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EURUSD bounces back from year-long support ahead of EU/US PMIEURUSD records its first daily gain in four, bouncing back from the lowest level since July 3, as traders eagerly await the preliminary readings of October's PMIs for the Eurozone and the US. The Euro pair’s movement aligns with overbought RSI conditions while it turns from an upward support line established in early October 2023. Sellers remain in control Despite an oversold RSI (14) supporting EURUSD's bounce from key support, bearish MACD signals and trading below the 200-SMA keep sellers optimistic. The downside bias is further strengthened by more dovish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Key technical levels to watch The multi-month support line around 1.0765 is crucial for EURUSD. A clear break below this level could expose the pair to a decline toward February and June 2024 lows, near 1.0700 and 1.0680, respectively. However, if the RSI conditions hold, Euro bears may face challenges around 1.0680. If not, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 will be the last line of defense for buyers before the pair heads toward the late 2023 bottom around 1.0450. Alternatively, a rebound for EURUSD seems unlikely while trading below the 200-SMA at 1.0870. That said, the immediate upside is protected by the 50% Fibonacci level from the pair's rise between October 2023 and September 2024, located around 1.0830. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci level and an 11-week-old support line near 1.0920 and 1.1000 will be tough obstacles for bulls to overcome if they break past 1.0830. Further recovery looks challenging While some technical signals indicate that sellers may be losing momentum, several technical and fundamental factors suggest buyers are not yet ready to step in. The EURUSD's corrective bounce could continue with strong EU data and weak US statistics. However, if the US Dollar sees a positive surprise, the likelihood of further downside for the pair remains high.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold : Finally taking a breakAs discussed in yesterday's gold update that gold was due for a correction , accordingly we have seen a good correction in yesterday's trading session. Last day price close with a bearish Engulfing candle from a key level (Weekly R1) and now the major support as per volume (2738-40) is going to act as resistance area, also if we draw Fibonacci levels for last day candle we have now to major resistance in higher side for gold, one is at 2733 and another is 2739, so for intraday under these levels we can look for sell opportunities and we can look 2700 or low as our target .CPR is also descending today , any breach from PDL can result in continuation into lower side.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
USDJPY crosses 200-SMA to refresh 12-week high, focus on 152.00USDJPY has reached its highest point since July 31, rising for the third straight day after breaking the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Wednesday. However, a seven-month-old resistance zone around 151.85-152.00 limits further gains of the Yen pair. Bulls need a strong push The US Dollar’s strength and bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful. Yet, overbought RSI conditions and tough resistance mean a significant boost is necessary for further upward movement. Without this, the pair could quickly drop below the 200-SMA, leading to short-term selling. Key technical levels to watch In addition to the 200-SMA support at 151.35 and the resistance zone around 151.85-152.00, several important technical levels are crucial for USDJPY traders. The 50% Fibonacci level near 150.80 will attract sellers if the price drops below the 200-SMA, along with the key threshold at 150.00. A drop to around 149.40 is possible if sellers gain control, and if the price falls past this level, September’s high of 147.20 and the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 144.85 will come into focus. On the upside, a close above 152.00 could encourage buyers to target the 61.8% Fibonacci level, or Golden Ratio, near 153.40. If momentum continues, potential targets may include June’s low of 154.55 and the 78.6% level at 157.20. Decisive move ahead… While buyers seem in control, the struggle to surpass key resistance amid overbought conditions and upcoming PMI data could lead to a necessary pullback. Traders should proceed with caution as the next moves in USDJPY will be crucial.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold Intraday PlanGold prices extended gains in yesterday trading session for the fifth day out of the last six and reached an all-time high at 2,748, just below of the psychological 2,750 mark. Geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue to lower borrowing costs are helping gold bulls right now. As per price action gold price Invalidated the Gravestone doji pattern that was formed in Monday trading session and sustaining the price over to major support area 2738-40 (As visible on Volume profile).Today price opened with small gap down which is indication that the current over extended bull run is somewhat exhausting and need a break/ pause ,so selling with calculated risk is seems to be favourable at current elevated levels and if price breakdown this support area on volume profile then we can expect a good correction towards 2700 or low.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
GBPUSD: Bears face limited downside ahead of BoE's Bailey speechOn Tuesday morning, GBPUSD is testing the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, pulling back from last week's bounce. Traders are on alert as they await comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Sellers keep the reins but have limited downside room available While GBPUSD’s failure to stay above the 100-EMA and bearish MACD signals encourage sellers, a declining RSI (14) and a six-month-old ascending support line suggest only limited room for further decline. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently supported by the 100-EMA around 1.2985 and an upward trend line near 1.2950, limiting immediate downside potential. If these levels break, the 50% Fibonacci retracement from April to September at 1.2865 could attract sellers, followed by the 61.8% retracement and August low at 1.2730 and 1.2665. On the upside, the 50-EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci level around 1.3085 and 1.3165 will be crucial barriers. However, the key focus will be the horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40. If GBPUSD can hold above 1.3040, the next target could be around 1.3315-20, with the previous monthly high at 1.3435 acting as a potential stopping point. Bears approach key support zone GBPUSD is nearing important support levels as traders wait for comments from BoE’s Bailey, along with this week’s UK and US PMIs and Durable Goods Orders. With a more hawkish stance from the Fed compared to the BoE and concerns about the UK’s economic strength relative to the US, the pair is likely to maintain its downward trend, even if the downside potential seems limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold : Due for correctionGold prices hit another record high during US session, yet it paused its advance amid elevated US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar (But gold ignored the DXY move completely in last week). On daily close as per price action we can see a gravestone doji which can open door for correction. So for today the plan is to sell under last day high , we can sell near CPR area(2722-2727) or wait for pullback to daily R1(2735) for possible sell opportunities, On lower side as you can see that price is currently in over elevated region and price did not tested the weekly pivot(2694) , so first we can expect a test at weekly pivot for this correction and then we have to watch how price going to react there .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls struggle amid overbought RSI, $70,100 eyedOn Monday morning, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced slight losses after reaching a three-month high. This movement highlights overbought RSI conditions, indicating weak upside momentum beneath the horizontal resistance area established since early June. Buyers remain hopeful Despite overbought RSI conditions and facing key resistance, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers remain optimistic. The pair is holding above last week’s breakout from a descending resistance line, which is now acting as support around $67,700. Additionally, bullish MACD signals suggest strong buyer momentum. Key technical levels to watch The horizontal resistance around $70,100 is a key barrier for Bitcoin bulls. They should also monitor the $70,000 threshold and recent highs near $72,000 as additional hurdles. If BTCUSD breaks through, the yearly peak near $73,800 and the $75,000 mark will attract buyers' attention. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaks below the former support at around $67,700, it could trigger a short-term decline. Key levels to watch include the previous monthly high near $66,500 and the 200-SMA support around $63,300. If prices fall below $63,300, the next significant support is at $62,500. A move past that could lead to a drop towards the psychological level of $60,000 and potentially a monthly low of around $58,870. Upside potential remains intact Overall, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers are likely to remain in control despite the challenges at key resistance. However, a price pullback is possible if the US Dollar strengthens from this week’s PMIs and Durable Goods Orders data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Advanced Rsi Divergence TradingRSI Divergence occurs when the Relative Strength Index indicator starts reversing before price does. A bearish divergence consists of an overbought RSI reading, followed by lower high on RSI. At the same time, price must make a higher high on the second peak, where the RSI is lower. If used correctly, RSI divergence can be profitable, providing early signals of trend reversals. However, it also carries risks, and traders should use it alongside other indicators and proper risk management strategies.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
MACD TRADING / Technical AnalysisMoving average convergence/divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The MACD indicator (or oscillator) is a very popular indicator among traders around the world for identifying trends and reversals. It was invented around 1977 by Gerald Appel, who was looking for a quality indicator that could immediately be interpreted.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Data Trading Part -1 It proves useful for assessing the depth and liquidity of specific strikes. It aids traders to find option premium against its corresponding maturity date and strike price. Option chain serves as a warning against breakouts or sharp moves in the index. How It Works: A long straddle options strategy involves simultaneously buying a call option and a put option on the same underlying asset with the same strike price and expiration date. This strategy becomes profitable when the stock significantly shifts in one direction or another.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
DATABASE TRADING WITH OPTION CHAINOption chain data is the complete picture pertaining to option strikes of a particular stock or index in a single frame. In the Option chain frame, the strike price is at the center and all data pertaining to calls and puts on the same strike are presented next to each other. Traders use an options chain to choose the specific option contracts that best align with their trading strategy. They can select options with the desired strike prices and expiration dates based on their market outlook. Options chains are crucial for assessing and managing risk.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
BTCUSDT Eyes Resistance at 70K: Short-Term Pullback ExpectedThis chart is of the BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/Tether) pair on the 1D (daily) time frame, showing that Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend within an ascending price channel. Brief Analysis: Uptrend in price channel: Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending price channel with higher highs and higher lows. The price remains above the lower trendline of this channel. Resistance around 70,000 USDT: A strong resistance zone near 70,000 USDT could challenge further price increases. It is likely that the price will face selling pressure at this level. Correction scenario: The chart suggests a possible short-term correction after reaching the resistance zone, potentially dropping to the 66,000 - 67,000 USDT area before resuming the uptrend. Moving Averages (MA): The moving averages show a positive signal, as the price has crossed above them, adding momentum to the bullish trend. This supports the longer-term upward movement. Strong support: The key support level for this uptrend is in the 63,000 - 64,000 USDT range, where the moving averages converge. Overall, the uptrend remains intact within the channel, but a short-term pullback is possible before breaking through the major resistance levels for further gains.
by Suyouu
Traps in Forex.Traps are very common moves played by big players at accumulation and distribution levels. They do so to grab the liquidity from retail traders. Liquidity grab is done by SL hunting of retail traders, and for SL hunting traps are being lay by fake breakout or breakdown of support or resistance level ( also known as accumulation or distribution level in western style). But, as a trader this traps can be played smartly by retail to gain some good move. I have attached a snapshot of my few trades from last month. I have mentioned how I traded those traps. Note: I have prepared this analysis today to post it for learning purpose. I don't remember my exact entry and exit price.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Babul_Priya
Gold renews all-time high within bullish channel, $2,750 eyedGold prices soared to a record $2,710, marking four days of gains as investors flock to safety. Despite a stronger US dollar, gold has remained within a rising trend channel for the past three months. Caution Ahead While the bulls celebrate breaking through a three-week-old resistance level, the momentum indicators suggest a potential pullback. With the RSI nearing overbought territory, we might see a brief dip before another surge in prices. Key technical levels to watch Gold’s next challenges lie at the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the bullion’s September-October moves, respectively near $2,711 and $2,736, especially amid nearly overbought RSI conditions. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the $2,736 hurdle, the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding $2,750 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. A breakthrough there could spark a rally towards the psychological $3,000 mark, with potential resistance around $2,800 and $2,900. On the contrary, Gold’s price has solid support at the $2,700 level and the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension around $2,686. If it falls below these, watch for a key support zone near $2,665, where the late September resistance and the 10-day EMA converge. Should XAUUSD bears keep the reins past $2,665, the channel’s bottom line of near $2,630 will be the last defense of the buyers. Buyers are likely to stay in control despite a potential pullback While a short-term pullback in gold prices appears overdue, the overall bullish trend is expected to hold strong due to global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold again reached at All time High : What next?As expected and as shared on daily updates ,we have seen a good bullish rally on gold again and gold re-tested the ATH level and now facing resistance on Intraday but there is no big indication of good rejection at ATH level: CPR is very extreme today and gold price still showing strength. Today we have some high impact data in US session that can generate good volatility For today: For Buy: We will wait for breakout above 2685 and on breakout we can look for buy on Intraday towards 2700, For Sell; Price need to see a good decline first /close on H4 and bears at least need to push the price under 2660 (Daily S1 for today) and then only we can look for sell opportunities on Intraday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
All eyes on GoldAs discussed in yesterday's update gold is still looking good to more higher and gold is following that statement perfectly , as you can see on hourly chart after a small pullback in yesterday trading session gold price took support at weekly pivot (2640) and after that price moving in higher side, for today also the CPR relation is positive and gold price is taking support on CPR area and we can expect continuation in higher side , weekly R1 is at 2677 and at that level we can expect another small pullback and then price can continue in higher side towards 2685 or higher level, there is no sign of good reversal so we have to wait for higher levels for any selling opportunities , the only limiting factor that currently stopping the gold bulls is strong dollar Index chart, but I think DXY is also due for correction which can help gold bulls to make a good move in higher side : overall the scenario is still favourable for buying on Intraday .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
1
BTC & Gold Price Action Analysis | Key Levels and Trade SetupsIn today’s video, I dive into the latest price action analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold. We’ll be breaking down key support and resistance levels, identifying potential breakout zones, and discussing trade setups you can keep an eye on. Thank you for watching! If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like the video and subscribe to the channel for more in-depth market analysis and swing trade ideas. Your support helps me continue bringing you high-quality content every week! Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and let me know which asset you’re keeping an eye on this week. Happy trading! #BTC #Gold #PriceAction #TradingAnalysis #Forex #SwingTrading
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alzubair_fx
Gold : Still looking goodDespite the strong Dollar Index gold doing good and currently trading near to All time high and still looking good to go higher, on technical basis also, If we watch the daily CPR formation , CPR is ascending for today also + gold price trading above weekly pivot (2640),So technically the price is still favourable for bulls and we can expect continuation in higher side as per this formation, yesterdays decline/ correction was not convincing enough for bears and I think it is normal corrective structure after a bullish structure and this correction can add more fuel for incoming bullish structure at least towards 2685. In Lower side we have to watch weekly Pivot as major Level for continuation or reversal point .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle