If there is a global party on...India's gonna lead!As the US Inflation numbers came soft, all doubts about Fed hiking rates in December were gone. That led to all currencies strengthening against the $. US Yields colled off, Dollar Index came down and US Equities soared.
Indian markets also joined the party. The Rupee made strong gains making new multi week highs. G Sec Yields came off highs and Sensex and Nifty just took off to the skies.
As global uncertainity eases, India stands to benefit the most over the next few decades when we rise up the ranks as a global economic superpower.
Flatyieldcurve
Tight Liquidity Globally as well as locally pulls Equities downRising US Yields are attracting liquidity from all assets. Also, in the domestic markets the yield curve has become flat.
From being normal sloping during height of Covid to flat today; the shape and level of the yield curve have repercussions on investors.
This video examines the liquidity situation globally as well as locally and tracks leading indicators to get a sense of whether the trend is reversing any time soon.
These fundamental factors lead to technical charts being formed which are now looking more and more bearish.
Finally this video puts it all together to convert all the analysis into action. The script which i have shared is a simple indicator ewhich checks if the low of the current candle is lower than the previous one, and if so, it triggers a buy alert.
Simple as it sounds, is also very effective in pulling the buying average down as we increase the quantity of our holding.