Principle of convergence in FibonacciIf we take two recent swing lows and swing highs and draw Fibonacci Retracement levels for getting a clear idea of possible retracements then there are following possibilities.
1. Nifty has two retracement levels in close proximities, which coincides with each other.
2. First Retracement level of 18030-18080 is already completed. If Nifty Sustains, will move up.
3. If Nifty breaks this level of Retracement, then it might lead to next retracement level of 17480-17576.(buy Put or sell Future)
Fibonacci Retracement
NIFTY OUTLOOK- Oct 9th 2022 the low making date for NIFTY was mentioned as 13 or 14th OCt 2022. The low was made on 13th Oct and NIFTY resumed upside.
- The target for the upside rally was mentioned approximately 18900 on 24th Oct 2022.
- Nifty achieved a high of 18887 on 1st Dec 2022 (Just 13pts away)
Currently we can see a completion of 55 Days time cycle and a small reversal( which is not confirmed yet) where nifty generally reverses for a intermediate bottom formation. Moreover NIFTY is a Fibo level 1.618 of the downside rally during Sept month . So the scenario we can expect if 18900 level is not taken out is the target remains to be 18181 .
A second confirmation can also be drawn from S&P_500 where it is in a Wolfe Wave but near 2-4 Tl (taken as a resistance most of the times). This adds on to the probability for the NIFTY for a small correction if the global markets turns hawkish only for a small time being. The chart of S&P_500 has been given below :
Link to Oct 9th 2022 study mentioning low making date for NIFTY was mentioned as 13 or 14th OCt 2022:
Link to 24th Oct 2022 study mentioning target for the upside rally was mentioned approximately 18900 :
CHART & ANALYSIS - ADARSH DEY
Breakout retest or fibo 0.618 support Eicher motors very good setup
in an uptrend retest ATH breakout level
and fibo 0.618 level
one can look for buy opportunity
sl as mentioned or as per your system
i am not a sebi register adviser
its my own analysis
pls make sure you do your analysis dont jump on the trade
NIFTY OUTLOOKIn the previous NIFTY OUTLOOK Nifty was expected to be range bound within the zone 17442-17561 for continuously 3 days Nifty was range bound with closing in the mentioned range. And on Thursday evening I expected a breakout and I thank NIFTY for respecting the expectation on Friday market opening.
Currently NIFTY is expected to open gap up on the occasion of Muhurat trading . And this gap up is expected to be a Break away Gap as well. It may trade sideways and then come down towards the previous close to form a Pivot Point. Once the pivot point is identified I would update the same in this post .The upcoming resistance level would be 17850-900 level as it is an important Support and Resistance level and it is the 78.6 % retracement level of the entire downside trend from NIFTY's all time high.
A long term view for NIFTY could be seen in this way ,As majority of the global market indices haven't even retraced 50% of the entire downtrend, any bullishness in them could push the indian markets even higher towards 18900.
CHART & ANALYSIS BY - ADARSH DEY
Link to my Previous Idea:
Shriram Transport finance Long ideaShriram transport Fin can long as it is trading in parallel channel for target 1220++ soon