GOLD RANGE PLAY — CLEAN SUPPLY & DEMAND REACTIONS AHEAD🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Nov 3, 2025
Main Timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Trendline Structure + Supply/Demand Zones
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues to consolidate inside a symmetrical triangle, forming clear supply and demand zones within a tightening range.
Current structure shows a bearish bias below 4039 but still holding a bullish base above 3970–3980.
Both buyers and sellers have clear liquidity zones to play from — ideal for short-term reactions and fade setups.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
🔹 BUY SCENARIO 1 (Main Setup)
BUY 3980 – 3978
→ SL: 3973 (6 pips)
→ TP1: 4010 | TP2: 4038
Structure support + local BOS. Wait for bullish rejection or engulfing confirmation.
R:R ≈ 5–9 depending on TP target.
🔹 BUY SCENARIO 2 (Aggressive Entry)
BUY 3970 – 3968
→ SL: 3963
→ TP1: 4000 | TP2: 4038
Deep retest into lower trendline + demand imbalance zone.
Only valid if market respects structure and holds above 3960.
🔸 SELL SCENARIO 1
SELL 4027 – 4029
→ SL: 4034
→ TP1: 4000 | TP2: 3970
Short from supply zone with bearish CHoCH confirmation on lower timeframe.
Rejection at this level can target liquidity below 3980.
🔸 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Higher Supply)
SELL 4037 – 4039
→ SL: 4044
→ TP1: 4010 | TP2: 3970
This is the weak high area — potential sweep zone before reversal.
Look for liquidity grab + bearish candle confirmation before entry.
🧩 STRUCTURE RECAP
Bias: Range-bound → Bearish within triangle
BOS / CHoCH: Confirmed on M30 around 4029 zone
Weak High: 4039
Strong Support: 3970–3980
Major Resistance: 4045–4128
⚙️ TRADE MANAGEMENT
Risk per setup ≤ 1–2%
Move SL → BE after TP1
Avoid entries during high-impact news
Wait for confirmation (no blind limits)
🧠 SUMMARY
Gold is ranging within a compressed structure, where shorts from supply and buys from demand both align with liquidity targets.
The cleanest play remains:
→ Buy near 3978 / Sell near 4038, trade between zones until a breakout occurs.
If price breaks and holds above 4045, expect bullish continuation to 4128.
If breaks below 3960, bearish expansion likely resumes toward 3920.
Forexanalysis
Gold Outlook: Bears Stay in ControlGold continues to operate within a bearish market environment characterized by persistent liquidation and declining momentum. The recent structural shift reflects an ongoing reallocation of capital away from defensive metals toward higher-yield instruments, signaling a broader change in market positioning.
Trading activity indicates that each upward movement is being met with renewed selling interest, suggesting limited participation from institutional buyers. This behavior aligns with the prevailing sentiment of caution, as investors prioritize stability over speculative exposure.
The broader outlook remains subdued, with market conditions favoring continued downside until clearer evidence of renewed demand emerges. Gold’s performance reflects a phase of market adjustment, where declining liquidity and moderate volatility reinforce the persistence of bearish sentiment across the short-term horizon.
AUD/CAD Approaching Support: Strong Bounce IncomingAUD/CAD has finished a strong 5-wave move to the upside, completing Wave (1)/(A). Since then, price has been moving in a corrective channel and is now forming an A-B-C decline toward the lower support zone. The current structure suggests one more push down to complete Wave C of (2)/(B), where buyers are likely to step back in. Once that final dip finishes, the chart expects a powerful Wave (3)/(C) rally to the upside, targeting new highs. In simple terms: small drop left → correction ends → strong bullish continuation ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Gold Declines as Sellers Dominate the MarketGold is undergoing a controlled correction phase after an extended period of sustained gains. Market behavior over recent sessions reflects a shift from expansion to contraction as liquidity flow decreases and momentum weakens across key time horizons.
The previous upward cycle attracted substantial speculative interest, but current market dynamics suggest profit-taking by institutional participants and reduced accumulation from large holders. The recent structural shift confirms that sentiment has turned defensive, aligning with global market caution amid evolving economic conditions.
Despite short-term consolidation, the broader setup indicates that gold remains sensitive to global financial stability concerns and policy signals. Market participants are now waiting for clarity on upcoming economic data and interest rate outlooks, which could determine whether the correction deepens or transitions into a new accumulation phase.
In the near term, volatility is expected to remain elevated as investors reassess exposure levels. The prevailing outlook maintains a cautious bias, with traders closely observing how price reacts to continued shifts in liquidity and macro sentiment. Sustained capital outflow from hedge assets could pressure gold further, while renewed demand for safety could limit downside potential in the medium term.
Euro Under Pressure from Strong USDThe euro continues to show weakness against the dollar as global risk sentiment cools and investors shift toward safer assets. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key inflation data from the Eurozone and upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, which could clarify the next phase of U.S. monetary policy.
The recent euro recovery attempts have met consistent supply, reflecting pressure from subdued European growth and stronger U.S. economic resilience. The dollar remains supported by robust labor market conditions and persistent inflation expectations, which sustain demand for U.S. yields and Treasury assets.
Liquidity patterns suggest that institutions are still offloading positions near recent highs, keeping EUR/USD confined within a broader corrective cycle. Energy price fluctuations and diverging rate expectations between the ECB and the Fed continue to weigh on sentiment.
Overall, the pair remains under macroeconomic strain, with capital flows favoring the dollar as global markets seek stability am
EURUSD Outlook: Dollar Dominance Extends as Euro WeakensThe EURUSD pair remains under downward pressure as investors continue favoring the U.S. dollar amid global economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s consistent stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer has reinforced the dollar’s appeal, while weak Eurozone data — including sluggish industrial output and fading consumer confidence — has weighed on the euro’s recovery.
Market sentiment shows limited bullish strength for the euro, with traders closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation and ECB policy comments. Unless the Eurozone presents stronger economic momentum or fiscal support, the euro is likely to remain on the defensive.
Overall, the fundamental tone supports continued USD dominance. The broader market structure reflects bearish tendencies for EURUSD in the medium term, with investors preferring dollar exposure as a safer bet amid global uncertainty.
XAUUSD | Bulls Maintain Weekly ControlGold continues to display firm momentum as investor confidence remains stable despite short-term fluctuations. The latest weekly candle structure shows price holding within a steady consolidation range, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Market behavior suggests large participants are preparing for another expansion phase after absorbing liquidity in the lower zones.
Institutional interest remains evident, with consistent buying pressure observed on dips, indicating sustained optimism for further growth. The current behavior aligns with broader market sentiment favoring safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. Overall, Gold retains its dominance as capital flows stay supportive of the uptrend, positioning the metal for renewed strength in the upcoming sessions.
DXY Ready for Next Bullish Leg After Liquidity SweepDollar Index maintaining bullish structure after recent BOS on 3H timeframe.Market formed consolidation phase early October before expansion.Buyers showing control pushing price towards 100.57 objective.Current retracement indicates liquidity grab before next bullish impulse.Demand zone 98.50–98.80 remains key area for continuation.Technical sentiment stays positive as long as price holds above 98.50.Fundamentally, dollar supported by strong U.S. data and cautious global tone favoring safe-haven demand.Momentum outlook remains bullish with potential continuation toward 100.50+ zone.
AUDNZD Trading Idea – Momentum & Liquidity OutlookThe pair has been in a clear expansion phase, showing strength after multiple structure breaks. Momentum has favored the upside, while recent consolidation reflects market participants taking profits and rebalancing orders.
A corrective wave appears to be unfolding, which is typical after strong impulsive moves. Such phases often allow liquidity collection before the next directional expansion. The broader sentiment suggests that buyers are still active, but short-term volatility may create temporary pullbacks.
Educational Note: Markets move in cycles of impulse and correction. Recognizing these phases helps traders avoid chasing moves and instead prepare for continuation opportunities once the correction stabilizes.
USDCAD Analysis – Market Recovery and Bullish OutlookUSDCAD Analysis – Market Recovery and Bullish Outlook
USDCAD Market Report
USDCAD is emerging from a completed downside leg into a constructive recovery cycle. The prior bearish momentum created imbalance, but recent order flow shows that liquidity has been absorbed, allowing buyers to regain control. The transition reflects a clean structural shift, where corrective pressure is evolving into directional expansion.
The sequence of price action highlights disciplined progression: accumulation at lower levels, controlled impulsive candles, and measured volatility. This behavior signals that the market is not in exhaustion but in the early stages of a potential bullish leg. The rotation from decline into expansion suggests renewed confidence from larger market participants.
Looking ahead, the pair remains positioned for continuation. The rhythm of correction followed by orderly advancement underlines a resilient structure, with market dynamics favoring sustained upside development in the medium term.
GBPJPY Analysis – Bullish Outlook and Market ForecastGBPJPY Analysis – Bullish Outlook and Market Forecast
GBP/JPY Market Outlook
The structure of GBP/JPY continues to highlight an orderly bullish cycle. Price action is showing clear phases of expansion, retracement, and continuation, reflecting strong market rhythm rather than random volatility. Recent break-of-structure signals confirm that short-term corrections are consistently being absorbed, with liquidity cycles providing fuel for further upside development.
The current pullback is part of a healthy market rotation, where positioning is reset before the next directional move. This type of behavior often signals strength, as it reflects deeper participation rather than exhaustion. The broader flow suggests that buyers remain in control, with momentum favoring sustained upside progression over the medium term.
In summary, GBP/JPY is maintaining structural integrity, with corrections serving as opportunities within an established bullish framework. The outlook remains constructive, supported by consistent market behavior and trend alignment.
GBPAUD Forecast – Liquidity Sweep Before Strong Upside RallyGBPAUD has been moving through an extended bearish cycle, confirmed by multiple downside breaks of structure that signaled strong sell-side control. Each leg cleared liquidity and left inefficiencies behind, reflecting a market environment dominated by distribution phases. Recently, however, the dynamics are shifting. Price action has begun to compress, with shorter bearish candles and emerging higher lows that point toward weakening seller momentum and the early signs of accumulation.
Order flow analysis suggests that institutional participants may be absorbing positions within the current range. The market appears poised to engineer a downward liquidity sweep to trigger weak longs and attract late sellers before reversing upward. This type of behavior is typical of smart money accumulation phases, where liquidity is harvested before expansion.
Volume and volatility add weight to this narrative. Downside moves are losing strength, showing seller exhaustion, while volatility has contracted, signaling the market is coiling energy for a breakout. Given the structural setup and liquidity positioning, the probability favors a bullish expansion following a brief dip.
“The Art of Traps: Understanding Fake Breakouts in XAUUSD”“The Art of Traps: Understanding Fake Breakouts in XAUUSD”
This chart illustrates how gold (XAUUSD) is currently navigating a critical battle between resistance and support.
At the top, the resistance zone (3440–3460) has already shown signs of rejection, hinting at a possible fake breakout scenario. Such traps are common in financial markets—they draw traders into buying late, only for price to reverse and capture liquidity.
On the downside, the chart highlights two important stages:
The first target lies around 3400, where short-term buyers may start taking profits.
The final target sits at the key support zone (3330–3320), which has acted as a structural backbone in past moves. If this level holds, we can expect another bullish leg; if broken, deeper downside pressure could unfold.
The sequence of higher lows in recent weeks demonstrates strength in the broader trend, but it also warns that markets are building energy before a larger move. Liquidity sweeps (marked in the chart) serve as reminders that price does not move randomly—it often seeks zones where orders are concentrated.
🔑 Educational Takeaway:
Trading is not just about spotting breakouts; it’s about understanding whether those moves are genuine or deceptive. By studying price behavior at resistance and support, traders can avoid falling into liquidity traps and position themselves with the “smart money.”
"Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?""Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with:
BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries.
Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels.
The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target.
Key technical levels:
Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area)
Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks
Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance
Market Sentiment:
The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone.
📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350
💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count Signals Downside TargetsThe EUR/USD chart is displaying a completed 5-wave Elliott impulse structure, suggesting the potential start of a larger corrective move to the downside. Wave 5 appears to have finished after a classic ending diagonal pattern, with price now breaking below the wave 4 support trendline — a strong confirmation of trend exhaustion.
Currently, price is retracing upward towards the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone of the last impulsive leg, around 1.15912–1.16383, which may serve as the final rejection zone for bears to re-enter. This area aligns perfectly with prior support-turned-resistance and is considered the potential reversal pocket.
If price holds below the 1.17869 invalidation level, the structure supports the beginning of an ABC correction or a larger bearish impulse.
Target 1 (T1): 1.14800
Target 2 (T2): 1.13915
Stop Loss (SL): 1.17869
This scenario remains valid as long as the price does not break above 1.17869. A clean break and close above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a possible wave extension.
DXY Long Setup Forming After Structure Reclaim-101.567This intraday chart on DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) showcases a structure-aware long setup using Leola Lens SignalPro on the 1H timeframe.
⚙️ Key Technical Highlights:
🟢 Multiple BUY signals appeared near 99.98–100.00 zone after reclaiming short-term structure.
⚪ Price holds above the white adaptive base trendline — suggesting support strength.
🟥 Liquidity Control Box defines a clear invalidation zone under 99.98.
🔁 Prior SELL signals failed to follow through, indicating weakening bearish momentum.
📊 Target projection: 101.567 (based on structural extension and signal alignment).
📌 What to Monitor:
🔎 A decisive candle close above 100.10–100.15 can confirm bullish intent.
🎯 Reward-to-risk favored on clean setups post-breakout, aligning with momentum model.
📉 Invalid if structure re-breaks below base zone with volume.
⚠️ Educational use only. Not financial advice. Structure zones visualize behavior — not prediction.
🔐 Invite-only tool — access details in author bio.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update –Classic Wave 5 Breakout Opportunity
This chart of the EUR/USD pair shows a well-structured Elliott Wave impulse pattern unfolding on the 4-hour timeframe. The price action is currently progressing in the final Wave (5) of the impulse cycle, which typically represents the last bullish leg before a larger correction begins.
Wave (1): The initial move up from the bottom (early May), showing a clean 5-wave internal structure.
Wave (2): A healthy retracement after Wave 1, forming a base for further upside.
Wave (3): The strongest and steepest rally, as expected in Elliott theory. It broke past previous highs and extended sharply.
Wave (4): A corrective phase that formed a falling wedge pattern — typically a bullish continuation pattern.
Wave (5): Currently in progress. The wedge has broken to the upside, confirming the potential start of Wave 5.
Target 1 (T1): 1.18306
Target 2 (T2): 1.19012
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16600
After a strong uptrend, the market went sideways in a wedge pattern (a typical wave 4 behavior). It has now broken out, signaling the start of the final wave 5 move. This is often a strong and sharp push. Since the breakout is clean and the Elliott wave count aligns well, this creates a favorable long opportunity.
GBP/USD Technical Insight – Reversal Opportunity from Demand GBP/USD Technical Insight – Reversal Opportunity from Demand Zone
The GBP/USD chart showcases a classic liquidity sweep and bullish reaction from a clearly defined support zone (1.3360 – 1.3400). After an extended bearish move, price entered the demand area, rejected strongly, and formed a potential bullish reversal setup, signaling a possible move toward the resistance zone near 1.3740 – 1.3800.
The use of Supertrend Indicator confirms a shift in market structure, supporting the bullish bias. This setup reflects a textbook example of smart money behavior — where price mitigates imbalance, grabs liquidity, and rallies from institutional zones.
⸻
🧠 Educational Key Points:
• Support & Resistance Zones are well-respected.
• Trend Shift confirmed after long accumulation.
• Liquidity Engineering: Market makers swept the lows before reversing.
• Confluence of Structure + Indicator adds high-probability confidence.
📌 Potential Trade Idea:
Buy from the support zone with targets near resistance; manage risk below the support zone for precision.
XAU/USD Enters Fourth Wave ConsolidationCurrently, XAU/USD appears to have completed the third wave, and the beginning of the fourth wave seems to be underway, indicating the start of a corrective phase. This correction can potentially extend down to the 3118.486 level. In terms of targets, the key levels to watch are 3166.464 and 3117.451 . Following this correction, there is a possibility that the fifth wave may commence.
CADCHF - TRADE ON LONG SIDESymbol - CADCHF
CADCHF is currently trading at 0.65000
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying CADCHF pair at CMP 0.65000
I will be adding more if 0.64500 comes & will hold with SL of 0.63900
Targets I'm expecting are 0.66100 & 0.66480
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GBPUSD LONGFOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
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