Welspun Living Weekly Chart AnalysisWelspun Living CMP@165.45.Chart Setup Looks Bullish.
Stock In Secular Uptrend Making Higher Top Higher Bottom on Weekly Timeframe
After Making a High@212.95 Stock Has Retrace Towards Fibonacci Key Retracement level of 61.8%@155.50 (Weekly Low)
On weeklyTimeframe Stock Has Made a Spinning Bottom Candlestick which can be a potential Reversal Candidate
This Long Setup will fail if Stock Closes Below 150 on weekly closing Basis.
Disclaimer:-This is just a technical observation for educational Purpose.Not a Buy or Sell Recommendation .Pls. Consult Ur SEBI Registered Advisor for Any Buy or Sell Decision.
Fibonacci
PRe MArket Analysis 11th oct24- NIFTY 50 Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 11th oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24985 ,
at SUPPORT (DIP buy) - PDL 24980, PSY 25k , next support 24940- - should breakdown this level for bearish move, Panic and down momentum continues below 24888 ,
RESISTANCE -25038 should start trading above this level & trendline coming from top (if rejection then downmove) -WAIT & WATCH -9.45.
#NIFTY #niftyanalysis #nifty50 #niftyprediction #banknifty #stockmarket #marketanalysis
Morepen Lab - Bullish Flag and Fibonacci RetracementMorepen Lab has formed a bullish flag pattern, and today it has successfully broken out.
The price has retested the Fibonacci level at 38, where it formed a bullish piercing pattern, signaling potential upside momentum.
Price take support of 50 period EMA.
Additionally, this level coincides with a significant demand zone on the chart, suggesting strong buying interest. Keep an eye on this stock for further upward movement
MCX Natural Gas Analysis for medium termMCX:NATURALGAS1! looks bullish.
If we look at the daily chart carefully, we will see it retraced a lot and tested 125. Then it is mostly a range bound from 140 to 280.
Now this 280 level is also the 23% Fib retracement level.
Around this level the price hits already 5 times, after breakdown almost one and half year back. However this time it has created a W pattern. (or one can say a rounding bottom pattern).
After testing the 280 level in one week back, it retraces back a bit and most likely creating a nice Cup and Handle pattern.
Here are the expectations:
NG will test 280 level once more.
After that if it able to brakes it out 280, it will go to test the next resistance.
The next resistance is 400 level, positionally.
Also fundamentally, per the estimation of International Energy Agency (IEA) Global Gas Security Review, the Natural Gas demand is forecasted to rise by over 2.5 per cent in 2024, with similar growth expected in 2025. And it will be steady for next few years even with 1.5 degree Paris Weather convocation.
So stay alert. Above 280 sustains means it's a Buy on Dip on Natural Gas. Till then: Wait and Watch.
Nifty 50 Reversal: Critical Levels and Sign of a Possible ReboudThe Nifty 50 index has been showing signs of weakness recently, as indicated by the red candle formations and the current price trending below crucial Fibonacci retracement levels. As of today, Nifty has been testing the support zones near the 0.618 Fibonacci level (24,402.75), which could serve as a pivot for a potential reversal. Let's dive into the factors suggesting a possible market bounce from here.
Technical Overview
1. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The price has pulled back from the recent highs around 26,272.50 and is hovering near the 0.618 retracement level at 24,402.75. A break below this level could lead the index toward the next key level at 23,893.70, the 100% retracement mark.
On the upside, if the price manages to hold the 0.618 level, the next resistance would be the 0.5 level at 25,083.10.
2. Moving Averages:
The 200-day moving average is still trending upward, signaling long-term bullish momentum. However, the 50-day moving average is flattening, indicating indecision in the medium term.
The current price is hovering between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting that the upcoming price action could be critical in determining the next major move.
3. MACD Analysis:
The MACD histogram has turned negative, and the MACD line is crossing below the signal line. This is typically a bearish signal, but it’s worth noting that we are nearing oversold conditions, and a bullish crossover could be on the horizon if buyers step in at these key support levels.
4. RSI Divergence:
The RSI is currently around the 36.77 level, nearing oversold territory. Historically, RSI readings below 40 in this range have often preceded significant rebounds in Nifty 50.
Watch for bullish divergence as the RSI nears this key level, as it may indicate that downward momentum is weakening and that buyers could soon gain control.
Institutional Flows
Recent data suggests that Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers of Indian equities, particularly with large sell-offs in the cash segment amounting to ₹-8,293.41 crores on October 7, 2024. However, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have stepped in with a net purchase of ₹13,245.12 crores. This balance between FII selling and DII buying has helped stabilize the market, but FII futures purchases have added some positive momentum.
Key Takeaways:
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (24,402.75) is a critical support. A strong bounce from this zone could lead to a reversal.
Indicators: Oversold RSI levels suggest that the selling momentum is overextended, and we could see a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Activity: DII buying is providing much-needed support to the market, and FII futures activity shows some signs of optimism.
Conclusion:
Traders should watch for signs of a reversal, especially if the price holds above the 24,400 zone. Confirmation will come from a break above the 25,083 level, which would signify a change in short-term trend dynamics. A failure to hold current levels, however, could lead the index to test the 23,893 mark.
Reliance - The Elephant can Turn EverythingReliance has been in a impulse since March 2023 from lows of 1979.15 to 2630.95 was size of Wave 1 & it retrace exactly 0.618% in wave 2 as marked in chart.
Wave 3 starting from 2220.30 to 3024.90 was equal to Wave 1 in size or slightly bigger than wave 1 & Wave 4 did retrace exactly 0.382% as shown in chart.
Wave 5 is exactly inverse 1.618 of Wave 4 fall.
This entire Impulsive structure is a good example to study wave structure & understand fibonacci relations between Elliott waves & how a impulsive wave follows a trend channel.
So is the Fall Over ?
Ideally it has pulled back to previous degree Wave 4 which could be a good demand zone & A equals to C has also been achieved but daily positive close is first sign of bottom & we may see at least 3 Waves bounce or a new Impulse starting on upside & this could mean the Elephant could turn the market sentiment positive.
SUI uptrend endAs can be seen from the 4H chart, SUI has diverged
At the same time, it also reached the previous high point.
And the retracement fell below the previous low of 1.65
So I think this is the end of this rally.
Next, the short side should be the main one
If it falls below the low of 1.59 of this retracement
Then TP1 is placed at 1.48
If it does not fall below
And a new consolidation is formed in this area
You should go out first and observe what happens next.
Wait for a new trend to form before continuing to operate
#The cryptocurrency market has high risks, please carefully evaluate operational risks
This analysis is a personal comment and does not constitute any investment advice, so please refer to it with caution.
Nifty - Daily - OI- 25250 is support and resistance -25,082The Nifty 50 chart you've shared along with the Open Interest (OI) analysis highlights key aspects of the market. Here's a breakdown based on the chart:
### **Nifty 50 Index Analysis**:
- **Fibonacci Levels**:
- The chart shows a Fibonacci retracement with important levels.
- **0.236 (25,719.65)**: Nifty recently corrected after hitting resistance around this level.
- **0.382 (25,367.50)** and **0.5 (25,082.90)**: These levels represent potential support areas in case the index sees further downside.
- The **0.618 (24,798.30)** level could act as stronger support if the correction deepens.
- **Volume**: The increase in red bars indicates significant selling pressure, aligning with the recent decline in Nifty.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI shows a bearish divergence and is sloping downwards from a high point. This suggests weakening momentum in the short term, potentially indicating further correction.
### **Open Interest Analysis**:
- **Open Interest (OI) Distribution**:
- Call OI at 25,250 indicates resistance around this level.
- The highest **Put OI** is seen around 25,250, indicating strong support.
- A Put Call Ratio (PCR) of **1.12** suggests more puts than calls, which is a moderately bullish signal for the index, though Nifty has seen a significant drop of **2.12%**.
This combination of technical analysis and OI data suggests that while there may be further selling pressure or consolidation around current levels, the 25,250 mark could act as a crucial support level. If this level holds, we may see a rebound in the coming sessions, but breaking below could lead to a deeper correction.
Nifty Midcap150 -At make or break level?Nifty Midcap is standing on a confluence of support of trendline as well as horizontal support.
22000 looks like a make or break level for Nifty Midcap.
If this support breaks, we might see a quick fall to 21650, 21480, 21300 levels.
If this support is sustained, we can expect a bounce to 22200, 22500+ levels
Keep this chart in focus for further swing trades. Fibonacci levels will be crucial now.
Nifty 50-October 2024 viewI feel it is time to be little cautious.
Post 4th June(the election results day), we have seen a good rally in market from 21300 to 26250 today which is almost 25% and that too without a significant pull back or correction.
The rally since past couple of weeks is mainly due to large caps.
There is no reason to be extremely bearish but as per fib retracement, we are near golden ratio of 61.8%.
We might see a pullback or consolidation here before next move towards 27000+ levels.
Important levels to look at is 26000 below which we should expect 25800, 25500 and 25350.
Midsmall caps might see a bigger pullback than Nifty hence follow risk management in your swing positions. Nifty metal is looking quite bullish and is sector to keep in watchlist.
Please note that I am not expecting a crash or big correction and hence please don't overreact and do panic selling.
Classical example of Elliott waveClassical example of Elliott wave.
Wave 2 retraced to 61.8% forming Flat correction.
Wave 3 extended to 161.8% forming a normal or trending impulse.
Then wave 4 retraced to 23.6% in Zig-zag form. (This fulfilled the Rule of Alternation)
Wave 5 retraced exactly to its minimum target of 127% retracement. Where cluster of 200% extension was also there. Wave 5 formed in typical Ending diagonal format.
Here bigger wave 1 completed.
Now fall will come in NUVAMA forming bigger wave 2.
61.8% Fib bullish reversal with Volumes on WeeklyNSE:HINDZINC The stock started a bullish reversal from its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. RSI is also supportive. A sustained move beyond 546 would lead to a strong up move shortly.
Above the 546 level trade will activate with a target of 680 and StopLoss 475
Check out my other stock ideas below until this trade gets activated, I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Vedanta Limited Multiyear Breakout CandidateVedanta Limited has given a good weekly closing above its year 2010 resistance level after a good consolidation .
Usually Such Multi year Breakouts are good for positional trading
Potential upside targets according to Fibo are
Target 1- 640 to 650
Target 2 ~800
As this is a multiyear breakout so it will may take months to reach those levels
So be patient
Happy trading