Nifty still going Down? Application of Elliott waves and FiboNSE:NIFTY has corrected by 3500 pts (13.3%) from its high of 26,277 in Sep’24.
In post COVID era this is the 2nd biggest correction in terms of % and biggest in points.
Let us use Elliot wave theory and the Fibonacci retracement tool
Wave Time Start to End Points (percentage from top)
Wave (X) ( (i) to (ii) ) Oct-21 to Jun-22 18,604 to 15,183 3,421 pts (18.4%)
Wave Y ( iii to iv ) Sep-24 to Feb-25 26,277 to 22,986 3,290 pts (13.28%)
Wave Z ( I to ii ) Dec-22 to Mar-23 18,887 to 16,828 2,059 pts (10.79%)
Wave (X) ≈ Wave Y || 3421 ≈ 3290 (Δ4%)
Wave Y ≈ 168% * Wave Z || 3290 ≈ 161.8%*2059 (i.e. 3331) (Δ1%)
*In stock market waves will hardly be exactly equal, 5% of deviation is acceptable to me.
While Wave Y & Z are of same degree, wave (X) is of higher than these two.
Fibonacci
Axis Bank Outlook For SwingHello friends hope you all are doing well and trading well, so let's talk about the weekly chart of Axis Bank today which is not a trading idea but if you want to take a trade in it then maybe you can get some help from the view I am sharing.
So first of all I would like to tell you that in the last working day we saw a big fall in the share price due to the quarterly results presented by the company but if we talk about the technical setup here then as you can see that the price has almost come to the demand zone so in such a situation we can expect a bounce from here and for this we all should follow our respective time frames and our respective setups. I have also plotted Fibonacci retracement and 200 day moving average on this chart which is an important level supporting the support zone, both are free indicators provided by Tradingview you can use in your trades too.
If there is confirmation of bounce on any setup then we can keep a target of 10 to 15 percent for this bounce and can also set our stop loss accordingly. So I will share my trade active target and stop loss in the next update.
Best Regards- Amit.
#SAIL#SAIL has corrected about 40% from recent swing high and currently trading near 61.8% retracement zone + weekly 200 ema and parallel channel support confluence zone. On weekly tf, it is probably trying to make a double bottom.
Historidally, when it gave a breakdown below weekly 200 ema and unable to sustain above it, it continued to underperform for almost 8-10 years but now it is probably trying to take support around it.
Also, RSI is making HLs off late, which is probably a good sign.
In terms of R:R, this is currently a good bet on long side.
As usual, DYOR and this isn't a Buy or Sell reco - but just an educational purpose post
NIFTY: New high or new low ahead?It looks like NIFTY is in wave 4 currently.
If this counting is correct, price should not break below wave 2 (23222 level). Because according to rule, wave 4 will never be parallel or below wave 2.
It means price will eventually go in wave 5.
Now, as per this counting wave 3 is shorter than wave 1.
And rule says wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
It means wave 5 will be shorter than wave 3 here.
We may assume target of wave 5 as 24034.
But if price falls below wave 2, this counting becomes invalid.
And price may go in new low.
Bharti Airtel's Resilience Amid Market VolatilityBharti Airtel stays resilient in a volatile market, driven by exceptional profit growth.
Key points:
1. Company reported a stellar 461% QoQ profit growth for Q3, boosted by a one-time consolidation from Indus Towers.
2. Price has found heavy support at the 38.2% retracement level and faces strong resistance at the 23.6% level.
3. The stock may climb to 1778 to fill the gap and form a double top, creating a shorting opportunity.
Asian Paints: Oversold with Recovery Potential Topic Statement: Asian Paints has faced a sharp decline due to weak third-quarter results, but strong support levels suggest a potential recovery ahead.
Key Points:
1. The company reported a profit decline of 23.5% QoQ in the third quarter.
2. The stock price fell sharply, creating a gap after the earnings announcement.
3. The price is taking heavy support at the 61.8% retracement level at 2260.
4. The stock is overextended below the 180-day moving average, making it highly oversold.
5. The weekly MFI is at 22, further confirming oversold conditions.
Silver1!Understand the chart:
Candlesticks: Imagine each candlestick as a day. Green means the price went up that day, and red means it went down.
Lines with percentages: These are like checkpoints to see how much the price has moved up or down.
Green and Red boxes: The green box shows where traders hope to make money if the price goes up, and the red box shows where they might lose money if it goes down.
Think of it like a weather forecast but for stocks! Traders use this to decide the best times to buy or sell.
Hope this helps! 🌞📉📈
Bajaj Healthcare - Occasional buying volumes looking good!Bajaj Healthcare - Good daily volumes occasionally!
Still in uptrend after breakout and retest, good places to buy marked in the chart!
0.618 and FVG forced closely, between 560 range looking good!
After testing certain range might swing may continue until 780 in short to medium term!
#Budget 2025
#Watch out for upcoming news
#Watch out for upcoming earnings before entering
Tata Motors: Oversold and Near Support for Potential ReversalTopic Statement: Tata Motors has experienced a significant correction in recent months, approaching a crucial support level that could signal a potential turnaround.
Key Points:
1. The stock has corrected to the 61.8% retracement level, suggesting strong support at the current price level.
2. The price is near the 180-day moving average, indicating oversold conditions.
3. Weekly MFI is at 30, further confirming the stock is oversold.
4. The company reported a profit decline of -22% QoQ for the third quarter, which may cause the price to fall further, even below the 61.8% level.
Elliot Wave study EMAMI LTDEmami Ltd., incorporated in the year 1983, is a Mid Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 27,316.17 Crore) operating in FMCG sector.
Emami Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Personal Care and Other Operating Revenue for the year ending 31-Mar-2024.
For the quarter ended 31-12-2024, the company has reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 1,064.41 Crore, up 16.69 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 912.15 Crore and up 5.07 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 1,013.03 Crore. Company has reported net profit after tax of Rs 283.48 Crore in latest quarter.
Buying opportunity in PRESTIGE ESTATE LTDPRESTIGE ESTATE LTD is in Double Correction.
The maximum target for wave (Y) of double correction is 161.8% extension.
We can see that price is near 161.8% so here we can buy this stock with stoploss below 1185.
The target will be minimum 38.2% retracement of entire move i.e. 1528
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purpose only.
Tata Motors - Yet to test the previous higher high swing!Better to wait for Tata motors to fall more and start accumulating from around 610 levels as it is close to the High high formation of previous swing from 2015, if it breaks don't panic buy more once it hits the purple trend line and finally at 550 levels!
Around 550 range it has an extreme strong support!
PS: Bad result came out today as well!