XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE...✨ XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE START OF THE WEEK
Fundamental Analysis
The Fed has just announced that it will end its QT (Quantitative Tightening) programme starting from 1st December, along with setting the federal funds target rate at 3.75–4%.
When QT stops, the balance-sheet reduction slows down, meaning liquidity is no longer being aggressively withdrawn from the market. This generally supports risk assets — and gold as well.
Mechanism recap:
QE: Expands the Fed’s balance sheet, injecting liquidity into the market.
QT: Shrinks the balance sheet, pulling liquidity out.
With QT paused, the market expects the Fed to take a softer stance on monetary policy, which strengthens the medium-term bullish outlook for gold.
Given this environment, Lana expects gold to retain upside potential early in the week, though price may show volatility near key liquidity zones.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, price structure is following a clear bullish Elliott Wave sequence (1)–(2)–(3)–(4)–(5). The current upward wave has not shown any major reversal signal yet.
The Swing Zone at 4190–4195 is the nearest important low and serves as the primary short-term support. This is Lana’s preferred zone for swing-trend buying.
Above price, two notable Liquidity Zones are forming:
4250–4260: Near liquidity zone where fake breaks or temporary pullbacks may appear.
4365–4370: Higher liquidity zone aligned with previous highs — likely an area for significant profit-taking if the bullish wave continues.
Lana’s main expectation: gold may pull back slightly into the 4190–4195 swing zone, then extend the bullish wave to re-test the liquidity regions above. However, since liquidity zones often create stop-hunts and fake breakouts, Lana does not recommend buying directly at these resistance levels.
Key Price Levels
Main Support (Swing Buy Zone): 4190 – 4195
Resistance / Liquidity Zones:
4250 – 4260
4365 – 4370
Trade Setup
Buy: 4190 – 4195
Stop Loss: 4185
Take Profit: 4250 – 4260 – 4365 – 4370
