Hindustan Zinc : Strong Comeback from Demand Zone with High Vol📈Technical Analysis
Since 2020, Hindustan Zinc rose from ₹130–₹150 to ₹380–₹400 by 2021, and this ₹380–₹400 zone acted as a major resistance level throughout 2022 and 2023.
In April 2024, the stock broke out above the ₹380–₹400 resistance zone and surged to an all-time high of ₹807 in May 2024.
From that peak, the stock experienced a sharp correction of nearly 50% and dropped back to the ₹380 level. However, the same ₹380–₹400 zone, which previously acted as strong resistance, has now turned into a solid support zone, as seen in March, April, and May 2025.
Taking support from this demand zone, the stock rebounded sharply and broke its recent lower high, supported by a significant trading volume of 15.5 million shares — the highest volume recorded in the past nine months.
If this bullish momentum continues, the stock may potentially reach the first target of ₹580, the second target of ₹695, and the third target of ₹810, which marks its all-time high.
Targets:
🎯 ₹580 (Target 1)
🎯 ₹695 (Target 2)
🎯 ₹810 (All-time high, Target 3)
Support Levels:
🔻 ₹475–₹485 (first support)
🔻 ₹380–₹400 (major demand zone)
👍This demonstrates a textbook resistance-turned-support confirmation with bullish price structure.
💰Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹9,041 Cr (vs ₹8,556 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹7,550 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Expenses: ₹4,258 Cr (vs ₹4,098 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,896 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Operating Profits: ₹4,783 Cr (vs ₹4,458 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,654 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,749 Cr (vs ₹3,491 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,736 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,976 Cr (vs ₹2,647 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,042 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹7.04 (vs ₹6.26 in Q3 FY24 and ₹4.83 in Q4 FY23)
📌The sharp sequential increase across all metrics highlights strong quarter-on-quarter momentum.
🔍Fundamental Analysis
Net Profit Up 47% YoY: Q4 profit jumped to ₹3,003 Cr from ₹2,038 Cr last year, driven by metal price strength and cost efficiency
Revenue Growth: Revenue rose ~20% YoY to ~₹9,087 Cr
Record Production: Q4 saw the highest-ever production—310 kt of mined metal and 1,052 kt refined metal
Lowest Cost of Production : Zinc CPO hit a 16-quarter low of $994/tonne, down 5% YoY
Strong Market Position: Holds ~75% share in domestic zinc, remains among world’s top integrated producers. Free cash flow was ₹13,784 Cr in FY25
Robust Dividend: Recommended record dividend of ₹135 per share for FY24–25
Expansion Plans: FY25 capex ~₹3–3.2k Cr for mining & smelting capacity growth
ESG Leadership: Top-ten recognition in Sustainability, zero-harm goal, award-winning recycling initiatives .
🏁Conclusion
Hindustan Zinc has delivered a powerful Q4 earnings beat and confirmed a textbook resistance-turning-support setup at ₹380–₹400. With strong production, cost efficiency, and market dominance, this stock is technically and fundamentally well-positioned for upside with targets up to ₹810.
📌Actionable Insight: Watch how the stock behaves above ₹400—if it holds with bullish confirmation, a rally toward ₹580–₹695—and possibly ₹810—is increasingly likely.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Fundamental Analysis
GBPUSD - FACES RESISTANCE AS BEARISH SIGNALS EMERGESymbol - GBPUSD
CMP - 1.3525
GBPUSD has been rallying amid a weakening US dollar but is now encountering strong resistance and showing signs of a false breakout suggesting a potential corrective phase ahead.
The pair is currently testing a key resistance zone within a distribution phase, with a double top pattern forming on the higher timeframe - a classic bearish reversal signal. Despite the broader bullish structure, the failure to sustain gains above key resistance 1.3600 and ongoing consolidation below 1.3545 point to weakening momentum.
Additionally, the US dollar has reached support levels and may begin to recover, adding further downward pressure on GBPUSD.
Resistance levels: 1.3548, 1.3570, 1.3600
Support levels: 1.3512, 1.3455
If the pair cannot hold above 1.3565 during this retest, a deeper pullback is likely, potentially offering short opportunities. The correction could extend toward the 1.3450–1.3365 & may test 1.3300 support range before any continuation of the broader uptrend.
AUDUSD - TESTING KEY RESISTANCESymbol - AUDUSD
CMP - 0.6530
AUDUSD continues to advance amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the US dollar, which remains in a consolidation phase. The currency pair is approaching a key resistance level at 0.6537
The dollar is currently range-bound due to prevailing market indecision. In contrast, the Australian dollar is gaining strength and appears poised to test a significant liquidity zone.
Within the context of the prevailing trend, the pair is progressing toward both resistance and the identified liquidity area. Given the considerable distance from the initial opening, the potential for continued upside may diminish as the pair nears its target. A false breakout above 0.6537 could signal the onset of a corrective pullback.
Resistance level: 0.6537
Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6480
A swift movement toward resistance without sustained bullish momentum could result in a false breakout at 0.6537 Should the price consolidate below this threshold, a corrective phase may follow before any potential resumption of the upward trend.
GOLD IN SIDEWAY PHASE, WAITING FOR A BREAKOUT THROUGH KEY LEVELSXAU/USD TRADING PLAN 10/06/2025 – GOLD IN SIDEWAY PHASE, WAITING FOR A BREAKOUT THROUGH KEY LEVELS!
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Geopolitical tensions and monetary policy: The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase, with major decisions pending from important meetings, especially statements from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and global conflict situations. These factors could have a significant impact on market sentiment and volatility in gold.
Weak economic data from major economies such as the U.S. and the Eurozone indicates challenging economic conditions, leading investors to view gold as a safe-haven asset.
Interest rates: Although the Fed continues its rate hike policy, financial market uncertainties could continue to support gold as a preferred asset class.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
On the M30–H1 timeframe, XAU/USD is currently moving within a rising channel. After the correction in Wave 4, gold has bounced back in the 335x region and is now preparing to confirm the next trend. Signals from EMA indicate accumulation, potentially setting up for a strong rally ahead.
Key resistance levels: 3,338 – 3,345 (unexplored FVG region). If gold breaks above 3,345, a continued rise to 3,353 is highly likely.
Key support levels: 3,282 – 3,275. If gold retests these levels without breaking them, the chances of a rebound are strong.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,302 - 3,304
SL: 3,296
TP: 3,306 → 3,310 → 3,314 → 3,318 → 3,325
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3352 - 3354
SL: 3,358
TP: 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320
⚠️ NOTE:
Risk management: Expect significant volatility as the market awaits important news this week.
Wait for confirmation: Technical signals are for guidance; clear confirmation from the charts is needed before entering trades.
📌 CONCLUSION:
Gold is currently in a sideway phase and may be preparing for a breakout if these key support and resistance levels are breached.
Traders should monitor both macroeconomic factors and strategic price zones to make informed trading decisions.
JSW Infrastructure Ltd. – Strong Q4 Boost as it Eyes Breakout📈 Technical Analysis
IPO & Rally: Since its listing on October - 2023 at ₹140–150, the stock surged to ₹360 by July 2024.
Correction & Support: A pullback followed, finding solid demand at ₹220, which held firm.
Recent Rally: Strong Q3 and Q4 2024 results triggered a rebound starting February 2025.
Resistance Zone: The stock now faces resistance at the ₹320 area, aligned with recent lower highs.
Higher Volume: A surge in trading volume on 5th June confirmed investor interest.
Breakout Signal: If JSW Infra breaks above ₹320 and retests it as support with bullish candlestick confirmation, it may rally further.
🎯 Targets: ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380
🔻 Supports: ₹280 → ₹220 (major demand zone)
Caution Alert: A failure to hold above these supports could trigger further downside.
💰 Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹1,283 Cr (vs ₹1,182 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹1,096 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Expenses: ₹642 Cr (vs ₹596 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹515 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Operating Profits: ₹641 Cr (vs ₹586 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹581 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹581 Cr (vs ₹276 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹417 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹516 Cr (vs ₹336 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹329 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹2.43 (vs ₹1.57 in Q3 FY24; ₹1.57 in Q4 FY23)
📌All major metrics show strong sequential growth, demonstrating robust quarterly momentum.
🔍 Fundamental Insights
Revenue Growth: Q4 FY25 saw a 17% YoY increase to ₹1,283 Cr
Profit Surge: Net profit jumped 57% YoY to ₹516 Cr
Operating Margin: EBITDA rose 7% YoY to ₹730 Cr, with margin at 39%
Cargo Volume: Handled 31.2 million tonnes in Q4 FY25 — up 5% YoY; third-party cargo share reached 50% from 47%
Dividend Declared: ₹0.80 per share for Q4 FY25, showcasing shareholder returns
Strategic Projects: Interim operations began at Tuticorin & JNPA terminals, reinforcing growth in coal & logistics verticals
Industry Edge: Heavy reliance on bulk cargo provides resilience against global container market volatility
🧭 Conclusion
JSW Infrastructure is fundamentally and technically well-positioned after its strong Q4 showing:
🔹 Key Watchpoint: Break above ₹320 and retest as support.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: Sustained move may target ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380.
🔹 Bearish Signal: Failure to hold ensuing supports (₹280 / ₹220) could lead to correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This information is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Please consult with professional advisors before making any decisions.
USDT Dominance Crypto Path & Commentary for Bull Run- USDT D is currently trading at 4.64% and looks bearish from a Market Structure Shift
- USDT D can now soon move towards 4.88% and purge that to trap late longs and that should be the last bounce before we drop to 3.7%
- Another case is if we don't see USDT getting rejected badly from 4.88% then we might see another structure shift which will be Bullish and then we might soon see USDT heading towards 5.25%
- From a structure perspective I like how the setup is building in USDT D from a Bullish Perspective for the overall market
- USDT D dropping to 3.7 will help in a good recovery when it comes to Alts
- From an entry perspective watch out for 4.79-4.88% 5.15-.5.25% in Spot
TOTAL 2 Price Action & Commentary - T2 is currently trading at 1.17T$ down from 1.28T$
- T2 is currently trading a discount array but the structure needs more strength and infusion.
- We need to see a structure shift above 1.28T$ and then retrace back after purging that recent swing high
- That retracement is going to be a confirmation entry offering a decent R:R
- However, for a larger R:R we need to enter in Alts setting up strong at this stage after pairing the location of USDT Dom which will help you refine your entry location
- Manage you risk and allocation size accordingly
RECLTD BUY ABV 450The double bottom is a classic bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. It resembles the letter "W", forming after a downtrend when the price hits a support level twice before breaking out upwards.
Key Features:
- Two distinct lows at roughly the same price level.
- A peak (neckline) between the two lows.
- Breakout confirmation when the price moves above the neckline.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry: Traders often enter a long position once the price breaks above the neckline.
- Stop-loss: Placed below the second bottom to manage risk.
- Target price: Typically measured by the distance between the neckline and the bottoms, projected upwards.
Learn Institutional options trading Part-5Future of Options Trading in India
What Lies Ahead:
More weekly expiries (e.g., MIDCPNIFTY)
Improved retail education
Stricter compliance and reporting
Rise in algo trading and automation
Integration with global exchanges (GIFT City)
With platforms like NSE IFSC, Indian traders may soon get access to international stock derivatives from Indian soil.
Learn Institutional options trading Part-6Psychology & Discipline in Options Trading
Success in options requires:
Defined trading plan
Strict risk-reward ratio
Avoiding revenge trades
Avoiding overtrading on expiry days
Regular review and journaling of trades
Emotional control and discipline are more important than strategy in consistent profitability.
Option Trading Part-7If you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security.
The Indian stock market has witnessed significant growth in recent decades, transforming from a manually operated environment to a digital, highly regulated, and globally integrated system. Among the many financial instruments available, options trading has emerged as one of the most dynamic and potentially rewarding strategies for traders and investors.
ICICI Lombard GI – Approaching Breakout on High Volume📊 Technical Analysis
Since its IPO in 2017, ICICI Lombard has steadily rallied from ₹600–₹700, reaching a peak of ₹1675 in September 2021. The ₹1,600–₹1,650 zone served as a strong resistance until it finally broke out in 2024, which then acted as a reliable support level in 2024 and again in March 2025.
Following a decline, the stock rebounded from this support, breaking the recent lower high of ₹1,900. Trade volumes have surged, with around 2.5 million shares traded in the last week, the highest in nearly a year. The stock has now hit a resistance near ₹2,000.
👉 Even if the stock intends to rally higher, the key ₹2,000 level must act as support, confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns, before any confident breakout can occur.
Key Levels to Watch:
🎯 Resistance (Upside Targets): ₹2,100 → ₹2,200 → ₹2,300 (all-time high zone)
🔻 Support Zones: ₹2,000 → ₹1,900 → Major demand at ₹1,600–₹1,650
💰 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹23,961 Cr (vs ₹20,487 Cr in FY23 and ₹17,876 Cr in FY22)
Total Expenses: ₹20,680 Cr (vs ₹17,910 Cr in FY23 and ₹16,612 Cr in FY22)
Total Operating Profits: ₹3,281 Cr (vs ₹2,577 Cr in FY23 and ₹1,264 Cr in FY22)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,321 Cr (vs ₹2,555 Cr in FY23 and ₹2,113 Cr in FY22)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,508 Cr (vs ₹1,919 Cr in FY23 and ₹1,729 Cr in FY22)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹50.6 (vs ₹38.94 in FY23 and ₹35.21 in FY22)
📌Strong year-on-year and quarter-over-quarter improvements in all major metrics reflect impressive growth and operational efficiency.
🔍 Fundamental Highlights
Premium Growth: Gross direct premium rose to ₹60,730 Cr in FY24 — a 22% YoY increase, outperforming industry growth of 14–18%
Profit Resilience: Q4 FY24 PAT stood at ₹520 Cr — up 18.9% YoY ; FY25 PAT surged 30.7% to ₹2,508 Cr
Dividend Declared: Final dividend of ₹7 per share, bringing total FY25 payout to ₹12.5
Combined Ratio: Improved to ~102.2% in Q4 FY24 from 104.2% YoY — indicating better underwriting performance
Segment Strength: Retail health premiums rose ~30%, motor premiums grew ~18%, and combined ratio stabilised
Strong Dividend Yield & Solvency: Dividend yield ~0.68%, with a solvency ratio of ~2.6× — reflecting balance sheet strength .
✅ Conclusion
ICICI Lombard showcases a compelling blend of strong technical triggers, fundamental growth, and shareholder rewards. The breakout above the ₹1,900 region on high volume is promising — but confirmation is needed through the ₹2,000 level holding firmly as support. Upon confirmation, potential upside targets are ₹2,100 → ₹2,200 → ₹2,300. Still, investors should watch for any reversal if that support fails.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is suited for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Hindustan Zinc : Strong Comeback from Demand Zone with High Vol📈 Technical Analysis
Since 2020, Hindustan Zinc rose from ₹130–₹150 to ₹380–₹400 by 2021, and this ₹380–₹400 zone acted as a major resistance level throughout 2022 and 2023.
In April 2024, the stock broke out above the ₹380–₹400 resistance zone and surged to an all-time high of ₹807 in May 2024.
From that peak, the stock experienced a sharp correction of nearly 50% and dropped back to the ₹380 level. However, the same ₹380–₹400 zone, which previously acted as strong resistance, has now turned into a solid support zone, as seen in March, April, and May 2025.
Taking support from this demand zone, the stock rebounded sharply and broke its recent lower high, supported by a significant trading volume of 15.5 million shares — the highest volume recorded in the past nine months.
If this bullish momentum continues, the stock may potentially reach the first target of ₹580, the second target of ₹695, and the third target of ₹810, which marks its all-time high.
Targets:
🎯 ₹580 (Target 1)
🎯 ₹695 (Target 2)
🎯 ₹810 (All-time high, Target 3)
Support Levels:
🔻 ₹475–₹485 (first support)
🔻 ₹380–₹400 (major demand zone)
👍This demonstrates a textbook resistance-turned-support confirmation with bullish price structure.
💰 Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹9,041 Cr (vs ₹8,556 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹7,550 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Expenses: ₹4,258 Cr (vs ₹4,098 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,896 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Operating Profits: ₹4,783 Cr (vs ₹4,458 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,654 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,749 Cr (vs ₹3,491 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,736 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,976 Cr (vs ₹2,647 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,042 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹7.04 (vs ₹6.26 in Q3 FY24 and ₹4.83 in Q4 FY23)
📌The sharp sequential increase across all metrics highlights strong quarter-on-quarter momentum.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
Net Profit Up 47% YoY: Q4 profit jumped to ₹3,003 Cr from ₹2,038 Cr last year, driven by metal price strength and cost efficiency
Revenue Growth: Revenue rose ~20% YoY to ~₹9,087 Cr
Record Production: Q4 saw the highest-ever production—310 kt of mined metal and 1,052 kt refined metal
Lowest Cost of Production: Zinc CPO hit a 16-quarter low of $994/tonne, down 5% YoY
Strong Market Position: Holds ~75% share in domestic zinc, remains among world’s top integrated producers. Free cash flow was ₹13,784 Cr in FY25
Robust Dividend: Recommended record dividend of ₹135 per share for FY24–25
Expansion Plans: FY25 capex ~₹3–3.2k Cr for mining & smelting capacity growth
ESG Leadership: Top-ten recognition in Sustainability, zero-harm goal, award-winning recycling initiatives .
🏁 Conclusion
Hindustan Zinc has delivered a powerful Q4 earnings beat and confirmed a textbook resistance-turning-support setup at ₹380–₹400. With strong production, cost efficiency, and market dominance, this stock is technically and fundamentally well-positioned for upside with targets up to ₹810.
📌 Actionable Insight: Watch how the stock behaves above ₹400—if it holds with bullish confirmation, a rally toward ₹580–₹695—and possibly ₹810—is increasingly likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This report is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Reliance levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Current Price & Context
-- CMP: ₹1,449.4 (up ~0.4%)
-- Technical outlook: Rated a Strong Buy with RSI ≈ 63 and positive MACD signals
Pivot & CPR Levels
Daily (Classic) Pivot Points
Pivot (P): ₹1,444.00
Support: S1 = 1,436.50; S2 = 1,429.50; S3 = 1,422.00
Resistance: R1 = 1,451.00; R2 = 1,458.50; R3 = 1,465.50
Daily CPR:
Bottom Central (BC) = 1,444.25
Central = 1,444.00
Top Central (TC) = 1,443.75
Weekly Pivot Points
Pivot: ₹1,431.27
Support: S1 = 1,407.83; S2 = 1,372.17
Resistance: R1 = 1,466.93; R2 = 1,490.37
Sensex levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Index Level: 82,517 (+0.33% in past 24 hrs)
Weekly High/Low Range: ~82,300 to ~80,984
Previous Swing Support Zone: ~80,500–81,000 (notable bounce area)
Long:
Entry: around 81,350 with bullish candle + RSI rising from oversold
Stop‑loss: ~81,000
Targets: 82,660 → 83,514, aiming for ≥2:1 reward-to-risk ratio
Short:
Entry: around 82,660 if bearish pattern forms and MACD divergence is seen
Stop‑loss: ~83,600
Targets: 81,824 → 81,350
Banknifty levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Trend‑deciding pivot: 56,713
Primary resistance zones: 56,948, 57,184, 57,420, 57,666
Support zones: 56,578, 56,241, 55,706, 55,534
A dip toward 56,578–56,713 is a potential long entry, targeting 56,948 and beyond.
A break below 56,241 opens doors to deeper support around 55,700–55,500.
Is PSB The Right Bank To Invest Into?During the first half of 2024, NSE:PSB hit its peak levels near Rs. 80 and afterwards, it started falling down. However, when seen on the weekly chart, it was an expected down move and can be classified as a clean retracement. On April 1, 2025, marking the start of this financial year, the bank retraced to 78.6% fib level. It was also the same time when RSI hit 30 level on the weekly chart. Since then, it has been going up again.
The current situation is that the bank is already up from Rs. 25 to Rs. 33. However, it is today the price has crossed the 50 EMA on the daily chart. The RSI is also below 70, which shows a potential for up moves, which is further supported by the resistance line, which seems to be at Rs. 37 based on the current trajectory of the price movement. This is a 10%+ upside at minimum.
The Price to book is roughly 1.7x, which is not bad for a bank however, the Price to earnings is about 22, which is a bit concerning.
The bank is profitable for the last 4 years and has made about Rs. 1000 crores in the last 12 months, But it doesn't seems to be enough to justify the current valuation. However, the Plant/Property/Equipment of Rs. 1800 crores, which when revalued on current market estimates, might do the trick.
Overall, this trade is a bit late. The best time was two months ago. Currently, the risk:reward on the daily timeframe is not ideal; however it might be acceptable on a longer weekly time-frame, which might be suitable for investment purposes.
I am buying some shares for 1-2 year investment and keeping enough cash in reserves to average at Rs. 25 and then at Rs. 22.
~ Trading Idea by Dr. Sagar Bansal via @jyotibansalanalysis
Reversal set up - DLINKINDIA Reversal set up - DLINKINDIA
Fundamental Outlook
Almost debt free, High ICR
PE of 15.2, quite reasonable
PEG of 0.57, very attractive
ROE = 22.29%
ROCE = 29.48% , ROCE 5yrs = 23.8 %
Sales growth = 11.33%, Sales grwoth 5 yrs 11.9%
Profit growth= 17.05% , Profit Growth 5 yrs = 26.81%
Promoter holding stable at 51.02%
FII holding increased from 0.84% to 1.2% in Mar 2025
Technical Outlook
CMP : 430
EMA9 just crossed above EMA 21
With the momemntum, EMA 21 should cross over EMA 63 and continue
RSI = 54.17
Target = 500>535>650>730
Timeframe - 1 yr
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?XAUUSD – Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a narrowing range, building momentum after rebounding from the 3.276 support area. Despite short-term uncertainties, the overall macroeconomic landscape continues to favor bullish scenarios — though key resistance levels must be cleared to confirm continuation.
🌍 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT
USD Weakness: The DXY continues to trade under pressure, increasing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
US–China Trade Talks: Ongoing high-level negotiations in London could either ease geopolitical tensions or fuel safe-haven demand, depending on outcomes.
Global Risk Appetite: With US debt ceiling concerns still looming and the Fed showing hesitancy to cut rates soon, gold remains in focus as a hedge.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (30M–H1)
The price has formed a descending wedge structure and is hovering near key EMAs (13–34–89–200).
A breakout above 3,334 could trigger a short-term bullish wave, while failure at this zone would likely lead to deeper correction toward 3,276 or lower.
📍 STRATEGIC KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 3,334 – 3,336 – 3,362 – 3,390
Support: 3,300 – 3,276 – 3,250
🧭 TRADING SCENARIOS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,276 – 3,274
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,296 → 3,300
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,334 – 3,336
SL: 3,340
TP: 3,330 → 3,326 → 3,322 → 3,318 → 3,314 → 3,310
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,362 – 3,364
SL: 3,368
TP: 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,320
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains in a critical range, and traders should focus on well-defined zones to capitalize on volatility. Use confirmation-based entries and respect risk parameters — especially as macro headlines and technical patterns align for a potential breakout.
KPITTECH In KPITTECH, there are indications of a potential upward breakout. Following 12–13 days of consolidation, an extended green candle with higher volume indicates a potential breakout due to the inverted H&S pattern. In H1FY26, management essentially anticipates "positive" QoQ growth, which is a good trigger. In my opinion, good price action will ensue when the stock price moves ahead of the actual occurrence.
India’s Growth Story & Sectoral RotationTopic: India’s Growth Story & Sectoral Rotation
Slide 1: Introduction to India’s Growth Story
India is one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies. With strong demographics, reform-driven policies, and rising consumption, India is projected to become the third-largest economy by 2030.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Youth population & rising middle class
Government capex & infrastructure push
Tech innovation & digital economy
Global supply chain diversification (China+1)
Slide 2: Macroeconomic Tailwinds
✅ Stable GDP growth (6.5–7.5% range)
✅ Controlled inflation & improving fiscal health
✅ Strong forex reserves
✅ Structural reforms (GST, IBC, PLI schemes)
✅ FDI inflows & domestic manufacturing boost
Slide 3: Understanding Sectoral Rotation
Sectoral rotation is the shift in investor preference from one sector to another based on economic cycles, interest rates, or valuation changes. Smart investors track these rotations to maximize returns.
Why It Matters:
Not all sectors perform at the same time
Aligns portfolio with macro & earnings trends
Helps avoid underperforming sectors
Slide 4: Economic Cycle vs. Sector Performance
Economic Phase = Leading Sectors
Early Recovery = Auto, Capital Goods
Mid Expansion = Banking, Infra, IT
Peak FMCG, = Pharma
Slowdown Utilities, = Healthcare
Rotation typically happens quarterly to annually, often influenced by budget, RBI policy, and global cues.
Slide 5: Recent & Future Sector Trends
2023-2024 Themes:
Capital Goods & Infra: Capex surge
PSU Banks: Balance sheet revival
Defence & Railways: Govt-led spending
IT & FMCG: Facing margin pressure, expect rotation soon
Green Energy & EV: Emerging megatrends
2025 Outlook:
Watch for rotation into Financials, Consumption, Manufacturing, and selective Midcaps as earnings visibility improves.
Slide 6: Smart Investment Strategies
🔹 Use Sectoral/Thematic Mutual Funds or ETFs
🔹 Monitor quarterly earnings and sectoral updates
🔹 Combine with Smart SIP & dynamic asset allocation
🔹 Stay updated with policy announcements (Union Budget, RBI)
Open Interest & Option Chain Analysis Topic: Open Interest & Option Chain Analysis
1: What is Open Interest (OI)?
Simple Meaning:
Open Interest means the total number of active option or futures contracts in the market that haven’t been closed yet.
Easy Example:
If you and your friend enter into a new option trade, the open interest is 1. If someone else joins with a new trade, it becomes 2. But if you close your trade, it becomes 1 again.
What It Tells You:
If OI is increasing, more people are joining the market.
If OI is decreasing, traders are exiting their trades.
Combine OI with Price Movement:
Price going up + OI going up = New buying → Bullish
Price going down + OI going up = New selling → Bearish
Price going up + OI going down = Traders exiting shorts → Short covering
Price going down + OI going down = Traders exiting longs → Profit booking
2: What is an Option Chain?
Simple Meaning:
Option Chain is a table that shows all the call and put options for a stock at different strike prices.
What You’ll See in an Option Chain:
Strike Price: The price you agree to buy/sell.
Calls (CE): Right to buy.
Puts (PE): Right to sell.
Open Interest (OI): How many contracts are active.
Volume: How many were traded today.
LTP: Latest price of that option.
3: How to Read Option Chain Like a Pro
1. Spot the Support Levels:
Look for the highest OI on the put (PE) side → Big money sees this as support.
2. Spot the Resistance Levels:
Look for the highest OI on the call (CE) side → Traders think price won't go above this.
3. Track Market Mood:
If more puts are being written (PE OI going up) → Traders are bullish.
If more calls are being written (CE OI going up) → Traders are bearish.
4. PCR (Put Call Ratio):
PCR > 1 → More puts than calls = Bullish
PCR < 1 → More calls than puts = Bearish