Fundamental Analysis
trading strategy January 3, 2025. Gold increased sharply, why?What is happening, and why do investors continue to choose gold in 2025?**
Gold prices hit a two-week high
Gold has been bolstered by safe-haven buying activity as markets position themselves ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook and the upcoming trade tariff policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.
Geopolitical factors, including international tensions and financial instability, particularly leading up to Trump’s inauguration, are also supporting gold prices. Gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and serves as a hedge against economic and geopolitical risks.
Investors are awaiting key data such as U.S. job openings next week, the ADP employment report, the Fed’s December meeting minutes, and the official U.S. jobs report to assess the 2025 interest rate outlook.
Trump's inauguration on January 20 has heightened uncertainty, with his proposed tariff and protectionist policies expected to drive inflation and potentially trigger trade wars.
As expected in yesterday's trading plan, traders were advised to actively seek buy opportunities for gold at higher price levels due to strong bullish momentum and investor sentiment being positioned above safe price zones. Analyzing the D1 chart shows the bullish side dominating, with upcoming news continuing to favor gold's upward trajectory. On the D1 timeframe, pay attention to the 2670–2672 range, which is a zone of strong reaction, to look for sell scalping opportunities. However, the main trend today remains focused on buying in the target zones below.
**Trading Strategy**
- BUY ZONE: 2635–2632
Stop Loss (SL): 2629
Take Profit (TP): 2640–2646–2654–????
- SELL ZONE: 2704–2706
Stop Loss (SL): 2710
Take Profit (TP): 2698–2694–2690–????
Keep an eye on critical price zones according to the plan to optimize scalping trades and maximize profits. Ensure every entry is accompanied by adequate TP and SL levels to safeguard your account.
Gold trading strategy opens the new year trading sessionThe strong buying activity of central banks, geopolitical instability, and monetary policy easing have driven gold to break several record highs in 2024.
According to analysis and forecasts, the factors supporting gold in 2024 will continue into 2025, although they also highlight potential obstacles from Trump’s policies, which may increase inflation and slow down the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Concerns about politics peaked after Trump’s decisive victory… The central bank’s gold-buying trend is expected to continue at a similar pace in 2025, but the flow of capital into gold will likely be more discreet due to the threat of tariffs from Trump on countries that are actively de-dollarizing.
Gold surged quickly at the start of the Asian session at the beginning of the new year, likely due to large investors returning to the market after the long holiday, and the market has become more lively again. This comes especially after the US housing data report published on Tuesday, which showed a sharp decline compared to the previous period, possibly boosting optimistic sentiment about the Fed’s upcoming interest rate cuts. The market has improved compared to the gloomy period at the end of the year, due to profit-taking and the absence of large investors in the market.
If gold rises quickly at the start of the day, do not chase the buy position; instead, wait for a reasonable price to sell during a retracement, and then consider buying again later. Therefore, the suggested strategy for the start of the day would be to sell during the retracement with a target of 2,632. After that, look for a buy again at support levels around 26 - 22 or lower.
For the European session, the EURO PLAN suggests that if gold doesn’t reach the target by the start of the European session, then exit the sell position and consider buying earlier.
Trading Strategy:
SELL ZONE: 2648 - 2650
SL: 2255
TP: 2642 - 2638 - 2634 - 2630
BUY ZONE: 2600 - 2598
SL: 2594
TP: 2605 - 2610 - 2614 - 2620
These are key resistance and support levels that the author believes will see price reactions if reached. However, keep in mind the notes above in the article.
The market has opened strong this morning with a lot of buying activity, which suggests that the trend of the previous downtrend channel may be broken. Therefore, be cautious with sell positions and prioritize finding buy entry points as suggested by the author. Good luck!
INDRAMEDCO Re-test after breakoutIndraprastha had given good breakout earlier and now consolidating near breakout area, strong sector, RS has also given breakout.
Market Capitalization INR 4,596.94 Cr
Sales INR 1318.87 Cr
Shares in Float 4.49 Cr
No of Funds 71 (+31.48 %)
Shares held by Funds 53.53 L (+20.42 %)
EPS Growth Rate 91%
P/E Ratio 31
5-Year P/E Range 9- 235
Return on Equity 26%
Cash Flow (INR) 21.83
HDFC BANK 15% UP?HDFC is on it's highest ever profit, revenue but the stock has been trading near these levels for the last 4.5-5 years.
Recently after, It's accumulation by MSCI Emerging Markets Index has breeched it's ATH.
The Stock might see a reversal from the prev. ATH.
Fib shows a great level to accumulate at CMP 1784, there might and should be a further pull back till 1720. The target according to the golden ratio is 2050.
Safe Investing!!
Tanla Platforms 165% UP?The Stock has been in a regression trend, despite increasing revenue, highest ever profits, healthy ROE, Minimal Debt to Equity, Lower than Median P/E and Industry P/E.
A Heavy Bullk buying has happened recently, which might continue further going forward.
Short Term Target: 950-960 with a support at 810-820
Long term target would be ATH
Safe Investing!!
Bitcoin YEARLY CLOSE and OPEN
A Very simple chart that shows us all how early we aer in this, even if you are only joining in now.
I'll keep it simple because I am still slightly Fragile after last night lol
Anyway, The chance of a RED 2025 is slim if we go by previous years. This should be a Bullish end of Cycle.
But I will say, we have NO guarantees in this game and the Field has changed considerably BUT, I think, for the better in many ways.
So, Lean back and if PA Drops Early this year, do not worry, it is highly likely to rise a lot higher.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour Close and patterns since 2011First of All HAPPY NEW YEAR TO YOU ALL
And I think we will see an excellent year for Bitcoin.
But, for now, we walk into slightly uncharted territory
Previous JANUARY candle colours are 7 GREEN and 6 RED.
The previous DECEMBER was the same score but now, As December closed RED, it is now 7 all.
Of the previous 7 Red Decembers, only 3 were followed by a Green January.
the 1 st was the month after the 2013 ATH but the other 2 were in 2020 and 2023, both of which were en-route to ATH, so the odds are that we Could be in a good place.
But do understand that in 2020, Feb and March were Bloody and Frb 2023 was a close call but just managed to remain Green.Given how overbought the weekly MACD is , this may happen again.
We have had a RED January after a RED december on 3 occasions also and PA levelled out after that with a GREEN February on each occasion. 2 of those eventually led to rises over all and one, in 2022, we went into the bear market after an attempt in Spring to climb higher.
For me, I think we are still following that 2013 - 2017 ATH Fractel and this is , to some extent, backed up by the inverted Red Hammer Candle ( only just )
This is technically a ~BEARISH sign and if we follow the Fractel, we are expecting a Drop in Janaury down to around 88K - 72K
If this happens and I repeat, IF this happens, it is an excellent buying opportunity and possibly the last one below 100 K ever.
It has to be said that Nothing is set in stone and "patterns" can be broken and we are certainly in times were things can change and quickly, so, Have an idea of what you will do in any situation and stick to that idea.
If we are continuing to follow previous cycles, 2025 is the year we attain a new End of Cycle ATH and there are a wide variety of ideas of that will be.
But in the back of my head, I am wondering if we have accelerated the PA. We reached a New ATH in the 3rd year of 4 year cycle.
Only Time will tell whats nexrt but lets be ready for it
Stay Safe and healthy
Don't Ignore the $T-NASDAQ:TMUS $NYSE:T-NASDAQ:TMUS
Best TIme To Accumulate it.
You Will Not Get this Kind of Price in Future.
Hold Long :)
My opinions are based on my experiences, Learning is Important But We Have To Be Mature Thinker.
Green Area is Best Supported Area, And Price Actions and Volume Tells All Behind Hidden Stories.
I Welcome Anyone in Discussion, And Not Take Offensive.
Share Your Thoughts.
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
PTC India WBuy in PTC India with a very good risk reward.
Pattern- Double Bottom and A bullish engulfing in Daily TF.
Entry- 148-150
Support/SL- 140-138
Targets- 180, 200, 220
Jai Shree Ram
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose please take advice from your financial advisor before making any decision.
[High Risk] Laurus Lab - Real breakout or fakeout? What's cookin Laurus Lab - Real breakout or fakeout? What's cooking?
Fundamentals
MCAP- 31000 Cr
PE - 242 > Industry PE of 34.51, Extremely expensive
PEG Ratio is 21.31
Debt to Equity is 0.67 and ICR is 1.9
ROE is 4%, ROCE is 6.6% ( 5yr ROCE is 21%)
Sales growth is -5%, 5yr Sales growth is 17%
Profit Growth is -65%, 5yr Profit growth is 11%
Promoter holding is 27% , constant in last one year
FII Holding has gone up steadily in past few quarters
DII holding on uptrend , however has reduced slightly in last quarter
Latest results - Poor results for past few quarters and hence risky preposition
Technicals
CMP - 586
Bullish - Above EMA 9, 21,63, 200 on daily charts , RSI(14) is 67
Nearly overbought
Commentary
As seen in the charts , the stock has been trading in the parallel channel since mid 2023. Recently it has broken out of this parallel channel with steady volumes near 520-530 range
The stock has to move above the multi year resistance at 600-625 range to touch ATH of 720
Target :
T1 : 600>625>720
Timeframe : 3-6 months
Risks : Poor results in the last few quarters. Have a strict stop loss as per your risk appetite.
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
Alpex Solar - Super Growth Stock - Flag PatternAlpex Solar is a super growth stock from solar industry. It is listed on NSE emerging market and is one of the top promising player in solar electricity sector. Looking for BIG BIG gains. Other factors:
1. Capex expansion in next 24 months
- 2.5GW Solar modules expansion
- 1.GW Solar sell expansion
- 120000 T aluminium modules
2. Already received orders of 525 crores from 2 PSUs and recent order of 35 crores from Haryana Govt.
3. Making a flag pattern on weekly time frame.
A stock to hold tight and I believe this will fly higher and higher. Be part of India solar growth.
Keep following Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price !!
Cheers !!!
JANA SMALL FINANCE SWING TRADE VIEWJana Small Finance Bank's stock using technical analysis, specifically focusing on a bullish pattern (Hammer Candle) as an indicator for a potential price reversal. Here's a summary of your trade setup:
Entry Price: 390-410
Stoploss: 365-360 (based on the closing base)
Target: 465-480
This strategy seems to hinge on the confirmation of the hammer candlestick pattern signaling a potential upward movement. Be sure to monitor market conditions closely, and adjust your stop loss or target based on any changes in price action or broader market sentiment.
Bandhan Bank - an opportunity for patience investorsBandhan bank - Small size bank with big aspirations
all information as of 31-Dec-24, after market hours
Market Cap 25,616cr
PE 9.19
dividend yield .94%
rising sales , rising profit in last 5 years
stocks falls for many reason but go up for one reason, good fundamental and earing prospect.
Disclaimer - education advice and study further before investing