Cyber MondayUp to 80% OFF

Fibonacci

XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
MOTILAL OSWAL FINANCIAL SERVICESBias: Bullish overall — structure is intact (higher highs, higher lows). Where we are: Retracing into support (FVG/IRL area). Plan: Wait for signs of reversal from this zone (bullish candle, volume pickup, or rejection wick). Entry Zone: Around ₹960–₹980, ideally on confirmation. Stop Loss: Below ₹918 — that’s under structure and invalidates the bullish setup if broken. Targets: TGT 1: ₹1,100 (first profit zone, likely previous swing high) TGT 2: ₹1,160 (next supply zone) TGT 3: ₹1,300 (long-term swing target)
NSE:MOTILALOFSLong
by ChartistHub
2
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones. The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region. However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers. Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions. If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD . Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone. • Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone. • Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout: If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,995 • SL: 3,965 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,052 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance: If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,990 • SL: 4,000 • TP1: 3,965 • TP2: 3,950 • TP3: 3,944 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone. If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD. If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD. “Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 06/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Forms New Liquidity Low, Buyers Return🔍 Market Context Gold has completed a significant liquidity sweep around the 3,929 – 3,921 USD zone, clearing out the stop-losses of weak buyers before bouncing back strongly. The bullish candle reaction at this zone indicates strong absorption from large capital flows, opening the possibility of forming a technical recovery wave towards the supply zone (OB – FVG) above. In the short term, the market structure temporarily shifts to a bullish bias , as long as the price holds above this Liquidity Zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → newly swept liquidity low, acting as main support. • FVG 1: 3,951 – 3,959 USD → first target of the recovery wave. • FVG 2: 3,977 – 3,985 USD → unfilled price balance zone. • Order Block: 3,995 – 4,022 USD → strong supply resistance, expected reaction upon retest. • Resistance Zone: 4,025 – 4,045 USD → watch for candle reactions to confirm upward momentum or reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Liquidity Sweep Retest • Entry: 3,932 – 3,922 USD (pullback to sweep zone) • Stop Loss: below 3,912 USD • Take Profit:  TP1: 3,965  TP2: 3,975  TP3: 3,987  TP4: 3,995  TP5: 4,022 ➡️ “Buy the discount” strategy by Smart Money: buy after liquidity sweep to catch the technical rebound. 2️⃣ SELL Reaction – OB 4,022 USD If the price approaches the OB 3,995 – 4,022 USD zone and shows reversal signals (strong rejection, bearish engulfing candle), → consider opening a short-term sell (counter-trend scalp) • Entry: 4,015 – 4,020 • SL: 4,030 • TP: 3,990 → 3,970 → 3,940 ⚙️ Market Structure • Temporary uptrend line remains intact. • Liquidity has been swept at the old low → confirming bullish ChoCH . • Confluence structure of FVG + OB + trendline creates favorable conditions for recovery momentum. 📈 Summary Gold has completed the old low liquidity sweep and is in a technical recovery phase. As long as the price stays above 3,921 USD, the short-term trend leans towards bullish retracement . Observe price reactions at the FVG 3,975 – 3,995 USD zone to determine buyer strength. 🔥 “Liquidity fuels direction — once the weak hands are out, the real move begins.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 05/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Protean eGov Technologies Ltd – Gap Fill Setup (Daily Chart)Protean eGov Technologies is showing early signs of base formation after a prolonged downtrend. The price is currently consolidating near the ₹850–₹880 zone, forming a potential accumulation structure that could lead to a gap-fill rally in the short to medium term. The chart highlights two major unfilled gaps — a midway gap and a main gap — both acting as key upside targets once the current range breakout confirms. 🎯 Key Levels: CMP: ₹866.80 (+2.25%) Entry Zone: ₹850 – ₹880 Midway Gap Target: ₹1,100 – ₹1,150 Main Gap Target: ₹1,280 – ₹1,350 Stop-Loss: ₹820 (on daily close basis) 📊 Technical View: Price consolidating after a steep decline — forming a base near support zone. Volume spikes during accumulation suggest smart buying interest. Breakout above ₹880–₹900 could trigger a gap-fill move toward ₹1,100+. Short-term EMAs are flattening, indicating the downtrend might be losing momentum. 🧠 View: Sustaining above ₹880 could confirm the beginning of a recovery phase. Watch for a breakout with volume to target ₹1,100 first (midway gap), followed by ₹1,300+ (main gap fill).
NSE:PROTEANLong
by yatharthshah23
Bullish Fibonacci Retracement Setup📈 Bullish Fibonacci Retracement Setup Intro The chart illustrates a classic Bullish Fibonacci Retracement structure — highlighting key swing points, retracement levels, and potential continuation zones. Price action shows a healthy pullback within a larger uptrend, suggesting accumulation before a possible breakout move. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 🟩 Chart Overview • Point A → Represents the Swing Low , marking the starting point of the current upward move. • Point B → Denotes the Swing High , where price faced resistance before retracing. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Fibonacci Levels 1️⃣ Validation Line (78.60%) — Entry is confirmed when any two consecutive candles close above this level, signaling a strong breakout and bullish continuation. 2️⃣ Minimum Retracement (61.80%) — This level has been achieved, and two candles have successfully closed below it, confirming a valid retracement phase within the Fibonacci structure. 3️⃣ Devalidation Line (38.20%) — If any two candles close below this level, the Fibonacci setup becomes invalid. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 🎯 Trail Levels Trail Levels → • Stop-loss will trail two levels below the current active level. • Each target level is confirmed only when two consecutive candles close above it successfully . ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary • Price is retracing within a strong bullish trend. • A close above the 78.6% Validation Line confirms continuation. • Structure remains valid as long as price holds above the 38.2% Devalidation Line. • Trail progressively with momentum as higher targets activate. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MarketAlgoBot
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Accumulated Gold on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New 🔍 Market Context Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal. Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure. The zone 3,959–3,964 USD is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend may extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely. • Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support zone maintaining the bullish structure. • Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → a low liquidity zone, potentially attracting price sweeps before reversing. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Preferred when price holds above support • Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD • Stop Loss: 3,940 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,020  – TP3: 4,040  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline support zone when a confirmation signal appears (rejection or bullish ChoCH). 2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks • Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after closing a candle below the support zone) • Stop Loss: 3,970 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,935  – TP2: 3,925  – TP3: 3,912 ✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,912 USD). 💬 Summary Gold is in a phase of accumulation before a major move . If it holds above 3,952 USD → prioritize BUY according to the bullish structure . If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL according to the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone. The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken. 💡 Today's Tagline: “Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 04/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Fibonacci in Action – A Lesson from J.K. CementFibonacci retracement is one of the simplest yet most consistent tools for studying how markets correct within trends. To understand it better, here’s a clean example from J.K. Cement . After a strong uptrend from the March 2025 swing low to ₹7,565 , the stock began to retrace. Notice how price behavior respected the Fibonacci structure: It bounced from the 0.382 level , illustrating a temporary reaction point. Later, it faced resistance near 0.236 , where rallies often stall during corrective phases. The 0.5 retracement zone now serves as a classic testing ground that often helps define trend continuation or deeper correction. Even the RSI pattern offers insight — price forms a higher low while RSI makes a lower low, a textbook positive reversal setup that often aligns with trend studies. The purpose of this example isn’t prediction, but to show how Fibonacci ratios and RSI behavior interact — highlighting rhythm, structure, and market psychology in motion. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JKCEMENTEducation
by WaveXplorer
Bharat Forge Ltd – Flat in Formation, Bulls Still in Command The impulse from ₹919 - ₹1,362 looks complete, and price is now likely carving a 5-3-5 flat correction as Wave 2. Wave B has already stretched to the prior Wave 1 peak, keeping regular , expanded , and running flat options open. Wave C could retrace toward ₹1,192 – ₹1,140 — the 0.382-0.5 fib zone — before the broader uptrend resumes. Sustained volume and RSI momentum continue to support the larger bullish structure. A breakout above ₹1,395 invalidates the bearish setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BHARATFORGShort
by WaveXplorer
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave. Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning. As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline. • Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone. • Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure • Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD • Stop Loss: 3,905 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 4,072  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak • Entry: 4,096 USD • Stop Loss: 4,108 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,072  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 3,985 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak. 💬 Summary The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows. The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone. The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD . “Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.” ⏰ Time Frame: 1H 📅 Update: 03/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Sun Pharma trades sideways within a defined rangeTopic Statement: Sun Pharma has remained in a sideways zone throughout the year, presenting recurring opportunities for accumulation at key technical levels. Key Points: 1. The stock is rangebound between 1550 and 1800, with no clear breakout direction so far 2. It consistently takes strong support at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1568 3. The stock can be accumulated when it dips below the 50-day EMA, with heavier investment opportunities when it falls below the 200-day EMA
NSE:SUNPHARMA
by yogeshwar
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (SONACOMS) — pullback setup(SONACOMS) — Bullish Pullback Setup 📅 Timeframe: 1D | 💰 CMP: ₹472.75 | 📈 Volume: Above average Technical View Sona BLW has completed a strong impulse wave from ₹402 → ₹503, followed by a healthy pullback. Price is now retracing near the 0.618 Fib level (₹464.8), aligning with the 21EMA — a zone that often acts as support during trend continuation. Volume on the breakout was strong, showing accumulation interest. Trade Plan Entry Zone: ₹465–₹470 Stop Loss: ₹450 (below 0.5 Fib and 20EMA) Targets: 🎯 T1: ₹503 🎯 T2: ₹530 (Fib 1.272) 🎯 T3: ₹566 (Fib 1.618) Summary ✅ Uptrend resumption likely if ₹450 holds ✅ Rising 21EMA & 50EMA support the structure ✅ Strong breakout volume confirms institutional buying Bias: Bullish Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5+ Invalidation: Close below ₹450 Disclaimer : Risk management is crucial in this volatile market, so keep position sizing appropriate. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and not financial advice.
NSE:SONACOMSLong
by misalraj
1
ChennaiPetro: Wedge & Trendline BO with 61.8%, Chart of the WeekNSE:CHENNPETRO Explosive Breakout: Why This Refinery Stock Could Rally Another 30% After Its Q2 Turnaround. This PSU Refinery Stock Broke Through ₹979 Levels - Here's What Traders Need to Know About the Next Move. Let's Analyse in our Chart of the Week Below. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Trend Structure and Momentum: - The stock experienced a prolonged uptrend from March 2023 to July 2024, rallying from base levels around ₹433 to a peak of ₹1,275, representing approximately 195% appreciation - Post the July 2024 peak, the stock entered a corrective phase characterised by lower highs and consolidation - Recent price action shows a breakout above the descending cyan trendline that had been capping rallies since mid-2024 - Current price of ₹979.35 (as of October 31, 2025) represents a 26.80% gain, indicating strong buying momentum - The stock is trading above all key Fibonacci retracement levels, having reclaimed the 61.8% level at approximately ₹953 Candlestick Patterns and Formations: - The most recent candle shows a strong bullish close with a substantial body, indicating conviction in the upward move - The chart displays a rising wedge/descending channel pattern that was broken decisively in recent sessions - Prior consolidation between ₹700-₹850 formed a re-accumulation base, which has now been breached to the upside - The breakout candle demonstrates strong price and volume expansion, a classic sign of institutional participation Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Recent volume surge to 90.39 million shares significantly exceeds the average volume of 13.46 million, representing approximately 6.7x normal trading activity - The volume spike coincides with the price breakout, validating the move as genuine rather than a false breakout - Historical volume analysis shows similar spikes during major trend reversals, particularly during the March 2023 base breakout - Volume expansion without corresponding price weakness suggests strong demand absorption at current levels Volume-Price Relationship: - The volume profile indicates heavy accumulation in the ₹700-₹800 zone, which now serves as a critical support cluster - Recent sessions show sustained above-average volume, suggesting institutional interest rather than retail speculation - The volume pattern aligns with a classic "breakout with expansion" scenario, increasing the probability of trend continuation Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Zones: - Primary Support (S1): ₹854 - This represents the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and previous consolidation high - Secondary Support (S2): ₹754 - The 0.382 Fibonacci level and recent breakout point from the descending trendline - Critical Support (S3): ₹631 - The 0.236 Fibonacci level and long-term base support at ₹433-₹450 zone - The grey trendline originating from the 2024 lows provides dynamic support, currently positioned around ₹720 Key Resistance Zones: - Immediate Resistance (R1): ₹1,094 - The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level - Major Resistance (R2): ₹1,275 - The all-time high achieved in July 2024 and psychological resistance - Extended Resistance (R3): ₹1,400-₹1,500 - Projected based on measured move from the consolidation range Technical Patterns and Indicators: Chart Patterns: - Descending Channel Breakout: The stock has successfully breached the cyan-colored descending trendline that acted as resistance since July 2024 - Rising Wedge Resolution: The consolidation pattern between August and October 2025 has resolved to the upside - Base-on-Base Formation: The ₹433 level established in early 2024 served as the foundation for the subsequent rally, demonstrating strong long-term base support - Cup and Handle (Potential): If the stock consolidates between ₹950-₹1,050 and then breaks out, it could form a cup and handle pattern projecting toward ₹1,400+ Fibonacci Analysis: - The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at ₹953 has been convincingly reclaimed, suggesting the corrective phase may be complete - Golden ratio support held perfectly during the September-October consolidation - The next Fibonacci target at 0.786 (₹1,094) represents the immediate upside objective - Fibonacci extension levels project Upmove at ₹1,350 (1.272 extension) and ₹1,500 (1.618 extension) if the rally extends Risk Factors and Invalidation Levels: - A close below ₹920 would signal a potential false breakout - Sustained trading below ₹850 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest resumption of the downtrend - Weekly close below the broken trendline (currently around ₹940) would be a bearish reversal signal - Failure to maintain above 61.8% Fibonacci retracement could trigger another corrective leg Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Fundamentals: - Chennai Petroleum Corporation (CPCL) reported Q2 FY26 revenue of ₹16,327 crore with profit after tax of ₹719 crore - The company achieved a crude throughput of 3.013 million metric tonnes (MMT) with a Gross Refining Margin (GRM) of $9.04 per barrel in Q2 FY26 - However, Q1 FY26 saw challenges with a net loss of ₹40 crore compared to a profit of ₹357 crore in Q1 FY25, primarily due to inventory losses and lower GRM of $3.22 per barrel - For H1 FY26, CPCL recorded net profit of ₹689.68 crore versus a net loss of ₹294.45 crore in H1 FY25, with average GRM at $6.17 per barrel - The company achieved a record crude throughput of 11.642 MMT with 111% capacity utilisation Business Operations and Product Portfolio: - CPCL is engaged in refining crude oil to produce various petroleum products, including LPG, Motor Spirit, Kerosene, Aviation Turbine Fuel, High Speed Diesel, Naphtha, Fuel Oil, and Bitumen - The company also produces speciality products like Paraffin Wax, Mineral Turpentine Oil, Hexane, and Petrochemical feedstocks - Most fuel products are marketed by the parent company, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), while CPCL directly markets speciality products - In 2024, CPCL commissioned new infrastructure, including Pharma Grade Hexane production and Sustainable Aviation Fuel Financial Metrics and Valuation: - Market capitalisation stands at approximately ₹14,584 crore, with the company maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 35% - CPCL has demonstrated strong return on equity with a 3-year ROE of 31% and has reduced debt levels - Current price-to-earnings and other valuation metrics suggest the stock is reasonably valued considering sectoral challenges Sector Outlook and Industry Trends: - India's refining capacity increased to 258.1 MMTPA as of FY25, with domestic consumption at 239.2 MMTPA - India is expected to drive global oil demand growth, with consumption projected at 5.74 million barrels per day in 2025 and 5.99 million bpd in 2026 - The country plans to expand refining capacity to 309.5 MMTPA by 2028 - Refinery output has been strong, with manufacturing IIP for refined petroleum products rising 4.24% in June 2025, driven by auto-fuel demand growth of 7.9% year-on-year - However, refining margins are expected to fall below mid-cycle levels in FY25, indicating potential profitability challenges Opportunities and Challenges: Opportunities: - Downstream activities driven by refinery-petrochemical integration are projected to post the highest 5.2% CAGR through 2030 - Growing domestic demand for petroleum products with urbanisation and economic growth - Government initiatives supporting energy infrastructure development - Indian refiners have benefited from processing discounted Russian crude, generating significant margins Challenges: - Net profit declined for the last two quarters, with an average decrease of 108.5% per quarter, and revenue fell 14.1% per quarter - Volatile crude oil prices and fluctuating gross refining margins - India's domestic crude oil production has fallen 26.3% and natural gas by 24.1% during FY12-FY25, leading to increased import dependency - Environmental regulations and pressure to transition toward cleaner energy - Institutional investment in CPCL decreased by 37.83% over the past 30 days Competitive Position: - CPCL is a subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation, providing strategic advantages in product marketing and distribution - The company competes with major refiners, including Reliance Industries, Bharat Petroleum, Hindustan Petroleum, and Mangalore Refinery - CPCL's core vision is to be the most admired Indian energy company, creating value through world-class performance and ethical governance - The company's location in South India provides strategic advantages for serving the region's growing energy needs Fundamental Risks: - The stock trades at reasonable valuations with potential upside to fair value estimates around ₹1,050 - Strong Q2 performance suggests earnings momentum is improving after a weak Q1 - Sectoral tailwinds from growing domestic demand support medium-term prospects - Key risks include GRM volatility, crude price fluctuations, and regulatory changes My 2 Cents: - CPCL presents a compelling technical setup following the breakout from a multi-month consolidation pattern - The combination of volume expansion, Fibonacci support, and trendline breach suggests potential for further upside - Risk management is critical given sectoral volatility; strict adherence to stop losses is recommended Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CHENNPETROLong
by Karanshah137
9
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Short-Term Uptrend, Target $4,108🔍 Market Context Gold continues to uphold a short-term uptrend structure after forming a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) around the 3,926 USD zone. Buyers are in control as prices consistently create higher lows and react positively at the Order Block + Supporting Trendline zone. As long as prices remain above the 3,940–3,926 USD area, the uptrend structure is preserved. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block Bullish: 3,926 USD → main support zone, confluence with rising trendline. • Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3,942 – 3,972 USD → potential liquidity absorption zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,032 USD → short-term resistance, needs to be broken to confirm continued uptrend. • Liquidity Zone: 4,108 USD → expansion target if the above resistance is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise catching the retracement from support zone • Entry: 3,942 – 3,926 USD • Stop Loss: 3,910 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,972  – TP2: 4,032  – TP3: 4,064  – TP4: 4,108 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Prioritise orders in the confluence zone of OB + FVG to follow Smart Money flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Short-term at resistance zone • Entry: 4,032 – 4,048 USD • Stop Loss: 4,060 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,010  – TP2: 3,972  – TP3: 3,942 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – Activate only if clear price rejection signals appear at resistance. 💬 Summary The current structure still leans towards bullish short-term with the 3,926 USD zone as the key invalidation zone . As long as prices stay above the trendline, the immediate target is the 4,108 USD liquidity zone. Optimal strategy: Buy on dip – Sell on reaction. “Smart Money buys fear, sells greed — follow the footprints, not the noise.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 31/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$. While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone. Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone. Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure. Key Levels: • Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone) • Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$ • Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish — buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure. However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Futures MCX-2H — A Possible Double Zigzag at PlayThe decline from 132,294 unfolded into a clean 5-wave impulse, with Wave 3 extending 1.618 × Wave 1 and Wave 5 measuring nearly equal to Wave 1 — a classic Fibonacci rhythm confirming the completion of Wave W at 117,628. The ongoing rebound appears corrective, unfolding as an A-B-C structure for Wave X. A move toward the 124–125 k zone could complete Wave C, setting the stage for another 5-3-5 leg lower as Wave Y — potentially mirroring Wave W. Gold might just be correcting a bit more before it gleams brighter. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by WaveXplorer
PB Fintech attempts recovery after first major correctionTopic Statement: PB Fintech Ltd (PolicyBazaar) is recovering from its first significant correction following a steady bull run, with price action now approaching key resistance levels. Key Points: 1. The stock retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level at 1300, where it found strong support and began to stabilize 2. A wedge candlestick pattern is forming, and a breakout in either direction could determine the next trend 3. The price faces stiff resistance at the 2000 mark, which may act as a ceiling unless bullish momentum drives a breakout
NSE:POLICYBZR
by yogeshwar