Get started

Fibonacci

Grasim Industries - Bullish Flag PatternLet's break down the analysis provided for Grasim Industries Ltd based on the bullish flag chart pattern, as outlined by Arvind Share Academy. This is for educational purposes, so here’s how you might evaluate and implement such a trade: Trade Plan Breakdown Current Market Price (CMP): ₹2700 Context: This is the price at which Grasim Industries Ltd is currently trading. Understanding the CMP helps to set up entry and exit points effectively. Buy Above ₹2725 Entry Point: The suggestion to buy above ₹2725 indicates a breakout level where the stock price is expected to move higher if it surpasses this level. This price is above the consolidation phase (the flag) and is likely where the upward momentum should resume. Purpose: This strategy aims to enter the trade only when the stock shows a confirmed breakout from the bullish flag pattern, reducing the risk of buying into a false breakout. Stop Loss (SL) at ₹2640 Risk Management: The stop loss is set at ₹2640, which is below the flag pattern and recent consolidation lows. This level is crucial for limiting potential losses if the trade does not go as planned. Rationale: Setting the stop loss at this level protects against significant downturns while allowing some room for price fluctuations. Target 1: ₹2865 First Target: This level represents a near-term profit-taking point. It might be based on technical projections from previous resistance levels. Strategy: It’s often wise to consider taking partial profits or reassessing the trade when the stock reaches this level, especially if it faces resistance. Target 2: ₹3000 Extended Target: This target is set higher, assuming that the bullish momentum continues beyond the initial projection. This level reflects a more optimistic outcome and suggests further potential upside. Strategy: As the stock approaches this level, monitoring its behavior is key. Adjusting stop losses or taking additional profits may be prudent if the stock shows signs of reversing.
NSE:GRASIMLong
by Arvind_Share_Academy
Attention Bitcoin Holders: This Could Be Your Last Chance!Dear Colleagues and Traders. 😉 In this post, I intend to share my analysis of the anticipated trajectory of Bitcoin, supported by both technical indicators and historical patterns. To begin, I anticipate that Bitcoin may experience a near-term rebound, which could be followed by a subsequent decline. Before we delve into the specific details of this analysis, I recommend reviewing my previous post, where I provided a comprehensive overview of Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. This context will allow for a deeper understanding of the current market conditions. ⬇️Previous Post (Long-Term Perspective) If you have reviewed that analysis, we can now proceed to examine the three critical pieces of evidence that substantiate the forecast presented today. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H / Current / First Piece of Evidence This chart illustrates Bitcoin’s movements from June 7, 2024, to August 5, 2024, within a clearly defined descending channel. Bitcoin remains constrained within this channel, with no breakout having occurred thus far. The reliability of this channel is noteworthy. This reliability is particularly evident when we examine the midline, which has acted as both support and resistance on five occasions, thereby reinforcing the channel's structural integrity. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 1 This chart, covering the period from April 14, 2023, to May 23, 2023, similarly displays a descending channel. During this time, the price consistently encountered support and resistance at the midline before ultimately breaking out to the upside. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 2 Another example can be observed from January 11, 2024, to January 21, 2024. This channel, although formed over a shorter timeframe, also demonstrated a similar pattern, with the price finding support at the midline before eventually breaking out upward. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1H / Past Example 3 In this example, spanning from March 30, 2023, to April 5, 2023, we observe a comparable pattern. The midline provided robust support, and the price consistently failed to close below it, further solidifying the channel’s credibility. This setup also culminated in an upward breakout. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H / Current Returning to the current chart, with the benefit of historical data, it becomes increasingly feasible to predict the future trajectory of Bitcoin's price. If the current descending channel maintains its integrity, a rebound, supported by the midline, appears likely. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Second Piece of Evidence The second key piece of evidence involves the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart, where a "Hidden Bullish Divergence" is emerging. In this scenario, the price is forming a higher low on the right side of the chart compared to the left, while the RSI is creating a lower low. This formation, known as a "Hidden Bullish Divergence," often precedes an upward movement in price. Let us consider some historical examples. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 1 In this chart, dated around March 30, 2024, we observe a higher low in price on the right, accompanied by a lower RSI, indicative of a "Hidden Bullish Divergence." This setup led to a price increase of approximately 13%. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 2 Another instance, from October 2, 2023, presents a similar pattern: a higher low in price with a lower low in RSI, signaling a "Hidden Bullish Divergence." Following this formation, Bitcoin experienced a surge of approximately 114%, reaching a new all-time high. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 3 This example from June 25, 2024, also shows a higher low in price coupled with a lower low in RSI, confirming a "Hidden Bullish Divergence." This setup resulted in a price increase of around 9%. Now, let us return to the current chart. ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Current With these past examples in mind, it is evident that a "Hidden Bullish Divergence" is also forming in the current chart. Should this pattern hold, we can reasonably expect an upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Third Piece of Evidence The final piece of evidence derives from Elliott Wave Theory, a concept that may appear complex but can be simplified. Following a low of $48,888, Bitcoin completed an upward wave, peaking at $65,737.2. We are currently in the corrective phase of this wave. This correction appears to be unfolding in the form of a "Flat" pattern, comprising three waves. The final wave in this "Flat" pattern should ideally manifest as an impulsive wave. At present, the chart suggests that an "Ending Diagonal" pattern is the most probable scenario, which could indicate a forthcoming rebound. It is imperative to note that if the price breaches the current low, the "Flat" pattern will be invalidated. However, until such a breach occurs, a strategy of buying on dips remains rational. — In summary, here is a recap of the evidence supporting today’s analysis: ⬇️ First Piece of Evidence: Descending Channel The price is currently finding support at the midline of the descending channel. Should this support hold, a significant rebound could ensue. ⬇️ Second Piece of Evidence: Hidden Bullish Divergence The price is forming a higher low, while the RSI is forming a lower low. Historically, such "Hidden Bullish Divergences" have often preceded upward price movements. ⬇️ Third Piece of Evidence: Elliott Wave Theory We are currently in the corrective phase of an upward wave, likely forming a "Flat" pattern, with an "Ending Diagonal" scenario suggesting a potential rebound. — In conclusion, based on today’s analysis, here is my trading strategy: I have set a stop-loss at the $55,969 level and plan to accumulate Bitcoin on dips from this point forward. The risk-reward ratio is highly favorable, and the stop-loss level is clearly defined, making this a prudent and strategic approach. This concludes today’s analysis. I appreciate your time and attention in reviewing this detailed post. Should you find it insightful, your support through a boost and a follow would be greatly appreciated. - ✔️ This analysis does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. ✔️ It reflects a personal perspective and is provided for informational purposes only. ✔️ Any investment decisions should be made at your own discretion, and you assume full responsibility for any actions taken based on this information.
Long
by Killer_Whales
#XAUUSD/H4 Crossing the peak area, accumulating or adjusting?Trading trend analysis for the week of September 2 - September 6, 2024: As per our daily analysis, the gold price is currently moving within the sideways range of 2490 - 2530, and there are no signs of a breakout from this area yet. However, the new week will bring the "FED interest rate decision," which could be significant news that helps break this sideways range. My prediction is that September will be a very challenging month for trading due to the poor W and M candle patterns. The trading trend for next week will be BUY. Key price areas to note: BUY zone: 2480 - 2485, 2490 - 2495, 2510 - 2515. SELL zone: 2526 - 2531, 2537 - 2542, 2548 - 2553. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2490 - 2492 SL 2487 TP 2495 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2483 - 2485 SL 2480 TP 2490 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2539 - 2541 SL 2544 TP 2535 - 2525 - 2500 - 2465.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by oakpotshy
Adani Energy - Heavy Supp & Ress with 4 yr long Fibonacci SetupAnalysed the Adani Energy solutions on a weekly chart there is a 4 year long gap to be filled - Fibonacci setup. However from last 1 year, the price has been seeing a heavy resistance and support at the entry zone, which somehow makes the entire Fibonacci setup little week. The coming week or two, may still see a downfall and hot the support level of 975-970, if continued, it may hit a second resistance of 955-950. at this stage, the trend is also hanging towards more sellers keen to liquidate their positions. Hence this may drive the price downwards towards its support. Once the price sustain the support level, price may hit its first sub resistance of 1190. It may also continue to hit its second main resistance level of 1265 I shall keep updating the weekly analysis.
NSE:ADANIENSOL
by Beside9
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? | Elliott Wave Theory Market ForecastGreetings, fellow traders, In this post, I employ "Elliott Wave Theory" to analyze and predict Bitcoin's price movements. The decision to utilize this theory stems from its robust framework for interpreting market cycles, which is essential for precise forecasting in the volatile cryptocurrency market. 1️⃣ The value of an asset directly reflects the sentiment of investors participating in the market. 2️⃣ When investors are optimistic, increased demand naturally drives prices up, while fear among investors leads to price declines. 3️⃣ Prices are a direct representation of investor sentiment, and the "Elliott Wave Theory" is a framework that patterns these price movements. ✅ Conclusion By applying the "Elliott Wave Theory," it is possible to anticipate Bitcoin's next move. Therefore, let's now dive deep into the "Elliott Wave Theory" to both predict Bitcoin's next movements and gain a thorough understanding of this theory. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart review covers the period from January 24, 2024, to March 14, 2024. During this timeframe, a rare "Double Extended Impulse Wave" pattern appeared, characterized by an extended 5th wave. The supporting evidence for this pattern is as follows: 1️⃣ A breakout from the 1-3 trendline. 2️⃣ The 3rd wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave. 3️⃣ The 5th wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 3rd wave. 4️⃣ The 4th wave took longer to develop compared to the 2nd wave. I will explore these points in greater detail with the accompanying chart analysis below. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the first point mentioned. (Reference: 1️⃣) In wave analysis, trendlines play a crucial role. A break in the trendline often signifies the end of a wave or highlights the unique characteristics of that wave. In this post, we'll focus on the waves marked on the chart, so please pay close attention to the attached chart. The extension of the 5th wave is significantly influenced by the trendline connecting the peaks of the 1st and 3rd waves. This trendline is especially important in the context of a "Double Extended Impulse Wave." A "Double Extended Impulse Wave" indicates a strong buying momentum in a bull market or a strong selling momentum in a bear market. Therefore, it is expected that the upper trendline (the 1-3 trendline) would be breached as the wave progresses. (leading to a sharp rise in a bull market or a steep fall in a bear market). Please refer to the chart provided above. There are five instances of "Over shooting" , indicating a strong bullish market. This example shows how a single trendline can help identify the market's strength, weakness, and the type of wave pattern in play. Now, let's move on to the next chart. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the second and third points mentioned. (Reference: 2️⃣3️⃣) Additionally, this chart illustrates the internal Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave. The characteristics of the internal Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows: (Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️) ✔️ The 3rd wave rises between 100% and 261.8% of the length of the 1st wave. ✔️ The 5th wave rises 161.8% of the (0-3) length, measured from the end of the 4th wave. (It should be shorter than 261.8%.) ✔️ The 5th wave is longer than the shorter of 100% of the (0-3) length and 161.8% of the 3rd wave. Since this wave satisfies all the above conditions, it is highly likely to be a Double Extended Impulse Wave with an extended 5th wave. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart represents the external Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave. (For an impulse wave with an extended 5th wave, the external ratios are considered more reliable than the internal ratios.) The characteristics of the external Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows: (Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️) ✔️ The length of the 5th wave, measured from the end of the 3rd wave, forms at 100%, 161.8%, or 261.8% of the (0-3) length. Since this wave satisfies all the conditions, it is highly likely to be a "Double Extended Impulse Wave" with an extended 5th wave. (The author also considers the external ratios to be highly reliable.) — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the fourth piece of evidence mentioned earlier (Reference: 4️⃣). One of the most essential concepts in "Elliott Wave Theory" is "The Rule of Alternation." This principle is foundational to understanding market movements and is critical to the rules governing wave progression. Without it, Elliott Wave Theory would lose much of its practical value. "The Rule of Alternation" is most clearly demonstrated in the period of corrective waves. In the chart provided above, you’ll notice a comparison between the length of the 2nd wave and the 4th wave. Typically, before an extended wave appears, the market tends to undergo a longer or deeper correction. In this case, the 4th wave is noticeably longer than the 2nd wave, which satisfies this condition. This observation significantly increases the reliability of the wave pattern. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D Now, let's discuss the potential future direction. If the low point of the 5th wave within the extended impulse wave breaks, it is likely that this impulse wave marks the final wave of a larger wave pattern. In simpler terms, the 5-wave extended impulse wave we've discussed so far may represent the last wave of the current upward trend. To put it even more clearly, if the price falls below the $50,922.5 level, there is a high probability that the market has transitioned into a downtrend. Please refer to the following chart for further details. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D Based on the assumption that the market has transitioned into a downtrend, I’ve constructed the following scenario. It appears that a Corrective Wave (Flat) has already occurred, and the market is currently experiencing a correction in response to this wave (indicated by the red dotted line). According to this scenario, even if the price experiences an upward movement, it is likely to be a technical rebound within the broader context of a continuing downtrend. — Conclusion Today, we applied the Elliott Wave Theory to the actual Bitcoin chart to analyze the market. I made every effort to maintain an objective perspective. I am aware that many traders and investors are anticipating a continued upward trend. However, my intent in presenting a bearish scenario was not to gain attention, but rather to analyze the market as objectively as possible. It’s important to approach the market rationally, rather than simply calling for a rise without substantial evidence. I encourage you all to remain wise traders and investors who do not succumb to 'FOMO' (Fear of Missing Out) and always maintain an objective view of the market. Thank you for taking the time to read this post. If you found this analysis helpful, I would greatly appreciate it if you could give it a "boost." Should there be significant interest in this post, I'll consider creating follow-up analyses.
Education
by Killer_Whales
2
Reliance Industry - Elliot Wave SetupSpotted a Elliot wave setup in Reliance Industry on a daily chart. Currently the Point B is being active, today's AGM has a positive effect on the share price, making a green candle. The target price for point C has been identified with fibonacci setup which is also in a perfect state covering point 4, 5, A, B, and C A short position can be taken movement price start moving towards point C with target of around 2836 with stop loss at 3129 We can expect a bullish movement from the point of 3129-3100
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by Beside9
IEX IWSupport and Resistance: The chart shows a long consolidation phase, highlighted by a black rectangle. This consolidation represents a trading range where the price was oscillating between approximately ₹120 and ₹180. Breakout: The price has recently broken out of this consolidation zone, moving above ₹180 and reaching a current level of ₹203.51. This breakout may indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation of the uptrend. Upside Targets: Two potential resistance levels are marked with red dashed lines: The first level is around ₹245.58. The second, more distant target is around ₹301.90. These observations are based on the chart's technical analysis for educational purposes and are not financial advice.
NSE:IEXLong
by vinitsugandh
FINNIFTY (CNXFINANCE) - A BEARISH CYPHER PATTERN FORMED. NSE:CNXFINANCE ❇️Harmonic chart pattern: BEARISH CYPHER PATTERN 👉🏻The Cypher pattern is one of the most profitable harmonic patterns and is useful for risk management, because of the large success rate. Traders can minimize losses if they follow the Cypher trading rules and meet the profit target. 🚀How to use ❇️The Cypher harmonic pattern is a trading strategy that uses Fibonacci numbers to identify turning points in geometric price patterns. It can help traders predict future movements, determine when trends will reverse, and decide when to buy and sell. Here are some steps for using the Cypher pattern: ❇️1. Draw the patterns 👉🏻Start with a bullish or bearish impulsive move from point X to A. Then, use a Fibonacci retracement tool to find point B between 38.2% and 61.8% of XA, without closing past 61.8%. Next, use a Fibonacci expansion tool to find point C between 127.2% and 141.4% of the move from X to A, without closing past 141.4%. Finally, use a Fibonacci retracement tool to find point D by moving from X to C and reaching the 78.6% region. You can also use a Fibonacci expansion tool to find point D by moving from B to C and landing between 127.2% and 200%. ❇️2. Enter the pattern 👉🏻Traders can enter a Cypher pattern by setting a limit order at the 78.6% level or using a market order after the price starts to reverse. ❇️3. Set stop losses 👉🏻For a bearish Cypher, place stop losses just above point X. For a bullish Cypher, place stop losses just below point X. ❇️4. Set take profits 👉🏻Draw a Fibonacci extension from point C to point D and set multiple take profits. For example, you could set the first take profit at Fibonacci one, the second at 1.272, and the third at 1.618. You can break into the trade when any of the take profits are hit. Many traders partially close their position at point A, but you can also choose point C for a more aggressive approach ENTRY STATUS: ACTIVE ✅ TARGET 23440-23140-22555 (as per this harmonic chart pattern) SL 23670 🚀Happy trading 🫡 👉🏻 @thetradeforecast🇮🇳
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by thetradeforecast
LIC Housing Finance-Bullish Swing NSE:LICHSGFIN 27.08.2024 Buy-Above 485 after crossing 21 EMA Target- 775 Stop Loss-624 Risk Reward- 1:1.5 With very good uptrend from past one year, price has reached all time high but couldn't able to break. Now again it is trying to climb the same level to break and create new ATH. 1.Bullish engulfing against last 3 candles 2. Price rejection continuously from the parallel support level. Reject rejection is with 200 EMA 3. Continuous 3 green candles formation in weekly TF. 4.Volumes decreased in red candles during breakdown and now increased volumes found in green. 5. Rejection from 0.5 Fibonacci level again at same support level. 6. Stock bounced from over sold level and now into bullish RSI zone after crossing 40 RSI
NSE:LICHSGFINLong
by Swinging_Inside_the_BAR
Lloyds metals & energy getting ready - Commodity energy themeLloyds metals & energy has stellar fundamentals of more than 50% ROE over last 1,3,5,10Y and excellent double digits sales & profit growth as well. Double digit ROCE, high operating cash flow with improved and sustained profit margins since 2022. Power generation is a theme that's in progress and lloyds is part of this energy theme. Volume isn't shown. Price breakout not happened yet but RSI broke out. Price would follow. Today gapup opening of 20 rupees visible in 15 min chart has also been filled.
NSE:LLOYDSMELong
by naraykln