LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions.
Macro Summary
Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend.
Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the most recent up wave:
The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone.
Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
Forextrading
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame.
The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points.
However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline.
From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely.
💹 2. Technical Analysis
📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one.
🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction.
🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area.
💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region.
Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region.
Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛
Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
The Psychology Behind Winning TradesThe Psychology Behind Winning Trades 🧠💹✨
Introduction – Hook:
📊 “Why do some traders consistently win 💰 while others struggle 💔?”
It’s rarely the strategy—it’s the mindset behind the trade! 🧠🌟
Your emotions, thoughts, and biases control your decisions, even with perfect technical skills. 🎯
1️⃣ What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology is the study of how emotions and mental habits affect trading decisions. 🌈🧘♂️
It’s about understanding:
How fear 😨, greed 😍, or impatience ⏳ impacts your trades
Why you sometimes ignore your rules 📝
How discipline 💪 can make the difference between profit 🏆 and loss 💸
💡 Tip: Even the best strategies fail if your mind isn’t in control. 🧠✨
2️⃣ Common Psychological Traps & How They Appear in Trades
Trap Emoji Effect Example in Trading
Fear 😨 Exiting too early Closing a winning trade because you’re scared of losing profits 💔
Greed 😍 Holding losing trades Waiting for a loss to “come back” and losing more money 💸
FOMO 🏃♂️💨 Jumping impulsively Entering trades last minute because everyone else is trading 🚀
Revenge Trading 😤🔥 Emotional loss-chasing Trying to recover losses by taking bigger, risky trades 💣
💡 Insight: Recognizing these emotions is the first step to controlling them. 🌟
3️⃣ How to Master Your Trading Mind
1️⃣ Pre-Trade Preparation 🧘♀️✅
Check your emotional state before trading 🕊️
Confirm your trade plan is clear 📋✨
2️⃣ During the Trade ✋🎯
Stick to your rules, don’t let emotions take over 💪🔥
Avoid impulsive exits or entries ⏱️❌
3️⃣ Post-Trade Reflection 📖🖊️
Keep a Trading Journal: note emotions, mistakes & wins ✨📓
Review trades to improve your mindset over time 📈🌟
4️⃣ Pro Tips for Winning Psychology
🔥 Mindset Checklist:
Am I trading calmly? 😌💭
Am I following my plan? 📋✅
Am I chasing losses or profits emotionally? ⚖️💡
💡 Daily Mindset Practice: Meditation 🧘♂️, journaling ✍️, or reviewing trades 📊 can help you stay disciplined under pressure 💎🌟
5️⃣ Why It Matters
Trading without psychology = strategy leaks money 💸💨
Emotional control = consistency, higher win rates, confidence 🏆💪
Professionals don’t just trade charts—they trade themselves 🧠✨
6️⃣ Engagement Section
👇 Question for your audience:
“What’s the biggest psychological trap YOU’ve faced in trading? Share your story below! 💬💭💖”
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held.
Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
LiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrendLiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrend
Gold has officially broken the downward trendline, confirming the transition phase to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying power, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macro – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase gold purchases significantly in September, totalling 39 tonnes, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil – for the first time this year – added 15 tonnes of gold to its national reserves.
Since the beginning of the year, the net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tonnes, clearly reflecting the trend of moving away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for the medium and long-term uptrend of gold.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the downward trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive zone; if surpassed and held, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is giving clear signals of establishing a medium-term uptrend, supported by buying flows from central banks. Traders should prioritise buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
XAUUSD – INTRADAY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – INTRADAY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Although the larger timeframe for gold still leans towards a bearish trend, today in the short term, I prioritise a bullish scenario.
On the M30 timeframe, the price structure is gradually increasing, indicating that short-term capital is shifting to the buying side.
Zone 3990 is a very important area – where a Break of Structure (BOS) has just appeared and is also a strong resistance that has reacted multiple times before.
Price needs to confirm breaking this zone to continue expanding the bullish trend.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 An ascending structure (BOS) has formed on M30.
🟣 Buy Zone 3977–3979 coincides with the support trendline – a beautiful confluence point for buyers.
🔹 Resistance zone 3990–4000 is the area to confirm the main direction.
💫 Higher target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 around 4049–4050, coinciding with the psychological resistance 4050.
🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference
💖 MAIN BUY (priority)
Entry: 3977–3979 | SL: 3970
TP: 3988 – 4000 – 4022 – 4040 – 4050
💢 SHORT SELL (when price reacts strongly at resistance)
Entry: 4012–4014 | SL: 4020
TP: 4002 – 3988 – 3965
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Price needs to confirm through zone 3990 to reinforce the bullish trend.
If it breaks below 3970, the ascending structure is temporarily invalidated.
Today, prioritise buying according to the capital flow, sell only when there is a clear signal at the resistance zone.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Patiently wait for reactions at the Buy Zone 3977–3979, this could be the starting point for a new upward move towards 4050.
This is not investment advice, just a personal perspective according to the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update gold analysis with me every day ✨
AUD/NZD Nearing Peak: Expect Controlled PullbackAUD/NZD has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive move to the upside, finishing Wave (1)/(A) near the recent peak. From here, the price looks ready to start a deeper correction in the form of Wave (2)/(B), which may pull back toward the lower support zone inside the rising channel. This corrective move could unfold in multiple legs before turning bullish again. Once Wave (2)/(B) completes, the chart expects a strong rally into Wave (3)/(C), aiming for new highs. In simple terms: a healthy pullback first, then a powerful upside continuation.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
EUR/USD Outlook: Buyers Regain ControlThe EUR/USD market is beginning to show early signs of recovery momentum as sentiment gradually turns constructive. After an extended period of controlled weakness, the pair is attracting renewed interest from institutional participants positioning for a potential upward rotation in the coming sessions.
Market tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Liquidity distribution across recent sessions indicates accumulation behavior at lower price zones, often a precursor to a bullish transition. Traders appear to be building exposure in anticipation of improved Euro-area sentiment and potential easing of dollar strength, both of which may provide the foundation for a broader corrective advance.
Price action suggests that selling pressure is losing effectiveness as downside extensions are quickly absorbed. The slowdown in bearish momentum combined with increased buying participation signals a developing phase of re-accumulation, where stronger hands begin to dominate short-term flows.
Confidence is gradually improving, supported by expectations that market equilibrium is tilting back toward Euro favor. While volatility remains moderate, structural patterns imply that the market may be preparing for a sentiment-driven expansion to the upside. The tone of order flow has shifted toward buy-side liquidity, pointing to a constructive environment for continuation of the upward phase once momentum fully confirms.
In summary, EUR/USD appears to be entering the early stage of a bullish rotation characterized by accumulation, strengthening sentiment, and declining downside conviction. The pair is poised for potential medium-term appreciation as market positioning aligns with renewed optimism toward the Euro’s relative outlook.
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority ...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority After BREAKING RESISTANCE $4002$
With the Support of the US Treasury Secretary
Hello traders community, LiamTrading is back with detailed OANDA:XAUUSD $ analysis for the start of the week!
The Gold market is receiving strong support from policy: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent calls on the Fed to continue cutting interest rates as the PCE inflation is currently at $2.7\%$.
This call, aimed at reducing mortgage rates and supporting the housing market, strengthens the long-term outlook for Gold.
Technical Analysis: We prioritize continuing to buy up following the main trend. The best strategy is to enter orders at strong resistance/support zones to ensure the lowest risk.
📰 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS: CALL FOR RATE CUT
Impact: The Treasury Secretary's statement on cutting interest rates to support the "transitioning" economy increases expectations of policy easing, which is a strong support factor for Gold (although not yet an official decision).
Suitable Strategy: Market sentiment is being driven by expectations of easing policy, reinforcing the priority for a BUY (Long) position.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: IMPORTANT PIVOT POINT
Resistance Zone $4002$: This area acts as an important pivot point.
Buy Entry will be triggered after the price breaks resistance $4002$ and retests.
Sell Entry: Look for short-term scalping at the resistance zone $4030$ to secure profits. Highlighted Zone: Prioritize entering orders at confirmed Trendline zones.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We will wait for Gold to break structure and create a BUY setup.
🟢 Main BUY Scenario (BUY Break & Retest)
Logic: Buy at $4002$ after breaking resistance and retesting, leveraging new upward momentum.
Entry (BUY): $4002$
SL: $3995$ (tight SL)
TP1/TP2: $4020$ | $4035$
TP3: $4070$
🔴 SELL Scalping Scenario
Logic: Short-term scalping at the strong resistance zone $4030$ (near Sell Liquidity zone).
Entry (SELL): $4030$
SL: $4038$
TP1/TP2: $4015$ | $4004$
TP3: $3990$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)
Our BUY strategy is reinforced by policy outlook and technical break at $4002$. Strictly adhere to SL $3995$ to manage risk before the upward structure is confirmed.
Are you ready for Gold's movement at $4002$? Please LIKE and COMMENT!
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO – PRIORITISE SELLING After BREAKING THE TRENDLINE
Hello traders community,
The new week opens with a clear strategy: Prioritise SELLING after Gold has broken the previous upward trendline.
Although fundamental economic news (like interest rate policies and politics) supports Gold potentially reaching the $5,000$ USD mark, we must trade according to the current Price Action. The technical selling pressure is strong. We will SELL at key resistance zones and continue SELLING as the price breaks the downward structure.
📰 FUNDAMENTALS & LONG-TERM OUTLOOK
$5,000$ Prospect: Fundamental and political factors continue to support the scenario of Gold reaching $5,000$ USD in the long term (due to geopolitical risks and potential loss of Fed independence).
Short Term 🔴: Gold is under technical selling pressure after breaking through the $4,000$ USD mark.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TRENDLINE BREAK
Structure: Gold has exited the upward price channel and is retesting the broken trendline.
Priority: SELL at the retest resistance zone $4024$.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Primary) - Preemptive Resistance
Entry 1: $4024$ (Sell retest trendline zone)
SL: $4032$
TP1/TP2: $4012$ | $4000$
TP3: $3989$
Entry 2 (Continuation SELL): When price breaks the next trendline at $3992$
SL: $4000$
TP: $3940$
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Reversal) - Buy at Strong Support
Logic: Only buy when price hits strong liquidity support, potential for a short-term rebound.
Entry (BUY): Around $3960$ (Buy Scalping Zone)
SL: $3954$
TP1/TP2: $3972$ | $3988 FWB:TP3 : $4000$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Don't let the $5,000$ USD prospect affect short-term risk management. Trade according to Price Action. Adhere to SL and prioritise SELL positions at resistance zones.
Are you ready for the SELL strategy at the start of this week?
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY... LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY Strategy at POC $3973
Hello traders community,
Gold is positioned between an extremely optimistic long-term outlook (forecast $5,000 USD in the next 12-18 months by Bank of America) and short-term technical adjustments.
Although Gold has broken the upward trendline, a sustainable downward trend has not been confirmed.
BUY positions are still prioritised!
🔥 LONG-TERM CONTEXT & INFLATION
Long-Term Push: Gold prices adjusted for inflation have DOUBLED in the past 4 years.
Highlight: Gold reinforces its role as an anti-inflation asset as real prices soar to all-time highs.
📊 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Strategy: Buy at POC Zone to leverage liquidity advantage.
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Primary) - Buy at High Value Zone
Logic: The $3973 - 3975$ zone is right above the Buy POC (highest value zone).
Entry (BUY): $3973 - 3975$
SL: $3968$
TP1: $3988$ | TP2: $4000
Buy Up Target 2: Buy when price retests the trendline around $4002$.
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Scalping) - Preemptive strike at resistance zone
Entry (SELL): $4032 - 4034$
SL: $4040$
TP1: $4022$ | TP2: $4015
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)With the $5,000 USD forecast and inflation factors, the risk of SELL is increasing.
Focus on BUY at POC $3973$ and absolute SL.
Trade responsibly and with discipline!
GOLD DIVE—Sniping the $405x Dip Before FOMC!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is correcting sharply, dropping 1.10% towards $4,065. This weakness is driven by trade optimism, but the underlying Fed rate cut expectation keeps our BUY ON DIPS strategy highly profitable!
🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (MIND)
Bears' Power: Trade optimism is pushing safe-haven assets down. Sellers are targeting the recent uptrend structure.
Bulls' Anchor: Weak US inflation data means a Fed rate cut is almost certain (25 bps expected). This long-term USD weakness acts as a floor for Gold.
Action Bias: BUY THE DIP at critical Fibo supports, anticipating the Fed decision to fuel the next rally.
📊 KEY LEVELS & ACTION ZONES (H1)
We are using the Fibo retracement from the recent high to define our optimal entry points.
🎯 SELL TARGET / CEILING: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the ultimate target for the Long trade.
🔥 HIGH-CONVICTION BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). The optimal entry to maximize risk/reward.
Strategy: Wait for a clean tag and H1/M30 reversal signal here.
⚡️ SCALP BUY REACT ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). A quick bounce area for aggressive buyers.
❌ INVALIDATION: SL must be placed safely below the 0.618 Fibo level of the 405x zone.
📈 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (DIP BUY)
Entry Focus: Prioritize the $4,048.493 (405x) Fibo Zone for a high-quality Long entry.
SL Placement: Strict SL below the 0.618 Fibo of the 405x zone.
TP Target: Aim for the recent high at $4,164.938 (416x).
💬 TRADER'S QUESTION
The drop is here! Are you buying the aggressive 407x level or patiently waiting for the optimal 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
Gold Awaits FOMC Breakout While Holding Key Liquidity BaseMarket Overview:
Gold remains trapped in a tight range as traders weigh optimism from US–China trade progress against cautious expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting.
The macro picture feels balanced: risk sentiment improves, yet the weaker USD and lingering Fed cut expectations quietly support the metal.
In essence, gold isn’t trending — it’s coiling.
Liquidity is being built, not lost.
Every test of 4,050–4,060 shows strong absorption, while short-term sellers are still defending the 4,186–4,260 region.
The market is waiting for a trigger,
and the FOMC might be the one that decides which side breaks first.
Technical Structure (H1)
Price continues to respect the ascending support trendline from 4,003 and the neckline resistance near 4,107.
This structure has the DNA of a compression model — narrowing volatility, thinning liquidity, preparing for expansion.
If the support at 4,050 holds, a retest of 4,107 → 4,186 remains likely before the next decision point.
Conversely, a liquidity sweep under 4,002 could form the last dip before a bigger rally unfolds.
Key Structural Levels:
Support / Accumulation Zone: 4,058 – 4,050
Mid-Level Pivot / Neckline: 4,107
Upper Supply Zone: 4,186 – 4,260
Deep Liquidity Pool: 4,002 – 3,930
MMFLOW Perspective:
For now, gold is accumulating energy — this is not a breakout market, it’s a build-up market.
Price action above 4,050 still favours the bulls, but conviction will only return once we see a clean break beyond 4,186.
Ahead of FOMC, patience is strategy.
The next wave won’t come from guessing policy —
it’ll come from reading the flow once volatility hits.
Summary:
Gold’s structure remains stable — liquidity is concentrated below 4,050, and compression continues within the 4,060–4,186 band.
Bias stays neutral-to-bullish as long as the liquidity base holds.
📊 What’s your take?
Will the FOMC spark the breakout, or is gold just reloading for the next wave?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for institutional flow analysis and smart money structure updates.
Gold Forecast — Market Turning BullishGold (XAU/USD) maintains a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by rising investor demand and global macroeconomic stability. After completing a healthy correction phase, the market is showing renewed strength, indicating a potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Current price action reflects accumulation behavior among institutional traders, signaling confidence in gold’s long-term value growth. The consistent pattern of higher lows and steady momentum suggests that buyers are firmly in control, preparing for another upward expansion cycle.
From a fundamental perspective, global inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, and geopolitical tensions continue to support gold prices. Investors are increasingly seeking protection in safe-haven assets, which further strengthens gold’s long-term position in the market.
Technical structure and sentiment both align with a buy-side outlook, highlighting the potential for gold to extend gains as liquidity continues to build in the current price zones.
In summary, gold remains in a strong buying phase, with market data, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators all favoring sustained upward momentum.
Keywords: Gold forecast, XAU/USD analysis, gold long-term trend, gold price outlook, bullish gold market, gold accumulation phase, forex gold trading, gold price prediction 2025.
Fibo BUY Zone Mandatory for Trend Continuation.🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable!
Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further.
Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown.
Driving Force: Widespread USD weakness—fueled by the funding battle in the US government—strengthens the bullish case for Gold.
Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions.
Technical Focus: In this continuous Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries.
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels
Our core strategy remains BUY ON DIPS at the most precise Fibo levels, leveraging the strong Parabolic structure.
1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE):
This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a high-probability pullback:
4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5.
This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave.
2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS):
These are the Fibo extension targets where the Longs are aiming:
TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally.
TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if momentum remains unchecked.
📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN
Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332.
Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles), confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry.
Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394).
⚠️ Risk Warning
Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management!
Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
EURUSD Outlook: Dollar Dominance Extends as Euro WeakensThe EURUSD pair remains under downward pressure as investors continue favoring the U.S. dollar amid global economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s consistent stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer has reinforced the dollar’s appeal, while weak Eurozone data — including sluggish industrial output and fading consumer confidence — has weighed on the euro’s recovery.
Market sentiment shows limited bullish strength for the euro, with traders closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation and ECB policy comments. Unless the Eurozone presents stronger economic momentum or fiscal support, the euro is likely to remain on the defensive.
Overall, the fundamental tone supports continued USD dominance. The broader market structure reflects bearish tendencies for EURUSD in the medium term, with investors preferring dollar exposure as a safer bet amid global uncertainty.
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain!
But where are the high-probability zones?
🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4)
We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry:
1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus):
Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade.
Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone.
2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation):
The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range.
🚨 Critical Risk Alert:
A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
EUR/USD – Bearish Continuation in MotionEUR/USD continues to display a bearish market structure, reflecting persistent downside pressure as the euro struggles to maintain stability against the U.S. dollar. Recent price action shows a period of consolidation followed by a liquidity grab near short-term highs, indicating that buyers are losing strength and the market is positioning for a potential continuation of the decline. The broader market tone suggests that sentiment remains cautious, with traders favoring the dollar due to its resilience amid global uncertainty and steady U.S. economic performance. The pair’s inability to establish higher highs further confirms weakness in bullish momentum. This behavior often signals distribution, where institutional players offload long positions before another leg downward. Short-term movements could still present small corrective bounces as the market seeks liquidity, but overall conditions favor sellers. Unless a strong shift in macro sentiment occurs, EUR/USD is likely to maintain its downward trajectory, targeting lower levels as the bearish momentum unfolds and traders continue aligning with dollar strength.
How Liquidity Zones in Forex Mirror in Bitcoin Markets?Hello Traders!
If you’ve studied liquidity concepts in Forex trading , you might’ve noticed how similar they behave in the crypto market , especially in Bitcoin.
Both markets are driven by liquidity and order flow, not random price movements.
Let’s understand how these two worlds mirror each other and how you can use that knowledge to trade smarter.
1. What Are Liquidity Zones?
Liquidity zones are price areas where a large number of orders are placed, stop losses, buy/sell limits, or pending entries.
Institutions and big players target these zones to execute their large positions with minimal slippage.
That’s why price often “hunts” highs or lows before the real move starts.
2. Liquidity Behavior in Forex
In pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD, liquidity often builds near session highs and lows.
Smart money pushes price to these zones to trigger retail stops and grab liquidity.
Once liquidity is collected, the market usually reverses in the opposite direction.
3. The Same Psychology in Bitcoin
Bitcoin may not be a currency pair, but it runs on the same emotional patterns, fear, greed, and impatience.
Liquidity clusters near obvious highs/lows, round numbers (like $60,000 or $50,000), and breakout points.
Big players hunt these zones in the same way as in Forex, because crypto markets are even more sentiment-driven.
4. How to Identify These Zones on BTC Charts
Mark previous day’s highs and lows, these are classic liquidity targets.
Check where price made impulsive moves in the past; those areas often have resting orders.
Look for quick “fakeouts” beyond these levels followed by strong rejection, a sign liquidity was grabbed.
5. How to Trade the Mirroring Pattern
Wait for liquidity grab candles (spikes above/below key levels).
Enter on confirmation of reversal (engulfing or pin bar).
Place stops beyond the liquidity wick and target the next range midpoint.
Rahul’s Tip:
Whether it’s Forex or Bitcoin, the chart structure changes, but human behavior doesn’t .
If you understand how liquidity works in one market, you can easily read the traps in another.
Conclusion:
Liquidity is the universal language of smart money.
The same tricks used in Forex, fakeouts, stop hunts, and reversals, repeat daily in Bitcoin charts.
Once you learn to spot them, you’ll see that both markets are mirrors of each other in how they trap and move traders.
If this post helped you see the connection between Forex and Bitcoin, like it, drop your view in comments, and follow for more deep market insights!
GOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish LegGOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish Leg
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, showing consistent higher highs and steady momentum after each correction. The market has been consolidating above the $3,800 zone, where buyers continue to absorb liquidity and prevent deeper declines. This zone acts as a solid base for potential upward expansion. Current market behavior indicates controlled accumulation, suggesting that institutional buyers are maintaining dominance. If gold holds above $3,840–$3,820, the next bullish leg may target the $3,960–$4,000 region. A short-term retracement could occur, but overall momentum favors continuation. The price structure and volume behavior both support further upside, reflecting strong buyer control and stable sentiment in the market.
Trading Discipline – The Defining Edge of Professional TradersIn Forex and Gold trading, there is one truth every trader eventually learns: discipline matters more than strategy.
A simple system executed with discipline can deliver consistent results.
A brilliant system without discipline will collapse under pressure.
🧠 Stop-loss & Take-profit – Your Survival Tools
Stop-loss: Not surrender, but capital protection.
Take-profit: Not prediction, but securing gains before greed erodes them.
👉 Rule of pros: Set SL/TP before entering a trade – and never move them out of fear or hope.
📊 Case Study: Discipline vs Emotion
Undisciplined trader: Moves stop-loss further when price goes against him. Small loss turns into account damage.
Disciplined trader: Keeps stop-loss intact, loses 1%. Over 20 trades, system edge delivers net profits.
➡️ Lose small to win big.
🚀 Habits That Build Discipline
Have a trading plan: Entry rules – SL – TP – risk – time frame.
Use alerts: Reduce stress, stop staring at charts.
Walk away after entry: Don’t let emotions interfere.
Fixed risk: 1–2% per trade, no exceptions.
Keep a trading journal: Track not only results but emotions behind decisions.
🏆 Why Discipline Separates Pros from Amateurs
Amateurs let the market control them.
Professionals control themselves.
In the long run, success doesn’t come from one “perfect trade” but from hundreds of disciplined executions.
📈 Conclusion
The market is uncontrollable. But you can control yourself.
Discipline is the edge that:
Protects your capital.
Stabilizes your mindset.
Turns strategy into consistent results.
💡 Community Question for TradingView:
👉 “Have you ever broken your stop-loss or take-profit rules? What did it teach you about discipline?”
Euro Dollar Analysis – Corrective Rebound or Bearish Setup?EUR/USD continues to operate within a controlled market cycle. The sharp decline earlier this week highlighted strong bearish momentum, followed by a corrective rebound that served as a liquidity reset. This rebound is less about trend reversal and more about rebalancing order flow after an aggressive selloff.
The current structure suggests the market may still seek liquidity higher before resuming its dominant direction. A sweep toward the 1.1780 area could attract late buyers, providing larger players the opportunity to offload positions before driving price lower again.
Overall, EUR/USD remains tilted toward the downside. The corrective phase is acting as a preparation stage, positioning the pair for another potential bearish leg once redistribution completes.






















