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XAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena ImpactXAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena Shock: Gold enters a high-volatility week, trade liquidity zones News that the US Department of Justice has issued a criminal subpoena involving Fed Chair Jerome Powell is an extremely rare type of headline. When the market’s confidence in the Fed and US policy stability gets questioned, gold and silver can surge fast — but the price action often comes with violent two-way swings: a sharp push to grab liquidity, a hard pullback, then the real direction shows. That’s why this week I’m not chasing candles. The best approach is to trade reactions at key liquidity / support-resistance zones and let the market come to your levels. Macro context: why gold is moving differently right now Pressure on the Fed (and its independence) can reprice expectations for rates, which directly hits USD and US yields. If the market starts pricing aggressive cuts, gold tends to stay supported. But if yields whip around, gold can whipsaw too — fast. So instead of predicting the headline outcome, the priority is simple: wait for price to hit clean technical zones. Technical view (H1): uptrend structure holds, but price is trading in “premium” The structure still sits inside an ascending channel. After a strong impulsive leg up, price is consolidating near the top — a common setup before another expansion, but also a zone where liquidity grabs are frequent. Key zones to focus on Sell zone (premium): 4655 – 4660 Buy zone (value): 4413 – 4417 Mid-range resistance (chop zone): around the 45xx area Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1) Primary plan: BUY the pullback into value If price retraces into the major value support: Buy: 4413 – 4417 SL: 4403 TP1: 4500 – 4520 TP2: 4655 – 4660 This is the “clean structure” setup: a reset into value, then continuation with the channel. 2) Short-term scalp: SELL the premium reaction If price pushes into the major supply/liquidity zone: Sell (scalp): 4655 – 4660 (only with clear rejection on H1/M15) SL: 4670 TP: 4580 → 4520 This is a reaction sell — a common “profit-taking” area after headline-driven pumps. 3) Continuation setup: BUY after a confirmed hold above mid resistance If price breaks and holds above the mid resistance (45xx area): Look for a pullback after breakout to buy Targets remain towards 4655–4660, then higher along the channel. Conclusion This is a headline-risk week, so the key is no FOMO and no entries in the middle of the range. The two zones that matter most: Buy value: 4413 – 4417 Sell premium (short-term): 4655 – 4660 Which side are you leaning towards — waiting for the dip into 4415 to buy, or hunting a rejection near 4660 to sell? 👉 If this plan helps, follow LiamTradingFX to get the next XAUUSD updates early.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, and price action is confirming that the market is still respecting the ascending trend channel on the H2 timeframe. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows clearly intact. Price has successfully flipped the 4445–4450 zone from resistance into support, confirming strong buyer commitment. The impulsive leg toward the current highs suggests we are still in a continuation phase, not a distribution phase. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Liquidity Buy resistance flip: 4445–4450 This zone has already shown clean reactions and acts as a structural base for further upside. POC Buy zone: 4595–4600 This is a high-volume node where price is likely to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. Sellside liquidity sits just below current price, making a shallow pullback into value very possible before continuation. 🎯 Bullish Scenarios Primary plan: Look for BUY setups on pullbacks into 4595–4600 (POC) with bullish confirmation. Continuation target: If price accepts above current highs, the next upside objective sits around 4747, where higher-timeframe liquidity is resting. A clean hold above the trendline keeps the bullish thesis valid. 🧠 Notes Avoid chasing price at highs; wait for pullbacks into value and liquidity zones. Trade in alignment with trend + structure, not short-term noise. Patience is key while the market builds liquidity before the next expansion. ✨ Stay disciplined, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
GBPUSD · 15M · SMC OutlookPrice is trading deep into premium, pressing against a well-defined HTF supply zone. HTF Framework Clear bullish leg already completed. Buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. Premium zone aligns with prior distribution and weak highs. LTF Structure Momentum is slowing near the highs. Price is consolidating under resistance, hinting at distribution. Minor pullbacks are being absorbed, classic liquidity buildup behavior. Expectation A final push higher to sweep buy-side liquidity. Reaction from supply after the sweep. Strong bearish displacement targeting: Internal range low Prior demand imbalance HTF discount zone below Execution Plan Avoid longs in premium. Wait for: Liquidity sweep above highs Bearish displacement LTF MSS for confirmation Shorts favored post-confirmation. Partial profits at range low, runners into discount.
Short
by YCGH_Capital
The Silent Trap of Overconfidence in Gold Trading!Hello Traders! There is a trap in Gold trading that doesn’t look dangerous at all. It doesn’t come with panic, fear, or frustration. In fact, it often feels good. Calm. Confident. Almost comfortable. And that’s why it’s so deadly. That trap is overconfidence. It usually appears after a few good trades. You start reading Gold better. Entries feel smoother. Drawdowns feel smaller. Somewhere quietly, the market stops being respected and starts being assumed. That’s when Gold prepares its lesson. How Overconfidence Slowly Enters Gold Trading Overconfidence doesn’t arrive suddenly. It builds quietly, trade by trade. A few winning trades make setups feel obvious You start trusting instinct more than structure Risk rules feel flexible because “this one looks sure” Nothing looks wrong on the surface. But discipline starts loosening, silently. Why Gold Punishes Confidence So Hard Gold is not a market that rewards certainty. It thrives on uncertainty, liquidity, and reaction. The moment a trader becomes sure, Gold usually does the opposite. Entries get taken earlier than planned Stop losses get tighter or ignored Position size increases without logic Gold doesn’t need you to be wrong on direction. It only needs you to be careless with timing and risk. The Difference Between Confidence and Overconfidence Healthy confidence comes from following rules. Overconfidence comes from recent results. Confidence respects invalidation Overconfidence ignores warning signs Confidence waits for confirmation Gold can sense when traders stop waiting. How This Trap Affected My Gold Trading I’ve experienced this phase myself. After a good run, trades started feeling easy. I trusted my read a little too much. I pushed entries, adjusted stops emotionally, and expected Gold to behave. Losses came faster than expected Good setups failed without warning Emotional frustration returned suddenly Gold didn’t change. My discipline did. Rahul’s Tip The moment you feel too comfortable trading Gold, reduce size and slow down. Comfort is not mastery. In Gold, discomfort keeps you alert, and alert traders survive longer. Final Thought Gold doesn’t trap traders with fear alone. It traps them with confidence. When you feel unstoppable, pause. When trades feel easy, question them. The market respects humility far more than belief. If this post reflects a phase you’ve experienced in Gold trading, drop a like or share your thoughts in the comments. More real lessons coming.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
XAUUSD (H1) – Following the bullish channelpatience before continuation ✨ Market structure Gold remains in a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 timeframe. Despite recent intraday pullbacks, the overall structure is still bullish with higher highs and higher lows preserved. Current price action shows consolidation inside the channel rather than any sign of trend reversal. Technical outlook (Lana’s view) Price is rotating around the midline of the rising channel, indicating healthy digestion after the previous impulsive leg. The recent pullback appears to be a controlled correction, likely aimed at collecting buy-side liquidity before the next expansion. Market is still respecting structure and trendline support — no breakdown confirmed so far. Key levels to watch Buy-side focus FVG Buy zone: 4434 – 4437 A clean reaction here could offer a good continuation entry within the trend. Major buy zone: 4400 – 4404 This is the stronger demand area aligned with channel support and previous structure. Sell-side reaction (short-term only) 4512 – 4515 This zone aligns with Fibonacci extension and channel resistance, where short-term profit-taking or reactions may appear. Scenario outlook As long as price holds above the lower channel boundary, bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. A pullback into FVG or the lower buy zone followed by confirmation would favor another push toward channel highs and liquidity above. Only a clean break and acceptance below 4400 would force a reassessment of the bullish bias. Lana’s trading mindset 💛 No chasing price near resistance. Let price come back into value zones inside the channel. Trade reactions, not predictions. Trend is your friend — until structure says otherwise. This analysis reflects a personal technical perspective for educational purposes only. Always manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD H3 – Liquidity Dominates Near ATHGold is trading in a sensitive zone just below all-time highs, where liquidity, Fibonacci extensions, and trend structure are converging. Price action suggests a controlled rotation rather than a clean breakout, with clear reaction levels on both sides. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, with higher lows supported by an ascending trendline. The recent impulse confirmed bullish intent, but price is now stalling near premium liquidity, signaling potential short-term distribution. Market behavior shows buy-the-dip dynamics, while upside extensions are being tested selectively. KEY LEVELS FROM THE CHART Upper liquidity / extension zone: Fibonacci 2.618 extension near the top band This area represents profit-taking and sell-side liquidity, especially if price reaches it with weak momentum. Sell reaction zone: 4412 – 4415 (Fibonacci 1.618 + prior ATH reaction) A classic area for short-term rejection if price fails to break and hold above. Buy-side focus: 4480 This level acts as a buy-on-pullback zone, aligned with trendline support and prior bullish structure. Expected flow: Price holds above 4480 → attempts to push toward ATH → potential extension into the 2.618 zone. Failure to hold 4480 → rotation back toward lower structure for liquidity rebalance. MARKET BEHAVIOR & LIQUIDITY LOGIC Current structure favors reaction-based trading, not chasing breakouts. Liquidity above ATH is attractive, but the market may need multiple attempts or a deeper pullback before a sustained breakout. As long as higher lows are respected, pullbacks remain corrective. MACRO CONTEXT – DXY BACK ABOVE 99 The US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above 99 for the first time since December 10, gaining 0.14% on the day. A firmer USD can slow gold’s upside momentum in the short term. However, gold’s ability to hold structure despite a stronger dollar highlights underlying demand and strong positioning. This divergence suggests gold is not purely trading off USD weakness, but also off liquidity, positioning, and risk hedging flows. SUMMARY VIEW Gold remains structurally bullish on H3 Short-term price action is driven by liquidity near ATH 4480 is the key level defining bullish continuation Upside extensions may require consolidation or pullbacks before a clean break In this environment, patience and level-based execution matter more than directional bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Why Gold Loves Trapping Both Buyers and Sellers!Hello Traders! If you have traded Gold for some time, you’ve probably felt this frustration more than once. You take a clean buy, price stops you out and reverses. You flip to sell, and the same thing happens again. It starts feeling personal, like Gold is hunting you specifically. The truth is, Gold doesn’t hate buyers or sellers. Gold loves liquidity, and liquidity comes from trapped traders on both sides. This is not manipulation in the emotional sense. This is how a highly liquid, institution-driven market functions. Why Gold Rarely Moves in a Straight Line Gold is one of the most actively traded instruments in the world. Because of this, it cannot afford to move cleanly for long. Straight moves don’t provide enough participation. Clean trends attract late buyers at the worst possible prices Obvious breakdowns invite emotional sellers too early Both sides place stops at similar, predictable levels Before Gold commits to direction, it usually clears both sides first. How Buyers Get Trapped in Gold Buy side traps often appear after a strong bullish candle or breakout. The structure looks convincing, momentum feels strong, and buyers feel safe. Price breaks a visible resistance and attracts breakout buyers Stops get placed just below the breakout level Gold pulls back sharply to test liquidity below Buyers aren’t wrong on direction. They’re early, and early entries are expensive in Gold. How Sellers Fall Into the Same Trap Sell-side traps usually form after a sharp rejection or false breakdown. Fear builds quickly, and sellers assume the move is done. Price dips below support and invites aggressive shorts Stops cluster just above the rejected level Gold spikes upward to clear those stops Again, direction is not the issue. Timing is. Why Gold Needs Both Traps Gold doesn’t choose a side until enough liquidity is collected. Buyers provide one side of liquidity. Sellers provide the other. Trapped buyers fuel downside liquidity Trapped sellers fuel upside liquidity Only after both sides react does structure become clean This is why Gold feels chaotic to emotional traders and logical to patient ones. How This Changed My View on Gold Once I understood that traps are part of the process, not mistakes, my trading became calmer. I stopped reacting to the first breakout I waited for both sides to show their hand I focused more on reactions than predictions Gold didn’t change. My expectations did. Rahul’s Tip If Gold traps you once, learn from it. If it traps you repeatedly, it’s not the market, it’s impatience. The real opportunity usually appears after frustration peaks on both sides. Buyers get trapped. Sellers get trapped. Patient traders get paid. If this post matches your Gold trading experience, drop a like or share your thoughts in the comments. More real, experience-based lessons coming.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
3
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, caution POC.Market overview Spot gold has pushed above $4,470/oz, extending its strong performance after setting multiple record highs throughout 2025. The broader bullish backdrop remains intact, supported by trade-war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and accommodative monetary policy across major economies. Strong and persistent buying from central banks continues to underpin gold’s long-term outlook into 2026. Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders On the H1 chart, gold has clearly formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left shoulder: Formed after the initial sharp sell-off Head: A deeper liquidity sweep with strong rejection Right shoulder: Higher low, showing sellers losing momentum Neckline / POC zone: Around the 4460–4470 area, where price is currently reacting The breakout above the neckline confirms bullish intent. However, price is now trading around a POC (Point of Control), which is often prone to psychological reactions and choppy price action. Key levels to watch Bullish continuation zone Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure valid. A clean acceptance above the POC opens the door for continuation toward higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets. Pullback & risk zone Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349 If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper pullback into this liquidity zone is possible before buyers step back in. Fundamental context Gold’s recovery is driven by trade-war fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of looser monetary policy globally. Central bank demand remains a key pillar supporting prices. In 2026, gold performance will continue to be influenced by USD valuation, overall risk sentiment, and central bank policy decisions. Lana’s trading approach No chasing near the POC. Expect reactions and fake moves. Prefer buying pullbacks rather than entering at highs. If price holds above the neckline with strong structure, bullish continuation remains the main scenario. If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to be taken lower before looking for new buy setups. This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is for study purposes only. Always manage risk carefully. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity🟡 Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity ⏳✨ Gold is not a market that rewards constant action. It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing. Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses. ⏱️ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends Gold spends a large amount of time in: consolidation 🔄 slow accumulation 🧩 controlled ranges 📦 During these phases, price appears “boring,” but the market is actually preparing. Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity. 🧠 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk High activity leads to: impatience 😤 forced entries 🎯 emotional exits ❌ Good timing, on the other hand, comes from: understanding context 🧭 waiting for price to show intent 📊 acting only when conditions align ✅ Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets. 🏦 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better Large players do not chase every candle. They wait for: liquidity to build 💧 weak hands to exit 🧹 price to reach meaningful zones 📍 When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively — leaving overactive traders behind. ⚡ 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after: low volatility 😴 reduced participation 📉 trader boredom 💤 This is why patience is not passive — it is strategic. 🧩 Key Insight In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time. 🎯 Final Takeaway ❌ More trades ≠ more profits ✅ Better timing = cleaner execution 🟡 Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MarketViewLab
1
EUR/USD – Accumulation After Sell-Off, Structure-Based Long IdeaEUR/USD has seen a strong sell-off, followed by a sharp reaction from a well-defined support zone. This area has already proven its strength by absorbing selling pressure and pushing price higher. After the bounce, price is now consolidating near support instead of breaking down further, indicating potential accumulation at these levels. What Price Is Telling Us: Price is holding above the support zone with multiple rejections and overlapping candles, showing a clear loss of bearish momentum. Sellers are failing to push price lower despite earlier strength. This type of behavior often appears before a corrective move or continuation higher, especially after an impulsive decline. If this analysis helped you, like, follow, and comment for more clean Forex breakdowns. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please manage risk responsibly.
Long
by TraderRahulPal
6
XAUUSD – 3H Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – 3H Technical Analysis ✅ Lana is waiting for a pullback to enter safer BUY positions 💛 Trend: Strong bullish trend, continuously printing new highs Timeframe: 3H Current status: Price is moving vertically with no meaningful correction so far Strategy: Do not chase price. Wait for a pullback into liquidity zones to look for BUY setups. Market Context During today’s Asian session, gold surged aggressively and moved close to the 4,500 level — a price area never seen before. The rally has been extremely steep, with almost no pauses or minor pullbacks, clearly showing that buying pressure is dominating the market. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a continued dovish stance from the Fed are weakening the USD. At the same time, escalating geopolitical tensions are strengthening gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. The clean breakout above 4,375–4,380, followed by 4,400, has attracted additional momentum-driven and speculative flows into the bullish trend. 3H Technical Outlook On the 3H timeframe, the bullish market structure remains very clear, and price continues to respect the rising channel. However, after such an extended and sharp move, entering trades at elevated levels becomes increasingly risky. From Lana’s perspective, during phases like this, patience is far more important than chasing the market. Waiting for a proper pullback offers better risk-to-reward opportunities. If buying pressure remains strong after a consolidation or corrective phase, higher upside targets around 4,580 are entirely possible. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 🔹 Near-term BUY zone – Liquidity area Buy around: 4,415 This is the nearest liquidity zone where price may return to “reload” before continuing higher. Lana will closely monitor price reaction and structure at this level. 🔹 Longer-term BUY zone – Deeper correction Long-term Buy: 4,38x If the market delivers a clearer and deeper pullback, this zone becomes a higher-probability area for safer medium-term BUY opportunities. Trading Notes Avoid chasing price during periods of excessive volatility Only enter trades when lower timeframes form a clear structure in line with Dow Theory Reduce position size and prioritise risk management during highly euphoric market conditions 📌 Follow Lana as we analyse XAUUSD together on a daily basis.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
USD/CAD – Liquidity & Structure Based Short IdeaUSD/CAD has been trading inside a well-defined rising channel for a while. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of this channel, a zone where sellers have previously stepped in with strength. This area is not just resistance, it’s also a liquidity zone, where stop-losses of late buyers are resting above recent highs. Such zones often attract smart money activity before a directional move. What Price Is Telling Us: Price is currently stalling near resistance instead of expanding higher. We can observe Multiple rejections near the channel top, Overlapping candles showing loss of bullish momentum and Lack of strong follow-through despite previous volume spike. This behavior often appears before distribution or a corrective move, especially when price is trading at premium levels. If this analysis helped you, like, follow, and comment for more clean Forex breakdowns. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please manage risk responsibly.
Short
by TraderRahulPal
XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading Price has broken the channel, but buying momentum is weakening – waiting for a pullback to the trendline for entries Today’s Strategy Summary Gold has broken out of its price channel, but the key point is that buying pressure is fading after the strong acceleration. With the market approaching the holiday period and liquidity thinning, the focus is on trading at the right liquidity zones rather than chasing price or FOMO. Plan: Look for Buy opportunities on pullbacks into the trendline / old channel Look for Sell reactions at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478 1) Key Levels Today (from the chart) ✅ BUY zones (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are clean liquidity areas to wait for price to retrace into – true liquidity-based trading: let price come back to reaction zones, do not chase highs. ✅ SELL zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This is a premium + liquidity area. If price reaches this zone and fails to hold, the probability of profit-taking or a short-term reversal is high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a Pullback to the Channel/Trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often retests the old trendline or channel to confirm genuine buying strength. As buying momentum is weakening, the likelihood of choppy moves and liquidity sweeps is high. Patience is key – wait for 4379–4382, or a deeper pullback into 4361–4358. Expected targets (scalp / short swing): Capture 8–15 USD moves depending on volatility, taking partial profits as price reacts according to plan. 3) Alternative Scenario: Sell Reaction at 4474–4478 If price continues to push higher into the Fibonacci zone, priority is to Sell on reaction rather than chasing Buy entries. Only sell if there are signs of loss of momentum (long wicks, rejection, failure to close strongly above the zone). 4) News & Market Context: Thin Liquidity = Easy Sweeps With the market nearing the holiday period, liquidity is weak, increasing the chances of spikes and stop-hunts. Political and economic developments related to policy and tax matters are influencing corporate positioning, but at this stage, price is more likely to react to short-term capital flows rather than a sustainable trend. Conclusion: Today’s focus is “right zone – strict discipline”, avoiding mid-range entries and emotional trades. 5) Risk Management Risk per trade: maximum 1–2% Avoid trading when spreads widen or candles spike abnormally Which scenario do you lean towards today? A pullback to 4379 / 4361 for Buy, or a push to 4474–4478 for a Sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Quick Summary Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction Status: New ATH has been established Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones Market Outlook Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish. Technical Perspective After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend. Preferred Buy Trading Plan Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone Buy: 4371 – 4374 SL: 4165 This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly. Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone Buy zone: 4342 – 4339 SL: 4330 If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry. Fundamental View Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year. The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by: Expectations of further Fed rate cuts Strong inflows into ETF funds Net buying by central banks Escalating geopolitical tensions The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
EUR/USD Decision PhaseEUR/USD Decision Phase Recent candles indicate a slowdown in upside follow-through, implying that short-term positioning may be crowded. This pause does not immediately invalidate the broader constructive tone but introduces the risk of a corrective rotation as liquidity is rebalanced. The projected move on the chart highlights a scenario where price may seek efficiency before determining the next directional leg. Overall conditions suggest the market is transitioning from expansion into evaluation. Continuation higher would require renewed participation, while failure to attract follow-through could lead to a deeper reset driven by profit-taking and short-term repricing. Patience is advised as the market reveals whether this phase resolves through continuation or corrective realignment. Price action reflects a market that has recently expanded after a prolonged phase of balanced participation. The sequence of higher intraday pushes shows growing initiative from buyers, supported by repeated structure continuation and shallow pullbacks, suggesting confidence rather than urgency. Momentum has remained constructive, with price spending more time advancing than correcting, a sign of controlled accumulation rather than emotional buying. Recent candles indicate a slowdown in upside follow-through, implying that short-term positioning may be crowded. This pause does not immediately invalidate the broader constructive tone but introduces the risk of a corrective rotation as liquidity is rebalanced. The projected move on the chart highlights a scenario where price may seek efficiency before determining the next directional leg. Overall conditions suggest the market is transitioning from expansion into evaluation. Continuation higher would require renewed participation, while failure to attract follow-through could lead to a deeper reset driven by profit-taking and short-term repricing. Patience is advised as the market reveals whether this phase resolves through continuation or corrective realignment.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook - 18/12/2025📊 XAU/USD Quick Outlook Gold is trading near 4,326, showing short-term weakness, but the overall trend is still bullish on higher timeframes. 🔑 Key Levels • Support: 4,320 – 4,300 • Resistance: 4,335 – 4,345 🟢 Bullish: Above 4,320 → targets 4,345 → 4,370+ 🔴 Bearish: Below 4,320 → targets 4,300 → 4,260 📌 Intraday Tip: Sell near resistance, buy near support only after confirmation. ⚠️ Expect volatility during USD news. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Markets are volatile—trade with proper risk management and at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to ...XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to “set the direction” | Buy on a break above 4355, Sell if the trendline breaks Strategy Summary (10-second read) Ahead of the US CPI data, gold is likely to stay range-bound and only make a decisive move once there is clear structural confirmation. Price is still holding within an ascending channel, but volume is declining noticeably → priority is confirmed break trades, no FOMO. Buy only if price breaks and holds above the strong resistance at 4355 Short-term Sell if the rising trendline breaks Mid-term Sell if the key low at 4306 is broken Key Levels (Important chart levels) Major resistance: 4355 (the “gateway” for bullish confirmation) Sell scalping zone: 4354–4355 (short-term reaction area) Sell liquidity zone: 4392 (overhead sell-side liquidity) Structural level / key low: 4306 (a break opens mid-term sell potential) FVG / deep liquidity draw: 4248 (target if strong distribution occurs) Scenario 1: Bullish Move (Activated only if 4355 is broken) Confirmation: Price breaks and holds above 4355 (preferably with a clear H1 candle close). Buy entry: 4348 SL: 4340 TP1: 4355–4360 TP2: 4392 (sell-side liquidity zone) Logic: With declining volume, fake breakouts are common. Therefore, buys are only valid once price decisively clears the directional resistance at 4355. Scenario 2: Short-term Bearish Move (Preferred if the rising trendline breaks) Confirmation: A clear break of the lower trendline of the ascending channel → sell the breakdown. After the break, prioritise selling on a retest of the trendline / nearby resistance Avoid chasing price at the lows First target typically lies near the below-liquidity area around 4306 Logic: The trendline acts as the “backbone” of the uptrend. Losing it during CPI conditions + weakening volume increases the probability of a fast sell-off to sweep liquidity. Scenario 3: Mid-term Bearish Move (If 4306 is broken) Confirmation: A clear and decisive break below 4306. At that point, mid-term sell positions can be prioritised based on structure Expected targets: Extension towards deeper support zones, with the 4248 FVG being a notable liquidity draw. News Context (Why confirmation matters today) The market is waiting for US CPI, a key inflation release that can shift expectations around the Fed’s rate-cut path. This directly impacts the USD and the next directional move in XAUUSD. ➡️ Today’s focus: wait for range breaks + strict risk control. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% If stopped out: pause and wait for fresh confirmation (no revenge trading) This analysis is shared for perspective and trading planning purposes only
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛 Quick Summary Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely Market Context The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors. From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves. H1 Technical View On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions. With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity Buy: 4302 – 4306 SL: 4298 This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible. Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance Sell: 4351 – 4355 SL: 4360 This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range Lana’s Note 🌿 Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306) Strategy Overview Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline. 1) Technical View Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely. However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move. On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear. 2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL) Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL) ✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL) SL: 4295 Near TP: 4320 – 4330 Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks. Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone ✅ Sell: Around 4370 SL: 4380 TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area) Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup. 3) Trend Confirmation Conditions Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones. If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price. 4) Fundamental Context CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term. Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves. 💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today? Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual Market Context The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales. In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones. Technical Outlook After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move. Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL Sell: 4308 – 4312 SL: 4320 This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue. Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support Buy: 4253 SL: 4240 This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts. Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone Buy: 4213 SL: 4200 This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long. Session Notes Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty. On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
9
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 Strategy Summary Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan focuses on two key “high-quality” zones on the chart: POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with money flow. Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone. Key Levels BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area) SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373 Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241 Invalidation level: 4191 Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC) ✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation) SL: 4287 (below POC to avoid noise) TP1: 4330 – 4338 TP2: 4370 – 4373 (near the Fibonacci sell zone) Logic: POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price often gets attracted back to this level to collect liquidity before deciding the next direction. Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone) ✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for reaction or loss of momentum, do not chase sells) SL: 4382 TP1: 4338 – 4330 TP2: 4295 (back to POC) Logic: The Fibonacci premium zone is where profit-taking pressure often appears. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it usually offers a clean reaction sell setup. Alternative Scenario – If POC Is Broken If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle under this level, I will not force buys. In that case, priority shifts to waiting for price to react at: 4238 – 4241, or deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone. Always keep in mind: 4191 is the invalidation level. News Context (to Avoid Getting Stopped Out) Trump’s concerns about economic impact “not fully priced in yet” may increase political risk and market sensitivity. Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on economic outlook could trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, causing gold to fluctuate. Tip: Avoid late entries during news spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the planned zones. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels. If you are also watching 4295 and 4373, share your view: 👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance. Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend. On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for Early Week Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1