USD/JPY Braces for a Major Turnaround from the FedUSD/JPY is in a tense phase as it trades at 142.48, close to the key descending resistance line.
After failing to break through the 143.569 resistance level, the pair is sliding down, like a car rolling downhill, aiming for 141.269. But is this the final stop?
If USD/JPY cannot hold at 141.269, we might witness a further drop, potentially sliding down to the deeper support level at 139.786.
With the market heating up ahead of the Fed meeting, uncertainty is on the rise. Traders are holding their breath — will the upcoming Fed meeting provide a push to lift this pair, or will it intensify the downward trend? Get ready for some potential market "shocks"!
Forex
EUR/USD: Breakout or Pullback Amid Volatility?EUR/USD is "hovering" around 1.11636, with a significant "barrier" at 1.11826 and a key "support" at 1.11034.
The widening Bollinger Bands signal that a wave of volatility could strike at any moment.
RSI is at 59.09, indicating strong buying pressure, but still has room before entering overbought territory.
If EUR/USD breaks past 1.11826, it could continue its upward surge, but failure to do so might lead to a pullback towards 1.11034.
The "winds" of inflation data and interest rates from the Eurozone and the US will shape the next move!
AUD/USD: Resistance Barrier and Breakout OpportunityAUD/USD is steadily climbing on its upward path, with a solid "wall" of support at 0.67365, well "guarded" by the EMA 89 and EMA 34.
However, the biggest "obstacle" lies at the 0.68310 level – if it can't break through, the market might see a strong correction back to support.
But if this level is breached with sufficient momentum, the sky could open up for further gains.
Key factors like interest rates and inflation from the US and Australia will be the "big waves" impacting this trend. This is the time for traders to watch for clear market signals: sell if resistance holds or buy during a strong pullback to support!
EUR/USD: The Game Speeds Up Ahead of Fed’s Crucial HourEUR/USD is currently in a “pressure-cooker” phase as the price climbs to 1.11677, approaching the critical resistance level at 1.11916.
The bullish momentum is like an arrow shot straight upward, but will it have enough strength to break through and reach 1.12444? Or is this the moment when the market prepares for a “reversal” towards the support at 1.11225?
The EMA 34 and 89 are still holding the bullish trend intact, but don’t forget that this afternoon’s Fed meeting is a “ticking time bomb” for major volatility. With each interest rate announcement, the EUR/USD pair could either be “propelled” higher or experience a sharp “reversal.”
Traders need to buckle up, as this event could trigger a strong breakout or potentially signal the end of the current upward movement.
USDJPY: Sellers remain in driver’s seat despite BoJ’s status quoEarly Friday, USDJPY reverses the previous day’s run-up to the highest level in a fortnight as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) leaves monetary policy unchanged, as expected.
Oscillators, technical hurdles push back buyers within falling wedge
USDJPY recently reversed from a six-week resistance level, and the RSI is pulling back while the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, which keeps sellers optimistic. Additionally, the price remains below the 200-Exponential Moving Average, making it harder for Yen buyers. However, a bullish falling wedge pattern that has formed since early August could encourage buyers.
Technical levels to watch
The USDJPY pair's drop from a key resistance level, along with weak indicators, suggests sellers will target below 142.00. Key levels to watch are the psychological mark at 140.00 and the monthly low around 139.55. If buyers can’t hold above the falling wedge's bottom near 139.30, the price could drop to the mid-2023 low around 137.20.
On the flip side, the 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 143.70-144.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bulls. Following that, the quote’s quick jump toward the stated bullish wedge’s top line around 145.00 can’t be ruled out. If the price stays above 145.00, it could aim for 156.00, but breaking the 200-EMA at 145.30 is essential for that rally.
What next?
Given the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the key resistances, the USDJPY sellers are likely to have some more days to cheer.
GBP/USD Breakout Anticipation Near Resistance 1.33553GBP/USD is on the verge of a dramatic breakout! Currently trading around 1.32760, it's hovering just below the critical resistance level of 1.33553.
If GBP/USD fails to break through this resistance, it may retreat to the support level of 1.32396 – a moment where the market holds its breath, awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of England.
Alternatively, the next target could be the high of 1.33893 – where investors are eagerly hoping for a leap forward.
The game is heating up by the minute, and any news from these meetings could be the 'trigger' for significant volatility! Investors should stay vigilant as the market is about to enter a high-stakes scenario full of surprises!
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal.
With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal.
Technical analysis
Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545
SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618
BUY attention zone 2565-2545
EUR/USD Awaits Fed Signals, Potential for CorrectionEUR/USD paused its short-term rally on Tuesday, remaining hesitant above 1.1100 as traders anticipate Wednesday’s Fed meeting.
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.11302 after peaking at 1.11455.
If it fails to break the strong resistance at 1.11455, the price may correct towards the support level at 1.10741, before recovering back to 1.11135.
The EMA 34 (1.11029) and EMA 89 (1.10841) continue to support the uptrend, but indicators show signs of weakening.
MACD convergence signals a potential short-term correction.
USD/JPY Under Pressure, Facing Risk of CorrectionUSD/JPY is facing strong downward pressure, hovering around 141.56, with a downward trendline and key resistance at 142.541.
The EMA 34 (141.56) and EMA 89 (142.97) are reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
If the price fails to break through this resistance, USD/JPY is likely to correct towards the support area and potentially drop further to 138.37.
In terms of news, USD/JPY earlier dropped to 141.00 during the Asian session as the BoJ forecasted a rate hike, contrasting with the Fed's expected easing. This policy divergence places the pair at risk ahead of the Fed event.
USDINR By KRS ChartsDate: 3rd July 2024
Time: 7:40 PM
Why USDINR?
1. Everyone know INR is getting weaker against USD day by day, and same thing happened here since Oct 2022 but inside Rising Wedge Pattern in Weekly TF.
2. In Bigger view This Rising Wedge Pattern has formed around resistance line off Bigger Flag in Monthly TF. (Red Doted Line)
3. This pattern can either Breakout or Breakdown any side but after considering above both points its likely to Breakdown rather than Breakout till green dotted support line.
Currencies movements are on many Factors so Thats my view on USDINR is Slightly more bearish than Bullish.
But I will appreciate your views on this too, what you guys are thinking?
XRPUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the XRPUSDT daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the crypto's 0.5410 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.5560 level can cross the 0.6310 level and target the 0.7580 level.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with the formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation. As long as the crypto's level of 55554 is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the level of 58753 can exceed the level of 65022 and target the level of 69969.
GBP/USD Faces Risk of Correction After Short-Term PeakGBP/USD is currently trading around 1.32206 after reaching a short-term peak at 1.32653.
The main support level is at 1.31958, and if this level is not maintained, the price may correct to lower levels around 1.32232.
The EMA 34 (1.31474) and EMA 89 (1.31174) still indicate a short-term uptrend, but selling pressure is also starting to form.
Economic news from the UK and the US will be the key factors influencing the next move of this currency pair.
USD/JPY Under Bearish Pressure, Awaiting Fed DataDuring Tuesday's Asian session, USD/JPY is hovering near the 140.50 level, with key support at 139.570.
If the price holds above this level, it could see a recovery towards the resistance at 141.007.
EMA 34 and EMA 89 indicators are reinforcing the bearish pressure, positioned at 141.592 and 143.189, respectively.
If USD/JPY breaks above the resistance at 141.007, the next target could be 142.896.
The RSI is currently at 39.74, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant.
GBPUSD Faces Resistance at 1.32112 USD, Awaiting CorrectionCurrently, GBPUSD is trading around 1.31552 USD after breaking out of the descending price channel. The key resistance at 1.32112 USD presents a significant challenge for the upward trend.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines indicate that the short-term upward trend remains intact, though a correction may occur as the price reaches this resistance level.
Upon hitting this resistance, the price may pull back to 1.31537.
Investors are awaiting the upcoming Fed meeting and key economic data from the UK, both of which will significantly impact the future trend of GBPUSD.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS 15M TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
USD/JPY Falls Below 141.00 Due to Fed-BoJ Policy DivergenceUSDJPY is in a downtrend, trading around 140.908 after breaking the support level at 140.500.
The EMA 34 and 89 lines indicate that selling pressure remains dominant. If the price rebounds from this support, the short-term target will be 142.307. Otherwise, if the support breaks, the price may drop to 139.175.
Regarding news: USD/JPY continued to weaken below 141.00 in Friday's Asian session, driven by the policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ, which supported the Yen. Attention now shifts to U.S. sentiment data.
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July.
A bumpy road for the bulls ahead…
Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic.
Technical levels to watch…
To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively.
If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines.
What next?
Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
USDJPY Faces a Downtrend with Target at 135.492The USDJPY chart is showing a strong downtrend after reaching a peak in July.
Currently, the price is trading around 142.67 with a clear descending wedge pattern forming. Strong resistance lies at 147.537, while the projected downside target is 135.492.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 both indicate a downward trend, confirming selling pressure.
In terms of news, U.S. economic factors, especially the CPI report, are having a significant impact on the USD. If inflation decreases, the USD may weaken, allowing USDJPY to continue its downtrend toward lower levels.
xauusd wave C ... is buying opportunity ??XAUUSD in ABC corrective wave where
wave B retaced 100% of wave A.. and took lot of time to complete.
now expecting wave C to take lesser time to complete.
Wave C down in progress where minimum target of 2502 low made..
important support zone to watch is 2504-2500.
if broken than more down side possible 2490-85
Will be looking for buying opportunity if bullish candlestick pattern formed.
Disclaimer : study is educational