BTCUSD 4.5R sell side beautiful scenarioBTCUSD is in range from last 5 days but now it is showing Smart Money’s interest. And it appears a down side trade is being developed as it has swept upside liquidity and forming CISD after displacement.
1. It has taken upside liquidity.
2. Formed CISD after displacement.
3. It has formed FVG and BPR on 1h time frame and price is inside POI.
4. POI is created inside OTE zone confirming good RnR.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS/TS in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 4.5R trade scenario.
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USDJPY Sell entry 1::5 RnRUSDJPY is forming a beautiful day trade for selling side. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. Price kissed 4H Iceberg Block and showed sniper liquidity and left bearish FVGs at both 30m and 15m.
2. 15m FVG is inside 30m FVG and upper side of OTE area.
3. Now it is moving toward FVG areas after taking reversal from bullish 15m BPR
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
5. Order flow confirming bearish bias.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:5) trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Gold (XAUUSD) 1:4 intraday buy scenario.Gold is in up move and forming a good buy scenario on 30/15-minute chart. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. 30/15m bullish FVG is pending and price is showing pull back towards it.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. Order flow confirming bullish bias.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:4) trade scenario.
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BTC developing a good sell opportunityBTC is moving in range for long time. Now it has shown a displacement after ChoCH and formed a bearish 15m FVG. There may be a good trade at sell side if price approach it. Well there are two trade scenarios are forming.
1. Price moves to 15m FVG and OTE overlap zone.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. After breaking trend line it should pullback till FVG/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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ETH multiple Sell OpportunitiesETH is moving in range for almost a week time. Now it has shown a displacement after ChoCH and formed a bearish 15m FVG. There may be a good trade at sell side if price approach it. Well there are two trade scenarios are forming.
Trade # 1
1. Price is moving around a short term trend line and resistance.
2. If price breaks trend line and take the liquidity of resistance than it may be sell trade.
Trade # 2
3. Price moves to 15m FVG and OTE overlap zone.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG zone and break trend line.
5. After breaking trend line it should pullback till FVG/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Buying is slow and weak.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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A beautiful AUDCHF high RnR scenarioAUDCHF is approaching 4H resistance zone which has already show rejection previously. There is also a steep bullish trend line creating a confluence. RSI has already shown Bearish Divergence. All these signaling a coming very good sell side opportunity. Below are points detailing the same.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Very steep Bullish Trend line developing a confluence at resistance. Steep trend line are always prone for breakout/breakdown.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
5. RSI also already shown Bearish Divergence and running in oversold zone.
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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High probability 1:7 Gold buy scenario.Gold is developing nice scenario for upside move. Currently it is under consolidation. We are expecting manipulation toward FVG (1 and 15m overlapping) and then upward movement after liquidity sweep. Below is detail
1. Price has created Break of Structure.
2. Displacement happened, which created FVGs in 5 and 15m overlapping.
3. FVGs are formed in Discount and OTE zone.
4. FVGs are overlapping BB on 5m.
5. HTF bias is also upside.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:7) trade scenario.
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1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ...
1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well.
2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area.
3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP.
4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario.
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XAUUSD SD + OTE Long Trade (Smart Money Logic)This is my recent LONG trade on OANDA:XAUUSD on the 15 min chart.
When everyone was waiting to SHORT , I was waiting patiently in my LONG position.
Entry :
$3378 - Order Block + FVG + 0.5 Optimal Trade Entry level
Exit :
1st Target - $3400 (Standard Deviation Target 1 + 3400 psychological level)
2nd Target - $3418 (Standard Deviation Target 2)
NOTE: Smart Money DOES NOT HUNT stoplosses , they trigger their positions slightly below where they find maximum liquidity, because their positions are WAY TOO HUGE and need all the anti-orders (buy/sell stops) basically buy side or sell side liquidity so that they can fill in their orders. They are literally there to HELP YOU push the price up or down, you just need to place your stoplosses right! not too tight not too far off which may cause market structure shifts. SLs need to be absolutely perfect
Trade Explanation :
OANDA:XAUUSD should have used the 1D Bearish Order Block and we should have seen a fall or at least a decent enough retracement, but only 1 thing saved us, that is 15 min Bullish INDUCMENT and 1H BIAS . I never entered in a short trade!
I hope everyone saw these liquidity pools at the bottom and waited for them to get swept, but yeah, not always will liquidity be hunted right? Pools are areas with the most number of orders + stops. So aren't they supposed to be a good thing? :)
So, yes, DAILY bias is good, but again, LTF bias is also very necessary. Markets won't always respect the DAILY bias. Else, they would always be stuck in a sideways momentum right?
Think about it!
Also, do let me know in the comments what you feel about this trade and also share your analysis!
EURJPY - SD + OTE + FVG Long EntryFX:EURJPY - Analysis on the 15min TimeFrame.
(Look at the charts for all the levels)
1. Bullish IDM
2. 15min Bullish FVG tapped
3. Optimal Trade Entry ( OTE ) level 0.5 tapped
4. Standard Deviation ( SD ) TP 1 will be used as Target
5. Bearish 15min Order Block is also aligned with SD and can be used as target as well
6. SL - just below last 15min Bullish Order Block
Entry is triggered, let's see if this trade hits TP or SL.
Also, I'd love to hear your analysis as well. What do you guys think? Let me know in the comments
ETH Buy at perfect zone.ETH Buy scenario at perfect zone. ETH is creating a perfect scenario for buy on 4H TF.
1. Price is at support, FVG and OB confluence in premium zone at OTE.
2. Also showing rejection in price action.
3. Trend line is faked out.
P.S. - it is just analysis not any trade recommendation.
A good scenario being devolved in Gold.A good scenario being devolved in Gold.
1. Displacement is done.
2. Overlapping FVGs in different time frames 1h, 30m and 15m are formed.
3. These FVGs are formed at OTE level.
4. OB is also kind of overlapping these FVGS.
There may be a good scenario of buying if MSS happens in lower time frame with this POI.
Bitcoin – Bullish Setup Forming After FVG Retest!Hello Traders!
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of forming a bullish setup after rejecting lower levels. The price has created a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone and is moving within a falling channel, suggesting a possible accumulation before the next leg up.
Key Observations:
FVG Support: Price is likely to retest the FVG zone before a strong upward move.
Falling Channel: The structure indicates potential breakout to the upside.
RSI Divergence: Momentum indicators are showing signs of strength, supporting a bullish reversal case.
Targets: The upside targets are marked at 116,360 – 117,380 – 118,394 levels.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 111,627 would negate this bullish setup.
Rahul’s Tip:
Always wait for confirmation around the FVG zone. Entering too early may expose you to false breakouts. Risk management is crucial, especially in volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAU/USD SD + OTE + Fractal Reversal TradeHey traders!
Here you can see all the trades taken by me in accordance with some major concepts of ICT.
1. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry
2. SD - Standard Deviation
3. Fractal Nature - If you can't find a pattern on the HTF, you'll surely find something on the LTF and vice versa. For example:
- The SELL entry over here, we had an FVG on the 5 min TF , there was no other valid level to short the markets.
- The other BUY Entries were taken on HTFs , and gave us very good targets as well!
Standard Deviations when combined with PD arrays , work like a charm and can be used as targets for LTF trades and reversals for HTF trades.
Hope you learned something today!
Share your analysis as well in the comments!
XAUUSD - SD + OTE + PD Array Entry/ExitThis long trade in XAUUSD includes cumulative entry and exit models.
1. SD - Standard Deviation Target 1 - 3274
Standard Deviation Target 2 - 3408
2. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry ( Equilibrium + 40 pips)
3. PD Array - 4H/15m FVG (caused due to CPI news)
PD array + OTE overlapping perfectly, so there's double confirmation.
Last manipulative leg before IDM (Inducement) and MSS (Market Structure Shift) taken for predicting Standard Deviation Targets.
This is a 1D + 4H PD array at play, with Liquidity of previous weekly candle already taken. So it's very possible that trade hits both of our targets.
Already 333pips captured in this trade, waiting for more, let's see what happens!
Share your thoughts and analysis below in the comments.
I'd honestly like to know about your opinion :)
"Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?""Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with:
BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries.
Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels.
The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target.
Key technical levels:
Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area)
Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks
Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance
Market Sentiment:
The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone.
📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350
💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
XAUUSD – Gold Intraday Market Outlook (22/07)PLan XAUUSD TRADING BY MMFLOW SYSTEM - 22/07
Gold saw a sharp rally yesterday, completing its bullish wave structure for the day. However, as price approached the key psychological resistance around $3400, we started to see signs of exhaustion, with a clear bearish reversal candle forming at the top. This is the first indication of a possible correction in today’s session.
🔍 Technical Analysis
After forming a short-term top, gold is now entering a retracement phase and has tested a major support area – the FVG High Zone on H1 timeframe. If bearish pressure continues and this zone is broken, price may drop further to seek deeper liquidity zones.
🔽 Buy Zones to Watch Today
✅ Zone 1 – EL (End Liquidity within FVG): 3367 – 3350
→ Historically a strong reaction zone – good for short-term bounce entries.
✅ Zone 2 – Confluence of FIBO 0.5 – 0.618 + VPOC (3350 – 3335)
→ Ideal for long-term buy setups, as this zone overlaps key technical signals and previously saw strong buyer interest.
📌 Trade Setup Suggestions
🔸 BUY ZONE: 3351 – 3349
SL: 3344
TP targets: 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 – 3390 – 3400 – ???
🔸 BUY SCALP: 3366 – 3364
SL: 3360
TP: 3370 – 3375 – 3380 – 3385 – 3390
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3420 – 3422
SL: 3427
TP: 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3385
⚠️ Risk Reminder
Although there’s no major economic data today, traders should stay cautious. Unexpected volatility could arise from political developments or central bank commentary. In low-news environments, gold tends to consolidate tightly and then break out aggressively.
🔐 Always use Stop Loss and Take Profit to protect your capital – the market can surprise even the most experienced traders.
📈 Trading Strategy
Short-term bias: Favouring a pullback scenario.
Medium to long-term plan: If price drops deeper into key liquidity zones, that could offer excellent opportunities to load up on long positions, anticipating a strong upside move as the market prices in future Fed rate cuts and gold seeks new all-time highs.
💬 Stay focused, trade with confirmation, and always manage your risk. Patience and discipline will separate you from the crowd.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis 🧠 NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective
Currently, the NZD/USD pair is trading around 0.5960, positioned between a well-defined resistance zone (0.6130–0.6150) and a support zone (0.5890–0.5900).
Here are the key technical aspects to note:
🔹 1. Liquidity Sweep
The price recently dipped below the previous swing low near 0.5900, tapping into a pool of sell-side liquidity. This move is typically seen as a liquidity grab, where institutional players push the price to trigger retail stop losses before reversing direction.
🔹 2. Double Bottom Formation
The chart suggests a potential double bottom forming at the support level — a classic sign of accumulation. This pattern indicates buyers may be coming in after liquidity has been cleared, expecting a reversal.
🔹 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A Fair Value Gap, or imbalance, is visible between 0.5985 and 0.6015. This gap was created due to a sharp bearish move, leaving price action unbalanced. The price is now likely to retrace into this area to rebalance orders, which is typical smart money behaviour.
🔹 4. Market Structure Outlook
If the double bottom confirms with a bullish break of structure above 0.5980, we could see a continuation towards:
- First Target: FVG zone around 0.6015
- Second Target: Major resistance near 0.6150, where past distribution occurred
✅ Conclusion
This setup integrates key smart money concepts:
- Liquidity grab below support
- Accumulation phase at demand
- FVG as a target
- Potential bullish shift in market structure
Traders should keep a close watch on price action around the support zone for confirmation, such as a bullish engulfing candle or a break of recent short-term highs, before taking long positions. Targets remain at the FVG and resistance zones; however, sound risk management is crucial in case of a deeper sweep or any macroeconomic developments.
TARC: Swing Pick (Breakout Candidate)#Tarc #swingtrade #threewhitesoldiers #fvg #fairvaluegaps #trendingstock #breakoutstock
TARC : Breakout Candidate
>> Up-trending stock
>> TWS Visible
>> Bounce back from FVG
>> Trending setup
>> Good Volume & Strength
>> Risk Reward Favorable
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
Breakout Confirmation Above ₹2491 - Trend Reversal in Play?After months of downtrend, Asian Paints is showing signs of reversal. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) has been marked, and the price is approaching a key resistance at ₹2491.
🔍 Trade Idea:
Entry (Trigger): Weekly close above ₹2491 (break of recent BSL)
Target: ₹3203 (Previous high + Weekly Fair Value Gap zone)
Stop Loss: Below swing low around ₹2110
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.8+
📌 Technical Confluences:
CHoCH confirmed in mid-2025
Weekly FVG above offers price imbalance that price may seek to fill
Current structure forming a higher low with bullish momentum
💬 Idea: Wait for a strong weekly close above ₹2491 for confirmation. Once confirmed, a potential rally towards ₹3200+ is in play, targeting the FVG zone and liquidity above the previous swing high.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
Nifty Analysis - Smart Money Concepts or LiquidityI would like to present my Nifty Analysis based on Liquidity or Smart Money Concepts.
This Analysis is based on Multi-time frame (Weekly & Daily) Time Frame. here chart is used on Daily Time Frame.
Current Scenario - (Weekly TF Analysis)
==Weekly Time Frame Analysis -
The current move is retracing into a weekly POI zone which also has-
-Daily Imbalance
-HTF Supply Block
-Smart Money Trap Zone (marked)
Right now, HTF is still in broad bearish retracement structure.
==Daily TF Annalysis -
-Price is consolidating in a range within a clearly defined HTF POI (High Probability Reversal Area)
-Inside the range:
-Multiple internal BOS & MSS
-Clean liquidity pool build-up (marked in yellow)
-Potential for buy-side liquidity sweep followed by sell-off into discount
Price Projection & Bias -----
1. Short-Term Bias (Next 3–5 Weeks): Downside after Extreme POI liquidity grab
-Expectation is there will be a Fakeout above the liquidity pool (25,500–25,800), or in retail language say it is Stop Loss Hunt then sell-off.
-Target: Volume Imbalance near 23,200–22,700.
-This will be aligned with - Liquidity sweep , Mitigation of volume imbalance , Entry into Weekly Discount Zone.
2. Mid-Term Bias or say 2-3 months expectation (After Re-accumulation)
-If price reacts with storng bullish order flow from 22500-22000 range then expect -
-Reversal into bullish structure
-Target - 26200 or 26400
-Supported by mean reversion + reaccumulating idea
(For Entry Module)
- Consider 15min to 1 hour Time frame setup for confirmation before taking shorts from above supply zone.
- expect a long setup around 22200-22400 only if bullish BOS + FVG Filled and also consider HTF Liquidity sweep near weekly wick discount zone or say 50% mean reversion.
Disclaimer -- (Views are only for Educational Purpose only. Always consult your financial Advisor before doing Any Investments).
Your Views or Comments are welcomed.
CHoCH + FVG = Institutional Entry Point for Option Traders!Hello Traders!
Today, we’re diving into one of the most powerful Smart Money Concepts — combining CHoCH (Change of Character) with FVG (Fair Value Gap) to identify high-probability institutional entry zones. This setup works brilliantly for both equity and option traders , especially when you want to catch the move before the breakout.
What is CHoCH (Change of Character)?
CHoCH occurs when the market shifts from a bearish to bullish structure or vice versa. It marks the first sign that market structure is shifting , and smart money is potentially stepping in.
What is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
An FVG is an imbalance between buyers and sellers. When price moves sharply in one direction, it leaves behind an area (usually 1-2 candles) with no trading activity — that’s the gap smart money fills later to enter or add positions.
Why This Combo Works Like Magic
CHoCH gives confirmation that market direction is changing.
FVG gives the entry zone where big players are likely to buy or sell again.
High Risk-Reward : You’re entering close to where institutions enter — not chasing breakouts.
Ideal for Option Traders looking for momentum entries at discounted zones.
How to Trade This Setup
Wait for a CHoCH on the 5min/15min chart.
Mark the FVG zone created after CHoCH.
Enter near the FVG zone with confirmation (rejection candle, volume spike, or VWAP bounce).
Place stop loss below the FVG and target swing high or based on option premium chart.
Rahul’s Tip
Don’t just chase the breakout. Learn to identify where smart money accumulates before the rally. CHoCH + FVG = sniper-level precision for option scalpers.
Conclusion
This setup is becoming a go-to for institutional-style intraday traders. It’s clean, logical, and extremely efficient when executed with discipline. Start spotting these patterns and backtest your entries — you’ll be amazed by the results!
Have you tried CHoCH + FVG before? Let me know your experience in the comments!