(B/o pt + Δ) = (83.41+8 = 91.41)} or {(B/o pt + 1.618*Δ) = (83.41+1.618*8 = 96.35)}
Long
by saransh_bagdi
Nifty still going Down? Application of Elliott waves and FiboNSE:NIFTY has corrected by 3500 pts (13.3%) from its high of 26,277 in Sep’24. In post COVID era this is the 2nd biggest correction in terms of % and biggest in points. Let us use Elliot wave theory and the Fibonacci retracement tool Wave Time Start to End Points (percentage from top) Wave (X) ( (i) to (ii) ) Oct-21 to Jun-22 18,604 to 15,183 3,421 pts (18.4%) Wave Y ( iii to iv ) Sep-24 to Feb-25 26,277 to 22,986 3,290 pts (13.28%) Wave Z ( I to ii ) Dec-22 to Mar-23 18,887 to 16,828 2,059 pts (10.79%) Wave (X) ≈ Wave Y || 3421 ≈ 3290 (Δ4%) Wave Y ≈ 168% * Wave Z || 3290 ≈ 161.8%*2059 (i.e. 3331) (Δ1%) *In stock market waves will hardly be exactly equal, 5% of deviation is acceptable to me. While Wave Y & Z are of same degree, wave (X) is of higher than these two.
NSE:NIFTY
by saransh_bagdi
4
Axis Bank Outlook For SwingHello friends hope you all are doing well and trading well, so let's talk about the weekly chart of Axis Bank today which is not a trading idea but if you want to take a trade in it then maybe you can get some help from the view I am sharing. So first of all I would like to tell you that in the last working day we saw a big fall in the share price due to the quarterly results presented by the company but if we talk about the technical setup here then as you can see that the price has almost come to the demand zone so in such a situation we can expect a bounce from here and for this we all should follow our respective time frames and our respective setups. I have also plotted Fibonacci retracement and 200 day moving average on this chart which is an important level supporting the support zone, both are free indicators provided by Tradingview you can use in your trades too. If there is confirmation of bounce on any setup then we can keep a target of 10 to 15 percent for this bounce and can also set our stop loss accordingly. So I will share my trade active target and stop loss in the next update. Best Regards- Amit.
NSE:AXISBANKLong
by AMIT-RAJAN
3
NIFTY: New high or new low ahead?It looks like NIFTY is in wave 4 currently. If this counting is correct, price should not break below wave 2 (23222 level). Because according to rule, wave 4 will never be parallel or below wave 2. It means price will eventually go in wave 5. Now, as per this counting wave 3 is shorter than wave 1. And rule says wave 3 is never the shortest wave. It means wave 5 will be shorter than wave 3 here. We may assume target of wave 5 as 24034. But if price falls below wave 2, this counting becomes invalid. And price may go in new low.
NSE:NIFTY
by theprofityogi
1
Asian Paints: Oversold with Recovery Potential Topic Statement: Asian Paints has faced a sharp decline due to weak third-quarter results, but strong support levels suggest a potential recovery ahead. Key Points: 1. The company reported a profit decline of 23.5% QoQ in the third quarter. 2. The stock price fell sharply, creating a gap after the earnings announcement. 3. The price is taking heavy support at the 61.8% retracement level at 2260. 4. The stock is overextended below the 180-day moving average, making it highly oversold. 5. The weekly MFI is at 22, further confirming oversold conditions.
NSE:ASIANPAINTLong
by yogeshwar
Silver1!Understand the chart: Candlesticks: Imagine each candlestick as a day. Green means the price went up that day, and red means it went down. Lines with percentages: These are like checkpoints to see how much the price has moved up or down. Green and Red boxes: The green box shows where traders hope to make money if the price goes up, and the red box shows where they might lose money if it goes down. Think of it like a weather forecast but for stocks! Traders use this to decide the best times to buy or sell. Hope this helps! 🌞📉📈
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by iVishalPal
Tata Motors: Oversold and Near Support for Potential ReversalTopic Statement: Tata Motors has experienced a significant correction in recent months, approaching a crucial support level that could signal a potential turnaround. Key Points: 1. The stock has corrected to the 61.8% retracement level, suggesting strong support at the current price level. 2. The price is near the 180-day moving average, indicating oversold conditions. 3. Weekly MFI is at 30, further confirming the stock is oversold. 4. The company reported a profit decline of -22% QoQ for the third quarter, which may cause the price to fall further, even below the 61.8% level.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by yogeshwar
Elliot Wave study EMAMI LTDEmami Ltd., incorporated in the year 1983, is a Mid Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 27,316.17 Crore) operating in FMCG sector. Emami Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Personal Care and Other Operating Revenue for the year ending 31-Mar-2024. For the quarter ended 31-12-2024, the company has reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 1,064.41 Crore, up 16.69 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 912.15 Crore and up 5.07 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 1,013.03 Crore. Company has reported net profit after tax of Rs 283.48 Crore in latest quarter.
NSE:EMAMILTDLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit