OBV + MACD Confirmed FVG📉 Bitcoin – Bearish FVG Retracement With EMA200, OBV & MACD Momentum Confluence
This chart highlights a clean bearish structure on BTC, defined by a consistent sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Throughout this downtrend, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed — each created by sharp institutional displacement that leaves behind inefficiencies in price.
As price continues trending below the EMA200, bearish order flow remains firmly intact. Each time BTC retraces into an unmitigated FVG, the market efficiently rebalances the imbalance before resuming downward continuation.
In this setup, the integration of FVGs + EMA200 + OBV + MACD Histogram builds a high-probability roadmap for identifying premium retracement zones and anticipating continuation moves.
The major FVG above current price sits directly under the EMA200 and aligns with weakening OBV momentum. This makes it the most structurally significant bearish reaction zone. A secondary FVG exists below it, but carries less importance due to weaker displacement and reduced confluence.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Prior Bearish FVG Reaction
A previously formed bearish FVG was cleanly mitigated, followed by immediate downside continuation.
This confirms that institutional order flow remains bearish and that FVG zones are functioning as efficient retracement magnets in the current trend.
2️⃣ High-Priority FVG Under EMA200 (Primary Zone)
This upper FVG has the strongest confluence:
Formed by strong bearish displacement
Sits directly below the EMA200, reinforcing trend direction
Aligns with market structure (LH → LL sequence)
OBV shows weakening buying pressure as price approaches the zone
MACD histogram is decreasing into FVG, signaling bearish momentum shift
This makes it the most likely level for a significant rejection if price retraces into it.
3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone
A lower FVG also exists, but:
Formed during a smaller displacement
Does not align with EMA200 rejection
Carries weaker structural significance
It may still produce a minor reaction, but is lower probability compared to the primary FVG above.
4️⃣ OBV Momentum Context
OBV declines as price approaches the FVG, which is a critical confirmation.
When OBV decreases during a retracement, it signals absorption of buy-side pressure → strengthening the bearish continuation case.
5️⃣ MACD Histogram Confirmation
MACD histogram is rolling over and turning negative as price pushes toward the FVG.
This confirms bearish momentum returning, increasing the probability of a strong rejection from imbalance.
6️⃣ Structural Context
BTC maintains a clean LH–LL bearish sequence.
As long as price remains under the EMA200 and below the unmitigated FVGs, retracements are more likely to act as rebalancing moves rather than true reversal attempts.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This visualization demonstrates how Smart Money Concepts and momentum indicators align within a trending environment:
Clear LH → LL market structure
Multiple historical FVGs acting as premium retracement zones
A previously mitigated FVG confirming downside continuation
A high-confluence bearish FVG below the EMA200
OBV weakness during retracement phases
MACD histogram declining into FVG retest
Together, these elements create a textbook sequence:
displacement → inefficiency → retracement → mitigation → continuation
Price remains bearish unless BTC can break and close above the upper FVG with strong momentum and volume.
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📘 How EMA200, OBV & MACD Strengthen FVG Setups (Bullish + Bearish)
🔹 1. Trend Filter: EMA200
Below EMA200 → look for bearish FVG rejections
Above EMA200 → look for bullish FVG reactions
EMA200 acts as a dynamic mean-reversion anchor during trending markets.
🔹 2. OBV + FVG
OBV declining on FVG retest → bearish continuation
OBV rising into bullish FVG → bullish continuation
Volume trend strengthens or invalidates FVG reactions.
🔹 3. MACD Histogram + FVG
Falling histogram → bearish FVG confirmation
Rising histogram → bullish FVG confirmation
MACD shows whether momentum aligns with the imbalance.
🔹 Combined Logic (Works Both Ways)
Displacement creates an FVG
Price retraces into the FVG
Trend filter (EMA200) agrees
OBV + MACD confirm volume + momentum direction
Price rejects and continues trend.
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✅ Summary
Market structure remains bearish with LH → LL continuity
A previously filled FVG validated downside continuation
The upper FVG is the highest-probability zone (EMA200 + OBV + MACD alignment)
The secondary imbalance carries lower significance
OBV and MACD both confirm weakening buyer pressure into FVG
As long as BTC stays below EMA200, retracements into FVG are likely continuation setups
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only
🙅 Not SEBI registered
❌ Not financial or investment advice
🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only
Fvg
Weekly Gold analysis & 8R scenarioLast week gold closed positively with a strong candle showing positivity and approaching to a strong 4H FVG nested inside weekly quadrant level and making cluster. We may see both buying and selling scenarios.
Gold has also broken 4H trend line and retested it. So we can see a possible move till FVG.
We may also witness a breakout if price violates FVG and breaks all time high with strong volume support.
1. Price is creating higher highs in micro structure level and approaching towards 4hours FVG after breaking and retesting trend line at 4 Hours.
2. Trend line breakout is supported by strong volume.
3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now.
4. We may see a reversal scenario at 4 hour FVG level.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence📈 Bitcoin Chart – FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence in a Bearish Market Structure
This chart showcases a sustained bearish sequence on BTC, defined by a clean continuation of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Throughout this decline, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed both locally and at higher levels — each created by strong institutional sell-side displacement.
As price trends downward, these unmitigated FVGs above the market consistently act as magnet zones:price retraces into previous inefficiencies, rebalances them, and resumes the dominant bearish trend.
In the current setup, the integration of FVGs + Fibonacci Retracement(Point A to B) + EMA Levels + RSI Momentum provides a highly structured roadmap for anticipating retracements and continuation points.
The most significant imbalance sits near the major Fib retracement zone and under key EMAs — making it the highest-probability reaction area. Secondary FVGs below it may still induce a bounce, but carry lower structural relevance.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Prior FVG Mitigation
A previously formed FVG under the EMA was cleanly filled, followed by immediate downside continuation.
This confirms bearish order-flow control and validates the role of FVGs as efficient retracement targets in a downtrend.
2️⃣ High-Priority FVG (Primary Zone)
The upper FVG holds the strongest confluence:
Created by strong displacement
Sits below the EMA50
Aligns with the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone
This cluster makes it the most likely zone for a meaningful bearish rejection if price retraces into it.
3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone
A lower FVG also exists beneath the main zone.
Although it can cause a minor corrective bounce, it formed during a smaller move and does not align with the key trend or Fib levels — giving it lower probability.
4️⃣ RSI Momentum Context
RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum.
When RSI stays under mid-line, bearish FVG reactions tend to be more reliable and continuation setups form cleanly.
5️⃣ Structural Context
The broader structure remains decisively bearish as long as price trades below the EMAs and below the major upper FVG.
Retracements into these zones are more likely to serve as rebalancing moves rather than genuine reversal attempts.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BTCUSDT
Timeframe → 1D
This visualization illustrates how Smart Money Concepts apply cleanly during strong trending conditions:
A clear LH–LL downtrend
Several historical FVGs acting as retracement magnets
A previously mitigated FVG confirming bearish control
A high-confluence FVG aligned with EMAs and Fib levels
A secondary imbalance that can still induce short-term reactions
RSI showing momentum remains bearish
Together, these elements outline a textbook sequence:
displacement → inefficiency → retracement → rebalancing → continuation.
Price remains under firm bearish control unless it breaks above the upper FVG with conviction.
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📘 Using Fib Retracement, EMA50, and RSI With FVGs (Bullish + Bearish)
🔹 1. Fibonacci Retracement + FVG
In a downtrend, draw Fib from swing high → low; in an uptrend, draw low → high
The 38.2%–61.8% zone is the prime retracement area in both directions.
If an FVG forms or sits inside this Fib zone, it becomes a high-probability reaction point (bearish rejection in downtrend, bullish bounce in uptrend).
🔹 2. EMA50 + FVG
In a bearish trend, price and FVGs forming below EMA50 act as stronger bearish retracement zones.
In a bullish trend, price and FVGs forming above EMA50 act as stronger bullish retracement zones.
EMA50 acts as a mean reversion point where price often returns to rebalance before continuation.
🔹 3. RSI + FVG
RSI below 50 → bearish momentum → bearish FVG reactions are more reliable.
RSI above 50 → bullish momentum → bullish FVG reactions are more reliable.
If RSI rises from oversold (or falls from overbought), it often signals a retracement phase toward nearby FVGs.
🔹 4. Combined Logic (Works for Bullish and Bearish)
Displacement creates an FVG (inefficiency).
Price retraces into the 38–61% Fib zone.
Retracement taps EMA50 or stays on the correct side of EMA50 (below for bearish, above for bullish).
RSI confirms momentum (below 50 for bearish continuation, above 50 for bullish continuation).
Price rejects from the FVG and continues the trend.
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✅ Summary
Market structure remains bearish with consistent LHs and LLs.
A previously filled FVG under the EMA validated the continuation move.
The upper FVG is the highest-strength level due to EMA + Fib + displacement confluence.
A lower FVG exists but carries reduced importance.
RSI below 50 reinforces bearish momentum and reliability of bearish FVG reactions.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not investment advice.
🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only.
Decoding the Descending Triangle: Key Structure & FVG🔻Understanding the Pattern
- The chart above highlights a classic descending triangle pattern, easily visible by its series of lower highs (marked in red) and a relatively consistent demand zone acting as support.
- This resistance trendline (CT—Contraction Trendline) has been tested multiple times, confirming its significance as sellers consistently respond to price rallies by pushing back from lower levels.
🔻Equilibrium and Price Exploration
- Notice how price action moves from the equilibrium zone (EQ.)—the midpoint of the major move (from lows to all-time highs). This is a key area where supply and demand often rebalance
- The triangle structure forms as buyers continue to find value at support, while sellers become increasingly aggressive at lower highs, compressing price action over time.
🔻Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Focus
- A prominent Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG-WTF) is identified, which price has tapped multiple times. This repeated interaction demonstrates its importance as a liquidity pocket where imbalances are re-tested and absorbed.
- Each revisit to this FVG offers a valuable lesson on how strong institutional levels serve as magnets, attracting price to resolve open liquidity.
This post is for educational purposes, highlighting how price structures can be interpreted without suggesting any forecast or trade.
FVG Retracement in a Downtrend📈 Solana Chart – Fair Value Gap Retracement in a Bearish Market Structure
This chart highlights a clear bearish sequence, defined by a repeated formation of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) with some Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Throughout this downtrend, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have emerged — each representing price inefficiencies created by strong institutional sell-side displacement.
As price continues to decline, these historical FVGs above the current market reveal a consistent pattern:
price retraces into previous imbalances, rebalances them, and then resumes the downward trajectory.
In the current setup, two active bearish FVGs have formed. The upper zone carries greater priority due to its alignment with a major LH, while the lower FVG — although not high priority — can still generate a corrective pullback.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Prior FVG Mitigation
A previous FVG was cleanly filled, followed by a sharp rejection — a textbook example of institutional rebalancing.
The reaction confirms the efficiency of using FVGs to anticipate retracement zones in a downtrend.
2️⃣ High-Priority FVG
The upper FVG holds greater importance as it aligns with a major Lower High.
This confluence increases the likelihood of a meaningful rejection should price retrace into this imbalance.
3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone
A lower FVG also exists beneath the primary one.
Though not a high-priority inefficiency, it may still trigger a pullback if price interacts with it during corrective movement.
4️⃣ Support Line Liquidity Zone
The descending trendline beneath price may function as a liquidity attractor.
Stops often accumulate below such diagonal structures, making it a potential sweep area before a reaction.
5️⃣ Structural Context
The broader price structure remains decisively bearish.
As long as price trades below the upper FVG, sellers maintain control and retracements serve primarily as rebalancing moves rather than reversal attempts.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → COINBASE:SOLUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This visualization demonstrates how Fair Value Gaps continue to guide price behavior throughout the downtrend.
Each historical FVG above current price acted as a magnet for retracement, followed by rejection once the inefficiency was filled.
The current structure shows:
A clean downtrend defined by Lower Highs and Lower Lows
A previously filled FVG leading to immediate continuation
A new high-priority FVG near a major LH
A secondary FVG capable of producing a corrective bounce
A descending support line acting as a liquidity pool
Together, these elements showcase classic Smart Money concepts:
inefficiency → retracement → rebalancing → continuation.
Price remains under bearish control unless a decisive break above the primary FVG occurs.
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✅ Summary
Market structure shows a series of LH–LL sequences, confirming a strong downtrend.
Previous FVGs were filled and rejected cleanly, validating order-flow-driven rebalancing.
The upper FVG is the highest-priority reaction zone due to its alignment with a major LH.
A lower FVG may still generate a pullback but carries less structural importance.
The descending support line highlights a potential liquidity sweep before any larger rebound.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
BTC is forming a 3R sell scenario.....BTC is in downtrend in daily timeframe and shown sniper delivery, now it is in pullback mode. We may anticipate a good short term trade around 102000 RDRB level
1. Price is continuously crating BOSs..
2. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
3. RSI has already shown bearish divergence on hourly TF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
ETH/USD - Fair Value Gap Retracement with Historical Reactions📈 ETH/USD – Fair Value Gap Retracement and Support Line Interaction
Ethereum’s daily chart showcases a clear bearish market structure, marked by a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows.
Throughout this decline, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have emerged, each reflecting price inefficiencies created by strong institutional sell-side displacement.
These historical FVGs — now visible above the current price — reveal how ETH has repeatedly retraced to fill prior imbalances before resuming its downward trajectory.
The latest setup forms yet another bearish FVG, potentially acting as a retracement zone before continuation.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Historic FVG Reaction – The previous FVG (around the mid-October region) acted as a powerful supply zone. Price retraced deeply into that imbalance, filled it almost completely, and then reversed sharply — validating the concept of FVG-based rebalancing before continuation.
2️⃣ Current FVG Setup – A new bearish Fair Value Gap has now formed following another strong sell-side impulse. This zone represents a fresh inefficiency that may attract retracement before the next move down.
3️⃣ Optimal Confirmation Depth – The best confirmation typically occurs when price retraces toward the high of the FVG.
Reaching the upper boundary indicates that buy-side liquidity has been tapped and unfilled institutional sell orders have likely been triggered, often preceding a sharp rejection.
4️⃣ Descending Support Line – The trendline below price continues to act as a liquidity attractor. Stops often accumulate beneath it, making it a potential sweep zone before reversal.
5️⃣ Structural Context – The broader structure remains bearish. As long as price trades below the most recent FVG, sellers maintain full control.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BINANCE:ETHUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This chart highlights the continuity of Fair Value Gap behavior throughout Ethereum’s bearish cycle.
The earlier FVGs (visible above current price) acted as magnets for retracement and then rejection — clear evidence of institutional rebalancing in action.
Each time ETH filled a previous FVG, the market found equilibrium before continuing downward.
Now, a fresh bearish FVG has formed, marking the next potential reaction area.
If price retraces deeper — ideally up to the high of this new FVG — it would offer the most reliable confirmation of a likely rejection. A shallower retracement, on the other hand, could signal weaker corrective intent.
Below current price, the descending support line identifies a possible liquidity pool. Price may sweep below this line to collect liquidity before any larger reversal attempt.
This confluence of historic and active FVGs, combined with the trendline structure, perfectly captures Smart Money’s rebalancing logic — inefficiency, retracement, rejection, and continuation.
The chart structure clearly displays a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), confirming the ongoing bearish trend. This repeating HH–HL–LH–LL rhythm reflects controlled market structure and institutional rebalancing behavior.
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✅ Summary
• Ethereum continues to form lower highs and lower lows, maintaining its bearish structure.
• Historic FVGs show how price repeatedly retraced, filled inefficiencies, and reversed lower.
• A deeper retracement toward the high of the current FVG provides stronger confirmation for a rejection setup.
• The descending support line may act as a liquidity sweep zone before reversal.
• The overall sentiment remains bearish unless price closes above the FVG zone.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
EURUSD Trade Idea Shorts Tuesday/Wednesday WASUPPP LADSSS!
Yeah EU/GU are in a bhllish orderflow, I'm expecting them to continue higher but not before retracing back into the daily bullish Fair Value gap. So GU has printed a H4 Bearish FVG and there's smt between EU and GU on the Daily Time Frame. I'm expecting a second smt to push price lower into the daily fair value gap before continuing upwards, so short term i would be looking for sells.
So this is the plan, in London -
If price creates an smt divergence with DXY/GBP/USDCHF I would look for shorts to the daily bullish fair value gap, this is basically an ERL to IRL play.
This is just an idea, it has necessary conditions which need to be met to be acted upon, like smt and a bearish orderflow on the 15m timeframe. If these two conditions are met I would look for shorts, unless price decides to continue going higher. Thank you and keep winning!!!
ETHUSDT/BTCUSDT Short idea 11/11/2025Wassup Lads!
This looks like a very enticing short setup simply because
1. Price in a daily bearish fair value gap
2. We have SMT Divergence between BTC and ETH on the daily time frame
Switching over to the H1 time frame I'm clearly seeing price print out a bearish orderflow, I have not yet entered but will look to enter a sell postion on retracement to the H1 Bearish fair value gap, targeting a basic 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. So basically, if price retraces to the h1 bearish fair value gap I'll look for shorts or I'm happy waiting on the sidelines for a new setup.
As always -
1. Manage your risk
2. Stay disciplined
3. Do your own research
One wrong trade can spoil months of discipline
Keep winning!!
Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend📈 BTC/USD – Understanding Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend
The current market structure on the daily timeframe highlights a clear bearish trend, where price continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
After a strong downward impulse, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed — representing an area of imbalance that price may eventually retrace to before deciding its next move.
This setup reflects a potential rebalancing phase within the ongoing downtrend.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ FVG Formation — A bearish Fair Value Gap has emerged following a strong sell-side move, signaling a region of inefficiency left behind by aggressive sellers.
2️⃣ Retracement Possibility — Price may attempt to retrace into the FVG zone to rebalance this inefficiency before continuing its primary downtrend.
3️⃣ Potential Rejection Zone — If price reacts negatively from the FVG, it could confirm continued bearish sentiment and lead to another lower low.
4️⃣ Trend Context — The overall market remains under a descending structure, with sellers maintaining control as long as price stays below the FVG zone.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BINANCE:BTCUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This chart illustrates how a Fair Value Gap (FVG) functions as a key retracement zone within a broader bearish structure. The price action shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a prevailing downtrend.
After a strong downward impulse, price created a bearish FVG — highlighted in red — representing an imbalance area where institutional orders may remain unfilled. Price is now retracing upward, likely to fill this inefficiency.
If the market faces rejection from this FVG zone, it could signal the continuation of the ongoing bearish momentum. However, a clean break and close above it might hint at a short-term structural shift.
Below the current price, a liquidity pool zone is marked — an area where stop-losses likely reside. Price often sweeps such zones to collect liquidity before reversing, aligning with Smart Money behavior.
Overall, this setup showcases how identifying FVGs within market structure helps traders anticipate rebalancing phases, retracements, and potential reaction points in trending markets.
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✅ Summary
• The Fair Value Gap acts as a magnet zone where price may retrace to fill inefficiency.
• A rejection from the FVG could resume bearish continuation.
• A confirmed close above the FVG might hint at short-term strength or structural shift.
• Traders should observe price behavior within this zone for potential rebalancing reactions.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Trade Journal Trade 3 - EURUSD - 10/11/2025Wassup Lads!
Took this trade today and got a 2R win, good start to the trading week.
Coming to the trade, price was in a bullish orderflow on EURUSD and had tapped the 4H internal liquidity (FVG)
Confirmed the momentum by smt with USDCHF and also in London Open. Time and Price both Aligning.
Target was a simple 2R.
Good Trade. Keep Winning Boys.
Kotak buying scenario........Kotak Mahindra Bank is forming a wonderful scenario in buying side. It is ranging between trend lines for long time and now taking a reversal after a pullback. Below conditions are reflecting the situation of smart money to jump in…….
1. After pullback it is respecting cluster of 50/100 and 200 SMA and formed a rejection candle.
2. There is a daily FVG nested in OB, which is also being respected.
3. RSI is also at mid-level and showing a reversal..
4. We may see some choppy kind of situation for few days and later breakout.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
EURUSD Weekly Outlook - 10/11/205 to 14/11/2025Wassup Lads!
So this week we can see that EU closed sharply into the week rejecting the lows, there's a strong rejection candle on the weekly time frame and price has displaced higher forming a daily swing point and a daily fair value gap as well, so what I would be looking for price is to do this -
1. Price range on Monday
2. Manipulte into the daily fair value gap.
3. Look for smt divergence during key times
4. Would look for longs
This is my plan for EU this coming week.
Do your own research, manga risk and stay disciplined bois.
Let's win this week!
My Journal Trade 2 - ETHUSDT LONGThis was a counter trade in a downtrend, low probability and also weekend, however it looked super clean and I took it. Coming to the trade
1. SMT between PDLs b/w ETH and BTC
2. Price tapped into H4 FVG
3. Smt with BTC in the H4 FVG
4. Target a basic 1 to 2 Risk to Reward
So this was a success. A risky one in a downtrend though, took it because it has all the elements of a good trade setup barring the time.
CRYPTO WEEKLY OUTLOOK 10/11/25 - 17/11/25Wassup Lads! So crypto is clearly in a downtrend as of now targeting pending daily sell side liquidity but it's also in a monthly key level that is a fair value gap, so what I am expecting price to do now is take out the pending lows on the daily timeframe on BTCUSDT and inverse the daily fair value gap, this would also cause an SMT Divergence with ETHUSDT signalling a shift in orderflow. So right now it's headed lower.
This is my plan,
1. Sell to the lows
2. Wait for an inversion of the daily bearish fair value gap on BTCUSDT, to confirm a reversal for buys.
Remember to -
1. Manage Risk
2. Do your own research
3. Stay Disciplined
Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Fair Value Gap (FVG) — Support and Resistance (S/R)🔎 Overview
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a unique price imbalance or inefficiency on a price chart where the market rapidly moves, leaving one or more candles without overlapping wicks between highs and lows.
This signifies aggressive buying or selling, resulting in a “gap” of untraded prices.
Once spotted, FVGs often act as magnets, drawing price back to fill the gap — and later serve as dynamic support or resistance zones, depending on the market direction.
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📔 Concept
A Fair Value Gap forms when:
1️⃣ Resistance FVG -- A strong impulsive move causes the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle (in a three-candle sequence) to fail to overlap, leaving a visible gap.
2️⃣ Support FVG -- A strong impulsive move causes the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in a three-candle sequence) to fail to overlap, leaving a visible gap.
3️⃣ Imbalance -- This gap highlights an area where orders were skipped, signaling an imbalance between buyers and sellers.
4️⃣ Rebalance -- When revisited, a Bullish FVG often acts as support, while a Bearish FVG acts as resistance, as price reacts to rebalance the inefficiency before the trend continues.
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📌 How to Use
✅ Validation → A valid FVG exists as long as the gap remains unfilled, and traders watch for price to revisit and react to it.
🟩 Bullish FVG → Support: When price retraces into the gap and finds buying interest, the zone holds as support.
🔴 Bearish FVG → Resistance: When price rallies into a bearish gap and faces rejection, the zone holds as resistance.
❌ Devalidation → If price decisively closes inside the FVG, the gap is considered “filled,” and the setup loses significance.
Typically, the lowest unfilled bullish FVG below price in an uptrend (and the highest bearish FVG above in a downtrend) carries more weight and is prioritized for confluence.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → NSE:ITC
Timeframe → 1D
On the right-hand side, the Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are illustrated in detail to give a closer look at how they form and function.
These visual examples explain how FVGs represent price inefficiencies — zones that later act as dynamic support or resistance once price revisits them.
On the left-hand side, you can see real-time examples of FVGs forming within live price action.
When a candle closes decisively inside a bullish FVG, it confirms price commitment, allowing the zone to act as support and potentially propel price upward.(These are plotted using open sourced indicator )
This setup beautifully demonstrates how understanding FVG structure helps identify high-probability reaction zones where the market seeks to rebalance itself.
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👀 Observation
Fair Value Gaps work best in volatile markets or during strong impulsive moves.
When price revisits an unfilled gap, the reaction helps define new support or resistance.
Combining FVGs with key structural levels, volume analysis, or momentum indicators (like RSI or Moving Averages) improves reliability.
Always prioritize clean, unfilled gaps aligned with the trend direction for higher conviction.
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💡 Conclusion
The Fair Value Gap not only signals where the market may “rebalance” itself after price inefficiencies but also identifies potential support and resistance zones.
Recognizing how bullish and bearish FVGs interact with price allows traders to anticipate reactions, manage risk, and refine entries and targets with greater accuracy.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Weekly & Daily BTC analysis of 10R Opportunity........On HTF weekly and daily BTC is forming good scenarios for bearish trade. Price is consolidating at higher levels for last couple of weeks and showing value adjustment in BTC. Price already shot up a lot and we may see a short term pull back.
1. BTC has created CISD after taking liquidity at weekly level and tested weekly iFVG.
2. It has also created 1D FVG and 4H FVG and iFVG over lapping. creating cluster of CEs. Which might be a Good POI for sell side opportunity.
3. Technically we are already into a weekly down side scenario. Further price is approaching Daily and 4 Hourly FVGs for possible re-entry opportunities.
4. RSI has also already shown a bearish divergence on weekly level.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
BPCL | FVG + Fibonacci COnfluence | Long Setup toward 378 💬 Description:
Chart Type: 1D (Daily)
Stock: BPCL – Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
🧩 Setup Overview
BPCL has completed a clean retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone from the previous upswing (306 → 351).
The zone around ₹334–₹340 acted as strong demand support, hinting at a possible continuation leg to the upside.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹338–₹340
Stop Loss: ₹330
Target 1: ₹351
Target 2: ₹378 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ FVG + 0.618 Fib alignment
✅ Retest & bounce confirmation
✅ Volume showing accumulation
✅ Clear higher-low structure maintained
🚨 Invalidation
Setup invalid if price closes below ₹330, which would break FVG and shift structure to bearish.
🧠 Bias: Bullish continuation
Time Horizon: Swing (2–4 weeks)
BTC forming wonderful scenarioBTC is forming good scenarios for bullish and subsequently bearish trade. It has created ABC pattern and retracing back to bullish FVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones. We may also see a sell side trade once reaches to bearish FVG.
1. Currently price has broken ABC pattern neckline and retracing towards 1h FVG.
2. We may also see a sell side trade once price tap into bearish FVG and shows reversal pattern.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
5. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
ETHUSD 2.5R sell side trade scenarioETHUSD is forming sell side trades as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a daily time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 4H TF. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside OTE zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
7. BTC is also forming similar scenario.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 2.5R trade scenario.
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BTCUSD 3R Sell side trade BTCUSD is forming sell side trade as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a 4H time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 1H and 30m overlapping with 4H FVG. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside Fib golden zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 3R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
HFCL BY KRS CHARTS17th September 2025 / 9:21 AM
Why HFCL?
1. First of all, its second time it's in my radar, previously we had more than 40% Return on this one and still long-term Target has been still loading 225 Rs.
2. 1M TF is making Higher High with current price level previously it breaks from flag pattern and gave upside move.
3. As we cand see in chart i have mentioned FVG range for 1M tf which was expected fall to be fill that FVG and it did.
4. Further, along with FVG filling 1W & 1D tfs is showing bullish divergence within range.
5. Volume is above avg with Morning Star Candle Breakout showing more bullish signs.
SL & Target is mentioned ‼️
** Attached Previous View on HFCL also go check it out**






















