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USD fell to two-week low,The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US increased last week, while the number of unemployed people continued to increase to the highest level in 2 and a half years at the end of June 2024, consistent with the labor market being gradually cool down. Following US economic data, the dollar fell to a two-week low, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies, while US 10-year bond yields downward. The market is currently predicting a 68% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates will reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Investors are currently waiting for the non-farm payroll report to be released on Friday (July 5) to know more about the US interest rate cut. In other precious metals markets, spot silver prices increased 3.4% to $30.51, platinum prices increased 0.8% to $999.12 and palladium prices decreased 0.1% to $1,020.98. , according to Reuters.
TVC:GOLDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
Short term trading strategy for todayWorld gold prices increased more than 1% to the highest level in nearly two weeks in the trading session on Wednesday (July 3) due to increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates. in September, after recent US data showed the labor market was weakening. Closing the session, daily gold price increased 1.2% to 2,357.06 USD an ounce. US gold futures rose 1.5% to $2,369.40 Spot gold price increased 0.01% to 2,356 USD/ounce, according to Kitco, while gold price for August delivery decreased 0.16% to 2,365 USD. Precious metals as well as base metals are rallying across the board as ADP data and unemployment claims add to the 'weakening economy' sentiment, which could potentially lead to a first interest rate cut in September".
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold is still in a strong uptrendGold costs rose greater than 1.0% on Thursday, way to a pointy drop in US authorities bond yields after records at the US hard work marketplace became released. Specifically, the range of packages for unemployment blessings withinside the 2nd week of November improved better than expected, achieving 231,000, better than the forecast of 220,000. The range of humans receiving unemployment blessings additionally amazed while it improved to 1,865,000 - the very best in almost years, displaying the problem of the United States activity marketplace. Gold costs rose sharply yesterday, overcoming critical resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the charge ought to upward push to the $2,010-2,1/2 area, in addition to $2,060 withinside the coming days.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold price will surpass 2,350 USD/ounce in July.Gold prices rose more than 1.0% on Thursday, thanks to a sharp drop in US government bond yields after data on the US labor market was released. Specifically, the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the second week of November increased higher than expected, reaching 231,000, higher than the forecast of 220,000. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits also surprised when it increased to 1,865,000 - the highest in nearly two years, showing the difficulty of the US job market. Gold prices rose sharply yesterday, overcoming important resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the price could rise to the $2,010-2,015 area, further to $2,060 in the coming days.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold is waiting for market fluctuationsGold costs will remain caught until "some thing shakes up the marketplace as a whole." to get better again to 2,340 USD/ounce. This absolutely offset final week`s losses. Investors need to now no longer promote at the moment due to the fact "in case you are preserving gold long-term, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce". maximum humans are having impartial predictions gold The US economic system is slowing down, inflation is vulnerable and americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is much less dovish. These affects lessen call for for gold, that may cause a huge promote-off. If you're preserving gold, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce. The marketplace might also additionally have few transactions, because of this that the hazard of big fluctuations. Geopolitical trends consisting of escalation in Ukraine or the Middle East ought to disrupt the marketplace, Grady said.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU rises despite weak US economic dataUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month. Keeping policy rates steady “for a while” may be enough to control inflation, but reiterate “a readiness to increase borrowing costs if necessary”. Analysts say that world gold prices will likely find it difficult to break out in the short term, at least until there is clearer information about the Fed's monetary policy. The weakening USD has pushed gold prices up above 2,300 USD According to some experts, this is a way of pricing based on factors that do not yet exist. If the AI ​​craze continues and the market bubble has not burst, the current price may still be considered cheap compared to future growth potential. However, because this index depends on expectations, the final results are still highly subjective.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
USD is dominating the marketGold fees are forecast to range strongly withinside the last days of the week. In the fast term, the treasured steel`s help stage is 2,three hundred USD/ounce and the resistance stage is 2,340 USD/ounce. This treasured steel is attracting cash managers and hedge funds. Look at this need Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that maintaining coverage quotes steady “for a while” will probably be sufficient to manipulate inflation, however additionally reiterated that she is open to growing spending Loan charges if necessary. The marketplace has tilted toward the dollar after the discharge of financial facts highlighting the resilience of americaA economy, growing an possibility for the Fed to preserve excessive hobby quotes for longer.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
The market has tilted towards the greenback following the releasGold prices are forecast to fluctuate strongly in the remaining days of the week. In the short term, the precious metal's support level is 2,300 USD/ounce and the resistance level is 2,340 USD/ounce. This precious metal is attracting money managers and hedge funds. Look at this need Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that keeping policy rates steady “for a while” will likely be enough to control inflation, but also reiterated that she is open to increasing spending Loan fees if necessary. The market has tilted towards the greenback after the release of economic data highlighting the resilience of the US economy, creating an opportunity for the Fed to maintain high interest rates for longer.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU weakens as USD risesGold prices continue to be influenced mainly by US interest rate expectations. And the stability in recent sessions reflects the lack of strong signals on the Fed's monetary policy. World gold prices plummeted as the USD continued to demonstrate its strength compared to most other currencies in the world Gold price dropped sharply mainly due to the increase in USD price. DXY index The Fed still follows the trend of delaying interest rate cuts to wait for US macro signals, especially inflation data. Investors are waiting for information about the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE), expected to be announced this Friday. This is an important measure of the health of the US economy, Gold futures prices recorded modest gains at the beginning of the week, mainly due to the weakening of the USD. The USD index dropped quite sharply, contributing significantly to the rise of gold. Investors are preparing for a busy final week of the month with several important economic reports due for release.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
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GBPUSD crosses key resistance to refresh 11-week highGBPUSD rises to the highest level since mid-March by crossing an 11-month-old descending resistance line, now immediate support near 1.2800. The bullish MACD signals and the Pound Sterling’s ability to trade successfully beyond the 100-SMA also underpin the upside bias. It’s worth noting, however, that the nearly overbought RSI (14) line challenges the quote’s further advances, highlighting the yearly peak marked in March around 1.2895, quickly followed by the 1.2900 threshold, as the key upside hurdles. In a case where the Cable remains firmer past 1.2900, the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be the last defense of the bears before directing buyers toward the late 2023 peak of surrounding 1.3145. Conversely, a daily closing beneath 1.2800 will defy the GBPUSD pair’s latest resistance break. The same could direct the sellers toward a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October 2023 downturn, near 1.2720. Even so, the Pound Sterling bears need to wait for a clear downside break of the six-week-old rising support line, close to 1.2655, as well as the 100-SMA level of 1.2635, to retake control. Should the Cable drop beneath 1.2635, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward February’s low marked around 1.2520. Overall, GBPUSD gains the buyer’s attention as it clears the key upside hurdle. However, the room toward the north appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Overbought RSI, 1.2810 hurdle will test GBPUSD bullsGBPUSD rises for the third consecutive day while refreshing the two-month high. In doing so, the Cable pair cheers a pullback in the US Dollar, as well as the recent hawkish commentary from the Bank of England (BoE) officials. However, the overbought RSI (14) conditions will join a downward-sloping resistance line from July 2023, close to 1.2810 by the press time, to test the buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2810, the yearly high marked in March around 1.2895, quickly followed by the 1.2900 threshold, will precede the 1.3000 psychological magnet to attract the bids. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the GBPUSD pair’s July-October downside, near 1.2720, acts as immediate support to watch during a fresh pullback. Following that, April’s high near 1.2710 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 1.2630 should lure the Pound Sterling bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the Cable pair’s bearish trend remains elusive unless witnessing a daily closing beneath a convergence of the 50-SMA and a five-week-old rising support line, close to 1.2580 as we write. Overall, the GBPUSD pair marches toward the key upside hurdle as most traders return to their desks after a long weekend in the US and the UK.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY confirms inverse head & shoulders during four-day uptrendUSDJPY rises to the highest level in a week while crossing a downward-sloping resistance line from late April, now immediate support near 156.10, amid a four-day winning streak early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair confirms an inverse head and shoulders bullish chart pattern by extending the previous week’s rebound from the 200-SMA. It’s worth noting that the bullish MACD signals and an upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, also keep the pair buyers hopeful. With this, the quote approaches the mid-month peak surrounding 156.80 before challenging the monthly high of around 158.00. Following that, the 160.00 threshold, the yearly high of 160.20 and the year 1990 top of 160.40 can test the bulls during their run-up toward the theoretical target of the aforementioned inverse head and shoulders bullish formation, namely 162.50. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s retreat remains elusive unless breaking the neckline of the stated bullish chart formation, close to 156.10. In a case where the Yen pair drops beneath the 156.10 resistance-turned-support, it will defy the inverse head and shoulders and can quickly revisit the 200-SMA support of near 154.60. It should be observed, however, that the bullish bias remains intact as far as the pair stays beyond a two-month-old ascending support line, near 152.45 as we write. Overall, the USDJPY pair braces for a fresh record high while confirming a bullish chart formation. Any pullback, backed by the downbeat US data and softer yields, remains unimportant until the pair exceeds 152.45.
by MTradingGlobal