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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason. The price of Bitcoin has declined following the release of labor market data (JOLTS) and the FOMC meeting minutes, where Fed officials expressed concerns about the impact of Donald Trump's policies on the U.S. economy. BTC's price has once again fallen below the 200 EMA line and is currently retesting the support block at 90,000–91,000, which it has repeatedly bounced off over the past month. If Bitcoin breaks below this level under selling pressure, we anticipate a continued correction into the 4H Imbalance zone, located between the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels. In this area, reversal patterns can be sought for building short-term long positions in the 87,000–82,000 range. The likelihood of further decline is indicated by the crossing of the EMA 200 and EMA 50 moving average lines. At the same time, the RSI indicator is already near its lower limits, offering hope for a quick end to the correction if the support levels of 87,000 and 80,000 hold against the sellers' pressure. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it needs to break above the dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In that case, we would expect further growth with a retest of the resistance block at 108,000–110,000 and a potential update of the all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? On the daily logarithmic chart, the RSI indicator has crossed below the midline, suggesting a continued correction is likely. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, characterized by significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations. After the correction is complete, the next target for Bitcoin's price growth could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This line may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for the much-anticipated altseason—a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns. Altseason typically follows Bitcoin's new all-time high and its consolidation within that range, as investors reinvest profits into other coins to maximize gains. However, the upcoming altseason will likely differ from previous ones due to the influx of institutional funds via Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the tightening regulation of crypto assets. Historically, in 2017 and 2021, the start of altseason coincided with a decline in Bitcoin's market dominance. A drop in Bitcoin's share of total market capitalization below 50% could signal the beginning of altseason. Additionally, altseason often aligns with moments when Bitcoin reaches the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone - 69. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.19 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 57.94. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 80,000 - 91,000 🔴 Supply Zone: 105,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 87,000 - 88,000 - large support block 80,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 105,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis At the December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussed various topics, ranging from inflation risks to the anticipated slowdown in rate cuts. Fed officials expressed concerns that Trump’s proposed trade and immigration policies could intensify inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. labor market data may push the Fed to abandon further rate reductions. The cryptocurrency market reacted sharply, with significant price declines. At the same time, financial analysts predict that the current bull market could become the longest in the history of the cryptocurrency industry. Investor optimism regarding a continued crypto rally surged after Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $100,000, following news that the largest BTC investor among public companies, MicroStrategy, resumed its coin purchases. The company acquired 1,070 Bitcoins for $101 million, bringing its total holdings to 447,470 BTC. Experts believe the cryptocurrency market’s peak will occur in mid-2025, followed by a steep decline. Net liquidity of $57 billion, expected to flow into the market in the first quarter, may temporarily support the bull market. However, economic pressures are likely to trigger a correction. These projections are based on an analysis of market liquidity and the impact of political events, as U.S. dollar liquidity remains a critical factor in crypto market dynamics. Changes in Fed policy and U.S. Treasury operations could lead to significant volatility. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 01/15, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 01/16, 16:30 - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims. ➤ 01/29, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 03/19, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In December 2024, the price of Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 45.09% Maximum price movement: + 11.17% Average price movement: + 5.01% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
Bitcoin push-Could it be "Buy the New, Sell the Event" ? Maybe..Using the fractel chart again as it is the most Bullish chart I have and yet, in the back of my head, in all the Euphoria of the latest crypto rush, I am feeling a warning bell in my head. I do like to consider Both Bullish and Bearish AT ALL TIMES - that way, I am ready for all events, nearly. Anyway, I have been going on about a pull back for ages and if we are following this Fractel from 2013-2017 ATH, then we are due one. And we aRE LATE for it. But, apart from the Bitcoin Weekly MACD which maybe turning Bearish, PA has strength to continue pushing higher The Fractal has a -30% pull back in it, a sharp fall that was bought back up., which we are already late for. Now, I also have been talking about a date that is coming up in a number of charts as a date of interest. that date is 23rd January. Given a tolerence of error, that could point towards 20th - the day Trump gets appointed President. As the media will have us understand, He is a Crypto friendly Man But who is to say that will avoid the "Buy the News, Sell the Event" type moment. The most bullish Crypto coins have suffered sharp pull backs after "events", including BTC in the past. So, Maybe just have this in mind and have a plan in place. There is NO guarantee that if BTC pulls back, that ALTS will run. I doubt I will get many Boosts on this... But, It is a possible outcome and you are well advised to have precautions...because, at some point, BTC will begin to pull back Get that plan ready now, it may happen on Monday
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
BHEL - Don't miss this opportunity!!BHEL is trading just under the value zone due to various Micro and Macro economic news in the last 2 quarters, however in the recent quarter BHEL posted healthy news with good order book. Between Price range 220 to 270 a massive 800 Million shares were traded which accounts more than 60% of total free float shares available in the Market. So investing now would be good idea and you will get this share at a good discount compared to many others in the market. Happy Investing and Trading!!
NSE:BHELLong
by Tradepro_MoneyFlow
2
Infosys presented stellar results. Will stock stop falling now?Infosys presented outstanding results today on not just year on year but also showed consistent growth on quarterly time frame. The street might have expected this already and that's why the stock price soar in recent past. What they wouldn't have expected is their revision in growth estimates from the earlier band of 3.75-4.5 to 4.5-5%. Still the stock fell today. Will the fall continue? (HCL Tech fell 10% even after awesome results) Honestly speaking, this has to be seen in the coming trading sessions. But what's sure is that investors will make money if they buy this stock in dips!
NSE:INFY
by abhishekmittal1
Bitcoin 1D Commentary and Bull Run Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,779$ - Bitcoin kept behaving choppy and the Price Behaviour was very sluggish in January - We saw BTC printing a candle 4000$, which helped BTC cross 100,000$ after a long time. - Coming back to the current Price Action of BTC we are currently trading at a crucial zone and if we flip a weekly candle close above 102,686$ then the Market structure will change to Bullish - However, if we do not close above 102,000$ then we can see BTC revisiting 85,000-90,000$ - Trump's inaugural is due next week and will bring in a lot of volatility. - I am leaning more on the Bullish side, however, if we don't see supporting Macros then we might have a rough time chopping out and getting distributed the whole month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Zones to Watch on the 4-Hour ChartWhat is Happening in the Chart? 1. Resistance and Supply Zone (Order Block): Bitcoin is approaching a significant bearish order block (red zone) near the $100,000 mark. This area represents resistance where sellers may take control, pushing the price downward. 2. Potential Retracement: Before continuing its upward trend, Bitcoin may retrace to fill the fair value gap (FVG) and test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. These zones are historically strong areas for buyers to re-enter the market. 3. Support and Demand Zone: The bullish order block (green zone) near $92,000 aligns with the retracement zone. This is where Bitcoin might find strong support before resuming its upward trajectory. Outlook for BTC/USDT The chart predicts a potential pullback to $92,000-$95,000, followed by a bullish rally aiming to break through resistance at $100,000. If Bitcoin clears the bearish OB, the price could target new highs, potentially surpassing $105,000. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $100,000 (Bearish OB) Support: $92,000-$95,000 (Bullish OB and Fibonacci zone) --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and trading involves significant risks. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Trade_lyst
5
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Resistance Breakout in RKFORGE BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:UNIVASTU
by Kapil-Mittal
4
HDFCAMC's Strong Growth Amid Oversold ConditionsTopic Statement: HDFCAMC reported a stellar 30.8% QoQ growth for the third quarter, with its price correcting during the recent market downturn, now oversold as it approaches crucial support at 3600. Key Points: 1. Reported 30.8% QoQ growth for Q3. 2. Price corrected in the recent market downturn. 3.Trading under the 180-day moving average, making it oversold. 4. MFI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions. 5. Approaching crucial support at 3600.
NSE:HDFCAMCLong
by yogeshwar
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 ATH Fractal UPDATE Welcome to the latest update I have been posting this idea for a long time now and it is still playing out and I am so pleased to see some respected Crypto people now saying the same. To recap Bitcoin Fractal anchored at the 2021 Nov ATH - some people do not like to use that ATH as a real one as there are many reason why they consider it a False one...But I use it as most BTC ATH are in End of year months and it was very simply THE ATH of that cycle. It was the highest point. And as you can see, Current PA has followed it (all be it with a certain tolerance of error) The 2022 period was hard for BTC as we know and so the PA was driven lower but Still survived. We can also see how it took some time for confidence to return fully but.. Here we are now, since Q3 2023, following it again Spot on. And if we are going to continue to do this, we need that -30% Pull back as seen on the Fractel. And we do need it. Weekly MACD is currently turning Bearish and if we want to get to a new ATH in 2025, that MACD needs to be coming off Neutral at best. Should PA Avoid that pullback, and Range for 6 months again, it will begin to fall under the fractel. I am not sure if that is OK or not but given that we have been Above it since Jan 2023, It is not something that would give me confidence. So, for me, I am cautious, waiting / hoping for a Drop that would be swiftly bought back up BUY THE DIP But then, there will come a day where we no longer follow that Fractel because, as Fantastic as it would be to follow to the top and Get a $1.3 Million BTC, I do not think it is something we should expect just yet But then, This IS Bitcoin Anything can happen Be safe
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. is a leading player in the chemical industry, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of carbon materials and chemicals. Profitability: The company's profitability has been on an upward trajectory, with significant growth in net profit margins and overall financial stability. Technical Analysis: On the technical front, Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. is exhibiting a Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily time frame, indicating a potential target of 670++
NSE:HSCLLong
by Vikrant_Mighty
4
Darvas Box in Apollo Hospitals Enterprise LtdApollo Hospitals, is a leading integrated healthcare services provider in Asia with a robust presence across the healthcare ecosystem. The company has shown good profit growth of 34.3% CAGR over the last 5 years and maintains a healthy dividend payout of 22.6%. Technical Analysis Consolidation: The stock has been consolidating for the last 15 - 18 days and is ready to give a breakout for a new high. Darvas Box Formation: The stock formed a Darvas Box at its 52-week high and corrected around 15%. Volume: Volume is starting to increase, indicating potential for a breakout. Entry Point: Early entry can be taken around the highlighted range with a stop loss of ₹7,130. Target: Open /Trail What do you think about this? 🙂
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by Vikrant_Mighty
Markets are falling & here are a few reasons.There are a lot of versions for our falling markets. Let's evaluate a few of those - 1. Poor performance of companies - This reason may be justified for dip in market during the last-to-last quarter but not for most recent one since the results have just started dripping in. 2. FII selling - May be true but again DIIs are almost matching their sell no.s 3. Mello sentiments from Indian retailer - Nah! At least the mutual fund data for December doesn't say so. Investors have reduced their positions in debt mutual funds and invested double of what they did in Nov in equity mutual funds. So what possibly can the reasons be? What this video which exactly tell this.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by abhishekmittal1
HUGE SELLING ON CARDS IN BANK NIFTY ? - SHORT TRADE VIEWSymbol - BANKNIFTY CMP 50080 BN is currently trading at a major support area which is acting as a support zone from last 7 months. This support liquidity zone has tested multiple times & there is Triple top pattern is formed. I am expecting breakdown of this support zone in near future which will trigger huge selling in bank nifty & bank nifty may correct 8-10% from current price. Hence I am creating short positions Bank Nifty Futures at CMP around 50100 I will add more position around 50500 - 50700 area & I will add more position on breakdown of 49500 - 49400 area as well. SL I am following is above 51K. Target I am expecting is 49600 & below. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by akshit_official