Don't Miss This Stock: Reliance's Bright Future- Elliott Wave Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Stock Overview:
Since January 1996, Reliance stock started an impulsive rise from ₹12.95, unfolding a series of 1-2, 1-2 waves. Currently, Primary Wave ③ (blue) is in progress and has a long way to go. This wave is subdivided into green bracket waves (1), (2), (3), and (4), with wave (4) forming a triangle. Now, we are in bracket wave (5) (green).
Current Wave Structure:
Wave (5) (green) is subdividing into Yellow waves:
Yellow Wave 1 completed at 3024.90
Yellow Wave 2 (one leg could be completed or complete wave 2 could be ended at ₹2718 on June 4th, post-election results)
Upcoming Targets:
Wave 2 completion is confirmed once Reliance surpasses ₹3050. Targets are:
₹3500
₹4025 (162% of Yellow Wave 1, which peaked at ₹3024.90)
Why Add Reliance to Your Portfolio:
Stock bounced sharp upside from 2718 lows = 200 DEMA (White line)
Potential to hit new highs.
Expected to reach ₹4000 and later ₹5000 in the coming months and years.
Conclusion:
Reliance shows strong upward potential. Including this stock in your portfolio could yield significant returns. Let’s review the progress in a few months. Have a great Sunday!
Visual Summary of Waves:
1. Primary Wave ③(blue) unfolding
2. Bracket wave (5) (green) in progress
3. Yellow Wave 1 completed at 3024.90 highs
4. Yellow Wave 2 completed at ₹2718 ( alternate -only one part in wave 2 completed at lows of 2718 & wave 2 can be confirm complete once it crosses above 3050 highs)
Key Levels:
Break above ₹3050 confirms next targets
Targets: ₹3500, ₹4025, ₹5000
Plan accordingly and stay tuned for updates.
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From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Fivewaves
Nifty makes a Double bottomA double bottom below the 17000 mark it is, pending some price confirmation. If you think that the most recent decline is a 5 waves down and more selling is due then this alternate count will get vindicated when Nifty moves above 17490. That is the final confirmation that we have a bottom in place for the time being. Then we can think about the bullish alternate counts from the low of 16987 made on Monday. Wave z makes a slightly higher low? Yes that is possible in fact truncation in wave z has become a common feature just like truncation in wave 5 of an impulse.
WaveTalks - Nifty - Double Click or Double Divergence at 16590Educational Idea talking about reversal candlestick pattern - Tower Top & Double Divergence at the tops could be halting the bullish moves. Once we get follow up going below 16475 immediately- It could have bearish bias for the days / weeks to come ahead.
Important Support Levels - 16160 / 15800-15900 / 15500
Thanks for watching the video.
HDFC: WaveTalks- Pattern / Patience & Penultimate Correction
WaveCount
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• 1-2 -3 -4 (Running Currently) - 5th Wave Expected Upside.
• 4th Wave
o Unfolding as Triangle having last leg - "e" wave close to end.
o 4th Wave Triangles are "penultimate wave" means it is 2nd last wave & one more wave left in the structure which started from the lows of 1473 on 23rd / 25th March2020.
• 5th Wave - Expected Next
o 5th Wave can be explosive upside & can travel upside to 2900+ high in days & weeks ahead
Traditional Chart Patterns
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• Cup & Handle Pattern
o Valid Cup & Handle Pattern always has prior trend as uptrend. In current case it is tilted cup with handle which is valid pattern as prior wave ("b-wave) was uptrend from low@2365 to high@2896
o Bias - Positive
• Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
o This pattern has no such requirement like cup & handle pattern but prior trend if downtrend is always preferred as after consolidation it most likely has to reverse & move upside again once neckline is crossed.
o Bias - Positive
Moving Average
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o 200 DEMA ( Daily Exponential Moving Average) has been taken into consideration which seems to be quiet in sync with the stock move as supported multiple times post completing "wave-1" which got resistance exactly at 1921.90 ( approx.- 1922)
o 1st support after completing Wave-1 was at 1907 which was exactly 200 DEMA support .
o Taking support from 1907- stock travelled explosive upside in "Wave -3" which got completed at high@2777
o Wave- 4 unfolded as Triangle which is almost completed or about to complete with "e-wave" the final leg in the triangle.
o "c-wave" in the triangle took support at 2354 which is again 200 DEMA support
o "e-wave" in the triangle also close to 200 DEMA support.
o Bias - Positive
Stop Loss
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• Stop loss should be below "c-wave" 2354 plus few points lower which can be taken as 2345 (10 points lower) or as per trader's judgement
Target
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• First Target - 2650 which is "d-wave" of the triangle wave
• Second / Final Target - 2900+
Risk to Reward
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• Excellent risk reward of 3-4 times
Conclusion
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• Stock has bullish bias holding above 2345 key & critical level which is close to 200 DEMA support & can be expected to move in the explosive 5th Wave to the targets of 2650 & 2900+ in days & weeks ahead.
• We also conclude that stock market can see fireworks generally if Nifty holds above 15450 –key & critical level. Nifty Expected move can be for 1st Target -15900 / 2nd Target – 16350 / 3rd Target – 16750
Thanks & Have a nice week ahead.