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Bitcoin near Cycle Top ? Or is it really different this time ?I am a man that likes to look at Both sides of a Story, even more so when it involves trading with with large or small amounts of money And I am even more carious with Bitcoin this Cycle. The Adoption of Corporations that can Buy and amass large amounts of Bitcoin is Highly likely to change how Bitcoin works. So many "Experts" deny this. And the proof that this is or not happening, is simply by looking at the Price Action, past and present. That is what I do almost everyday since 2015 and charting it here on TV for the last 6 years. And I have found THIS last night. And I have to show you and explain this. ** The Figures in the Logarithmic chart below are approximate and yet near enough to accurately reflect the idea I am about to present. This chart is Bitcoin PA since The LOW of November 2009 From that Low to cycle ATH is A and the same principle is applied to the following Cycle Low to ATH. The Data shown is the % difference between a cycle Low to Cycle High as compared to the previous cycle. For example. Cycle B was 95.8% smaller than Cycle A As we can easily see, as BTC increases in price, it becomes harder to make PA move higher. More money is required and so that "ATH point" Arc becomes Flatter each cycle. As a result, the Negative % difference is reduced each time. And we are near that ball park now in 2025 at - 73.2% The average of the previous 3 cycles is - 84.7 % - the first was an exceptional year and so if we remove that, we have an average of - 79,1 % But I am looking at the simple fact that we went from - 80.1 % to - 78.2 % in 2 cycles, that are in a channel that PA has been in ever since 2014 ATH. ( I have explained this channel in other posts ) That is a - 2.1 % change and so if we apply that to the previous -78.2 %, we may expect a final figure of - 76.1 % This still Gives PA some room to move before a final ATH - POSSIBLY Some are Expecting a 200K figure for this cycle ATH. If that happens, it would destroy this pattern and be a -40% difference to the previous cycle. What is VERY important to understand here is that, if we do make it over 120K, it does begin to make things Different. And the higher we go, the Bigger that difference to the Pattern we all now accept as the default 4 year cycle. So, in conclusion, there is a very real possibility that we have reached cycle Top, or very near, in 3 years. We did this in 2021 with a March ATH but we all now know, we went to November 2021 before the final ATH was reached, sticking to the 4 cycle and Keeping that % Different model explained above. If that happens again, we will not see another ATH till later in 2025 and even then, it will not be a lot greater than the last, repeating what happened in 2021. BUT - we do not know the impact of Corporate usage yet. Should this drive us over and beyond the 120K Mark,Things Will be different and then, referring to the past could be prone to error. THAT would be True Price discovery. This is all numerical FACT as can be seen on the chart My personnel opinion is that we do have more to come this cycle but maybe not till later in the year. It depends on market sentiment and that is likely to be Cool if the USA FED refuses to lower interest rates further this year, The First FED meeting of the year is 28 29 Jan We may be near a "Classic" cycle Top, and we may well be on the edge of creating a New Cycle pattern We may not. Only Time will tell and YOU need to make plans for Either reality Trade Safe, be cautious and LOVE LIFE
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
Rainbow Hospitals - Rising Wedge PatternRainbow Hospitals is making a Rising Wedge Pattern which is a bullish pattern and as per it we can expect Target of 2500+. Other factors: 1. One of the best Pediatric Hospital Chain in India. 2. Fundamentally strong stock with QnQ great results 3. Capacity expansion of 50%+ bed increase with state of art hospital in Gurgaon 4. Acquisition of hospitals in north east & Hyderabad 5. Technically a rising wedge pattern which is a bullish pattern Based on fundamentals & technical analysis this stocks is looking great. Do keep in your radar!! Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stock at Right Time at Right Price!! Cheers!!!
NSE:RAINBOWLong
by Cleaneasycharts
JAICORP "OVER"? what about other real estate stocks ?This post is regarding Real estate in india also , so kindly read completely for the effort i kept into writing this article jaicorp sold their sez zone at very discount price its is a real estate company and its main asset was sez almost entire business so investors lost trust in this company in future also we dont know what they will do to other sales if any,they might never show real value for any other sales also like many unlisted real estate companies there is a saying "once a crook is always a crook" i dont know why sebi is not taking any action or how is it even legal , may sebi need to bring laws for real estate companies in such a way that investors evote in case of low value sale etc //////////////////////// now the real dilema is that what if same practices are done by other real estate companies ///////////// we know in india others see a guy doing illegal things and they also start doing thoes things or others will also start to exploit those loop holes so others are also risky which have land bank stories i.e is why land value is never included in book value in stocks and are traded at discount //////////////////(and this is different topic about real estate in india, is real estate going to crash?) however in india land prices are inflated in such a way that in USA , Europe, Canada, Australia,germany, etc have cheaper prices and better ROI but why in india land prices are hyped ? for example if you buy an acre of land for 2CR (crore) and give it to development for 1 acre i take minimum count ,atleast you will get 30 2bhk apartments lets say each sold for 30 lakhs 30*30=900 lakhs which is 9cr construction cost say 4cr atmost still left with 5 cr , after land cost is taken off it will be about 3 cr profit still , so people assume this and are saying 1 acre here cost around 2cr , and all real eastate guys marketed people into buying apartments saying you can take house loan , or instead of paying rent you can buy on loan and can pay interest , this went so hype that people started to buy houses as investment than to live in that house , soon people started over construction apartments are build too much , people who thought apartment as investment thinking later it will appreciate the problem is when years pass on for the same price any guy who want to buy will buy a new apartment that to some what far from the city center as cities are expanding , and there will be lesspollution and they also think city will expand later and our land price will appreciate, and however they will get it much cheaper so they prefer some what outside and people who bought as investments remains unsold and their value will keep depreciating with time any country in world you go and look everyone prefers individual house only in india they are promoting apartments so that they get huge profits , but individual house are the best we do not lack land but people over hype prices that are costlier than USA, and greater fool theory is going on thinking someone will buy it for much higher prices simply an agricultural land they say 2cr per 1acre but if you buy it 2cr and do agriculture you hardly get 20,000 rupees over 2cr so is the prices justified ? road side lands are a different thing as they can be used to develop commercial real estate like you build a showroom and rent it ,so roi will be good but in villages people are saying 2cr is so stupid they are assuming apartments case and are saying those prices so best thing is prefer individual house , unless its commercial real estate land value will not appreciate. so i think already realestate is overhyped do not when people will start to realize individal is house is better just like in other countries //////////////////////////////// Here are list of some companies where like jaicorp people think they have land banks and we dont know they might also do just like jaicorp did to their investors if you know any please mention in comments if i missed any BF Utilites Bf Investments Nesco BBTC Maharastra scooters bombay dyeing BDH KCP empire industries etc if you know any other please mention Disclaimer- Just my view and opinion trade at your own risk not an investment advice these are only for educational purposes
NSE:JAICORPLTDShort
by techno_funda_guy
Market Analysis for 9 January 2025: Key Levels and InsightsStop-losses are placed near the levels of 23,500 and 24,200. The market is currently not ready to break the 23,500 level. The levels of 23,500 and 23,700 have become significant, with the market trading in a range between 23,700 and 23,500. For now, the levels of 23,550, 23,650, and 23,750 should be monitored closely. Today, the market closed above the 23,520–23,540 range, indicating a possible upward movement, as an "M" pattern has formed near the 23,500 level. and hence the market tried to find support at 23600 and 23500 key levels today. If the market breaks 23,500 and then 23,465, sustaining below 23,440, it may move down to 23,350. Currently, the market is moving within a parallel channel. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by shilpaaG
One reason why I am Still VERY bullish on Bitcoin This chart is very simple and it explains itself very well The upper trend line is formed by going through January candles only ( I have used a Line Chart here for Visibility but rtust me, that line goes through January Candles ) And, as you can see, when PA is above this trend line, it is en-route to ATH It also helps us see where we are in realtion to previous Januaries. And, If I am honest, we are Lower than we should be,. If we look in the channel, the Jan before PA crossed the trend line,going to the 2017 ATH, PA was 114% above the lower Trendline. The January before crossing the trendline en-route to 2021 ATH, PA was 214% above the Lower trendline - It has to be said, this cycle was blown out of proportion by excessive Leverage etc and, for me, this led to a premature ATH in March. The Real ATH are Late in the year, Nov or December. This January, 2025, PA is only 87% above that Lower trendline. But despite the Low level, we do seem to be entering a Much more friendly Crypto Finacial world now and I do expect PA to pick up. If we were to remain under the rising line of resistance, coming off the initial Wave higher in 2023, we hit the upper trendline around 2nd Half of summer. 2025 and at a price around 256K usdt The ATH will be above this line and we will have to wait to see how much higher it goes. This is the GREEN YEAR in Bitcoin Cycles. Lets go Please Note, I do expect the first quarter to be possibly not so friendly. We have to wait an see but by this time next year, I am hoping we will have had the ATH Time will tell
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
SAPANDANA SPHOORTY READY FOR ALL TIME HIGH ?NSE:SPANDANA (Spandana Sphoorty Fin Ltd.) This can be considered as my New Year Pick !! Yesterday, Longs were given around 375 Mentioning that Any dip till 300 to be bought ! For Targets🎯400 / 425 / 444 / 462 / 488 / 505 / 520++ POSITIONAL TARGET🎯 555 / 578 / 606++ Keeping WCBSL as 284 Chart which was made yesterday ie. 07/01/2025 Today, It made a high of 480++ 375------>480++ T4 Done🎯🎯 More Than 25% Returns in single session !!💕😍 Updated Chart as of now ie. 08/01/2025 This move was captured..... ============================================================= Technical Setup: 1) More than 60% down from recent highs of 1200 levels 2) Falling wedge pattern on chart 3) Breakout of Falling Wedge can be seen... 4) Available at cheap valuations 5) Indication of Bottoming Out with High Volumes !!! ============================================================= Regards, Harm⭕nics4Life 08/01/2025 ============================================================= Disclaimer & Risk Warning I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.....Good Luck!
NSE:SPANDANALong
by Harmonics4Life
Gold analysis 9/1/2025OANDA:XAUUSD Good day! Yesterday, gold hit some sell-side SLs after stronger data from Tuesday. Once again, gold failed to close above 2665. The FOMC minutes came across as mixed, with both dovish and hawkish comments in play. This morning, I’m getting a bearish vibe on gold. A break below 2640 is needed to confirm a move lower. For now, breaking 2655 could offer scalping opportunities down to 2645. On the flip side, gold needs a solid break above 2665 to push beyond current levels. Sell:- Breakout 2640 targeting 2625 Sl above 2655. Buy:- Breakout 2665 Targeting 2680/2700 Sl below 2655
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
Oil India Bullish Breakout with Strong Technical and FundamentalHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought the daily chart of Oil India Ltd, which looks very promising with a solid mix of technical and fundamental strength. Let me break it down for you guy's: Technical Analysis Trendline Analysis: The stock has been respecting a long-term upward support trendline, bouncing off it multiple times (marked with green circles). This shows strong buyer interest and confidence, especially from institutional players. The recent breakout from the falling resistance trendline is a game-changer, signaling the start of a bullish phase. Breakout Confirmation: What makes this breakout special is the retest near the best entry zone (₹492–480), which adds reliability to the move. The bullish candlestick pattern near the support further strengthens this setup. Volume Analysis: Volume is the backbone of every breakout, and here it hasn’t disappointed. A significant volume spike during the breakout shows strong buying interest. Historical volume patterns also show increased activity near critical levels, indicating accumulation by smart money. Key Levels: Immediate Support: ₹438 Immediate Resistance: ₹533 Targets: 1st Target: ₹533 2nd Target: ₹587 3rd Target: ₹630 Long-Term Target: ₹911 Stop Loss: Short-term: ₹438 Long-term: ₹362 Indicators: RSI: Recovering beautifully from oversold levels and showing bullish divergence—this is a good sign of momentum shifting upward. MACD: Crossed above the signal line, further confirming the bullish momentum. Moving Averages: The stock has climbed above key short-term EMAs (e.g., 21-day), giving more confidence in the uptrend continuation( Note:- I have not placed any 21 day ema line to keep chart clean, but i have done analysis for this . ) Fundamental Analysis Industry Overview: The energy sector is buzzing, with rising energy demand and stable crude oil prices driving growth. Oil India, being a leading exploration and production player, is well-positioned to ride this wave. Revenue & Profitability: The company has shown strong revenue growth, benefiting from the favorable pricing environment. Their solid net profit margins highlight operational efficiency, which is always a big plus. Dividend Yield: Oil India is known for consistently rewarding its investors with a great dividend yield, making it a go-to stock for long-term portfolios. Debt Levels: A healthy balance sheet with manageable debt is another feather in their cap, ensuring they can weather market volatility. Future Prospects: With expansion in exploration projects and increased production capacity, Oil India is set up for solid growth. Government policies supporting domestic energy production act as an added tailwind for the company. Oil India Ltd is shaping up to be a great opportunity for both short-term traders and long-term investors: Technically, the breakout from the falling resistance trendline, supported by volume and strong indicators, sets the stage for further upside. Fundamentally, the company’s financial health, growth prospects, and attractive dividend yield make it a solid long-term bet. If the stock sustains above ₹533, we could see strong momentum toward higher targets. For long-term investors, any dips toward the ₹480–492 range may be a good chance to accumulate. Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always do your research and manage your risk. Don’t forget to like and follow for more trading ideas like this. Check out my profile @TraderRahulPal for other detailed insights into technical and fundamental setups. Let’s grow together!
NSE:OILLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
SYNCOMF FOR 3-6 MONTHSFor 3-6 Months Fundamentally, > Revenue Growth over 60% Quarterly > Net Income Growth over 70% Quarterly > EPS over 40% Yearly Technically, > Trading at the point of historically tested demand zone. > Rising relative strength. > Market Profile also suggesting an upmove. > Current levels suggests buyer's entry with volumes. Risk to Reward is 1:2.5 or more Profit Targets: 22-28, Can book some profits at first target and then trail SL further. Stop Loss: Below the current support, 19
NSE:SYNCOMFLong
by madhubansal