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Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones...XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones Gold is moving sideways on the H1 timeframe, with price fluctuating around the equilibrium zone and not choosing a clear direction yet. In this condition, I avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range — instead, I only trade at the liquidity edges, where volume is higher and order-flow signals are clearer. 🎯 BUY Scenario – “Liquidity Buy” at the Lower Range Buy: 4.191 – 4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 The 4.191–4.194 zone is a Liquidity Buy area: It aligns with the most recent sweep low. It sits near a thick volume cluster showing strong absorption of sell orders earlier. If price dips into this zone, I prefer buying back toward the upper boundary of the range, taking partial profits from 4.212 up to 4.26x. This setup follows the idea of catching the defensive buy flow that is protecting the bottom of the accumulation zone. 🔁 SELL Scenario – Sell POC at Upper Range 4.237–4.240 Sell: 4.237 – 4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 The 4.237–4.240 zone is a Sell POC / supply region: Heavy volume sitting at the top. Confluence with the current range high. Price has previously rejected several times from this region. If price returns to this zone, I prefer selling down toward the mid and lower range. SL is kept tight above 4.245 to avoid being caught by a genuine breakout. 1️⃣ Broader Context – Market Shock ≠ Market Collapse 2013 – Abenomics: BOJ’s extreme easing caused volatility, but no systemic crash. 2022–2023: Fed hiked aggressively; risk assets corrected but eventually recovered. Lesson: Modern financial markets are highly resilient to policy shocks. For gold, this means: Current pullbacks are not signs of a trend collapse — they are position re-balancing phases. Our task is to read price levels & liquidity instead of reacting emotionally to short-term news. 2️⃣ Technical View from H1 Price is ranging between ~4.19x and ~4.24x. Volume Profile shows most volume at the centre; liquidity is thin at both edges — perfect zones for stop hunts and reversals. A deeper Buy Zone POC lies around 4.16x. If price breaks below 4.155 and closes beneath it, the short-term bullish structure becomes threatened. With no clean breakout yet, I stick to a mean-reversion strategy: Buy at the liquidity bottom Sell at the supply top Until the sideways structure breaks 3️⃣ Today’s Trading Plan Only trade around the two edges: ✔ Buy Setup Buy: 4.191–4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 ✔ Sell Setup Sell: 4.237–4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 No entries in the middle of the range to avoid getting “bitten from both sides.” Keep risk at 1–2% per trade, do not widen SL. If price breaks strongly beyond either boundary and stabilizes, I stop the range-trading strategy and wait for a new structure. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow the TradingView account and share whether today you prefer BUY at the bottom or SELL at the POC zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA 1. Fundamental Analysis Toward the end of this week, the market is almost “holding its breath” ahead of the PCE report – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, considered the final key puzzle piece before the year-end meeting. Recent surveys show weakening consumer confidence and rising recession risks. However, Black Friday and holiday shopping numbers indicate demand is still fairly strong. For that reason, PCE will play the decisive role: If inflation continues to cool, the market will strengthen its ~87% expectation of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed, supporting equities and, in the medium term, providing a positive foundation for gold. Before the data release, gold typically trades sideways with compressed volatility as money stays on the sidelines waiting for clearer signals. Today, Lana treats the session purely as a scalping day, without opening any long-term positions. 2. Technical Analysis H1 timeframe: Gold is moving inside an ascending price channel, with each low higher than the previous one. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 zone. Above, resistance sits at 4219, and further up at the POC cluster 4241–4244. But with the current sideways behaviour, price has not shown any intention of a strong breakout. During Thursday and Friday morning, the range became noisy, with candles clustering around the mid-channel area – a sign of accumulation while waiting for a breakout. For this reason, Lana avoids buying or selling in the middle of the range. She focuses only on clear liquidity zones near the rising trendline for scalping. 3. Key Price Levels Buy scalping zone: 4185 – 4180 (trendline support + liquidity zone) Secondary support: 4165 – 4156 Near resistance: 4219 Major resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244 4. Trading Scenario ⭐ Primary (and only) scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping Buy: 4185 – 4180 Stop Loss: 4178 Take Profit: At least +15–20 pips from entry (Traders may choose to secure partial profits at nearby resistance levels.) Today, Lana will not open any long-term positions — she focuses solely on this scalping setup. Next week, once the PCE data and the Fed’s decision provide clearer market direction, she will share more detailed updates. 💛 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold analysis updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel...XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel Top & Buying at Trendline + Fibonacci Market Structure (H1) Gold is currently sliding inside a well-defined downward channel after forming a top around the 4.22x–4.23x region. With this structure in place, I avoid taking trades in the middle of the channel. Instead, I focus only on the two extreme zones: Sell at the upper channel resistance Buy at the lower trendline + Fibonacci confluence 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 1️⃣ Sell Scenario – Short Position at Resistance 4,203 Sell: 4,203 Stop Loss: 4,225 (aggressive) 4,249 (safer for swing positions) Take Profit: 4,183 → 4,161 → 4,143 Why 4,203 Is a Strong Sell Zone It is the upper resistance of the H1 descending channel. Price previously faced strong selling pressure here (supply zone). If gold pulls back to retest 4,203, I prioritise short positions following the channel structure. The first target is the recent low near 4,183, and extended targets lie at 4,161–4,143, aligned with mid-channel demand. 2️⃣ Buy Scenario – Long Position at Channel Bottom (Trendline + Fibonacci) Buy: 4,142 Stop Loss: 4,119 (aggressive) 4,098 (safer option) Take Profit: 4,170 → 4,198 → 4,205 Why 4,142 Is a High-Quality Buy Zone Confluence of the major ascending trendline, Fibonacci support, And a previous demand area. If gold falls into this zone and prints strong bullish reactions (pin bars, long wicks, rising volume), I consider it a valid counter-trend buy setup, aiming for the mid-channel and the 4.20x resistance. 📌 1️⃣ Fundamental Context The USD is attempting a short-term rebound from its lowest levels since late October, creating temporary pressure on gold. However, this recovery is limited because the market expects the Fed to shift toward a more dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling, with slowing growth. Labour market conditions appear softer in November. As a result, the probability of a 25bps rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting has increased. This keeps the medium-term outlook for gold positive, even though the current phase on H1 is still a technical correction. Summary: Short-term downside within the H1 channel, But medium-term bias for gold remains supported by rate-cut expectations. 📌 2️⃣ Technical Outlook & Market Psychology The H1 descending channel indicates a distribution/correction phase following a strong upward move. Each touch of the channel top triggers selling — showing sellers remain active at higher prices. The lower boundary + long-term trendline near 4.14x acts as an attractive area for medium-term buyers waiting for discounted entries. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prefer selling at resistance and buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: patiently wait for deeper zones near 4.14x, avoiding FOMO entries around 4.20x. 📌 3️⃣ Execution Plan I avoid trading in the middle of the channel. Only act at the two extremes: Sell setup: 4,203 Buy setup: 4,142 Risk per trade is limited to 1–2% of the account. Choose SL depending on timeframe (aggressive vs. conservative). If price breaks the channel decisively Above 4,249 (H1 close) or Below 4,098, → I cancel all current setups and reassess the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 ...XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 1. Fundamental Analysis The current market sentiment is dominated by concerns about a global economic slowdown. In a recession cycle, bond yields in the US and Europe tend to fall faster than in Japan, as these regions still have more room for rate cuts. This results in: A narrowing yield spread, causing USD/JPY carry trades to unwind. Increased risk-off sentiment, pushing money back into JPY and safe-haven assets like gold. If risk aversion strengthens further, USD/JPY may experience sharp declines rather than a slow drop. Such volatility in the currency market often triggers strong swings in gold as well, providing better liquidity zones to trade — instead of chasing price at unfavourable levels. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, gold is currently being squeezed between two major trendlines: Upper descending trendline: drawn from the 4,245–4,260 highs, indicating sellers are active whenever price touches this line. Lower ascending trendline: extending from the previous month’s low, acting as support for the medium-term uptrend. Key zones on the chart: Timing zone 4190–4194: Near the descending trendline + previous volume cluster. This is Lana’s preferred short-term Sell zone. Buy zone at POC – VAL (Volume Profile): A price area where strong trading activity occurred previously — potential buying interest if price corrects deeper. Buy Liquidity Zone 4100–4102: Located just above the major ascending trendline. An attractive liquidity zone for trend-continuation buys if the market flushes downward. Summary: Price may first retrace to 4190–4194 and weaken from there. If price drops to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this becomes a solid area to consider buying again. 3. Key Price Levels to Watch Resistance / Sell zone: 4190 – 4194 Invalidation for Sell (wide SL zone): 4219 – 4231 Support / Buy zone: 4100 – 4102 SL options for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk appetite) 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Short-Term Sell Setup Sell entry: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4219 – 4231 TP: 4181 – 4155 ⭐ Deep Buy Setup (Trend-Following) Buy entry: 4100 – 4102 SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON 03/12 1. Quick Summary Main timeframe: H2 – H4 Data used: TPO, Footprint, Elliott Wave, futures/option flow Core idea: Today Lana prioritises BUY setups only, aligned with Wave 5. Key zone: Buy around 4190–4194, SL 4185, TP targeting the Wave 5 peak near 4315. 2. Futures & Market Profile Data 1. US Session TPO – “Thin” Structure Yesterday’s TPO formed a Thin Profile, which commonly appears after a shakeout in an overall uptrend. The Value Area was accepted at the lower region, but the market did not spend much time there. Upper auction zones remain unfinished → increasing the probability that price will return to retest higher levels. 2. Footprint Chart – Strong Trap Sell with Negative Delta On the H1 candle, the Footprint chart recorded a Trap Sell with Delta around –1113 contracts. Sellers attempted a push down but were absorbed completely, leaving many short positions trapped at the candle’s low. Lana interprets this as a sign that smart money is accumulating — shaking out weak buyers while absorbing fear-based sell orders. 3. Elliott Wave Outlook & Key Price Areas The raw Elliott Wave count is still following the scenario Lana shared earlier this week: Monday: Uptrend confirmed. Tuesday: Wave 4 correction, offering a small sell opportunity. Wednesday (today): Expectation of Wave 5 upward, so Lana focuses on buying. The 4190–4194 zone aligns with the recent swing low and a strong liquidity/accumulation area. Ideal Take-Profit Levels: Minimum: Current Wave 5 high If the wave extends cleanly: Around 4315 Higher liquidity clusters at 4250–4260 and 4365–4370, based on H4/H2 chart structures 4. Trading Plan ⭐ Primary Scenario – ONLY BUY Today Buy: 4190 – 4194 Stop Loss: 4185 Target: Current Wave 5 top Extended target: Around 4315 (traders may divide TP depending on personal strategy) Lana does not recommend selling against the trend today. This is Lana’s personal market view based on TPO, Footprint, and the Elliott Wave model. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Potential Reversal Zone Forming After BOS & CHoCH StrucChart Analysis Based on the structure shown in your TradingView screenshot: 1. Market Structure The chart shows a clear bullish trend leading into the current price. Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) marks confirm buyers have been in control. The earlier CHoCH indicates a temporary shift, but price reclaimed bullish momentum afterward. 2. Current Zone Price has pushed into a potential reversal or supply area, shown by the shaded region around the “ENTRY” label. This suggests you are planning a sell (short) position from that zone. 3. Premium/Discount Logic Price is currently in the premium zone of the swing leg. The “50% TP” line marks the midpoint of the recent bullish impulse—typical target when expecting a corrective move. 4. Short Setup Elements Entry: At the top of the shaded zone (likely an imbalance or order block). Stop-Loss: Presumably above the swing high inside the grey shaded area. Take-Profit: At the 50% retracement of the previous impulse, which aligns with structure. 5. Momentum & Candlestick Behavior The latest candles show slowing momentum into your entry zone—wicks and smaller bodies indicate weakening buyer pressure. This supports the idea of a potential short-term reversal. 6. What Would Invalidate the Setup? A decisive close above the upper boundary of the shaded zone → would signal continuation upward and invalidate the short. 7. What Strengthens the Setup? Rejection wicks Bearish engulfing from the entry zone Lower time-frame BOS to the downside as confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12✨ XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12 1. Quick Update Today, Lana views gold as being in a short-term corrective phase, mainly forming Wave 4 in Elliott Wave, after a strong upward move earlier. The goal is to take advantage of this technical pullback to: Sell short toward lower price zones Then buy again at a strong support area in line with the main trend 2. Technical Analysis The 4250–4260 Liquidity Zone on the weekly timeframe is a very strong liquidity region based on Market Profile. Lana considers this an area prone to a “fake break” — price may push up to grab liquidity before pulling back. Based on Session data, Lana prioritises the scenario where: Price gets rejected around that upper liquidity region Then forms a downward move toward 418x, completing the Wave 4 correction Once Wave 4 is complete, the medium-term uptrend can still continue. 3. Key Price Zones Liquidity / Strong Resistance: 4250 – 4260 Short-term Sell Zone: 4236 – 4241 Buy Zone (Trend-follow Buy): 4180 – 4175 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Sell with the correction Sell: 4236 – 4241 SL: Above 4245 Target: 418x (can take partial profits around 4180) ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy with the trend after correction Buy: 4180 – 4175 SL: 4170 TP: Minimum 20 dollars (you may take profit gradually at nearby resistance levels) Lana’s Priority Approach Avoid buying directly at the Liquidity Zone 4250–4260 Be patient and wait for: ✔ Sell at 4236–4241 ✔ Buy at 4180–4175 following the main trend This is Lana’s personal view for the correction phase on 02/12. Please evaluate carefully and manage your risk before entering any trade. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci ...✨ XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci extension zones Gold enters the new week under a very special market backdrop: +6.0% in November, marking the 4th consecutive bullish month. This follows +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September. Year-to-date, gold is up about 60.7%, on track to record its strongest yearly gain in nearly five decades. With a market that is literally making history, I am not trying to pick the top. I continue to prioritise trend-following buys, and only consider quick counter-trend sells at extended Fibonacci levels. 🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP in line with the bullish trend Buy: 4,194 – 4,195 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL / lower boundary of the volume distribution after a strong impulsive move. It aligns with short-term structural support. If price pulls back cleanly into this area and forms a solid rejection candle, I prefer adding BUY positions with the prevailing trend. Take-profit structure: 4,210 – 4,235: Near-term resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. 4,270 – 4,295: Major extension zone 2.618 Fibo, where selling pressure and short-term reversals may become stronger. 🔁 Scenario 2 – Short-term SELL at Fibo 2.618 extension Sell: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,295 TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 This is a counter-trend setup, suitable only for small-lot scalping trades. If price is pushed into the 4,285–4,287 region (near the 2.618 Fibo extension) but fails to sustain momentum—leaving long wicks or clear bearish reversal signals—I will consider SELLing back toward 4.26x – 4.24x, and deeper to 4.210. 1. Technical View from the Charts The trend on H1/H4 remains strongly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows, and price respecting the upward channel. The latest impulse has already extended above the 1.618 Fibo, now targeting the 2.618 extension around 4.28x–4.29x. Below, VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper lies sell-side liquidity near 4.16x, where many buy-side stops are clustered (only relevant for deeper intraday corrections). Given this structure, every pullback into support is treated as a trend-continuation opportunity, not a reversal signal. 2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After months of strong gains, the market is showing clear FOMO behaviour. This is why I avoid buying directly at resistance and instead wait for price to return to accepted value zones (VAL/POC) for better risk-to-reward entries. The SELL setup is only a secondary scenario, triggered when price reaches a high Fibo extension and fails—usually leading to heavy profit-taking from earlier buyers. ✅ My Trading Plan Primary Setup BUY 4,194–4,195 SL 4,185 TP 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 Secondary Setup SELL 4,285–4,287 (only with a clean bearish reversal signal) SL 4,295 TP 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 Risk per scenario remains capped at 1–2% of the account. No widening of stop-losses, and I stay out if market structure breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure. Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building. 2. Liquidity & POI Zones There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders. An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move. PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area. 3. Expected Move The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone. The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line. The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend. 4. Probability Outlook As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish. A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
2
XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer ...XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer Buying at the POC for the Coming Week Gold closed Friday near 4,215, following a strong rally after the CME system glitch. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure is now clearly forming and remains relatively stable. Price has just broken out of a multi-day consolidation zone and is moving into the Fibonacci extension levels. With the current context, I continue to prioritise medium-term buy setups on pullbacks to the POC, rather than chasing price at new highs. 🎯 Primary Trading Plan – BUY THE DIP Using Fibonacci & POC Buy Entry: around 4,187 Stop Loss: 4,175 Target Levels: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 These profit-taking zones are derived from the H4 Fibonacci extensions, with the 1.618–2.618 levels being areas where strong profit-taking often appears in the market. For every position, I maintain risk at only 1–2% of the account — staying in the game matters more than trying to catch every top or bottom of a wave. Key Level: 4,160 is the major support and the “life line” of the H4 uptrend. If price breaks below and closes under 4,160 on H4, the current bullish structure is invalidated. In that case, I will pause the BUY scenario and rebuild a new plan — possibly considering a deeper SELL setup in the next analysis. 1. Fundamental Context Gold’s strong recovery momentum recently slowed down after failing to stay above the 4,160 region. However, the previous rally took place while the USD was weakening again, despite US bond yields attempting to recover across the curve. On the higher timeframes, gold is on track for its fourth consecutive bullish month, following the major breakout in October that once again drew attention to the 4,400 region. Prolonged geopolitical tensions combined with expectations of further Fed rate cuts give buyers enough reason to maintain mid-term positions, even if short-term volatility increases. Overall, the fundamentals remain supportive of the uptrend — unless there is a major shift in interest-rate expectations or systemic risk. 2. H4 Technical Analysis – Fibonacci Perspective The previous consolidation zone around 4,160–4,185 was broken to the upside with a series of strong bullish candles, confirming a higher-high, higher-low structure on H4. The POC (Point of Control) has shifted upward to 4,187, signalling heavy trading activity before the breakout — a suitable area for waiting on a retest to buy again. Fibonacci extensions from the latest bullish swing highlight important resistance clusters ahead: 1.618: the 4.24x zone — first profit-taking target, likely to see volatility. 2.618: the 4.35x–4.36x region — an extended target if the bullish trend continues strongly. With this structure, any pullback to 4,187 while holding above 4,160 is, for me, a medium-term BUY opportunity, not a reversal signal. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After a strong rally, the market is experiencing FOMO buying at elevated levels. This phase often brings sudden pullbacks to shake out late buyers. I avoid chasing the price during this stage. Instead, I wait for price to revisit the POC at 4,187, where volume previously accumulated, to secure a better risk-to-reward and a tighter SL. If buyers truly dominate, they will protect the 4,160–4,187 region. If not, stepping aside after structure breaks is safer than forcing a bias. Plan for Next Week Priority: Buy around 4,187 SL: 4,175 TP: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 If price breaks strongly below 4,160 and closes under it on H4 → Cancel all BUY plans and wait for a new structure before considering any deep correction SELL setup. Do not chase buys near high Fibonacci extension levels unless there is a clear intraday setup with a well-defined SL. If you find this perspective useful for your gold trading plan next week, follow the TradingView account and share which levels you are watching for entries. I always read the feedback to improve future analyses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE ...XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE UPTREND CHANNEL 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold is maintaining its upward momentum as investors closely monitor the Russia–Ukraine tension and the mixed signals around potential peace efforts. President Putin’s recent statements suggest peace proposals could form the basis of a future agreement, yet Russia is still prepared to continue fighting if conditions are not favourable. This creates a mixed risk environment — reducing short-term safe-haven demand but still keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated, which may pressure the USD in the medium term. In this context, Lana prefers the scenario where gold continues to follow the broader uptrend, looking for opportunities to buy on technical pullbacks into major liquidity zones rather than FOMO entries at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, currently trading near the midline of the channel. The dominant structure remains bullish, with no sign of a break of market structure. After a strong bullish candle, the market left a Strong Liquidity area below and created a small Gap under the channel — this is where Lana expects price to retrace and retest before resuming the upward movement. The Buy zone aligns with a major liquidity region near 4,166–4,167, close to the lower boundary of the channel — an ideal level for continuation buys during a controlled pullback. Using Fibonacci extensions, the key levels include: 1.618: near the current price — a region where price often pauses or consolidates 2.618: around 4,210 — Lana marks this as a potential short-term Sell scalping zone 3.618: around 4,235–4,237 — a stronger Sell zone where heavy profit-taking may appear The 4,155 level is a key structural boundary: If price breaks below and holds under this zone, Lana will stop prioritising long-term buy setups, as the bullish channel may be invalidated. 3. Key Levels to Watch Support / Buy zone & strong liquidity: 4,166 – 4,167 (near the midline descending toward the lower channel boundary) 4,155 — mid-term trend boundary Resistance / Fibo extension & Sell zones: 4,210 – 4,213: Sell scalping zone (Fibo 2.618) 4,235 – 4,237: Strong Sell zone (Fibo 3.618), near the channel top 4. Trade Setups BUY Setup: Buy: 4166 – 4167 SL: 4160 TP: 4182 – 4195 – 4210 – 4250 SELL Setup 1: Sell: 4210 – 4213 SL: 4218 TP: 4200 – 4185 – 4160 – 4145 SELL Setup 2: Sell: 4235 – 4237 SL: 4243 TP: 4212 – 4200 – 4185 – 4160 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read all updates early. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO ...XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO RETURN TO LIQUIDITY ZONES 1. Fundamental Analysis In today’s session, gold is holding a mild pullback after touching its highest level in nearly two weeks. Market sentiment has turned slightly more risk-on, causing capital to move away from safe-haven assets. This reduces short-term demand for gold and triggers profit-taking. However, the Fed’s dovish expectations continue to keep the USD weak, which remains a supporting factor for gold in the medium term. Lana views the current phase mainly as a technical correction and prefers waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones before taking action. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, after a strong upside move, price is slowing down and showing a confirmation of downward pressure from the upper resistance zone. The rising trendline beneath is still holding the overall structure, suggesting the broader trend remains intact, but momentum is fading and the market is entering a more indecisive phase. Below the price, the FVG demand zones around 4113–4111 and the deeper 4085–4088 represent liquidity areas where Lana expects buyers may step back in. Above the price, the 4194–4196 zone is a key resistance area, aligned with supply and upper liquidity, suitable for a correction sell setup if price retests it. 3. Key Price Zones to Watch Upper liquidity / major resistance: • 4194 – 4196 Lower liquidity / support & FVG zones: • 4113 – 4111: first demand zone, near the rising trendline • 4085 – 4088: deeper FVG zone, stronger support if correction extends 4. Trade Setups SELL: 4194 – 4196 SL: 4200 TP: 4175 – 4160 – 4122 – 4105 BUY: 4113 – 4111 SL: 4105 TP: 4133 – 4155 – 4170 – 4190 BUY: 4085 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4095 – 4110 – 4133 – 4150 – 4185 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170..XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170 Zone At the moment, gold has not shown a clearly defined medium-term trend. Price is moving around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting direction early, I prefer waiting for price reaction at key levels before taking action. The main focus today is the 4,160–4,170 area – where the market will decide whether to continue the uptrend or start a deeper correction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at 4,162–4,165 (Priority if No Clear Breakout) Sell: 4.162 – 4.165 SL: 4.173 TP: 4.140 – 4.122 – 4.110 – 4.100 The 4.162–4.165 zone on H1 is a strong resistance area combining Fibonacci confluence, previous supply, and proximity to the short-term rising trendline. If price taps this zone and shows weakness (upper-wick rejection, reversal candle, low volume confirmation), I prefer taking a short-term sell toward 4.140, with deeper targets at the liquidity cluster around 4.110–4.100. Risk for this scenario is capped at 1–2% per trade. Do NOT hold the position if price closes above 4.173. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY on Break Above 4,170 (Trend Continuation Confirmation) Buy: 4.171 – 4.173 (only after a clean breakout) SL: 4.163 TP: 4.188 – 4.200 – 4.215 If price breaks decisively above 4.170 and sustains above it, that confirms buyers are still in control. In this case, I switch my bias to buying the breakout, targeting the next resistance zones around 4.200–4.215, and possibly higher if momentum remains strong. Note: Only buy if the breakout is genuine — strong candle body closing above 4.170, not a stop-hunt wick that pulls back immediately. 1. Fundamental Outlook The DXY continues slipping below 99.50, now near 99.45, showing sustained weakness as markets increase expectations for a December Fed rate cut. Easier monetary conditions generally support gold because the opportunity cost of holding gold is reduced. However, U.S. initial jobless claims have dropped to the lowest level since April, showing the labour market is still resilient. This creates a mixed environment: rate-cut expectations support gold, but strong economic data may cause sudden volatility around news releases. Overall, fundamentals lean slightly bullish for gold, but not strongly enough to ignore potential technical pullbacks. 2. Technical Structure On the H1 chart, after a strong rally, gold is now consolidating right below the 4.160–4.170 resistance. The 4.162–4.165 region is a confluence zone: • horizontal resistance • previous supply • area where strong selling pressure appeared earlier The 4.140 level is the “correction confirmation level” — if price breaks and closes below it, the market will likely aim for the major liquidity area around 4.110–4.100, where many Buy-side stop losses are clustered. The current structure allows for both long and short setups, but each scenario requires clear price confirmation at the 4.160–4.170 zone. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan Both buyers and sellers are watching the same price zone — 4.160–4.170. This makes it a high-liquidity area where stops for both sides may get swept before the market shows its real direction. If price rejects strongly from this zone, it could be a sign of late buyers being flushed out. If buyers hold price above 4.170, trapped short positions may fuel a short squeeze toward higher resistance zones. My plan: I do not enter mid-range. I wait for clear signals: • Sell at 4.162–4.165 if reversal confirmation appears. • Buy at 4.171–4.173 after a confirmed breakout and hold above the zone. • Always use a hard stop-loss. No widening stops if price goes against the trade. If price breaks both zones without giving clear signals, I stay out and wait for a new structure instead of forcing a prediction. I always read feedback to improve how I share these analyses in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active...XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active, Continue to Prioritise Buying at POC I maintain the view that the current dominant trend is buying based on the inverse head–and–shoulders structure, and the bullish wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for price to retrace into the POC zone to re-enter with the trend, avoiding chasing buys at the highs. 🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC Buy: 4,133 – 4,130 SL: 4,123 TP: 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250 – extended targets if momentum remains strong For me, total risk per trade never exceeds 1–2% of the account. A good setup with poor risk management is still a bad trade. 1. Fundamental Context Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near its highest levels in about two weeks. The US Dollar is weakening as markets increase bets on the Fed cutting rates soon, following data showing continued cooling in inflation. Lower yields and a softer USD reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the flow back into safe-haven assets. With this backdrop, I do not prioritise large sell setups. Most pullbacks are mainly opportunities for me to accumulate long positions. 2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment On the H1 timeframe, gold has formed and activated an inverse head–and–shoulders pattern, confirming a bullish reversal phase. Price is retracing to retest the POC zone around 4,133–4,130, overlapping the previous accumulation area where heavy sell orders were absorbed. This is the zone I prioritise for buying. Below this lies a deeper FVG acting as secondary support; however, I’m not waiting for price to drop too far to avoid missing the core move of the pattern. Regarding price behavior, recent pullbacks have been absorbed quickly, with multiple long-wick candles showing buyers are still in control. I’m waiting for a clean pullback into POC with a strong bullish reaction to trigger the entry. 3. Action Plan Only enter positions when price returns to the 4,133–4,130 zone — absolutely no FOMO buying at higher levels. Take partial profits at 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250, leaving the remaining position open if gold continues to extend its bullish leg. If price breaks below 4,123 and closes under that level, I will cut the trade immediately and reassess the structure — never hold on to a bias when the market has changed. If this analysis is helpful, follow my TradingView channel and leave your comments. I always read feedback to improve and refine my future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND ...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its bullish momentum and has just formed a two-week high as expectations for an early FOMC rate cut strengthen. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are supporting gold, both from real-yield dynamics and safe-haven demand. With this outlook, Lana prefers waiting for a mild correction before buying with the trend, instead of chasing buys at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the market structure has shifted to bullish with consecutive BOS, confirming buyer control. FVG demand zones around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support, aligning with key swing lows after BOS. The upper zone around 4180–4200 is an FVG supply area and a premium/ resistance zone where price may react with a short-term pullback. With Fibonacci confluence, 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 match the 50–61.8% retracement of the latest bullish leg — ideal for waiting for a pullback to buy. 3. Key Price Zones Support / Discount (Demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / Premium (Supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trade Setups ⭐ Primary Scenario – Buy with the Trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐ Alternative Scenario – Deep Buy at Lower FVG Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐ Short-term Reversal – Sell at Premium Zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold forming Head–Shoulders Pattern...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold forming Head–Shoulders Pattern, waiting for pullback to POC for entry Gold is completing the final bullish leg of the Head–Shoulders structure on the H1 timeframe. Price has now reached the Fibonacci zone (both retracement + extension), which also aligns with a resistance cluster and the POC of the Volume Profile — so the current choppy reaction is completely normal. My plan is to use this pullback: → prioritize short-term Buy entries following the current bullish leg, → then look for Sell setups at the strong resistance above. Macro Background Russia continues missile strikes on Kyiv right after the US–Ukraine reached a “19-point framework”, causing peace prospects to stall again. However, secret negotiations among the US, Russia, and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi are still ongoing, though no major terms have been finalized. With “war not stopping – negotiations not settled”, global risk sentiment remains tense. This keeps medium–long-term demand for Gold strong. But in the short term, price may still show wide swings around key technical zones before choosing a clearer direction. H1 Technical Analysis – Head & Shoulders, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The Head–Shoulders pattern is now clearly visible. Price is currently in the right-shoulder completion phase, approaching upper resistance. Gold at the moment is: Hitting the Fibonacci retracement of the previous decline. Also overlapping with the Fibonacci extension of the short-term bullish wave → high chance of reaction and volatility. Below price, the 4090–4093 zone is a support/mini-POC area where Volume Profile thickens — ideal for a short-term Buy following the current bullish structure. Above price, the 4185–4187 zone is a strong resistance cluster: Confluence of potential right-shoulder top + old supply + Fibonacci extension. This is the area I will prioritize for Sell setups once the pattern completes. Notable Support/FVG zones: 4122–4116 (near support) 4169–4210 (mid-term FVG/resistance) Reference Trading Scenarios 1. Buy with the current bullish wave (short-term) Buy: 4091–4093 SL: 4085 TP: 4120 → 4145 → 4170 → 4190 → 4220 Logic: Buy at the confluence support + small POC, taking advantage of the upward push completing the right shoulder. Once the trade reaches +1R, shift SL to breakeven to protect capital. 2. Sell at the Head–Shoulders resistance zone (medium-term priority) Sell: 4185–4187 SL: 4193 TP: 4170 → 4155 → 4130 → 4110 Logic: This is a strong resistance zone overlapping the supply region and Fibonacci extension. Only activate the Sell if H1/M15 shows clear rejection signals (pin bar, bearish engulfing, weak volume) around 4185–4187. Additional Levels to Watch Support – FVG: 4122–4116 Resistance – FVG: 4169–4210 Can be used for quick scalp opportunities, but the main scenarios remain: Buy near 409x as long as major resistance hasn’t been touched. Sell near 418x when the Head–Shoulders structure shows completion signs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 After spending several days compressed inside a triangle pattern, Gold has finally broken the descending trendline on H1, absorbed liquidity around the FVG zone, and continued to hold above the breakout area. This shows that short-term bullish momentum is currently favored, with price targeting the higher Fibonacci extensions. Today the market is waiting for major data releases: CPI, PPI, retail sales… These numbers can create strong volatility, especially when gold is in an “overcrowded trade” condition. If US consumer data comes in strong, a deeper pullback may appear after a liquidity sweep. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) On H1, price has: Broken the descending trendline of the accumulation triangle. Retested the FVG + liquidity repurchase zone around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back upward. The 4.133–4.135 area, previously resistance, has now turned into support — a suitable zone for a buy-on-dip strategy. Technical Targets: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current bullish leg is around 4.16xx. Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + major liquidity pool sits around 4.23xx–4.24xx, aligning with previous highs — a zone where sellers may show strong reaction. Overall, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11, the short-term bullish structure remains valid. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario – Priority with Trend Buy on breakout – current price zone Entry: 4.130–4.133 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230 Buy on deeper retest Entry: 4.100–4.103 SL: 4.095 (you may choose a tighter SL instead of 3.995 for better R:R) TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 💢 SELL Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction at Resistance Sell: 4.167–4.169 SL: 4.175 TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990 This Sell setup is only for short-term scalping against the trend — priority is to close quickly at nearby TP levels. ⚠️ Important Notes Today includes CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data — spreads may widen and price can spike both ways. Gold is currently a crowded trade, so after strong rallies, deeper washout moves can occur to shake out weak positions. Best strategy: Prioritize Buy setups at confirmed support zones. Reduce position size before major news; avoid holding heavy trades through data releases. Treat Sell setups only as fast in–fast out scalps. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – With LanaM2 In summary, the breakout from the H1 triangle supports the scenario of Gold continuing upwards toward the Fibo 1.618–2.618 extension levels, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11 💛 Today, focus on finding clean Buy entries instead of chasing price, and be cautious during CPI & PPI releases. If you found this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to get daily Gold insights on TradingView ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 💛 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 After a strong drop, Gold is forming a clear Head & Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, aligned with the long-term ascending trendline. This pattern suggests the possibility of a bullish move back toward previous highs — but price may still dip lower to complete the structure first. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually shaping around the trendline + supporting FVG. The upper 50% Fibonacci area is a reasonable zone for the right shoulder to form. If price breaks above the neckline, it may head toward the major liquidity zone around 4200. In the short term, the 4118–4120 zone serves as resistance + neckline, making it suitable for a technical Sell setup. The 4040–4042 area aligns with the trendline + Order Block, forming a strong support zone for potential Buy entries if price makes a deeper correction. 🎯 Trading Plan (For Reference Only) 💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance) Sell: 4118–4120 Stop Loss: 4125 Take Profit: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040 💖 BUY Scenario (preferred with the main pattern) Buy: 4042–4040 Stop Loss: 4034 Take Profit: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200 ⚠️ Important Notes Trading based on patterns is always expectation-driven, so combine it with candlestick confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering. Upcoming FOMC Meeting and NFP report, especially after the long U.S. government shutdown period, may cause unpredictable volatility. Reduce position size and avoid holding large trades during major news events. 🌷 Final Thoughts from LanaM2 The H4 Head & Shoulders pattern on Gold is offering attractive opportunities for both short-term Sells and trend-aligned Buys 💛 Stay patient, wait for price to reach the marked zones, follow your stop-loss rules, and avoid FOMO during high-impact news. If you found this helpful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily Gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control? EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending structure that has been active for several weeks, with repeated breaks of structure marking the gradual weakening of bearish momentum. The pair has shown consistent attempts to reclaim internal structure, revealing that sellers are losing dominance at each successive swing. The recent price action highlights a slowdown in the bearish cycle, with the pair forming a compressed consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel. This type of price behavior typically represents absorption, where liquidity is collected before a potential directional shift. Multiple bullish breaks within the current leg signal that the market is preparing for a transition phase. The chart illustrates a clear reaction to the most recent liquidity sweep, followed by a controlled reset in order flow. Buyers have stepped in aggressively in previous cycles after similar setups, suggesting that the market is once again positioning itself for a recovery attempt toward higher inefficiencies. Volume distribution from the left side of the chart shows earlier institutional engagement, and the current region aligns with historical accumulation behaviors seen in prior EURUSD reversals. If the pair maintains strength within this consolidation pocket, the next move could be a bullish repricing wave targeting unmitigated zones above. Overall, EURUSD is showing signs of shift and structural recovery, with the current pattern favoring a bullish reaction in the coming sessions.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
$Gold: Breakdown or Bounce?🔻 #Gold Breakdown or Bounce? 🔺 Price tested a critical level (upward sloping trendline - Breakdown Retest ) after a bearish engulfing and is now pulling back. Will the breakdown continue, or can bulls reclaim control? 👀 Trendline break 🚨 Breakdown retest ⚠️ Key levels to watch: 🚧 Resistance: $4099.40 - $4126.08 / $4185.91 - $4195.21 / $4355.80 - $4381.44 🛡 Support: $4024.53 / $3932.10 - $3930.62 / $3953.00 Below $3953 → opens downside toward $3500.20–$3432.84 📉 Between ATH & $3953 → market likely stays trendless/choppy ⚖️ TVC:GOLD #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #BearishEngulfing #CandleStickPatterns #BreakdownRetest #BearishReversal #PriceAction #ForexTrading 📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Stocks_Mario
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalidation Condition H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX