How to Build a Crypto Portfolio for Long-Term Wealth?Hello Traders!
The crypto market can look exciting, fast profits, new coins every week, and hype everywhere.
But those who build long-term wealth in crypto don’t chase trends; they build structured portfolios with strategy.
Let’s understand how to create a crypto portfolio that can grow steadily over time, not just in bull runs.
1. Decide Your Investment Horizon
Before buying anything, decide your goal, 3 years, 5 years, or 10 years.
Longer horizons allow you to ride out volatility and benefit from compounding.
If you’re thinking short term, you’re speculating, not investing.
2. Allocate Wisely – The 60/30/10 Rule
60%: Blue-chip cryptos like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) , the foundation of your portfolio.
30%: Promising large/mid-cap projects (Layer-1s, AI, DeFi leaders).
10%: High-risk, high-reward small-cap or emerging tokens.
This keeps your portfolio stable while still giving growth exposure.
3. Diversify Across Categories
Don’t just hold coins, diversify across crypto sectors:
~Layer-1 platforms (ETH, SOL, AVAX)
~DeFi (AAVE, UNI)
~Infrastructure (LINK, ARB)
~AI/Metaverse (INJ, RNDR, MATIC)
This ensures that if one sector underperforms, others balance your returns.
4. Use SIP or DCA Method
Instead of buying everything at once, invest gradually through Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) or Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) .
This helps you accumulate more during dips and reduces emotional stress during corrections.
5. Secure and Rebalance Regularly
Use hardware wallets for long-term storage. Don’t keep large amounts on exchanges.
Review your portfolio every 3–6 months and rebalance to maintain original allocation.
Trim profits from overperforming assets and add to undervalued ones.
Rahul’s Tip:
Crypto investing is not about catching every rally, it’s about staying long enough to see technology grow and adoption rise. Patience is your biggest alpha.
Conclusion:
A strong crypto portfolio is like a business, diversified, secure, and managed with discipline.
If you build it smartly, it can become a powerful wealth creator over time.
If this post helped you plan your crypto journey, like it, drop your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical investment insights!
Fundamental Analysis
SOL | Network Strength Meets Market MomentumSolana (SOLUSDT) continues to show resilience as both technical and fundamental factors align for potential upside. On the technical side, the market has completed a controlled correction phase, suggesting liquidity buildup below recent lows. The structure remains bullish, with increasing volume and price stability hinting that buyers are regaining control. Fundamentally, Solana’s network growth and strong developer activity have reinforced investor confidence, supported by rising on-chain activity and ecosystem expansion in DeFi and NFTs. This combination of solid fundamentals and technical structure indicates the possibility of another bullish leg, with SOL positioning itself for a gradual climb toward the $240–$250 range in the near term.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in SOUTHBANK
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
DXY Ready for Next Bullish Leg After Liquidity SweepDollar Index maintaining bullish structure after recent BOS on 3H timeframe.Market formed consolidation phase early October before expansion.Buyers showing control pushing price towards 100.57 objective.Current retracement indicates liquidity grab before next bullish impulse.Demand zone 98.50–98.80 remains key area for continuation.Technical sentiment stays positive as long as price holds above 98.50.Fundamentally, dollar supported by strong U.S. data and cautious global tone favoring safe-haven demand.Momentum outlook remains bullish with potential continuation toward 100.50+ zone.
AUDNZD - READY FOR A REVERSAL?Symbol - AUDNZD
CMP - 1.14180
AUDNZD continues to maintain its upward trajectory, supported by fundamental divergence between the two economies. The Australian dollar remains resilient and continues to outperform the New Zealand dollar after the RBNZ implemented an aggressive 50 basis point rate cut, lowering the official cash rate to 2.5% - the lowest level in over three years. The central bank also signaled a willingness to ease further as the domestic economy continues to struggle.
Despite this fundamental backdrop favoring the Australian dollar, the currency pair is showing signs of exhaustion in its bullish momentum and now appears poised for a corrective phase. Selling pressure is becoming evident at higher levels, and if this activity intensifies, AUDNZD could transition into a deeper correction in the near term.
Resistance levels: 1.1430, 1.1455, 1.1472
Support levels: 1.1387, 1.1350
While the overall trend remains upward, the near-term bias has turned bearish as momentum wanes. However, if buyers manage to defend key support levels and regain control, a renewed cycle of bullish momentum may emerge - potentially extending toward higher resistance levels before a broader reversal unfolds.
Part 12 Trading Master ClassMastering the Art of Option Trading
Option trading blends mathematics, psychology, and market logic. It’s not just about predicting direction but understanding probabilities, risk management, and timing. Successful traders treat options as tools for strategic advantage — not gambling tickets.
In essence:
Options = Flexibility + Leverage + Protection.
They empower traders to define risk, hedge intelligently, and profit across market cycles.
But to master them, one must study pricing models, volatility behavior, and trade discipline.
Whether you’re a hedger protecting a portfolio or a speculator chasing momentum, options are the bridge between risk and opportunity — making them one of the most powerful innovations in modern financial markets.
ASTER IS SCAM? FUTURE TARGET !📊 ASTER/USDT 1D Update
🔎 Technical Observation:
- Breakdown from symmetrical triangle, signaling momentum shift.
- Strong bearish impulse candle, price below previous swing low.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $1.73 and $1.90.
⚠️ Key Levels:
- Support: $1.2842
- Resistance: $1.7273, $1.9010, $2.4353
📉 Market Outlook:
- Bearish in the short term after pattern breakdown.
- Likely continuation to test support at $1.2842. Watch for reaction here.
💡 Trade Idea:
- Capitulation drop towards $1.2842 support.
- Anticipate bullish reversal near this zone. Target for reversal: $1.8000 (FVG fill).
- Reclaiming this zone signals bullish momentum towards $2.4353.
✅ Closing Note:
- Reaction at $1.2842 key; look for absorption and reversal signals.
BEL Price ActionBharat Electronics Limited (BEL) is currently trading at ₹413.8, up about 1.09% from the previous close. The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, with price movement staying close to its 52-week high of ₹436 and well above the year’s low of ₹240.25. BEL’s market capitalization is substantial, above ₹3 trillion, reflecting its position as a major defense sector player.
Technically, BEL is trading above both its 50-day and 200-day averages, which underlines its medium-term bullish momentum. The intraday range for today is ₹408.35 to ₹415.5, with volume remaining healthy at over 11 million shares, and year-to-date returns exceed 44%. Current resistance is near ₹436, the annual high, while support is seen at ₹409 and, further down, at the ₹389 average price over the last 50 days.
The stock’s financial profile shows an EPS of ₹7.55 and a high P/E ratio above 54, suggesting premium valuation due to strong market confidence. BEL’s debt is negligible, profitability remains high, and dividend yield stands at around 0.58%. For traders, BEL’s sustained strength may present short-term continuation opportunities above resistance if volumes pick up, while long-term investors remain positive as long as the price stays above key support bands.
EMBDL Price ActionEMBDL (Embassy Developments Ltd) is trading around ₹94, having faced a persistent downtrend over the past year with a decline of nearly 22%. The stock’s 52-week range stretches from ₹89.22 (low) to ₹163.69 (high), reflecting significant volatility, though recent weeks have seen relatively steady movement between ₹94 and ₹98. Market capitalization is around ₹12,900 crore.
### Technical Overview
EMBDL’s short-term momentum is weak, with prices consolidating near their 52-week low and most technical indicators suggesting sideways to negative bias. The stock underperformed the Indian real estate sector and broader market over the past one year. It remains below its key moving averages, and oscillators indicate continued downside risk unless a clear reversal emerges. Short-term support is at ₹89, and resistance is found near ₹98–100; a move beyond either of these could define the next trend leg.
### Fundamentals and Valuation
For FY2025, EMBDL posted revenues of about ₹2,371 crore but continued to operate at a loss, recording negative earnings with a net loss of ₹82 crore and net profit margin at -3.5%. Gross margins stand at 21.7%, and EPS is negative at -0.60. Leverage is moderate, with a debt/equity ratio near 0.5. Valuation ratios are elevated—price-to-book is about 2.8, and the trailing P/E is not meaningful due to negative earnings. Compared to peers, EMBDL is trading at a premium on several valuation metrics.
### Peer Comparison and Outlook
EMBDL’s recent performance lags sector leaders like DLF and Macrotech Developers, both on price returns and growth metrics. Although operational revenue has rebounded from earlier lows, persistent losses and expensive valuations temper the medium-term outlook. Until a structural turnaround in earnings becomes visible or price action clearly breaks above resistance, EMBDL is likely to remain in a prolonged consolidation phase with a mildly negative bias.
Short-term traders should watch the ₹89–₹98 band as key decision zones for trend change. Long-term investors may consider waiting for fundamental improvement or more attractive valuation levels before adding exposure.
WIPRO 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Current Price & Trend
Price: ₹250.50
Day's Range: ₹246.26 – ₹250.63
Previous Close: ₹246.20
Change: +1.62%
🔍 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 78.90 (Overbought)
MACD: 1.86 (Bullish)
ADX: 46.59 (Strong Trend)
CCI (14): 237.19 (Overbought)
Moving Averages: All major MAs (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200) are in a "Strong Buy" position
📊 Key Levels
Support: ₹242, ₹240, ₹230
Resistance: ₹255, ₹260, ₹265
52-Week High: ₹324.60 (July 2, 2025)
✅ Outlook
The technical indicators suggest a strong bullish momentum. However, with the RSI indicating overbought conditions, a short-term pullback could occur. A sustained move above ₹255 could target ₹265–₹270 in the short term
Capri Global Capital LtdDate 10.10.2025
Capri Global
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) Diversified Non-Banking Financial Company
(2) Segments like MSME, Affordable Housing, Construction Finance segments, Car Loan & Gold Loans
Company Timeline
(1) FY11 : Construction Finance Business
(2) FY13 : MSME Lending
(3) FY17 : Housing Finance
(4) FY22 : Car Loans & Gold Loans
MSME
(1) Avg. Ticket size Rs. 17 lakhs
(2) Tenor: Up to 15 years
(3) AUM : 38%
Housing Finance
(1) Avg. Ticket size: Rs. 11 lakhs
(2) Tenor: Up to 25 years
(3) AUM : 26%
Gold Loans
(1) Ticket size: Rs. 3,000 to Rs. 30 lakhs
(2) Tenor: Up to 1 year
(3) AUM : 16%
Construction Finance
(1) Avg. Ticket size: Rs. 7 crs
(2) Tenor: Up to 7 years
(3) AUM : 17%
Indirect Lending
(1) Ticket size: Rs. 3 crs. - 1,00 crs.
(2) Tenor: Up to 3 years
(3) AUM : 3%
Geographical Presence
(1) Maharashtra: 5%
(2) Delhi: 11%
(3) Gujarat: 18%
(4) Madhya Pradesh: 32%
(5) Rajasthan: 31%
(6) UP : 3%
(7) Punjab & Haryana: 1%
Capital Adequacy Ratio
(1) Capri Global Capital Ltd : 32%
(2) Capri Global Housing Finance Limited : 48%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap: 18079 Cr
(2) Stock PE: 31.3
(3) ROCE: 11.2%
(4) ROE: 11.8%
(5) Sales Growth: 39.73%
(6) Profit Growth: 98.16%
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Exploring Financial Market Types in India1. Money Market
The money market in India deals with short-term funds, typically with maturities of less than one year. It is crucial for maintaining liquidity in the economy, managing short-term financing needs, and implementing monetary policy.
Key Instruments
Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Issued by the government, these are short-term debt instruments with tenures ranging from 91 to 364 days.
Commercial Papers (CPs): Unsecured promissory notes issued by corporations to meet working capital requirements.
Certificate of Deposit (CDs): Issued by banks and financial institutions to mobilize short-term funds.
Call Money & Repo Markets: Enable interbank lending and borrowing to manage daily liquidity.
Participants
Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Commercial Banks
Financial Institutions
Corporate Treasuries
Significance
Ensures liquidity for businesses and financial institutions.
Helps the RBI in controlling short-term interest rates.
Provides a safe investment avenue for risk-averse investors.
2. Capital Market
The capital market deals with long-term funds for investment in productive assets. It is a key driver of economic growth by mobilizing savings and channeling them into corporate and infrastructure development.
Subcategories
Primary Market: Also known as the new issue market, where companies raise fresh capital through IPOs, FPOs, and rights issues.
Secondary Market: Where existing securities are traded among investors. This includes stock exchanges like BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) and NSE (National Stock Exchange).
Key Instruments
Equity Shares: Ownership in a company with potential dividends and capital appreciation.
Debentures & Bonds: Debt instruments providing fixed returns over a period.
Mutual Funds & ETFs: Pooled investment vehicles investing in equity, debt, or hybrid instruments.
Participants
Individual and institutional investors
Brokers and stock exchanges
Regulatory authority: Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
Significance
Provides long-term financing for companies and governments.
Facilitates wealth creation for investors.
Ensures price discovery and liquidity in the equity and debt markets.
3. Derivatives Market
The derivatives market in India allows participants to hedge, speculate, or arbitrage on price movements of underlying assets such as equities, commodities, currencies, or interest rates.
Key Instruments
Futures Contracts: Agreements to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price and date.
Options Contracts: Give the holder the right (not obligation) to buy or sell an asset at a specific price.
Swaps & Forwards: Customized contracts for interest rate, currency, or commodity management.
Participants
Institutional investors (banks, mutual funds, insurance companies)
Retail investors
Corporates for risk management
Significance
Provides tools to manage risk effectively.
Enhances market efficiency through speculation and hedging.
Offers leverage, allowing participants to amplify potential gains.
4. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market
The forex market in India deals with buying and selling of foreign currencies, playing a crucial role in trade, investment, and international finance.
Key Instruments
Spot contracts: Immediate delivery of foreign currency.
Forward contracts: Future exchange at pre-determined rates.
Currency swaps: Exchange of principal and interest in different currencies.
Participants
RBI and central banks
Commercial banks
Exporters and importers
Forex brokers
Significance
Facilitates international trade and investment.
Helps in managing currency risk.
Maintains exchange rate stability.
5. Commodity Market
India’s commodity market involves trading in physical goods and standardized contracts, including agriculture, metals, and energy. It ensures price discovery and risk mitigation for producers and consumers.
Key Platforms
Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX)
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX)
Key Instruments
Futures and options in commodities like gold, crude oil, wheat, and sugar.
Participants
Producers and farmers
Traders and exporters
Hedgers and speculators
Significance
Provides price transparency for commodities.
Enables hedging against price volatility.
Supports agricultural and industrial growth.
Regulatory Framework in India
India’s financial markets are governed by robust regulations to ensure transparency, investor protection, and systemic stability. Key regulators include:
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India): Governs equity and derivatives markets.
RBI (Reserve Bank of India): Manages money and forex markets.
Forward Markets Commission (FMC) (now merged with SEBI): Regulates commodity markets.
Ministry of Finance & Ministry of Corporate Affairs: Oversee fiscal and corporate regulations.
Conclusion
The financial markets in India are diverse, interconnected, and dynamic, catering to different investment horizons, risk appetites, and financial needs. From providing liquidity and short-term financing to enabling long-term investment and hedging, these markets play a vital role in the country’s economic development.
With increasing technological integration, reforms, and global participation, India’s financial markets are evolving rapidly, offering new opportunities for investors and businesses while contributing to overall economic growth.
Option Trading Derivatives (FAO)1. Introduction to FAO
FAO stands for Futures and Options, two major categories of derivatives. Derivatives are financial contracts whose value depends on an underlying asset, such as stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, or interest rates. The primary purpose of derivatives is to provide risk management, speculation, and arbitrage opportunities.
Key Features of FAO:
Leverage: Traders can control large positions with relatively small capital.
Hedging: Protect against adverse price movements in underlying assets.
Speculation: Profit from both rising and falling markets.
Liquidity: Popular derivatives are highly liquid, allowing easy entry and exit.
2. Understanding Options
Options are contracts that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on a specific date (expiry date). There are two primary types of options:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at a fixed price.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at a fixed price.
Key Terminology:
Strike Price: Price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: Price paid to purchase the option.
Expiry Date: Date on which the option contract becomes invalid.
In-the-Money (ITM), Out-of-the-Money (OTM), At-the-Money (ATM): Terms describing the relationship between the strike price and current market price.
Options provide flexibility and multiple strategies for traders, allowing them to maximize profits or minimize losses.
3. Understanding Futures
Futures are standardized contracts that oblige the buyer to purchase and the seller to sell an asset at a predetermined price and date. Unlike options, futures contracts carry an obligation to buy or sell, not just a right. They are widely used in commodities, indices, currencies, and interest rate markets.
Key Features:
Leverage: Futures allow traders to control large positions with a fraction of the total contract value.
Mark-to-Market: Daily settlement of gains and losses ensures liquidity and transparency.
Hedging and Speculation: Corporations hedge against price fluctuations, while traders speculate on market direction.
4. FAO Trading Mechanics
Trading FAO requires understanding market participants, contract specifications, and trading platforms.
Market Participants:
Hedgers: Minimize risk exposure. Example: Farmers selling crop futures.
Speculators: Profit from market movements. Example: Traders buying stock options.
Arbitrageurs: Exploit price differences across markets.
Contract Specifications:
Lot Size: Minimum quantity for trading a contract.
Expiry Cycle: Monthly or weekly expirations.
Margin Requirements: Funds required to maintain positions.
Trading FAO occurs on regulated exchanges, such as NSE, BSE, CME, and ICE, providing standardized contracts, clearing mechanisms, and transparent pricing.
5. FAO Trading Strategies
5.1 Option Strategies:
Covered Call: Holding underlying shares and selling call options to earn premium.
Protective Put: Buying a put option to protect against downside risk.
Straddle: Buying call and put options simultaneously to profit from volatility.
Iron Condor: Combining multiple options to profit from low volatility.
5.2 Futures Strategies:
Hedging: Lock in future prices to mitigate risk.
Speculation: Taking positions to profit from expected price movements.
Spread Trading: Buying and selling related futures to benefit from relative price changes.
6. Risk Management in FAO
Trading derivatives involves high risk due to leverage and market volatility. Effective risk management strategies include:
Setting Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exit losing trades.
Position Sizing: Allocate only a fraction of capital to each trade.
Diversification: Spread exposure across assets and strategies.
Volatility Analysis: Understand implied and historical volatility for better decision-making.
7. Advantages of FAO Trading
Leverage for Higher Returns: Small capital can control large positions.
Hedging Capabilities: Protect investments from market swings.
Flexibility and Variety: Multiple strategies suit different market conditions.
Transparency and Regulation: Exchange-traded derivatives ensure standardized practices.
8. Challenges and Risks
High Volatility: Prices can move quickly against traders.
Complexity: Advanced knowledge is required for strategy execution.
Margin Calls: Traders may need to deposit additional funds if losses occur.
Liquidity Risk: Not all options or futures are highly liquid.
9. Regulatory Environment
FAO markets are tightly regulated to protect investors:
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) regulates derivatives trading in India.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and SEC regulate U.S. markets.
Exchange Rules: Each exchange sets contract specifications, margin requirements, and trading hours.
10. Practical Examples of FAO Trading
Hedging Example: A wheat farmer sells wheat futures to lock in a price before harvest.
Speculation Example: A trader buys Nifty call options expecting an upward movement.
Volatility Trading: Traders implement straddles and strangles during earnings season to profit from price swings.
11. Technology and FAO
Modern FAO trading relies heavily on algorithmic trading, AI analytics, and real-time data. Platforms offer:
Option Chain Analysis: View all available options for a stock or index.
Greeks Monitoring: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega – to understand option sensitivity.
Risk Management Tools: Automated alerts and portfolio analytics.
12. Conclusion
Option trading derivatives (FAO) represent a powerful set of financial instruments that combine leverage, flexibility, and risk management. While they provide opportunities for profit maximization, they also carry substantial risks, making knowledge, discipline, and strategy essential. Successful FAO trading requires understanding market mechanics, advanced strategies, and effective risk management to harness the potential of these derivatives responsibly.
USDCHF - TREND REVERSAL CONFIRMEDSymbol - USDCHF
USDCHF is confirming a reversal of its prior downtrend and appears poised to transition into a distribution phase, supported by strength in the US Dollar Index.
The dollar is currently breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the broader long-term downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is gradually losing momentum.
The currency pair is exhibiting signs of a local trend breakout, with the breach of the ascending triangle’s resistance level reinforcing bullish sentiment. Within this developing distribution phase, the price may attempt to retest recent local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.8000
A sustained consolidation above 0.8000 could establish an intermediate base, offering additional support for bullish continuation in the next upward movement.
Crompton Greaves: Momentum Exhausted, Base Formation UnderwayAfter a sharp corrective leg, Crompton Greaves Consumer appears to be completing a Wave (2) retracement, setting the stage for a potential next impulse.
Wave Structure
The broader cycle from the ₹125 low (2016) to ₹512.80 (2021) unfolded as a clean five-wave impulse , marking higher-degree Wave 1.
A deep A–B–C correction followed, bottoming near ₹251 — the low of higher-degree Wave 2.
From there, the stock rallied in five waves to ₹484 (labeled Wave (1) of the new impulse).
The ongoing decline fits neatly as a Wave (2) correction, which could be nearing completion — right above the crucial invalidation level of ₹251.
As long as ₹251 holds, the bullish impulse count remains valid.
Momentum Check
RSI on the weekly timeframe has dipped near 31, retesting its prior reversal zone.
“Momentum washed out — Wave (2) may be nearing completion.”
That aligns with the exhaustion one typically sees at the tail end of a corrective C-wave.
Technical Context
The Volume Profile shows heavy trading between ₹300–₹320 — the key supply-demand zone.
Once price reclaims this shelf, it could validate the start of Wave (3), potentially targeting new highs over the coming quarters.
Invalidation remains at ₹251 — a clean, technical stop defining structural risk.
Fundamental Snapshot
Crompton’s numbers reinforce the long-term base-building narrative:
Revenue : ₹78.61 B in FY 2025 — a steady climb from ₹39 B in 2017.
Free Cash Flow : ₹6.06 B, with healthy generation despite periodic volatility.
Debt : Nil as of FY 2025 — a clean balance sheet.
P/E Ratio : ~34.8, compressing over the past two years as earnings normalized.
Market Cap : ₹181 B, stable yet below its 2021–22 peak, indicating subdued sentiment.
Summary
The setup points to a near-completion of corrective structure, exhausted momentum, and stable fundamentals — a combination that often precedes a strong impulsive advance.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Transrail Light - An analysis Transrail Light - An analysis
Fundamental Outlook
Market Cap : INR 8400 cr
D/E ratio is 0.34, down from 0.59 in previous quarter
Manageable ICR 3.36, up from 2.3 in previous quarter
PE of 25.6, IND PE is 55.68, ~0.5X of Industry PE, inexpensive stock amongst Industry peers
PEG of 0.96, Excellent
ROE = 21.63%
ROCE = 30.58% , ROCE 5yrs = 28.82%
Sales growth = 30.2%, Sales Growth 5 yrs =23.06%
Profit growth = 41.95%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 26.71%
Promoter holding at 71.12%, stable since IPO in Dec 24
Cumulative FII/DII holding above 14%
Public holding < 15%
Sales and Profits have increased QoQ for the last 3 quarters
Sales and profits have increased on YoY for last 3 years too
Technical Outlook
CMP : 623
On daily charts ,
Stock has experienced a significant downtrend and has bounced back to Near ATH level of 675-680.
It has fallen down in this past week and is available attractively near EMA 21 levels
RSI(weekly)=57
RSI(daily) =55
On daily charts
LTP > EMA21 > EMA63
RSI(daily) =55
Chart Patterns
On weekly charts ,
Stock seems to have formed a rounding bottom pattern.
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - Capital Goods/Heavy Electrical Equipment
Transrail has been on of the best performance amongst its peers in this category and has significantly outperformed bigger (by MCAP) peers like ABB, CGPOWER and BHEL
Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is weakening.
RS = 116, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 98, relatively less momentum compared to Nifty 500
Starting to weaken, dips will be good investing opportunity
Management Guidance and Things to look forward to in next quarter
- Management guided 23-25% revenue growth over its FY25 performance. 40% in H1 and remaining 60% in H2.
- EBITDA margin of 12-12.25% in FY26, PAT margin around 6%
- Continued debt reduction
- Capex progression and completion in FY26
Future Outlook
- PE at 35-36x from current 25x levels
Disclosure 1 - Not Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
APOLLOTYRE Price ActionApollo Tyres is currently trading in the range of 479 to 492. The last recorded price was about 487, following a recent day’s high of 491.5 and a low of 479.65. The volume on the last trading day exceeded 5.8 lakh shares, with an average delivery percentage around 50%. The stock is experiencing mild upward price momentum on short-term technicals, with several recent bullish EMA crossovers on daily charts.
Financially, the market capitalisation is about ₹30,800 crore. The trailing P/E ratio stands high over 36, while the P/B is just above 2. The EPS has seen a notable YoY decline. Over the last month, price movement has been flat to slightly positive, while medium-term (six months) shows a rise of more than 20%. Returns over the past year remain negative. The 52-week high is 557, and the low is 371.
Analyst consensus is positive with several recent buy ratings and a target clustered around the ₹590 level. The overall trend is positive in the short term, supported by technical indicators, while valuation remains elevated.
Cupid Price ActionCupid Limited’s stock is trading around ₹158 as of early August 2025, having recently hit new record highs above ₹162. The share price surged over 45% in the past month and is up more than 100% year-to-date, significantly outperforming both its FMCG peers and the broader market. Volatility is high: daily moves of 5–6% are common, and intraday swings have reached as much as 8%. The stock is trading well above all major moving averages, reflecting strong buying momentum.
Long-term performance is outstanding: over 1,300% returns in three years and more than 2,100% across ten years. That said, short-term technical signals show that Cupid is “overbought” (very high RSI) and potentially due for a corrective pullback, though robust momentum could drive further gains. The high PE ratio near 104 and price/book around 21 indicate a rich valuation versus historic averages and sector norms.
Market capitalization is about ₹4,240 crore. Despite being expensive on most valuation models, the company is seen as fundamentally strong: steady operational performance, minimal debt, and no significant pledged shares. The company’s next earnings announcement is due August 8, and recent market behavior suggests results can drive significant further volatility.
Compared to other FMCG names, Cupid’s returns are exceptionally strong while most large and mid-cap sector players (like HUL, Dabur, and Colgate) have posted declines over the past year. Liquidity has increased with heavy volume spikes during rallies, supporting the uptrend.
In summary, Cupid is a high-momentum, high-volatility small-cap outperformer exhibiting extraordinary multi-year returns. The stock trades at elevated valuations and, while short-term corrections may occur, its leadership in the sector and technical strength continue to attract aggressive buyers.
$4070 Gold: New Record! Recent Dip Was a Bada Sell Trap?Hello, traders!
Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Kya momentum hai! This rally, up 54% YTD, is fueled by two main engines, boss: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cuts (FOMC Minutes pakka it) and 2) Super-strong safe-haven demand due to global gadbadi (US Shutdown, conflict, etc.).
Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed
That sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) made many people panic-sell. But look closely: buyers overpowered them and broke $402x resistance.
Technical Conclusion: That dip was clearly a Sell Trap and just a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk ko control karo.
Risk Warning: If $4000 is cleanly broken with heavy volume, then long positions will be in trouble.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094
Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support)
BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017
SL: $4013
TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038
BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990
SL: $3982
TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040
SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058
SL: $4062
TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086
SL: $4094
TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036
Will this momentum take us past $4100 this week? Chalo, dekhte hain! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView #PaisaBanega
SBFC Finance LtdDate 09.10.2025
SBFC Finance
Timeframe : Day Chart
About
(1) Offering Secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold
(2) Has presence across 155 cities, spanning 16 Indian states and 2 union territories, with 192 branches
AUM Bifurcation
(1) Total AUM: 7,715 Crs
(2) North: 33.4%
(3) South: 40.17%
(4) East & West: 26.43%
AUM Bifurcation - Segment wise
(1) Secured MSME Loans: 82.5%
(2) Gold Loans: 14.5%
(30 Others: 3%
Key Ratios
(1) AUM: ₹7,715 Cr
(2) AUM Per Branch: ₹40.18 Cr
(3) Gross NPA: 2.69%
(4) Net NPA: 1.63%
(5) NIM: 10.21%
(6) PCR: 40.17%
Average Ticket Size
(1) Secured MSME Loans: ₹9.36 lakh
(2) Gold Loans: ₹0.91 lakh
(3) Other Unsecured Loans: ₹6.9 lakh
Loan Disbursement Details
(1) Focus is on serving small businesses, with 87.27% of its AUM coming from loans in the ₹5-30 lakh ticket size range
(2) The company maintains its strong focus on Tier II and Tier III cities
Diversified Borrowings Mix
(1) Public Sector Banks: 19.4%
(2) Private Sector Banks: 15.5%
(3) Financial Institutions: 13.2%
(4) Non Convertible Debentures: 34.8%
(5) Foreign Banks: 7%
(6) Securitization: 0.6%
(7) Co-origination: 8.7%
(8) Foreign Currency Non-Repatriable: 1%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap 11861 Cr
(2) Stock PE 32.3
(3) OPM 68.45 %
(4) ROCE 11.6 %
(5) ROE 11.6 %
(6) Profit growth (TTM) 37%
(7) Sales growth 28.50 %
(8) Promoter holding 53.19 %
Regards,
Ankur Singh
GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching
Hello everyone,
Gold and US stocks are setting new records together, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often appear when everyone believes prices can only rise.
Currently, gold maintains a sustainable uptrend structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 timeframe.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD)
The price structure remains a clear Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers are still in control of the market.
Key liquidity zones are around:
🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile)
🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence of Fibo 0.618)
🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone)
The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction):
📍 4048–4050
🛑 SL: 4055
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980
Buy scalping:
📍 4022–4024
🛑 SL: 4017
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080
Buy swing (trend-following):
📍 3980–3982
🛑 SL: 3975
🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060
🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment View
According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate.
This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%.
→ Cheap money + safe-haven sentiment continue to be the main drivers pushing gold higher.
However, with gold and stocks both reaching peaks, the risk of technical corrections may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is still in a stable uptrend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz.
However, watch the liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already in high zones.
👉 I will continue to update details for each trading session.
Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
BANK OF INDIA | 1D | Premium Zone ReactionPrice has aggressively tapped into a higher timeframe premium zone after an extended bullish leg. Liquidity above June swing high has been swept clean, followed by a sharp rejection — indicating potential distribution and a short-term correction setup.
🔹 Key Notes:
– Liquidity grab above previous high ✅
– Premium zone mitigation ✅
– Early signs of market structure shift ✅
– Targeting discount reprice near 116–118 zone
Looking for price to retrace into the discount range before any fresh accumulation phase begins.
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy. Hello, traders!
Gold has officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Kya baat hai! Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this big psychological level, the rally is still getting solid support from:
Fundamentals & Market Conflict
Main Drivers: The market is pakka (sure) about two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are a big deal), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) due to global gadbadi (instability) and inflation.
Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA), a big institution boss, is warning that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a correction in Q4. Dhyan rakhna!
Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction
The price got rejected straight at $4000, causing a small pullback. However, the overall trend is super strong. The safest strategy is to wait patiently for a BUY at specific support zones.
Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to ride the main trend's momentum. Avoid unnecessary SELL attempts; if you must, use tight SL.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064
Support: $4018, $3999, $3986
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips)
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992
SL: $3984
TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067
SL: $4075
TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017
Do you trust BoA's warning, or do you think the FOMC Minutes will push us past $4050? Tell me your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS #GoldFever