Recession Incoming? Here is what the technicals say
US10Y-TVC:US02Y
Economists: Recession incoming!
World Leaders: Recession is out of the books.
Whom to believe? Here is my analysis from a technical standpoint👇
As someone who believes in data driven decision making, the technicals point towards a recession. How so?
When the difference between the 10 year bond yield and 2 year bond yield becomes negative, it is known as an 'Inversion in bond yield curve' and this inversion has been a strong indicator in predicting recession.
Since this chart (US10Y-US02Y) started back in 1976, whenever the curve went into the negative zone, we experienced a recession shortly after.
So the question now is, are we in the negative zone? YES!
Recession incoming? Most likely yes!
To all my connections in the field of finance especially, I'd love to know your thoughts on the same below in the comments 👇
Follow AVZ_Trades for more such content
#finance #data #recession #bonds
Finance
Bajaj Finance Price Action Analysis - Aug-2022In Daily time frame Bajaj Finance was observed in the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern
A Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern is a chart pattern formed from two downward trendlines in the form wedge shape, above and below a price representing resistance and support levels. The Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern is also known as a falling broadening wedge pattern. The upper line is identified first, as running along with the highs and is called the trendline. When the price is around the upper trend line, look for short opportunities, although aggressive traders could trade long and short at both trend lines looking for a bounce or pullback.
From the chart above, we can clearly see that the trend is getting a break with good volume and a strong uptrend. It shows more bullishness in the current trend structure
Currently, Bjajaj FInance is at Rs7209. If the pattern continues, the price of Bajaj FInance might reach the resistance level of Rs 8041 If the trend reverses, then the price of Bajaj Finance may fall to Rs 5930
Shri Ram City Union A long term breakout in this stock with SL of 1450 CB one can enter for target of 2000,2250,2450
BTC/USD - Quarterly OverviewThe past financial quarter didn’t go as expected. We did witness the emergence of humongous selling pressure in the overall market conditions including Bitcoin. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has almost retraced about 60% considering the high of Q2 2022 and the current market price. Although the downfall wasn’t a steeped one, BTC found support levels at regular intervals when it broke below $45K for the first time in the quarter.
Considering the moving averages, BTC is trading below MA-10, MA-50, and MA-100 which certainly reflects the prevailing bearish sentiment. The price level had attempted to develop sustainability above MA-10 on multiple occasions but failed to have a formidable bounceback. MA-50 is currently acting as a temporary resistance level while MA-100 lies far beyond the current price action.
The RSI level also faced multiple dips toward the oversold region, especially during the last month of the quarter, and currently showcasing negative nature. The MACD level mostly spent the quarter below the histogram which again reflects the bearish sentiment. Currently, it is looking for a breakout above the histogram.
Overall, bears are certainly having a grip over the market conditions. If BTC continues to sustain below the crucial psychological mark of $20K, one might expect more downfall. In that case, support levels can be placed at $18K and $16K. On the contrary, resistance levels can be placed at $22K and $24K.
POSITIONAL - FALLING WEDGE PATTERN IN ANTONY WASTE HDG CELL LTD.NSE:AWHCL
AWHCL trading a little above life low and charts are signaling bullish reversal.
it has formed a falling wedge pattern and a breakout with good momentum is done.
now if it breaks the previous consolidated range/ or say previous swing high and managed to close a daily candle above 300 price then we can initiate new long position and the time frame would be 8-12 weeks to get our target levels.
All levels are marked on the chart.
"If you would like any more information feel free to DM me"
if you like this analysis please like and comment on idea.
happy trading & keep learning.
Panamapet - Weekend Analysis - Short term breakoutStudy
- Based on fundamentals Current price doesn't look good for entry
Possible Trades
- Enter between 277 and look for target -of 325
- Risky trade 1:2 Ratio
- Will hit the target in next few sessions
* Correction - Buy at 277
Thanks
- Stock Explorers
India bulls Housing Finance If weekly support is being maintained then we can see a push to the upside at 330.00 level.
If weekly support is broken then we can see a push to the downside at 155.00 level.