BANK OF INDIA | 1D | Premium Zone ReactionPrice has aggressively tapped into a higher timeframe premium zone after an extended bullish leg. Liquidity above June swing high has been swept clean, followed by a sharp rejection — indicating potential distribution and a short-term correction setup.
🔹 Key Notes:
– Liquidity grab above previous high ✅
– Premium zone mitigation ✅
– Early signs of market structure shift ✅
– Targeting discount reprice near 116–118 zone
Looking for price to retrace into the discount range before any fresh accumulation phase begins.
Fundamental Analysis
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy. Hello, traders!
Gold has officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Kya baat hai! Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this big psychological level, the rally is still getting solid support from:
Fundamentals & Market Conflict
Main Drivers: The market is pakka (sure) about two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are a big deal), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) due to global gadbadi (instability) and inflation.
Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA), a big institution boss, is warning that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a correction in Q4. Dhyan rakhna!
Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction
The price got rejected straight at $4000, causing a small pullback. However, the overall trend is super strong. The safest strategy is to wait patiently for a BUY at specific support zones.
Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to ride the main trend's momentum. Avoid unnecessary SELL attempts; if you must, use tight SL.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064
Support: $4018, $3999, $3986
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips)
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992
SL: $3984
TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067
SL: $4075
TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017
Do you trust BoA's warning, or do you think the FOMC Minutes will push us past $4050? Tell me your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS #GoldFever
JIOFIN Price Action 2 probable entry set upJio Financial Services Ltd (JIOFIN) is currently trading just above 308, showing a modest recovery after recent volatility. Over the past year, the stock experienced a sharp swing, with its annual high near 395 and a low at 199. Despite its inclusion in NIFTY 50, price growth remains subdued, characterized by a 10% decline year-on-year and a slightly negative monthly return. The market capitalization sits around ₹1.95 trillion, positioning JIOFIN among the largest financial sector players.
Technically, the short-term trend is consolidative. Recent sessions reveal a narrow trading range with support levels established around 300 and resistance near 325. Moving average indicators on various timeframes remain bullish, while oscillators such as the RSI (near 60) and CCI signal mild upward momentum. MACD shows a positive bias, but the ADX suggests that the prevailing trend is only moderately strong. Volatility remains in check at about 2.9% daily, with beta over 1.8 signaling that JIOFIN is highly responsive to market shocks.
Fundamentally, the company reported robust quarterly revenue growth with income accelerating to ₹17,448 lakh in March 2025, and a corresponding net profit of ₹9,714 lakh. However, compounded annual profit growth for the past year is only 1%, and sales growth is at 20%. The price-to-earnings ratio is elevated, above 119, and the dividend yield is low. Operating margins remain high, but rising competition and increased sectoral scrutiny could impact future profitability.
Currently, JIOFIN demonstrates cautious optimism. Investors are tracking the upcoming earnings report on October 20 for near-term cues. While fundamentals are sound and large institutional interest remains, sustained upward movement will require a decisive breakout above the 325 level or a robust earnings beat. The risk-reward within this broad 300–325 range continues to favor patient accumulation, with downside protected by strong institutional support.
Intraday Trading vs Swing TradingIntroduction
Brief overview of trading in financial markets.
Importance of choosing the right trading style for profitability and risk management.
Statement of purpose: Compare intraday trading and swing trading across multiple dimensions such as time horizon, risk, capital requirements, strategy, and psychology.
1. Understanding Intraday Trading
1.1 Definition
Buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day.
Positions are squared off before the market closes.
1.2 Characteristics
Short-term focus (minutes to hours).
High trade frequency.
Requires constant market monitoring.
1.3 Tools & Techniques
Technical indicators: RSI, MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands.
Chart patterns: Flags, triangles, head & shoulders.
Level 2 data, real-time market depth.
1.4 Advantages
Potential for high profits in a single day.
No overnight risk exposure.
Quick capital turnover.
1.5 Disadvantages
High stress due to rapid decision-making.
Significant brokerage and transaction costs.
Requires advanced knowledge and quick reflexes.
2. Understanding Swing Trading
2.1 Definition
Holding positions for several days to weeks to capture medium-term price movements.
2.2 Characteristics
Medium-term focus.
Fewer trades but larger profit potential per trade.
Less time-intensive compared to intraday trading.
2.3 Tools & Techniques
Technical analysis: Trendlines, support/resistance, moving averages.
Fundamental analysis: Earnings reports, sector trends, macroeconomic indicators.
Swing patterns: Breakouts, pullbacks, reversals.
2.4 Advantages
Less stressful than intraday trading.
More time to analyze and make informed decisions.
Lower transaction costs due to fewer trades.
2.5 Disadvantages
Exposure to overnight and weekend risks.
Capital is tied up longer.
Requires patience and disciplined risk management.
3. Time Horizon and Trading Frequency
Intraday: Trades last minutes to hours; multiple trades daily.
Swing: Trades last days to weeks; limited trades but larger exposure.
Impact on lifestyle: Intraday requires active screen time; swing allows more flexibility.
4. Capital Requirements
Intraday: Leverage is often used; margin requirements are smaller but risk is higher.
Swing: Requires more capital per trade due to longer holding periods and lower leverage.
Risk of capital erosion: Intraday mistakes can wipe out a day’s gains; swing mistakes can impact several days of profit potential.
5. Risk and Reward Dynamics
Intraday: High volatility can yield high rewards but also steep losses.
Swing: Moderate volatility, potential for larger cumulative gains, but exposure to overnight gaps.
Risk management strategies: Stop-loss orders, position sizing, diversification.
6. Trading Psychology
Intraday:
Requires quick decision-making and mental resilience.
Emotional discipline is crucial; fear and greed can destroy profits quickly.
Swing:
Patience is essential to ride trends.
Ability to handle temporary drawdowns without panic-selling.
7. Strategy and Analysis
Intraday Trading Strategies:
Scalping: Quick small gains.
Momentum trading: Riding strong price trends within the day.
Swing Trading Strategies:
Trend-following: Entering trades along prevailing trends.
Reversal trading: Buying dips and selling rallies.
Technical vs fundamental analysis balance: Swing trading often incorporates both; intraday is heavily technical.
8. Costs and Tax Implications
Intraday:
Higher brokerage and STT due to frequent trades.
Short-term gains taxed differently depending on jurisdiction.
Swing:
Lower trading costs.
Gains may qualify for medium/long-term capital gains benefits.
9. Suitability for Different Traders
Intraday: Best for active, risk-tolerant, experienced traders with fast decision-making skills.
Swing: Suitable for part-time traders, working professionals, and those seeking less stressful trading.
10. Technology and Tools
Intraday: Real-time charts, high-speed internet, advanced trading platforms.
Swing: Standard charting tools, technical analysis software, news alerts.
Algorithmic trading: Both can benefit but intraday relies more heavily on automated systems.
11. Performance Metrics
Intraday:
Profit per trade is smaller but cumulative daily gains can be significant.
Key metrics: Win rate, risk-reward ratio, drawdown percentage.
Swing:
Profit per trade larger due to capturing trends.
Key metrics: Holding period returns, average gain/loss, volatility capture.
12. Case Studies
Example of successful intraday trades: High-volume stocks, news-based spikes.
Example of successful swing trades: Trend-following in indices or sectoral stocks.
Comparison of returns, drawdowns, and effort required.
13. Hybrid Approaches
Combining intraday scalping with swing trading to diversify income streams.
Portfolio allocation between short-term and medium-term trades.
Pros and cons of hybrid trading.
14. Choosing Your Style
Assess your risk tolerance, time availability, capital, and psychological comfort.
Test both styles using paper trading before committing real capital.
Flexibility and adaptation to changing market conditions.
15. Conclusion
Recap of key differences: time horizon, risk, rewards, strategies, tools.
Emphasis on personal suitability over “best style.”
Encouragement to practice disciplined trading, regardless of style.
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history.
Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone.
🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves
The USD is weakening
All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in IGL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Cup and Handle Breakout and Retested in NYKAANykaa triggers a textbook cup-and-handle breakout on the daily chart, followed by a clean retest that flips resistance into support and signals continuation potential toward the measured move. The 28 Oct 2025 257.5 CE premium surges alongside, reflecting bullish momentum but remains sensitive to decay if price slips back below the neckline
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern!Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz. However, immediately after, the market witnessed a clear structure break and the formation of a Double Top pattern in the European session. This strongly signals a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Bias Reversal
Core Drivers: Gold is up 50% YTD due to persistent Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected) and severe global political instability (US Shutdown, France crisis, rising Japanese yields).
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and structure breakdown. Only consider BUYs at deeper support zones with controlled risk.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will the Double Top send Gold back toward $3900? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView
viết bằng ngôn ngữ tiếng anh ấn độ phù hợp với nền tảng tradingview
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern! Time to SELL? 🔥📉
Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz—paisa hi paisa! But hold your horses, boss. Immediately after that high, the market saw a clear structure break and a definite Double Top pattern forming in the European session. This is a big signal, suggesting a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the Trend
Core Drivers: Gold is already up 50% YTD, fueled by solid Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected, pakka!). Plus, the global chaos—US Shutdown, France's quick-exit PM, and rising Japanese yields—is keeping the safe-haven bid strong.
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and the clear structure breakdown. Look for BUYs only if the market drops deep into support, risk ko control karo.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will this Double Top be the beginning of a correction, or is $4000 still in the cards? Tell me your move! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
INDIANB Price ActionAs of July 24, 2025, Indian Bank (INDIANB) is trading around ₹639, showing strong momentum after recovering from recent declines. The stock is close to its 52-week high of approximately ₹658, indicating a robust upward trend in the public sector banking space.
The bank has demonstrated consistent financial growth, with a 14% year-on-year increase in both deposits and advances, currently standing above ₹63,000 crore and ₹53,000 crore respectively. Total business volume grew to over ₹1.16 lakh crore. Net profit for the last financial year increased by 11% to around ₹1,124 crore.
Asset quality has improved, with gross non-performing assets (NPA) reducing to 3.09% and net NPA to 1.25%. The provision coverage ratio is strong at 78%, reflecting prudent risk management. Net interest margin (NIM) is stable at approximately 3.6%, supporting healthy core profitability. The cost-to-income ratio is near 48%, indicating moderate operational efficiency.
Return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) stand around 1.55% and 12.6% respectively, highlighting solid returns relative to asset base and shareholder equity. Capital adequacy ratios remain comfortable under Basel III norms.
Technically, Indian Bank’s stock is trading above major moving averages (5, 20, 50, 100, 200 days), confirming positive price momentum. Year-to-date, the stock has delivered over 21% returns, outperforming many peers in the public sector banking segment.
Overall, Indian Bank presents a strong growth and stability profile with improving asset quality, stable margins, and expanding business volumes, making it an attractive candidate in the public banking sector for medium to long-term investors.
HAL Price ActionHindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) opened the day strong, continuing its upward momentum from the previous sessions. The stock traded above key moving averages, indicating sustained bullish sentiment. Early in the session, the price held above recent swing lows, and mild intraday retracements provided support zones for buyers.
On the technical side, HAL maintains a higher-high, higher-low structure on the daily chart, signifying that buyers are still in control. Volumes are stable, and no signs of distribution are visible so far. If the price sustains above the short-term support near recent intraday lows, further upward movement is likely. Any breakdown below immediate support could trigger a short-term pullback; however, medium-term outlook remains positive as long as the price holds above its last consolidation base.
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark?
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears.
If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe wave:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
COCHINSHIP Price ActionCOCHINSHIP exhibited steady price action today, maintaining a balanced trading range through most sessions. After opening with an initial minor uptick, the stock displayed mild volatility, oscillating within a narrow band and avoiding any sharp declines. Resistance was noted near recent highs, with persistent supply seen above that level, while dips found buyers at established support zones. Volume activity remained moderate, neither confirming nor rejecting direction bias. The intraday candlestick structure suggested a neutral to mildly bullish undertone, backed by consistent demand at lower bands. Overall, price sentiment favored gradual accumulation rather than aggressive breakout or reversal characteristics.
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa!
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO
Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold.
Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong.
FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3954, $3963
Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908
SL: $3904
TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893
SL: $3885
TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966
SL: $3974
TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916
Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders!
Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!).
Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally
Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows.
Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold.
Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867
The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942
Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865
SL: $3857
TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915
BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827
SL: $3824
TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887
SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904
SL: $3912
TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864
SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944
SL: $3952
TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904
What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush
Heromotoco - Reversal in the making Heromotoco - Reversal in the making
Fundamental Outlook
Almost debt free D/E ratio is 0.04, High ICR (85)
PE of 19.23, IND PE is 45.12, 0.4X of Industry PE, inexpensive stock
PEG of 2.52, reasonable
ROE = 23.67%
ROCE = 31.15% , ROCE 5yrs = 25.06%
Sales growth = 8.3%, Sales Growth 5 yrs =6.94%
Profit growth = 16.06%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 7.64%
Promoter holding at 34.74%, stable over the years
Cumulative FII/DII holding above 50%
Public holding < 10%
Very less public holding, continually decreasing, signalling strong hand holding
Technical Outlook
CMP : 4234
On Weekly charts ,
Stock has experienced a significant downtrend and seems to be bouncing off 3500-3600 levels
RSI(weekly)=53
On daily charts
LTP > EMA21 > EMA63 < EMA200
Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 99, relatively weak strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 101, relatively better momentum compared to Nifty 500
RSI (daily) = 70 , overbought zone
Chart Patterns
On weekly charts ,
Stock is beginning to form a rounding bottom pattern.
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - Automobiles/2-3 Wheelers
Nifty auto is a leading index compared to other sectoral indices in the past 20 days.
Nifty Auto has formed a W pattern/double bottom in the recent past and is recovering appreciably.
Continuing momentum should take the Index past recovery to bullish phase
Latest Q4 Results
Mar 2025
NSE:HEROMOTOCO
QOQ
👉Revenue drops -2.83% to 9970
👉EBITDA rose 1.69% to 1441
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.64% BPS to 14.45%
👉Net Profit rose 5.51% to 1169
👉EPS rose 4.84% to 58.06
YOY
👉Revenue rose 3.67% from 9617
👉EBITDA rose 9.17% from 1320
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.73% BPS from 13.73%
👉Net Profit rose 23.97% from 943
👉EPS rose 24.14% from 46.77
Fundamentals
👉Stock PE is 19.23
👉Stock EPS is 218.94
👉Dividend announced of Rs.65
Growth
👉2 year Revenue CAGR is 9.46%
👉2 year Profit CAGR is 25.00%
👉2 year EPS CAGR is 24.78%
👉2 year Price CAGR is 30.29%
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
The Redoubling. BRBR: The New King of U.S. Sports Nutrition?About Redoubling
Redoubling is my own research project, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I've added to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the trade price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice.
Below’s a detailed overview of BellRing Brands, Inc. (ticker: BRBR )
1. Main areas of activity
BellRing Brands is a consumer nutrition company focused on the “convenient nutrition” category. It markets protein‑based products (ready‑to‑drink shakes, powders, and nutrition bars) under key brands such as Premier Protein, Dymatize, and PowerBar. BellRing operates as a holding company structure overseeing these brand businesses and focuses on scaling distribution, penetration, and innovation in nutrition.
2. Business model
BellRing generates revenue by selling its nutrition products (shakes, powders, bars) through multiple channels (e.g., club, mass retail, e‑commerce, convenience, specialty) in the U.S. and internationally. Its model is largely B2C (business to consumers) via retail and direct channels, but it also relies on partnerships with retailers, distributors, and co‑manufacturers to handle production, contract manufacturing, logistics, and shelf space. BellRing also invests in marketing, brand building, and household penetration to drive repeat purchases and buy rate growth.
3. Flagship products or services
BellRing’s main brands and product lines are:
Premier Protein : its flagship brand, offering ready-to-drink protein shakes, powder versions, and refreshing protein beverages. It is the largest contributor in their portfolio.
Dymatize : positioned more toward sports nutrition / performance protein powders and related products.
PowerBar : a legacy nutrition bar brand, serving more as an international / cross‑category extension.
4. Key countries for business
While BellRing’s primary market is the United States, the company is working to expand its international presence. Dymatize’s international growth is cited as a positive driver. The PowerBar brand, too, has reach in over 35 international markets, particularly in Europe. That said, BellRing is often characterized as a “pure-play U.S. nutrition company” with ambitions to globalize further. Given that most of its distribution and consumer footprint is U.S.-centric, domestic retail, e‑commerce, and convenience channels are especially critical.
5. Main competitors
BellRing competes in the broader food, beverage, and nutrition space. Key competitive and peer companies include:
Medifast, Inc. (nutrition / diet & wellness products).
Large consumer goods and beverage companies like Coca-Cola, Unilever, Keurig Dr Pepper, Hershey (via beverage / nutrition arms).
Specialty nutrition / supplement companies in protein, health / wellness space.
According to Craft, competitors include Amy’s Kitchen and others in adjacent nutrition / food segments.
In more aggregate industry comparisons, BellRing is grouped with food processing and consumer non‑cyclical peers.
6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth
External factors
Macro trends toward health, wellness, and functional nutrition: As consumers increasingly seek products with protein, clean labeling, convenience, and functional benefits, BellRing is well positioned to capture demand.
Low penetration in key product segments: The company notes that shakes as a segment still have relatively low household penetration (e.g., 48% in some tracked channels), implying room for growth.
Distribution expansion and new channels (e‑commerce, convenience): Growth across untracked channels, international sales, and digital platforms can expand reach.
Commodity cycles and input cost declines: Favorable raw material or input cost trends (or hedges) may improve margins. In Q4 2024, the company cited net input cost deflation as contributing to higher margins.
Internal factors
Brand strength and household penetration growth: Premier Protein has seen strong gains in penetration, which supports recurring demand.
Supply and manufacturing scale-up: BellRing has built out co‑manufacturing networks and increased shake supply to remove constraints.
Operational efficiency and margin expansion: The company uses cost discipline, procurement, production fees (e.g. attainment fees), and hedging strategies.
Share repurchase programs: The company actively buys back shares to return capital and support per‑share earnings growth.
Product innovation and extensions: New product launches under the nutrition umbrella can drive incremental volume and revenue.
7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline
External threats
Intense competition and market saturation: The nutrition / functional beverage space is crowded, with many well-capitalized incumbents. Loss of shelf space or promotional pressure could erode margins.
Retailer power and inventory cuts: In Q3 2025, BellRing disclosed that major retailers cut weeks of supply, expected to create a growth headwind.
Input cost inflation and commodity volatility: Rising costs or unfavorable mark-to-market hedging could compress margins.
Regulatory, labeling, or health claims risks: In food, beverage and nutrition sectors, regulatory changes around supplements, health claims, or labeling could impose costs.
Legal / litigation exposure: BellRing disclosed a $90 million class‑wide settlement related to past litigation (Joint Juice).
Internal weaknesses
Overdependence on core brands / product categories: If Premier Protein underperforms, the company’s revenue concentration could pose risk.
Operational execution risks: Scaling manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, quality control failures, or missteps in marketing could hurt growth.
Legal reserves / unexpected provisions: The provision for legal matters in Q3 2025 hit results, dragging operating profit.
8. Stability of management
Executive changes in the past 5 years
Darcy Horn Davenport serves as President & CEO and is on the board. She previously led Post’s Active Nutrition business before BellRing was spun off.
Paul Rode is CFO, with long experience in the nutrition business and prior roles at Post, including serving as CFO of Post’s Active Nutrition.
On July 30, 2025, BellRing announced that Elliot H. Stein, Jr. will resign from the Board effective September 30, 2026. Concurrently, Thomas P. Erickson was appointed lead independent director, Shawn W. Conway became Chair of the Compensation & Governance Committee, and Jennifer Kuperman joined the Executive Committee.
These changes are described as governance/committee reassignments rather than executive turnovers.
Impact on corporate strategy / culture
The management team appears relatively stable at the top, with no major CEO or CFO turnover recently. The board changes seem more about committee roles and succession planning rather than a radical shift. Under Davenport’s leadership, the company has executed aggressive growth, brand penetration, and supply expansion strategies, suggesting continuity and alignment between management and strategy. The board adjustments are intended to facilitate smooth continuity rather than disrupt direction, which may support investor confidence.
Why did I add this company to my model portfolio?
I took a look at the company's basics, and it seems like earnings per share aren't growing right now, but total revenue is growing steadily over time. This, combined with a low debt-to-revenue ratio and steady operating, investing, and financing cash flows, gives the balance sheet a good foundation. Some other things to note are that return on equity and gross margin are growing steadily, the current ratio is strong, and interest coverage is excellent. All of these things show that liquidity and solvency are solid. With a P/E of 20.36, I think the valuation is interesting given these fundamentals and consistent with a balanced growth profile.
I didn't find any major news that could threaten the company's stability or lead to insolvency. Considering a diversification coefficient of 20 and an observed deviation of the current stock price from its annual average by more than 16 EPS, I decided to allocate 15% of my capital to this company at the close price of the last daily bar.
Portfolio overview
Below are screenshots from TradingView's Portfolios tool. I used $100,000 as my initial capital for the model portfolio. I will update these screenshots as I add new trades.
Adani Greens Date 05.10.2025
Adani Greens
Timeframe : Day Chart
Technical :
(1) 250 days of consolidation in 2023 + 200 ema breakout, 100% upside
(2) 250 days of consolidation in 2025 + 200 ema breakout, has good potential for upside.
Fundamental :
(1) India’s largest and one of the leading renewable energy companies in the world
(2) Delivered good profit growth of 127% CAGR over last 5 years
(3) Debtor days have improved from 68.9 to 50.1 days.
(4) Promoter holding has increased by 0.97% over last quarter.
Operational Capacity Mix:
(1) Solar: 71%
(2) Wind: 13%
(3) Hybrid: 16%
Operational Metrics:
Power Generation Volumes (MU):
(1) Solar: 16,738
(2) Wind: 3,834
(3) Hybrid: 7,397
Average Realization (Rs/kWh):
(1) Solar: 3.65
(2) Wind: 3.45
(3) Hybrid: 2.80
Debt
The total debt has increased from Rs. 64,858 Cr in FY24 to Rs. 80,040 Cr in FY25
Regards,
Ankur Singh
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH
The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious.
But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend.
🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis
Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit.
This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones.
📊 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats).
The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line.
Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited.
Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy setup (trend-following):
Entry: 3830
Stoploss: 3815
Take Profit: 3980
Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target):
Entry: around 3980
Stoploss: 3988
TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy)
🔍 Conclusion
Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”.
Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices.
I will continue to share more details in daily updates here.
Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
PRECISION WIRES INDIA 🚀 PRECISION WIRES INDIA BREAKOUT ALERT ⚡
PRECWIRE just broke above the consolidation zone!
📊 Chart Highlights:
Multi-year uptrend intact since 2019
Fresh breakout above ₹195 resistance
Current: ₹208.69 (+15.18% recent move)
Volume surge confirms institutional buying
💡 Fundamental Catalysts:
₹70 crore expansion approved (copper rod capacity)
India's copper demand to grow 12% in 2025
Company leading South Asia's winding wire market
⚠️ Key Levels:
Support: ₹180-185 | Target: ₹240+
The copper wire manufacturing sector benefits from India's infrastructure boom and renewable energy push. With copper demand projected to reach 3.24 million tonnes by FY2030, PRECWIRE's expansion timing looks strategic.
Breakout + Strong fundamentals = Worth watching! 📈
#StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #CopperStocks #IndianStocks NSE:PRECWIRE