Fundamental-analysis
Chambal Fertilizers LONGWe have draw regression line on daily time frame with On the balance Value Indicator. Stock is showing meagre upward movement since last six months. from INR 264 to INR 295. However, OBV indicator is showing strong rising line. It is showing good accumulation.
Chambal Fertilizers is one of the leading company for fertilizer manufacturing and supplying in India. Company is trading at PE ratio of 9.45 and despite of below average quarterly results, aggressive investor can buy with share with stop loss of 280. Share can go up to INR 400 within six months time horizon.
Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes"Have a wonderful day, my dear friends!
Let's get acquainted. My name is Capy. Someday I will tell you my stunning life story, and how fate has tied me to investing. I can't quite believe it myself sometimes... But that's not what today is about.
Today I'm starting a series of posts to introduce you to my vision and strategy in the very multifaceted and insanely interesting topic of stock investing.
Let's start by figuring out why you should be an investor?
Many people think that investors are some kind of Wall Street wolves who trade stocks of companies and make unimaginable amounts of money on it. I'm sure there are those too. But, in fact, investing has long ceased to be the monopoly of the employees of banks, brokerage companies or big businessmen.
Investing is available to absolutely everyone who plans their wealth and has the basic knowledge obtained at university. Or aspires to learn this indomitable beast. This is the reason I started this blog: to help everyone who wants to understand and share my ready-made strategy that you can apply in the process of investing.
It's worth saying that every one of us has done the act of investing at least once in our lives, perhaps without even realizing it. For example, when placing money on a bank deposit (the well-known bank deposit), renting out real estate, opening a business or just learning. All these actions have one common formula: you give something away now in order to get it back in the future and, in addition, to make a profit.
When you rent out an apartment, you cannot live in it because you have given it to other people to use. But when the lease expires, you'll get your apartment back, plus a profit in the form of the rent you've been receiving all that time.
When you start a business, you put money into it so you can pay it back later through the proceeds. And, of course, you expect the returns to exceed the costs invested.
When you invest in education, you plan to use what you have learned to achieve something, whether it's getting a job or enriching your inner world.
It is the expectation of profit that is the main motivating factor for the investor and the main purpose of the investment.
If you give someone an apple and they give it back to you after a while, that's not an investment. And if you give someone an apple, and after some time you get two apples back - you are already an investor, because you made a profit in the form of an additional apple.
The upcoming series of posts will focus on one of the investment options - namely, investing in stocks of companies. I plan to teach you how to approach each trade wisely and in a measured way to keep you from engaging in short-term speculation that looks like a casino game.
Going back to our formula, a stock investment is a transfer of your money to a particular company in exchange for a stake in its business. The purpose of these actions is to make a profit in the future from the sale of the shares (in the case of buying cheaper and selling higher), or the second option - to receive dividends. Dividends are when the company shares with you a portion of the profits in proportion to your share in the business. But we will focus on the first option to make a profit, that is "buy cheaper - sell more expensive". And the dividends to consider as a nice bonus to this strategy.
I will publish a new post soon. Let's talk about approaches that will allow you to find funds for investment.
Bullish flag pattern breakout in ICICIBANKICICIBANK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of bullish flag Pattern.
📊It can give movement up to the Breakout target of above 1020+.
📊Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss below 910-.
📊Breakout can give risk: reward up to 1:10+.
Bullish pennant pattern reversal in GRASIMGRASIM
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Bullish pennant Pattern .
📊 It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 1785+.
📊There have chances of breakout of Resistance level too.
📊 After breakout of Resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 1995+.
Wedge pattern reversal in MARICO.MARICO
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1W Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of wedge Pattern .
📊 It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 560+.
📊 Inside Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
📊 Can Go Short in this stock by placing stop loss Above 480 or last swing low.
Double Bottom pattern reversal in JUBLFOOD.JUBLFOOD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1H Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of double bottom Pattern .
📊 It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 570+.
📊There have chances of breakout of Resistance level too.
📊 After breakout of Resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 590+.
My crazy partner is Mr. Market!We are used to the fact that the world's most prominent investors are known for their outstanding deals, returns and stability of results over a long time horizon. Yes, all this is certainly a sign of excellence, but no investor has gained his popularity through books. The books he wrote.
This man created his writings back in the 1930s and 1940s, but they still inspire anyone who has taken the path of smart stock investing. You've probably guessed by now who we're talking about. It's the humble author of The Intelligent Investor and Warren Buffett's teacher, Benjamin Graham.
It's amazing that after many years, this book is still considered the bible of investing on the basis of fundamental analysis - Graham wrote such a thorough description of how a person investing in stocks should think. His insight into the market can be useful to anyone who is exposed to this chaotic environment.
To understand Graham's philosophy, imagine that the market is your business partner "Mr. Market." Every day he stops by your office to visit and offer you a deal on your mutual company stock. Sometimes he wants to buy your stock, sometimes he wants to sell his own. And each time he offers a price at random, relying only on his gut. When he panics and is afraid of everything, he wants to get rid of his shares. When he feels euphoric and blind faith in the future, he wants to buy your share. That's the kind of crazy partner you have. Why is he acting this way? According to Graham, this is the behavior of all investors who don't understand the real value of what they own. They jump from side to side and do it with the regularity of a "maniac" every day.
The task of the prudent investor is to understand the fundamental value of your business and just wait for another visit from the crazy Mr. Market. If he panics and offers to buy his stock at an extremely low price - take it and wish him luck. If he begs to sell him the stock and calls an unusually generous price - sell it and wish him luck.
Of course, after a while, it may turn out that Mr. Market was not bad at all and made a very profitable deal with you. But the fact is that on the long horizon of time his luck will be washed away by a series of stupid things he will inevitably do. As for you, rest assured that tomorrow you will meet another Mister. So, as Graham has taught us, is teaching us, and will continue to teach us - you just have to be ready for it. Understanding the fundamental value of the company, this meeting will bring you nothing but pleasure!
Falling wedge pattern reversal in ABB.ABB
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1H Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge pattern Pattern .
📊 It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 3145+.
📊There have chances of breakout of Resistance level too.
📊 After breakout of Resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 3340+.
Triangle pattern reversal in UPL.UPL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Triangle Pattern Pattern .
📊Shooting star Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
📊 It can give movement upto the Reversal target of below 700-.
📊 Can Go Short in this stock by placing stop loss above 790+ or last swing high.
Double bottom Pattern breakout in GRASIM.GRASIM
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 30Min Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Double bottom Pattern .
📈It can give movement upto Breakout target of above 1780+.
📈 Can Go Long in this stock by placing stop loss below 1730--.
📈 Breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:4+.
Bullish Pennant pattern breakout in CHOLAFIN.CHOLAFIN
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📊 On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Bullish pennant Pattern .
📊Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
📊It can give movement upto Breakout target of 935+.
📊Can Go Long in this stock by placing stop loss below 700-.
📊Breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:7+.
Swing Trade Idea in WIPRO
Information Technology
IT Services & Consulting
Largecap
With a market cap of ₹2,12,903 cr, stock is ranked 27
Current price is less than the intrinsic value
Stock has been generating better return on equity than bank FD
Stock doesn't offer attractive dividend returns
Good time to consider, as stock is not in overbought zone
Stock not in ASM/GSM lists and not a lot of promoter holding is pledged
Disclaimer:- I am not a SEBI Research analyst so before investment please call to your investment advisor.
Price is what you pay, but value is what you getWarren Buffett is the most successful stock investor in the history of the world. Of course, which we know now. "The Oracle of Omaha" - that's what fans of his "magical instinct" call Buffett. But is that the point?
As an 11-year-old child, little Warren was inspired by the possibilities of the stock market and invited his sister to participate in his first investment. These were preferred shares of Cities Service. The sister agreed to take the risk and Warren bought 3 shares at $38.25. But then, the wave of enthusiasm turned to disappointment and guilt - the shares fell to $27. Buffett's first investment "enterprise" lost 29% of the amount of investments that were borrowed. We can only imagine how the young investor felt at that moment, but I think this feeling is familiar to many: positive expectations clashed with the harsh reality of the stock market. Warren didn't sell shares. But when the price for them reached $40, he did it instantly. Apparently, considering this whole undertaking a mistake. The income was 4.6%, the sister received her money back. Everything worked out. Surprisingly, Cities Service's share price rose to $202 a few days later. Or +428%, Warren!
The entire subsequent history of Warren Buffett confirms that he drew the right conclusions from the experience of his childhood. He realized that the price on the stock exchange may not reflect the value of the company itself. Buffett began to study accounting, the principles of fundamental analysis of enterprises, the ideas of Benjamin Graham. This allowed him to develop an approach that consisted in determining the real value of the company, different from the one that we see on the stock exchange.
"Price is what you pay, but value is what you get".
From myself I will add: and if the value is higher than the price - such an investment is considered reasonable.
In the chart above, the price history of Buffett's main holding company, Berkshire Hathaway. As well as the S&P500 index. As you can see, his company "overtakes" the index, which means it shows much better performance than the average value of 500 US companies.
Perhaps, in addition to deep analysis of the companies' business, Buffett's unique investor instinct helps, I don't know. But the fact that he is a real Wizard of our time is an indisputable fact for me.
NIFTY50 INDEX HEADING TOWARDS ALL TIME HIGHNIFTY50 Index is range bound ( in range of 18000-18180 ) since 1-11-22. Eight trading sessions are gone. Index does not break the range. I drew a parallel lines for defining range. If, market showing upward trading in upcoming session, it will create double bottom and index will touch all time high in near future.
However, If Index breaks 17900 on closing basis, then market will be in bearish mode. It is very unlikely scenario.
First, we will discuss factors enabling bullish scenario.
1. Nifty50 stood at PE of 21.53 as on 10-11-22. It's showing very affordable valuation of Indian stocks.
2. FII bought INR 8531.51 Cr. till 10-11-22 ( taken from NSE)
Except two days, We have seen FII inflow in cash segment on continuous basis since 20th Oct-22.
Fingers are crossed, In my opinion; we will see all time high market.