NIFTY downside targetsIf we count a single leg for NIFTY, (recent move), we can see Flat Correction.
Wave B is returning from the golden ratio of 61.8%
We will use the Fib extension to find the target of wave C. We can see that the minimum target of 61.8% has already been crossed. Price now moving for the Rule of equality i.e. 100%.
But we can see several Fib clusters near the price range of 23667.40 and 23621.35
So we can expect wave C up to these zones.
This analysis is done using Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Fibonaccianalysis
Low risk buying in RELIANCEA low-risk high probability buying setup is forming in RELIANCE.
Price is taking support at the cluster of 38.2% retracement, 100% extension of Flat correction, and trendline in red.
If the price enters and sustains in the blue channel, showing bullish pressure, it will provide a good buying opportunity with a stop loss below the recent low.
Morning Star at several Fib clusters in HINDPETRO Wave C of Flat correction has fulfilled the rule of equality (Wave A and Wave C are equal).
There is also a Fib level of fib retracement of the previous impulse at this level.
We can also see the Morning Star pattern forming at this cluster.
This suggests a high probability of a buy trade in HINDPETRO .
Stop-loss for this trade can be put below 61.8%, i.e., around 360 level.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Adani Power - Perfect Fibonacci Trade SetupAdani Power Trade Setup
The fibonacci setup is giving a very good trade setup for this stock.
the MACD trend lines are about to move up showcasing the end of downward cycle and it's perfectly setting on the fibonacci setup.
Wait for a day or two for the movement in the upward direction and take an entry in the stock with a price target of 895.
the trade is having a ratio of 1:3.6
Unlock KNRCON’s : Riding the Bullish Breakout to New HighKNR Construction Ltd (KNRCON), a few key features can be observed:
Weekly High: Around 415
Weekly Low: Around 202.53
Current Price: Around 352.95
Breakout Structure (BOS): The stock seems to have experienced a breakout above resistance.
Here’s a potential trading strategy based on the current data:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Level: ~415 (near the weekly high) – if the stock moves towards this level, it could face selling pressure.
Support Level: ~308 (50% Fibonacci retracement) – this can act as a strong buy zone in case of a correction.
Long-term Support: ~202 (weekly low) – strong support level.
2. Entry Strategy:
Breakout Trading: Since the stock has broken out from a previous resistance (BOS), a good entry point would be around the current price (352.95), with a target near the next resistance level (415).
Pullback Entry: If the stock retraces, consider entering around the 50% retracement level (308) with a stop loss below the next support level (255).
3. Stop Loss:
For an aggressive trade, place the stop loss around 308.
For a more conservative approach, place the stop loss around 255 (75% Fibonacci retracement).
4. Target Levels:
First Target: ~388 (previous highs)
Second Target: ~415 (weekly high)
Long-Term Target: If momentum remains strong, potential breakout beyond 415 could lead to a higher upside.
BITCOIN: Elliott Wave & ChannelGreetings, everyone.😉
I would like to present a scenario for your consideration, grounded in "Elliott Wave Theory" .
✔️ Wave initiated from the 15K level: Classified as a "Double Zigzag"
✔️ Current wave in development: Y-c-3
✔️ Projected upward range: 93K ~ 101K
The rationale behind this analysis is as follows:
Zigzag patterns typically move within a parallel channel.
The first zigzag wave, which started from the 15K level, adhered precisely to this parallel channel.
As a result, the likelihood of a complex correction occurring is considerably high.
Based on these observations, I have constructed this particular scenario. It is an illustrative representation of potential market behavior, grounded in established technical principles.
Wishing you all the best of luck🍀
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Adani Energy - Heavy Supp & Ress with 4 yr long Fibonacci SetupAnalysed the Adani Energy solutions on a weekly chart
there is a 4 year long gap to be filled - Fibonacci setup.
However from last 1 year, the price has been seeing a heavy resistance and support at the entry zone, which somehow makes the entire Fibonacci setup little week.
The coming week or two, may still see a downfall and hot the support level of 975-970, if continued, it may hit a second resistance of 955-950.
at this stage, the trend is also hanging towards more sellers keen to liquidate their positions. Hence this may drive the price downwards towards its support.
Once the price sustain the support level, price may hit its first sub resistance of 1190. It may also continue to hit its second main resistance level of 1265
I shall keep updating the weekly analysis.
Ashok LeylandHello & welcome to this analysis
Stock is in a strong uptrend which has now come close to its weekly upper channel with a bearish harmonic deep crab pattern in the daily time frame.
Strong support between 180-150 while resistance at 210
It would be a buy the dip stock or fresh additions above the weekly channel
Happy Investing
LONG TERM VIEW FOR ALKYL AMINESOn monthly basis, price has made a significant correction and is currently at the Fibonacci level of 0.618, which is the "Golden Ratio" for a price. The whole area from 2000 to 2150 is a huge demand zone for the buyers to accumulate in bits. The price will confirm it's change of structure above 2800 on a higher timeframe.
TIME CYCLE AND FIBONACCI SPIRAL" GOD MUST BE A MATHEMATICIAN " If we look at the construction of universe and movements of the planets & other celestial objects movements, flowering & fruiting cycles in trees etc. everything has a pattern and they are cyclical in nature. That very same assumption is applied and works well in stock market, commodities and forex as well.
Identifying the time zones of a stocks is a pure trial and error method where one needs to find the high and low making cycle of a particular stock manually. Here NLC INDIA LTD has been taken as an example and a Price and Time analysis has been done on monthly chart using Time Zones & Fibonacci Spiral for future support and hypothetical path identification.
The lows of the trend labelled as W, X,Y in rectangular spots. Point "X" has been formed 79 Months after the point "W". But magically Point "Y" has been formed after 79 months after Point "X"
The highs of the trend are labelled as A & B in circular spot. Point "B" has been formed 79 Months after Point "A". Looking at the cycle of 79 Months in the Lows and Highs Formation we can make an assumption that the next high ( Point "C" ) would be after 79 Months from Point "B" ie. Dec 2023.
Fibonacci Spiral is a natural pattern that can be seen everywhere in nature including flowers, pinecones, hurricanes and even huge spiral galaxies in space. This is rarely used but useful pattern in charts for finding expected supports and resistance. In this chart we can see that after the formation of low at Point "Y", with the help of Fibonacci Spiral we have a continuous expected support. Till now after 2.5 Years the monthly closing of a single candle has never been below the Fibonacci Spiral(try to adjust the X axis of the chart incase you don't see a perfect fit) .So the fact if Fibonacci Spiral used wisely can be a useful pattern for finding support and resistance levels cannot be denied.
Currently NLC INDIA LTD is at resistance of the trendline drawn from the previous 2 highs ie. Point "A" & "B". Hopefully it will breakout because stock increases at a increasing near its high, which hasn't happened yet with this stock. Till now NLC_INDIA is far away from its expected high according to the time cycle and Trend based fibonacci retracement level. The gann level of 1.33 is at 136.55 by Trend based fibonacci retracement and the expected time is Dec 2023 time cycle. Thus this is how a hypothetical conclusion can be drawn that NLC INDIA LTD will attain a price level of 136.55 by DEC 2023.
Recently a study was done on NIFTY, predicting perfectly the low making day and the target date for NIFTY proving that time cycles works very well with indices and stocks.Link has been given below.
STUDY & ANALYSIS
ADARSH KUMAR DEY
Jaiprakash Power(JPPOWER) Stock Targets 10.90 and 11.95The current price stands at 9.90. After conducting a three-week analysis, I've identified a promising trade opportunity for Jaiprakash Power Ventures Ltd (JPPOWER) stock. My evaluation indicates two potential profit targets: the first set at 10.90 and the second at 11.95. It's crucial to establish a clear stop-loss level to effectively manage risks.
Trade Idea: Consider taking a long position on JPPOWER stock for a three-week period, with the first profit target set at 10.90 and the second at 11.95. Implement a well-defined stop-loss strategy to manage risks effectively.
1st Target --> 10.90
2nd Target --> 11.95
Best regards,
Kambi
My analysis on Dr Reddys chart ?From 20 trading sessions the price has been trading in a range of two important Fibonacci levels. Also the short-term and long-term ema's bands are flattened in the same range. So, currently there is no trend. For an uptrend the price has to breakout the level of 5700 and for a downtrend the price has to breakdown the level of 5400. For another confirmation of a trend after breakout or breakdown we have to check for the crossover of ema bands.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell. This material is for education purposes only.
Thanks
S. Simranjit Singh Virdi
Breakout in a Agro Business Stock.Breakout of the resistance level and moving averages indicates an up-move. But it's possible only if the price sustains above the level of 616, then the price could move 3 to 4%.
Disclaimer: This is my pre-market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
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Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
Nifty Futures, Levels - 9 OctUpside Trade Zone:
If price sustains above the level of 19678 then it could move towards 19715 and then 19745.
Downside Trade Zone:
If the price gives a breakdown of 19678 and sustains there then we could see the levels of 19617.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
United Breweries (UBL) Daily ChartChart Type: Heikin Ashi
Timeframe: Daily
Technical Data:
Support Zone: 1535 to 1551
Upside Target 1: 1602
Upside Target 2: 1687
Downside Target 1: 1472
Trendline: Positive
1472 Level : Strong Support
Moving Averages: negative
Bollinger Bands:
Volatility Range: 1502 to 1669
Nifty Futures : Overall market positioning and important levels.Chart type : Heikin Ashi
Time frame: Daily
Tools Used:
Fibonacci for levels.
Heikin Ashi candles for momentum.
Moving averages for the behavior of the price.
Analysis:
We have a series of continuous red HA candles which indicates the weakness in momentum. Also the price is trading below the first band of moving averages. The next important level to watch is 23.60% retracement level which is 19412
Thanks
S. Simranjit Singh Virdi
(Independent Trader)
ROUNDING BOTTOM IN COCHINSHIPStock is trading at all time high and formed a Price Action Pattern Rounding Bottom, wait for stock to give a strong Breakout.
CMP : 678
Target : 757
Target 2: 853
Target 3 : 963
Stoploss : 639
This is not a buy or sell call, this analysis is shared for educational purpose.
HTF - GOLD - HAS LOST ITS SHINE?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular precious metal "GOLD / XAU" could look like.
For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month - week - day) and thus makes the big picture visible.
Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing.
> We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations.
> If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets.
> This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture.
> I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. .
table of contents
1st part = INTRODUCTION
2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
= Monthly - Time frame
= Weekly - Time frame
= Dayly - Time frame
3rd part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"INTRODUCTION"
After "XAU/USD" formed a double top between 2020-2022, a strong sell-off has been unleashed thereafter.
> This sell-off paused in October this year to test the strength of it.
> With a subsequent bullish monthly candle, many retail investors now feel on the safe side that new highs will be reached.
> Here I do not want to take away the joy, but the big picture does not suggest anything like that.
> Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher timeframes, the following sell-off in gold is "indirectly" confirmed.
(My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.)
GOLD SAFE HARBOUR .
If you follow popular wisdom, GOLD is classified as a safe and reliable haven.
SPEAKING LIKE ...
> "All that glitters is not gold."
> "Talk is silver, silence is gold."
> "Much gold, much future."
That, the precious metal gold got such a high value awarded - HAD - its reasons.
> Inflation protection and security - are definitely the two most associated words with this precious metal.
Unfortunately, at the latest, since the year 2021, this no longer seems to apply.
> If one compares the loss of inflation and the gain in value of gold, a significant gap can be seen, at which there can no longer be any talk of "inflation compensation".
> Gold will therefore no longer live up to its reputation and a rethinking of its value will have to take place in the future.
SECOND PART
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle.
> MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level
These are divided into
> SUMMARY > CHARTS
The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way.
1st MONTH – Time frame
SUMMARY
The trend channel plotted on the chart formed in March|2007 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market.
> Price is in the area below the mean line and had last touched the channel in 2018.
> September|2020 the price ran into the mid-line but was not strong enough. This becomes very clear when looking at the moving away middle line despite the "double top".
> The trend arc is another resistance, which should be taken into account for a future downward movement.
If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two zones in the chart.
> The "SUPPLY" zone is VERY STRONG because it is a RBD (Rally Base Drop).
> The "DEMAND" zone is VERY WEAK, as it is a DBD (Drop-Base-Drop).
> If we get another rise in the DXY, the drawn "DEMAND" zone will break and the sell-off will continue.
The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been proved in past moves (last decades) .
> Should the price rise even further, FIB (1) will serve as a Strong Resistance Zone, although the "FIB Zone = 0.75-0.88 - is the Strongest Resistance. (1)
> If the sell-off continues, FIB (2) cannot do much in the monthly chart, but if necessary there will be a reaction on the "smaller" time levels.
> The FIB (3) = 1.618 level, will resemble a large magnet and in combination with the FIB (4), will trigger a large resistance reaction in the market.
Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, of which we have three.
> HIGH | 08/20 - Already showed a reaction (double top).
> HIGH | 09/11 - Point of Control
> LOW | 03/21 - Broken and recaptured
Points and levels of interest are in front of us, which have played a strong role for the market since 2011 .
> The most significant resistance, represents the plotted - POI (1800 USD), which is still contested at the time of this analysis.
> The other POIs have non-negligible resistance and support characteristics and should be kept in mind.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Trend lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Market Structure Break
XAU - Fibonacci
XAU - POI
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
2nd WEEK – Time frame
SUMMARY
In addition to the already mentioned trend channel, now three more become visible, which may have escaped the one or the other.
> The "Purple" trend channel formed at the same time as its big brother (monthly channel) and thus represents a major significance for the market.
We are at the middle line of the channel and the market seems to have used it as support.
> The "Turquoise" trend channel accompanies us since the last high and has a big say with its many interactions.
My guess is that its resistance line will decide whether the sell-off will continue or be broken with confirmation.
> The "Earth-colored" trend channel is a small sideways accumulation and accompanies us in this area.
Currently, the price has fought its way back into the channel, confirmed it and is now targeting the top of the sideways channel.
> The "Orange colored" trend line , has been respected since 2018, 07|2022 broken.
The price suggests that the trend line is approaching for a final retest.
The additional "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched.
As additional Fibonacci additions, we have:
> The 0.88 FIB (1), combined with the levels from the FIB (2). This represents with the 0.88 levels from FIB (2) - two very relevant resistance ranges.
> FIB (3) is only valid if the price does not rise further and therefore the input values do not change. Should this be the case, the 0.786 + 0.88 area is the most important to watch out for.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Overall picture + Month
XAU - Trend Channels + Trend Lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES
XAU - Fibonacci
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
3rd DAY – Time frame
SUMMARY
The chart shows a falling triangle which has been broken .
> As a result, the price has confirmed this break, with a close at the break point.
> At this time level, there will be a sell-off, especially if the DXY rises.
To give a little comment on the "Supply & Demand" zones:
> The upper two "SUPPLY" zones are definitely very strong. 1800 + 1980.
> The bottom "DEMAND" zone is very strong, as it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) zone. (ca. 1640 - ca. 1615)
> The "DEMAND" zones in between are incidental, will trigger small reactions on the lower time frames, but nothing significant. (ca. 1760 - ca. 1660)
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture + Month + Week
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Trend Lines
THIRD PART
CONCLUSION
"The central banks, themselves, are behind the gold price manipulation. What should you get out of it?"
Run this question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely.
> Another sell-off or a positive gold price for now?
In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a weak GOLD price .
> If you look at the area between 1,950 USD - 1,840 USD, it almost seems like an arm guarding the upper levels.
> To bring down this defense, I think, needs more momentum than what we have and are getting right now. (Christmas, New Year, Chinese New Year)
For this reason, I expect a weak gold rate and a strong USD, and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets.
> Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT .
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea.
Thank you and happy trading!
Short term trade setup in TataSteelThe chart is self-explanatory, with all levels marked for Short term trade setup in TataSteel.
Note for everyone who came across this study:
This chart is only for educational purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
#TITAN Weekly double bottomTitan after my previous sell signal (related idea section), and achieving the downside target is now making Weekly double bottom with a better elevated (green) trendline support from the previous one (brown), signifying bulls are much more active.
Double bottom has also come at a good Fibo support zone of 50 to 61.8% retracement levels from June low bottom to recent high made in Oct.
On daily tf, price is consolidating near resistance / neckline of double bottom placed around 2545 and if it breaks out post good consolidation that would mean a significant rally on upside can come in this stock.
It has previously given a falling trendline resistance breakout in July'22 and stock rallied for almost 30-35% from there on and similar falling trendline resistance breakout is visible now.
Overall, the setup looks very strong and having a bullish bias in it.
Keep it in radar