Gold Surges: Political Momentum and New OutlookAmid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold witnessed a sharp increase in price, closing at $2,716/ounce, reflecting strong demand for safe-haven assets. This recovery was evidenced by the price of gold breaking above both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating a reversal from the previous downtrend and opening up a positive outlook for prices in the short term.
I assess that global political factors along with the upcoming US economic policy will continue to be the main factors affecting gold prices. Investors should pay attention to these developments when making investment decisions in the current context.
Forex
EUR/USD Faces Strong Bearish Pressure: Is 1.0390 a Stop?The EUR/USD chart is currently showing a clear bearish trend as the price continues to stay below both the Bollinger Bands and the SMA. In particular, the downward cross of the SMA by the price line indicates that the bearish momentum is still very strong.
From a technical perspective, the next important support level could be at 1.0390, if the downtrend continues. It will be important to monitor whether EUR/USD can stabilize and recover at this level, or if it continues to decline. The recovery could be difficult as the short-term moving average (SMA) and the Bollinger Bands are still above the current price, forming strong resistance.
Overall, the current trend shows challenges for the euro, and I will continue to closely monitor the technical indicators to adjust my trading strategy accordingly
DXY PARABOLIC SETUP Update- DXY is currently trading at 107.4
- DXY has made a lot of USD-denominated pairs bleed and they are still getting slaughtered
- DXY is currently at a point where there's a lot of limit sell stops above the buy side liquidity
- Once the orders are consumed we might see another round of Impulse up to the marked displacement of 110-111$
- DXY pumping along with the Equity market, Crypto isn't a good sign there's a negative smart money divergence laying that's trapping and sucking liquidity from retail suckers.
- Sit at the sidelines and keep locking in gains until you see DXY flipping its structure to bearish
- Retail pattern traders might get flushed when they call this a double bottom.
Data Trading in optionsOptions data captures information on options contracts, including pricing and trading volumes, useful for investment strategies. Discover our guide and top options data providers.
By analysing the information provided in the option chain, traders can identify potential trading opportunities and make informed decisions about buying or selling options contracts. Option chains are used by traders to analyse and evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements.
Option chainAn options chain displays all available option contracts for a security, organized by expiration date and strike price. Options chains typically show each contract's bid price, ask price, volume, open interest, and implied volatility (IV).
Option chains also allows traders with the option to select the best expiration date for their options trading. The option's expiration date is the day it will stop being tradeable. Traders may use the option chain to identify the expiry date that provides the optimal balance of risk and return for their transaction.
Database Trading Typically a trading dataset will provide information about trades that are made over the course of the day. This includes various different details about the trades, such as the bid, bid size and ask size. This information is known as quote data.
Results show that migration to a MongoDB database would be most beneficial in terms of cost, storage space, and throughput. In addition, organisations wishing to take advantage of autoscaling and the maintenance power of the cloud should opt for a cloud native solution.
Journey of Advanced Divergence TradingCommon types of trading are intraday, positional, swing, long-term trading, scalping, and momentum trading. Trading involves exchanging goods or services. In stock trading, investors buy and sell stocks from companies within regulated markets overseen by Indian regulatory bodies.
Master these skills and then you'll get a genuine shot at being a trading master.
Skills #1 and #2 – Research and Analysis. ...
Skill #3 – Adapting Your Market Analysis to Changing Market Conditions. ...
Skill #4 – Staying in the Game. ...
Skills #5 and #6 – Discipline and Patience. ...
Bonus Skill #7 – Record Keeping. ...
In the End.
Professional TradingWhat Is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating statistical trends in trading activity, typically involving price movement and volume. It is used to identify trading and investment opportunities.
Unlike fundamental analysis, which attempts to evaluate a security's value based on financial information such as sales and earnings, technical analysis focuses on price and volume to draw conclusions about future price movements.
Key Takeaways
Technical analysis is used to evaluate price trends and patterns and thereby identify potential investments and trading opportunities.
Technical analysts believe past trading activity and a security's price changes can be valuable indicators of the security's future price movements.
Technical analysis may be contrasted with fundamental analysis, which focuses on a company's financials rather than historical price patterns or stock trends.
Technical analysis was introduced by Charles Dow.
Advanced Technical TradingWhat Is Price Action?
Price action is the movement of a security's price plotted over time. Price action forms the basis for all technical analyses of a stock, commodity, or other asset charts.
Many short-term traders rely exclusively on price action and the formations and trends extrapolated from it to make trading decisions. Technical analysis as a practice is a derivative of price action since it uses past prices in calculations that can then be used to inform trading decisions.
Key Takeaways
Price action generally refers to the changes of a security's price over time.
Different looks can be applied to a chart to make trends in price action more obvious for traders. This is especially true when analyzing data covering different time periods.
Technical analysis formations and chart patterns are derived from price action.
Technical analysis tools like moving averages are also calculated from price action and projected into the future to inform trades.
Though many use price action to forecast future prices, prior price action does not guarantee future results.
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Continues, 1.0560 Is KeyEUR/USD on the 1-hour chart is currently showing signs of a slight recovery from the lows around 1.0520. However, the main trend is still tilted to the downside as the EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to lie above the price, reflecting that selling pressure has not abated.
Personally, I think the bearish trend is still dominant and the 1.0560 area will be the deciding point whether the exchange rate can continue to recover or not. If it fails to overcome this resistance area, the possibility of EUR/USD continuing to fall to the 1.0520 area and even deeper is very high.
Will $2,640 Hold Amid Volatility?After a strong rally, gold is facing some downside pressure from its new highs. Specifically, the daily chart shows that gold has hit a key resistance level at $2,678/oz and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery.
Personally, I believe that gold is still in the accumulation phase after a strong rally, and the selling pressure may not be over yet. The next important support level to watch is $2,640, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This will be the deciding point whether gold continues its downtrend or starts to recover. If gold fails to hold this support level, we could see a deeper decline towards $2,600/oz.
Overall, given the current situation, I advise investors to be cautious and prepare for a scenario where gold could fall further if the next support levels are not held. At the same time, investors should also closely monitor market developments to quickly update and respond promptly to changes in gold price trends.
Looking for trade setup on Gold. Have a look at this. XAU/USD.XAU/USD on daily timeframe has switched from bullish to bearish but it’s still Bullish on weekly. We will take about weekly later but daily chart itself is speaking a lot of things.
We marked the market structure and it can be seen that there are multiple Orderblocks and Fvg that are pending and has to be mitigated before getting into Bullish bias.
For buy our plan would be to wait for any continuation trend on smaller time frame usually in 1Hr or 15min. For sell setup we would wait for a market structure shift on 1HR or 15min time frame. We are neutral for now & we need more validations. We have weekend coming. Forex & Commodity market doesn’t really have the volatile Mondays.
For a really nice setup we would have to be patience and need to follow our plan of action.
Follow us any stay updated with more setups tuning in.
Appreciate you’ll time.
Note this is for educational purposes only.
Will 1.2590 Support Hold?On the hourly GBP/USD chart, it is clear that the British pound is under pressure. The price is currently trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, which is a sign that the downtrend is still intact. The fact that the 34 EMA is below the 89 EMA suggests that the downtrend could extend.
In recent hours, it seems that the price has tested the support around the 1.2590 area but has not been able to recover above the 34 EMA, which indicates weakness in the GBP recovery attempt. If this support level is broken, we could see GBP/USD continue to decline to new lows.
EUR/USD In Bear RaceThe EUR/USD chart is showing a clear bearish trend, with the price moving below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating strong selling pressure. The 34 EMA has crossed the 89 EMA and is heading downwards, further reinforcing the bearish trend. The fact that the price continues to stay below these two EMAs is not a very optimistic sign for those who are expecting a recovery in the euro against the US dollar.
In the current scenario, the next important support point could be the 1.0400 area. If EUR/USD continues to decline and breaks this level, we could see a deeper decline, testing new lows. This requires traders to keep a close eye on the market developments and be ready to adjust their strategies to suit the current trend.
From a technical perspective, the current recovery appears to be just a technical recovery before the continuation of the downtrend. This increases the possibility of further declines, especially when there are no clear signs of a trend reversal. Investors need to carefully consider the risks and have a suitable capital management plan to avoid unnecessary losses in the current context.
Dow Futures Trading Strategy for 22nd November 2024Dow Futures Trading Strategy
Current Price: 43953
Trading Levels:
Buy Above 44150
Action: Wait for a one-hour candle to close above 44150 before entering a long position.
Target 1: 44280
Target 2: 44400
Stop Loss: 44000
Rationale: A breakout above 44150 indicates bullish momentum and the potential for an upward move.
Sell Below 43750
Action: Wait for a one-hour candle to close below 43750 before entering a short position.
Target 1: 43620
Target 2: 43500
Stop Loss: 43900
Rationale: A breakdown below 43750 signals bearish sentiment and potential for further downside.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
44150 (Immediate resistance and breakout level)
44280 (First target)
44400 (Major resistance)
Support Levels:
43750 (Immediate support and breakdown level)
43620 (First target)
43500 (Strong support level)
Important Notes for Traders
Candle Confirmation: Always wait for a confirmed one-hour candle close above or below the defined levels to avoid false breakouts.
Risk Management: Ensure your position size aligns with your risk tolerance. Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital.
Market Volatility: Monitor economic news, earnings announcements, and geopolitical events as they can significantly impact Dow Futures prices.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Futures trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. You may incur losses greater than your initial investment. Always consult a licensed financial advisor or perform your own due diligence before making trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
BTC |GOLD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 21 NOV | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
USDJPY Awaits a Breakout at 155.878
USDJPY is currently trading in a short-term uptrend but is being held back by a descending trendline and the resistance level at 155.878. After bouncing from the strong support at 153.350, the price is now fluctuating around EMA 34 (154.850) and EMA 89 (153.995), reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Rising U.S. bond yields and the Bank of Japan's dovish policies continue to support the USD, while the Japanese Yen remains under pressure.
The RSI at a neutral level of 51.52 indicates unclear market momentum. If the price breaks above 155.878, the uptrend could strengthen with a target near 157.000. Traders should closely monitor key levels to make informed decisions.
EURUSD Under Pressure, Support at 1.05151 Awaits TestEURUSD is currently continuing its downward trend, dominated by the descending channel and EMA lines.
After bouncing off the strong support level of 1.05151, the price is now testing resistance at 1.05663 but remains under selling pressure as it stays below the EMA 34, confirming that the main trend has not changed.
Risk-off sentiment has driven capital into the USD, increasing pressure on EURUSD due to the greenback's strength. At the same time, positive CPI data supporting the British Pound has reduced the Euro's appeal, further intensifying downward pressure on the pair.
If the price fails to break above 1.05663, it is highly likely to retest the support at 1.05151 and potentially decline further.
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders,
EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution.
Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
USDJPY: Uptrend Faces Challenges at 156.65 ResistanceUSDJPY is currently trading at 155.68, reflecting a significant upward momentum in recent sessions. After successfully testing the strong support area at 153.40—a confluence of the 89 EMA and an ascending trendline—the pair surged sharply toward the key resistance zone at 156.65.
However, the 156.65 – 157.00 zone is considered a "pressure area," with the potential to trigger a short-term correction. If the price fails to break above this resistance, USDJPY could pull back to test support at 154.70 or even deeper at 153.40.
On the news front, the USD remains strong, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its accommodative policy. Investors should pay close attention to key U.S. economic data, such as PMI figures and speeches from Fed officials this week, as these factors will strongly influence USDJPY's price action.
Strategy: Monitor price reactions at the 156.65 resistance zone. A breakout could target 157.50, while rejection at this level increases the likelihood of a pullback toward support levels.
USD/JPY Slight Correction After UptrendUSD/JPY is trending around 155, after a slight decline from the peak near 155.5. On the H4 chart, the price is testing the EMA 34, while the EMA 89 provides strong support at 154.0.
The nearest resistance is at 155.5, if broken, the price may continue to increase to the 156 area. On the contrary, if strong selling pressure causes the price to break the EMA 34, the target will be the 154.0 - 153.8 area.
Personal opinion: Currently, USD/JPY is in a state of hesitation, due to the lack of new momentum in the market. I expect the price to accumulate around this area before a clear breakout. Traders should monitor US economic data or any developments in bond yields to determine the next trend.
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark.
Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure.
Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
Gold Price Increases for 3 Consecutive SessionsWorld gold prices continued to increase for the third consecutive session, currently trading around 2,650 USD/ounce, up a total of 88 USD in the past three days. The main driving force of the uptrend comes from safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, along with the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies.
On the 1-hour time frame, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are providing good support for the uptrend, showing the strength of the buyers. The nearest short-term resistance is at 2,670 USD/ounce, if broken, the gold price may continue to increase to 2,680 - 2,690 USD/ounce. The current strong support is around 2,640 USD/ounce, if broken, it may pull the price down to 2,620 USD/ounce.
Personal opinion: The current uptrend is still maintained thanks to the positive sentiment in the gold market. However, the $2,650 - $2,670/ounce area is an important resistance level to watch. If the buyers cannot maintain the pressure, the price may correct slightly to accumulate before continuing the uptrend.
Note that the US interest rate policy in December may create a short-term correction period, but in the long term, gold is still very attractive due to geopolitical and macroeconomic instability. Personal opinion: If the price breaks the resistance, this is a good opportunity to consider continuing to buy orders.