Fundamental Analysis
Institutional TradingDefinition:
Institutional trading refers to the buying and selling of financial securities by large organizations such as mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, hedge funds, and investment banks.
Key Characteristics:
High-volume transactions
Lower transaction costs due to bulk orders
Direct access to market liquidity
Use of advanced trading algorithms and platforms
Example Institutions:
BlackRock
Vanguard
Goldman Sachs
Who are Institutional Traders?
Types of Institutional Traders:
Mutual Funds: Trade for large-scale portfolio diversification.
Pension Funds: Focused on long-term stable returns.
Hedge Funds: Seek high returns with complex strategies.
Insurance Companies: Invest premiums for steady growth.
Investment Banks: Trade for proprietary gains and clients.
How They Operate:
Work with large research teams
Utilize proprietary trading algorithms
Influence market prices significantly
JSSL | Recent ATH breakout and potential Entry at the confluence
STOCK TREND - BULLISH
MULTI TF ANALYSIS
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MONTHLY - ATH breakout
WEEKLY - Ascending Triangle breakout with Marubozu candle
DAILY - RTS breakout
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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Stock Price is trading above SMAs
RSI >
VOLUME > MA
Support/Resistance Zone -
Demand Zone -
Observation - Breakout has been confirmed along with RSI and Volume confirmation on daily chart. We shall expect price to cpme back to the DZ at the confluence of Resistance turned Support and Trendline.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
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Compounded Sales Growth -
Compounded Profit Growth -
Stock Price CAGR -
Return on Equity -
Note: The stock is currently little overvalued as Stock PE(71.97) > Industry PE(34.3).
TRADE DESIGN
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ENTRY -
SL -
TARGET -
RRR - +
Disclaimer: This chart study is for educational purpose only. Kindly trade at your own risk.
GOLDPETAL JULY – RANGE PLAY BEFORE DECISION MOVEThe 2-hour chart of Gold Petal July shows a classic range-bound structure between ₹9729 (support) and ₹9882 (resistance) after a steep drop from the ₹10064 zone. Post sell-off, the price staged a recovery but has repeatedly faced rejection near ₹9882, forming lower highs. The current candles around ₹9800 are small and indecisive, indicating a lack of momentum. The narrow consolidation zone with reduced volume suggests that the market is waiting for a breakout trigger. Traders should watch for a breakout above ₹9882 for a potential short-term bullish move, or a breakdown below ₹9729 to resume the downtrend.
Fundamentally, Gold remains influenced by global macro data and U.S. rate expectations. Recent hawkish tones from the Federal Reserve, coupled with stronger-than-expected economic resilience, have pressured precious metals. This has kept speculative interest low, evident in the low-volatility zones like the one seen here. In India, weak festive demand and a stable rupee are limiting upside in MCX Gold Petal. However, if geopolitical risks or U.S. job data weaken the dollar, gold could break higher. Until then, range trading remains the most probable scenario with tight stop-losses.
XAUUSD – Market Stays Flat Despite Trump’s Super BillXAUUSD – Market Stays Flat Despite Trump’s Super Bill, Is Gold Quietly Building Momentum?
Gold has entered a narrow consolidation phase after a series of strong macroeconomic catalysts — including the passing of Trump’s Super Bill by the U.S. House of Representatives. But instead of rallying immediately, gold remains flat... and that silence could be louder than it seems.
📰 Macro Recap – Good for USD, Bad for Gold?
The approved Super Bill may weaken the U.S. dollar in the medium term due to rising fiscal deficits. But for now, the market is skeptical, and gold is not reacting as expected.
Meanwhile, the NFP and Unemployment Rate (UR) data came in surprisingly strong last night, reinforcing the possibility that Fed rate cuts may be delayed → A short-term bearish pressure on gold.
With the U.S. Independence Day holiday, market liquidity will likely remain low today, increasing the risk of fake breakouts or stop-hunting volatility.
❗ “No immediate rally doesn’t mean no rally at all.” A retracement to the 3.2xx zone could offer an ideal entry for medium-term longs.
📉 Technical Outlook – XAUUSD
Price has broken above the recent short-term downtrend line and is now testing a critical supply zone around 3344–3345, which may determine today’s intraday direction.
🔍 Key Levels
Major Resistance: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390
Major Support: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298
🟢 Bullish Strategies (Buy Setups)
🔹 BUY Scalp Zone:
3313 – 3311
SL: 3307
TP: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350
🔹 Deep BUY Zone:
3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340
These zones align with EMA confluence and potential FVG retracements – a solid setup for trend continuation.
🔴 Bearish Strategies (Short-Term Only)
🔹 SELL Scalp Zone:
3362 – 3364
SL: 3368
TP: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
🔹 Upper SELL Zone:
3388 – 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360
Consider shorting only with confirmation patterns or bearish signals from lower timeframes.
🧠 Market Sentiment Today
The market seems to be in a wait-and-see mode, consolidating between 3320 – 3340 as traders digest recent macro data. A breakout is likely after the U.S. holiday ends.
Primary Scenario: Look to BUY on deeper pullbacks into support zones.
Alternate Scenario: SELL only for intraday scalps when price rejects key resistance.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Is gold silently accumulating strength for a breakout above 3390?
Or are we about to witness a deeper correction in the coming sessions?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments and let's discuss it together!
Honda power looks good around 3040-3020 levelsHonda Power Share is improving fundamentally and is also seen in technical charts presumptively showing good results, it can be taken around 3020 levels with sl around 2940 level and target of 3480+++ 3699+++ 4210++++ and 5000+++ levels. Maintain proper sl and take a position as per your risk appetite.
Gold Guinea Show Signs of Short-Term Weakness Amids ConolidationThe 2-hour candlestick chart of Gold Guinea July Futures indicates a strong bearish sentiment. After facing resistance near the 78450–78500 zone, the price faced a steep fall, forming consecutive bearish candles. The recent candles are consolidating near the 77950–78000 support level, suggesting a potential pause or indecision after the sharp drop. The presence of long lower wicks shows buying interest at lower levels, but the lack of bullish follow-through suggests that bears are still in control. The absence of higher highs and consistent lower lows confirm a short-term downtrend. A break below 77950 could open the gates to test 77700, while resistance remains near 78250.
Fundamentally, gold is currently under pressure due to a combination of rising US Treasury yields and expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts amidst sticky inflation. Investors are preferring dollar-backed assets, leading to outflows from precious metals. Additionally, global risk sentiment remains relatively stable, reducing safe-haven demand. However, geopolitical tensions and potential recessionary fears continue to provide a long-term bullish backdrop for gold. In the Indian context, rupee movement and import policies also impact local gold futures pricing. Until clarity emerges on US economic direction, gold may remain choppy with a short-term bearish bias.
Institutional TradingDivergence Trading
Divergence trading is a technical strategy based on the observation that asset prices and their related indicators (like RSI, MACD, etc.) sometimes move in opposite directions.
Types of Divergence:
Regular Divergence: Predicts potential trend reversals.
Hidden Divergence: Suggests trend continuation.
Tools Used:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Stochastic Oscillator
How Divergence Works:
If prices are making new highs but the indicator isn’t, it signals weakening momentum and a possible reversal.
If prices are making new lows but the indicator isn’t, it could indicate that selling pressure is fading.
Benefits:
Early identification of potential trend changes.
Effective in volatile markets.
Risks:
False signals can occur, leading to premature trade entries.
Master Institutional TradingBenefits of Option Trading:
Leverage with less capital.
Hedging against market risks.
Income generation through premium collection.
Risks of Option Trading:
Complex pricing structures.
Potential for significant losses if not properly managed.
Divergence Trading
Divergence trading is a technical strategy based on the observation that asset prices and their related indicators (like RSI, MACD, etc.) sometimes move in opposite directions.
Institutional Master class
Option Trading Explained
Options are financial derivatives that provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific period.
Types of Options:
Call Option: Right to buy the underlying asset.
Put Option: Right to sell the underlying asset.
Components of an Option Contract:
Strike Price: The agreed price to buy/sell.
Premium: Price paid to acquire the option.
Expiration Date: Date when the option contract ends.
Option Trading Strategies:
Buying Calls/Puts: Simple directional bets.
Covered Call: Holding stock while selling a call option to generate income.
Protective Put: Buying a put option to hedge a long stock position.
Spreads: Combining options to limit risk and cost.
Institutional Option TradingStock Market Participants:
Retail Investors: Individual traders and investors.
Institutional Investors: Mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, etc.
Market Makers: Provide liquidity by constantly quoting buy and sell prices.
Stock Trading Types:
Delivery Trading: Shares are purchased and held for longer periods.
Intraday Trading: Shares are bought and sold on the same day.
Importance of the Stock Market:
Helps in wealth creation.
Reflects economic health.
Provides investment and diversification opportunities.
Option Trading The stock market is a platform where shares of publicly listed companies are bought and sold. It serves two primary functions: providing companies with capital to grow and giving investors the opportunity to share in the profits of publicly traded companies.
Key Components:
Stocks: Ownership shares in a company.
Stock Exchanges: Platforms like the NYSE, NASDAQ, and BSE where trading occurs.
Indices: Benchmarks like the S&P 500 or Nifty 50 that track the performance of groups of stocks.
Institutional Trading Trading is the act of buying and selling financial instruments like stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and derivatives with the goal of making a profit. Traders operate in various markets, including stock markets, forex markets, commodity markets, and cryptocurrency markets. Trading is often contrasted with investing, which is generally focused on long-term wealth accumulation.
There are different types of traders:
Day Traders: Buy and sell securities within the same trading day.
Swing Traders: Hold positions from a few days to several weeks.
Scalp Traders: Execute dozens to hundreds of trades in a day, aiming for small profits.
Position Traders: Hold trades for months or even years, blending trading and investing.
Trading can be driven by technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. Traders use a wide array of tools and strategies to analyze price movements and market trends.
XAUUSD 03/07: GOLD IN THE DRIVER'S SEATXAUUSD 03/07: GOLD IN THE DRIVER'S SEAT – WILL IT BREAKOUT OR PULLBACK BEFORE KEY EVENTS?
Gold is on a solid upward trajectory, as expected from earlier predictions this week. After a negative ADP Non-Farm Payroll report yesterday, the USD weakened, providing the fuel for gold to soar. During the US session, gold surged from the 333x level to 336x.
🔑 Key Catalysts to Watch:
1. Political Factors:
Trump's announcement that the Republicans in the House have united to push through the "Super Bill" is a significant factor that could propel gold even further in the near future. The political climate is setting the stage for gold's potential rally.
2. Macro Overview:
Federal Reserve and Rate Cuts: The market is eyeing the Fed closely, with high expectations for two interest rate cuts this year. This could put continued pressure on the USD and further support gold. With a 90% chance of a rate cut by the end of Q3, the path is clear for gold to target new highs.
US Economic Data: Disappointing ADP data, reporting a loss of -33k jobs, continues to point to a weakening labor market, strengthening the case for gold as a safe-haven asset.
🌍 Market Conditions and Trade Setup:
The market remains on edge with these political and economic factors at play. The market will also be watching the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data closely. With the ADP report showing poor results, the market could experience some turbulence ahead of the NFP release, and with a long weekend ahead due to the bank holiday, traders should approach this market with caution.
📉 Technical Outlook – The Road Ahead for Gold:
Gold has been trending upward and maintaining a bullish outlook. However, a minor pullback is expected.
Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3374 – 3380 – 3390
Support: 3343 – 3335 – 3325 – 3316 – 3304
📊 Trading Plan – Key Levels to Watch:
Buy Scalp:
Entry: 3335 – 3333
SL: 3329
TP: 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370
Buy Zone:
Entry: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360
Sell Scalp:
Entry: 3374 – 3376
SL: 3380
TP: 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350
Sell Zone:
Entry: 3388 – 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360
⚠️ Key Focus for Traders:
Upcoming Data: The NFP release will be crucial, as disappointing job numbers could drive gold even higher.
Market Volatility: With the long weekend ahead and market reactions to key news, be prepared for possible volatility.
Trade with Caution: Stick to your TP/SL strategy, manage risk, and only enter trades when clear setups appear.
📈 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong potential for further gains, but traders should be prepared for some pullbacks as the market reacts to upcoming economic and political news. The trend remains bullish, but it’s crucial to remain cautious and follow the technical levels closely to optimize entry points. Stay alert for key developments in the USD, NFP, and Fed rate-cut expectations, and let the market guide you.
Buy Trade - GBP/USDGreetings to everyone!
You can place a buy trade on GBP/USD and check out my chart for the ideal entry, stop-loss & target placement.
Remember :-
* Move your SL to breakeven once the trade reaches 1:1 R.
* Aim for a minimum reward of 1:1.5 R.
* Don't risk more than 3% of your total margin.
Let's execute this trade smartly! 🚀
💬 About Me:
I am a professional trader with over four years of experience in the markets. I focus on swing trading using the 4H timeframe, mainly in the forex space. The trades I share here are the actual positions I’m executing. I post them as a small gesture to give back to the trading community that’s been a big part of my journey.
Cheers! 🙏
ETH/USDT strong up trend.Looking at the ETH chart, we can see one thing, the price has accumulated and moved sideways for quite a while after a strong up leg before. With the bullish price structure still maintained, with ETH we look for long positions with futures or SPOT for good positions. The price is expected to surpass $3,000 soon
Gold Petal Futures Coil Near ₹9829 – Calm Before the Move?Gold Petal July Futures is currently showing signs of range-bound consolidation after a sharp recovery from the recent low of ₹9651. The price surged aggressively in the last leg but is now hovering around ₹9829 with multiple small-bodied candles, indicating indecision and balance between bulls and bears. Previous sessions show a strong bullish impulse followed by a flattening structure, suggesting that momentum is cooling off. This tight consolidation just below recent swing highs indicates that buyers are hesitant to push higher without a fresh trigger, while sellers are also not aggressively stepping in.
A breakout above ₹9840 with strong volume could trigger a fresh upward rally, while a fall below ₹9780 may lead to a minor correction. This current price action resembles a bullish flag or base-building phase, and traders should wait for a clear directional move before entering. Until then, the structure is neutral with a slight bullish bias.
This consolidation comes at a time when global gold markets are reacting to mixed signals—rising geopolitical tensions are offering support, while strong US economic data and hawkish Fed commentary are limiting upside. Domestic festive demand and favourable rupee movement are lending local strength, but the market remains cautious ahead of key macro data. Until clearer global triggers emerge, this zone between ₹9,826 and ₹9,880 may act as a supply ceiling, with traders needing confirmation before betting on the next leg.
Buy Opportunity in GoldI am watching it since 1 month. The Gold had taken its retracement.
On lower (1h and 4H) timeframe, It traded in strong trends' zones which were broken yesterday. Now the crocodile traders should wait for its resistance zone and get a signal on 1 h or 4h timeframe to buy above resistance zone, above 3360.
An H4 healthy candle closing above this resitance zone will pave the way into another test of 3422 area, not putting any TP though as my target is 5000 (fundamentaly).