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Finnifty

#Finnifty"Today, May 2nd, the global market is indicating a positive start with a bullish market sentiment. It may begin with a gap-up. After that, if the market sustains, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor consolidation. On the other hand, the initial market might be rejected, but structurally it shouldn't lead to a big correction. We can expect a minimum correction of 23% to 38%. If it breaks 38%, then we will wait for good confirmation before initiating a short sell."
NSE:CNXFINANCELong
by Manickamtraders
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 27th, the global market is indicating a neutral to slightly negative start, with a moderately bullish market sentiment. If the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, we can expect a continuation of the rally. Alternatively, if the initial market consolidates, a diagonal pattern may emerge. However, if the market structurally breaks yesterday's minor low, we can expect a flat correction, which may be complicated in nature. Therefore, if you are a conservative trader, it is advisable to wait for good confirmation."
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
PostMortem on BankNifty & Analysis of 25 APR 2023 + Finnifty EXPFor traders who are playing NSE:BANKNIFTY expiries on Thursdays can play the same trades on FinNifty on Tuesdays. The margin requirements are lower and now since the option premiums are staying low - the ROI in finnifty is better than banknifty. Today was a flat day, open was at 42731 and then it was struggling to keep the momentum up. We had a gradual rise upto 42865 by 11.20 and then we started falling.  The fall itself was not convincing, only a 196pts dip & then it got bought into. This time we did not take the swing high but maxed out at 42827 @ 14.40. The second fall was showing a bit more strength but we ran out of time, we had a dip of 220pts from 14.40 to 15.20 Even after all this banknifty still closed in green, up 42pts. The expiry on Fininfty would have played its part which we will discuss shortly. --- 15 mts TF also showing a bit of tiredness after a good session yesterday. Will banknifty protect the 42576 support is what we need to look at. In spite of all the bullishness yesterday I seriously thought we might have a retest of 42576 today. --- 1hr TF has made a rounded top as of now. Its not confirmation of a top as-it-is. We would need further price action to confirm that. The signs of momentum tiredness was visible in last 4 candles of today. --- Coming to the NSE:CNXFINANCE expiry, 18971 SR zone was active today. There were 3 tests on the 15mts TF today. I was ready with the 18900 PUT option but the support break came in very late ~ 15.15 today. At 12.30 the same put option was active and might have continued to be in the money if not for the quick rejection candle at 12.45 wherein it recovered 0.24%. This SR zone was impacting the movements on the banknifty as well. For the expiry traders it was a perfect day as the closing was flat and they would have got the max bang for the straddles.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Finnifty Chart Analysis for 24 April Finnifty Chart Analysis for analyzing key Price levels where the Market has Previously Reacted Finnifty Next Support Zones for Long Trade First Support Zone For Finnifty – 18675 – 18685 Second Support Zone For Finnifty – 18555 – 18565 Third Support Zone For Finnifty – 18450 – 18464 Finnifty Next Resistance Zones for Short Trade First Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18852 – 18860 Second Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18955 – 18970 Third Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 19070 – 19080 Importent Signal from finnifty Option Chain Analysis PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 0.70 ( Bearish ) Max Pain as per Option Chain Analysis – 18750 Major Resistance as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 18900 Major Support as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 18600
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by manojshinde27
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 18 APR 2023One thing I noticed this week is the variance in volatility of Nifty50 vs BankNifty. On 99 out of 100 trading days - Banknifty used to have a higher volatility than Nifty & you know what higher volatility brings to the options trading. Yes - option premium anomaly. Probably this variance was there earlier too, since I trade on BankNifty all the time - I rarely check the Nifty50 and FinNifty option premiums. But from the begining of April series - the option premiums were unusually low. I suspected it could be due to the high number of holidays this month. The reality was something different, NSE:BANKNIFTY was trading in a stable manner and the choppiness was visible in Nifty - this uncertainty made Nifty50 more susceptible to unusual option premiums. Banknifty stayed in a range today, the price moves from open to 13.05 was perfectly inline with the trend that was set from the last 3 sessions. Let me zoom out and highlight it. See the blue line, its almost a perfect straight line, the price action after 13.10 caused a blip. A fall of 387pts from the HOD to the LOD.  And why I said bank nifty was showing more signs of stability, this fall got arrested and the final closing was flat with a greenish tint. Whereas NSE:NIFTY showed weakness today also, not because of the IT sector (In fact IT was up 0.59%).  --- 15mts shows no major weakness so far. The chart is still bullish. As long as 41624 is still intact - the chart will not reverse direction. --- 1hr also is looking decently good, Just the 13.15 candle stands out from the trade today. If NSE:NIFTY shows further weakness ahead - I am not quite sure how long NSE:BANKNIFTY can stay in green. --- Just like we started discussing Finnifty Expiry from the last week - lets do it every Tuesdays henceforth. I took the expiry trades today & once the HDFC- NSE:HDFCBANK merger completes - it will be really exciting to trade NSE:CNXFINANCE because the top 4 weightage providing stocks will be the same. So we can take part in 2 expiry days in the same week. This is a blessing for anyone who is actively following the financial sector & banks in India. NSE:CNXFINANCE stayed in the range from the open to 13.25 today. The breakdown from the range came at 13.30, but anyone who looked at the red candles would have taken the trade in the short side. This fall also did not last that long, the LOD was at 13.45 and we closed more or less near the lows. The anomaly came in when the banks were doing good, but the HDFC & BAJFINANCE, BAJFINSV were pulling the index down. Thats why we had a flat day for NSE:BANKNIFTY vs red day for Finnifty. FinNifty support is at 18722 which is where it took support today. Yesterday also the first hourly candle took support at this same level. If this breaks the next support comes at 18458.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Finnifty on make or break level Finnifty has formed a strong bullish engulfing pattern and appears poised to breach a trendline resistance. If the current bullish momentum persists, there may be significant short covering, leading to a potential price target of 18930. However, it should be noted that a bearish stance may be warranted should Finnifty fall below 18820, depending on evolving market conditions. It might go sideways as well. I'll suggest to scalp today; watchout before entering have a strict SL.
NSE:CNXFINANCELong
by Doinel33
#Finnifty"On the trading day of April 18th, the global market is indicating a slightly negative start, and the market sentiment is moderately bullish. Structurally, there is a lower probability for a big rally, but if the market initially shows a strong pullback, we can consider that the pullback will turn into a rally continuation. However, the immediate upside key level will be a potential rejection point. On the other hand, if there is an initial decline, we can expect a correction."
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
FIN NIFTY can start trend reversal very soon @ next selling zoneNSE:CNXFINANCE FIN NIFTY is fast approaching the major selling zone marked in red color with 2 minor support areas marked in blue, if we get a negative daily closing @ the selling zone then only we can start planning for short positions for holding, if fin nifty breaks the first support, then we can wait to see bounce back from seconf support zone and enter in short position at the retest of first support zone from below ,now that support should act as resistance area, if fin again sustains above the support then avoid short till it comes below support again. once we break second support also, then we can expect to see our first target quickly.
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by ajinkyadiwakar717
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 13th: The global market is indicating a neutral to slightly negative start, with a moderately bullish market nature. It may begin with a neutral sentiment similar to yesterday's structure. If the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, we can expect a continuation of the rally. However, if the pullback occurs slowly and consolidates, it could indicate distribution and a correction may be expected when it rejects the major resistance zone. Conversely, if the initial market declines sharply, a correctional wave is likely, and the market should 38% fib level. If the market breaks 38%, we can expect a minimum of 78% to the extension level of 1.27. On the other hand, if the decline doesn't break 38%, it could be a sign of a range market and a continuation of the rally."
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 12th: The global market indicates a neutral start with a bullish sentiment. If the initial market takes a sharp pullback, we can expect a rally continuation. and if the pullback takes place slowly and consolidates, that's a sign of distribution, and we can expect a correction when it rejects the major resistance zone. On the other hand, if the initial market declines sharply, we can expect a correctional wave. that should break fib level 38%. and if the market breaks 38%, then we can expect a minimum of 78% to the extension level of 1.27. or if the decline doesn't break 38%, that's a sign of a range market to rally continuation.
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by Manickamtraders
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 11 APR 2023 Banknifty had a mega pre-open boost by NSE:KOTAKBANK , it was up 5% by 09.10 which indicated the bears will get their bones crushed today. Contrary to the popular belief, Kotak bank has the 3rd most weightage to bank nifty above SBIN and NSE:AXISBANK even though kotak has lower net interest income. And today's 5% gap up due to the MSCI news spelled real trouble. Bank nifty opened gap up at 41232 and had a massive 1st 5mts candle. There was a price swing of 297pts in the opening 5mts. What it created was a break away gap negating the downward sloping pattern from 6th. The jump in volumes also proved we had a sentiment shift too. Was the MSCI news a big trigger - I do not think so, but it really helped the bulls breakout from the bearish grip. Also it would have spoiled few CE seller's Finnifty expiry. There was also a healthy rally to take out the resistance at 41311, NSE:ICICIBANK , NSE:SBIN all helped to close bank nifty with a lead of 531pts. --- 15mts is showing the break out quite decently. And this is formed above the channel top line which will give it good momentum. Yesterday we discussed the possibility that the bears may want to take control and bring NSE:BANKNIFTY to the range - well, that is not going to happen very soon. The last time we had a breakaway ie on 31 Mar 2023, the volume spiked. Today also the volume was considerably higher than usual. And also note, the stock market is heavily skewed in favor of bulls. Everybody like to make money and push prices up. Only few people like me prefer to find contrarian trends - mostly on the bearish side. --- 1hr is showing the trend channel breakout quite clearly. See the break away from the purple downward sloping line. Till yesterday we had a hope to get trades below 40700 levels and stay in the bearish medium-term trend. The only hope for bears now is to watch out for the US CPI data tomorrow. A massive sell off could bring back NSE:BANKNIFTY back to realistic levels of 40700 or lower. --- I will also be covering Finnifty charts on Tuesdays wherein we have the weekly expiry NSE:CNXFINANCE has a similar chart to bank nifty, that makes it quite interesting to take expiry trades just as we do on Thursdays. The W pattern indicated in blue highlight was formed in the same similar fashion. Today's trade happened above the recent swing high ie from 06 Mar 2023, this again is a breakout style of trade. Just as when NSE:BANKNIFTY falls below the 40700 levels, we can expect finnifty to fall below the 18246 SR zone and continue its range trade. But if that does not happen soon, then the only way we can look is to handle the bullish momentum.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Finnifty - Prediction & Intraday Levels for - 11 Apr 2023Fin Nifty Tomorrow: Fin Nifty aligned with Negative/Bearish Sentiment and made BIG red candle in Daily TF which indicates BEARISH short term Trend Reversal, however it depends on the close tomorrow. Tomorrow Fin Nifty likely to Open Flat / Small gap down, if any pull back to 18411 or 18400 Supply Zone are the Sell Entry points for 18300 & Lower targets. BULLISH move possible only above 18515 Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zones, Demand zone will become Resistance and Resistance zone will become Support. Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels. Happy Trading!!
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by ViVenTraders
FIN NIFTY CAN expiry special targets and levelsNSE:CNXFINANCE finnifty is approaching the crucial daily timeframe trendline from which it has been giving huge corrective falls in pass everytime it touched the trendline, the resistance zone/target which is colliding with the trendline is between 18155/18184 max 18212 level can be touched if lucky if the trendline is broken and finnifty breaks level of 18212, then next upside target can be around 18395. new fresh support zones which have been formed yesterday are between 18007/17981 & 17956/17929.
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by ajinkyadiwakar717