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USDINR - Is at Support and Below 86.5 is good to buyUSDINR upside is slowed down !!! due to Gold rise in global market and weak US Dollar. In chart few times support has come for usdinr at and below 86.5 levels which I think will be good support since Gold rise could see some consolidation from today. No one asking why US Govt not yet auditing its Gold reserve which they keep commenting no door and windows to their safe houses etc etc and this world still believes such empty statements only for a point gold was never audited. Its Bull trap in Gold right now. FIIs not entering India again in big way yet. I do not see any major US Dollar Inflows into India right now. People still moving to china market or at least preferred by few or several big players. I do not have or analyzed Bond market which is linked to moves of stock market. Any surprise move from BOJ or US Fed could change this view to some extent.
Long
by venkatfx
Reasons for a Neutral to Cautiously Bullish StrategyBased on current trends, technical analysis, and market forecasts, the investment strategy for Nifty 50 can be categorized as Neutral to Cautiously Bullish. Reasons for a Neutral to Cautiously Bullish Strategy: 1. Technical Indicators: Support Zone: 23,900–24,000 (if held, could lead to a rebound). Resistance Levels: 24,500–24,800 (needs a breakout for a stronger rally). Higher Lows & Recovery Attempts: A recent bounce from a key support level suggests potential stabilization. 2. Market Sentiment & News Impact: Trade Policy Uncertainties: The market remains volatile due to global economic concerns. Sector Strength: IT and banking stocks show resilience, supporting a potential uptrend. Corporate Earnings & GDP Growth: Forecasts indicate moderate growth, supporting a recovery. 3. Institutional Forecasts: PL Capital’s Target: 27,867 in 12 months (bullish outlook). Nomura’s Range: 21,800–25,700 (neutral to moderate growth). Jefferies’ Growth Projection: 10% gain by year-end, targeting 26,000. Investment Strategy: Short-Term: Neutral – Monitor price action around 24,000–24,500 before taking aggressive positions. Medium to Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish – If Nifty sustains above 24,500, it may enter a new uptrend, making it a buy-on-dips opportunity. Risk Management: Maintain stop-losses near 23,700 to avoid downside risks.
NSE:NIFTY
by pvnm82
Nifty 50 Market Outlook: Key Levels, Trends, and Forecast.As of March 6, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is experiencing fluctuations influenced by various market factors. In recent sessions, the index has faced declines, primarily due to concerns over U.S. trade policies and their potential impact on global markets. Current Market Trends: Trade Policy Concerns: Persistent uncertainties surrounding U.S. trade policies have contributed to market volatility, affecting investor sentiment. Sector Performance: Information technology stocks have shown resilience, with companies like Coforge and Infosys leading gains after securing significant deals and receiving positive forecasts. Forecasted Levels: PL Capital's Projection: In October 2024, PL Capital projected that the Nifty 50 could reach 27,867 within 12 months, driven by resilient sectors and cautious optimism amid geopolitical uncertainties. Nomura's Range Estimate: As of February 2025, Nomura forecasts the Nifty 50 to fluctuate between 21,800 and 25,700 throughout the year, reflecting potential market volatility. Jefferies' Growth Outlook: In December 2024, Jefferies anticipated a 10% increase in the Nifty 50 by December 2025, targeting a level of 26,000, supported by expectations of GDP growth and corporate earnings recovery. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Technical analysis indicates that the Nifty 50 has critical support in the 23,900–24,000 range. A sustained break below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,700. On the upside, resistance is identified between 24,500 and 24,800, which the index would need to surpass for a bullish trend. Conclusion: The Nifty 50's trajectory in 2025 is subject to various factors, including global trade policies, sector-specific performances, and domestic economic indicators. While forecasts suggest potential growth, investors should remain cautious of the prevailing uncertainties and monitor key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by pvnm82
Banknifty forecast 21-22 Nov’22 l Elliott waveBanknifty can have two possible scenarios. It is in correction of 5 wave while in 4 of 5. 4 looks completed and we are in last leg then temporary pause of fall expected. Red : most likely scenerio. Below 50300 we are short for impulse down 💰💰 Green: less likely but we are still in wave 4 it will tests our patience should move very slow up towards 50900-51000. Disclaimer: This post is for educational purpose. No trade/ buy/ sell signal is suggested or advised. Do your own analysis before buying or selling any stock/options.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by IMStockwala
USDINR - all time highs will be taken out in November?USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium. 83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107. Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that interested. TVC:US30Y quoting 4.945% looks exciting from a debt perspective ! -- A rising USDINR means the INR is getting devalued. Calendar year 2022 saw an erosion of 11.07%, YTD is only 0.61% - will the rising US yield + war in middle east further erode the Indian Rupee??
Long
by viswaram
USOIL.F ANALYSIS ( Crude Oil Prices )ANTICIPATION OF FED DECISION The Federal Reserve is meeting this week to decide on a potential interest rate hike. While analysts agree that the central bank will maintain its rates for the first time since March 2022, investors are focused on the tone of the announcement. If the Fed hints at further rate hikes later in the year, as many predict, oil prices could decline further🔻📉. GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONCERN The Eurozone has entered a technical recession, and there are concerns about the U.S. economy facing a similar fate due to potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in response to high inflation. The economic data from China, the world's largest oil importer, also showed a decrease in exports for the first time this year, raising concerns about short-term global oil demand. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS As per the technical analysis of USOIL in a DAY-TF,WEEKLY-TF & MONTHLY-TF are showing downtrend ( STRONG SELL ). Apart from this, Moving Average ( MA5 (SELL 69.28), MA10(SELL 70.47), MA50 ( SELL 73.88), MA200 (SELL 78.20)) & Technical Indicator ((RSI(14)SELL), (STOCH(9,6)OVERSOLD), (MACD(12,26)SELL)) are showing strong sell.
BLACKBULL:USOIL.FShort
by tradewith_ritik
USD INR : WILL IT BREAK THE RESISTANCES THIS TIMEI am sharing my view on USD INR Movement as of now and predicted the two possible moves on the chart. The chart is moving in a range since 14 Feb 2023 and shrinking all the way to form an ascending triangle. I have tried to wind up its movement as shown in the chart. As USDINR has already tested the resistance level 1, 5 times, and thus the probability of breaking out is high, with support of two Moving Averages below the CMP, and ascending support line. However , it may encounter another rejection at resistance level 2 again , as it has not been tested much. Please share your views !
Long
by chakraveer1104
USDINRPlease keep in mind that this is only for futures and positional traders. You can buy USDINR in 3 different buy zones, as mentioned (Buy zone 1, Buy zone 2, Buy zone 3). There is NO-STOPLOSS; simply purchase as much as you can. Don't panic if it reaches Zone 3; instead, buy as much as possible. It is important to note that this view is for the next three months and is not recommended for short-term time frames.  Note 1: Do not trade CALL options based on this view because it is a long-term view and you may lose money buying OTM or ITM due to theta decay in the long run.  Note 2 : Because the USDINR is oversold, strong Bullishness is expected to continue, and only buying is recommended (avoid short selling or buying PUT options) at retracement levels.
Long
by WECLAN