Fibonacci Retracement
TATAPOWER Analysis 18/11/21; S&RTata Power is building support at current levels of 236-237.
At point 1, we can see a STRONG SUPPORT LEVEL (Trendline support in parallel channel as well as Fibonacci Retracement 0.236 support level.)
As we have already seen previously, TATA POWER has taken support and bounced back from these levels a few days back.
If the stock sustains and respects this strong support level, then a further upmove is expected. Levels can be seen from the colourful fibonacci extension charts. Stock has already seen a resistance in this zone, early this morning. You can go long here for targets till 250 and further to 270+ (Its ATH).
Even if stock remains in this channel, we can for sure look for an high till stock touches upper band in this channel.
** I am not SEBI Registered advisor. Kindly consult before taking trade. **
NIFTY OUTLOOKPreviously in NIFTY Outlook (7th Nov 2021) post:
-18098 was the first target, it is achieved on 9th Nov very accurately and market reversed to retest support afterwards.
-17763 was the mentioned support, Nifty was saved by almost 40 Points.
-Today Nifty tried to breach the first target (18098) with a Gap up but was unable to sustain above it.
-The second target remains to be at 18342.
(LINK TO THE PREVIOUS NIFTY Outlook (7th Nov 2021) IS GIVEN BELOW)
Now:
-The chart setup is still the same, only addition is the dashed black line which would act as resistance from now and support once it crosses above it to achieve the second target of 18342. The real bullish scenario would be created only if NIFTY crosses above the black dashed line.
-NIFTY has to close above 18098 and trade above it anyhow to achieve 18342, or else it would be a difficult scenario.
- DOW JONES is definitely in a doubtful situation,hopefully it would be clear soon. So please Stay Cautious. Always trade with proper SL in F&O Segment.
CHART & ANALYSIS – ADARSH DEY
LINK TO THE PREVIOUS NIFTY Outlook :
U-TURN Resistance converts into Support (EDUCATIONAL -AARTIIND) Aarti Ind. ltd. This stock has taken Resistance twice at same level, then it consolidated as a parallel channel at that same zone,
and then it given good breakout from parallel channel along with good intensity of volume,
Now it has retraced almost 78.6%, co-incidentally (1) same resistance zone, (2) Parallel channel's top, (3) Support trend line and (4) 200 DEMA, all are there at similar point location, All these 5 conditions met at same level that can provide good support. This scenario makes probabilities very strong each time. where stop loss is too low and Reward is too Good.
Overall scenario
Perfectly U-turn from valid fibonaccy level 0.786%
Daily macd line uptick and also converging towards positive
Good support zone
Support providing 100DEMA also at same responding zone
Parallel channel scenario
Support Trend line
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
I am not responsible for your profits and losses
ICICI BANK case studyIcici bank spot cmp 763
counter gave a gap up opening few days a go,, but the opening candle of particular day was not crossed and there was no follow through buying,
now counter have reversed and filled the gap,, currently around demand zone of gap levels and golden means retracement ratio of previous swing.
very small candle formation around lower levels with low volume
divergence on rsi on all lower time frame till 60 min
RSI over sold on all time frame below 60 mins
reversal in counter possible from current levels
time to cover your shorts and rethink of what can be done..
UPL: Picture abhi baki hai mere DostThe chart is self Explanatory, So i am not going to explain anything more.
And this is an Investment Idea not Trading idea. Those who wants to invest Have patience and add on dips.And for trading purpose 790 is a good level to book profit.
Chart & Analysis By - ADARSH DEY
BIOCON ( Ready for Marathon)BIOCON:
Few key points to note:
- Seems like Wave 4 is completed and Wave 5th have been initiated.
-Respected the Golden Ratio of the prior trend.
- RSI Bullish Divergence (Double Bottom)
- Support taken at 200 Weekly Moving Average & EMA
- Bullish Candlestick pattern formed at Official Level (Golden Ratio) & Moving Averages.
I expect upside reversal in BIOCON from this point. However the trade gets activated once it closes above 350 and the expected target is 421-544-596.Please note, this is a weekly Time Frame chart, it would definitely take time to see the targets being achieved. So have patience if you venture with this stock with an appropriate SL.
CHART & ANALYSIS – ADARSH DEY
HDFC AMC BUY Price 2660 RSI divergence MACD crossoverHDFC AMC has completed its correction and there is crossover in MACD and RSI has also moved from oversold to buy zone . Stock is trading below 200 DMA . Target recommended from Fibonacci retracement .
Target 1 23 % retracement .
Target 2 - 38 % retracement .
SL-2580
(Please note : DO your analysis as I am not Sebi-registered analyst)
JINDAL STEEL & POWER(SHORT TERM BOUNCE)JINDAL STEEL & POWER:
Few key points to note:
- Near the support & resistance trend line
- At golden ratio of prior trend.
- Waves counting are mentioned
- Recently tested 200 EMA
I expect a small bounce from this point for 420-430-447, but we don’t have any reversal signal yet. Once a bullish candle is formed at this level, we can long for the mentioned targets.
However for long term (1 YEAR & ABOVE) I am not bullish on this stock at this point of time because few important parameters are not met.
CHART & ANALYSIS – ADARSH DEY
For Education Only - GBPJPY PairHello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
My analysis on GBPJPY is bullish biased, If you look at daily time frame and draw Fibonacci Retracement from swing low to swing high you can clearly see price tested at 0.62 fib level.
Now if you go to weekly time frame you can see this week was doji and previous week was huge bear candle so now I'm expecting bullish candle in next week because it can form a morning star in weekly time frame if it gonna be so.
Now open 1H time frame and look at that 1H rejection candle at 0.62 fib level drawn on daily time frame which gives us a little strong indication of what the analysis is,
and that weekly doji is now consolidation in 1H time frame, there are key zones also at 0.62 fib level in daily which makes it area of confluence.
NOTE : COMMENT DOWN BELOW IF YOU NEED DIFFERENT TIME FRAME CHARTS.
Disclaimer : Don't blindly follow anyone's analysis, research on your own then trade.
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JSW Steel looks weak…JSW Steel looks weak…
Reasons/Traits :
• Ascending triangle formation seen
• Below 50 EMA
• Price moving between 0.236 and 0.382 retracements levels since few days from recent high
• Constantly falling RSI
• Force index 3 is greater than 0 and Force index 13 is less than 0
• ADX negative is greater than ADX positive
What can happen next :
Scenario 1 : Price sustaining above 690/692 levels can take it to 700/720/730/740/750/760 levels
Scenario 2 : Price break down below 665 can take it down to 645/630/610/595 levels
Sharp movement can be seen if training pattern is broken
Disclaimer : This analysis is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
IB Real Estate Fib Retracement 38.2% levelsIB Real Estate recently hit its all time high around 195-196 zones. After this upmove, stock corrected to its 38.2% levels i.e. around 177-178 zones. This zone has previously also acted as a strong support (demand zone) for the stock. This time also the stock has respected this support level and bounced back from it. A strong sustained support from the current levels can lead the stock towards its all time highs. I am personally bullish on this stock.
*** I am not SEBI Registered Advisor, do consult before taking trade. ***
Tata Power Fibonacci Retracement SupportOn the 1H chart, we draw Fibonacci taking swing highs and swing lows. It's clearly visible that TaPo takes support at 0.236 retracements. If it sustains and respects these support levels, a further upmove to the levels where it faced resistance (i.e. the recent high tested yesterday 10/11/21).
Ultratech Cement On final push then fall aheadUltratech Cement had stellar rally from 2900 to 8000+ looks to be heading max 8532 which is max possible upside for it as wave 5.
Then a corrective wave will start towards 6300 which is 0.382 fibonacci levels.
Notice MACD Negative Divergence price making higher high and MACD higher lows.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis.
NIFTY OUTLOOKIn my previous Nifty Outlook post the findings were that we should expect a reversal of this point and as it is last day of the month(29th Oct) so I expect the correction to be over. And thankfully market respected the pattern and till now it hasn't breached the Low of 29th Oct.
The link for the previous study:
Now during this entire fall, luckily a Bullish wolfe wave has been spotted. And recently on 3rd November NIFTY has tested the 135 TL successfully by making a low exactly at 135 TL. The first target is 18098. The next target is the P4 ie.18342. A good up-move and market wide participation will be seen only above 18324.
The bigger targets will be updated once NIFTY crosses above 18342.
Chart & Analysis - ADARSH DEY