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(Gold) 45-Minute Chart — Support Hold & Upside Retest Scenario Chart Analysis: Market Structure: Gold is in a short-term corrective phase after a strong bearish impulse. Price made a lower low, then started forming higher lows, suggesting a potential short-term recovery within a broader downtrend. Key Support Zone (Red): The marked support around 4,850–4,900 has been respected multiple times. Buyers stepped in aggressively here, confirming it as a demand zone. The current price is consolidating just above this area, which is constructive. Resistance Zone (Green): The resistance around 5,150–5,200 aligns with a prior breakdown area and supply imbalance. This zone is the logical upside target if bullish momentum continues. Price Behavior: After bouncing from support, price is grinding higher with smaller candles, indicating controlled buying rather than impulsive selling. This favors a pullback-and-push scenario rather than immediate rejection. Bullish Scenario (as drawn): A successful hold above support, followed by a clean push, opens the door for a move toward the resistance zone (target). A brief dip into support with rejection wicks would strengthen this bias. Invalidation: A strong close below the support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and expose price to further downside continuation. Bias: 🔹 Short-term bullish toward resistance 🔹 Medium-term still cautious / corrective
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fxjack_22
Bearish Pullback Into Resistance, Downside Target in FocusMarket Structure Price previously made a strong impulsive drop, followed by a rounded bottom / corrective recovery. That recovery looks corrective, not impulsive (overlapping candles, curved structure), suggesting a bearish continuation setup rather than a trend reversal. Key Zones Major Resistance (≈ 5,100 – 5,130) This zone previously acted as support, then flipped to resistance (classic S/R flip). Price is projected to retest this zone before rejecting. Support / Target Zone (≈ 4,750) Strong demand zone where price previously reacted sharply. Labeled clearly as the downside target. Pattern & Bias The white projection suggests a pullback → lower high → continuation down. This resembles a bearish retracement into resistance, aligned with: Prior breakdown level Failure to reclaim key resistance Momentum on the right side is weaker than the prior sell-off → bearish divergence in structure. Trade Idea (Based on the Drawing) Bias: Bearish below resistance Entry Area: Near the resistance zone (~5,100) Invalidation: Clean break and hold above resistance Target: Support zone around ~4,750 Summary Gold appears to be in a bearish continuation phase, with price likely retracing into resistance before rolling over. As long as resistance holds, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the marked support. If you want, I can:
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by FXCLASSICAL
USDCHF Is Not Weak – It’s Testing Support!USD/CHF is currently trading inside a well-defined rising channel, and the recent move lower looks more like a pullback into trend support rather than a breakdown. For me, this is typical behavior in trending markets. Strong moves don’t continue in a straight line, price pulls back, tests support, and then decides the next direction based on reaction. As long as the rising support holds, the broader structure remains intact. The next move will depend on how price behaves from this zone, not on short-term volatility. This is a structure observation, not a prediction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk.
Long
by TraderRahulPal
BTCUSD (1H) – Bearish Continuation | Trendline Breakdown IdeaMarket Structure Bitcoin remains in a clear descending channel on the 1H timeframe. Price has consistently respected the downward sloping trendline, confirming a strong bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Technical Confluence Trendline Resistance (Red): Multiple rejections validate seller dominance. Auto Pitchfork: Price is trading below the median line, indicating continuation toward the lower parallel. Dynamic Support (Green): The recent breakdown below channel support signals bearish continuation rather than a reversal. Balance of Power (BoP): Reading around -0.38 reflects sustained selling pressure with no bullish divergence. Price Action A brief consolidation failed to hold, followed by a strong bearish impulse that broke key intraday support. The current move suggests momentum-driven continuation, not exhaustion. Trade Idea Bias: Bearish Sell Zone: Pullback toward broken support / descending trendline Targets: First target: Previous minor low Extended target: Lower pitchfork boundary / demand zone Invalidation: Sustained close above the descending trendline Conclusion As long as BTC remains below the descending trendline and pitchfork median, the path of least resistance is downward. Any retracement into resistance is likely to be a selling opportunity unless market structure shifts. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gems-Trades
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Safe-haven bid is back, but structure is still corrective | Trade the zones, not the headlines Quick summary Gold is up for a second day as US–Iran tensions revive safe-haven demand. At the same time, expectations for Fed rate cuts keep the USD on the defensive, which typically supports non-yielding assets like gold. However, with ADP and ISM Services PMI ahead, short-term volatility can spike fast — and that’s exactly where gold tends to run liquidity before choosing direction. My approach: respect the macro tailwind, but execute based on structure. Macro context Gold usually benefits when: geopolitical risk rises (risk-off flows), rate-cut expectations increase (lower real yields), the USD weakens or struggles to sustain a bounce. That said, pre-data sessions often produce fake moves. The market will likely “test” both sides before committing. Technical view (H3 – based on the chart) Price rebounded sharply from the recent low, but the overall swing structure is still in a correction / rebalancing phase after a major impulse down. Key zones on the chart: Major supply / premium target: 5570 – 5580 This is the clear “sell reaction” zone if price expands higher. Current decision area: around 5050 – 5100 Price is pushing back into a key mid-range level — where continuation must prove acceptance. Deep demand / liquidity base: 4408, then 4329 If the market fails to hold higher supports, these are the next magnets for sell-side liquidity. This is a classic: bounce → retest → decide environment. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A: Continuation bounce If price holds above the current base and continues to reclaim levels: Upside rotation can extend toward 5200 → 5400 → 5570–5580 Expect reactions near each resistance band, especially approaching premium. Logic: safe-haven flows + softer USD can fuel continuation, but only if price accepts above the mid-range. Scenario B: Rejection and rotation lower If price fails to hold above 5050–5100 and prints rejection: Expect a pullback back into prior demand Deeper continuation opens toward 4408, then 4329 Logic: corrective rallies often redistribute before the next leg lower, especially around major data. Execution notes With ADP + ISM ahead, avoid chasing candles. Wait for price to tag the zone and show a clear reaction. Trade smaller if spreads widen. My focus: If price accepts above the mid-range, I’ll respect the bounce. If it rejects, I’ll treat the move as a corrective rally and look for rotation lower. Either way, I’m trading levels — not headlines. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
1
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam ViewXAUUSD (H2) – Liam View USD strength continues to limit gold | Sell-side structure still active Quick summary Gold remains under pressure on the H2 timeframe as a firm US Dollar keeps weighing on precious metals. The recent rebound looks corrective and lacks solid acceptance above supply. With markets positioning ahead of the delayed US Non-Farm Payrolls on Feb 11, volatility may increase, but structure still favours selling rallies. Macro context A stronger USD generally acts as resistance for gold and silver. If the current USD rebound sustains, downside pressure on gold can continue. Positioning ahead of US labour data increases the risk of liquidity-driven moves. Technical view (H2) After a sharp sell-off, price bounced from demand but stalled below previous distribution. Key zones Major sell zone: 5115 – 5130, extending toward 5535 Current reaction area: around 5000 Key demand / liquidity base: 4550 – 4580 Lower highs below resistance keep sell-side control intact unless price reclaims 5115 decisively. Trading scenarios Primary: Sell rallies into 5000 → 5115, targeting 4550 Continuation: Clean break below 4550 opens further downside Invalidation: Only strong H2 acceptance above 5115 shifts bias bullish Execution notes Expect stop runs near data releases. Wait for level reaction, not candle chasing. Bias: sell rallies until structure changes. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
Chart Analysis — Rounded Bottom Reversal Toward Key ResistanceMarket Structure Price formed a rounded bottom (cup-like reversal) after a sharp selloff, signaling exhaustion from sellers and a gradual shift to buyers. The lowest point (circled) shows strong demand absorption, followed by higher lows → early trend reversal behavior. Key Levels Support zone: ~4,890–4,950 This area held firmly and acted as the base for the bounce. Buyers consistently defended it. Entry zone: Just above support The pullback into prior support + bullish reaction suggests a safe long entry on confirmation. Mid resistance: ~5,100 Price already reclaimed this zone, flipping it from resistance into short-term support. Major resistance / target: ~5,210–5,250 This is the next liquidity zone and logical profit target, aligned with previous supply. Momentum & Price Action The white projected path shows a bullish continuation scenario: Break and hold above 5,100 Brief consolidation / retest Push toward the upper resistance band No immediate signs of distribution yet; momentum favors continuation unless price loses the support zone. Bias Bullish while above ~4,950 Invalidation if price accepts back below support with strong bearish candles. Trade Idea Summary Bias: 📈 Bullish continuation Entry: Support retest / bullish confirmation Target: 5,210–5,250 Risk: Breakdown below support
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by FXCLASSICAL
XAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical Outlook – Consolidation & Range-Building Phase After the recent sharp sell-off, gold is now transitioning into a consolidation phase on the H2 timeframe. The strong bearish impulse has slowed, and current price action suggests the market is shifting from directional movement into range-building and accumulation, rather than continuing lower immediately. This type of behavior is typical after aggressive volatility, as the market reassesses value and balances supply and demand. Market Structure & Current Behavior Structurally, price has broken below the prior bullish leg and is now trading within a defined value range: Selling pressure has eased following the downside expansion. Price is rotating around the VAL and lower value areas, indicating acceptance rather than rejection. Momentum is no longer impulsive, pointing to sideways development rather than trend continuation. As long as price remains inside this value range, range trading conditions dominate. Key Value & Liquidity Zones Upper Resistance / Supply Sell Liquidity: 5,330 Sell Zone POC: 5,045 These zones act as overhead supply where upside attempts may be capped during consolidation. Lower Support / Demand VAL zone Buy scalping POC: 4,673 This lower area represents short-term demand, where downside moves are more likely to stall during the accumulation phase. Intraday Expectation For today’s session: Primary expectation: Sideways consolidation within the established range Price is likely to rotate between value extremes rather than trend strongly Breakouts require clear acceptance above resistance or below support to shift bias Until such acceptance occurs, patience and range awareness are more effective than directional conviction. Key Takeaway After strong volatility, markets often pause to rebuild structure. For now, gold appears to be absorbing orders and forming balance, making consolidation the higher-probability scenario. Refer to the chart for highlighted value zones and projected range behavior. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early market structure updates and intraday outlooks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Before the Next Decision | Lana ✨ Gold is showing signs of stabilization after a strong sell-off, and today’s price action may favor Scenario 3: a corrective rebound. This is not a full trend reversal yet, but a likely recovery phase into key imbalance zones, where the market will decide whether to continue lower or rebuild structure for a broader rebound. 📈 Market Structure & Context The recent move down was impulsive, clearing multiple supports and creating a clear bearish displacement. Price is now reacting from a lower base, suggesting selling pressure is slowing and a technical retracement can develop. In this environment, the focus is on how price reacts at FVG/supply zones above, not on chasing moves in the middle of the range. 🔍 Key Zones to Watch Today Buy Liquidity / Base Support: 4640 – 4645 This is the current stabilization area and the most important zone to defend for any rebound scenario. FVG Support Zone: 4953 – 4958 First major upside target for a corrective rebound. This zone may act as a magnet for price, but also as a reaction area. Sell FVG (Upper Supply): ~5250 – 5320 If the rebound extends, this becomes the next resistance zone where selling pressure may return. Strong Resistance: ~5452 A higher objective only possible if price shows clear acceptance and trend rebuilding above key levels. Structural Pivot: ~5104 A key mid-level. Acceptance above it would strengthen the rebound thesis. 🎯 Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Plan If price holds above 4640–4645 and continues to build higher lows, the market may attempt a push back into imbalance: First recovery path: 4640–4645 → 4953–4958 If price accepts above the mid-structure: → 5104 Extension (only with strong acceptance): → 5250–5320 Higher target (less likely today): → 5452 This is a structure-first environment: the rebound is valid as long as price defends the base and prints cleaner bullish follow-through. 🧠 Lana’s View Today’s setup leans toward a retracement-driven rebound, where price rebalances into key zones after a sharp drop. The best approach is to stay patient, track reactions at 4953–4958 and 5250–5320, and let structure confirm whether this rebound is only corrective or the start of a broader recovery. ✨ Stay calm, respect the zones, and let price confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish TrendXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish Outlook Structure broken | Selling pressure remains dominant Quick summary Gold has shifted into a clear bearish phase after failing to hold key support levels. The strong sell-off has broken the prior bullish structure, and recent rebounds show signs of weakness rather than accumulation. At this stage, the market is no longer in a buying/entry environment. The priority is selling rallies, not catching bottoms. Market structure The previous uptrend has been decisively invalidated by a sharp downside impulse. Price is now trading below former support, which has flipped into resistance. Recent recovery attempts lack follow-through and are corrective in nature. This keeps the broader intraday-to-short-term bias bearish. Key technical zones Primary sell zone: 5100 – 5110 Former support turned resistance. This area favours sell reactions if price retests. Secondary sell / liquidity zone: 4860 – 4900 A corrective bounce into this zone is likely to attract sellers again. Near-term support: 4690 – 4700 A weak support area that may give way if selling pressure resumes. Deeper downside targets: 4400 – 4450, then 4120 if the bearish momentum expands. Trading plan (Liam style: sell the structure) Primary scenario – SELL rallies As long as price remains below 5100, any rebound should be treated as corrective. Sell reactions are preferred at resistance and liquidity zones, targeting further downside continuation. Secondary scenario – Breakdown continuation Failure to hold 4690 – 4700 would confirm continuation lower, opening the path toward deeper value zones. Invalidation Only a strong reclaim and acceptance back above 5100 – 5150 would force a reassessment of the bearish bias. Key notes Volatility remains elevated after the breakdown. Avoid premature buying/entry against structure. Let price come into resistance, then execute. Trend and structure first, opinions second. Focus for now: Selling rallies while structure remains bearish. No bottom fishing. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam Weekly Trading PlanStructure has shifted | Early-week focus stays SELL on rallies Quick summary Gold has completed a sharp downside expansion after a prolonged bullish run, breaking the prior structure decisively. The current price action shows weak recovery attempts, suggesting the move lower is corrective-to-distributive rather than a completed reversal. For the start of the week, the bias remains clear: sell the structure, not chase bounces. Market structure The previous uptrend has been fully disrupted by an impulsive sell-off. Price is now trading below former support, which has flipped into resistance. Current rebounds lack momentum and show characteristics of corrective pullbacks, not accumulation. This keeps the market in a sell-on-rallies environment until proven otherwise. Key technical zones Primary sell FVG / resistance: 4970 – 5000 This zone aligns with imbalance and prior liquidity and is the preferred area for sell reactions. Secondary sell FVG: 4795 – 4820 A lower reaction zone where price may stall before continuing lower. Deeper liquidity target: 4340 – 4350 This remains the main downside objective if the structure continues to unwind. Upper invalidation zone: 5300+ Acceptance above this area would force a reassessment of the bearish bias. Early-week scenarios Primary scenario – SELL rallies As long as price remains capped below the 4970–5000 zone, any rebound should be treated as corrective. The expectation is for further downside continuation toward lower liquidity. Secondary scenario – Deeper pullback If price fails to reclaim the first sell zone cleanly, a slow grind lower into the 4795–4820 area may occur before continuation. Reassessment condition Only a strong reclaim and acceptance above 5300 would invalidate the current sell structure. Key notes Early-week price action often clears residual liquidity. Avoid counter-trend longs inside resistance. Let price come to the level, then execute. Structure > opinion. Weekly focus: selling corrective rallies into FVG and resistance, or waiting for price to show a clear structural shift before changing bias. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term AnalysisXAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term Outlook: Volatility Reset Before the Next Structural Move | Lana ✨ Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off from the highs, marking a clear shift from expansion into a volatility reset phase. While the broader bullish trend has not been fully invalidated, price action now suggests the market is entering a medium-term rebalancing process, where liquidity and structure will play a decisive role. At this stage, the focus moves away from short-term noise and toward key daily levels that will define the next swing direction. 📈 Higher-Timeframe Structure (D1) The strong vertical rally has been followed by a deep corrective candle, indicating distribution and profit-taking at premium levels. Price has broken below short-term momentum support but is still trading above major higher-timeframe trend structure. This behavior is typical after an extended rally, where the market needs time to absorb supply and reset positioning before choosing the next medium-term direction. The current structure favors range development or a corrective swing, rather than immediate continuation to new highs. 🔍 Key Daily Zones to Watch Major Resistance Zone: ~5400 – 5450 This area represents strong overhead supply. Any recovery into this zone is likely to face selling pressure and should be treated as a reaction zone, not a breakout zone. Strong Liquidity Level: ~5100 A key magnet for price. Acceptance above or rejection below this level will heavily influence medium-term bias. Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: ~4680 – 4700 This is a critical downside target where stops and unfilled liquidity are resting. High-Liquidity Buy Zone: ~4290 A major higher-timeframe demand area. If price reaches this zone, it would complete a deep correction within the broader bullish cycle and open the door for medium-term accumulation. 🎯 Medium-Term Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Corrective Recovery, Then Sell Pressure (Primary): Price may attempt a rebound toward 5100 or even the 5400–5450 resistance zone. As long as price remains below this resistance, rallies are more likely to be corrective, offering opportunities to reassess shorts or reduce long exposure. Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Correction: Failure to reclaim 5100 increases the probability of a continued move lower toward 4680–4700, where sell-side liquidity is resting. Scenario 3 – Deep Reset and Structural Buy: If downside momentum accelerates, a move toward the 4290 high-liquidity zone would represent a full medium-term reset. This area is where stronger buyers may re-enter and where the next swing-long narrative could begin to form. 🌍 Market Context (Medium-Term View) Such sharp daily moves often occur during periods of macro repricing and sentiment shifts, forcing the market to rebalance expectations. In these environments, gold tends to oscillate between liquidity zones, rather than trend cleanly in one direction. This makes patience and level-based execution more important than prediction. 🧠 Lana’s Perspective The market is no longer in a “buy-every-dip” phase. This is a transition environment, where gold needs to finish its liquidity work before the next sustained move develops. Lana stays neutral-to-cautious in the medium term, focusing on reactions at daily liquidity zones, not emotional bias. ✨ Let the structure reset, let liquidity clear, and wait for the market to show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
High volatility post sell-off, market rebalancing.Market Context Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off on H1, breaking the short-term bullish structure after an extended impulsive rally. This type of move typically reflects liquidity distribution and capital rebalancing, common during periods of heightened macro-driven volatility. From a macro perspective: USD volatility remains elevated due to rate expectations and upcoming data Risk sentiment is unstable, with fast capital rotation Gold remains a safe-haven asset, but no longer trades in a one-directional flow ➡️ Current phase: high risk – avoid FOMO – trade only at key levels Structure & Price Action (H1) Previous bullish H1 structure has been invalidated Price is trading below the rising trendline → short-term trend weakness Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals Wide intraday range increases the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides Key insight: 👉 This is a transition phase. The market needs time to rebuild structure before committing to a directional move. Trading Plan – MMF Style Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary Bias) Look for SELL opportunities on corrective rallies into supply zones. SELL Zone 1: 5,020 – 5,060 (short-term supply + technical pullback) SELL Zone 2: 5,180 – 5,240 (major supply + confluence with broken trendline) ➡️ Execute SELLs only after clear rejection or failure to hold structure. Scenario 2 – Buy at Deep Liquidity Zones BUY setups are considered only at major demand areas with strong reaction. BUY Zone 1: 4,670 – 4,650 (H1 demand + prior reaction low) BUY Zone 2: 4,500 – 4,490 (deep liquidity absorption zone) ➡️ No blind bottom picking ➡️ Wait for clear reversal confirmation before entry Expectations & Targets Short term: choppy price action and high volatility Directional clarity comes only after consolidation Holding above 5,240 opens room for deeper recovery Losing 4,500 expands the corrective leg Invalidation SELL bias invalidated if price holds firmly above 5,240 BUY bias invalidated if H1 closes decisively below 4,490 Summary Gold is currently in a high-volatility transition phase, where patience and discipline matter more than frequency. The edge is not trading more, but waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones and react with clarity. ➡️ Trade less, trade smarter ➡️ Structure first, entries second
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD MARKET VOLATILITY - REALITY CHECK Noise is high around XAUUSD with headlines like “trillions wiped out” and “gold crashing”. Let’s keep it factual. Gold is volatile due to profit-booking after a historic rally, geo-political uncertainty, and US policy expectations. This is correction + consolidation, not a confirmed crash. 💡 “Trillions wiped out” = notional intraday value swings, not permanent losses. Key Levels to Watch (XAUUSD) Resistance: 5250 – 5300 Support: 5080 – 5000 (major demand zone) Below 5000: Only if volatility expands with strong volume Key Takeaway for Traders 🎯 High volatility ≠ clear direction Avoid revenge or blind trades Let price settle → trade with risk control 🛑 Staying out is also a strategy 📊 Focus on Forex / Crypto / Indices if Gold is unstable Risk management > FOMO
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam PlanUptrend intact, but signs of short-term exhaustion | Trade reactions, not impulse Quick summary Gold remains in a strong H1 uptrend, continuing to print higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined bullish structure. However, after the recent sharp advance, price is starting to slow near the highs, increasing the likelihood of short-term pullbacks and two-sided price action. ➡️ The broader trend stays bullish, but execution should now be level-driven and reaction-based, not momentum chasing. Technical view Price is currently trading at elevated levels relative to recent structure, where prior buying activity has already been absorbed. Key price areas to watch: Short-term sell area: 5520 – 5530 Upper resistance area: around 5600 Pullback buy area: 5405 – 5420 Primary buy zone: 5150 – 5155 The current structure favors a pullback and rebalancing phase before any sustained continuation higher. Trading scenarios SELL – short-term reaction trades Look for sell reactions around 5520 – 5530 if price shows weakness. Downside targets sit near 5420, with further extension possible if the pullback develops. These sells are tactical and short-term, not calls for a trend reversal. BUY – aligned with the main trend Primary scenario Buy pullbacks into 5405 – 5420 if the area holds. Targets back toward 5520 and higher. Deeper scenario If volatility increases, wait for price to retrace toward 5150 – 5155. This area offers the best risk-to-reward for trend continuation. Key notes Strong trends still correct; patience matters. Avoid entries in the middle of the range where risk outweighs reward. Short positions are tactical only while the broader structure remains bullish. What’s your plan: selling reactions near 5520 – 5530, or patiently waiting for a pullback into 5405 – 5420 to rejoin the uptrend? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
4
XAUUSD (H2) - Liam Plan (Jan 28)XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATH, strong safe-haven flow | Follow trend, buy FVG pullbacks only Quick summary Gold continues to print new all-time highs as global capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty tied to recent US policy decisions. Additional support comes from concerns around Fed independence and expectations of lower US rates, keeping real yields capped. Despite the bullish backdrop, price is now extended above equilibrium. The edge is not in chasing strength, but in waiting for pullbacks into imbalance and liquidity zones. ➡️ Bias stays bullish, execution stays patient. Macro context (why gold stays bid, but volatile) Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps structural demand for gold intact. Rate-cut expectations and doubts around Fed autonomy weaken the USD’s long-term appeal. USD is attempting a technical bounce, but this has not shifted gold’s underlying bid. ➡️ Conclusion: macro supports higher prices, but short-term moves will likely rotate to rebalance inefficiencies. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Price is trending cleanly higher after multiple bullish BOS, riding an ascending structure and expanding into premium. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major extension / sell-side target: 5280 – 5320 (2.618 fib expansion) ✅ FVG / continuation buy zone: 5155 – 5170 ✅ Structure support: 5000 – 5050 ✅ Trend invalidation (deeper): below 4950 Current price action suggests a likely path of push → pullback → continuation, rather than straight-line expansion. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY the FVG pullback (cleanest setup) ✅ Buy zone: 5155 – 5170 Condition: price taps FVG and shows bullish reaction (reclaim / HL / displacement on M15–H1) SL (guide): below 5125 or below reaction low TP1: recent high TP2: 5280 TP3: 5320+ if momentum expands Logic: This FVG aligns with prior buy-side liquidity and structure — a high-probability continuation zone. B. BUY deeper structure support (only if volatility spikes) ✅ Buy zone: 5000 – 5050 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong rejection TP: 5170 → 5280 Logic: This is value within trend. No interest in longs above premium if this level breaks. 2️⃣ SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction only) SELL at extension (scalp / tactical only) ✅ Sell zone: 5280 – 5320 Condition: clear rejection / failure to hold highs on lower TF TP: 5200 → 5170 Logic: Extension zones are for profit-taking and short-term mean rotation, not trend reversal calls. Key notes New ATHs invite FOMO — don’t be that liquidity. Best trades come after pullbacks, not during impulse candles. Reduce size around Fed headlines. What’s your plan: buying the 5155–5170 FVG pullback, or waiting for a stretch into 5280–5320 to fade the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
1
XAUUSD – M45 Tech AnalysisXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨ Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its buying position with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control. The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions. At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45 Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310 This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction. Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220 A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure. Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050 Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends. As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution: If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing. Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred): A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel. Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep: If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops. 🌍 Market Context (Brief) Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical. 🧠 Lana’s View The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy. At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Bullish TrendQuick summary Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely. Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks. ➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs. 1) Macro context (why spikes are likely) If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict: risk sentiment can swing quickly, headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces. ✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline. 2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart) Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels. Key levels (from the chart): ✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000 ✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047 ✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142 ✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6 ✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8 Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior. 3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R) ✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047) Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15) SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low) TP1: 5,085 – 5,100 TP2: 5,142 TP3: 5,192.6 Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above. A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits) ✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000 Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up) SL: below 4,980 TP: 5,047 → 5,142 Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes. B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only) B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp) ✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection: Sell: 5,190 – 5,200 SL: above the sweep high TP: 5,142 → 5,085 Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel. B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location) ✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8) Only with clear weakness on M15–H1 TP: 5,192 → 5,142 Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction. 4) Key notes Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules. Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines. Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity. Question: Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
2
XAUUSD - H1 Gold structurally bullishXAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally bullish near all-time highs| Lana ✨ Gold is extending its bullish momentum for a second consecutive session and continues to trade near all-time highs. Price action remains constructive, with the market holding above key structure while deciding between continuation or a deeper pullback into value. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The short-term and medium-term structure remains bullish, with price respecting the ascending channel. The recent push above previous highs confirms strong demand, but current price action also shows signs of consolidation near ATH. This behavior is typical after an impulsive rally, where the market pauses to build acceptance or rebalance liquidity before the next directional move. As long as price holds above the rising structure, the bullish thesis remains valid. 🔍 Key Technical Zones to Watch ATH Reaction Zone: 5080 – 5110 This is a sensitive area where price may consolidate, fake out, or briefly reject before choosing direction. Primary Pullback / Buy Zone: 5000 – 5020 A key structural level aligned with prior resistance-turned-support and the midline of the bullish channel. Secondary Support (Deeper Pullback): 4920 – 4950 A stronger value area if volatility increases or liquidity is swept below the channel. Upside Expansion Zone: 5180 – 5200+ If price accepts above ATH, this becomes the next upside objective within the channel. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (H1 Structure-Based) Scenario 1 – Continuation Above ATH: If price consolidates above 5080–5110 and shows acceptance, gold may extend toward 5180–5200. This scenario favors patience and confirmation rather than chasing immediate breakouts. Scenario 2 – Pullback Into Structure (Preferred): A pullback toward 5000–5020 would allow the market to rebalance liquidity and offer a higher-quality continuation setup. Holding this zone keeps the bullish structure intact. Scenario 3 – Deeper Correction: If price loses the primary support, the 4920–4950 zone becomes the next key area to watch for buyer response and trend defense. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) Gold continues to benefit from heightened geopolitical risks and ongoing trade uncertainty, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, market attention is shifting toward the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday, which may introduce volatility and short-term repricing. This backdrop supports gold structurally, while also increasing the likelihood of sharp intraday swings around key levels. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold remains bullish, but near ATH levels, discipline matters more than conviction. Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, letting price confirm, and avoiding emotional trades during headline-driven volatility. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near the highs, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation, ATH Expansion Still in PlayGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels. ➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking. Structure & Price Action H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact. The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline. No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective. Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion. Key takeaway: 👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback Focus on patience and structure confirmation. BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020 (Rebalance area + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold). ➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,106 TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold in Decision Zone – GAP Reaction Defines Next MoveMarket Context (Fundamentals → Flow) Recent sessions continue to be driven by elevated geopolitical and macro uncertainty. Risk sentiment remains fragile as markets reassess global political tensions and their implications for trade, energy routes, and monetary stability. As a result: USD remains under pressure, lacking strong follow-through buying. Equities show signs of fatigue near highs. Gold continues to attract defensive flows, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. This environment supports trend continuation, but not without technical pullbacks. Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirm the bullish trend. The recent impulsive leg created a bullish GAP / imbalance. Price is now reacting near the mid-channel decision zone, where continuation vs. deeper retrace is decided. ➡️ Trend is bullish, but location matters. Key Levels to Watch Current resistance: 5,080 – 5,100 GAP / reaction zone: 5,020 – 5,000 Major demand (FVG): 4,960 – 4,940 Invalidation: H1 close below 4,940 Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – GAP Holds (Primary Bias) If price holds above 5,000 Buyers defend the imbalance → Continuation toward 5,120 – 5,180 within the channel. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Healthy Correction) If price loses 5,000 Expect a retrace into 4,960 – 4,940 FVG. Bullish reaction here keeps the higher-timeframe trend intact. Only a clean break and acceptance below 4,940 would weaken the bullish structure. Summary Gold is not topping — it is pausing at a decision zone. In a risk-sensitive environment, pullbacks are opportunities, not threats.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GBP/AUD: Corrective Rally, Downtrend IntactGBP/AUD is trading in a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure on the 4H timeframe. The market has already completed a strong impulsive decline and is currently moving in a Wave 4 corrective pullback, which is happening inside a downward channel and near key Fibonacci retracement levels. This correction looks weak and corrective, suggesting sellers are still in control. As long as price remains below the invalidation level around 2.0050 , the bearish bias stays valid. The expectation is for the correction to finish soon, followed by Wave 5 to the downside, targeting the lower channel area and the 1.96–1.95 zone. Overall, the trend remains bearish, and any short-term bounce is likely a selling opportunity before the next leg lower. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
by Money_Dictators
1
GBPUSD – Support Holding, Watching Reaction From RangeGBP/USD has reacted from a well-defined support zone, an area where buyers have stepped in multiple times before. Price is currently trading between clear support and resistance, indicating a short-term range environment. As long as this support holds, upside reactions toward the resistance zone remain possible. A clean break below support, however, would weaken this structure and change the short-term bias. This is a reaction-based zone, not a prediction. Let price confirm the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please manage risk responsibly.
Long
by TraderRahulPal