PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 11 APR 2023 Banknifty had a mega pre-open boost by NSE:KOTAKBANK , it was up 5% by 09.10 which indicated the bears will get their bones crushed today.
Contrary to the popular belief, Kotak bank has the 3rd most weightage to bank nifty above SBIN and NSE:AXISBANK even though kotak has lower net interest income. And today's 5% gap up due to the MSCI news spelled real trouble.
Bank nifty opened gap up at 41232 and had a massive 1st 5mts candle. There was a price swing of 297pts in the opening 5mts. What it created was a break away gap negating the downward sloping pattern from 6th. The jump in volumes also proved we had a sentiment shift too.
Was the MSCI news a big trigger - I do not think so, but it really helped the bulls breakout from the bearish grip. Also it would have spoiled few CE seller's Finnifty expiry.
There was also a healthy rally to take out the resistance at 41311, NSE:ICICIBANK , NSE:SBIN all helped to close bank nifty with a lead of 531pts.
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15mts is showing the break out quite decently. And this is formed above the channel top line which will give it good momentum.
Yesterday we discussed the possibility that the bears may want to take control and bring NSE:BANKNIFTY to the range - well, that is not going to happen very soon.
The last time we had a breakaway ie on 31 Mar 2023, the volume spiked. Today also the volume was considerably higher than usual.
And also note, the stock market is heavily skewed in favor of bulls. Everybody like to make money and push prices up. Only few people like me prefer to find contrarian trends - mostly on the bearish side.
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1hr is showing the trend channel breakout quite clearly. See the break away from the purple downward sloping line.
Till yesterday we had a hope to get trades below 40700 levels and stay in the bearish medium-term trend.
The only hope for bears now is to watch out for the US CPI data tomorrow. A massive sell off could bring back NSE:BANKNIFTY back to realistic levels of 40700 or lower.
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I will also be covering Finnifty charts on Tuesdays wherein we have the weekly expiry
NSE:CNXFINANCE has a similar chart to bank nifty, that makes it quite interesting to take expiry trades just as we do on Thursdays.
The W pattern indicated in blue highlight was formed in the same similar fashion.
Today's trade happened above the recent swing high ie from 06 Mar 2023, this again is a breakout style of trade. Just as when NSE:BANKNIFTY falls below the 40700 levels, we can expect finnifty to fall below the 18246 SR zone and continue its range trade.
But if that does not happen soon, then the only way we can look is to handle the bullish momentum.
Finnifty
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 11th: The global market indicates a neutral to slightly positive start, with the market nature being moderately bullish. If the initial market breaks yesterday's high, we can expect a rally continuation. On the other hand, if the initial market declines sharply, structurally, we can expect a long correction."
Finnifty - Prediction & Intraday Levels for - 11 Apr 2023Fin Nifty Tomorrow:
Fin Nifty aligned with Negative/Bearish Sentiment and made BIG red candle in Daily TF which indicates BEARISH short term Trend Reversal, however it depends on the close tomorrow.
Tomorrow Fin Nifty likely to Open Flat / Small gap down, if any pull back to 18411 or 18400 Supply Zone are the Sell Entry points for 18300 & Lower targets.
BULLISH move possible only above 18515
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zones, Demand zone will become Resistance and Resistance zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
FIN NIFTY CAN expiry special targets and levelsNSE:CNXFINANCE finnifty is approaching the crucial daily timeframe trendline from which it has been giving huge corrective falls in pass everytime it touched the trendline,
the resistance zone/target which is colliding with the trendline is between 18155/18184 max 18212 level can be touched if lucky
if the trendline is broken and finnifty breaks level of 18212, then next upside target can be around 18395.
new fresh support zones which have been formed yesterday are between 18007/17981 & 17956/17929.
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 6th: The global market indicates a slightly negative start. The market nature is structurally bullish, and the market may start with a neutral to moderately bearish opening. After that, if the initial market breaks yesterday's high, we can expect rally continuation. On the other hand, if the initial market declines sharply, then we can expect a correction. It should break the Fib level of 38%.
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 5th: The global market indicates a negative start with a moderately bullish market nature. It may start with a neutral to slightly gap-down. After that, if the market breaks the minor support zone, we can expect a 38% Fib level, which is a major support zone. So, if the market rejects this level, we can anticipate a minor pullback that will likely retrace to at least 78% of the Fib level. On the other hand, if the initial market takes a sharp pullback, that's a sign of rally continuation. However, structurally, it might not go much higher."
Finance Nifty Confirm Targets 05 April Finnifty Low Capital Trading Strategy for future and Option
Finnifty Next Support Zones for Long Trade
First Support Zone For Finnifty - 18057 - 18075
Second Support Zone For Finnifty – 17955 - 17970
Third Support Zone For Finnifty – 17865 - 17876
Finnifty Next Resistance Zones for Short Trade
First Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18162 - 18175
Second Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18245 - 18255
Third Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18356 - 18370
Importent Signal from finnifty Option Chain Analysis
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 1.02 ( Bullish )
Max Pain as per Option Chain Analysis – 18150
Major Resistance as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 18200
Major Support as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 17850
#Finnifty"Trading day, April 3rd: The global market indicates a positive start with a bullish market nature. It may start with a neutral to slightly gap-up. Structurally, we can see the sub-wave 5 with divergence, so if the opening market doesn't sustain, we can expect a minor correction that will reach a minimum of 23 to 38% fib correction. On the other hand, if the initial market sustains the gap-up, we can expect the rally continuation."
Finnifty - Prediction & Intraday Levels for - 03 Apr 2023Fin Nifty also looks Short Term Bullish
Being Expiry Tomorrow Finnifty likely to open Flat or Small Gap up, if any pull back to 18018 we can go long, if sustains above 18090 and closes above 18161 then Target 1 will be tested.
On the other hand, if any weakness and closes below 17956 Finnifty might fill the gap and 17771 Demand zone on the lower side will be tested.
finnifty Confirm Targets 3 April 2023 Finnifty Levels For Intraday Future and Option Trading on Monday
Last Trading Day boundary value analysis , High - 18090 Low - 17906
Finnifty In the Money Call and Put Strike Prices - 178100 PE and 17900 CE
Finnifty Next Support Zones for Long Trade
First Support Zone For Finnifty - 17955 - 17970
Second Support Zone For Finnifty – 17865 - 17875
Third Support Zone For Finnifty – 17000 - 17015
Finnifty Next Resistance Zones for Short Trade
First Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18060 - 18075
Second Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18135 - 18145
Third Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 18245 - 18255
Importent Signal from finnifty Option Chain Analysis
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 1.04 ( Bullish )
Max Pain as per Option Chain Analysis – 18000
Major Resistance as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 18200
Major Support as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 17700
#Finnifty"Trading day, March 31:The global market indicates a positive start, with a moderately bullish market nature. It may start with a gap-up, and after that, we can expect the rally to continue with minor consolidation. Additionally, there is a sub-wave 5 to watch out for. Once the market rejects with divergence, it might reverse. In my opinion, it may not be a big fall, so we can expect a minimum of 38% Fib correction."
#Finnifty"Trading day, March 29th: The global market indicates a slightly positive start with a moderately bearish nature. It may begin with a gap-up. If the market breaks the immediate resistance zone, we can expect a minimum Fib level of 61 to 78%. However, if the market sharply rejects that zone, it's a sign of correction, or at least a potential range-bound market. On the other hand, if the market breaks yesterday's low, we can expect a continuation of the correction."
Finnifty"As of March 28, the trading day is indicating a positive start, but the market nature is moderately bearish. It may begin with a gap-up. After that, if the market sustains it, we can expect a range market. On the other hand, if the market declines initially, we can expect the continuation of the correction."
Finnifty Expiry price Action End of Day Finnifty Index Chart and Technical Analysis for Trading
Finnifty Chart Analysis for analyzing historical price movements ,
and Identifying key Price levels where the market has Previously Reacted
Last Trading Day boundary value analysis , High - 17727 Low - 17555
Finnifty In the Money Call and Put Strike Prices - 17750 PE and 17550 CE
Finnifty Live targets for Active Call and Put
Active Call Put For Trading On Expiry - 17650 PE and 17550 Call
17650 PE Targets - 160 /190
17550 Call Targets - 160 /190
Finnifty Next Support Zones for Long Trade
First Support Zone For Finnifty - 17575 - 17595
Second Support Zone For Finnifty – 17430 - 17445
Third Support Zone For Finnifty – 17237 - 17256
Finnifty Next Resistance Zones for Short Trade
First Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 17700 - 17715
Second Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 17835 - 17851
Third Resistance Zone For Finnifty – 17915 - 17930
Importent Signal from finnifty Option Chain Analysis
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 0.79 ( Bearish )
Max Pain as per Option Chain Analysis – 17600
Major Resistance as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 18050
Major Support as Per finnifty Open Interest Analysis – 17250
Finnifty"As of March 27, the trading day is indicating a positive start, but the market nature is bearish. It may begin with a gap-up. After that, if the market sustains it, we can expect a pullback of at least 38 to 61% at a bearish outlook. However, if the market breaks the minor swing high, it may indicate a trend change. On the other hand, if the market declines initially, we can expect the continuation of the correction."
Finnifty - Prediction & Intraday Levels for - 27 Mar 2023Finnifty Weekly Analysis and Prediction for Tomorrow:
Fin Nifty is also will follow Nifty and Banknifty, so the next support in FN is 17520 & 17280 Demand zones.
Tomorrow Fin Nifty likely to open Flat, if any pull back to 17664 supply zone, we can anticipate SELL entry for lower targets.
Don't go long.. SELL on raise.
Buyers and Sellers Zones - When price breaks the zone, Buyers zone will become Resistance and Sellers zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
Finnifty"Trading day, March 24: The global market is indicating a slightly negative start with a moderately bearish nature. It may begin with a gap-down. After that, we can expect a pullback around the immediate support zone. and we can use fib swing high to low. if it breaks the 38% fib level, we can expect a pullback to the 61 to 78% levels. On the other hand, if the market rejects the 38% fib level, we can expect a continuation of the correction."
FIN NIFTY TARGET LEVELS FOR MONDAY 20TH MARCHNSE:CNXFINANCE FINNIFTY also has given closing just below the resistance area like nifty and bnf, likely to open negative, if opens flat/minor gapup and starts going down we can expect retest of fresh support below 17583 level and from support we may come back up for retest of 17800 range resistance area,
if fin nifty upens near support zone and breaks it in 1 candle of 15 min then we can expect to achiueve down side targets easily, we may see finnifty break its reakdown level by expiry if we get cklosing below support zone.
Finnifty"Trading day, March 23: The global market indicates a neutral start with a moderately bullish nature, which may begin with a neutral tone. If the market breaks yesterday's high, we can expect the rally to continue. However, if the market declines, we can expect a minor correction that will reach a minimum of 23 to 38% Fib correction. If the correction breaks the 38% Fib level, that's a sign of a trend reversal, and it may reach the 61 to 78% Fib level."
Finnifty"Trading day, March 22: The global market indicates a neutral start with a bullish nature that may begin with a neutral to slightly gap-up. after that, If the market breaks 17878, we can expect a rally to continue. On the other hand, if the market rejects around 50%, we can expect a minimum of 38% Fib correction. If the correction breaks the 38% Fib level, that's a sign of trend reversal, and it may reach a 78% to swing low."
FIN NIFTY CAN TOUCH 17250 LEVEL TOMORROW expiry specialNSE:CNXFINANCE FINNIFTY can countinue the sideways move tomorrow as well, can try entering short position if opens near/in resistance area and starts falling and can hold till current support or try to achieve extra points till target zone if finnity shows signs of breaking todays's support zone.