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Fibonacci

National Aluminium Co. Ltd (NALCO) – 1HMarket Structure: Price is currently in a bullish trend with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) on the 1H timeframe. After showing strong displacement to the upside, the market is expected to retrace into a discount zone before continuing bullish expansion. POI (Point of Interest): A demand zone is identified around ₹214–₹215, aligning with previous structure support and unmitigated bullish order block. Price may revisit this zone to collect liquidity and rebalance inefficiency. Liquidity & FVG Analysis: Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below ₹216–₹217 could be targeted next. Fair Value Gap: Exists between ₹216–₹220 — a likely magnet for re-entry before expansion. Scenarios (As per the 3 projected paths): Red Path: Aggressive continuation after shallow retracement — short-term bullish impulse. Purple Path: Controlled pullback and BOS confirmation before bullish leg. Black Path: Deep liquidity sweep into POI (~₹214) followed by a strong reversal. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: ₹214–₹215 (after bullish reaction confirmation). Stop Loss: Below ₹199 (structural invalidation). Target: ₹248+ (premium zone and equal highs). Bias: 🟢 Bullish – Looking for liquidity sweep and continuation to premium range. Confirmation: Wait for a lower timeframe BOS (M15–M5) within POI before entry.
NSE:NATIONALUMLong
by YCGH_Capital
ORACLE FINANCIAL SERVICES SOFTWARE ( 1D ) 🎯 TRADING PLAN 🎯 ✔ Price Action shows strong Resistance at the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement with a Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern. ✔ RSI being Overbought adds weight to The setup. 💡 Good Trader's focus on protecting their Money. Bad Trader's focus on making Money. Disclaimer : All information is for Educational & Informational Purpose only. Not a buy / sell Recommendation. You are Solely responsible for your Trading & Investment decision.
NSE:OFSSShort
by AKSHAY0008
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Charging Up for Wave 3 — Ola’s Motor Just Got Certified!The electric vehicle (EV) space in India is heating up again — and Ola Electric seems to be quietly positioning itself for the next leg of growth. The company’s recent government certification for its in-house ferrite motor marks an important milestone: a domestically designed motor that avoids costly rare-earth materials, potentially boosting margins and cutting import dependence. This development strengthens Ola’s role in India’s push toward self-reliant, cost-efficient electric mobility, just as the market eyes the next growth phase in EV adoption. Technically, the stock appears to be cooling off after its first strong impulse. The chart reveals a leading diagonal structure kicking off Wave 1, followed by a Wave 2 correction unfolding as a 5-3-5 zigzag inside a descending channel . Price now hovers near the 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone (₹51–₹46) — historically a prime setup area before a potential Wave 3 expansion. The RSI near 43 suggests downside momentum is fading, but the confirmation cue will be a break above 50 , signaling a shift in control to buyers. In short: fundamentals are recharging while the technical battery is nearly full. Accumulation makes sense only once either price dips toward ₹46–₹47 (deep retracement pocket), or A breakout from the descending channel confirms that Wave 3 is ready to drive the next rally. For now, Ola’s story is less about “if” and more about “when.” Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:OLAELECLong
by WaveXplorer
3
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022). However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below. 1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂 Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure). Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave." 2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐 To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones: Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone. Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave. 3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯 Once we have a buying position, where will our target be? Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits. Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves. Summary & Advice Main trend: UP. Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones. Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG). Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target). Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN? Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities! 👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
BankNifty Daily, Butterfly pattern completed!Beautiful Butterfly 🦋 pattern has completed on Daily chart of BankNifty. Expect some profit booking or neutral trend in coming days up-to 55840 level. Most near level is the re-test of 78.6% level ( 56013 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ). " Buy 🟢 " above 56013 with the stop loss 🔻 of 55840, for the 🎯 Target 1: 56300 🎯 Target 2: 56500 🎯 Target 3: 57000 🎯 Target 4: open. " Sell 🔴 " below 55631with the stop loss 🔺 of 55843, for the 🎯 Target 1: 55363 🎯 Target 2: 55095 🎯 Target 3: 54763 🎯 Target 4: open. Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨‍🎓 ⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER : All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only. It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. Regards : @TradeWithKeshhav & team Happy Trading and Investing!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradeWithKeshhav
Transrail Lighting LtdTransrail Lighting Ltd is near support level and making a butterfly pattern. Here, Fibonacci levels are applied. So, If it breaks the ratio of 0.5 & 0.618, we will see 1.0 Based on ratio you can see target level in the chart. As per fundamentals theory, 0.5 and 0.618 are strong resistance, once sustain above this it will touch to 1.0 and 1.618. So accumulate on every dip. Also, this stock has took support from the all time high level. It had given the breakout earlier and give some upside movement, now taking support from that ATH level and ready to go up.
NSE:TRANSRAILLLong
by isagar_chauhan_
Nifty 50 Daily, Trend Based Fibonacci Extension (Natural levels)Hey Traders, I hope you all are doing well in your life. Market is nature's response and Price is the God. Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension . After forming a ' W ' pattern on Daily chart, Nifty50 has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension level tool, 24587 ). Most near level is the re-test of 38.2% level ( 24980 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ). " Buy 🟢 " above 25110 with the stop loss 🔻 of 24980, for the 🎯 Target 1: 25402 🎯 Target 2: 25650 🎯 Target 3: 26260 🎯 Target 4: 26500. " Sell 🔴 " below 24960 with the stop loss 🔺 of 25110, for the 🎯 Target 1: 24880 🎯 Target 2: 24780 🎯 Target 3: 24680 🎯 Target 4: 24500. Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨‍🎓 ⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER : All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only. It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. Regards : @TradeWithKeshhav & team Happy Trading and Investing!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradeWithKeshhav
Powergrid stalls after failed V-shaped recoveryTopic Statement: Powergrid attempted a V-shaped recovery but faced stiff resistance near 300, limiting its rebound and keeping the stock under short-term pressure. Key Points: 1. The stock received strong support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, triggering an upward attempt 2. It is currently blocked by heavy resistance at the 23.6% retracement level at 296 3. Price remains below the 50-day EMA, making it moderately undervalued for short-term accumulation 4. The stock is following a downward trendline and faces resistance as it approaches it, with a breakout above this trendline likely to initiate a bullish move
NSE:POWERGRID
by yogeshwar
1
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs. The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control. 🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix) 📍 Reaction Buy Zones 3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket. 386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone. 📍 Reaction Sell Zones 393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection. 4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Scenario Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation. Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000. Stop Loss: Below 3850. 2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000. Targets: 3900 → 3884. Stop Loss: Above 3952. ⚡ Key Insights Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports. 3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall. Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction. 💬 What’s your take, India? Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious. But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend. 🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend. At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit. This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones. 📊 Technical Analysis On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats). The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line. Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited. Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy setup (trend-following): Entry: 3830 Stoploss: 3815 Take Profit: 3980 Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target): Entry: around 3980 Stoploss: 3988 TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy) 🔍 Conclusion Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”. Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices. I will continue to share more details in daily updates here. Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841 Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low) Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: ₹3,865 Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792) Targets: ₹3,865 (first take-profit) ₹3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841 Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Outlook: Eyeing $4,000 – Fibo Expansion Zones in PlayGold continues to benefit from safe-haven demand as political risks in Washington and mixed U.S. data keep investors cautious. The metal is trading inside a clear bullish channel, with Fibonacci projections suggesting further upside before any major correction. 📊 Technical Deep Dive – H4 Structure 🔹 Fibonacci Confluence The current rally respects 0.618 retracement at $3,820 and 0.786 retracement near $3,872, confirming algorithmic order flow. Next expansion points are sitting at Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 ($3,995 – $4,003), a major liquidity target where reactions are likely. 🔹 Liquidity Pockets $3,820 – $3,828: Historical demand block + Fibo 0.618, strong buy reaction zone. $3,860 – $3,872: Active reaction layer, intraday support if retested. $3,995 – $4,003: Key sell reaction zone, a liquidity grab area before possible retracement. 🔹 Candle & Flow Breakout candles show strong momentum, pushing price toward untested liquidity. However, multiple tests of $3,895 signal distribution pressure ahead of the $4,000 test. 🎯 Trade Playbook 🟢 Bullish Setup (Main Play) Entry: $3,860 – $3,872 Targets: $3,895 → $3,995 → $4,003 Stop: Below $3,850 🔵 Deep Buy Setup (Aggressive) Entry: $3,820 – $3,828 Targets: $3,872 → $3,895 Stop: Below $3,808 🔴 Countertrend Short (Scalp) Entry: $3,995 – $4,003 Targets: $3,970 → $3,950 Stop: Above $4,010 ⚡ Key Insights Watch for a $4,000 liquidity sweep – could trigger either breakout continuation or sharp pullback. If $3,860 support fails, deeper correction into $3,820 is expected before next rally. H4 close above $3,895 strengthens bullish bias toward $4,003+. 📌 Question for traders: Will Gold break $4,000 and run, or is this a setup for a liquidity trap before correction? Share your view 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain |MMFLOWTRADING📊 Market Context Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain. 🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. 📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment. 🛡 Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum. ⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) 📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850. 🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones). 🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones). 🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900. 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884 SL: 3890 TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ??? ✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936 SL: 3940 TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795 SL: 3790 TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754 SL: 3750 TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility. 🕵️‍♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs. ❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones. ✅ Summary Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak. 🎯 Strategy: BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754. SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Plan | Limited Downside, Key Fibo Zones in Play🌍 Market Context Gold is facing renewed selling pressure after yesterday’s bounce from the $3,820 area. Risk-on sentiment and fresh USD buying are weighing on XAU/USD. However, expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year and geopolitical tensions remain supportive, limiting deeper downside moves. 📊 Technical Analysis – Fibo Matrix Setup 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 386x – 388x (Fibo retracement 0.5 – 0.618 + 0.786 confluence) → Intraday SELL scalp zone with strong rejection probability. 3881 – 3892 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 downtrend extension) → Key SELL liquidity zone for deeper rejection. 🟢 BUY Support Zones 3820 – 3819 (short-term recovery base) → Initial intraday support. 3795 – 3793 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 recovery zone) → Major liquidity pocket, ideal for BUY setups if tested. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup Entry: 386x – 388x (watch rejection candlesticks). Target: 3820 → 3795. Stop Loss: Above 3892. 2️⃣ BUY Setup Entry: 3795 – 3793 with bullish confirmation. Target: 3860 → 3880. Stop Loss: Below 3785. ⚡ Key Notes USD momentum is crucial – if dollar strength continues, Gold may retest 379x zones. Fed’s rate cut outlook and geopolitical headlines remain the “floor” for Gold. Stick to clear Fibo reaction zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Insight: Do you expect Gold to hold 3820 before bouncing, or will we see a flush into 379x liquidity? Drop your setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
NBCC (India) – Wave 3 Setup Backed by Strong Project PipelineAfter completing a textbook 5-wave advance into 130.70 , where Wave 5 aligned exactly with the 2.618 extension of Wave 1 projected from Wave 4, NBCC corrected into 98. That low now marks a clean green Wave 2. The recent bounce to 117.20 formed Wave 1 of a higher-degree Wave 3. Price has retraced into the 104–105 zone (0.618 Fib) with visible volume expansion, suggesting accumulation. Invalidation/SL sits at 98 , making risk well-defined. Breakout above 117.20 opens the path toward 130.70+ and potentially much higher, in line with the 2.618 Fib target around 130.65. Fundamentals in Brief Market cap: ₹295.9B P/E ratio: ~50.8, indicating premium valuation but supported by steady order book growth. Revenue (FY24): ~₹115.9B, with Project Management Consultancy (PMC) as the major contributor. Debt: Effectively zero – NBCC runs a net cash balance sheet, giving it flexibility. Dividend yield (TTM): ~0.8% – small, but consistent payouts. Margins: Net margin steady around 5–6%. NBCC’s fundamentals support its technical setup: low leverage, steady revenues, and government backing in project management give confidence that the bullish Elliott Wave count has room to play out. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NBCCLong
by WaveXplorer
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward. At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact. 2. Important Levels Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case. OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks. OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs. 3. Trade Setups Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865. SL: Below 3,850. TP1: 3,912. TP2: 3,933 – 3,935. Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810. If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Conclusion Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Nifty 50 – Wave 2 Correction and the Confluence ZoneDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. After bottoming at 21,743.65 in March 2025, Nifty launched a strong impulsive rally that topped at 25,669.35, marking Wave 1 of a new higher-degree advance. Since then, price has been moving inside a downward-sloping channel , forming what appears to be a Wave 2 correction. The subdivisions so far suggest a W–X–Y structure : Wave W ended at 24,337.50. Wave X topped at 25,448.95. Wave Y is now unfolding, with (a) in place, (b) potentially in progress, and (c) likely still pending. To assess possible completion zones, Fibonacci retracements of Wave 1 offer key checkpoints: 0.382 retracement at ~24,160, aligning with the channel base. 0.5 retracement at ~23,699, a deeper but still acceptable Wave 2 target. This channel + fib confluence provides a meaningful area where Wave 2 could terminate, setting the stage for the next bullish leg — Wave 3. Key Levels: Resistance : 25,450 – 25,670 (breakout here invalidates the immediate Wave 2 scenario). Support : 24,160 (0.382 fib and channel base). Deeper support : 23,700 (0.5 fib). Alternate scenario: If price continues sideways without decisive weakness, the correction may evolve into a triangle for Wave 2 instead of a W–X–Y. Takeaway: As long as price respects the channel and fib zones, Wave 2 remains corrective in nature. A sustained break higher would open the path for Wave 3 — the next impulsive advance.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer