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Gold Next Move: 3000 Loading... Key Observations to Current Price Action: - Recent price action shows a strong impulsive move up from the green support zone (2770-90) - The current structure suggests that we're potentially entering a corrective phase followed by continuation of the bullish trend as marked with black arrows. - The green zone that I marked on chart can act as an institutional support level or "fair value zone" where significant trading activity has occurred,The recent breakout above this level with strong momentum suggests institutional buying pressure - The anticipated pullback could represent a potential "discount" zone where smart money might accumulate or re enter. The pullback, if it materializes, should ideally hold above the green support zone to maintain bullish market structure. The overall price action still showing a bullish bias with a potential short-term correction before continuing higher. The green zone will be crucial for maintaining this bullish scenario. I am still holding buy trade on Gold and Silver and will add more if I see confirmation from lower area (Marked in Red circle) for the target of 3000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU#14:Payrolls Fall,Inflation Rises– Should You Invest in Gold?💎 💎 💎 The market is volatile! The Fed has not cut interest rates, but inflation expectations are soaring. Is this a golden time to invest in FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , or are there still potential risks? 💎 💎 💎 ⏳ Opportunity or trap? Let's plan for OANDA:XAUUSD , let's do it!!! 🚀 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 Employment: Non-farm payrolls increased by 143,000, lower than the forecast of 170,000 and the lowest level since October 2023. However, the unemployment rate fell to 4.0%, the lowest since May 2023. 📌😂Fed policy: The Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates. A cut in June is possible if inflation continues to cool and the labor market remains stable. 🚀 US one-year inflation expectations rose to their highest level since November 2023. This is only the fifth time in 14 years that we have seen such a large increase (one percentage point or more) in inflation expectations for the coming year in a single month. ✅️ In short, the market is still waiting for a clearer signal from inflation and subsequent data. In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate with a large amplitude, waiting for more CPI data and statements from the Fed to have a clearer trend. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Frame D**: Friday evening's candle closed as a Shooting star candlestick pattern, giving us a little warning of a correction. However, looking at the W candle, it could also be just a profit-taking move of BUY positions when the market closes at the end of the week. 🔹 **H4 frame**: In this time frame, we can see a pinbar appearing when it has just passed the old peak, showing that the market needs a better momentum to conquer the new price level 🔹 **H1 frame**: The bullish price structure reappears when the price passes 2870, but we still have to wait for confirmation at the trendline support area. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ⛔ The conflict in basic information data over the weekend is clearly reflected in the price line. At the moment, we should wait for price reaction at important support areas to establish positions. ✅ Looking at the price line, the old peak area has been rejected and there is a high possibility that we will have a slight correction to gain momentum to move to a higher price zone. The end of the W candle shows that the uptrend of Gold has not shown any signs of ending. Prioritize trading in line with the main trend. 💪🚀 **Wishing you successful trading!**
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Smart Money Perspective Current Market Bias: Bearish The price action indicates that the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows being formed. Despite recent bullish retracements, the price has failed to break key resistance levels, signaling that sellers remain in control. Key Areas on the Chart: 1. Order Block (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone: • The highlighted gray zone represents an order block (OB), which is a supply area where institutions likely placed large sell orders. • The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) within this zone indicates an inefficiency in price, making it a strong area for potential reversals. • Price recently tapped into this area and reacted downward, confirming bearish momentum. 2. Liquidity Grab Possibility: • The lower dashed line represents a previous swing low, where liquidity (stop-loss orders) is likely resting. • Smart Money often seeks liquidity before reversing or continuing trends. • There is a high probability that price will sweep this low before any potential bullish move occurs. 3. Market Structure Shift for a Bullish Setup: • Although the bias remains bearish, a market structure shift (MSS) is required before considering any long (buy) setups. • A key level to watch is 1.05351, where a break above could signal a reversal. • Until then, selling pressure is likely to dominate. Conclusion & Trade Plan: • Bearish bias remains active. • Price might sweep the previous low to grab liquidity before a potential reversal. • A confirmed market structure shift above 1.05351 is required for bullish confirmation. • Until that happens, traders should focus on shorting opportunities near supply zones or order blocks. Final Thought: By following Smart Money Concepts (SMC), traders can align their trades with institutional movements. Patience is key—wait for confirmations before entering positions. Keep an eye on liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts for the best trade setups.
Short
by Trade_lyst
1
Gold : Need a reset ?Gold price is testing the daily resistance (R1) and price did not breakout this pivot resistance on daily ,we have seen a massive bull run on gold so we can consider following case for short to mid term from here : Short-Term : there's a likelihood of a short-term pullback or consolidation (Don't take this as a sell call from me , I am still holding all my buy trades and will add on pullback). This would be a healthy (Yes and this will be a normal correction if it happen) move after a strong uptrend, allowing the market to digest gains . Watch for support at the green trendline and at the previous ATH. Mid-Term: The strong volume during this uptrend suggests that there's still significant interest in buying gold ,so overall market structure and trend is bullish and we can re-buy from lower levels after a good confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold on the Move :2850 Next?Nothing has been changed to the outlook that I shared last time here in tradingview : Looking at the daily chart of Gold, we can see that the price has been on a significant uptrend, the price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic sign of a strong uptrend. The previous All-Time High is now acting as strong support. This is crucial because it shows that the price has successfully retested and held above this level, which could act as a psychological and technical support zone for future price action. This suggests that the market anticipates further upward movement, possibly due to momentum and investor sentiment. Given the current trend, gold might continue its ascent towards the projected target. However, watch for any signs of exhaustion or significant pullbacks which could indicate a short-term correction or consolidation. If the price breaks above the 2850 level convincingly, it could set a new higher base for gold, potentially leading to further gains. However, if there's a rejection at this level, we might see a pullback to the support zone around the previous ATH, which could then act as a buying opportunity if the overall trend remains intact. overall , gold looks bullish in the short to mid-term with a clear target above 2850
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
3
Gold : Roadmap for 3000Gold price is in strong upward trend and supported by the trendline (Green Line) since December 2024. The price is currently near to psychological resistance level 2800 and at ATH. Markup Phase (January 2025 onwards): In Markup phase we can see a clean break of resistance (2720) and ATH (2790) with strong momentum and now price sustaining above these levels. Higher highs and higher lows structure. Reduced volatility during this uptrend suggests strong institutional control. The overall structure is in bullish continuation considering major target zone could be around 2950-3000 as discussed in previous posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Consolidates Near 2750-60: 2800 Ahead AS EXPECTED.... Gold is showing buying bias and current price is trading around 2,762, showing bullish momentum in an uptrend,Formation of higher highs and higher lows is still intact. Notable liquidity pool visible around 2,780 area (Immidiate resistance) which acted as resistance and seems like bulls are ready to take this liquidity soon as Several order blocks formed between 2,740-2,750 acting as support also FVG visible around 2,735-2,740 region,Higher volume spikes during upward movements indicating buyer strength and volume divergence minimal, supporting the current trend so Overall trend remains bullish as shared in previos posts and weekly analysis video also and I am still holding my buy positions and now I moved my Stop to risk free level for gold and silver. Key levels to watch: Support: 2,748 (Pivot level), 2,711 (S1) Resistance: 2,780, 2,808 (R1)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold under Pullback /correction As dicussed in weekly analyis video and previous posts , price currently under a pullback and we have to wait for lower pullback zones for re-buying :: - First Pullbcak zone: 2755-2760 (marked in green, first zone , price currently testing this zone) - Second Pullbcak zone: 2735-2740 (green zone in Middle) - Third Pullbcak zone: 2720-2725 (Last green zone, we also have first Fib support level for the cycle of 2585-2785) Swing to Intra day Approach: Rather than buying immediately, waiting for a deeper pullback can provide us a good risk management, looking for buy setups at these pullback zones makes sense given overall bullish trend structure remains intact,These levels align with previous structure(Swing High, Low) with Better risk-reward ratio from these lower entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Uptrend Intact: Can Gold Break Through 2800?🌟"Uptrend Intact: Can Gold Break Through $2800? 🌟" Gold is maintaining its bullish momentum, steadily forming higher highs and higher lows while respecting the upward trendline. The key support zone around 2705 (R1), backed by a demand area and Fair Value Gaps , could act as a launchpad if price pulls back to retest. Resistance levels at 2788 (R2) and 2848 (R3) are in sight as potential upside targets. The red circled area is where I am expecting a possible retracement to fill gaps and grab liquidity as per SMT before resuming the upward move. With liquidity resting above swing highs, the overall view remains bullish, and price looks primed to head toward higher levels as long as support holds strong. Still holding both Gold and Silver in buy as mentioned in previos updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
"Gold Next Stop: 2800?"Current Price Action Analysis: 1. Price is currently testing the 2750 psychological level 2. Formation of consecutive higher lows and higher highs since December 3. A significant volume node is visible around the current price level Key Levels : 1. The November low at 2,536 created a strong demand zone 2. Previous resistance at 2,720 (green box) has been breached and is now acting as support 3. Recent price movement shows strong institutional buying with minimal pullbacks Intraday Trading Perspective: 1. Support: 2700-2,720 (previous resistance now support) 2. Resistance: R2 at 2,762 and R3 at 2,800 Swing Trading Perspective: 1. Primary trend is strongly bullish above rising trendline 2. Major support zone: 2700-2,720 Current Market Context: - Strong momentum indicates potential for further upside - The clean break above previous resistance suggests institutional buying - Volume profile shows good liquidity at current levels Best Trade Setups: 1. Intraday: Buy pullbacks to 2,700-20 2. Swing: Enter on daily closes above 2,750 targeting 2,800 o wait forLower Price zone as marked on chart ,market structure suggests maintaining a bullish bias and I am still holding my buy entries on gold and silver
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold's Looking Hot Gold's Looking Hot ❤️‍🔥 The way the price is behaving right now, it looks like it's gathering strength for another potential move up, though we might see some correction or consolidation first. Overall Market Context: The market structure is bullish on the 4-hour or on daily timeframe There's significant buy-side interest as visible on volume profile I can see Several liquidity pools likely exist below the recent swing lows so expecting some consolidation or correction(But not looking for sell ), After the pullback, if buyer momentum stays strong (which looks likely), we could see a push toward 2,760-2,780 (As marked on chart). The Current support is at the upward trendline Overall sentiment is clearly bullish and I am still holding buy entries on both Gold and Silver.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU#3: Gold Rises and Trading Plan💎 💎 💎 Plan ahead to help you make a profit. Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎 Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on XAU and the next trading plan. 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 🔴 US inflation accelerated in December and the Fed is facing a new challenge. This increases risk sentiment for the market. ▫️ In addition, some analysts are pointing out that Trump's job cut plan could push the unemployment rate up. The US economy faces more risks, causing money to flow into secured assets such as: Gold, BTC .... 2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame:** Yesterday's closing showed a strong increase in gold after the announcement of the inflation index. The price will continue to find the resistance area above. 🔹 **H4 Frame:** The bullish price structure remains intact. 🔹 **H1 Frame:** The price has completely broken through the resistance area of ​​269x. The next target will be the area of ​​2725~2752 3️⃣ **Trading Plan:** Thanks to the previous plan, we have made a small profit. You can see that planning in advance gives us an overview and shapes our trading psychology ⛔ **Absolutely do not SELL** at the present time, when the price structure shows an upward trend in both the short and long term ✅** If you want to BUY in the right direction to make a profit**, we can completely wait until the price returns to the support zone below as I have drawn on the chart. Or if you cannot be patient, remember that you should trade with a small volume and accept that you will lose that amount of money 📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
Gold: if this.... then that Current Price Structure: There's a clear upward trendline forming from the November low The market has formed a significant support zone (marked in green) around 2636-2640 A resistance zone (marked in red) exists around 2710-2720 level Current price is showing bullish momentum at 2698 Multiple liquidity levels have been created above recent highs The market has been making higher lows and higher highs, indicating bullish control Potential Scenarios: Primary target seems will be R1 at 2720.005 If price breaks above R1 , next targets will be R2 (2750.635) and R3 (2803.320) Support levels to watch: S1 (2636.690), S2 (2584.005), S3 (2553.375) The bullish structure remains valid as long as price stays above the upward trendline
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Current PA before NFPCurrent PA on H1 showing bullish trend with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The ascending trendline acts as dynamic support, holding the structure intact. The price has broken above pivot R1 level and is now sustaining above it, indicating a good strength on this time frame by buyers The price is moving in impulsive waves (blue zigzag lines), showing controlled corrections before resuming the primary trend. Liquidity is likely building below the ascending trendline. If the price breaks this trendline, it could indicate a sweep of liquidity before continuing upward or can lead to correction if price breakdown this support trend line. above this buyers are in control . on bigger picture price is consolidating inside a Triangle and the direction is not clear on daily right now . today we have NFP and Unemployment data which can act as main driver for next move
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
3
Gold PA Check: Bulls Taking a break Near 2,670 The price is hovering around 2,671, and , it seems like price is playing a bit of a waiting game here. We've got this nice upward trend (Short rally but still looking good) since late December, which is encouraging for the bulls, but we're seeing some hesitation at current levels. For Intra day, I'd keep a close eye on that 2,680 level - if we break above that with decent volume, we could see a nice move up. But here's the thing - the volume's been pretty average lately, nothing too exciting, which suggests people might be waiting for a clearer signal maybe waiting for CPI data today. For Swing/ longer-term positions, the setup actually looks quite healthy to till time. We're making higher lows, which is always good to see, and that support around 2,630-40 seems pretty solid. The big test will be whether we can push through that 2,700-2,720 zone - that's where things could get interesting. One thing I particularly like is how the price is respecting that pivot level at 2,667. It's acting like a nice reference point for current PA. The market's in a bit of a consolidation phase right now for Intra day - so if you're planning any trades, you might want to wait for a clear breakout with volume confirmation rather than trying to force anything in this choppy action. Key risk level: Below S1 (2,636) would invalidate bullish bias for Intra day and for Swing .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Silver's Ready to Shine? The Silver showing good bullish sentiment as the price has shown resilience by bouncing off significant support and breaking through resistance levels. Expecting a move towards 34.0000 is is possible if buyers defend 29-30 level on daily TF, especially if the price can maintain above the recent highs and continue to show higher volume on upward movements. The price has recently moved through a liquidity zone around 30.51025, suggesting that smart money might have taken advantage of this area to initiate trades, pushing the price higher. The volume at the recent low was significantly higher , indicating strong buying pressure at this level, which is positive for a bullish outlook. So i think it is good idea to consider a swing buy at current price level i.e., around 30-30.35 area for the target of 34,40 and 50.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold on the EdgeThe price is trading within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle. This indicates a phase of consolidation and decreasing volatility, suggesting a potential breakout soon. The current price is near the midpoint of the triangle and seems like forming double top on H4, with potential to retest support. Momentum seems neutral, awaiting a trigger for a directional move. Liquidity will likely be taken from one side (most probably from the support trendline) before the real move occurs till then we can consider the sideways market and we can plan our trade accordingly for Intra day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Price Forecast: Liquidity Grab Likely Before Rally to New HThe price seems to be consolidating within the ascending triangle, Price is testing the confluence of the descending trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This area has historically acted as a rejection zone. Price is likely to reject this level and push downward to sweep liquidity below recent swing lows near 2,600 or 2585 area. After liquidity is swept, price could form a spring (Wyckoff reaccumulation) and provide a strong buy signal which can push price towards 2800. (Expecting a pullback but this does not mean that I want to short gold, I am still waiting for a good buy area, if gold deliver this kind of move then that will be a good setup for swing buy)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Price Action Key Points Gold Price Action Key Points Small bodied candles at current levels indicating indecision Previous strong green candles with good bodies showing buyer conviction Recent red candles haven't created significantly lower lows, suggesting controlled selling Key breakout level above: 2,671 Critical support zone: 2,633-2,640,This is currently acting as a solid floor and has been tested multiple times recently Volume Analysis: Increasing volume on upward movements Lower volume on pullbacks, suggesting less selling pressure Overall : The price action suggests a bullish bias with controlled pullbacks and strong support levels and The overall structure remains bullish as long as price stays above the marked support zone , On breakdown the support we have to wait for confirmation from lower levels on breakdown 2,602 ( S1) - This could act as a secondary support if we see a pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Technical Analysis: Shift in Market Structure?The price has indeed moved up significantly and is now testing a key resistance zone around 2655-2672 (Fib Golden Zone), yesterdays upward movement has been steady and consistent,Price has successfully broken above the previous resistance(2635-39) which is now a support area, also there's a notable increase in volume on the recent upward move, price has maintained higher lows and higher highs in the short term, However, We're approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance level,The price is at the upper range of the recent consolidation zone and price is now trading the weekly R2 level so to initiate buy we have to wait for pullback for a possible re test of support area and on rejection we can plan the buy . The original downside target of 2536-50 will be considered invalid unless price breaks back below 2638 with significant volume. Key invalidation level for bulls: A close below 2638 on H4 that can drag the price in previous consolidation area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Update : No change so far ,still in sideways range Price is trading within a defined range, with 2639 as the upper boundary and 2585 as lower boundary. Despite recent upward movement, lack of volume confirmation suggests caution for last two day up move. The original downside target (2536-50) remains valid until we see a decisive break above mentioned resistance levels with strong volume support. What We Need for Bullish Confirmation:? Clear break and close above 2639 Price need to sustain above 2650-55 on Higher Time Frame. Need Strong volume to support the move Until these conditions are met, my original downside target remains valid from a technical perspective .The current price action appears to be in a decision zone, and the lack of volume confirmation suggests this could still be a temporary move rather than a trend reversal so I will wait for good confirmation before initiating buy trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
2
Gold is in RangeAs per TPO chart on gold for 30 Min: Market Sentiments looks like the market is trying to find its base after that sharp drop we saw last week. There's been some buying interest as the price has started to stabilize a bit higher, but the ups and downs show there's still some uncertainty in the air. We have seen multiple rejection from 30-35 area and the dip from this range might suggest a bit of short-term bearishness, but since we're still close to the normal trading range(2620-40 Now), it's not too alarming.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold is currently stuck in Sideways range The 4-hour gold chart shows a consolidating price around 2600-2,630 area, following a downtrend and a slight recovery attempt. Key support lies at 2,600 as a psychological level, with resistance around 2,650 for a breakout confirmation. F or intraday trades, the bias is neutral, Swing traders should wait for a breakout above 2,650 for a move toward 2,700+ or a breakdown below 2,600 for a drop toward 2,550. The market appears indecisive, so focus on quick trades until a clear direction emerges. On daily TF The chart is in a clear uptrend , with higher highs and higher lows. the price finding support around the 2,600 level: This suggests the market is in a retracement phase, potentially gearing up for the next big move and we need to wait for potential buying opportunity soon within 1-2 weeks in January after confirmations.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle